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Forex Forum Archive for 10/16/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Brisbane Flip 22:32 GMT October 16, 2016
Fed Policy Back In Play Once Again

The Fed could raise rates now that the Presidential election is over.
It'll just be less of a landslide.

dc CB 21:28 GMT October 16, 2016
For the Naive

Ron Kirby on USA WatchDog

Rob Kirby-2016 Election is Criminality vs Good Guys

dc CB 21:24 GMT October 16, 2016

Hillsborough police are investigating the apparent weekend firebombing of the Orange County Republican headquarters, an incident that one GOP official called an act of “political terrorism.”

Read more here:

Charlotte Observer

dc CB 21:22 GMT October 16, 2016

and it begins


nw kw 21:17 GMT October 16, 2016
For the Naive

short gbp oil

nw kw 21:13 GMT October 16, 2016
For the Naive

The big question for investors now is when shares will bottom out, and we don’t believe it will happen in this quarter.”

cad banks supported/ oil can be supported?

GVI Trading john bland 20:12 GMT October 16, 2016
Monday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader


GVI Trading 19:45 GMT October 16, 2016
May Urged to Reveal Brexit Strategy as Lawmakers Push for Vote
"U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May is coming under mounting pressure to reveal her Brexit strategy before she triggers formal negotiations to leave the European Union.

A cross-party group of legislators this weekend demanded that the government publish a “substantive outline” of its plans and submit it to a vote in Parliament before invoking Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, the formal mechanism for withdrawing from the EU..."

May Urged to Reveal Brexit Strategy as Lawmakers Push for Vote

GVI Trading john bland 19:40 GMT October 16, 2016
Speculators boost U.S. dollar bets to eight-month high: CFTC, Reuters --
"Speculators lifted favorable bets on the U.S. dollar for a third straight week, with net longs hitting their highest in more than eight months, according to Reuters calculations and data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.

The value of the dollar's net long position rose to $14.72 billion in the week ended Oct. 11, from $10.52 billion the previous week..."

Speculators boost U.S. dollar bets to eight-month high: CFTC, Reuters --

GVI Trading john bland 17:45 GMT October 16, 2016
Monday Trading


17-Oct Mon
09:30 EZ- final HICP
13:15 US- Industrial Production
18-Oct Tue
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- CPI
19-Oct Wed
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales

Trading Themes--
  • Monday sees Industrial Production and the Empire State PMI from the U.S.

  • Friday saw mixed data from the U.S. Nevertheless, the USD ended the week with forward momentun. Fed Chair Yellen sent no signals in her mid-afteroon speech, which turned out to be a purely academic presentation. Maybe there is significance in that she had no signal to send?

  • As for the U.S. Presidential election contest, it seems the Republican party leadership sees it as a lost cause are are focusing now on trying to salvage the House and Senate races.

  • John M. Bland, MBA


dc CB 16:41 GMT October 16, 2016


NINTH Trump accuser comes forward: Clinton donor claims the billionaire kissed her on the mouth in front of her shocked family at Mother's Day lunch at Mar-a-Lago club

Cathy Heller, 63, says Donald Trump forcibly kissed her mouth in 1997
She was at a Mother's Day lunch at his Mar-a-Lago club in Palm Beach

Read more:

dc CB 16:33 GMT October 16, 2016

Dump Number 9

Hillary's "excellent health" medical statement, where once again the media, listed as "AP, Politico, WSJ, WaPo, etc" is exposed as coordinating and colluding with the campaign to send a message that Hillary is in great health.

In the email written in the early hours on Friday, Fallon writes that in the "rollout plan" for that same day, the campaign will "Pitch the first round of stories to the travelling press corps (AP, Politico, WSJ, WaPo, etc) with a 2 pm embargo."

He goes on to say that for these stories "we will provide the full text of HRC’s physician’s letter, summarizing that she is in excellent health and is medically fit to perform the duties of President. We will push that she is the FIRST presidential candidate to release this info."

In further evidence of the prepared media narrative, Fallon points out that "we expect the stories that pop at 2 pm to have headlines such as “CLINTON IN ‘EXCELLENT HEALTH,’ MEDICAL RECORDS SAY” … “CLINTON RELEASES HEALTH REPORT."

Wiki Dump Reveals Heavy Press Collusion Over Hillary's "Excellent Health"

Mtl JP 14:56 GMT October 16, 2016
For the Naive

Or go long weapons manufs complex for good popsi pips ?

Haifa ac 14:02 GMT October 16, 2016
For the Naive

After Wikileaks and the fabrication of some of the "testimonials" by those women:

Trump has made his living in the private sector unlike the criminal Clinton. Not only has she made all her money in the public sector, she has done it illegally.

She is a Marxist/communist. She will implement government controlled healthcare. She will do her best to disarm the American populace. She will let so many people into this country that you will never know it was not south America.

If you want big mama government telling you and your kids and grand-kids when, where, and how to take a pisss then by all means vote for Hillary.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 13:14 GMT October 16, 2016
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Amsterdam NordFX 11:53 GMT October 16, 2016
Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 17 – 21 October 2016
First, a review of last week’s forecast:

– referring the future EUR/USD, the overwhelming majority of experts (90%) predicted that the pair would decline to the area of 1.1000, which did happen. First with a single bound it travelled 220 points by Thursday, then it stalled at the level of 1.0985, following which we saw a 70 points rebound, in a result of which many traders, using averaging of positions, could recover from a deep drawdown and catch a break. Then the pair again reversed to the south and on Friday evening it made a second attempt to consolidate below the support of 1.1000, wrapping up the week at the level of 1.0970;

– as for the future of GBP/USD, the graphical analysis on H4 turned out to be right, it expressly pointed to continuation of the descending trend, which had begun on September 06. The levels of 1.2340 and 1.2120 were indicated as the support levels. This scenario panned out almost entirely. As early as Tuesday during the Asian session the pair easily got over the first support turning it into the resistance, and it sharply plunged further. Inertia of the decline was so strong that the pair couldn’t even fall 30 points below the support of 1.2120, but then, likewise, it sharply went up to the intended resistance area. The entire second part of the week the pair spent trying to get over the newly formed resistance of 1.2165, and eventually it ended the week at the level of 1.2185;

– USD/JPY. As a reminder, experts' opinions split almost equally in this case: just under half of them voted for the pair's rise, just over the half - for its fall. And here, as with GBP/USD, the graphical analysis proved to be right, it pointed to predominance of bullish sentiment and the pair's rise. But as for the ultimate target of the upswing, the forecast differed from reality. The graphical analysis on H4 predicted that the pair would go up to the resistance of 103.70-103.90, and the one on D1 - up to 106.40. In reality, the pair reached the level somewhere in between the specified highs – at the level of 104.65. The end of the week coincided with the high of October 6 - 104.155;

– The medium-term forecast for USD/CHF starts panning out slowly but steadily. The strength of bulls starts outweighing, and thus, the pair is getting closer and closer to the intended target - 1.0100. Last week it could consolidate above the level of 0.9800, but the resistance of 0.9900 appeared to be an insurmountable barrier on its way, and the pair failed to rise above the level of 0.9910.

Forecast for the Upcoming Week:
Summing up the opinions of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be suggested:

– it's clear after a deep decline of EUR/USD, all 100% of indicators on H4 and D1 point to the south. As for the analysts, only half of them agree to this opinion. They indicate the support of 1.0900 as the short-term target. The alternative viewpoint provides for return of the pair to the level of 1.1100, the next resistance will be at the level of 1.1200. As for the readings of the graphical analysis on H4, according to it, the pair should first decline to the level of 1.0940, and then transit to the sideways movement within the range of 1.0940-1.1000. In a longer term the number of supporters of fall increases, and now more than 60% of experts reckon that the pair will go down to the lows of February-March - 1.0800-1.0825;

– GBP/USD. Here, about 70% of analysts, backed by the graphical analysis on H4 and only 5% of indicators, reckon that in the near future the pair will not fall below the level of 1.2100 and it will move in a sideways channel of 1.2100-1.2330, and then, maybe it will return to the level of 1.3000. The graphical analysis on D1 strongly disagrees with this scenario, according to its readings the pair can fall below the area of 1.1850. With this, we should take into consideration the fact that for a long time formation of a given trend will depend not so much on the readings of Great Britain as on announcements of politicians on terms and conditions of United Kingdom exit from the EU;

– USD/JPY. For a third week in a row the opinions of experts in respect of the future of this pair split almost equally: one half, backed by the graphical analysis on H4, predicts the upswing of the pair to the high of 105.00, the second half votes for its decline to the level of 102.80 and further down - to the area of 102.00. The graphical analysis on D1 also votes for fall and transition to the sideways trend within 102.80-104.30;

– as for the forecast for USD/CHF, around 60% of analysts and the graphical analysis on H4 believe that the bulls' strength have weakened and the pair is in for a temporary rebound to the benchmark area of 0.9700-0.9800. The remaining 40% of experts reckon that the ascending trend hasn't ended yet, and the pair will be able to go further 50 points - up to the high of 0.9950. The medium-term target remains the same - 1.0100, though the number of supporters of such a scenario decreased from 80% to 65% as compared to the last week.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Notice: These materials should not be deemed as a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets and they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and it can lead to loss of money deposited.

#forex #forex_forecast #eurusd #forex signals #binary_options

PAR 09:39 GMT October 16, 2016
Fed Policy Back In Play Once Again

Greenspan , Bernanke and Yellen destroyed the free capitalist market economy and transformed it into a central planned soviet style economy where the central planners at the FED decide everything .

Interest rates are no longer set by the market but by some old politically appointed apparatski at the FED . The FED QE allocates capital based on some soviet style based input output models which destroyed the Soviet economy .

Worst of all the rest of the Western world seems to be following the policies of the American central banks since most of their economists have been indoctrinated at American universities and at Goldman Sachs ( one of the biggest beneficiaries of these policies ) .

Europe should go back to sound Austrian economic principles and stop the central planning . If USA wants to destroy itself it is up to them but we should stop following bad examples .

GVI Trading john bland 01:58 GMT October 16, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 10 October 2016

October 15, 2016 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, October 17, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ- final HICP
  • North America: US- Empire PMI, Industrial Production

17-Oct Mon
09:30 EZ- final HICP
13:15 US- Industrial Production
18-Oct Tue
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- CPI
19-Oct Wed
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 10 October 2016


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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