Bali Sja 23:59 GMT October 6, 2016
Cable
Watch gold oil ratio
dc CB 23:51 GMT October 6, 2016
Cable
SARCASM WARNING
It's Putin's fault
The Rooskies did it to help Trump
SARCASM WARNING
Bali Sja 23:38 GMT October 6, 2016
Cable
Huge loss for cable bulls so far. Many got trapped above 1.26. So it is all rushing to the exit now.
Bali Sja 23:32 GMT October 6, 2016
eurgbp
Still on target..
bali sja 06:55 GMT October 3, 2016
eurgbp: Reply
longer term to parity
Bali Sja 23:28 GMT October 6, 2016
Cable
If nfp beats where would cable be?
Bali Sja 23:25 GMT October 6, 2016
Cable
Jay, BOE fiasco hehehe. More funny stories to follow. More brokers got sued.
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 23:18 GMT October 6, 2016
Cable
Talking about illiquidity. I show a low at 1.1905
19:13 [GBP/USD] Briefly falls over 10 big figures below 1.18 (no news seen)
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Bali Sja 23:17 GMT October 6, 2016
Cable
Reply
Wow who needs nfp Lol!!! Out all my cable short now 1.20835. Where is 1.36 now? Stupid dreaded chart.
dc CB 22:05 GMT October 6, 2016
US Elections
“There is something more subtle going on about public expectations and exhaustion and a sense of corruption, elite abuse of power, and lack of control.”
“this is an unusual juncture but we keep looking at it through the same kinds of lenses. What if it’s all wrong because society, technology, opinion polling methods, and everything else don’t capture marginalized voters in the way they might once have?”
Citi Is Getting A "Brexity Feeling": Asks "What If We Are All Wrong About The Election"
GVI Trading john bland 21:38 GMT October 6, 2016
Friday Trading
EMAIL If you would like a join (free) our daily conference call at 11:00-11:30 GMT.
Odds of a rate hike by year-end 37% vs 69% late Wednesday
20-day avg 1.1209
Pivot 1.1165
GVI Trading john bland 20:40 GMT October 6, 2016
Friday Trading
cb- Thanks.
dc CB 20:21 GMT October 6, 2016
Friday Trading
10-Oct Mon
00:00 JP/CA/US Holiday
FYI in the US it's only a Bank Holiday. Stock markets are Open
Livingston nh 20:11 GMT October 6, 2016
Under the RADAR
Reply
Without all the Hype of Jackson Hole in a week dominated by PM May and the Pound on Monday with the NFP tomorrow the NY Fed has presented:
40th ANNUAL CENTRAL BANKING SEMINAR October 3-7, 2016 Provisional Program
POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF PERSISTENT LOW INFLATION AND RATES
Global inflation and interest rates have remained low for an extended period. In this unconventional environment, policymakers face new challenges and risks in pursuing economic growth and maintaining financial stability. Seminar participants will address and exchange perspectives on these current issues with an international cross-section of senior policy makers.
___________
Dudley and Fischer both make speeches that created no ripples, let alone waves -- this is the way it should be in markets
GVI Trading john bland 19:48 GMT October 6, 2016
Friday Trading
Reply
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
7-Oct Fri
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA/US- Employment
9-Oct Sun
21:00 US- Presidential Debate
10-Oct Mon
00:00 JP/CA/US Holiday
11-Oct Tue
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12-Oct Wed
18:00 US- Fed Minutes
13-Oct Thu
11:00 GB- BOE Decison
15:00 US- EIA Crude
14-Oct Fri
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich
Trading Themes--
- Markets are jockeying for position ahead of U.S. employment data Friday. Street estimates are for a gain of about 170K in the month after the +151K advance in August. Any reading of roughly around +150K or above should keep a December rate hike in the frame.
- Wednesday saw a big surprise in the U.S. ISM Service PMI, which saw a much stronger than expected headline number of 57.1 vs. 51.4 in August. Furthermore, the employment sub-component was strong (57.2 vs. 50.7). It can often (NOT always!) presage NFP. This item suggests we could see a strong NFP report Friday.
- ECB VP Constancio said a report earlier in the week that ECB is near tapering its QE is wrong. He said QE would continue until inflation is back on target. The initial report at the time struck me as being premature.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
PAR 19:36 GMT October 6, 2016
US Elections
Reply
American working class will put Trump in the White House.
wallstreet bankster 17:22 GMT October 6, 2016
Bali Sja
RF , must admit that your shorting GOLD forecast always being here on GVI , this bali sja must be falling from the tree with his remarks . Respect your stamina .
HK [email protected] 17:01 GMT October 6, 2016
Bali Sja
Reply
To remind you that I had quiet good estimations for the last few days where gold was going.
Why you never said for eample: Nice forecast.
I tell you why.
Because you are still screwed up with your gold position, or in a bad cut loss.
HK [email protected] 16:56 GMT October 6, 2016
Gold Max. fear moment expecting additional declines below 200Daily/SMA
Bali Sja 14:23 GMT
Do you want me to search the archive to remind you how you went mad when I placed an analyst estimation that GBP/USD is going to 1.22 by year end?
You like only to point to other's wrong estimations and ignore yours.
So sit down silent and shut up!
Keep on non stop reminding the same story about me over shows simply that you are crazy man.
Paris ib 16:24 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
I remain of the view that the first market to crack will be the bond market. After which I guess you get stocks and then chaos on currency markets... and someone at some point will have to jail all the Central Bankers of the world and their enablers. Whoever they may be. Gonna be fun. Not. gl gt
Paris ib 16:23 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
And we are all sitting here waiting for someone to pull the plug...
Paris ib 16:20 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
John we all know the history. It's just we prefer not to think about it.
GVI Trading john bland 16:12 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Makes me a bit nervous that the major central banks at some point are going to own everything! They will have bought it all with "printed paper" I think we have seen this story once before after WWI and that did not end well in Germany. But of course nobody knows any history any more!
Paris ib 16:04 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
How this all ends John is anyone's guess but seriously does anyone think this money madness can end well? Anywhere? I just don't see that happening. How the mess explodes is an open question but that's just the detail.
Paris ib 16:02 GMT October 6, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit
Looks like the Saudis aren't taking any chances. U.S. Treasury holdings down from 123 billion in January to 97 billion in July (latest data). It will be interesting to see what happened after that and after the recent vote in the U.S. Senate. :-)
Foreign Holders of U.S. Paper
GVI Trading john bland 16:01 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
There was never any chance the ECB was ready to taper. I believe they accept that QE and negative interest rates have been a boondoggle, but they don't like to admit that they were wrong.
Paris ib 15:56 GMT October 6, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?
Reply
Election chatter? I actually didn't look at the paper today. I can't bear to wade through that crap.
Paris ib 15:54 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Sure but the USD is gaining a bit against everything (except OIL). AUD down, USD/JPY up....
GVI Trading john bland 15:53 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
ECB's Constancio Report nearing consensus to taper QE incorrect.
Source: TTN
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 15:50 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
EURUSD down on this
11:47 (EU) ECB's Constancio (Portugal): earlier report ECB was near tapering consensus is not correct; QE to go until inflation is back on path to target - press
- no foundation to rumors surrounding future QE policy- council has not discussed anything on QE timetable
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Paris ib 15:45 GMT October 6, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit
I take it the view on the street is a bond dummy spit will be USD supportive because... well just because. Because a major sell off in a major financial market is just gonna suck in all this new foreign capital or something... foreign capital being attracted to markets which are taking a major hit. We're going with THAT narrative for the moment. You gotta laugh. Dislocation in debt markets - if that's what we get - will have a huge impact on the economy.
Paris ib 15:38 GMT October 6, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit
Reply
Is this the beginning of the big bond market dummy spit?
Treasuries don't look good. The potential for a bond market sell off is just huge at the moment. ALL of the good news is in.... are we there yet? Starting to look that way.
HK Kwun 14:55 GMT October 6, 2016
Trend is down
Sell Gold
Entry: 1266 Target: Stop: 1276
close all at 1252, where is stupid doggy ab
GVI Trading john bland 14:02 GMT October 6, 2016
Thursday Trade
US 10-yr 1.730% +2.1bp
GVI Trading john bland 13:58 GMT October 6, 2016
USD/JPY
Gaza - can you (or anyone) explain?
"by leaving only YEN sales as a form to offset global Yield sell off."
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 13:52 GMT October 6, 2016
USD/JPY
Gaza, check your email
Livingston nh 13:46 GMT October 6, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Treasurys and Gilts are getting hit - STOX trying to fill yesterday's opening gap -- USD/JPY rallies back above daily 89EMA for first time since January
Gaza Ibiza 13:44 GMT October 6, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply
BOJ has been grossly under-estimated. By pegging the 10 Y they have effectively forced the market into Turbo mode by leaving only YEN sales as a form to offset global Yield sell off.
UK JY 13:05 GMT October 6, 2016
Usd is king
I agree with Bali Sja, at least ahead of nfp
Livingston nh 12:59 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Decline
From the DoL report and keep in mind the increase in the size of the labor force since the years of the previous lows (% are even lower today)
Initial Claims -- The 4-week moving average was 253,500, a decrease of 2,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 256,000. This is the lowest level for this average since December 8, 1973 when it was 252,250.... 83 consecutive weeks of initial claims below 300,000, the longest streak since 1970.
Continuing claims --- This is the lowest level for this average since August 12, 2000 when it was 2,090,000
_____
Yellen is an Employment Wonk?? Really!!
Kl Fs 12:39 GMT October 6, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Deflationary world sends gold to below 1000 maybe
LONDON SFH 12:37 GMT October 6, 2016
Usd is king
There are different reasons for taking positions-prefer to pick levels for short term trades-was looking for a level to sell that wasnt seen-right now I am expecting a reversal in cable having missed the opportunity to short at 1.3000 level...
PAR 12:37 GMT October 6, 2016
Deutsche Bank
DB to cut 9000 jobs . Buy the stock . Draghi happy that his policies are working .
Bali Sja 12:33 GMT October 6, 2016
Usd is king
Reply
A lot of suicidal calls lately. Why not trade in the direction of the trend?
LONDON SFH 12:28 GMT October 6, 2016
Bye Bye Cable
Yeah-just bought cable at 12640....day trade
Dubai MA 12:25 GMT October 6, 2016
Bye Bye Cable
Reply
Is anyone trying to catch this falling knife?
PAR 12:24 GMT October 6, 2016
Deutsche Bank
Reply
DB starts thinking about reducing its long GBP positions ?
LONDON SFH 12:18 GMT October 6, 2016
Draghi
The citizens of Europe are so powerless to do anything....they have put up with the EU for nearly 50yrs and the most powerful nation in the EU is populated with people scared of conflicts rather than Che Gueveras
LONDON SFH 12:17 GMT October 6, 2016
Draghi
What about the stupidity of the European citizens? The citizens won't revolt cos they're just as stupid...
PAR 12:14 GMT October 6, 2016
Draghi
The ECB Casino has unlimited resources unless European citizens start a revolution against the ECB . Imho that is not so unrealistic giving the stupidity of the ECB policies and the negative impact on European citizens.
GVI Trading john bland 11:59 GMT October 6, 2016
Thursday Trade
DAX -17
DJ -29
SP -4
10-yr 1.699% -1.0bp
Barcelona 11:48 GMT October 6, 2016
Draghi
wooow,, ok, thanks for the data
Livingston nh 11:48 GMT October 6, 2016
Sterling weak, pinned down near 31-yr lows on
SFH - things run in cycles - Fed for instance is running an emergency policy long after it was appropriate - these folks at CBs are NOT bankers; remember they are ECONOMISTS
Draghi, Yellen, now Carney taking flak -- we'll see
LONDON SFH 11:46 GMT October 6, 2016
Draghi
Reply
FastFT: Draghi has backing to extend QE, ECB minutes reveal
PAR 11:42 GMT October 6, 2016
DEBT
Reply
GLOBAL DEBT = $ 152 trillion . Lets add some debt says the UK.
PAR 11:29 GMT October 6, 2016
DB...How vulnerable is Deutsche Bank to derivatives?
Basically Deutsche banks is gambling with ECB s money . So ECB can do nothing else than to support Deutsche Bank and provide it unlimited liquidity . So ECB is as much a gambler in the derivatives market as is Deutsche Bank . This cannot be the role of a central bank ?
If DB wants to gamble it should do it with its own capital .
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:01 GMT October 6, 2016
Amazing Trader Update
Reply
EMAIL If you would like to join (free) our daily conference call at 11:00-11:30 GMT.
How the dollar ends the week is more important than pre-NFP price action today. GBP looking soft although so far a higher low after a 2nd sub-1.27 test. As I noted, only 1.28+ would negate a risk to 1.2650 while only firmly below that level would put 1.25 on the radar.
EURUSD What caught my attention was the overnight pop back to 1.1210 and quick retreat to a new low for the day. Tells you something about liquidity but as I noted in our meeting yesterday, as long as below 1.1250, my bias was to the downside when trading in the 1.12s. 1.12 has now printed 8 of 9 days. What restrains this pair is repeated squeezes on shorts and no key stops until the low for the week at 1.1139.
Otherwise, dollar has a better bid and hard to see big bets being short into the jobs data.
Amazing Trader has the key levels laid out on your charts.
GVI Trading 10:46 GMT October 6, 2016
Sterling weak, pinned down near 31-yr lows on
Reply
" Sterling fell on Thursday, undermined by concerns of a "hard" exit by Britain from the European Union and Prime Minister Theresa May's comments on the impact of loose monetary policy which some saw as a thinly-veiled attack on the central bank.
May, in a speech to the party faithful on Wednesday, raised the issue of the side effects of ultra-low interest rates and money-printing.
Although her spokesman later played down suggestions that the speech signalled changes ahead in monetary policy, it led to speculation the government was against further cuts by the Bank of England, given the adverse impact on savings and pensions..."
Sterling weak, pinned down near 31-yr lows on "Hard Brexit" concern --Reuters.com
PAR 10:33 GMT October 6, 2016
DB...How vulnerable is Deutsche Bank to derivatives?
You should not gamble in derivatives with the savings of the German people . DB is an insane business model.
The ECB instead of stopping this insane gambling is facilitating it with giving DB unlimited acces to FREE MONEY .
Is everybody at the ECB under influence of halogenic drugs.
HK [email protected] 10:23 GMT October 6, 2016
“As quickly as gold fell, as quickly gold could rally back,”
Reply
Risks related to the U.S. presidential election in November and Britain’s talks to leave the European Union may boost gold’s role as a haven, said Barnabas Gan, an economist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore. He was the most accurate forecaster of the metal in the third quarter, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“As quickly as gold fell, as quickly gold could rally back,” Gan wrote in a report. “Weak inflationary pressures may once again lift gold prices back to their previous shine.”
Online trading platform BullionVault said trading on Tuesday was the heaviest since June 24, the day after U.K. voters chose to leave the European Union. Gold buyers outnumbered sellers 7 to 1 on Tuesday, the company said.
......................................
LINK
PAR 10:12 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Retail PMI Back In Contraction
NIRP and QE leading to further contraction in European retail sector .
If the ECB confiscates your savings how can you spend money on good and services .
ECB policies are turning Europe into a communist third world country .
Draghi thinks he can plan everything from Frankfurt in a good Italian communist tradition. Draghi = Peponne
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqzVqKtmuOg
HK [email protected] 09:45 GMT October 6, 2016
Gold; With gold retaining a potential rise to 1470 & so many black swans swimming around, who will n
Reply
Russia despatches one more missile corvette to Mediterranean: agencies
A Russian missile corvette left its Black Sea Fleet base of Sevastopol on Thursday and is heading to join a group of Russian warships in the Mediterranean, Russian news agencies cited a fleet spokesman as saying.
The Mirazh, armed with Malakhit cruise missiles, follows another two Black Sea Fleet missile corvettes, The Serpukhov and The Zelyony Dol equipped with Kalibr long-range cruise missiles, which had been due to reach the Mediterranean on Wednesday.
(Reporting by Lidia Kelly; Writing by Dmitry Solovyov)
LINK
HK Kwun 09:02 GMT October 6, 2016
Trend is down
Reply
Sell Gold
Entry: 1266 Target: Stop: 1276
Sell Sell Sell
GVI Trading john bland 09:00 GMT October 6, 2016
Thursday Trade
EMAIL If you would like a join (free) our daily conference call at 11:00-11:30 GMT.
Amazing Trader charts updated on your systems
GVI Trading john bland 08:22 GMT October 6, 2016
Thursday Trade
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
6-Oct Thu
06:15 CH- CPI
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
7-Oct Fri
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA/US- Employment
Trading Themes--
- Thursday looks to be a quiet session on the data front ahead of U.S. and Canadian employment data on Friday.
Wednesday saw a big surprise in the U.S. ISM Service PMI, which saw a much stronger than expected headline number of 57.1 vs. 51.4 in August. August weakness might have been an aberration.
- Furthermore, the employment sub-component was strong (57.2 vs. 50.7). It can often (NOT Always!) presage NFP. This item suggests we could see a strong NFP report Friday.
- Street estimates are for a gain of about 170K in the month after the +151K advance in August. Any reading of roughly around +180K would keep a December rate hike in the frame. It is expected to increase +170K vs. +151K in August.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
Haifa ac 07:42 GMT October 6, 2016
DB...How vulnerable is Deutsche Bank to derivatives?
These numbers are so big that no one grasps them. No one understands how such an enormous Derivative industry works behind the curtains and nothing happens. Almost like Barings bank not realizing how large were Nick leeson's bets on the Nikkei. This was a bank that made loans to Napoleon Bonaparte!!
The larger they grow-- the harder they fall. We will see some interesting times in the next 20 years.
GVI Trading john bland 07:41 GMT October 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Swiss CPI September 2016
--EARLIER DATA NEWS--
mm: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
yy: -0.20% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
EARLIER: Swiss CPI (y/y) Deflation persists
LONDON SFH 07:36 GMT October 6, 2016
DB...How vulnerable is Deutsche Bank to derivatives?
Reply
In its 2015 annual report, Deutsche Bank said its exposure to derivatives was €41.940 trillion ($46.994 trillion). As a comparison, Germany’s gross domestic product was €3.032 trillion in 2015
Haifa ac 07:16 GMT October 6, 2016
UN makes power play against Trump
WSJ Finds Pattern Of Trump Donating To State AGs Examining His Biz Empire
Donald Trump donated about $140,000 to state attorneys general or candidates for the office between 2001 and 2003, some of whom were reviewing cases or decisions that would impact the real estate mogul's business, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday.....
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/trump-donations-state-attorney-general
Trump should use this as a powerful indictment against Hillary. He should say:
"Yes, I did donate and bribe officials when I was a businessman. It is part of YOUR CORRUPT SYSTEM and I was part of it. Now I want to change it.
I know from personal experience that every business in America bribes people like you (from aapl to google to facebook to GM and many many others)
It is called "DONATIONS". You, Hillary made MILLIONS from such bribes. You calll them donations, but I know that this was money that was aimed to BUY YOU some day in the future. You are part of this BOUGHT government. No one gets money for nothing-- YOU OWE your soul and body to those who "DONTATED" to you-- you are a corrupt politicians like the ones I BRIBED!
TIME TO PUT AN END TO THIS!
...something like this...
SaaR KaL 06:25 GMT October 6, 2016
USD selling right?
Reply
Someone is looking to sell USDJPY USDCAD around here somewhere
+ N225 Selling
Longing Silver and Gold as well
dc CB 05:45 GMT October 6, 2016
UN makes power play against Trump
(CNN)Former Portuguese Prime Minister Antonio Guterres is set to become the next United Nations secretary-general, after the 15 Security Council members agreed to put his name forward to a formal vote.
Stellar choice
dc CB 05:19 GMT October 6, 2016
UN makes power play against Trump
Obama is about to call in the UN to monitor the US Elections least Trump steal them from Hillary
Get a Life
Get a Brain
Or
Lose a Country
HK [email protected] 03:45 GMT October 6, 2016
Can this be another one?
Reply
PUTIN WANTS WAR: Nato jets from FOUR COUNTRIES intercept Russian nuclear planes off Europe.
FEARS of a major confrontation between Vladimir Putin and the West were heightened after it was revealed Nato jets from four countries were scrambled to intercept Russian bombers scouting off Europe’s coast.
Royal Air Force jets joined aircraft from Norway, France and Spain to meet two Russian bombers – capable of carrying nuclear weapons – that had entered European airspace near Scotland last month.
The incident involving two TU-60 bombers – known by Nato as “blackjack” bombers – took place on September 22 but has only just come to light amid sky-high tensions.
Norwegian F-16 fighters were the first to meet the bombers to escort it out of European airspace after the Russian planes were detected heading toward Scotland.
British Typhoons were then deployed from RAF Lossiemouth to join the mission off the coast of Shetland.
As the bombers skirted the west coast of Ireland, French Rafale jets came into the fold.
Finally, Spanish F-18 jets were deployed as the Russian warplanes headed toward Spanish airspace.
The TU-60s – capable of carrying up to 88,185 lb (40,000kg) of bombs – then returned home along the same route they had taken on their European sortie.
But the RAF said the pair had not violated British airspace.
The nail-biting incident came the same day Iceland complained Russian jets had come dangerously close to a civilian airliner.
The Icelandic foreign ministry claimed three TU-60s passed within 6,000 ft of an Icelandic plane en route to Sweden.
...........................................................................................
LINK
HK [email protected] 03:40 GMT October 6, 2016
One of the black swans swimming around?
Reply
Global Debt Reaches $152 Trillion and Is Still Rising: Chart
Warning: The world is suffering from a debt hangover of unprecedented proportions. Eight years after the financial crisis, gross debt in the non-financial sector has more than doubled in nominal terms since the turn of the century, reaching $152 trillion last year, according to the International Monetary Fund. That’s equivalent to 225 percent -- a record -- of world gross domestic product.
LINK
Haifa ac 03:29 GMT October 6, 2016
UN makes power play against Trump
Reply
International governments have made a power play against Donald Trump by ratifying an international climate deal earlier than expected, effectively preventing him from “canceling” the deal as he has promised to do.
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/299310-un-makes-power-play-against-donald-trump
Hong Kong 02:19 GMT October 6, 2016
AceTrader Oct 6: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply
Update Time: 06 Oct 2016 01:36 GMT
EUR/USD - 1.1204
Despite yesterday's retreat from 1.1233 (Europe) to 1.1190 in New York after upbeat U.S. ISM services data, as euro's early rally from 1.1138 to as high as 1.1239 on Tuesday suggests recent decline from 1.1279 has made a low there, consolidation with mild upside bias remains ahead of Friday's key U.S. jobs data.
As long as 1.1153/58 holds, gain towards 1.1250 is still envisaged.
A daily close below 1.1153 would shift risk to the downside for weakness towards September's bottom at 1.1121.
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.