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Forex Forum Archive for 11/02/2016

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dc CB 23:46 GMT November 2, 2016
This one will not help Clinton!!!

O'Donnell: KKK May Represent Views of Millions of Trump Voters

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xi6zK5wPe74

+++++++++++++++++

betting that the Stone are NOT giving permission to use their song in this Campaign

Duck and Cover boys...crawl under that school room desk...we be goin' nuklear on that Tall white boy from NewYark(sic)

said before but now the Theme Music (not allowed by the RS Lawyers) But can't escape it ....it be the Theme for the next 5'ver

if'n yr' deaf follow along you Yellen'ites

http://www.metrolyrics.com/winning-ugly-lyrics-rolling-stones.html

ring around the roses, pocket full of...ashes ashes the Goverment Falls Down

dc CB 22:28 GMT November 2, 2016
This one will not help Clinton!!!

you'll enjoy this one.

Anthony Weiner Huma Abeden's estranged husband, the guy with the laptop with 650,000 emails, some of which "may or may not" contain classified material, entered a Sex Addiction Rehab facility in Forida....he was not thrown into jail pending the investigation.

HK [email protected] 22:16 GMT November 2, 2016
This one will not help Clinton!!!
Reply   

Blacks “seriously f*cked in the head,” says top Dem. donor Benjamin Barber

Blacks seriously fucked in the head

dc CB 21:34 GMT November 2, 2016
FOMC

FoxBusiness....the (ex)Fed Whisperer HisSelf

The case for a December rate hike

GVI Trading 21:31 GMT November 2, 2016
U.S. election worries hits global stocks, dollar --reuters.com
Reply   
"Global equity prices and the dollar slid for the second straight day on Wednesday, while safe-haven assets such as gold rallied as investors shunned risk in response to signs the U.S. presidential race was tightening just days before the vote.

Uncertainty about the outcome of the Nov. 8 election pushed U.S. Treasury yields to their lowest in a week, while oil prices slumped on data showing a record U.S. crude stock build that stoked worries about a persistent global supply glut.

Investors were beginning to rethink their long-held bets of a victory for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton amid signs her Republican rival Donald Trump could be closing the gap, deepening the recent decline across major stock markets..."

U.S. election worries hits global stocks, dollar --reuters.com

dc CB 21:28 GMT November 2, 2016
Internecine Washington

In an unexpected flip-flop, just two days after White House spokesman Josh Earnest said that "President Obama doesn't think Comey tried to influence the election" and that "Obama still believes Comey has good character", the US president:

“I do think that there is a norm that when there are investigations, we don’t operate on innuendo,” Obama said in the interview published Wednesday. “We don’t operate on incomplete information. We don’t operate on leaks. We operate based on concrete decisions that are made.”

“When this was investigated thoroughly the last time, the conclusion ... was that, you know, she made some mistakes but that there wasn’t anything there that was, you know, prosecutable,” Obama said. “Well, you know, I’ve made a very deliberate effort to make sure that I don’t look like I’m meddling in what are supposed to be independent processes for making these assessments,”

“The fact of the matter is that Hillary Clinton, having been in the arena for 30 years, oftentimes gets knocked around and people say crazy stuff about her,” he said. “And when she makes a mistake, an honest mistake, it ends up being blown up as if it’s just some crazy thing.”

Obama: "We Don’t Operate On Leaks"

GVI Trading john bland 21:27 GMT November 2, 2016
Fed Sets Up Move in December While Leaving Rates on Hold -- bloomberg,com
Reply   
"Federal Reserve policy makers left interest rates unchanged while saying the argument for higher borrowing costs strengthened further amid accelerating inflation, reinforcing expectations for a hike next month.

“The committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen but decided, for the time being, to wait for some further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives,” the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement Wednesday following a two-day meeting in Washington. The decision was 8-2.

Fed officials revealed growing confidence that inflation is on track to reach their 2 percent target. The central bank said Wednesday that the pace of price gains “has increased somewhat since earlier this year” and that market-based measures of inflation compensation “have moved up..."

Fed Sets Up Move in December While Leaving Rates on Hold -- bloomberg,com

Sydney ACC 20:47 GMT November 2, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.

The Guardian published an article written by a part-time journalist who lives in a small rural town in Ohio near the border with West Virginia.
She tried to explain why the people in her vicinity were going to vote for Trump. The main reason being that he offered hope for something different.
The average wage in her area is USD 18,000 per annum. By way of comparison the minimum wage in Australia is the equivalent of USD26,760. The average weekly take-home earnings is USD 60,000. That these people have not seen living standards depreciate over the last twenty years makes you realise their despondency with the status quo.
In her town there is no supermarket only a general store, the nearest service station is a few miles away. Several years ago Wal Mart wanted to open a store in her town. The locals voted no. Wal Mart then opened a store just across the border with the intention of servicing the people in Ohio. The result its devastated the shopping precincts in nearby towns.

dc CB 20:42 GMT November 2, 2016
Internecine Washington

FBI released files on Pardon

Marc Thiessen: Why Bill Clinton's Marc Rich pardon matters

Livingston nh 20:08 GMT November 2, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.

CB - voters are lined up in 2 camps - Facts, near fact and falsehoods have no effect// competence to task is not the issue in politics folks line up based on "beliefs" -- ward heelers have known this for years and that's why turning out YOUR PEOPLE is the key to elections

Nixon was elected in a landslide vote and 2 years later it turns out nobody admitted to voting for him // the front end of Credit is getting screwed up - that's important to markets - politics is a sideshow

GVI Trading john bland 20:02 GMT November 2, 2016
Thursday Trading

Our data-based EURUSD bias remains up for the second day as we continue to distance ourselves from the 20-day moving average (1.0990). Odds on a Fed rate hike have increased slightly from Tuesday, but are still below recent prevailing levels after the Fed statement.

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

dc CB 19:52 GMT November 2, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.

With this response (and a fast response it was), the DOJ has basically put the USDOJ Stamp of Approval in the Wikileaked Podesta Emails....aka "it's real beef"

The "official" line up to now has been: The Russians hacked them to influence the elections. The contents can't be believed because the Russians HACKED THEM and Probably ALTERED them to Rig The Elections.
This line has been pounded by MSM, the DNC, Hillary, all Hillary supporters inside the Federal government.

That just got blown out of the water. But I doubt anyone will take note. I does bolster my earlier argument re: the Internecine Washington post.

you guys just go on ignoring all this. Keep your concentration of Yellen and the FED Mouths side show. Then say Oh Oh Oh we never saw this coming.

Livingston nh 19:46 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Very calm Fed day - no action/reaction to speak of // lack of bond mkt reaction says a hike has been priced in

And now we wait for NFP and some Fed talk

GVI Trading john bland 19:46 GMT November 2, 2016
Thursday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
3-Nov Thu
00:00 JP- Holiday
All Day Service PMIs
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- Productivity
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade


Trading Themes--
  • The Federal Reserve kept monetary policy steady on Wednesday. There was little notable in their policy statement. With the Presidential election less than a week away, it appears they wanted to get out of town with as little of an impact as possible.

  • Based on the statement, they could justify any decision in December, but I still get the feeling they are planning a rate hike. However, keep in mind that between now and the next decision, they will see two sets of monthly employment data, a national election and countless inflation releases. Nothing is set in stone.

  • Equity markets weakness continued Wednesday trading. Investors are worried about new uncertainties related to U.S. Presidential vote next Tuesday. Talking heads still feel Hillary Clinton will be elected, but after the Brexit fiasco, their opinions are cannot to be trusted.

  • On Thursday a BOE policy decision is due. No policy changes are expected. BOE Governor Carney is also expected to confirm that he is not stepping down in the immediate future. On Friday, October employment data are due from the U.S. and Canada.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk Off

dc CB 19:30 GMT November 2, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.

dc CB 15:23 GMT
*DOJ's Peter Kadzik Exposed Colluding With Clinton Campaign
This is what Kadzik emailed to John Podesta (via gmail) on May 19, 2015.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
nothing to see here, move along, and meanwhile Kadzik - who appears to have no intention of recusing himself - may be one of the key DOJ officials supervising the department's probe into Huma Abedin emails, despite his extensive and ongoing relationship with John Podesta and the Clinton Campaign.
_______________________________________________________

That was Quick, from a DOJ that regularly stonewalls FOIA requests for years. Or outright refuses to comment...

5 days left to VOTE!!!!!!

DOJ Responds To Kadzik's Email To Clinton Campaign; Finds Nothing Wrong

GVI Forex Blog 19:28 GMT November 2, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex Blog 19:13 GMT November 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

dc CB 19:10 GMT November 2, 2016
Deep Thoughts---back to what's important
Reply   
there must be some Cosmic Connection: spukhafte Fernwirkung in einem Abstand.

With:
Baseball’s Cubs and Indians have combined for a 176-year championship drought.

Tonite the 7th Game Decider and this Historic Election unfolding/revealing 170Y +++ corruption and collusion.

(the Chicago Cnnxn)

Sleep in that one. call me in the morning.

Historic World Series Game 7 with Chicago Cubs has a ticket price for the record books

Livingston nh 18:56 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

John - Agree (2yr unmoved) -- she thinks inflation is tied to jobs so she thinx inflation will show up "soon" /// Beware of True Believers

GVI Trading john bland 18:52 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

I get the sense that Janet cares a lot more about inflation than jobs. I don't think the market really gets this...

Livingston nh 18:35 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Take your lead from the Very Astute bond market (action, reaction and truth)

Livingston nh 18:23 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

"In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal." SOP for Brainard cabal but the real basis for further delay in December

"The Committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen but decided, for the time being, to wait for some further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives." Beware if"things" don't improve -- LIKE NFP end of week - the handwringers will be out in force

GVI Trading john bland 18:14 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

10yr 1.788%, -3.4bp
S&P 2100, -12

no changes

Livingston nh 18:11 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

short term trade buy the USD for the reaction -- some mope will say still on ttrack for DEC // and then what?

GVI Trading john bland 18:04 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and growth of economic activity has picked up from the modest pace seen in the first half of this year. Although the unemployment rate is little changed in recent months, job gains have been solid. Household spending has been rising moderately but business fixed investment has remained soft. Inflation has increased somewhat since earlier this year but is still below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting earlier declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Market-based measures of inflation compensation have moved up but remain low; most survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance, in recent months.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will strengthen somewhat further. Inflation is expected to rise to 2 percent over the medium term as the transitory effects of past declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further. Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced. The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments.

Against this backdrop, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The Committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen but decided, for the time being, to wait for some further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. In light of the current shortfall of inflation from 2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel K. Tarullo. Voting against the action were: Esther L. George and Loretta J. Mester, each of whom preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent.

GVI Trading john bland 18:02 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

vote: 8-2

GVI Trading john bland 18:00 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Fed Policy Decision November 2016






NEWS ALERT
Fed Funds Target Range Steady at 0.25%-0.50%

RELEASE: Policy Statement


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 17:48 GMT November 2, 2016
FOMC
Reply   
If the myth of Fed "balance" (aka 50-50) is true does yellen risk too much dovishness to walk the odds back from 70% or does she leave that to the minions speaking over the next 2 weeks/// watch for DISSENTS -- if one or none then December hike goes poof?

Livingston nh 17:41 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

JP - back now re: your gap post -----

Livingston nh 13:59 GMT September 14, 2016
STOXic??: Reply   
SPX Resting JP's 100dma - 2100 is Primary GAP below w/ large gaps above - who gets filled first? 2100 been out there longer -- 2040 SPX was a JP favorite a while back and a goodly gap there again
______________

Everything comes to those who wait (of course, the guy who wrote that didn't have carry costs in mind)

GVI Trading john bland 17:35 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Pre Fed
10-yr 1.790% -3.2bp
S&P 2100, -12

london red 17:27 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

euro. prev bottom of 11124 tested and so far holding but price staying close to high suggesting further upside until todays low of 11050 taken out. further res at 11160 the cloud bottom plus a couple of bigger ma's 10-20 pips either side of that. assuming they dont back away from a hike but continue on current path, a squeeze to the res band can be faded with price that required to move under 11068 and stay below there in order to rule out new high and then under 11050 to look for further downside. its not a given that fed will prepare mkt for dec hike hence may be some further squeezing but as long as statement is on track price shud move lower once 11140/60/80 band tested. abv 112 rest further stops with downside building under 11050.

London AzaForex 17:26 GMT November 2, 2016
Trading analyst and strategies on NZDCAD 11-2-2016 by AzaFor
Reply   


Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading analyst and strategies on NZDCAD 11-2-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Trading john bland 17:25 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

S&P just hit
2093 emini
2098 Cash

dc CB 17:03 GMT November 2, 2016
Internecine Washington

Meltdown At Justice

The details emerging about the multiple investigations into Hillary Clinton explain a lot about this ebbing public confidence in institutions such as the Justice Department and Federal Bureau of Investigation.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
use this linked page to get the full WSJ story

Link to WSJ

dc CB 16:29 GMT November 2, 2016
Internecine Washington
Reply   
"The source of these emails and leaks has nothing to do with Russia at all. I discovered what the source was when I attended the Sam Adam's whistleblower award in Washington. The source of these emails comes from within official circles in Washington DC. You should look to Washington not to Moscow."
https://sputniknews.com/us/201611021046973468-craig-murray-dnc-podesta/
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Readers are unlikely to know that the Eastern District of New York in Brooklyn is not just any United States attorney’s office. It is the office that was headed by Attorney General Loretta Lynch until President Obama elevated her to attorney general less than two years ago. It was in the EDNY that Ms. Lynch first came to national prominence in 1999, when she was appointed U.S. attorney by President Bill Clinton —
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/441675/clinton-foundation-fbi-investigation-loretta-lynch-obstruction

Provo John 16:25 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

All that can be said is, do you remember the Brexit polls?

LONDON SFH 16:22 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

*CORRECT: TRUMP 49%, CLINTON 44%, CNN/ORC POLL SHOWS
16:18:49 Big lead for the madman over the crazy woman

dc CB 15:45 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Gold and Silver, which normally get whacked pre FOMC to "save Yellen face", are off to the races.
Lucy will pull the football away again...is the messsage.

and for those who think that a Clinton Win will be good for the markets? That may prove to be better for Gold/Silver than thought.

Citi sez: "a Clinton presidency is highly likely to be marked by near-continuous investigations as well as the risk of impeachment."

GVI Trading john bland 15:31 GMT November 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Remarkable. Equities down across the board and sovereign bond yields lower everywhere as well(flight-to-safety). Japan is closed Thursday for a local holiday.

GVI Forex Blog 15:28 GMT November 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

dc CB 15:23 GMT November 2, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.
Reply   
Wikileaks Dump #26.
Some noteables.

*Hillary Clinton's Complete Deutsche Bank Speech Transcript

*DOJ's Peter Kadzik Exposed Colluding With Clinton Campaign

This is what Kadzik emailed to John Podesta (via gmail) on May 19, 2015:
++++++There is a HJC oversight hearing today where the head of our Civil Division will testify. Likely to get questions on State Department emails. Another filing in the FOIA case went in last night or will go in this am that indicates it will be awhile (2016) before the State Department posts the emails.+++++++

Perhaps Mr. Kadzik could explain to our readers - and the American public - why this particular message was delivered via his private, gmail account rather than his official DOJ email account?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++
visit ZH for more.

Zero Hedge

dc CB 15:18 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

WTI
after an active storm season. The floating supply made it across the mighty ocean.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 14:55 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.



Look at EURGBP (.9034) as a source of EURUSD demand, GBPUSD supply. EURUSD tested 61,8% at 1.1115

Amazing Trader levels updated

GVI Trading john bland 14:38 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

WTI $45.00, -1.59

GVI Trading john bland 14:31 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

talk about a miss...

must be something technical in here we are missing?

GVI Trading john bland 14:30 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +14.400 vs. +1.000 exp vs. -0.550 prev.
Distillates: -1.800 vs. -1.600 exp vs. -3.300 prev.
Gasoline: -2.200 vs. -1.100 exp vs. -2.000 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 13:59 GMT November 2, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 2 November 2016
Reply   

November 2, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, November 3, 2016.

  • Far East: AU- Trade, JP- Holiday
  • Europe: GB- Service PMI, Bank of England
  • North America: US- Productivity, Weekly Jobless, Factory Orders, PMIs, Natural Gas

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
3-Nov Thu
00:00 JP- Holiday
All Day Service PMIs
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- Productivity
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade

GVI Data Calendar for 2 November 2016

London Chris 13:48 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

... or filthy poor if a poll comes out in favour of Hillary

Mtl JP 13:44 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading



I see two gaps on SnP that are still waiting to close:
just below 2040 and a bit above 1860
see if u can spot them;
maybe get filthy rich playing for them

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

nh 12:39 awwhhhh...
-
I continue to keep euro trading robot constrained to playing from short side only for now.

GVI Trading john bland 13:30 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

EIA crude will be closely watched in just about an hour to see if it confirms the 9.2mn build in the API data yesterday. WTI and the S&P tend to be correlated, but not always.

HK Kwun 13:28 GMT November 2, 2016
too many uncertainity
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1297 Target: Stop: 1287

buy gold

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 13:18 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Two posts on GVI Forex from the Amazing Trader. Note EURUSD 1.1104 was cited as key resistance since yesterday and again in our live meeting. HOD 1.1102

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.



EURUSD 1.1104 remains untouched. Amazing Trader shows a risk for 1.1086/80/71



Register for the Amazing Trader

1.



Perfect roadmap with low around 1.1081, bounce off support coming out of a bounce in EUR crosses. (e.g. EURGBP back to .9005

Mtl JP 12:39 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ADP Payrolls Data Miss Slightly

headline screams: ADP says private sector adds 147,000 jobs in October, weakest in five months

Livingston nh 12:39 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

JP 22:20

Yellen motivations are "status quo" -- maybe a different CB would be more LT thinking ?? -- so odds of "better today" are off the BOARD, NO Line (lottery ticket has better win chance)

GVI Forex Blog 12:22 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ADP Payrolls Data Miss Slightly
Reply   
ADP data misses.

U.S. Data Charts

Click on chart for 15-yr history


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ADP Payrolls Data Miss Slightly

GVI Trading john bland 12:16 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

ADP misses. September revised higher.

GVI Trading john bland 12:15 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. ADP Private Employment October 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+147K vs. +170K exp. vs. +154K (r +202K ) prev.


RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trading john bland 12:06 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Pre ADP
DAX -81
DJ -24
SP -1

10-yr 1.799% -2.3

Singapore 11:59 GMT November 2, 2016
GBP/USD Forex Trading Signals
Reply   
GBP/USD today's Exchange Rate is 1.2316.

GBP/USD is going up and is recommended to buy.

GVI Trading john bland 11:55 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

you can see from these charts where the stops are resting

Heavy shorts remained in EURUSD




GBP positions still heavily short, but being trimmed.

GVI Trading john bland 11:35 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

ADP @ 12:15 GMT a neutral 170K is expected. Due to the unreliability of the series, it does not tell us much about NFP. but it can be a source of s-t volatility.

Singapore 11:32 GMT November 2, 2016
EUR/USD live Forex Signals
Reply   
EUR/USD today's Exchange Rate is 1.1086.

EUR/USD is going up and is recommended to buy.

GVI Trading john bland 10:52 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Earlier: German Council of Economic Advisors-
- Loose ECB monetary policy no longer appropriate
- ECB should slow bond purchases and end them earlier

GVI Trading john bland 10:44 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

WTI $45.93, -0.74 following an unexpectedly large build in the API crude late Tuesday. EIA Crude will be watched today for confirmation.

S&P emini is 2100, -4
Clearly the 2100 level is a key level in the cash and futures markets.

GVI Trading john bland 10:36 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Equities: Risk-Off
DAX -95
DJ -52
SP -5

10-yr 1.799% -2.3bp

GVI Trading 10:29 GMT November 2, 2016
Dollar Declines Versus Yen Before Fed as U.S. Election Tightens -- bloomberg.com
Reply   
"The dollar slid for a second day against the yen before the Federal Reserve announces an interest-rate decision on Wednesday and as the U.S. presidential race tightens before next week’s vote.

Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell for a fourth day amid wagers that Fed policy makers will emphasize that the path of future interest-rate increases will be gradual, even as they keep open the door to a December rate hike. An ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll showed Republican candidate Donald Trump ahead of Democrat Hillary Clinton for the first time since May, leading to gains in haven currencies such as the yen and Swiss franc, while Mexico’s peso weakened..."

Dollar Declines Versus Yen Before Fed as U.S. Election Tightens -- bloomberg.com

GVI Trading 10:26 GMT November 2, 2016
Sterling hits two-week high against weaker dollar -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"LONDON, Nov 2 Sterling rose to a two-week high on Wednesday against a dollar weakened by uncertainty about the U.S. presidential election, as investors largely ignored encouraging data on British construction.

The battered pound has recovered almost 1 percent this week , boosted by news that Bank of England Governor Mark Carney will extend his tenure to 2019.

Carney's decision eased concern about threats to the Bank's independence in an uncertain political environment, where worries over a "hard" UK exit from Europe's single market have sent sterling tumbling..."

Sterling hits two-week high against weaker dollar -- Reuters.com

GVI Forex Blog 09:36 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Better
Reply   
U.K. Construction PMI beats estimates. More of a domestic measure.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Better

GVI Trading john bland 09:30 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Construction PMI October 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

52.6 vs. 51.8 exp. vs. 52.3 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:11 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ final Manufacturing PMIs Mostly Higher
Reply   
EZ final PMIs. Mostly up vs. flash estimates.



BREAKING NEWS: EZ final Manufacturing PMIs Mostly Higher

HK Kwun 09:08 GMT November 2, 2016
Upside is enough today

Sell Gold
Entry: 1288 Target: Stop: 1293

stopped...

GVI Forex Blog 09:02 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German Employment Data Improved
Reply   
German October Jobless declined slightly (lower is better).

BREAKING NEWS: German Employment Data Improved

GVI Trading john bland 09:00 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

EZ Final PMIs October 2016





ALERT
EZ
mfg: 53.5 vs. 53.3 exp. vs. 53.3 flash
German
mfg: 55.0 vs. 55.1 exp. vs. 55.1
France
mfg 51.8 vs. 51.3 exp. vs. 51.3



Markit PMI Press Release



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GVI Trading john bland 08:56 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading

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GVI Trading john bland 08:55 GMT November 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

German Unemployment October 2016




NEWS ALERT
Rate: 6.00% vs. 6.10% exp. vs. 6.10% prev.
Change: -13K vs. 0K exp. vs. -1K (r) prev.


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GVI Trading john bland 08:40 GMT November 2, 2016
Wednesday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
2-Nov Wed
All-Day Mfg PMIs
7:55 DE- Employment
12:15 US- ADP Private Employment
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- FOMC Decision
3-Nov Thu
00:00 JP- Holiday
All Day Service PMIs
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- Productivity
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade


Trading Themes--
  • Equity markets weakness from late Tuesday has spilled over into Wednesday trading. Investors are now worried about new uncertainties related to U.S. Presidential vote next Tuesday. The talking heads still feel Hillary Clinton will be elected, but after the Brexit fiasco, their opinions are not to be trusted.

  • After some EZ holidays Tuesday, today sees final manufacturing PMIs from the Eurozone.

  • Later the latest Fed policy decision is due. Most feel there is no chance for a policy change just before the U.S. elections. Any hints about the December decision is the focus.

  • On Thursday a BOE policy decision is due. No policy changes are expected. BOE Governor Carney is also expected to announce that he is not stepping down in the immediate future. On Friday, October employment data are due from the U.S. and Canada.

  • The likely outcome of the U.S. Presidential election remains up in the air with less than one week to go. As for the FBI disclosure on Friday, there simply is not enough time for a large number of documents (650K) to be cleared for release, and voting has already been underway and will continue.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk Off

GVI Forex Blog 08:23 GMT November 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Hong Kong 02:41 GMT November 2, 2016
AceTrader Nov 2: Intra-Day News and Views EUR/USD
Reply   
02 Nov 2016 02:04GMT

EUR/USD - ..... Euro stands tall in subdued Asian trading on Wednesday after rallying above last week's 1.0992 high to a near 3-week peak of 1.1069.
Intra-day rise began shortly after European open on broad-based euro buying, this move resulted in general usd's weakness, upmove accelerated above 1.1000/05 res area was firmly breached, price climbed to 1.1034 and later hit session highs of 1.1069 in New York afternoon as U.S. stocks fell sharply before recovering towards the close.

Yesterday's daily close above 1.1040 res bodes well for euro to make further gains in coming days, at least until release of key U.S. jobs data on Friday, so buying the single currency on pullback is the way to go.
Bids have been raised to 1.1050-40 and more below with stops below 1.1000.
Some stops are noted at 1.1070/75 with selling interest at 1.1090/00 and more stops are touted above 1.1105.

Today is PMI day in the EZ with Italy releasing mfg PMI, folowed by France, then Germany and later EU.

GVI Trading 00:05 GMT November 2, 2016
Trump Takes Tiny Lead...
Reply   
Donald Trump, riding the wave of sudden Republican enthusiasm, has taken a razor-thin lead over Hillary Clinton, a new poll showed Tuesday.

Trump Takes Tiny Lead...

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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