Forex Forum Archive for 10/09/2016

USA BP 23:47 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Asia shares gain, Mexican peso jumps as markets lengthen odds on Trump

dc CB 23:19 GMT October 9, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

The obvious choice for tonite's DeBait.

Vodka

Mtl JP 23:00 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Re "cautious fed"
Lagarde claims sexism at play in W/Streets criticism of yellen

Mtl JP 22:51 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

A reasonable risk speculative trade might be short the Mexican vs USD this NY evening

Amman wfakhoury 21:33 GMT October 9, 2016
GOLD 1261.20
Reply   
Gold
Now 1255.35
TP 1261.20
Return 1253.63


The only one in the world who confirms the next level

Mtl JP 21:26 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

CB r u long Gold ?

Typically I like buying it when COT spec players are massive loaded short.

dc CB 21:10 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

On Monday, China will be back in business, and that means the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which opened last year to counter Western manipulation of precious metals, will likely help re-balance prices to where they were before this week’s takedown.


Golden Week!!!

There's One Very Simple Reason Why Precious Metals Were Pummelled This Week

Mtl JP 21:04 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Euro gv chart point 200 DMA at 1.1165

Mtl JP 21:02 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

NY starts trading the euro at 1.1186-ish

Mtl JP 20:59 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Schauble: more n more folks do not trust their elites. They do not trust their economic leaders . They do not trust their political leaders.
-
Schaueble should be up for some prize.

Mtl JP 20:44 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Ubs CEO claims last 2 weeks prove european banks r in better shape than several yes ago.

Mtl JP 20:39 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Oh... And also claims to to not seeing asset bubbles.
-
Market zzzzzs.

Mtl JP 20:38 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Draghi mumbled that he expects his inflation target to be hit by late 2018 /early 2019.

Mtl JP 20:12 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

Early eurdlr trading around 1.11755

GVI Trading john bland 18:06 GMT October 9, 2016
Monday Trading

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

9-Oct Sun
21:00 US- Presidential Debate
10-Oct Mon
00:00 JP/CA/US (partial) Holiday
11-Oct Tue
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12-Oct Wed
18:00 US- Fed Minutes
13-Oct Thu
11:00 GB- BOE Decison
15:00 US- EIA Crude
14-Oct Fri
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich
17:30 US- Yellen Speech

• Monday sees holidays in Japan and Canada, plus a bank holiday in the U.S. No major data are set for release. The evening will see the second Presidential debate where Donald Trump will be fighting for his political life.


• September U.S. Jobs data on Friday were soft, but not a disaster. Payrolls increased +156K, below expectations for a gain of 175K. A rebound in Average Hourly Earnings only got it back to where it has been forever. The unemployment was 5.00%, well above June's 4.70%.


• This is a cautious Fed. They could still could plow ahead with a rate December, but first will need strong November data.


• A "flash crash" hit the GBP late Thursday. Some blame "Brexit", other say it was an option related trade. However, the root problem is a growing a lack of liquidity in markets where regulatory activity has curtailed institutional participation.


• U.S. Treasury Secretary Lew stressed that the G20 refrains from competitive currency devaluations in a meeting with Japan's Aso.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com



---

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT October 9, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

I c NYT forecasting HRC odds of taking the presidency at 83%
Fwiw

dc CB 16:53 GMT October 9, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

From CNN:
The first set of questions at Sunday night’s presidential debate will be about Donald Trump’s vulgar comments on a newly published 2005 videotape, and the fallout from it.

And Hillary Clinton will get the first question.
Moderators Anderson Cooper of CNN and Martha Raddatz of ABC have adjusted their plan for the debate in light of the Trump tape, sources told CNNMoney.
While everything is subject to change until air time, an ABC source said — perhaps confirming the obvious — that Trump and Clinton will both be prompted to address the matter.

A coin toss by the Commission on Presidential Debates determined that Clinton will speak first.

dc CB 16:43 GMT October 9, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

As I noted months ago, the Oct/Nov "suprise" won't come from Wikileaks or other leakers, it will come from the Health Insurance Companies - as the 2017 premium increases arrive in voter's mailboxes. This also another issure bumped off the NUZ by SexTalk.

Collapse of ObamaCare will be underreported

dc CB 16:27 GMT October 9, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

Of course this is on "Putin TV" (SARC)

Charles Ortel interview with RT on Wikileaks

dc CB 16:20 GMT October 9, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

On Friday’s broadcast of PBS’ “Washington Week,” host Gwen Ifill stated that without the audio of GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump’s lewd comments, “we would have been paying attention a lot more tonight to some revelations from WikiLeaks about Hillary Clinton’s email — her latest email tranche from the State Department.”
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

One particular email exchange between Hillary Clinton and Podesta shows the candidate has a serious problem with blacks and Muslims. It’s not just a serious problem, it’s downright racist.

In the email from February of this year Hillary states that:

“The main reason behind successful immigration should be painfully obvious to even the most dimwitted of observers: Some groups of people are almost always highly successful given only half a chance (Jews*, Hindus/Sikhs and Chinese people, for example), while others (Muslims, blacks** and Roma***, for instance) fare badly almost irrespective of circumstances.”

Hillary continues by labeling blacks & Muslims “professional never-do-wells.”

WikiLeaks Drops ‘October Surprise’- Hillary DESTROYS Blacks And Muslims

Bali Sja 15:54 GMT October 9, 2016
America has a huge problem with sex.

So this election all comes down to sex?

Amsterdam NordFX 15:17 GMT October 9, 2016
Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 10 – 14 October 2016
Reply   
First, a review of last week’s forecast:

– as a reminder, predicting the future of EUR/USD most experts pointed to the south. NFP print (US Non-Farm Payrolls) was expected to increase from 151К to 170К–176К. On the back of this forecast during the whole second half of the week the bears had been steadily pushing the pair down, to the support of 1.1120, specified by the experts. However, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the USA threw a curve: first, it adjusted its data for August - 151К instead of 167К, and then it announced that the print for September made 156К. Eventually, instead of expected rise we saw a drop, and ultimately EUR/USD pair returned to the last months’ pivot point – to the level of 1.1200, very quickly;

– last week we predicted decline of GBP/USD pair to the level of 1.2850, or even a greater decline to the low of July 06 to the level of 1.2795. But no one expected the thing happened on Friday – during Asian session trading the British currency plunged to the low seen in March 1985. Having started with the level of 1.2615, in just 3(!) minutes it fell down to 1.1840 at average. (It stopped declining at the level of 1.1940 with one brokers, and at the level of 1.1490, i.e. 450 points lower – with the others). As of this writing the analysts failed to achieve a consensus in respect of the reasons of such a collapse. For example, Bloomberg provided as many as six versions, and The Wall Street Journal reduced them to two versions, indicating robo traders and the president of France, François Hollande, who stated that Great Britain would be seriously affected by Brexit, as the main “suspects”. Afterwards the pound broke through the technical levels of support, which sharply increased currency sell-off by robo traders. The result of what mess these soulless computer programs can cause is, as they say, obvious. However, later with the assistance of people the pound went up again, but it was not easy to regain the losses of almost 1000 points quickly, and GBP/USD wrapped up the week at the level of 1.2430;

– as for USD/JPY, here the graphical analysis on D1 gave the most accurate forecast. As a reminder, it expressly indicated predominance of bullish sentiment and rise of the pair to the level of 104.00. That exactly what happened – gradually moving up, on Thursday the pair reached the high of 104.15, following which the bears regained 125 points and the pair froze at the support area of 102.90;

– USD/CHF. As expected, the pair continued consolidating at the area of 0.9700–0.9800. Supporting bullish sentiment, last Friday it tried to break through the main resistance of 0.9810, however soon it returned to the area, predetermined by the experts, and came into a weekend at the level of 0.9775.

***
Forecast for the Upcoming Week:
Summing up the opinions of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be suggested:

– as EUR/USD is keeping within the medium-term pivot area – the level of 1.1200, the indicators on both H4 and D1 have taken a neutral stance. As for the analysts, 90% of them expect the pair to fall to the support of 1.1100, and then down to the area of 1.1000. The main resistance will be at the level of 1.1280. With this, we should keep in mind that the Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting (Wednesday, October 12), the outcome of the EU Extraordinary Economic Summit (Thursday, October 13), as well as data on US economy and speech of the Federal Reserve Chair, Janet Yellen, on Friday, October 14, can influence formation of a short-term trend;

– GBP/USD. It is clear that after last Friday events the experts only lift their hands in dismay. In such situation the readings of the graphical analysis are of interest, the one on D1 predicts returning of the pair first to the resistance of 1.2700, and then even higher – up to the area of 1.2850. The thing happened to USD/CHF after January 2015 crisis also votes in favor of this forecast fairness. As a reminder, that time the market had quickly overcome panic sentiment, and just in two months the pair had regained almost all losses. The graphical analysis on H4 provides an alternative version for GBP/USD. According to its readings the pair can continue its downtrend, which had started on September 06. In this case it will decline to the support of 1.2340, and then down to the level of 1.2120;

– USD/JPY. Here just like last week the opinions of the experts split almost equally: just under half of them vote for the pair’s rise, just over half – for its fall. As for the graphical analysis on H4, it predicts that early week the pair will go up to the resistance of 103.70–103.90, and then decline – first to the level of 102.70, and then – to 101.75. The bottom will be at the level of 100.75. As for the graphical analysis on D1, according to it, this week the pair can get to the high of 106.40, and only then reverse to the south and look for the support of 101.75;

– the forecast for USD/CHF can be made using copy paste for weeks. As before, drawing a triangular pennant, the pair continues gradual consolidation at the area of 0.9640–0.9660. With this, almost 80% of experts are sure that in the longer term the bulls will win the victory and the pair will breakout upwards, reaching the high of 1.0100.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Notice: These materials should not be deemed as a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets and they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and it can lead to loss of money deposited.

PAR 15:08 GMT October 9, 2016
America has a huge problem with sex.

Elections should be about the economy , the hapiness and wellbeing of the nation . The ability to bring peace to the world instead of playing "lord of wars ".

HK [email protected] 14:57 GMT October 9, 2016
America has a huge problem with sex.
Reply   


The EU men have no more problem with sex, as they let the Arabs in to screw them in their behinds. So everyone is happy on both sides.

HK [email protected] 14:50 GMT October 9, 2016
Gold still targets 1471
Reply   



See chart.

HK [email protected] 14:40 GMT October 9, 2016
The best solution for the women problem!
Reply   

Artificial Hi-tech polymer flesh-like feels, with an excellent AI powered super-brain.
Can converse with them about anything in the world, ask your question and they will answer you all. Excellent companion(can be updated through internet connection).

Turn them ON at 7p.m, dispose of your needs(physical and intellectual), and turn them OFF at 5a.m. So they will not bother you at daytime.

PAR 14:11 GMT October 9, 2016
Don't throw stones at people, if you live in a glasshouse.

America has a huge problem with sex.

PAR 14:04 GMT October 9, 2016
Don't throw stones at people, if you live in a glasshouse.

Do all those republican leaders never look at beautiful women ? Are they all gay ?

GVI Forex Blog 12:39 GMT October 9, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 10 October 2016
Reply   

October 9, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, October 10, 2016.

• Far East: No Major Data
• Europe: DE- Trade
• North America: US- Presidential Denbate (Sunday Eve), US/CA- Holiday (US- banks closed)

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
9-Oct Sun
21:00 US- Presidential Debate
10-Oct Mon
00:00 JP/CA/US (partial) Holiday
11-Oct Tue
09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
12-Oct Wed
18:00 US- Fed Minutes
13-Oct Thu
11:00 GB- BOE Decison
15:00 US- EIA Crude
14-Oct Fri
12:30 US- PPI
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 US- prelim Univ of Mich

GVI Data Calendar for 10 October 2016

HK [email protected] 10:28 GMT October 9, 2016
Don't throw stones at people, if you live in a glasshouse.

Now comes the counter attack at Bill Clinton.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bJW4tO_JkkA

It all fires back at the Clintons, and bet it will escalate to an ugly clash.

Hillary will have to pull out from the race, and let The Nerd back in!!!

Per my suggestion, it was the biggest mistake to expose this tape against Trump. Wait and see!!!!!!!!

Amman wfakhoury 09:43 GMT October 9, 2016
GBPUSD 12479
Reply   
_____ Pairs _________ Price NOW _____________Take Profit ___________RETURN


GBPUSD 12429 12479 12392


* Return : the price will return to this level if moves in opposite direction

The only one in the world who confirms the next level

Bali Sja 09:28 GMT October 9, 2016
Schwarzeneger and De Niiro removed their support; It sucks!!!

They think they are saints. Those that pointed fingers at Trump actually pointed fingers at themselves. Bunch of hypocrites.

HK [email protected] 05:49 GMT October 9, 2016
Schwarzeneger and De Niiro removed their support; It sucks!!!
Reply   

.

Haifa ac 04:55 GMT October 9, 2016
Don't throw stones at people, if you live in a glasshouse.

Schwarzeneger and De Niiro removed their support from Trump. Bill Cosby is next.

HK [email protected] 04:33 GMT October 9, 2016
After Trump elected, NFP will be the largest in history
Reply   


Because all those males women-pussy-appeasers Republicans who abandoned Trump, will have to find some typical NFP-Sh!tty jobs for livelihood.
And they will make America great again as janitors, tea servers, hamburger flippers etc.

Mtl JP 04:04 GMT October 9, 2016
Calendar

Just like the CBanks like to think that they support the economy they are to blame for the soon to be evident recession. The reason is because Janet and gang govern the money supply and interest rate. This in turn tells players where is the best return on their money. The FED gang is unelected and unaccountable body of rascals . Did you notice the recent yikyak that the CBs can not achieve success unless governments do their par t? Expect Janet to try something along this lines to attempt to deflect accountability from the FED.

Do not expect Janet to announce that she is responsible and accountable and that as a failure that the will be resigning. Expect even less her suggesting that the FED and the FOMC should be poorer out of existence for all the evil and bad things they inflict on the Nation.

Haifa ac 03:01 GMT October 9, 2016
Don't throw stones at people, if you live in a glasshouse.

this Presidential race is sinking lower and lower
the latest line from Paula Jones dives beneath the Oval Office Desk:


www.theamericanmirror.com/broaddrick-hillarys-actions-speak-louder-trumps-words/

UPDATE: Paula Jones weighed in as well, writing on Facebook, “I don’t recall that Bill or Hillary has ever apologized to me and Juanita Broaddrick or Kathleen Willey yet Bill was getting his wee wee sucked under the Oval Office desk and still won a second term, UNBELIEVABLE!

HK [email protected] 02:55 GMT October 9, 2016
Don't throw stones at people, if you live in a glasshouse.
Reply   

The last lewd sex tape of Trump, has already attracted attention to the sex crime of Bill Clinton, who never apologized to his rape victims.

This tape exposure, was the biggest mistake of the Democrats, and it has already sparked a big debate of it's relevance for any judgement about Trump or any man who talks that way in private.

If this is a serious issue to judge a man, maybe most women in the US should file for divorce.

Trump will rise again with greater power!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

dc CB 00:14 GMT October 9, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

PBS- the all in for Hillary taxpayer funded Network- Speaks the truth!

On Friday’s broadcast of PBS’ “Washington Week,” host Gwen Ifill stated that without the audio of GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump’s lewd comments, “we would have been paying attention a lot more tonight to some revelations from WikiLeaks about Hillary Clinton’s email — her latest email tranche from the State Department.”

Ifill said, “Now, absent this bombshell…we would have been paying attention a lot more tonight to some revelations from WikiLeaks about Hillary Clinton’s email — her latest email tranche from the State Department. And in this case, it’s answering the question that [Sen.] Bernie Sanders (I-VT) raised during the primaries, which is what did you say in those speeches when nobody was listening, the speeches you were paid for? He never could get an answer, but it looks like we have a partial answer tonight.”