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Forex Forum Archive for 11/03/2016

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dc CB 23:31 GMT November 3, 2016
The Real trading Risk on Nov 8 - no US interenet access.

from the NBC report:

"The Russians are in an offensive mode and [the U.S. is] working on strategies to respond to that, and at the highest levels," said Michael McFaul, the U.S. ambassador to Russia from 2012 to 2014.

Officials are alert for any attempts to create Election Day chaos, and say steps are being taken to prepare for worst-case scenarios, including a cyber-attack that shuts down part of the power grid or the internet.

But what is more likely, multiple U.S. officials say, is a lower-level effort by hackers from Russia or elsewhere to peddle misinformation by manipulating Twitter, Facebook and other social media platforms.

For example, officials fear an 11th hour release of fake documents implicating one of the candidates in an explosive scandal without time for the news media to fact check it. So far, document dumps attributed to the Russians have damaged Democrats and favored Trump.

The Russians "want to sow as much confusion as possible and undermine our process in ways they've done elsewhere," said a senior Obama administration official. "So this is to make sure that we have all the tools at our disposal and that we're prepared to respond to whatever it is that they do."

"We need to be prepared on every front, not just technical but messaging, and so on," the official added, saying the details were classified. "Because any reporting irregularity could be incredibly disruptive. … They can cause tremendous chaos, and by the time we are able to attribute, the damage may have already been done"

DHS Official: October Attack "Had All the Signs of ... A Drill"

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

fwiw MSM, whenever the discussion moves to Wikileaks, the interviewer or the interviewee always notes that the Rooskies Hacked those emails and gave them to Wikileaks. That is the narrative.

NBC

dc CB 23:19 GMT November 3, 2016
The Real trading Risk on Nov 8 - no US interenet access.
Reply   
FBI: New Malware to Spur More Large-Scale Cyber Attacks

The FBI is warning companies to protect themselves from cyber attacks from a newly released malware that disrupted a large segment of the Internet in the United States last month.

http://freebeacon.com/national-security/fbi-new-malware-spur-large-scale-cyber-attacks/
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

White House Readies to Fight Election Day Cyber Mayhem

The U.S. government believes hackers from Russia or elsewhere may try to undermine next week's presidential election and is mounting an unprecedented effort to counter their cyber meddling, American officials told NBC News.

The effort is being coordinated by the White House and the Department of Homeland Security, but reaches across the government to include the CIA, the National Security Agency and other elements of the Defense Department, current and former officials say.

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/white-house-readies-fight-election-day-cyber-mayhem-n677636

Tallinn viies 22:03 GMT November 3, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
from fxwirepro:
The crude oil prices have softened in recent weeks, following their post-OPEC meeting rally. It appears premature for prices to push up into the mid- $50’s before the provisional agreement reached at the end of September in Algiers is ratified.

OPEC’s technical meeting has started and the next few weeks will see the serious negotiations ahead of the end-November Ministerial meeting in Vienna. We retain the view that Brent and WTI will finish the year at $54/bbl.

Oil market balances for 2017 are marginally tighter this month than last, as lower assessments of OPEC NGL volumes and global refinery processing gains offset upward revisions to production estimates for Russia, the US and Canada, amongst others.

Nevertheless, we still see Q4’16 as marginally oversupplied, a bias that persists into Q1'17, before the assumed reduction in OPEC supply and stronger demand flips the market into drawing inventory for the rest of the year.

For now, we retain the view that OPEC is likely to achieve cuts approximating to 3% of 2017 potential output, although we lower the pct probability of a deal to 75 % from 80% previously.

Hence, we uphold longs in the Brent 55-60 call spreads having June’17 expiry, the rapid price gains of early October have been reversed and prices now sit close to where they started the month.

Headline-driven choppy price action will likely continue for the foreseeable future, with negotiating tactics calling for the use of public, as well as private, communication channels to extract maximum advantage by some OPEC members.

However, the longer term story remains intact and we remain of the view that holding upside exposure to oil prices is the right move at this juncture.

Nevertheless, the continuing volatility in oil prices leads to prefer exposure to upside price risks via a call spread, selling the $60 call against being long the $55/bbl call.

Mtl JP 22:02 GMT November 3, 2016
Friday Trading

2 gaps still alive and begging
SnP 500 closed the day at 2,088.66
200dma 2082.29
according to

S&P 500 (^GSPC)

dc CB 21:28 GMT November 3, 2016
Dollar turns lower against major rivals on fresh U.S. election jitters -- Reuters.com

Dump #28

after teasing its twitter followers to "stay tuned for our FBI-DoJ #PodestaEmail special circa 4pm EST", dubbed the "DoJ/FBI/Huma special" and includes some 1,308 emails, bringing the total to 45,526 in total emails released.

see ZeroHedge

GVI Trading 21:24 GMT November 3, 2016
Dollar turns lower against major rivals on fresh U.S. election jitters -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"The U.S. dollar hovered near multi-week lows against a basket of major currencies on Thursday, ending a morning reprieve which saw the dollar stabilise, on uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. presidential election.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, was last down 0.24 percent at 97.163, not far from a more than three-week low of 97.041 also touched Thursday. The index was mostly flat to slightly higher earlier, reaching a session high of 97.456.

Analysts attributed the dollar's earlier stability to a New York Times/CBS poll of 1,333 registered voters that found U.S. Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton ahead by 3 percentage points. In addition, a Washington Post/ABC poll showed Clinton 2 percentage points ahead among 1,767 likely voters surveyed Oct. 29-Nov. 1...

Dollar turns lower against major rivals on fresh U.S. election jitters -- Reuters.com

london red 20:57 GMT November 3, 2016
Friday Trading

long tail on daily does suggest further upside attempts tom, but nfp day does have the potential and often does change prevailing trends. a rejection of topside res c. 11160-80 and a move back thru 11130-40 would suggest a top with a long wick then predicted on the daily and a move under 11050.
spreads have been widening which helps the pair but i cant see more than 1.18 on the 10's (where there is res) before a pullback.

GVI Trading john bland 20:29 GMT November 3, 2016
Friday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: UP

SaaR KaL 20:05 GMT November 3, 2016
TSLA wants 170
Reply   
Not trading it though

SaaR KaL 20:01 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

Oil now short till 38...possible 36 in 2 weeks
from there long till 50 for Jan/2016

Mtl JP 19:56 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading



Looking at crude oil chart, approx 10% price dump since OPEC's production curb babble says:
- OPEC's mettle is poof
- Iran, Iraq, Vlad & Co. are currently the anti-opecs (usdcad thanks them wholeheartedly)

GVI Trading john bland 19:50 GMT November 3, 2016
Friday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade

6-Nov Sun
00:00 CA/US- Clocks fall back one hour
7-Nov Mon
7:15 CH- CPI
10:00 EZ- Retail Sales
8-Nov Tue
00:00 US- Presidential Election
02:00 CN- Trade
09:30 GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output
18:00 US- 10-yr Auction
9-Nov Wed
01:30 US- CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • Today the BOE kept policy steady, as expected, but announced that previous future policy guidence for a rate cut had "expired". That means that a rate cut is no longer in the pipeline.

  • Also today a three judge high court panel decided that the U.K. government does not have the power to trigger Article 50 for Brexit without consulting Parliament. The government will appeal the decision and it has permission to go straight to the Supreme Court. That court has set aside time for a four-day hearing starting on December 7.

  • On Friday, October employment data are due from the U.S. and Canada.

  • The Federal Reserve kept monetary policy steady on Wednesday. There was little notable in their policy statement. With the Presidential election less than a week away, it appears they wanted to get out of town with as little of an impact as possible.

  • Based on the statement, they could justify any decision in December, but I still get the feeling they are planning a rate hike. However, keep in mind that between now and the next decision, they will see two sets of monthly employment data, a national election and countless inflation releases. Nothing is set in stone.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

SaaR KaL 19:44 GMT November 3, 2016
aapl 104
Reply   
Now bearish into 104
but this 104 area I will long for a long time
125 in 3 months
140 in 5 months
and 145 for next year

SaaR KaL 19:40 GMT November 3, 2016
USDCAD 1.3300

USDJPY range for 2 months IMO
100 to 105 is good
Now wants 100 first

SaaR KaL 19:34 GMT November 3, 2016
USDCAD 1.3300
Reply   
IMO 1.330 area a major bottom for the year
from there... 1.38 to 1.39
takes a break
then from bottoms to 1.35...again north to 1.4280

SaaR KaL 19:28 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

EURAUD Bullish till 1.49+
EURCAD as well till 1.54

GVI Forex Blog 19:28 GMT November 3, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex Blog 19:22 GMT November 3, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

SaaR KaL 19:20 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

Red Hi
I am Long and tgt 1.140
next week

NZDUSD Longs till .7500

Tallinn viies 19:18 GMT November 3, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
bloomberg: Prepare for the North Sea Oil Flood

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-03/prepare-for-north-sea-oil-flood-just-as-opec-plans-output-curbs

london red 18:26 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

euro. can we beat the high or not. shown strong legs thus far, some from short covering after the failure ahead of 11050/60 sup. if high beaten then 11140-60 tested but top end of that shud hold until nfp. if not beaten it will be a triple top of sorts and shud drift lower into nfp maybe settle around 111 into the data.

SaaR KaL 18:12 GMT November 3, 2016
Blame it on the election

Cable still bullish into next week
Longing again
1.2287
1.2310

I think 1.2850 to 1.2900 is a reversal point into 2 weeks ahead
tgt after that is 1.100
in Jan/2016

Paris ib 17:58 GMT November 3, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.

"MSNBC hosts backing away from the sycophantic cheerleading. Morning Joe’s got a couple of hosts who aren’t going with the script…"

Oh dear

Mtl JP 17:51 GMT November 3, 2016
Off trading topic, directly.
Reply   
how to waste money:

..."Ukraine is refitting and expanding its naval fleet, including repairing its flagship, the frigate "Hetman Sahaydachnyy", to counter a Russian military build-up in the annexed territory of Crimea, the commander of the Ukrainian navy says.

The upgrade will be helped by $30 million worth of U.S. aid, part of a $500 million package from Washington for the Ukrainian military which Kiev expects to receive next year".../..

Ukraine rebuilds navy, with U.S. help, to counter Russian build-up in Crimea

dc CB 17:38 GMT November 3, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.

Dump # 27 Wikileaks

other emails released by WikiLeaks confirmed the debate schedule was coordinated to the Clinton campaign’s preference.


“We may need allies to help in this process but we’re going to look at each state one step at a time, limiting as much as possible the perception of direct intervention by the principals.”

As a reminder, accusations of "principal intervention" by his challenger, was one of Bernie Sanders' recurring laments during this primary campaign. As such, this email provides additional evidence that the Democratic National Committee and Clinton campaign colluded to rig the primaries for Hillary Clinton.

A recent thread revealed then-DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz was directed to hold phony meetings with other Democratic candidates to provide the Clinton campaign and DNC with plausible deniability that they were coordinating with one another.

Ultimately, Bernie Sanders, who was written off as a fringe candidate due to his tenure as an Independent, managed to energize progressive Democrats and Independent voters by the millions. Yet despite his surging popularity, he had no chance from the beginning, as the last few months of email revelations has shown.

Reveals Potential Rigging Of Primaries By Clinton Campaign As Early As 2014

London AzaForex 17:37 GMT November 3, 2016
Trading analyst and strategies on ATT 11-3-2016 by AzaForex
Reply   


Sell OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading analyst and strategies on ATT 11-3-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

Mtl JP 17:37 GMT November 3, 2016
Voting on the Cusp of the Recession

dc CB I am only worried about risk (vs posi-pips) to my account
my Q is for that potential before nov 8

Paris ib 17:34 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

CB I get the impression that hideous scenario will not be allowed to happen. I don't think it's in anyone's interests. But the fractures in the power structures are on show for all to see. It looks to me like the military industrial complex has lost credibility, spent itself into a corner and lost control of the narrative. Hasta la vista baby.

"As far as the Clinton machine is concerned, an interlocking influence peddling pile up is the norm. John Podesta also happens to be the founder of the Center for American Progress – a George Soros operation and prime recruiting ground for Obama administration officials, including US Treasury operatives who decided which elite Too Big To Fail (TBTF) financial giants would be spared after the 2008 crisis. DCLeaks.com, for its part, has connected Soros Open Society foundations to global funding rackets directly leading to subversion of governments and outright regime change (obviously sparing Clinton Foundation donors.)"

Hotter...

dc CB 17:28 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

ib --- look at my post's yest under Internecine Washington
dc CB 17:03 GMT November 2, 2016


JP
as noted earlier, what happens after Hillary gets elected? One thing is for sure, when Congress returns in Nov and all thru Hillary's First 100 Days the hearings, accusations, calls for impeachment will fly so "fast and furious" that the MSM (what's left of them) will be unable to keep it off the front pages. H#ll on Wheels for the next 6 months at the very least.

Paris ib 17:26 GMT November 3, 2016
Voting on the Cusp of the Recession
Reply   
Where we are at:

"The United States wasted some $4 trillion in its nation-building folly in Iraq and Afghanistan. Defense R&D has fallen by half as a percentage of GDP since the early 1990s, and a disproportionate share of the remaining R&D budget was diverted to the F-35 program. With far smaller resources, Russia has fielded a credible challenge to American air superiority."

Enter Trump the pragmatist. And not before time.

Another look at those GDP numbers

SaaR KaL 17:24 GMT November 3, 2016
Blame it on the election

will start Longing USDCAD from 1.3300 area
IMO will do range for a week
1.3420 to 1.3300
should take off to 1.37 the following week

added shorts usdjpy 103.00 tgt 100 in a few days
will long from 100 till 103 next 2 weeks

Paris ib 17:19 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

JP 'they' won't do that before the election. Pretty much though what has been done sends a signal. And the signal is ditch Clinton. 'They' have to have an election... rather than have the candidate withdraw or whatever. So they have this kind of election and deal with Trump afterwards. Trump is no shining knight though. He does deals, remember? Deals, deals and more deals. So same old, same old. This guy is gonna walk the line he can walk. Where ever that is.

The FBI is facing down the military-industrial complex right now I guess. Where the power will be after the election is anyone's guess.

Trump brings peace with Russia

SaaR KaL 17:15 GMT November 3, 2016
Blame it on the election
Reply   
has nothing to do with it!!
Bought FB near 120
HP bought puts
AMGN, AAPL Puts as well

Gold and silver calls
DJI NDX Dax still bearish
DJI bottom near 17600 area next week

Mtl JP 17:14 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

what would be latest date n time for crooked hillary to be indicted for it to have a nuke effect on markets (be they stocks or forex) ?

th wh 17:12 GMT November 3, 2016
Endorsing Trump?

Exactly ib exactly: right on for sure

Paris ib 17:08 GMT November 3, 2016
Endorsing Trump?

The idea that Russia was behind Wikileaks or whatever else was just electoral noise. Wadda they gonna say now? The FBI works for Russia? Comey works for Russia? Mr. Dilbert man works for Russia? Susan Sarandon works for Russia? I mean they have to drop all that.

The hardcore of Clinton voters will be women. I don't know where we are with that though. There are a surprising number of women who want to see a woman as President NO MATTER WHAT. Which I find creepy to be honest. But it's out there. I can't see it being it enough to get her over the line. But then there is the nature of the vote, the voting machines and all the rest of it.

At this point though it does seem that certain members of the establishment have decided to ditch Hillary.

Not an accident.

HK [email protected] 16:42 GMT November 3, 2016
I just wonder and ponder about a profile of a male voter.
Reply   


A male voter....
Who is ready to stand hours near the polling station, waiting to vote for a lady like Clinton.

As Benjamin Barber says: seriously facked in the head!!!

dc CB 16:37 GMT November 3, 2016
Endorsing Trump?

Authorities now believe there is about a 99 percent chance that up to five foreign intelligence agencies may have accessed and taken emails from Hillary Clinton’s private server, two separate sources with intimate knowledge of the FBI investigations told Fox News.

The revelation led House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Michael McCaul to describe Clinton’s handling of her email system during her tenure as secretary of state as “treason.”

99 percent chance foreign intel agencies breached Clinton server

Paris ib 16:33 GMT November 3, 2016
Endorsing Trump?
Reply   
Watch all the 'go along to get along' people come out of the woodwork now. Good grief.

"Lord Richards of Herstmonceux said he was disappointed with the candidates running in the American presidential election next week, but said Mr Trump “might make the world ironically safer”."

Actually I think that's a pretty mainstream view. Hillary the warmonger (for ideological reasons or for greed) and Trump the pragmatist (because you have to be practical in business otherwise you stuff up).

Any bets on how the USD reacts to a Trump Presidency?

Safer with Trump

PAR 16:21 GMT November 3, 2016
High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.com

A cash cow for politicians. Just invoke art 50 and negotiate a good deal.
May is completely incompetent . She can t get things done ,a real politician.

Paris ib 16:07 GMT November 3, 2016
High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.com

BREXIT is a huge one-off. Never been done before so we don't have a road map. All we have is a hysterical press, millions of ignorant pundits and some fairly obnoxious, incompetent European politicians. MPs now get a say so, which is fair enough but does not make the process more linear. You can not make this stuff up, can you?

GVI Trading john bland 16:05 GMT November 3, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

U.S. stocks holding for now. S&P pivoting 2100 line. Forex steady into jobs data tomorrow, except for GBP.

Paris ib 16:04 GMT November 3, 2016
High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.com

Yeah red I think Trump may carry it. I personally don't see that as a tragedy. Clinton worried me a bit more only because she has been a life time politician with all that goes with it. Market reaction might be scary. The media built up has just been way too hysterical. Now we get the hissy fit. Brexit? Who knows we might be surprised.

Something really has to be done about the press though. This lurching from perceived crisis to doomsday and back is getting very, very tired.

Own volatility into the storm and very little else I guess.

Interesting though that we have these type of events when bonds and stocks are priced for perfection. I mean perfection? Ya gotta be kidding me. So the potential downside is there like few times in history.

GVI Forex Blog 16:02 GMT November 3, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

london red 15:55 GMT November 3, 2016
High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.com

pretty strong win for trump. ive been known to be wrong but not often!
as for brexit, yes thats prob how itll go dwn, they will debate terms rather than brexit or not itself. but the process isnt clear, so more uncertainty and so more reasons to avoid the pound lt.

Paris ib 15:52 GMT November 3, 2016
High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.com

If the MPs have to vote, which is not in itself unreasonable, then that will almost certainly impact the conditions that are being negotiated. This means the EU can try to dictate terms but Parliament can refuse to accept those terms. This sure is going to be interesting.

Interesting year we are having?

Anyone care to place any bets on the U.S. election outcome?

Livingston nh 15:40 GMT November 3, 2016
High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.com

This is what happens when Courts issue advisory opinions before an act occurs -- US requires a case in controversy

GVI Trading 15:36 GMT November 3, 2016
High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.com
Reply   
The high court has decided the government does not have the power to trigger article 50 without consulting parliament, so what happens now?

"Can this stop Brexit?
Almost certainly not. But it does make the position much more confused. MPs are talking of the high court triggering a constitutional crisis without any indication of how to get out of it.

It also risks driving an even bigger wedge between leavers and remainers, particularly since the leavers are likely to interpret this as one more desperate attempt by the Metropolitan liberal elite to thwart the will of the people (a suspicion that is going to shape the thinking of a lot of MPs)..."

High court Brexit ruling: what does it all mean? --theguardian.co

Livingston nh 15:32 GMT November 3, 2016
They like fight!!!

Iraq can't even rid its house of the minor thug gang ISIS - I'm sure ERDOGAN is unimpressed

Mtl JP 15:24 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

BoD usdcad continues to produce happypips

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

Weidmann claims that econ environment requires printing.
and no blame / responsibility assigned to architects responsible for current conditions.
not unexpected.

Mtl JP 14:57 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading



NatGas = BoD

Mtl JP 14:48 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

Weidmann scheduled to yak at top of the hour
should not be an "A" risk

GVI Forex Blog 14:45 GMT November 3, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 3 November 2016
Reply   

November 2, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 4, 2016.

  • Far East: AU- Retail Sales
  • Europe: EZ- Service PMI, PPI
  • North America: CA- Trade, Employment, Ivey PMI US- Trade, Employment, Rig Count, COT

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade

GVI Data Calendar for 3 November 2016

Mtl JP 14:44 GMT November 3, 2016
They like fight!!!

Gold seems to like Iraq's promise to Turkey

Mtl JP 14:41 GMT November 3, 2016
eur/usd

nic 14:39 everything makes sense in FX.
Nothing is right nor wrong.
Until proven otherwise

HK [email protected] 14:41 GMT November 3, 2016
They like fight!!!
Reply   

Another Middle East war? Iraq to 'DISMANTLE' Turkey if Erdogan sends tanks to border.

IRAQ has threatened to "dismantle" Turkey if President Tayyip Erdogan sends tanks and heavy artillery to the border, in a chilling warning that threatens to plunge the entire region into fresh turmoil

Another Middle East war? Iraq to 'DISMANTLE' Turkey if Erdogan sends tanks to border

bucharest nic 14:39 GMT November 3, 2016
eur/usd

In my opinion,for the time being the US doesn t like a strong dollar...it hurts their exports and their pursue for 2% inflation...but I think they will hike in December.
With this in mind,I think eur/usd will rise to 1.12-1.13 before the rate hike...to have room to fall again at decent levels,so that the USD won t be that strong too soon.
Does it make sense?

GVI Trading john bland 14:30 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+54 vs. +54 exp vs. +73 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



london red 14:27 GMT November 3, 2016
eur/usd

its poss nic, but i dont think theres too much upside as most are looking for a strong nfp. im not sure we get it but euro has rallied quite a bit, partly on a trump rerating, so will need pretty bad number to break overhead res.

london red 14:21 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

selling 84-93 with stop ova 11110 bringing dwn to ova last high if get an hourly close under 60 would b a gud trade.

bucharest nic 14:21 GMT November 3, 2016
eur/usd
Reply   
Red, in that case the drop in eur/usd might stop there?

tia

london red 14:17 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

11061 is 23.6% while 50 is kijun and yest low

GVI Trading john bland 14:14 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Services PMI Misses

You might have to refresh page manually to update chart.

london red 14:13 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

euro not being able to rally on ism is significant, even if significance watered dwn given imp nfp tom (if no ism tom ud b confident of a break of 11050 getting some followthru). there are indications of a weaker nfp so again if euro cannot break 11140/60 it will test 11050 tom even if nfp weaker.

Mtl JP 14:12 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

betting euro will see sub 1.10 before it sees 1.11+

GVI Forex Blog 14:11 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Services PMI Misses
Reply   
ISM Services PMI misses forecasts. Markit PMI unrevised. Employment PMI falls.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Services PMI Misses

Mtl JP 14:10 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

but not significant enought o elicit 50+ pip reaction
rei-nforces euro south bias imo

HK [email protected] 14:09 GMT November 3, 2016
gold; Keep steady up to 1470 target.
Reply   

Weekly chart gazing.

Something bad will happen to the USD???

GVI Trading john bland 14:05 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

nh- thank you fat finger! 53.1

Livingston nh 14:04 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Employment was 53.1

GVI Trading john bland 14:02 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Factory Orders September 2016

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
+0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% (r )prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Trading john bland 14:01 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

ISM significant misses

GVI Trading john bland 14:01 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. ISM Services PMI October 2016

MORE: U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
54.8 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 57.1 prev.
Employment sub-component
53.1 vs. 57.2 prev.


RELEASE: ISM Services PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 13:59 GMT November 3, 2016
USD/JPY

rf i agree i see 90 before 120. and that many japanese lifers are considering unhedged foreign bond purchases at 100 indicates the pain trade will be dow, then they get hedged at 80/90 where we go back up again and render hedge useless. but at least the banks get paid!

GVI Trading john bland 13:54 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

A or not depends on the data. Employment index is closely followed can give an inkling into NFP tomorrow

HK [email protected] 13:53 GMT November 3, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply   


Until year end, daily chart shows a possibility of 97.5 target.

A break below increases chances for 85.0

london red 13:53 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

JP even tho data not completely to the cause, best to sell rallies into nfp. need to stay below 11108/10 but realistically 111 shud cap. below 11050 stops and some follow thru sellinf id expect. need to break that to be more convinced but pre nfp might be diff.

Mtl JP 13:52 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

odds r reasonable of "A" risk by way of US ISM SVC PMI
at top of the hour

GVI Trading john bland 13:46 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

unchanged from flash. More important ISM PMI next

GVI Trading john bland 13:45 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Markit final Services PMI October 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
54.8 vs. 54.8 exp. vs. 54.8 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

LONDON SFH 13:44 GMT November 3, 2016
British government loses Article 50 court case -- Reuters.com

I can see it now...all those septgenerians in street protesting....I feel really worried about all those baby boomers who are doing their best to screw the country before they pop their clogs

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading



SnP 500
2 gaps: unfinished business

Mtl JP 13:36 GMT November 3, 2016
British government loses Article 50 court case -- Reuters.com

‏@Nigel_Farage
I now fear every attempt will be made to block or delay triggering Article 50. They have no idea level of public anger they will provoke.

Nigel FarageVerified accoun

Mtl JP 13:33 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

now under 1.1125
euro has seen its top -> = bias to sell rallies

GVI Trading john bland 13:29 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

DAX +12
DJ +32
SP +3

10-yr 1.817% +2.3bp

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

SFH the rockstar has only one useful purpose

Livingston nh 13:13 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

1. From the Darkside -- Y/Y prod is flat (3 qtrs. of declines) - output in Mfg increased on less hours (non expansionary), services productivity weak (no surprise there)

2. Muted reaction moves to Fed - maybe some action today and tomorrow // If oil breaks $43 a test of my theory of Fed motivations for the past 2 years - a policy based completely on oil price

3. USD moving on shrinking real yields ?? // rising yields either way after Tuesday

london red 13:00 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

productivity all well and good as it encourages investment but if labour costs stagnant then inflation tame and so one cancels out the other as rates drive mkts.

LONDON SFH 12:51 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP-Cable's relief at his decision to stay until 2019 suggested he is somewhat more important than being an irrelevance....

Mtl JP 12:47 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

FF microcosm of rockstar Carney's irrelevance:
no interest in his Q&A ?

Mtl JP 12:42 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

high productivity means making / doing more with less
and vice versa

GVI Forex Blog 12:41 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless About Steady
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims remain roughly flat

<Click on chart for over twelve-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless About Steady

london red 12:39 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

labour costs much lower than f/c however.

GVI Trading john bland 12:36 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Big jump in productivity. Productivity is a major growth driver.

GVI Trading john bland 12:32 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
265K vs. 255K exp. vs. 258K prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 12:30 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Productivity 3Q16

U.S. Data Charts



   MORE: U.S. Charts

NEWS ALERT

+3.10% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. -0.60% (R -0.20%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 12:01 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

BOE- further rate cut guidance has "expired".

GVI Trading john bland 12:00 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

November 2016 Bank of England Policy Decision







-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy Steady (repo rate 0.25%)
Asset Purchases unch @ GBP 435 bln v. GBP 435 bn


Bank of England




TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 11:59 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

no change is expected but of interest will be the inflation fan charts. todays servs pmi latest to point to rising costs but so far difficulty has been to transmit to consumer. but mkt will pounce of any inflation fears from boe. but as always it will be sell the rally. initial res near 125 more at each fig up 126/127/28 where air gets thin for cable.

GVI Trading john bland 11:52 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

BOE due at the top of the hour. No changes seen.

london red 10:49 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

cable. 12477 is post flash crash high and then daily kijun by 125

GVI Trading john bland 10:43 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.



Amazing Trader charts updated on your systems after Brexit News



GVI Trading john bland 10:28 GMT November 3, 2016
British government loses Article 50 court case -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"England's High Court ruled on Thursday that the British government requires parliamentary approval to trigger the process of exiting the European Union.

The court granted the government permission to appeal against the ruling and a government lawyer said the Supreme Court had set aside Dec. 5-8 to hear the matter..."

British government loses Article 50 court case -- Reuters.com

LONDON SFH 10:27 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

.....and Italian referendum dec 4th....

london red 10:17 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

the appeal will be early dec 5-8.

GVI Trading john bland 10:09 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Ruling sees GBP spike higher on hopes of "soft" Brexit. Ruling will be appealed. Ruling does NOT negate the Brexit vote.

GVI Trading john bland 10:07 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

High Court Rules Government cannot Trigger article 50 without approval from Parliament
-- TTN

LONDON SFH 10:06 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Service PMI beats Estimates

*JUDGE SAYS U.K. GOVERNMENT HAS LOST BREXIT LEGAL CHALLENGE

GVI Trading john bland 09:43 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Service PMI beats Estimates

UK PMIs roughly back to pre-Brexit levels.

GVI Forex Blog 09:37 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Service PMI beats Estimates
Reply   
U.K. Services PMI Much stronger than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Service PMI beats Estimates

SaaR KaL 09:32 GMT November 3, 2016
EURUSD wants 1.1350

USDJPY most likely to 100...then bullish
I am short for a few days

GVI Trading john bland 09:30 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Big beat for UK Service PMI.

GVI Trading john bland 09:30 GMT November 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

GB Services PMI October 2016

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

54.5 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.6 prev.


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 09:27 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

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Haifa ac 09:23 GMT November 3, 2016
The fate of the world is teetering

Little levity
Turns out Nate Silver has a small problem:

Reminder: Cubs will win the World Series and, in exchange, President Trump will be elected 8 days later. https://twitter.com/No_Little_Plans/status/730249485713051648 …
7:20 AM - 11 May 2016

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538

SaaR KaL 09:12 GMT November 3, 2016
EURUSD wants 1.1350
Reply   
mean Level today
1.1163 1.1112
I am Long

london red 09:09 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

big day for sterling. servs pmi, then result of a50 court case an hour later. here there will be a flash reaction, but remember that a date has already been booked for the appeal (by whichever side loses) in december, so gains/losses may not stick. then later the boe meet and QIR. eod option straddle a little less than a fig.

Mtl JP 09:06 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading

,,,"Carney is also expected to confirm that he is not stepping down in the immediate future"... - proving yet again that PhD'd "experts" are immune to accountability and do not have to worry about their next paycheck and meal.

GVI Trading john bland 08:54 GMT November 3, 2016
Thursday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
3-Nov Thu
00:00 JP- Holiday
All Day Service PMIs
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- Productivity
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade


Trading Themes--
  • Today a BOE policy decision is due. No policy changes are expected. BOE Governor Carney is also expected to confirm that he is not stepping down in the immediate future.

  • Also today a panel of three judges will rule on whether Prime Minister Theresa May can trigger the two-year countdown for Britain to leaving the EU or if Parliament must approve. Either decision will be appealed to the high court.

  • On Friday, October employment data are due from the U.S. and Canada.

  • The Federal Reserve kept monetary policy steady on Wednesday. There was little notable in their policy statement. With the Presidential election less than a week away, it appears they wanted to get out of town with as little of an impact as possible.

  • Based on the statement, they could justify any decision in December, but I still get the feeling they are planning a rate hike. However, keep in mind that between now and the next decision, they will see two sets of monthly employment data, a national election and countless inflation releases. Nothing is set in stone.

  • Equity markets weakness continued Wednesday trading. Investors are worried about new uncertainties related to U.S. Presidential vote next Tuesday. Talking heads still feel Hillary Clinton will be elected, but after the Brexit fiasco, their opinions are cannot to be trusted.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk Off

GVI Forex Blog 08:40 GMT November 3, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

London 08:15 GMT November 3, 2016
New signal from pur verify account 160% profit
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 114.22 Target: Stop:

Visit us for 14 days free trial



Posted with permission of global-view.com

Forex signals

Singapore 07:01 GMT November 3, 2016
GBP/USD Forex Trading Signals

Today in Currency market GBP/USD Trend is going down.

Support Level is:1.2229

Our Recent Forex Recommendations :
FOREX SELL GBP/USD 1.2229 TARGETS 1.2155 /.... STOPLOSS 1.2299.

Haifa ac 05:57 GMT November 3, 2016
The fate of the world is teetering

Sydney ACC
Yah
but the Irish must be fuming at the fact that they idolized Barak Hussein as one of the greatest Irish O'bamas ever.

some memory lane from 2008
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DerVmiZeUDw


Sydney ACC 05:18 GMT November 3, 2016
The fate of the world is teetering

GBP 40 million was bet on the BREXIT referendum.
Sixty per cent was laid on Remain.

haifa ac 05:04 GMT November 3, 2016
The fate of the world is teetering

Go Ireland!!!

Ireland’s largest bookmaker, Paddy Power Betfair Plc. Just shy of 100,000 euros ($111,000) in bets came in, with 91 percent of them for Trump.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-02/91-percent-of-last-minute-bets-are-for-trump-paddy-power-says

London AzaForex 04:31 GMT November 3, 2016
The calculation of profit for September and October by Azafo
Reply   


Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

The calculation of profit for September and October by Azaforex forex broker

dc CB 04:02 GMT November 3, 2016
The HITS keep on coming.

Livingston nh 20:08 GMT
CB - voters are lined up in 2 camps - Facts
politics is a sideshow

dc CB 03:58 GMT November 3, 2016
Place Your Bets Ladies and Gentlemen...Place your bets

As Noted Earlier

Anthony Weiner...checked into a SEX Clinic rather than the being put into the Slammer ...or as a holder of unauthorized Classified Info on his computer....Some DEEP DARK hole.

so????

go figure about those NFP Numbers that y'all are expected to accept as The Real Thing ....and win or lose Money...in Two Days.

haifa ac 03:45 GMT November 3, 2016
The fate of the world is teetering

Hollywood Alarm Grows Over Prospect of Donald Trump Victory

In an industry that leans heavily to the left, for many it’s a nightmare scenario

“I’m censored terrified,” said writer-director Adam McKay, via email. “If Trump were to win we will see a dismantling of our democracy we cannot imagine.

http://variety.com/2016/biz/news/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-hollywood-panic-fear-1201907750/

dc CB 03:42 GMT November 3, 2016
Place Your Bets Ladies and Gentlemen...Place your bets

Just Google it.

Abedin New Focus of
Clinton Email Investigation
FBI report reveals she forwarded classified data to her private email

Hillary eats soul food, campaigns in churches to boost lagging black turnout

Bret Baier: FBI Sources Believe Clinton Foundation Case Moving Towards "Likely an Indictment"

Senior FBI officials were told of new emails in early October but wanted more information before renewing Clinton probe

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/senior-fbi-officials-were-told-of-new-emails-in-early-october-but-wanted-more-information-before-renewing-clinton-probe/2016/11/02/7884dede-a134-11e6-8832-23a007c77bb4_story.html

haifa ac 03:33 GMT November 3, 2016
The fate of the world is teetering

FARRAKHAN: Hillary is Hitler to us!
http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/02/louis-farrakhan-compares-hillary-to-black-communitys-hitler-in-fire-and-brimstone-sermon-video/

dc CB 03:11 GMT November 3, 2016
Place Your Bets Ladies and Gentlemen...Place your bets

Obama addresses those who can't Hear, the Millenials.

how many days left. 3 to escape the MarKit, 4 if you Day Trade

OK Fine

haifa ac 02:28 GMT November 3, 2016
The fate of the world is teetering
Reply   
for once he is right.

Obama, that is

Obama repeatedly laid into Trump, one sentence after another, saying that he had "no respect for working people," mocking his claim that he has a"good brain," and lambasting the Republican presidential nominee's plan to bar all Muslims from entering the US.

"What I can tell you is that we can't afford a president that says we should torture people, or that should ban entire religions from our country," Obama said. .....

http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-donald-trump-north-carolina-2016-11

dc CB 01:53 GMT November 3, 2016
Place Your Bets Ladies and Gentlemen...Place your bets

Note. My shoulders are not bare tonite. The Rupert Boys told me that No ImPorTanT NUZ will be "shouted out by You(the Blonde we have niw under contract an soon to be renegoitated) Will be delivered ON THE TV TYPE(all inclusives etc etc) with BARE Shoulders, (see sub 103943 agreeement 4444 535)

The Kelly File 11/02/16 Source Investigation Into Clinton Foundation Has Taken A Very High Priority

dc CB 01:21 GMT November 3, 2016
Place Your Bets Ladies and Gentlemen...Place your bets

comin on next week
Sit on Hands
OOOOOPPPPS
Truth or Not


OOOOOOOOH what's up with that?

dc CB 01:00 GMT November 3, 2016
Place Your Bets Ladies and Gentlemen...Place your bets

Never Give Up
Winnin winning Ugly

the Tonite Even On FOX(Murdock)NUZ, slipped in there with the Demo(Fair and Balanced) ITS THE ROOSKIES...hoiw can we trust this IT'S PUTIN

Who the F**K would have any MONEY at risk in this envronment...Beyond a Day Bet on the ponies.

John---Jay Get REAL

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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