Forex Forum Archive for 01/24/2016

GVI Forex john bland 17:53 GMT January 24, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS
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WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

25-Jan Monday
10:00 DE- IFO Survey
26-Jan Tuesday
14:45 US- flash service PMI
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
27-Jan Wednesday
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:30 US- Crude
19:00 US- Fed Decision
20:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision
23:30 AU- CPI q/q
28-Jan Thursday
13:30 US- Jobless Claims
13:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jan Friday
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey

dc CB 15:41 GMT January 24, 2016
Fun with Covers
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after ignoring the markIT turmoil the WashPost Sunday Buisness section finally notices. So...the Personal Finance columnist: who regularly pens weekly gems like how to save more by brown bagging your lunch, brewing your own coffee instead of going to starbucks and pay off your credit card debt.

Michelle Singletary writes the nationally syndicated personal finance column, �The Color of Money.�
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

My 401(k) is down � way down. But how could I not look at my retirement portfolio with the constant reminders about Wall Street�s woes?

So what are we investors to make of all this? What can you do?

Panicking about the market now? Focus on padding your rainy-day fund.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:02 GMT January 24, 2016
My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week Ahead

JP, watch the video

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT January 24, 2016
My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week Ahead

what does " EURUSD is not a beneficiary" mean:
EURUSD uP or
EURUSD Down
tia

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:26 GMT January 24, 2016
My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week Ahead
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What a start to the year with the third week ending with some sighs of relief with oil and equities recovering and the fx market following as extreme risk off positions got unwound. This sets the stage for a week where the focus will be on 3 central bank meetings, the RBNZ, FOMC and BoJ as markets look for reasons to extend current retracements. Each central bank meeting has potential to move markets although the key focus will be on the FOMC to see if the Fed blinks on its 3-4 rate hikes this year with markets pricing in 1-2. This suggests some caution on the dollar upside ahead of it but as i show, EURUSD is not a beneficiary after Draghi put a March easing on the table,

My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week Ahead

Amsterdam 11:42 GMT January 24, 2016
Forex Fnalytics anfd Forecasts from R.Butko,
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Forex Forecast for 25-29 January 2016

First, a review of last week�s forecast:
- the experts� opinion about EUR/USD�s bearish sentiment proved right � the pair fell by 120 points during the week. However, this is exactly how short it was of the 1.0650 low indicated by graphical analysis. Thus, the forecast came half true;
- the GBP/USD pair met the expectations of the indicators, the experts and graphical analysis. The indicators had insisted on a further downtrend, and it did continue � the pair dropped another 200 points. The experts had also anticipated a rebound, which happened as well � from Thursday, the pair went up. Graphical analysis on H1 had claimed that the peak would be at 1.4370, and GBP/USD nearly got there, stopping short at 1.4362;
- the forecast for USD/JPY had consisted of two stages � first, a rise to 117.40-118.00 and then a drop to support at 116.00. That transpired to a tee � on Tuesday, the pair reached resistance at 118.10, rebounded from it and got to the low of 116.00 on Wednesday. The forecast had indicated that this cycle would take all week but USD/JPY completed both stages before Thursday. During Thursday and Friday, the pair went up to the lower boundary of the triangle, which had been formed over last August - October;
- there was no consensus about USD/CHF. The forecast by graphical analysis on H1 turned out to be more or less correct with some approximation � a rise to 1.01125 (the pair went up to 1.00825) and then a return to 1.0020 (the pair stopped at 1.0000). As for larger timeframes, graphical analysis on D1 had forecast quite a fast rise to 1.02500, and, in fact, USD/CHF went up sharply reaching 1.0165 by the end of the week.

Forecast for Upcoming Week
Generalizing the opinions of scores of analysts from leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be suggested:
- surprisingly, there is unanimity about EUR/USD as 75% of the analysts, all indicators on all timeframes and graphical analysis on H1 vote for a fall to 1.0650-1.0700. Alternatively, 25% of the analysts and graphical analysis on D1 support bullish sentiment and a rise to 1.0850-1.0900. After that, however, the pair should drop trying to reach the low of the first week of last December;
- the analysts' opinions on GBP/USD are split three almost even ways � 33% for a fall to 1.4000, 33% for a rise to 1.4550 and the remaining third for a sideways trend. The indicators and graphical analysis on H4 agree with the latter, drawing a channel in a 1.4120-1.4330 range. Graphical analysis on D1 sides with those experts who speak about a further rebound upward, citing exactly the same level of 1.4550;
- the indicators and graphical analysis on H4 predict that USD/JPY will rebound to 119.50. However, the experts differ again � one-third of them are for a rise, 40% are for a side trend with a 118.00 pivot point and the rest are for the pair�s return to last week�s low;
- last week, graphical analysis predicted USD/CHF would soar to 1.02500. This bullish sentiment stands for this week too but with a corrected target of 1.0210, at which the pair should reverse and go back to the pivot point at 1.0080. The indicators on H4 and D1 and 70% of the experts agree with this view. The analysts set 1.0300 as the pair�s final longer-term target, followed by a drop to 0.9800, which may take 2-3 weeks.

Roman Butko, NordFX

nw kw 04:05 GMT January 24, 2016
Commitment of Traders Report

Housing is showing some life but gains, including those for new homes, are being held back by lack of supply. Still, price appreciation is a rising plus and is well above other price areas including wage growth.

fed can hike?/

Read more at http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/01/existing-home-sales-bounce-big-supply.html#XICCZ4woeTDbmR4c.99

nw kw 02:00 GMT January 24, 2016
Commitment of Traders Report

Forex john can jpy be hedged for s&p, lutes see?

nw kw 01:38 GMT January 24, 2016
Commitment of Traders Report

Forex john you have a take on cad 10year bond big move// for fed might drop bonds to . or strong oil cad?

nw kw 01:07 GMT January 24, 2016
Commitment of Traders Report

can short aud/cad if in week fed first, gl

nw kw 00:59 GMT January 24, 2016
Commitment of Traders Report

GBPUSD and AUDUSD shorts are building.

ya so cad have new home and see eur/gbp get orders. in line for past 3 munts so eur/jpy is qe moneter

nw kw 00:02 GMT January 24, 2016
Commitment of Traders Report

sometimes its like just shift from one cot to another as if to keep bets against usd balanced to there budget..