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Forex Forum Archive for 10/18/2016

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Livingston nh 22:36 GMT October 18, 2016
Rate Hikes hit mailboxes first week in Nov

About 10 years after ERISA was passed I gave a speech in a ski resort in Vermont to insurance executives -- I veered from the basic subject to warn of the Federal encroachment of their business and in particular the IRS -- NEVER was the response

SO here we are

Livingston nh 22:13 GMT October 18, 2016
Rate Hikes hit mailboxes first week in Nov

Insurance and pharmaceutical companies missed the memo - folks that can do things for you can do things to you // freeze the price - no problem

Dillon AL 22:11 GMT October 18, 2016
Rate Hikes hit mailboxes first week in Nov

Although I am not allowed to vote (but can own a gun!) I sincerely hope that CO votes yes to amendment 69 the introduction of a free paid for out of taxation (estimated at $25 billion) for all in CO . No excess No deductible thus bringing on board all those not currently covered both the young infirm and elderly over 500k in all. Add in the dwindling choice of insurers and their exorbitant 20% (currently estimated that those who do subscribe pay 35 billion) compound increase and voting yes is a no brainer.

dc CB 21:51 GMT October 18, 2016
Rate Hikes hit mailboxes first week in Nov
Reply   
Oct. 18, 2016 4:25 p.m. ET

WASHINGTON—Finalized rates for big health insurance plans around the country show the magnitude of the challenge facing the Obama administration as it seeks to stabilize the insurance market under the Affordable Care Act in its remaining weeks in office.

Market leaders that are continuing to sell coverage through HealthCare.gov or a state equivalent have been granted average premium increases of 30% or more in Alabama, Delaware, Hawaii, Kansas, Mississippi and Texas, according to information published by state regulators and on a federal site designed to highlight rate increases of 10% or more.

In states including Arizona, Illinois, Montana, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania and Tennessee, the approved rate increases for the market leader top 50%. In New Mexico, the Blue Cross Blue Shield plan agreed to resume selling plans through the online exchanges after sitting out last year, but has been allowed to increase rates 93% on their 2015 level.

Dominant insurers in Connecticut, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland and Oregon have been allowed to raise premiums by 20% or more, and rate increases from similarly situated carriers in Colorado, Florida and Idaho are brushing up against that threshold.

Democratic Gov. Mark Dayton told local reporters that the law is “become unaffordable for many Minnesotans, a growing number with these rate hikes” and that federal and state action is necessary.

House Speaker Paul Ryan, a Wisconsin Republican, has gone further and said the insurance markets are already in a “death spiral,’” and that “we’re going to have to change this thing.”

WSJ

Livingston nh 21:39 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP - FIE on goodness FIE - it's not the earth the meek inherit; its the dirt

Vlad will learn

Mtl JP 21:33 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

nh u forgot to honor mention Vladimir (TIME mags Peacemaker Man of the Year lol)

Livingston nh 21:28 GMT October 18, 2016
EXPERT expectations
Reply   
If you trade s/t then expectations misses either side can be critical to a position BUT these expectations are the cumulative GUESSEs of alleged experts // the reality on the ground is more important and that is usually discernible by just looking around

Livingston nh 21:03 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

CRUDE - let's see -- 2 things -- OPEC having a problem ahead of the MEETING can't agree on Production (IRAN IRAQ and VZ) and N. Amer drillers coming back // so wk to wk moves can't change LT SUPPLY ( the PROBLEM)

GVI Trading john bland 20:38 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Large draw when a build was expected.

GVI Trading john bland 20:36 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly -3.800 mn vs. +2.400 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 20:33 GMT October 18, 2016
Wednesday Trading

WTI spiking higher. Suggests API data saw a draw.

GVI Trading john bland 19:52 GMT October 18, 2016
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Livingston nh 19:48 GMT October 18, 2016
US Debt

PAR - that is the conundrum - there is a demand for Treasurys BUT the Fed refuses to release its holdings -- Yellen has indicated that more extreme measures may be required in a recession --- SO the Treasury could push $5 trio out the door as long as the Fed is ready to buy

Until the money starts to move you won't get inflation BUT when it does MOVE........ that's when it ends BADLY

GVI Trading john bland 19:46 GMT October 18, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
19-Oct Wed
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
00:30 AU- Employment
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Trading Themes--
  • Wednesday features: Chinese GDP, U.K. Employment, key U.S. Housing statistics, and a Bank of Canada policy Decision.

  • Markets have turned cautious in the early days of this week ahead of the final U.S. Presidential debate Wednesday evening in Las Vegas. It is unlikely to change the course of the election. The Republican party is now focused on trying to salvage the House and Senate races.

  • Bond yields have turned lower following mixed September CPI data. Both the Fed and BOE have started to made it clear that they will ignore an inflation overshoot to get their economies growing again.

  • On Friday Fed Chair Yellen sent no signals in a speech, which turned out to be mostly academic. Indirectly, she seemed to be preparing the markets for a sustained period of above target inflation. Keep your ears perked for more on this.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


GVI Forex Blog 19:41 GMT October 18, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

PAR 19:38 GMT October 18, 2016
US Debt

So the US issues debt and pays the FED to buy its debt as itlooks few others are willing to buy it. Where does it all ends ?

GVI Forex Blog 19:32 GMT October 18, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

Israel Dil 19:31 GMT October 18, 2016
US elections + Italian bellyup = Welcome Spring 2017
Reply   
Clinton or/and Trump are perfect partners for the banksters, both will grant the banksters the WILD CARD to let the world's economies enter GLOBAL MELTDOWN.

Saudi prince executed, for murder and Pamela Anderson being accused for poisoning WIKILEAK founder.

Livingston nh 19:31 GMT October 18, 2016
AUD/USD

Although I disagree w/ IMF on nearly everything I agree w/ you // the currency has weakened since it joined the reserve currencies and has not been much of a topic since last year's meltdown

Sydney ACC 19:23 GMT October 18, 2016
AUD/USD

Both the RBA and IMF have recently expressed concerns regarding the ballooning of Chinese debt relative to GDP.
China releases data relative to GDP later today. While the FX market has overlooked negative news on Chine until now will be interesting to see the ramifications if any relative to today's news.
One to watch in any event.

Livingston nh 19:13 GMT October 18, 2016
STOX

Yields are declining - not supporting USD -- BUT STOX keep rolling along?

Livingston nh 18:55 GMT October 18, 2016
STOX

Chart turned Negative 15 minutes ago -- internals still positive BUT see how this works into close

Livingston nh 18:38 GMT October 18, 2016
US Debt

The FED pays money (i.e., US currency) for US Treasurys - currency is NOT debt but Treasurys are currency w/ a coupon - so in effect the Fed is reducing the sellers future cash stream (tightening) // Models don't pick this up

Livingston nh 18:33 GMT October 18, 2016
US Debt

PAR - no they don't because everything reverts at no cost to the Treasury -- this is a partial explanation for Yellen's reluctance to sell off Treasurys from the balance sheet - her expression of a Fed debate about "inflation expectations" rising if said Treasurys were sold is bogus IF her goal is 2% TARGET

PAR 18:28 GMT October 18, 2016
US Debt

But to buy that debt the FED creates IOY s which basically is new debt ?

Livingston nh 18:25 GMT October 18, 2016
US Debt

Under the Obama administration Fed bought $2.5 trillion in debt so real debt increase was reduced by same - this is the NEW Paradigm

PAR 18:16 GMT October 18, 2016
US Debt
Reply   
Under Obama administration US debt increased by $ 6.5 trillion.
That deserves a Nobel Prize.

Livingston nh 17:38 GMT October 18, 2016
AUD/USD
Reply   
Aussie getting back near the 77 level that has been tough -- selling near or above for a move back to 75 has worked

HK [email protected] 17:22 GMT October 18, 2016
Bankrupt but still kicking!


With the UK sunk into the Sh!t of Brexit, and the US sunk into the sh!t of Wikileaks:"Expect the unexpected".
Likely nothing will happen, but:....

Such an event may trigger a serious conflict(if running out of hand).

Gold may respond "IF".

HK [email protected] 17:11 GMT October 18, 2016
Bankrupt but still kicking!
Reply   


Navy prepares to scramble as Russian nuclear battleship heads TOWARDS UK.

Russia's defence ministry said the fleet would "respond to new types of modern threats like piracy and international terrorism".

LINK

Paris ib 17:02 GMT October 18, 2016
Whatever Happens

CB... when you think this through it's just grotesque, isn't it?

Paris ib 17:02 GMT October 18, 2016
Whatever Happens

.

Updating that speech

dc CB 17:01 GMT October 18, 2016
Whatever Happens

If Clinton wins, when Congress returns there will be a gazillion "hearing" about what has come out in recent days. Wikileaks may be dismissed as a Rooskie Tool but the FBI files will not go away.
Hillary won't even be sworn in and already there will be congressional investigations.

One thing that can be done for her, if she wins, is for Obama to immediately Pardon Her for everything and anything. H#ll, he might even pardon her if she loses, just to shut down the investigations.
Either way, it will not sit well.

HK [email protected] 16:54 GMT October 18, 2016
UK; A sinking ship, wants to bully/ fight Russia.
Reply   

Or another way to deflect away public opinion from the grave state of the nation.

O. will not give peanuts to the UK.
Wait for Trump for some help, if any.

Or forget about Brexit. No other explanation for GBP today strength.

GVI Trading john bland 16:52 GMT October 18, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

10-yr 1.749% -1.7bp

Paris ib 16:50 GMT October 18, 2016
Whatever Happens
Reply   
Whatever happens at the U.S. election the atmosphere is so poisoned that nothing good will come of it. Neither side will lose gracefully. The political atmosphere is poisoned by intimations of corruption (on a grand scale on the Clinton side of things) and thuggery and poor behaviour and collusion with the media. I don't see how this can end well. If Trump wins the Clinton camp is not going to just slink off. All the 'woman' and 'liberal' side will believe that rednecks and white supremists have won the election. If Clinton wins the Trump camp will see vote stealing and media collusion and the whole kebang. This election and the way it has been run has damaged the United States in the United States and around the world. I hope U.S. voters are outraged by what has been done.

USD implications? Bearish. Treasury implications? Bearish.

The Ongoing B.S. the Americans get told over and over

London AzaForex 16:21 GMT October 18, 2016
Day trading strategies on currency pair USDTRY 10-18-2016 by
Reply   


Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Day trading strategies on currency pair USDTRY 10-18-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

dc CB 16:19 GMT October 18, 2016
He doesn't like!!!

Sergei Lavrov Accuses UK Government Of Pressuring RBS To Block RT Bank Accounts

dc CB 16:18 GMT October 18, 2016
He doesn't like!!!

*OBAMA SAYS REPORTS OF FBI-STATE COLLUSION ON CLINTON NOT TRUE.

GVI Forex Blog 16:07 GMT October 18, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

dc CB 16:07 GMT October 18, 2016
He doesn't like!!!

The last 100-page release is the fourth installment of documents related to the Clinton email probe recently released by the FBI.

Despite the uproar the release sparked due to the bribery allegations, some news organizations took particular interest in the FBI document’s mention of “the Shadow Government,” a group of “very high-ranking STATE officials that some referred to as ‘The 7th Floor Group’ or ‘The Shadow Government.’”

According to the FBI probe, “[t]his group met every Wednesday afternoon to discuss the FOIA process, Congressional records, and everything CLINTON-related to FOIA/Congressional inquiries.”

members of the Shadow Government included Kennedy and “several former attorneys from the law firm that has represented [Clinton] in this investigation, Williams & Connolly LLP,” suggesting Clinton’s legal representatives may have influenced the FBI much like Kennedy attempted to.

In the FBI’s summary, the Shadow Government is said to have urged the FBI to drop the investigation documents all at once “for coordination purposes.” This information comes from an unidentified person, the FBI documents claim.

FBI Docs Expose "Shadow Government" Protected Hillary In Email Investigation

dc CB 16:01 GMT October 18, 2016
He doesn't like!!!

cutting off free speech? well you can complain to, to, to,...where is it that you bring those complaints????.
___________________________________________________
Obviously, despite their efforts, cutting off Assange's internet access has done nothing to slow the release of emails.
Another 1,894 Podesta Emails In Part 11 Of Data Dump; Total Is Now 17,150
__________________________________________________

According to Reuters, Ecuador's President Rafael Correa has been an ardent supporter of Assange's right to free speech though he admits to having a personal relationship with Hillary Clinton and has suggested he would like for her to win the U.S. presidency.

"The government of leftist President Rafael Correa has long backed Assange's right to free speech, though the Wikileaks saga has caused some strain in relations with the United States, including the expulsion of diplomats in 2011.

"For the good of the United States and the world ... I would like Hillary to win," Correa told broadcaster Russia Today last month.

GVI Trading john bland 15:40 GMT October 18, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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HK Kwun 15:23 GMT October 18, 2016
Watch EUR
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1261 Target: Stop: 1271

Sell now

HK [email protected] 14:48 GMT October 18, 2016
He doesn't like!!!
Reply   

WikiLeaks: Kerry appealed to Ecuador to stop Assange

By RUDY TAKALA (@RUDYTAKALA) • 10/18/16 10:03 AM

WikiLeaks claimed on Tuesday that Secretary of State John Kerry personally appealed to Ecuador to stop WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange from publishing information damaging to Hillary Clinton

"Multiple US sources tell us John Kerry asked Ecuador to stop Assange from publishing Clinton docs during FARC peace negotiations," WikiLeaks said in a message on Twitter. Kerry was involved with negotiations aimed at ceasing hostilities with the Marxist guerrilla group.

WikiLeaks added in a second message, "The John Kerry private meeting with Ecuador was made on the sidelines of the negotiations which took place [principally] on Sep 26 in Colombia."

LINK

GVI Trading john bland 14:46 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

UK High Court ends Article 50 Hearings. Plans to give ruling ASAP

-- TTN

GVI Forex Blog 14:38 GMT October 18, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 19 October 2016
Reply   

October 18, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, October 19, 2016.

  • Far East: AU- Employment, GDP
  • Europe: GB- Employment
  • North America: CA- BOC, US- Mortgages, House Starts/Permits, EIA Crude, Beige Bookk, Presidential Debate

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
19-Oct Wed
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 19 October 2016

GVI Trading john bland 14:16 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Report shooting incident in Dueren, Germany. No details other than police deployed.

- TTN

Mtl JP 14:15 GMT October 18, 2016
Deutsche Bank

PAR sometimes I love your sense of humour
this is one of them :-)

BUT.... arguably, it is better to try to get filthy rich off the medatious cretins and ultimate cleanout-ing process.

Good trades 2 u sister!

PAR 14:06 GMT October 18, 2016
Deutsche Bank
Reply   
Deutsche wobble poses ETF counterparty risk questions.
I want my money back .

GVI Trading john bland 14:01 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

NAHB dead on estimates.

GVI Trading john bland 14:00 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. NAHB Index October 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
63 vs. 63 exp. vs. 65 (r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 13:37 GMT October 18, 2016
STOX
Reply   
Opening gaps on S&P nearly a daily occurrence and today's gap was almost 15 points -- these moves are on lower volume and no news -- range traps

smoke but no flame yet

PAR 13:33 GMT October 18, 2016
The Empire Strikes Back

CB are replacing productivity growth by exploding DEBT .

Productivity Growth brings wealth . Debt brings misery and poverty.

GVI Trading john bland 13:33 GMT October 18, 2016
EURUSD

Red- good to see you. Could you explain? tia

london red 13:16 GMT October 18, 2016
EURUSD

over 2 yards of 1.10 expires today and in fact lrg 1.10s all week.

GVI Trading john bland 12:50 GMT October 18, 2016
Tuesday Trading

DAX +135
DJ +105
SP +16

GVI Trading john bland 12:46 GMT October 18, 2016
Breaking News: U.S. CPI Mixed Vs. Forecasts

S&P up and 10-yr yield declines to 1.763% -0.3bp on data.

Amman wfakhoury 12:43 GMT October 18, 2016
EURUSD
Reply   
EURUSD 11014 MAG any decline or rise will return to it.
10985 confirmed

GVI Forex Blog 12:41 GMT October 18, 2016
Breaking News: U.S. CPI Mixed Vs. Forecasts
Reply   
U.S. August CPI mixed vs. expectations.

Breaking News: U.S. CPI Mixed Vs. Forecasts

GVI Trading john bland 12:36 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

S&P higher on the data.

Ternopil SMV 12:34 GMT October 18, 2016
GBPUSD 12235 MAG

Mr. wfakhoury, do you confirmed level for eur/usd?

GVI Trading john bland 12:33 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

CPI narrowly mixed relative to estimates.

GVI Trading john bland 12:31 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. CPI September 2016

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. v 0.30% pre
y/y: +1.50% vs. +1.50% exp. v +1.10% pre
Core:
y/y: +2.20% vs. +2.30% exp. v +2.20% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 12:26 GMT October 18, 2016
The Empire Strikes Back

Crisis usually begets change - as CB wonks muck about in the fiscal/political realm they become much more exposed to retaliation from the politicians - it is starting (BBRG had a TV piece on CBs and populism earlier today) and Carney's dismissal of PM May's "warning" has stirred another response
LINK

Slowly slowly the political wheels turn

Amman wfakhoury 12:22 GMT October 18, 2016
GBPUSD 12235 MAG
Reply   
12235 MAG level ..any rise above it or decline below it will return to it.


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


HK [email protected] 12:17 GMT October 18, 2016
GBP/USD
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: NOW Target: 1.2600 Stop: 1.2200

.

LONDON SFH 12:06 GMT October 18, 2016
Brexit

PAR- Why good only for fixed income traders?

PAR 12:02 GMT October 18, 2016
Brexit

Brexit means Maybe Brexit or May be Brexit.

Good for the fixed income traders.

GVI Trading john bland 11:46 GMT October 18, 2016
Dollar falls off 7-month highs, sterling rebounds -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"LONDON, Oct 18 The dollar slipped from a seven-month high against a basket of currencies on Tuesday, following U.S. Treasury yields lower as a sell-off in global bond markets took a pause for breath.

Sterling jumped 1 percent in volatile trade after a British government lawyer said parliament would "very likely" have to ratify any deal to take Britain out of the European Union, and following stronger-than-expected inflation numbers..."

GVI Trading 11:44 GMT October 18, 2016
UK lawmakers will very likely have to ratify final Brexit deal: government lawyer -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"Britain's parliament will "very likely" have to ratify the country's eventual agreement with the European Union when it leaves the bloc, a British government lawyer said on Tuesday, boosting the battered pound on currency markets.

"The government view at the moment is it is very likely that any such agreement will be subject to ratification," James Eadie, who is representing Prime Minister Theresa May's government, told the High Court in London.

He was speaking on the third day of a legal challenge by campaigners who say parliament - not ministers - should have the right to start the formal, two-year divorce procedure by triggering Article 50 of the EU Lisbon Treaty..."

UK lawmakers will very likely have to ratify final Brexit deal: government lawyer -- Reuters.com

LONDON SFH 10:37 GMT October 18, 2016
Brexit

The verdict isn't irrelevant...the volatility aside it makes the UK a laughing stock and a banana republic as a place to do business. ONCE it gets to the Commons whatever they vote, the Lords can delay for up to a year....

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 10:31 GMT October 18, 2016
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london red 10:30 GMT October 18, 2016
Brexit

verdict is irrelevant apart from adding some volatility. almost certain MPs will vote with a large majority against brexit, while PM will use her prerogative power despite the verdict. there will be a brexit despite the efforts of big business. as for cable, there are some stops abv 12330, once tripped worth a fade. daily and even hourly close abv there unlikely.

London Misha 10:07 GMT October 18, 2016
Brexit
Reply   
Hearing - now contrary report...UK Attorney General says UK Governemnt & EU could agree Brexit takes place without UK Parliamentary approval

LONDON SFH 10:02 GMT October 18, 2016
Brexit

Brexit all in a legal mire.... Great work UK Inc

GVI Trading john bland 09:58 GMT October 18, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Equities: Risk-On
DAX +121
DJ +67
SP +10

10-yr
1.773% +0.7bp

London Misha 09:57 GMT October 18, 2016
Brexit
Reply   
Hearing - UK Attorney General says 'very likely' that Brexit will require ratification by MPs...possibly House of Lords as well.

LONDON SFH 09:35 GMT October 18, 2016
Clinton has the moves
Reply   
This made me laugh...

Hillaryious

kl shawn 09:12 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

fs, that could change in a blink of an eye
SFH, mug's game. i like that

LONDON SFH 09:10 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

fs-yes i think we are close to a temporary bottom...more talk on Brexit could resume selling tho'

Stable for now as this court case rumbles on but as I read on 1 commentary this morning trading Sterling right now is somewhat a "mug's game"

kl fs 09:05 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SFH, downside is over for now for cable you reckon? seems stabilising and slight upside bias

LONDON SFH 08:59 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

bali sja 08:55 GMT 10/18/2016

We are at 2% RPI now.....when the FX devaluation comes in we are looking at inflation headlines of 3-4% or more this time next year. 70% of economist forecasting rate cuts from the BOE.....theyve all lost their textbooks and have become headless chickens....Or just idiots

bali sja 08:55 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Carney has clearly said BOE will tolerate some inflation overshoot

GVI Forex Blog 08:40 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Inflation Higher Than Expected
Reply   
U.K. Headline y/y CPI hotter than expected. GBP up.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Inflation Higher Than Expected

GVI Trading john bland 08:33 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

UK inflation hotter than expected. GBP initially spikes higher.

GVI Trading john bland 08:31 GMT October 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.K. CPI September 2016

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
CPI y/y: +1.00% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 08:30 GMT October 18, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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GVI Trading john bland 08:10 GMT October 18, 2016
Tuesday Trading

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
18-Oct Tue
08:30 GB- CPI
12:30 US- CPI
19-Oct Wed
00:30 AU- Employment
02:00 CN- GDP
08:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
14:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
20-Oct Thu
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
12:30 US- Philly Fed
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
21-Oct Fri
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Trading Themes--
  • As for the U.S. Presidential election contest, the msrket is waiting now for the third and final Presidential debate on Wednesday evening from Las Vegas. It is unlikely to fundamentally to change the course of the election. Republican party leadership sees the vote now as a lost cause and are focused on trying to salvage the House and Senate races.

  • Bond yields Monday turned lower following a speech by Fed Vice-Chair Fischer, which appeared to be less hawkish than in the recent past. He explained at great length why global interest rates are lower than typically they would otherwise have been. Both the Fed and BOE have started to made it clear that they would ignore for now an inflation overshoot to get their economies growing again.

  • On Friday Fed Chair Yellen sent no signals in a speech, which turned out to be mostly academic. Indirectly, she seemed to be preparing the markets for a sustained period of above target inflation. Keep your ears perked for more on this.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founder Global-View.com


bali sja 07:57 GMT October 18, 2016
Wednesday Trading

JP, anything for loonie?

GVI Forex Blog 07:50 GMT October 18, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

Mtl JP 07:26 GMT October 18, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   
european stox open uP about 0.6/0.7 %
eauro touched 1.1023 3x , but no enthusiasm to go higher so whateven stops there things done for now.
I am keeping eur/dlr robot constrained to trade short only.

bali sja 04:29 GMT October 18, 2016
“Don’t wait!”... “Prices will skyrocket after Crooked Hillary gets in.”

what? sounds like get rich quick scheme...
may see 9xx first instead

Hong Kong 04:00 GMT October 18, 2016
AceTrader Oct 18: Intra-Day News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
18 Oct 2016 03:13GMT

USD/JPY - The greenback fell ahead of Tokyo open, price briefly penetrated New York low at 103.80 and staged a minor recovery, however, broad-based usd's weakness in early Asian trading quickly knocked price to intra-day low of 103.68 before rebounding on cross-selling in yen.

The pair came under selling pressure in early New York trading on Mon after downbeat U.S. New York Fed mfg index, price later hit session lows of 103.80 on dovish comments by Fed Vice Chair Fischer (see earlier update).

Although intra-day usd's broad-based weakness in Asia suggests downside bias remains, daily outlook remains consolidative and range trading inside recent range is expected ahead of release of U.S. inflation data at 12:30GMT where Sep m/m CPI is expected to come in at 0.3% vs previous reading of 0.2%, if the actual data comes in higher than forecast, then dlr would be supported.

Offers are tipped at 103.95/00 and more above with stops above 104.50.
Initial bids are noted at 103.65-55 with stops below 103.30

HK [email protected] 03:38 GMT October 18, 2016
“Don’t wait!”... “Prices will skyrocket after Crooked Hillary gets in.”
Reply   

Which means, civil war on sight, which means USD and STOX may collapse.

Gold/Yen long against USD few days B4 elections!!!

In other words: Trump wins=Gold UP; Clinton wins=Gold UP

dc CB 02:49 GMT October 18, 2016
Beating Dead Horses



In an advertisement over the weekend in the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Westside Armory said it was holding the sale on tactical rifles.

“Don’t wait!” the advertisement reads. “Prices will skyrocket after Crooked Hillary gets in.”

The advertisement shows a picture of a Smith & Wesson M&P Sport II, a semiautomatic tactical rifle, which the store is selling for $699.99.

A Las Vegas gun store is offering a "pre-Hillary sale

Mtl JP 02:28 GMT October 18, 2016
Beating Dead Horses

nh... suggest lets try to make profitable trade use off these "experts"
whenever possible.
today fischer was as slippery as an eel: I made no posi-pips off him.

Livingston nh 00:26 GMT October 18, 2016
Beating Dead Horses
Reply   


All the Fed rationalizing its inaction can't be blamed on DATA -- see the CHART -- Consider that all this time (7 years ) maybe the Fed is more a cause than a cure (see the period from 1994 to 2000) -- Fischer's "not our fault" speech rings hollow

HK [email protected] 00:00 GMT October 18, 2016
Hillary Clinton: Her scandals are reaching biblical proportions.
Reply   


100% Clinton is going to lose this elections.

When this outcome will be clear, there will be no use anymore of financing/propping up Stox.

Attempt to crash Stox just to scare against Trump being elected, should not be excluded too.

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
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