NY JM 21:57 GMT January 25, 2016
Market Timers Losing Their Touch?
John, the only answer is printing money and that is just pushing on a string. Fiscal policy is the way to stimulate and that is not an option. Printing not spending = lack of confidence
GVI Forex john bland 21:07 GMT January 25, 2016
Market Timers Losing Their Touch?
I don't know about a meltdown soon, but I think the "crowded trade" is investors looking for another "V-bottom" in stocks and that its not going to happen for a very long time.
Whether they realize it or not, they are waiting for the next global growth catalyst and there is none on the horizon. No new internet, China, U.S. consumer, etc. I think when investors realize this, stocks are going to fall and the central banks are going to realize they can do nothing about it.
GVI Forex john bland 20:49 GMT January 25, 2016
Monday's Trading Thread
wti breaks below $30.00
$29.91 -2.28 LOD $29.86
Paris ib 20:38 GMT January 25, 2016
Market Timers Losing Their Touch?
Reply
All those clever clogs talking about a rally of a few weeks and THEN another sell off might just have to have another look at that.
Sell off, dead cat bounce and then ongoing sell off looks more like it.
Confidence in the economy, in the authorities, in the markets.... pretty close to zero. That's OK when the market is rallying, when it's not there really is NO tolerance for pain. NONE.
Central bankers? Looking like a very bad idea indeed.
nw kw 20:18 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
jp- cad yak does not include small fish for negative rates if applied,
do you no if eur negative rates are for us small fries?
Hillegom Purk 20:18 GMT January 25, 2016
eur/cad ranges
Reply
Hmm, 15296 not taken out... so we are looking for long again. Have to pass 15623-15870 and than 160+200+200 and maybe the jackpot 15200+2500 = 17700...
On the other side is 16400 - 2500 = 13900...
Have a good hunt...
Mtl JP 18:38 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Draghi's yak does not include more asset purchases / more negative rates
GVI Forex john bland 18:19 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Draghi:
-- Structural reforms, fiscal policies and lowering debt burden needed.
-- Core inflation tends to lead headline inflation.
GVI Forex john bland 18:16 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Draghi comments on the wires:
-- so far I have seen nothing new on policy, but EURUSD is trading lower.
GVI Forex 18:08 GMT January 25, 2016
Monday's Trading Thread
Mario Draghi: Monetary policy and structural reforms in the euro area
Speech by Mario Draghi, President of the ECB, Prometeia40, Bologna, 14 December 2015
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:50 GMT January 25, 2016
Lurker
tks Sanibel, appreciated
Sanibel Island 17:46 GMT January 25, 2016
Lurker
Reply
Have been lurking.. since for a long time..watch every day..but only
trade Euro/Usd...I know I missed a few but that many...
thanks to J and J for sending stuff out
It IS appreciated..and used..
London FBT 17:36 GMT January 25, 2016
Monday's Trading Thread
Long time lurker. The hard thing about trading today is if you get it wrong you won't get a chance to recover. On the other side the market has limits today and that includes equities and oil
dc CB 16:45 GMT January 25, 2016
Monday's Trading Thread
The Town�n Country grocery in Oriental, North Carolina, a local fixture for 44 years, closed its doors in October after a Wal-Mart store opened for business. Now, three months later -- and less than two years after Wal-Mart arrived -- the retail giant is pulling up stakes, leaving the community with no grocery store and no pharmacy.
Though mom-and-pop stores have steadily disappeared across the American landscape over the past three decades as the mega chain methodically expanded, there was at least always a Wal-Mart left behind to replace them. Now the Wal-Marts are disappearing, too.
�I was devastated when I found out. We had a pharmacy and a perfectly satisfactory grocery store. Maybe Wal-Mart sold apples for a nickel less,� said Barb Venturi, mayor pro tem for Oriental, with a population of about 900. �If you take into account what no longer having a grocery store does to property values here
Wal-Mart: It Came, It Conquered, Now It's Packing Up and Leaving
NY JM 16:21 GMT January 25, 2016
Monday's Trading Thread
EUR and JPY and the USD are sideshows today as focus is on oil and equities and impact on commodity currencies and GBP.
EURUSD 1.0800-50 is sort of a no man's land.
USDJPY finding some support while above 118 on risk of a BoJ ease but an inside day so just looking at 118l50 to set its tone while within 108-109
Typical Monday trading.
dc CB 16:10 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Johnson Controls Inc., already exiting the auto-industry�s supply chain after decades as a key player, is now seeking to shed its U.S. corporate citizenship in a multibillion-dollar tie-up with Tyco International Plc.
The deal, announced early Monday, marks the latest attempt by a historic U.S. company to reduce its tax bill through a so-called inversion, a maneuver that allows U.S. corporations to acquire foreign-domiciled companies and shift their headquarters to reduce their tax rates.
Johnson Controls Merges With Tyco in Maneuver That Lowers Taxes
dc CB 15:49 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Did they mistakenly run the measurement thru the BLS Seasonal Adjustment Algos...LOL
________________________________________________
It�s not that 17.8 inches of snow wasn�t enough.
But the number that will go down in the history books as Washington�s official total � recorded at Reagan National Airport � is downright paltry compared with some other spots in the region, raising the question: Why the disparity?
The reason, it turns out, may be partly due to the improvised technique used by a small team of weather observers at the airport who lost their snow-measuring device to the elements midway through the blizzard. It was buried by the very snow it was supposed to measure.
Lower-than-expected D.C. snowfall total raises questions about its measurement
GVI Forex john bland 15:31 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
yet another weak mfg index.
GVI Forex john bland 15:31 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Dallas Fed Mfg index -34.6 vs. -14 exp
--TTN
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:27 GMT January 25, 2016
My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week Ahead
Slow motion trading to start the week and for those who missed it, I suggest watching my video forecast as EURUSD has tested the resistance zone but is still below 1.0850.
Open Access
What a start to the year with the third week ending with some sighs of relief with oil and equities recovering and the fx market following as extreme risk off positions got unwound. This sets the stage for a week where the focus will be on 3 central bank meetings, the RBNZ, FOMC and BoJ as markets look for reasons to extend current retracements. Each central bank meeting has potential to move markets although the key focus will be on the FOMC to see if the Fed blinks on its 3-4 rate hikes this year with markets pricing in 1-2. This suggests some caution on the dollar upside ahead of it but as i show, EURUSD is not a beneficiary after Draghi put a March easing on the table,
My Forex Trading Forecast for the Week Ahead
GVI Forex john bland 15:07 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
I wonder if the BOJ headline below is a signal that policy will NOT be eased after all? BOJ works more than most other central banks on a consensus basis.
GVI Forex john bland 15:04 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
SOME BOJ officials saying additional stimulus this week is a "close call"
- TTN
GVI Forex 15:03 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
USDJPY up on this:
10:02 (JP) Some Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials are said to view whether to add stimulus this week as a close call - press
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Forex john bland 15:00 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Fed to meet as planned on January 26-27. Snow not an issue.
Amman wfakhoury 14:40 GMT January 25, 2016
EURUSD move big
EURUSD 10865 confirmed .
10830 return level.
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
GVI Forex john bland 13:12 GMT January 25, 2016
Monday's Trading Thread
We are looking for some sort of definitive direction today from equity and oil markets. The mid-Atlantic region of the U.S. is still digging out from a heavier than expected snow in some locations. Washington D.C. is still closed, but NYC will be quick to return to normal. No major U.S. data are due today.
GVI Forex john bland 12:45 GMT January 25, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS
Reply
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
26-Jan Tuesday
14:45 US- flash service PMI
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
27-Jan Wednesday
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:30 US- Crude
19:00 US- Fed Decision
20:00 NZ- RBNZ Rate Decision
23:30 AU- CPI q/q
28-Jan Thursday
13:30 US- Jobless Claims
13:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
23:30 JP- CPI
29-Jan Friday
03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
GVI Forex john bland 11:31 GMT January 25, 2016
Monday's Trading Thread
Reply
DAX +8
Futures
DJ -41
DJ -4
10-yr
US 2.030% -2.5bp
DE 0.400% -1.4bp
UK 1.666% -1.1bp
wti $31.12 -1.06 LOD $30.88
EUR up on its crosses, steady vs JPY
Amman wfakhoury 11:23 GMT January 25, 2016
EURUSD move big
No direction yet >>last confirmed level was 10826 already reached
Zurich EG 11:21 GMT January 25, 2016
Correlations
European stock markets fell on Monday as oil prices reversed earlier gains to tumble 4 percent, while weak business sentiment numbers from Germany highlighted growing concerns about the outlook (reuters)
LDN mac 10:39 GMT January 25, 2016
EURUSD move big
Amman 100 pips which way, svp?
Amman wfakhoury 10:33 GMT January 25, 2016
EURUSD move big
Reply
EURUSD ready to move big 100 pips ...then into zic zac pattern
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
GVI Forex john bland 09:27 GMT January 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
German IFO misses.
UK JY 08:52 GMT January 25, 2016
Correlations
These markets need to go into rehab to break the habit or it is more of
Crude - stocks - forex
nw kw 02:08 GMT January 25, 2016
Correlations
usa east had,s snowed to point market can trade off it im in hov5. might help wti than if nasdag, if market sees this week in earnings if kill the shorts?
Hong Kong 01:40 GMT January 25, 2016
AceTrader Jan 25: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Reply
25 Jan 2016 00:10GMT
USD/JPY - ..... Dlr rallied in the 2nd part of last week on active short-covering. Reuters reported earlier speculators reduced bullish bets on the U.S. dollar for a fourth straight week, as net longs fell to their lowest level since late October, according to Reuters calculations and data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.
The value of the dollar's net long position slid to $25.03 billion in the week ended Jan. 19, from $25.29 billion in the previous week. This was the third straight week that net dollar longs came in below $30 billion.
The volatility in financial markets driven by the downtrend in oil has diminished the allure of the dollar against both the euro and yen, which have lower interest rates than the U.S. currency.
This week, Japanese yen net longs totaled 37,653 contracts, from 25,266 previously. This week's yen net longs were the largest since mid-February 2012.
These days, the safe haven yen and low-yielding euro tend to struggle in times of increased risk appetite because these currencies are often used to fund investment in risky assets. They consequently rise back up when there is a retreat from those assets in periods of market stress.
Japan's exports fell 8.0 percent in December from a year earlier, down for the third straight month, Ministry of Finance data showed on Monday, in a sign the slowdown in China's economy and emerging markets is taking a toll on external demand.
The decline compares with economists' median estimate for a 6.8 percent drop in a Reuters poll. It followed a 3.3 percent decrease in November.
Imports fell 18.0 percent in December, versus the median forecast for a 16.4 percent decline, bringing the trade balance to a surplus of 140.2 billion yen ($1.18 billion). Economists expected a surplus of 100.0 billion yen.
nw kw 01:12 GMT January 25, 2016
Correlations
Brent up is it soft eur, but aud on move.. gl
last time Brent went up it dropped with wti.
NY JM 00:16 GMT January 25, 2016
Correlations
Reply
Week starting out with the focus on equity correlations. Markets can't shake the habit.
