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Forex Forum Archive for 10/29/2016

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GVI Trading john bland 22:11 GMT October 29, 2016
Tuesday Trading

i heard that question and reply in the HOL testimony. Although he did not answer the Q directly, I got the definite impression he has fixing to leave. If he were planning to stay, he would never have brought up his personal considerations because there would not have been any.

Furthermore, the "diplomatic" way to step down is to cite personal reasons, and Carney is very diplomatic.

Mtl JP 21:46 GMT October 29, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Mtl JP 14:33 GMT October 25, 2016
Tuesday Trading: Reply
could the Governors cast doubt on the "rock star"s lifespan as BoC governor ? This cretin has been all fear about brexit... could not have been wronger

Speculation grows about Mark Carney's future at the Bank of England

Mtl JP 21:12 GMT October 29, 2016
I feel better already
Reply   
Friday, October 28, 2016 2:48PM EDT
TORONTO -- Ottawa will continue to monitor the real estate market and take the necessary actions to ensure that an uptick in interest rates or a decline in home prices don't threaten the country's financial stability, Federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau said Friday.
"I will continue to act to ensure that household debt levels are sustainable, that lenders are acting prudently and that increases in interest rates or a housing market downturn don't risk the economic growth we are working so hard to accelerate," Morneau said in a speech to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.
"These are not easy decisions, but I know they are the right thing to do." .../..

Finance Minister says Ottawa will continue to monitor housing market

Mtl JP 19:36 GMT October 29, 2016
US GDP???

Jay Meisler 16:14 so IF you are sifting thru it... how do you trade it so that by the time you sift it the trading train has not gone and u still have a chance at a trade ?

dc CB 18:13 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

3. It is possible that something so dramatic came up in the pertinent emails that postponing a public reaction by not announcing the reopening of the investigation would, be regarded as political interference by covering up a smoking gun until after the election. In this scenario, Comey is assuming the evidence cannot be suppressed, and that he would be held accountable after it comes out. This scenario also indicates that we could be headed for a constitutional crisis, involving the possible indictment of a president-elect before an election. Or the evidence being turned over to the House of Representatives for impeachment hearings.

3 competing theories on why the FBI re-opened the Hillary email server investigation

dc CB 17:57 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

According to the New Yorker, "Comey’s decision to make public new evidence that may raise additional legal questions about Clinton was contrary to the views of the Attorney General, according to a well-informed Administration official. Lynch expressed her preference that Comey follow the department’s longstanding practice of not commenting on ongoing investigations, and not taking any action that could influence the outcome of an election, but he said that he felt compelled to do otherwise."

Loretta Lynch Tried To Squash Comey's Letter To Congress

GVI Trading john bland 17:51 GMT October 29, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report



COT positions as of Tuesday 25 Oct...

Heavy shorts remained in EURUSD



Market longs JPY increased somewhat.



GBP positions still heavily short, but being trimmed.

Amsterdam NordFX 17:07 GMT October 29, 2016
Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for October 31 – November 4, 2016
Reply   
First, a review of last week’s forecast:

– giving forecast for EUR/USD, those 30% of experts, having suggested a possible rise of the pair, turned out to be right. As a reminder, such scenario was also backed by the graphical analysis, according to it a sideways movement of the pair within 1.0855–1.0915 should change to the upswing to the level of 1.0960. The level of 1.1100 was indicated as the next resistance level. Practically, that was exactly what happened: early in the week the pair was moving eastwards within the predetermined range, and then it went up, and toward the very end of the week it surged upward striving to reach the high of 1.1000. However, it failed to reach it, and it wrapped up the week 25 points above the first resistance level – at the level of 0.0985;

– GBP/USD. Here 80% of analysts reckoned that in the near future the pair would start declining first to the level of 1.2100, and then – to 1.2000. This happened on Tuesday, October 25, ahead of the speeches of the governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, and the president of the ECB, Mario Draghi. Just within 3 hours the pair lost almost 160 points and reached the bottom at the level of 1.2082, and then – in a similar rapid manner – it regained almost all losses, wrapping up the week around the one of the strongest October levels of support/resistance – at 1.2185;

– the forecast for USD/JPY could be reduced to two trends – first the pair’s rise to the level of 105.00, and then its declining to the support in the area of 103.20. Indeed, starting from Monday the pair went up and as early as Thursday it reached that high. On Friday it went up further 50 points, following which the bulls took well-deserved rest, and the bears, meeting almost no resistance, immediately pushed the pair 100 points down;

– as for the forecast for USD/CHF, the majority of analysts, indicators and the graphical analysis by common consent voted for another breakthrough of the pair to the north – up to the high of 1.0000, and then – rebound to the area of 0.9700-0.9800. The level of 0.9855 was indicated as the next support level. The forecast was if not 100%, then at least 99.98% accurately fulfilled, because the pair reached that very high of 0.9998 on Tuesday, October 25. The promised rebound also occurred – and exactly to the specified support as well. The pair ended the week at the level of 0.9875.

***
Forecast for the Upcoming Week:
Summing up the opinions of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be suggested:

– notwithstanding last week’s rise of the pair, 70% of experts continue to insist that the pair should anyway go down at least to the level of 1.0800. As for the indicators on H4 and D1, they have taken a neutral stance. However, the graphical analysis on H4 reckons that the pair, having moved down to the level of 1.0900, will reverse again to the north and will move towards the resistance of 1.1100. Around 30% of analysts agree to this scenario. At the same time, we should keep in mind that the upcoming week is busy in terms of significant economic events, including release of the United States Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday, November 2, and release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday, November 4. The upcoming USA presidential elections, scheduled for November 8, should also be taken into account. All these events can lead to great exchange rate fluctuations, which is fraught with not only large profit but also huge risks for traders;

– next week not only the US Fed, but also the Bank of England will announce its Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, November 3), however, the analysts don’t expect any surprises from it. As for their opinion on GBP/USD, around 70% of them point to the south, predicting the fall of the pair to the level of 1.2000, and maybe even 100 points lower. The indicators and the graphical analysis on D1 fully concur with this opinion. However, the latter deems it possible that before going down the pair can rise to the resistance of 1.2250. The next resistance will be at 1.2330.

– USD/JPY. For a fifth week in a row the experts have no consensus on the future of this pair: 45% vote for the pair’s rise to the area of 105.50–106.00, 25% - for its fall to the support of 102.80 and 30% - for a sideways trend. As for the indicators and the graphical analysis, they reckon that the pair will try to re-approach the resistance of 105.50, and then will literally nosedive – first to the support of 104.00, and then even lower – to the area of 102.40–102.80. But, as with both foregoing cases, here you should keep in mind the significant news from the USA, and also release of the Interest Rate Decisions of the Bank of Japan on Tuesday, November 1;

– as for the forecast for USD/CHF, around 70% of analysts believe that the pair should definitely return to the level of 1. 0000.The remaining 30% reckon that it hasn’t finished its temporary decline to the area of 0.9700–0.9800. The graphical analysis on H4, which believes that the decline can be even greater, also agrees with this scenario, and the pair will reach the bottom at the level of 0.9680. There is also a third opinion, according to which, due to the events mentioned above, in the near future the pair will just mirror EUR/USD acting, a negative correlation with which is most noticeable during the periods of heightened volatility.


Roman Butko, NordFX

Notice: These materials should not be deemed as a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets and they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and it can lead to loss of money deposited.


#forex #forex_forecast #eurusd #signals_forex #binary_options
http://nordfx.com/



dc CB 16:57 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

fun with Covers

Sat NY Post

dc CB 16:54 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump
It came out that Huma Abedin knows all about Hillary’s private illegal emails. Huma’s PR husband, Anthony Weiner, will tell the world.
11:50 AM - 3 Aug 2015

FBI Found "Tens Of Thousands Of Emails" Belonging To Huma Abedin On Weiner's Laptop

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 16:14 GMT October 29, 2016
US GDP???
Reply   
As I told those who attended our meeting, you have to sift through the GDP details to get the real story rather than just looking at the headline.

Headline GDP rose 2.9% but 1% of that growth was due to a one off event, soybean exports at the start of the summer. Without it, GDP was just +1.9%.

haifa ac 15:45 GMT October 29, 2016
Hillary LOVE FOR ALL AMERICANS
Reply   
She will embrace all the DEPLORABLES
She will hug all the IRREDEEMABLES
and now according to more wikileaks findings
She will love all the "F***ING DUMB YOUNG AMERICANS

here is the latest (and Assange says much more damaging stuff is coming soon):
Wikileaks Email: Hillary Campaign Struggles to Reach “F**king Dumb” Young People
A new email released by Wikileaks as part of the Podesta dump features Hillary ally Wendy Bronfein advising Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta on how to reach “f**king dumb” young people.

http://www.infowars.com/wikileaks-email-hillary-campaign-struggles-to-reach-fking-dumb-young-people/

This is really a LOVING AND COMPASIONATE PRRESIDENT OF THE PEOPLE. (some of the email coming talks how she disparages afro-American women--we shall see)

GVI Trading john bland 13:16 GMT October 29, 2016
"Bond Vigilantes"
Reply   
Vigilante - Wikipedia.com
"A vigilante is a civilian or organization acting in a law enforcement capacity (or in the pursuit of self-perceived justice) without legal authority."

GVI Trading 13:09 GMT October 29, 2016
Bond Traders Suffer Worst Rout in Three Years as Selloff Deepens
Reply   
"After all central bankers have done since the financial crisis to prop up bond prices, it didn’t take much for them to send the global debt market reeling.

Bonds worldwide lost 2.9 percent this month through Oct. 27, according to the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index, which tracks everything from sovereign obligations to mortgage-backed debt to corporate borrowings. The last time the bond world was dealt such a blow was May 2013, when then-Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled the central bank might slow its unprecedented bond buying.

Europe led the losses that reverberated worldwide this week as signs of accelerating inflation and economic growth spurred speculation that the European Central Bank and its major counterparts are moving closer to curbing monetary stimulus, including asset purchases. The result is that investors are abandoning one of the year’s biggest trades -- a bet on higher-yielding, long-term bonds -- as they wake up to the limits of central-bank demand that drove bond yields to record lows as recently as July..."

Bond Traders Suffer Worst Rout in Three Years as Selloff Deepens

GVI Trading 12:29 GMT October 29, 2016
U.S. stocks, dollar fall on FBI review of Clinton emails -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"Wall Street recovered some losses on Friday but still closed lower, with U.S. stocks and the dollar falling after the Federal Bureau of Investigation said it would probe additional emails related to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's use of a personal email server while secretary of state.

The dollar slipped against major currencies, including the Euro and the yen, but rose to three-week highs against the Mexican peso.

The markets, which have been pricing in a likely Clinton win against Republican candidate Donald Trump, were initially spooked by news that could be an advantage to Trump..."

U.S. stocks, dollar fall on FBI review of Clinton emails -- Reuters.com

HK [email protected] 10:15 GMT October 29, 2016
Kaine summarized it direct to the point!!!
Reply   

Tim Kaine said earlier: it's "very, very troubling" that the FBI is releasing information about a new probe into emails that may relate to Hillary Clinton just 11 days before the election.

So really now voters(especially the independent ones) are getting upset of troubling Hillary, and would like her to disappear with all her scandals and make America a Trouble Free country.

Haifa ac 06:43 GMT October 29, 2016
Hillary is the new Moshe Dayan
Reply   
The famous "glorios" commander who was admired by the whole world and turned out to be one of the most crooked generals there was.
History will decry and condemn Hillary the way Newt Gingrich describes her " an impudent iiar"

Mtl JP 01:21 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

ps what do u expect is the half life of Comey as FBI director now ?

Mtl JP 01:14 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

nh 00:00 so why campaign ?

Sydney ACC 00:13 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

In 2012 31.6% of the electorate voted early.
According to a CNN report published eleven hours ago 12.6 million of voters across 37 states had already voted.
Total votes cast in 2012 were 129 million. On that basis 10% of the electorate have already voted.

Livingston nh 00:00 GMT October 29, 2016
Clinton Urges FBI to Explain Emails

For the next 11 days --IGNORE the candidates .. the US electorate is locked in

 




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