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Forex Forum Archive for 10/17/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:24 GMT October 17, 2016
IT IS ALL OVER. She already won

State Department's Kennedy pressured FBI to unclassify Clinton emails: FBI documents



Fox News - Cavuto

Kl Fs 22:37 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Buy usd sell gold?

Livingston nh 22:34 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fischer made clear, despite all the rhetoric, that the Fed is relying on the mythical unknowable R* and he takes his cue from the markets not data dependent (see Fed Funds at prior times when the "preferred" inflation rate was at these levels and unemployment was at 5%) -- and he, like Yellen, was worried about recession issues

HK [email protected] 22:32 GMT October 17, 2016
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe, more now from Q&A:
Reply   

Possible election of Donald Trump as President unlikely to be as benign an event as Brexit.

Headlines via Reuters

LINK

GVI Forex Blog 21:59 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: NZ CPI Hotter Than Expected
Reply   

New Zealand 3Q16 CPI

NZ CPI higher than forecast.

BREAKING NEWS: NZ CPI Hotter Than Expected

GVI Trading john bland 21:46 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

New Zealand 3Q16 CPI

-- ALERT --

QQ: +0.20% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
YY: +0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 19:59 GMT October 17, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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GVI Trading john bland 19:49 GMT October 17, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
18-Oct Tue
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- CPI
19-Oct Wed
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Trading Themes--
  • U.K and U.S. CPI data are the major data foci for Tuesday.

  • U.K. Gilt yields were up sharply on worry about higher inflation due to the weaker GBP. The BOE has made it clear that it would ignore for now an inflation overshoot.

  • U.S. manufacturing data Monday saw disappointing Industrial Production and Empire State PMI reports. The economy appears to be slowing.

  • Fed Chair Yellen sent no signals in her mid-afternoon speech Friday, which turned out to be a purely academic presentation. Indirectly she seemed to be preparing the markets for a sustained period of above target inflation. keep your ears perked for more on this.

  • As for the U.S. Presidential election contest, it seems the Republican party leadership sees it as a lost cause are are focusing now on trying to salvage the House and Senate races.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

GVI Forex Blog 19:29 GMT October 17, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex Blog 19:05 GMT October 17, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

GVI Trading john bland 17:08 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fischer concludes Q&A

Mtl JP 17:06 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

..."Now, I am sure that the reaction of many of you may be, "Well, if you and your Fed colleagues dislike low interest rates, why not just go ahead and raise them? You are the Federal Reserve, after all." One of my goals today is to convince you that it is not that simple, and that changes in factors over which the Federal Reserve has little influence--such as technological innovation and demographics--are important factors contributing to both short- and long-term interest rates being so low at present.
There are at least three reasons why we should be concerned about such low interest rates. First...

Fischer At The Economic Club Of New York, New York, New York, October 17, 2016, Why Are Interest Rates So Low? Causes And Implications

dc CB 17:03 GMT October 17, 2016
IT IS ALL OVER. She already won

Remember me ranting about Oct 1, the date Obama gave away control of the Internet...and the 1st Ammendment implications.
___________________________________________________
Turned off Assange's internet.

CNNís Chris Cuomo told viewers it is illegal for them to possess emails leaked by the website WikiLeaks, and as a result they could not read them and had to rely entirely on the media to learn about their content.

PS: Chris Cuomo's brother Andrew is the Govenor of NY State.

CNN says it's ILLEGAL for you to read the Wikileaks/Hillary Clinton emails

GVI Trading john bland 16:53 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fischer
-- not in deep trouble on policy
-- Would not like to raise target level.
-- Should not mess with current framework.
-- Close to inflation target

Source: TTN

London AzaForex 16:49 GMT October 17, 2016
Day trading strategies on GOLD 10-17-2016 by AzaForex forex
Reply   


Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on GOLD 10-17-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Trading john bland 16:23 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

'Im surprised that Fischer did not say anything. Maybe he has become gun-shy? I don't take this as some sort of signal.

GVI Trading john bland 16:19 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fischer
-- Low rates make economy more vulnerable to shocks.
-- no comments on future timing of rate increases.

Source: TTN

HK [email protected] 16:16 GMT October 17, 2016
IT IS ALL OVER. She already won


Can that Republican mantra crying: "Oh she has already won", "Oh the election is so rigged and fixed". STOOOOP?

She will not win, most of the independent votes will go to trump, and Trump is the next president.

Plan your positions in accord!!!

dc CB 15:51 GMT October 17, 2016
IT IS ALL OVER. She already won

so FBI docs confirm Wikileaked emails.
__________________________________________
Reuters Mon Oct 17, 2016 - 10:48am EDT

Undersecretary of State Patrick Kennedy pressured the FBI to unclassify certain emails from Hillary Clinton's private server that were previously deemed classified, according to FBI documents released Monday that cited redacted sources.
In the documents, an unnamed person interviewed by the FBI said Kennedy contacted the FBI to ask for the change in classification in "exchange for a 'quid pro quo.'"

State Department's Kennedy pressured FBI to unclassify Clinton emails: FBI documents

GVI Forex Blog 15:41 GMT October 17, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

GVI Trading john bland 17:03 GMT October 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:: Reply
Rig Counts continue to rise

GVI Trading john bland 17:02 GMT October 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:: Reply
US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count
U.S. Data Charts

ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 539 vs 524 (+15) prev
US (oil): 432 vs. 428 (+4) prev

-
and the so what trading opp lesson:
monday crude promptly goes S of $50 by 54 cents, or 1.1%, to $49.81/bbl.

global-view puts out a LOT of data, be it economic or financial.
making use of it and turning it into a trade is a personal responsibility

GVI Trading john bland 14:18 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

I missed Fischer when calendar was loaded, but I have been including his speech on the Forum.

Mtl JP 14:15 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

respectfully... gv econ calendar giving risk rationf of "A" to
17/10/16 17:35 A EZ Draghi con: n/a pre: n/a
is probably an unwarranted over-rating.

Cretin mario is scheduled to spew (along w/weidman) some "welcoming remarks"

Not sure why mario is on the calendar but not fischer who spouts before him.

GVI Forex Blog 14:10 GMT October 17, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 18 October 2016
Reply   

October 17, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, October 18, 2016.

  • Far East: NZ- CPI
  • Europe: GB- CPI
  • North America: US- CPI, NAHB, TIC Data, API

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
17-Oct Mon
09:30 EZ- final HICP
13:15 US- Industrial Production
18-Oct Tue
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- CPI
19-Oct Wed
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 18 October 2016

Mtl JP 14:04 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading



heading into yr close and SnP 500 still has 2 ytd gaps left un-addressed

Q about SnP gap closes:
a) will they
b) won't they ?

tia

GVI Trading john bland 13:53 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

DAX -50
DJ-29
SP -3

10-yr 1.773% -1.8bp

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT October 17, 2016
American Debt

more moRE debt... = new trading opp
ps / PAR try collecting from someone who can print, is aggressive and who is nuclear armed ?
good luck sister

PAR 13:44 GMT October 17, 2016
American Debt
Reply   
American debt is becoming unsustainable , whoever is elected president will have to cope with that problem .

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

john bland 13:28 yes he has.
Lets use him to try to make some posipips.

dc CB 13:29 GMT October 17, 2016
IT IS ALL OVER. She already won

WikiLeaks

@wikileaks

Julian Assange's internet link has been intentionally severed by a state party. We have activated the appropriate contingency plans.
1:33 AM - 17 Oct 2016

Unknown "State Party" Cuts Julian Assange's Internet Connection

GVI Trading john bland 13:28 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

Fischer has been sending misleading hawkish signals for well over a year. Take what he says with a grain of salt. Janet is calling the shots.

LONDON SFH 13:28 GMT October 17, 2016
Euros days numbered

jp

The EU project as you call it is over 40 years old and that is longer than most of Europe has ever managed to keep the same borders so its historical comparisons stand up pretty well so far..

dc CB 13:26 GMT October 17, 2016
IT IS ALL OVER. She already won

Get Ready For Hillary

RT London

Mtl JP 13:19 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

I am currently and still keeping robot to trade eurdlr from the short side only.

Just noticed hopefully useful for making some posi-pips cretin Fischer is scheduled to yak 15mins after NY noon. Hold on...
TOPIC: low interests

GVI Trading john bland 13:19 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Industrial Production misses modestly.

GVI Trading john bland 13:17 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization September 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Ind Production: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.40% (r -0.50 ) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 75.4% vs. 75.6 exp. vs. 75.50% (r 75.30%) prev.


RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 13:05 GMT October 17, 2016
Euros days numbered

Issing's ECB comments may get a new application "if" Portugal gets downgraded -- still surprised that sovereigns and their bureaucrats care about ratings agencies

Mtl JP 12:59 GMT October 17, 2016
Euros days numbered

SFH - remember my post to "frannkfurt" ? :-)

sometimes one reads things on g-v first before anywhere else !
-
re euro, ecb and EU:
this is a concept that goes back now I think around 60 years.
Europe has had the misfortune of being populated by a small group of people who think of themselves as "royal"... "leaders" ... "elites"...
I call them "princes".

And this unfortunate group of people think they are necessary to guide others in how to lead their lives. The french word for them is "dirigist".
One such example is the character that currently prances around as French PM Hollande.

The EU and their Euro is nothing more than a modern day version of their older-days castles: control over and taxation of their "subjects".

In the meantime... re Euro: it is a just a current tool to be (ab)used to generate , preferably, "wealth". No-one beside the ultimate clueless adherents / zealots / useful idiot believers in the EU project should shed a tear if n when the project collapses. The only loss will be similar to that compared to the monetary exchange between "ancien franc" and "nouveau franc" in 1918 - 1928 France.

I dare suggest you and I have only one duty: to exploit for profit the "elites", their project and the project's tool (euro) and to preserve any thusly accumulated wealth.

Livingston nh 12:40 GMT October 17, 2016
Euros days numbered

SFH - thanx - wary of excuse for short covering

nw kw 12:39 GMT October 17, 2016
FED - BIG US BANKS

US economy all I can find usa lumber in demand from builders indicating fed can move.

Haifa ac 12:35 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Empire always strikes back.

LONDON SFH 12:32 GMT October 17, 2016
Euros days numbered

Hi nh

I am pretty sure this one will quickly wing its way to the highest court so a final ruling will be taken...whatever happens this week will be appealed so just an indication..

PAR 12:31 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Yellen s idea of running a Red Hot US economy ? LOL

GVI Trading john bland 12:31 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Empire PMI much weaker than expected.

GVI Trading john bland 12:30 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Empire PMI October 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-6.8 vs. -1.00 vs. -1.99 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 12:25 GMT October 17, 2016
Euros days numbered

SFH - any thots on this week's decision by the UK court on Parliament role in Brexit negotiation? Is there an appeal process available?

LONDON SFH 12:21 GMT October 17, 2016
Euros days numbered
Reply   
Euro...

About the euros future

PAR 12:19 GMT October 17, 2016
FED - BIG US BANKS
Reply   
Fed speak helping US banks make big trading profits .

Fed is there for the banks profits not for the American people or the US economy , just to help US banks make profits.

GVI Trading john bland 11:56 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

October 17 Speech -- Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer
Low Interest Rates At the Economic Club of New York Luncheon, New York, New York 12:15 p.m. ET

PAR 11:37 GMT October 17, 2016
BAC
Reply   
Again big earnings beat on fixed income trading . US banks seem to be brilliant traders .

GVI Trading 11:24 GMT October 17, 2016
Sterling trade jumped three times on day of "flash crash" -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"Oct 17 Sterling traded more than three times its daily average for the past three months against the dollar in the 24 hours following a dramatic 10-percent collapse on Oct 7, Thomson Reuters said on Monday.

Thomson Reuters' Matching system is one of the main venues where banks and other major financial institutions trade the pound. The company does not give detailed breakdowns of volumes for particular currencies publicly.

The Matching system showed sterling falling as low as $1.1491 on the day of the crash..."

Sterling trade jumped three times on day of "flash crash" -- Reuters.com

GVI Trading 11:14 GMT October 17, 2016
Bond yields grind to highest since June, stocks wince -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"World stocks started the week in the red Monday as the dollar touched a 7-month high and U.S. and European government bond yields - the main driver of global borrowing costs - climbed to their highest since June.

Riskier assets have had a difficult few weeks, undermined by concerns about a potential rise in U.S. interest rates, the outcome of U.S. elections, Britain's departure from the EU and the health of German and Italian banks..."

Bond yields grind to highest since June, stocks wince -- Reuters.com

GVI Trading john bland 09:33 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

Equities Risk-Off
DAX: -79
DJ: -69
SP: -8

10-yr 1.805% +1.4bp

nw kw 09:16 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

18-Oct Tue/ market looking at eur trade deal for cad, if eur can accomplish this its indication eur might start to work as union? long euraud looking tempting?

GVI Trading john bland 09:11 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading

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GVI Forex Blog 09:04 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ Final HICP Unrevised
Reply   
EZ Final HICP. Headline HICP unrevised.

BREAKING NEWS: EZ Final HICP Unrevised

GVI Trading john bland 09:01 GMT October 17, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Final EZ HICP (CPI) September 2016





ALERT

yy: +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.

HICP core
yy: +0.80% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 08:34 GMT October 17, 2016
Monday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

17-Oct Mon
09:30 EZ- final HICP
13:15 US- Industrial Production
18-Oct Tue
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- CPI
19-Oct Wed
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Trading Themes--
  • U.K. Gilt yields are up sharply today on worry about higher inflation due to the weaker GBP. The BOE has made it clear that it would ignore for now an inflation overshoot.

  • Today sees Industrial Production and the Empire State PMI from the U.S.

  • Friday saw mixed data from the U.S. Nevertheless, the USD ended the week with forward momentum. Fed Chair Yellen sent no signals in her mid-afternoon speech, which turned out to be a purely academic presentation. Maybe there is significance in that she had no signal to send?

  • As for the U.S. Presidential election contest, it seems the Republican party leadership sees it as a lost cause are are focusing now on trying to salvage the House and Senate races.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


    CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

GVI Forex Blog 08:23 GMT October 17, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Haifa ac 07:32 GMT October 17, 2016
IT IS ALL OVER. She already won
Reply   
According to Washington Post this morning:

WASH POST LEAD MONDAY: CLINTON ALREADY WON!
As Trump stumbles, Clinton weighs a striking choice: Expand the map or stick to the plan

By John Wagner, Abby Phillip and Jose A. DelReal October 16 at 6:58 PM
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton faces a striking choice in the final three weeks of the campaign: to expand her efforts to states that Democrats havenít won in a generation, or to stay a current course that, if conditions hold, would deliver her a resounding electoral college victory.
After two tumultuous weeks focused on Donald Trumpís behavior toward women, Clinton is ahead in nearly all of the key battleground states where her campaign has directed the most resources, according to many recent polls. But some once-solidly Republican states ó notably Arizona, Georgia and Utah ó now also appear to be in play.
Clinton aides said they see advantages to running up the score in the electoral college, where 270 votes wins the White House. Victories in unexpected places could boost that total, handing her more of a mandate come January and decreasing
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-trump-stumbles-clinton-weighs-a-striking-choice-expand-the-map-or-stick-to-the-plan/2016/10/16/f0f77470-93a7-11e6-bb29-bf2701dbe0a3_story.html


Trade accordingly.

LONDON SFH 07:26 GMT October 17, 2016
what a tosser
Reply   
Politicains...

Boris Johnson

PAR 07:19 GMT October 17, 2016
ECB - Deutsche Bank
Reply   
ECB to do new stress test for Deutsche Bank with exact figures ?

Hong Kong 06:45 GMT October 17, 2016
AceTrader Oct 17: Daily Recommendations on Major EUR/USD
Reply   
Update Time: 17 Oct 2016 05:20 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0971
Euro's resumption of recent downtrend to a fresh 10-week trough of 1.0970 near Friday's New York close, then to 1.0964 in Asia today suggests price would remain under pressure and head to key daily sup at 1.0912 (June's low) after consolidation, oversold condition is likely to prevent steep fall today and reckon 1.0880/85 would contain weakness.

Expect 1.1025/30 to hold and yield aforesaid decline and only above 1.1060 (Friday's high in Australia) would dampen present bearish scenario on the euro.

Mtl JP 01:16 GMT October 17, 2016
Fed Policy Back In Play Once Again

nh what about who counts the votes and
how significant is the ectronic aspect of voting ?

Livingston nh 00:34 GMT October 17, 2016
Fed Policy Back In Play Once Again

There are two things that some folks don't understand about this election -- because of the Electoral College it is possible to be crushed in states like California and New York (coastal elites) and still emerge victorious, it is a very tricky process especially before the census readjustments

The second thing is the 3rd party aspect of this race - John Anderson and Ross Perot (some folks throw in Nader in 2000 altho GORE was so bad he couldn't even win his HOME state of TN -- George Wallace actually took Electoral Votes

There are no issues just personality on offer here so WHO votes is the KEY - is this a country of deplorables or a country of elites?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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