dc CB 23:57 GMT January 27, 2016
Fun with Numbers
Reply
forget Trump. Zuckerberg for Emperor of The North...he's a shoo in...EH! what a'boot that you hosers.
FB reports
Livingston nh 23:34 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Thursday
The EM market may take Fed "stay the course" a bit more seriously -- and China??
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:29 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Thursday
Reply
EURUSD: 1.0901
Hard to switch hats from bear to bull so let's say I am neutral but not ignoring the technicals.
If one hour and four up trendlines hold, then risk is on 1.09+ and 1.0920 initially. If firmly broken, then a void until 1.0975-82.
With that said, trading both sides of 1.09 worked repeatedly post-FOMC. .
I think the key day is Friday when it is month end and a weak US 4Q GDP is due.
Mtl JP 21:52 GMT January 27, 2016
Australia Aims to Crash the Property Market
ib it is better to ask what will happen and
how to position for profiting from it
note that this is a trade idea forum rather than a meddling policy forum
a lets try to get RICH off policymakers type of forum
-
ps / re short term funding. Nothing over 3 years
folks will sign an 84month - 100yr or 1000yr deal if the payments are low enough to allow them get their fingers on a thing they want
it is just a matter of easy enough payments to get a deal done between two willing n able parties
Paris ib 21:37 GMT January 27, 2016
Australia Aims to Crash the Property Market
So let 'em print AUD... and then what? Massive devaluation?
Hasn't happened so far in Australia. Still one of the higher interest rate regimes in the OECD. Massive foreign debt, massive ongoing reliance on foreign capital. Local banks rely on offshore funding for 40 percent of their book. And it's all short term funding. Nothing over 3 years.
Paris ib 21:22 GMT January 27, 2016
Australia Aims to Crash the Property Market
With mining and agriculture in the hole and all the economic growth since the GFC tied up in debt funded residential property investment a slow down in property will be a pretty significant downer for the Australian economy. Debt to income ratios? Off the charts.
Debt when prices fall becomes a gigantic burden.
How to Crash and Economy
Mtl JP 21:02 GMT January 27, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: FOMC Poet-Mortem
ratified shmatified
Janet and gang outright scared the bejeezooss out of players
- Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term
- economic growth slowed
boooo !!
Livingston nh 20:45 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
JP - my own fault, jumped the gun on the first drop - yesterday's gap open filled and came pretty close to the big 1970 gap
Mtl JP 20:42 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
nh I blame language skills
it is up to the FEDs to deliver clarity understood by most
Livingston nh 20:39 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Apparently most stox folks thot the Fed would be a bit more helpful -- guess they aren't ready to give up the training wheels - my confidence (and position) was misplaced
Mtl JP 20:28 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
will there be PPT ramp-up into stoks close ?
save the Fed from embarassment and euro from 1.09+ close
GVI Forex john bland 20:18 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Stocks falling on worries about the economy after the Fed falls back a step.
Lower stocks mean higher EURUSD as the negative correlation trade kicks back in.
WTI hanging in there
10-yr just above 2.00% 2.003% -0.9bp
dc CB 20:18 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
PropOganda not workiing so good.
______________________________________________________
It�s necessary to start with these caveats because people have a tendency to react strongly, almost apoplectically, to any suggestion of weakness on Apple�s part. Like pickles, cilantro and Ted Cruz, Apple inspires extreme opinion. The doubters are now ascendant.
No Need to Fret, Apple Is Doing Fine
dc CB 20:06 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
I made some changes to my computer sytem and seems I can't upload into the Chart window....one more try
5Y at the Cash close...not eggsActly confident
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 20:06 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
What would it take to go for 1.10?
EURUSD would need an hourly close above 1.0960-62 (red line) to setup a run at 1.10
GVI Forex john bland 20:01 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Commentary by RBNZ dovish.
Hillegom Purk 19:47 GMT January 27, 2016
oily boily ranges (Brent crude oil)
Reply
Oily looks strechy to me now. Not too much now or we are back to 27 in no time....
Back already, too much rain in Clogland right now, no soccer for me :(
Livingston nh 19:47 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
cb - Homer for Prez - stox still have advantage to up volume - reinforcements needed into the close
PAR 19:45 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Yellen wants to work forma Soros ?
dc CB 19:42 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
nh
that's the scarey part...add that to the MSM totally ignoring it...makes one very wary of looking in the closet...because cud that there really is a big monster inside.
single D'OH
GVI Forex Blog 19:42 GMT January 27, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: FOMC Poet-Mortem
Reply
As expected, the Fed held policy steady today. In its statement, it said "The Committee is closely monitoring global economic and financial developments and is assessing their implications for the labor market and inflation, and for the balance of risks to the outlook"
EXCLUSIVE: FOMC Poet-Mortem
london red 19:33 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
may move after top of hour, if so that move can be trusted until then option related envelope engulfs trade.
Livingston nh 19:23 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
NOT even a NOD to market ruckus over the past 3 weeks -- well played
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:22 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Outside of EURUSD 1,08-1.09 remains tough so only a close above it would change that view.
london red 19:21 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
euro. needs to see under 80 to seek lower. under 50/52 they put the hammer down as thats where downside stops sit.
GVI Forex john bland 19:07 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
For release at 2:00 p.m. EST
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that labor market conditions improved further even as economic growth slowed late last year. Household spending and business fixed investment have been increasing at moderate rates in recent months, and the housing sector has improved further; however, net exports have been soft and inventory investment slowed. A range of recent labor market indicators, including strong job gains , points to some additional decline in underutilization of labor resources. Inflation has continued to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation declined further; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee currently expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market indicators will continue to strengthen. Inflation is expected to remain low in the near term, in part because of the further declines in energy prices, but to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. The Committee is closely monitoring global economic and financial developments and is assessing their implications for the labor market and inflation, and for the balance of risks to the outlook.
Given the economic outlook, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.
In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.
The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Esther L. George; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo.
GVI Forex john bland 19:03 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Release Date: January 27, 2016
For release at 2:00 p.m. EST
As part of its annual organizational meeting actions, the Federal Open Market Committee reaffirmed its "Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy," with a revision to clarify that it views its inflation objective as symmetric, and with an updated reference to participants' estimates of the longer-run normal unemployment rate in the most recent Summary of Economic Projections (December 2015).
In October 2014, in preparation for the annual reaffirmation, the Committee discussed the potential benefits of amending the statement to clarify that its inflation objective is symmetric. As indicated in the minutes of that meeting, there was general agreement on the symmetry of the objective. Following further Committee discussion regarding the most appropriate way to express this clarification, the statement has been amended to indicate that the "Committee would be concerned if inflation were running persistently above or below" its 2 percent objective. All but one participant supported the amended statement.
The Committee first adopted the statement at its January 2012 meeting and has reaffirmed it, with appropriate revisions, at its annual organizational meetings each January.
Voting for the statement were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; Stanley Fischer; Esther L. George; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo. Voting against was James Bullard, who agreed the Committee's inflation goal is symmetric, but believed the amended language is not sufficiently focused on expected future deviations of inflation from the goal.
GVI Forex john bland 19:02 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Fed bias turns dovish from balanced.
Hillegom Purk 18:49 GMT January 27, 2016
usd/cad shorts
For starters is not people who start, but like the first thingy at dinger....
Hillegom Purk 18:47 GMT January 27, 2016
usd/cad shorts
Reply
The coming week, for starters can be used to sell rallies, and close for pips. DAILY. Not easy to post the entries every time. But expect to do about 10-12 trades a day. Best time to act is AFTER the hurd acted :))))
Israel Dil 18:46 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
purk
no matter the side, no matter it's brightness either color, just make sure you are profitable... good luck
PAR 18:45 GMT January 27, 2016
FOMC
Blame it on the snow.
Israel Dil 18:40 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.0875-1.0925 Target: 1.0720/1.0610 Stop: 1.0930+
entry
4/10
1/10
1/10
4/10
dc CB 18:19 GMT January 27, 2016
FOMC
DC only just opened for bizness today first time this week, and only 1/2 day.
These guy phoned it in....er Skyped it in...er Super Secret Encrypted channeled it in.
Mtl JP 18:08 GMT January 27, 2016
FOMC
the FED gang can not reverse itself so soon after it raised
it would become laughing stock as clueless
PAR 17:52 GMT January 27, 2016
OPRAH
Reply
Did she really lost weight or is it another VW like story ?
PAR 17:44 GMT January 27, 2016
Hollande doing a great job ?
Reply
DJ French Unemployed +0.4% In Dec To 3.59M
(MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires
January 27, 2016 12:00 ET (17:00 GMT)
DJ French Unemployed Number Returns to Record High
By William Horobin
PARIS--The number of registered job seekers in France rebounded in December to reach a record high, figures showed Wednesday.
The number of category A job seekers--defined as registered job seekers who are fully unemployed--rose 0.4% on the month and 2.6% on year to reach 3,590,600.
The fresh record high indicates the eurozone's second largest economy remains on a weak footing and adds pressure on President Francois Hollande to find a solution to the country's unemployment woes with little over a year to go to presidential elections.
The number of job seekers has risen almost uninterrupted since Mr. Hollande took office in 2012 and the unemployment rate--a separate measure from the monthly job seeker count--reached 10.6% in the third quarter of 2015, an 18-year high.
Earlier this month, Mr. Hollande pledged over 2 billion euros ($2.17 billion) in public money for an emergency jobs plan. The government will use the money to offer bonuses to small companies making new hires and double the number of places on training schemes in 2016.
"The context justifies the government's ambition with the jobs plan," labor minister Myriam El Khomri said in a statement reacting to the figures.
Mr. Hollande has already poured public money into a wide variety of initiatives to bring down unemployment. In 2012 he set up subsidized job programs for young people and in 2014 pledged EUR40 billion in tax cuts--mainly for business--to encourage hiring and investment.
The Socialist leader has said he would not run for reelection in 2017 if he fails to bring down unemployment.
Livingston nh 17:43 GMT January 27, 2016
FOMC
Reply
No sense trying to front run the FED - they're probably at lunch and so will I -- a TEST of Wills for the Fed this afternoon
Israel Dil 17:36 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
JP
did 2x half for 15 pips and full size running now with 152535 cost, just scalping... the only matters is the whole equity per a/c, the rest is noise
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:34 GMT January 27, 2016
BROKER RECOMMENDATION
Dil, the email I have on file bounced. Can you send me your current email,
Israel Dil 17:33 GMT January 27, 2016
BROKER RECOMMENDATION
Reply
Israeli bank, through Interactive Brokers platform.
look for: Jerusalem Bank... fairest available online trading platform currently.
Mtl JP 17:32 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Dil 17:18 / there is a weakness to posting a trade - the danger being of focusing on it
I have not seen much discussion about "netting" which takes away the single trade focus and worries only about a trading period's net-ted out result be it day/week/whatever and so it does not matter if a particular trade is + or - as long as at end of period the NET is a +
NETTING - look into it
PAR 17:29 GMT January 27, 2016
RBS
Reply
Dont sell everything , sell all your RBS shares .
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:24 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Dil, we are old friends so I take your comments constructively. Maybe one day as we have plans in the works but for now I prefer to moderate and add insights when needed. BUT just for you I may post a trade or tell you where I expect a currency to go so stay tuned. In the meantime, we will be steering the forum to be trade oriented.
Can you send me an email so I have your current address.
Livingston nh 17:19 GMT January 27, 2016
WTI
Reply
For the third time since the early Nov breakdown WTI is challenging the declining 21 dma slightly above 32 (top of utility price) - fail here puts $29 back in play over the next few days
Israel Dil 17:18 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Mr. Meisler, isn't it time for one GV and stop this nonsens of not here but well there?
post a trade with parameters as you just asked few hours ago, as long your money is elsewhere than your mouth than hypocrisy may fit best.
PAR 17:18 GMT January 27, 2016
YES WE CAN
Reply
The World�s Favorite New Tax Haven Is the United States
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-favorite-tax-haven-united-050104222.html
dc CB 17:17 GMT January 27, 2016
Trading Secrets Revealed
JP
DowJones is Murdock...pretty good for such a old guy to bag Mick Jagger's ex Wife. Rupert the NEWZ GOD...
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:12 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
H1 Dil, I post as always on the GVI Forex side where anyone can get access to my trades and views. By the way we appreciate you posting trades but it can be for anything to do with trading.
My role on the Forex Forum is to make sure everything goes smooth and to add insights when I can.
Israel Dil 17:03 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
JP - depends, not religious about the short term trades.
Jay Meisler - no one posts trades and funnier is the fact you post words and no trades. you know what hypocrisy is all about?!
london red 17:00 GMT January 27, 2016
Trading Secrets Revealed
euro daily atm straddle now 45 pips. quite low vols for fomc, so some arent expecting fireworks. thatll be initial sup/res.
Mtl JP 16:58 GMT January 27, 2016
Trading Secrets Revealed
of course
MarketWatch is published by Dow Jones & Co.
gets beaten to the punch by zerohedge more oft than not
dc CB 16:53 GMT January 27, 2016
Trading Secrets Revealed
Anybody with a brain between their ears knew that the day of his arrest. someone did a study...MarketWatch Prestitues fill space/time writing about it. Where is Jon Corzine...that would be NewZ I Cud UZE....LOL
Crude's Tues Stops taken out.
FMOC 2PM Jan 2016....Stop Run of the Century....All ALGOS set on Super-Duper WIDE RANGE...watch in horror as your platform Freezes..
BOHCIA
Mtl JP 16:35 GMT January 27, 2016
Trading Secrets Revealed
Reply
instability comes when liquidity thins
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/navinder-sarao-didnt-cause-the-flash-crash-study-finds-2016-01-27?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
HK RF@ 16:33 GMT January 27, 2016
EURUSD 1.0920 confirmed
Or say it that way:"The patient has successfully reached the hospital, but declared dead on arrival" :(
Belgrade Knez 16:27 GMT January 27, 2016
EURUSD 1.0920 confirmed
As soon as Amman call his trade it's good to take opposite position immediately and you make nice profit.
dc CB 15:49 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
stox, bonds, Yen are trading in lock step today. looks like christmas on a 15 min chart array, all those identicaly big red and green candles.... The FMOC shud create some really big red/green "railroad" tracks this afternoon. Keeping with the algo/trains idea.
london red 15:44 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
only thing that matters is zerosum. pat yourself on the back when you get it right and tell yourself the tech and fundies helped but at end of the day its either you or the other guy, there are no other feeding troughs.
dc CB 15:40 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
U.S. CRUDE INVENTORIES RISE TO 494.9M BBL, HIGHEST SINCE 1930
and crude rallies....going after Tues high to take out the stops. 'cause it's soooooooo Fundamental.
Livingston nh 15:27 GMT January 27, 2016
E/$
Jp - chart still on gold forum
Mtl JP 15:24 GMT January 27, 2016
E/$
http://www.global-view.com/forex-trading-tools/cota.html
Mtl JP 15:22 GMT January 27, 2016
E/$
was not yen a net long vs the usd at last COT ?
HK RF@ 15:12 GMT January 27, 2016
E/$
Probably it is a hedge against stox crash; Actually an isolated hedge, in case of a crash, as cot report shows that JPY, is not a favorite short anymore, and gold hmmm, a bit a risky manipulation pulled by CB's, so I suspect.
GVI Forex john bland 15:02 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Lots of noise in the data. New mortgage rules and warm weather.
Israel Dil 15:00 GMT January 27, 2016
EURUSD 1.0920 confirmed
is it only on my screen or by everybody, it says REBLY on the REPLY button in all posts from the only one who knows.
REPLY, REPLY, or finally it's LEPLY?
Mtl JP 15:00 GMT January 27, 2016
E/$
think owning euro is a hedge against potential us stox crash ?
HK RF@ 14:57 GMT January 27, 2016
E/$
Reply
The daily charts I posted today, show that though Euro was some time on a decline, it has been building a strong support on a trend line for the last 11 months.
It is really to be questioned if Euro will even reach parity with the USD.
Longer term, a challenge of the 200 Monthly-SMA, is reasonable.
So the way Euro behaves, likely bankers are accumulating it for longer term, rather than shares or even on the expense of other instruments.
Livingston nh 14:53 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
John - Oct statement may be the template - nothing expected then, nothing expected now
HK RF@ 14:49 GMT January 27, 2016
dlrcad
hk ab 14:38
No; The same that I still keep my view for 18$/pbl for oil.
But this takes time.
Amman wfakhoury 14:49 GMT January 27, 2016
EURUSD 1.0920 confirmed
Reply
10920 confirmed , 10885 return.
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
GVI Forex john bland 14:42 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
The crowded trade today is a dovish Fed. That does not mean it will not work, but you may have to be quick on your feet.
hk ab 14:38 GMT January 27, 2016
dlrcad
Reply
RF, have you given up your view on 1.6 yet?
Hillegom Purk 14:36 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Hillegom Purk 13:06 GMT 01/27/2016 - My Profile
Short e/u 10890, in between.
-----------------------------------
Between trade closed at 10880.
Livingston nh 14:24 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
Europe stox down modestly but showing some improvement into US open - so Fade the OPEN here // treasurys getting pushed around, maybe not expecting help from Fed or setting up for the auction
The oil effect may have run its course so the first reaction to stats may be wrong (not oil price but price of "correlated" stuff)
Mtl JP 14:02 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
red what do you calculate a potential euro rally to be on a perception of "less hawkish than December" (ie a moderation in perception of FED-ECB divergence ?
GVI Forex john bland 14:02 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
Don't forget EIA Crude @ 15:30 GMT. Traders will be looking for the large API build reported last night to be confirmed. Large inventory build ==> lower prices. New Homes Sales @15:00 GMT.
Israel Dil 13:55 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
perfect setup to get sub 1.07 imo
who imagined CNY gets 10% down vs. USD, only soros?
london red 13:51 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
yes but billions in options from 108 down mean downside is well hedged and so nobody to sell down there. so can go either way. pressure will always be on euro however since ecb v likely to act next month and mkt will as always front run before the juice arrives. so euro will be for selling rallies until fomc swings from a rising bias to a neutral or cutting bias.
GVI Forex john bland 13:45 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
Clearly EURUSD traders have already gotten set up for a dovish Fed statement.
You can make the case that higher Oil and equity prices reflect the same thing. ==>> higher growth on Fed ease
Of course this means the S&P to EURUSD correlation is illogical, but you have to go with what works!
Hillegom Purk 13:44 GMT January 27, 2016
Purks trading thread 27-1-2016
Have to keep trading so 10910 is out at 10900. Will add above and scale out. The others stay put
london red 13:44 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
daily straddle 60 pips in euro, not a great deal historically. end of next week 140 pips but covers nfp.
Israel Dil 13:40 GMT January 27, 2016
Chinese statistics and data
Reply
head of Chinese state statistics jailed
in case someone used those statistics to invest his money, or the worst case of your pension fund did it for you....
london red 13:40 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
due to voting rotation the first fomc os this year gets a little more hawkish by default.
mkt is maybe looking for some dovish comfort from fomc, correct to expect this if looking back. however, mkt has 1 hike priced in this year while fed has 3-3. do they look through this month and wait til march before lower their expectations? thats the key here and what will drive dollar. mkt doesnt appear to believe it will rein in hikes as yet, given stops are being squeezed on topside of euro which suggests a pop higher for usd after fomc. for now a couple of fibs 13/14 holding the euro. watch hourly close to see if they can get a close abv it. if not then bull trap and a nice wick which they might run with as some bigger expiries today from 108-10850.
GVI Forex john bland 13:29 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
JP- You are hereby freed to do what you please. My comment was only a suggestion.
Mtl JP 13:24 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
john I am not thrilled to be in thrall to a minuscule group of "experts" and I entirely second your 11:29 suggestion
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:23 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Look at EUR crosses, specifically EURCHF at the highest level since the SNB flash crash (1.1076 high) and others (EURGBP, EURJPY) for why EURUSD is in demand.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:02 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
As I posted last night:
We are getting back to our original motto, We Produce Trading Ideas so would like to see more discussion of trades in any form you wish --
trade calls
trade scenarios
trade set-ups
trade scenarios
questions on trading
anything to do with trading
Hillegom Purk 12:59 GMT January 27, 2016
Purks trading thread 27-1-2016
Well you sound mild Dil, eaten well?
I do not give a t. about stories, pips is what i am after. Parity, 1,40 it is all good.
Israel Dil 12:51 GMT January 27, 2016
Purks trading thread 27-1-2016
no one will get parity if not being short
no one will get a pop profit or loss without having a trade
so, we will trade below parity and also above 1.4... the whole point us how many pips of loss or gain will be in your account
Hillegom Purk 12:33 GMT January 27, 2016
Purks trading thread 27-1-2016
It is not a contest with the lady SJA. She says what she thinks, and I want i say. I have no knowledge of where prices go. I just trade.
Hillegom Purk 12:32 GMT January 27, 2016
usd/cad shorts
Reply
Hillegom Purk 20:00 GMT January 13, 2016
loonie shorts: Reply
Adding one for the collection: 14360.
----------------------------------------
Closing 1/2 at 14122. Rest is at 14300.
-----------------------------------------
Closing another 1/4 at 14058. Rest is at 1,42 and counting...
Hillegom Purk 12:31 GMT January 27, 2016
loonie shorts
That is what i said.
Mtl JP 12:28 GMT January 27, 2016
loonie shorts
loonie short and short usdcad is NOT the same thing
Hillegom Purk 12:28 GMT January 27, 2016
eur/cad ranges
Reply
Right, here the (correct) facts for today.
High: 15389
Low : 15292. So roughly a 100. Yesterdays range 330ish...
Yesterdays high : 15570ish. Low 15223...
Take your pick between 15050 and 15650....
Hillegom Purk 11:51 GMT January 27, 2016
loonie shorts
As JP said , i had to say short usd/cad...
Hillegom Purk 11:49 GMT January 27, 2016
loonie shorts
Hillegom Purk 20:00 GMT January 13, 2016
loonie shorts: Reply
Adding one for the collection: 14360.
----------------------------------------
Closing 1/2 at 14122. Rest is at 14300.
Have some more positions, but basicly this was/is a good trade. Trade the end of ranges in a day not easy. Long term: nice... if you have enough clean underware...
Hillegom Purk 11:45 GMT January 27, 2016
Purks trading thread 27-1-2016
Reply
SHORT E/U at 10872/10902/10910. Will also add and scale but this is the bottom line.
Hold a few for parity.
Knowledge: ZERO
GVI Forex john bland 11:29 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
JP- That's the problem. I imagine the algos are likely to react immediately to the announcement of no policy change, but in any case the markets will be reacting to more than the headline in a matter of moments. If you are watching on TV, pay attention to what the people in the press say, because they will have had about 15 mins to read it in advance. But be careful because some, like Steve Liesman on CNBC, tend to have a pro-Fed, Pro-Obama bias. Act in haste and regret in leisure.
Mtl JP 11:19 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
depend on the nuances = time to become interpreting linguists of FED pettifoggers drivel , artists of lex --- how does the FED gang want the market to react in aggregate
GVI Forex john bland 11:03 GMT January 27, 2016
WEDNESDAY TRADE SET-UP
Reply
Equities/Bonds EURUSD positive?
DAX -49
DJ -73
SP -12
10-yr Mixed US testing 2.00% again
US 2.004% -0.8bp
DE 0.432% +2.9bp
UK 1.673% +0.8bp
WTI $30.38 -1.05 LOD $30.14
delayed reaction to large build in API crude late Tuesday lower crude stock negative and usually EURUSD positive. USDJPY and EURUSD are mixed.
As for Fed see our preview on the G-V Blog
I have mixed feelings about this afternoon. I don't think the Fed will indicate that the December rate hike was a mistake, nor do I think they will turn clearly dovish. I think they will reiterate that future policy decisions will be data dependent. Perhaps they will acknowledge the weakness in the manufacturing sector. I have been saying for a couple of months that it is in a recession.
In other words we could see a mixed statement suggesting that jobs growth remains strong. Many doubt this and there are some mixed economic indications. I think they will provide no forward guidance about the March meeting and leave that decision open.
This outcome usually results in some wide price swings after the announcement. I also expect this today. Stocks should like a dovish Fed bias and dislike a hawkish bias. Those outcomes would be EURUSD bearish and bullish, respectively. My prediction is that we are in an unusual situation where the markets will be deciding if the Fed is dovish or hawkish could depend on the nuances of the policy statement.
Hillegom Purk 10:17 GMT January 27, 2016
Correction eur-cad range
Hillegom Purk 13:57 GMT January 26, 2016
Correction eur-cad range: Reply
It is now 15330/15569 and not 15693... well so far for my calculation, 130 miss in it and wrong entries arrive. That�s life....
So range now 240. Normal range 300 so have to suffer.
______________________________
Recovered from thus f.u. now. Back to normal trading. Thanks market....
nw kw 09:40 GMT January 27, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
gbp/cad going to drop so gbp/usd can drop yet eur/gbp up side , and aud at pivot
fast take
GVI Forex john bland 09:24 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
4Q15 Australia CPI
EARLIER
QQ: +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
YY: +1.70% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.
Timmed Mean:
YY: +2.10% vs. +2.20% exp. vs. +2.30% prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
nw kw 08:44 GMT January 27, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
Forex john tks for oil to gbp, I added gbp/cad for its big hub for china's banks. if usa/gbp gives cad direction and oil help.
HK Kwun 07:55 GMT January 27, 2016
still bullish
Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1117 Target: Stop: 1107
buy on dip
Hong Kong 02:56 GMT January 27, 2016
AceTrader Jan 27: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Reply
27 Jan 2016 02:12GMT
USD/JPY - ...... Despite yesterday's impressive cross-inspired rally from 117.66 at European open to as high as 118.62 due to strong gain in the crude oil price which in turn triggered broad-based rise in European stocks n the Dow, dlr pared said intra-day gain n retreated in Asia on Wed as benchmark Brent crude oil price gave up half of yesterday's gain, current renewed weakness in the Shanghai composite (down 2%) has triggered another wave of yen-buying on risk aversion.
Dlr's intra-day retreat from 118.62 suggests further choppy trading below last week's 118.88 high would continue n investors' risk sentiment is pretty fragile and would react to decline in oil n stock prices, making trading tricky to say the least.
Offers are tipped at 118.50/60 and more above with stops reported above 119.00.
Some bids are noted at 118.10-00 with stops below 118.00.
Although market's focus remains on stocks n oil price, pay attention to FOMC's rate decision later today but market has largely discount any rate move by the Fed due to recent market turmoil n market anticipates the nearest rate move will not come until March 15-16 meeting whether Fed Chair Janet Yellen will hold a press conference after the announcement.
HK Kwun 02:04 GMT January 27, 2016
1113 is support now
Buy Gold
Entry: 1113.5 Target: Stop: 1103
TP at 1120, well done
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:37 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
AUD working out nicely according to my system as logic prevails as .7020 just traded
JP and others, we are getting back to our original motto, We Produce Trading Ideas so would like to see more discussion of trades in any form you wish --
trade calls
trade scenarios
trade set-ups
trade scenarios
questions on trading
anything to do with trading
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:15 GMT January 27, 2016
Post Your Trades for Wednesday
Reply
As posted on GVI Forex:
AUD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:55 GMT 01/27/2016 - My Profile
... but needs to get back below ,7030 to confirm a top
Reply
AUD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:53 GMT 01/27/2016 - My Profile
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: .7040 Target: ,7000-20 Stop:
I never trade AUD but a 50 pip pop on this seems overdone.
I can only tell you where I think a currency is headed and not what to trade
GVI Forex 00:50 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
19:30 *(AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CONSUMER PRICES (CPI) Q/Q: 0.4% V 0.3%E; Y/Y: 1.7% (1-year high) V 1.6%E; TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E ; Y/Y: 2.1% V 2.1%E - no revisions
- The most significant price rises this quarter are tobacco (+7.4%), domestic holiday travel and accommodation (+5.9%) and international holiday travel and accommodation (+2.4%).
- The most significant offsetting price falls this quarter are automotive fuel (-5.7%), telecommunication equipment and services (-2.4%) and fruit (-2.6%).
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Livingston nh 00:20 GMT January 27, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
And now we see the Reaction - stox and oil
Livingston nh 00:03 GMT January 27, 2016
Will The FOMC Disappoint On Wednesday?
JP - put Trump's jeremiad in political context w/ Fed negative rates in an election year-- fact is interest rates can't stop deflation (even negative ones) and the political consequences for the Fed after the BAILOUTs would be fodder for both parties
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