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Forex Forum Archive for 10/01/2016

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GVI Trading john bland 22:19 GMT October 1, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Amazing Trader "Stop-Watch"


COT data show the markets heavily short the GBP...

dc CB 22:15 GMT October 1, 2016
Internet Control Transfered Oct 1 The 1st Amendment Dies

Today's the day

His Legacy

GVI Trading john bland 21:16 GMT October 1, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Speculators continue to run significant net short positions in EURUSD..

GVI Trading john bland 20:59 GMT October 1, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

FWIW I traded currency futures for a large financial institution for about a decade. All my positions were "reportable" as a "commercial". My futures positions were usually against the trend because most currency "commercials" are liquidity providers. Their futures positions are hedged by cash market positions on the other side.

My point is the reportable positions of currency futures "commercials" are usually not representative of their net positions or the bias of speculators. "True" commercials do not trade currency futures. They trade in the bank market.

dc CB 20:08 GMT October 1, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Commercials went from short to long


GVI Trading john bland 20:02 GMT October 1, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Note in last week's COT report that data showed a significant swing from long to net short CAD positions. This size of a swing is unusual.

GVI Forex Trading 18:01 GMT October 1, 2016
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dc CB 17:41 GMT October 1, 2016
US Elections

the pattern is solid, as shown in this chart by Sam Stovall, equity strategist for S&P Global Market Intelligence. Should the S&P 500 record a positive return from July 31 to October 31, it signals the reelection of the party in power, while a decline suggests replacement. The S&P ended September slightly below its July close, so the election results are at the mercy of the market's October performance.

This Chart Predicts Trump Will Win, Unless the S&P Rallies in October

dc CB 17:17 GMT October 1, 2016
US Elections

PRINCETON, N.J. -- A majority of Americans, 57%, continue to say that a third major U.S. political party is needed, while 37% disagree, saying the two parties are doing an adequate job of representing the American people.

These results are based on Gallup's annual Governance poll. The poll was conducted Sept. 7-11,

Americans' Desire for Third Party Persists This Election Year

dc CB 17:02 GMT October 1, 2016
Deutsche Bank

GVI Trading john bland 15:00 GMT
Now they want them to go back to a single line of business

They have a Single Line of Business, it's called FRAUD.
Defrauding since 1999.

dc CB 16:51 GMT October 1, 2016
Somthing I've been saying for years:

The whole idea that the mousy Ms Yellen is calling the shots for the world�s most powerful financial institution is the most ridiculous thing I�ve ever heard. Does anyone actually believe that rubbish?

The Biggest Heist In Human History

GVI Trading 16:31 GMT October 1, 2016
Deutsche Bank Jumps on Report of $5.4 Billion DOJ Settlement --
"Deutsche Bank AG jumped the most in almost six months after a media report that the lender is nearing a $5.4 billion settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice, less than half the amount initially requested.

The shares closed at 11.57 euros, up 6.4 percent, the biggest gain since April. Agence France-Presse reported that the lender is nearing a settlement with the DOJ in a probe tied to residential mortgage-backed securities, citing an unidentified person familiar. Spokesmen for the Frankfurt-based lender and the DOJ declined to comment when contacted by Bloomberg News.

Deutsche Bank�s stock and debt have been under pressure after the DOJ earlier this month requested $14 billion to settle an investigation into residential mortgage-backed securities. In a memo to staff earlier on Friday, Chief Executive Officer John Cryan said he is taking DOJ settlements with other banks �as a benchmark,� echoing previous remarks that he expects U.S. authorities to scale back their initial request..."

Deutsche Bank Jumps on Report of $5.4 Billion DOJ Settlement --

GVI Trading john bland 15:00 GMT October 1, 2016
Deutsche Bank

Having been around money center banks for more decades than I would like to admit, eliminating "too big to fail" is a pipe dream there were regular bank failures that required government intervention when they were only a fraction of their current sizes. Banks diversified with the encouragement of the central banks (FED!) to prevent all these crises.

Now they want them to go back to a single line of business again making them vulnerable to a single business line failure. These jokers have no memory nor knowledge of recent history. Lawyers!

Plus ca change...

PAR 13:57 GMT October 1, 2016
Deutsche Bank
What the purpose of being in business or to raise capital if you are not profitable . Deutsche bank - the more business they do the more money they lose . Break up the whole thing . Not TBTF just too big to manage and too big for regulators who have just no idea of what 's going on .

GVI Trading 12:12 GMT October 1, 2016
Euro edges higher against dollar on reduced Deutsche Bank fears --
"The euro recovered from a nine-day low against the U.S. dollar on Friday on reduced concerns surrounding Deutsche Bank's health, while the greater calm over Germany's biggest lender pressured the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc.

Deutsche Bank's (DB.N) U.S.-listed shares were last up nearly 15 percent after touching record lows on Thursday. The immediate cause of the Deutsche crisis is a fine, disputed by the bank, of up to $14 billion by the U.S. Department of Justice over its sale of mortgage-backed securities.

An AFP news agency report that the bank was nearing a cut-price settlement of $5.4 billion helped the euro recover after the currency fell to a nine-day low of $1.1153 around the start of the U.S. trading session..."

Euro edges higher against dollar on reduced Deutsche Bank fears --

HK Kwun 03:16 GMT October 1, 2016
Today is risk on due to DB's settled

Sell Gold
Entry: 1322 Target: Stop: 1332

Money is harvest time

GVI Trading john bland 01:05 GMT October 1, 2016

China PMIs September 2016

NBS: 50.4 vs. 50.4 exp vs. 50.4 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

China NBS PMI remains at "50" boom or Bust line.


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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
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A 08:55 DE- Employment
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A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
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AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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