dc CB 22:36 GMT October 7, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?
And there's another Email Dump, from the FBI.
However, THE BIG BIG BIG Story Tonite on all the NUZ is....
from the Bezos Post,
what everyone will be talking about, is the release by The Washington Post of Donald Trump having an "extremely lewd conversation about women in 2005."
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-07/trump-apologizes-locker-room-banter-after-recording-emerges-extremely-lewd-conversat
Clinton email reveal
Mtl JP 22:13 GMT October 7, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Mtl JP 00:06 GMT September 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading: Reply
usdcad 1.32
odds are it heads higher
first trgt: 1.33
----------------
some of my best trades are those that I do not nurse by way of the 5-minute chart....
dc CB 21:01 GMT October 7, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?
Wkileaks does a Fri dump
https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/press-release
https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/
dc CB 20:44 GMT October 7, 2016
September U.S. Jobs Data Disappoint
Dave Collum Oct 6
Prof of Organic Chemistry @ Cornell. Libertarian. Fan of Austrian business cycle, Zero Hedge, gold. *trigger warning*
Economists cut legs off frog and say, "Jump!" The frog didn't jump. They conclude that when frogs lose their legs they become deaf.
GVI Forex Blog 20:25 GMT October 7, 2016
September U.S. Jobs Data Disappoint
Reply
John M. Bland, MBA
Lacklustre Jobs
The September U.S. Jobs data missed street expectations. The data were softer, but they were not a disaster. Non Farm payrolls increased by +156K in the month but fell short of expectations for a gain of 175K. Those citing the upward revision to the August data could be losing sight of the fact that August was also a miss. the rebound in Average Hourly Earnings got it back to where it has been for a couple of years. The unemployment rate at 5.00% is well above where it was in June (4.70%). Recall this is a cautious Fed. There is a chance it could still could plow ahead with a rate hike in December, but we will need a strong November number first...
September U.S. Jobs Data Disappoint
GVI Trading john bland 19:13 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
November was never going to happen.
I saw Former Chair Greenspan yesterday in an interview. He said in his 17 years as Fed Chair, there was never a discussion about not raising rates ahead of an election. On the other hand, he said there was an unspoken agreement not to change policy in the period leading up to a national election, except under special circumstances.
I worked a couple of decades for a top Fed watching service, The owners had been top Fed officials and told me numerous times that the Fed tries to keep a low profile into national elections.
dc CB 18:58 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
The subdued September jobs report ensures the Federal Reserve won�t be raising short-term interest rates at its November policy meeting, a week before the U.S. presidential election, and creates a new thread of uncertainty about its action in mid-December.
The Fed Whisperer
Jon Hilzenrath
WSJ
dc CB 18:40 GMT October 7, 2016
US Elections
WASHINGTON�Newly disclosed emails show top Obama administration officials were in close contact with Hillary Clinton�s nascent presidential campaign in early 2015 about the potential fallout from revelations that the former secretary of state used a private email server.
Their discussion included a request from the White House communications director to her counterpart at the State Department to see if it was possible to arrange for Secretary of State John Kerry to avoid questions during media appearances about Mrs. Clinton�s email arrangement.
In another instance, a top State Department official assured an attorney for Mrs. Clinton that, contrary to media reports, a department official hadn�t told Congress that Mrs. Clinton erred in using a private email account.
WSJ
dc CB 18:32 GMT October 7, 2016
PPT
zerohedge @zerohedge 3h3 hours ago
Algos so jittery any time a sell order appears all bid disappear in any asset class
PAR 17:40 GMT October 7, 2016
PPT
Reply
Wall street helping Hilary . Hilary helping Wall street . Nice weekend to everybody on this nice forum .
GVI Trading john bland 17:30 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Volcanic eruption at Mt Aso in Japan largest volcano.
no details yet
Source: TTN
GVI Trading john bland 16:01 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
Almost back to 2% where it belongs.
GVI Trading john bland 16:00 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
Atlanta Fed GDP forecast for3Q16 2.1% vs 2.2% on Oct 5.
Source: TTN
Paris ib 15:55 GMT October 7, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit
And the Bond Market Dummy Spit continues. 3 year U.S. Treasury yield breaks 1 percent, 2 year yields at close to 0.9 percent. That's where it's gonna hurt. Rolling massive amounts of debt at higher yields.
"the weighted average maturity of the Treasury�s marketable debt outstanding... (is) 70 months by the end of June" according to the WSJ.
You don't want to worry about the USD, you don't want to worry about Stocks but when it comes to the U.S. Treasury market BE very afraid. And be very, very afraid of the consequences.
Seat belts please.
Some debt numbers
Livingston nh 15:51 GMT October 7, 2016
STOX
Reply
SPX 2144 and then the 2141 FED day low b4 the Happy Dance started // Oil maybe a factor later - the Rig counts have been rising as folks see $50 as a base - OPEC cuts/freeze won't show up until Spring so Rig start-ups are key
GVI Forex Blog 15:48 GMT October 7, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 10 October 2016
Reply
October 7, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, October 10, 2016.
- Far East: No Major Data
- Europe: DE- Trade
- North America: US- Presidential Denbate (Sunday Eve), US/CA- Holiday (US- banks closed)
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
9-Oct Sun
21:00 US- Presidential Debate
10-Oct Mon
00:00 JP/CA/US (partial) Holiday
11-Oct Tue
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12-Oct Wed
18:00 US- Fed Minutes
13-Oct Thu
11:00 GB- BOE Decison
15:00 US- EIA Crude
14-Oct Fri
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich
GVI Data Calendar for 10 October 2016
london red 15:45 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
cable. if below 12350 will stay weak into close.
euro. might see some covering 40/50.
GVI Trading john bland 15:08 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
Odds for a December rate hike 67% unchanged from Late Thursday.
GVI Trading john bland 14:50 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Vice-Chair Fischer
-- Jobs report close to a "goldilocks" number
-- growth NOT close to what we are used to
Source: TTN
HK Kwun 14:17 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Sell Gold
Entry: 1258 Target: Stop: 1255
close this one, have a nice weeked,
PAR 14:09 GMT October 7, 2016
PPT
Reply
PPT will not let market go down before presidential debate . Ylellen : I want to keep my JOB .
Livingston nh 13:51 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
I agree John she will use any reason to avoid a hike
GVI Trading john bland 13:36 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
nh- I'm not saying what they SHOULD do, I'm stuck trying to predict what they WILL do.
Livingston nh 13:31 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
John - Yellen is dreaming if she puts that stupid line about a continued improvement needed in employment -- we are at the natural limits -- BLS repeated throughout today's labor report "virtually unchanged" "nearly unchanged" or unchanged for every stat over the last year
She has sacrificed good at the altar of the perfect - Brainard talks today and this is Yellen's proxy for any delay (she keeps the BoG w/o dissent) because the focus is inflation and the mythical "neutral rate" that they are banging the drum for
Humbug!!
PAR 13:29 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Worse, however, than even the breakdown in September job quality, was another seldom-touted series: the number of Multiple jobholders, or people who are forced to hold more than one job due to insufficient wages. It was here that the red flashing light came on because as a result of the 301K monthly surge in Americans holding more than one job, the 5th highest monthly spike in the past decade, the total number of Multiple jobholders soared to 7.863 million, the highest number since the financial crisis, and a number surpassed just once in the past decade: in August of 2008, just before all hell broke loose.
PAR 13:27 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Part-Time Jobs Soar By 430,000 As Multiple Jobholders Surge To August 2008 Levels
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-07/part-time-jobs-soar-430000-multiple-jobholders-surge-august-2008-levels
GVI Trading john bland 13:09 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
So NFP miss after a miss in August
AHE Misses after a weak August reading
Unemployment 5.00% vs 4.70% in June
Recall this is a cautious Fed...
Fed still could plow ahead with a rate hike in December, but we will need a strong November number first.
PAR 13:01 GMT October 7, 2016
Long Euro
No US rate hike this year .
PAR 12:57 GMT October 7, 2016
Long Euro
Reply
Long Euro 1.1150 . Stop 1.1099 .
london red 12:56 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
euro. stops abv 70. once done can fade 85/90 stop over 11215/20
GVI Trading john bland 12:51 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Canada Jobs: Stronger than expected
PAR 12:38 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Capital vs Labor . Capital always wins . Good number for stock market and for Hilary . New record high on S&P ?
GVI Trading john bland 12:36 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Slight data miss, but not fatal for Fed hike?
Belgrade Knez 12:33 GMT October 7, 2016
ECB
london red
which data is more important? nfp or ahe?
Thank you
london red 12:23 GMT October 7, 2016
ECB
remember, if nfp and ahe strong, euro and yen should weaken significantly. bonds could have a flash crash of there own on +200 and 0.3%
PAR 12:14 GMT October 7, 2016
ECB
Reply
ECB to stay dovish forever . Lost all contact with the real world .
PAR 12:08 GMT October 7, 2016
Draghi
Just trying to talk European bond markets higher . What did you expect ?
PAR 12:06 GMT October 7, 2016
Draghi
Reply
Draghi repeating his " Whatever it takes " mantra . Still seems to expect major disasters for the European economy .
Amman wfakhoury 12:00 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
12444 is the mag level ..above it will reach 12523 and may continue to 12708.
below it ..will go down to 12208.
___________________
12444 is the mag any price below it or above it will return to it.
12208 will be reached.
PAR 11:58 GMT October 7, 2016
Hollande
He keeps telling "things can only get better . He is convinced he will be reelected .
Livingston nh 11:44 GMT October 7, 2016
Hollande
Par - what are Hollande's employment prospects for the next year? or the obnoxious Juncker?
PAR 11:39 GMT October 7, 2016
Hollande
Reply
The man who broke the pound . Hard Brexit .
Livingston nh 11:29 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
For folks who were short Cable but who didn't or couldn't get out under 1.20 any thots on where their new stops cluster ?? will it make a stop run attractive on weak NFP?
At some point the bluster of the jilted EU flaks will come back to bite the EUR -- big talk small chops
PAR 10:47 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Huge losses and big profits . We will know soon who where the winners , the losers will try to hide there losses .
The losers may call Deutsche bank . LOL
Barna 10:38 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
Great info, thanks guys...
barrna 10:36 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
ahahaha
jkt abel 10:28 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
whereis Carney bastardo who said two way market ;)
LONDON SFH 10:27 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Sorry to see you go mate-the move last night was ridiculous-losses undoubedly aotweighed any profits-good luck to you...
makassar alimin 10:26 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
cable may have seen temp bottom
expecting 1.26 after NFP IMO
Ldn Cashman 10:24 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Well that's me hanging up on FX. After 37 years in the biz I've finally realised that it's all over. The machines have finally won. Whilst I didn't get caught out last night i know that two massive moves ie the Swissy a couple of years back and the Cable move last night show show that the odds are against the honest punter. Good luck all.
kl shawn 10:10 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
come on fat fingers, do it again! 1.10 tonight please
kl fs 10:05 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
the way this is going cable would close at day's low whatever that will be post NFP
GVI Trading john bland 09:34 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
EMAIL If you would like to join (free) our Pre-Employment conference call at 11:00-11:30 GMT.
Amazing Trader charts updated on your systems
LONDON SFH 09:30 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Hollande demands tough Brexit negotiations , Sterling dropped from 1.2620 to whatever 1.18 something on this crass comment from the worst French President ever ..gets used to this folks Juncker , Tusk, Barnier & Verhofstadt are public enemies no.1 !!
kl fs 09:23 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
even with reassuring words, who is going to hold it into the weekend
GVI Trading john bland 09:21 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
disappointing UK output data 45mins ago could be weighing on GBP into the weekend. I imagine many are taking a low-profile after the overnight price action.
Don't be surprised if we get some reassuring words from the BOE on the pound at some point today.
GVI Trading john bland 08:33 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
UK Output data misses.
GVI Trading john bland 08:31 GMT October 7, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output August 2016
-- NEWS ALERT --
Ind mm: -0.40% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.10% (r ) prev.
Mfg mm: +0.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.80% (r ) prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
Hong Kong 08:25 GMT October 7, 2016
AceTrader Oct 7: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GBP/USD
Reply
07 Oct 2016 05:40GMT
GBP/USD - 1.2450.. Reuters just reported an outlying trade in sterling that created a fresh 31-year low for the currency on Friday has been cancelled, said Thomson Reuters, which owns the Reuters foreign exchange brokerage platform RTSL.
The cancellation resulted in the sterling's GBP=D3 low of $1.1378, captured on charts in early Asian trading, being revised to $1.1491.
Sterling plunged in early trade on Friday as anxiety over a "hard" exit by Britain from the European Union triggered a wave of selling.
At the new 31-year lows, sterling was still down 9 percent from Thursday's close at one point and 11 percent since Sept. 29. It later recouped most of the losses seen in Asia but was still down around 1.4 percent by early afternoon.
PAR 08:15 GMT October 7, 2016
Deutsche Bank
How much capital does a bank need to run a $ 47 trillion derivatives position ? $ 4.7 trillion? $ 2.5 trillion ?
Amman wfakhoury 08:11 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
GBPUSD is in volatile situation after big crash last night. specially after NFP data from US .
12444 is the mag level ..above it will reach 12523 and may continue to 12708.
below it ..will go down to 12208.
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
GVI Trading john bland 08:10 GMT October 7, 2016
Friday Trading
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
7-Oct Fri
08:30 GB- Trade
12:30 CA/US- Employment
9-Oct Sun
21:00 US- Presidential Debate
10-Oct Mon
00:00 JP/CA/US (partial) Holiday
11-Oct Tue
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12-Oct Wed
18:00 US- Fed Minutes
13-Oct Thu
11:00 GB- BOE Decison
15:00 US- EIA Crude
14-Oct Fri
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich
Trading Themes--
- Overnight trading hes seen a "flash crash" in the GBP. Some are blaming "Brexit", but the root problem clearly is a lack of liquidity in a over-regulated quiet market. We are still picking up the pieces.
- U.S. jobs data today could be decisive for the Fed policy decision in mid-December. Keep in mind there will be one more jobs reading (November) before then. Markets are jockeying for position ahead of U.S. employment data Friday. Street estimates are for a gain of about 170K in the month after the +151K advance in August. Any reading of roughly around +150K or above should keep a December rate hike in the frame.
- Wednesday saw a big surprise in the U.S. ISM Service PMI, which saw a much stronger than expected headline number of 57.1 vs. 51.4 in August. Furthermore, the employment sub-component was strong (57.2 vs. 50.7). It can often (NOT always!) presage NFP. This item suggests we could see a strong NFP report Friday.
- ECB VP Constancio said a report earlier in the week that ECB is near tapering its QE is wrong. He said QE would continue until inflation is back on target. The initial report at the time struck me as being premature.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
PAR 08:08 GMT October 7, 2016
Deutsche Bank
Reply
The swap counterparty is currently Deutsche Bank AG�.
Look at the prospectus of your ETF . This can become costly .
Amman wfakhoury 07:51 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
HK Kwun 07:18 GMT 10/07/2016
___________________________
still valid.
PAR 07:36 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Overnight low 1.1841 ?
HK Kwun 07:18 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Sell Gold
Entry: 1258 Target: Stop: 1268
wfakhoury master, your yesterday posts said 1273 is magic no, still valid?
Amman wfakhoury 07:02 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
kl fs 06:41 GMT 10/07/2016
----------------------------
You are right ...it did not post here due silly comments of some traders in this forum.
Haifa ac 06:45 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Different traders produce different issues.
kl fs 06:41 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
wfakhoury, i cannot find it in the Archive...you must be posting it in a different forum/site
Amman wfakhoury 06:34 GMT October 7, 2016
GBPUSD
Reply
Yesterday I issued this signal
GBPUSD in big move 120-150 pips
12450-12400 will be seen in short term.
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
Haifa ac 06:17 GMT October 7, 2016
Cable
Most likely the "market" in its infinite wisdom will come back to the lowest low among all vendors-- to avoid litigation.
The market knows how to defend itself.
gaza ibiza 06:08 GMT October 7, 2016
gbp
Reply
most tier 1 banks calling 1.1840 the low =/-10 pips
kl fs 06:08 GMT October 7, 2016
Cable
man, whose resposiblity will this be? talking about regulatory bodies....why we have so big variety of cable's lows between all of them
Brisbane Flip 06:00 GMT October 7, 2016
Cable
IG has kept a farcical 1.1203 GBP low and .99608 EURGBP high all day
kl fs 05:56 GMT October 7, 2016
Cable
mine shows 1.20203 to be the low
london red 05:43 GMT October 7, 2016
May I have GBP day low?
my experience of these things is the fat finger was quite deliberate and probably came as a result of desperation - cable has given nothing to bulls over the last few days - and you try getting anything of size done early asia.
anyway cable actually travelled under 1.14 but corrected low is 11839. Combined with eurgbp over 90 cents and cable below 1.20, many tgts have been hit. i wouldnt be surprised if we get a squeeze but as always sell the rally. 126 is a good start to sell if seen.
PAR 05:42 GMT October 7, 2016
Cable
Hollande s viewpoint on very hard Brexit crashes GBP.
Low 1.2040 ?
kl fs 04:57 GMT October 7, 2016
sell gold
Reply
gold looks to be in downtrend continuation, any small recovery expected to be capped by 1270-80 region
Bali Sja 00:30 GMT October 7, 2016
Cable
You bet that quesrion is in themind of many got trapped and paralysed and margincalled. So yes it aint over till its over...
Kl Fs 00:23 GMT October 7, 2016
Cable
Reply
Is the worst over now?
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