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Forex Forum Archive for 11/04/2016

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Livingston nh 23:11 GMT November 4, 2016
Three Ring Circus: Election, Fed and Brexit

Oh , and my theory about an oil driven monetary policy is bolstered by fischer's comment re: transitory oil prices -- if you truly target "CORE" (excluding energy) then what does it mater what the price of oil is and whether the rise or fall in price is permanent or transitory

Nobody asks about these details

Livingston nh 22:59 GMT November 4, 2016
Three Ring Circus: Election, Fed and Brexit

These CB guys are yapping about PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH - Seems the wrong focus -- my recollection is productivity reduces inflation // see WORLD HISTORY

GVI Forex Blog 22:09 GMT November 4, 2016
Three Ring Circus: Election, Fed and Brexit
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA

Election, Jobs And Fed
Obviously the major event of the week ahead will be the outcome of the U.S. Presidential election. At this juncture, it appears that Hillary Clinton is in the lead, but the vote is still shrouded in uncertainty. The market reaction to the outcome should be driven by the amount of uncertainty it generates.

The October U.S. employment beat expectations when revisions to prior data were taken into account. Also the key Average Hourly Earnings data were marked higher. Key for the Fed will be November data due early in December before the next Fed decision...

Three Ring Circus: Election, Fed and Brexit

Livingston nh 20:28 GMT November 4, 2016
Terrorism

PAR - 9/11 should have been the last terrorist attack on the US - all the political elites subscribe to the "we don't do terror" but TRUMP might not have gotten that memo

Sometimes you need to trade on your rep -- there's only one that has used nukes // and that's terror in a bottle

london red 20:26 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

once broke abv 50 a lot of ANALysts quipped a range of 45-65, seems we are going to test the mettle of the downside.

PAR 20:25 GMT November 4, 2016
Obama
Reply   
Never since 1980 has a US president seen the US stock market decline for 8 consecutive days. Yes we can.

Livingston nh 20:22 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

Oil showed itself to be a market of desperation -- hope is based on Headlines // "what they say" market gets whipped around especially if the traders are hoping to get out before reality sets in -- HOPE is not a plan

london red 20:15 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

euro. 50day ma at 31 prev high 26. can see a late squeeze thru ma's to bottom of cloud by 11160. fav while mkt abv 11110.
s&p. prev channel at 2072/70 cash.

PAR 20:10 GMT November 4, 2016
Terrorism
Reply   
USA warning for terrorrist attack in USA next .

Livingston nh 20:02 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

JP - we have already had "election turmoil" warning - see if Fischer has a "concern" -- market at 80% for hike, if the 50-50 balance myth is real it will take a lot of concerned Yaks over the next two weeks to bring the markets in

Mtl JP 19:57 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

so euro pops and usd drops some ahead of stanley lol

Mtl JP 19:52 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

Fischer scheduled to yak at top of hour
fwiw

GVI Trading john bland 19:47 GMT November 4, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report
Reply   
COT Post

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details




GVI Forex Blog 19:31 GMT November 4, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex Blog 19:19 GMT November 4, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

Livingston nh 19:00 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

STOX (SPX) chart went negative - Internals still positive // maybe like yesterday the close shows some fear (bonds have been positive despite the pundits on FED hike)

The real yield is hitting the USD

Mtl JP 18:43 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

some good news:
Dallas Fed president sees more turmoil ahead for energy sector

Fed’s Kaplan: U.S. oil production won’t pick up until price rises above $55 per barrel

London AzaForex 17:59 GMT November 4, 2016
Trading analyst and strategies on EURCAD 11-4-2016 by AzaFor
Reply   


Buy EURCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading analyst and strategies on EURCAD 11-4-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

Mtl JP 17:52 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

cretin Kaplan's yak not getting traction from players
-
2nd genius (after janet) Fischer yaks next an hour before NY close

GVI Trading john bland 17:51 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

I have to assume that rig counts work with a lag, meaning they are a reflection of recent price moves (rising), and once committed drillers will be slow to shut down what they just reopened.

GVI Trading john bland 17:04 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 569 vs 557 (+12) prev
US (oil): 450 vs. 441 (+9) prev

Canada 154 vs. 153 (+1) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 16:38 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

a bit earlier:
Lockhart: 'Turmoil around the election' may alter outlook
-
may... or may not.
lockhart is part of that one group that does not worry about next paycheck / meal

Israel Dil 16:31 GMT November 4, 2016
Tuesday, November 8th 2016
Reply   
DJI sub 17k

make the math about the rest yourself ;-)

happy weekend

Israel Dil 16:21 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

New York, New York

All from New York:
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
James Comey

I wonder if James Comey ever heard Hillary Clinton saying "going to jail is better than Yonkers" - is it or isn't it everything personal ?!

GVI Forex Blog 16:20 GMT November 4, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 7 November 2016
Reply   

November 4, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 7, 2016.

  • CA/US- Clocks "Fall Back" Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ- Factory Orders, Retail PMI, Retail Sales, GB- Atty General Aticle 50 Statement
  • North America: US- 3-Yr Auction

 

 

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

6-Nov Sun
00:00 CA/US- Clocks fall back one hour
7-Nov Mon
7:15 CH- CPI
10:00 EZ- Retail Sales
8-Nov Tue
00:00 US- Presidential Election
02:00 CN- Trade
09:30 GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output
18:00 US- 10-yr Auction
9-Nov Wed
01:30 US- CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan

GVI Data Calendar for 7 November 2016

GVI Forex Blog 16:11 GMT November 4, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

dc CB 16:05 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

"""The computer was obtained by the FBI in relation to a probe into whether Weiner sent sexts to a teenage girl""".

The key here is that the NYPD got that computer as part of their investigation...the NYPD seized the computer and saw what was on it. The NYPD then turned it over to the FBI. The NYPD has apparently threated to go public it the FBI and the Justice Dept tried to bury this.

Israel Dil 15:40 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Comic from Comey & Co.

Mtl JP 15:35 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

duh ! how much funding, how many software experts does FBI have ?
sorting out Weiner's e-mail data base is a job for a Microsoft low level tech engineer ... w/ a report done by and ready noon

Israel Dil 15:29 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

it's up to you what you believe in ;-)

FBI finds Hillary emails on Weiner’s laptop, and they’re not duplicates

Paris ib 15:22 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Just a few more days of this rubbish and then it's over. What a blessed relief that will be, provided we have a clear outcome.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 15:14 GMT November 4, 2016
GBPUSD and USDCAD Patterns
Reply   

Both patterns continue to repeat

There is a GBPUSD trading pattern I have uncovered that is repeating daily and should continue to do so. There have only been four days that it did not repeat since the June 23 vote to Brexit.

There is a similar pattern in USDCAD that has repeated 89% of the days so far this year snd each day this week.

Recognizing this pattern can create high probability trading opportunities on a daily basis and you can now get access to it.


Send me an EMAIL for details.

GVI Trading john bland 15:13 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

I never heard of this guy. Story makes no sense.

Paris ib 15:03 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Is that a serious site or a joker site?

Israel Dil 14:52 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

BREAKING: Comey Mandates All FBI Agents Report to D.C. Offices; Prep for Raids, Possible Arrests in Clinton Probes

this is BREAKING NEWS !!!

GVI Trading john bland 14:39 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

OPEC's Barkindo
- Saudi's did NOT threaten to raise output at meeting

>> TTN

===========================

WTI higher

Mtl JP 14:19 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast for 2016: Q4:

3.1% vs 2.3% prior

GVI Trading john bland 14:18 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3Q16 forecast +3.10% vs. +2.30% on November 1.

Source: TTN

Israel Dil 14:09 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.1111 Target: lower Stop: -25pips

let's see

GVI Forex Blog 14:07 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Ivey PMI Improves
Reply   
Canadian PMIs (Ivey and RBC-Markit). Ivey PMI sstronger. It is always hard to trust the Ivey PMI.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Ivey PMI Improves

Mtl JP 14:06 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada Ivey risk "C" ... lol still too generous (closer to ZZ eh eh) what useless data blip it has become, wasting disk-space and time

PAR 14:06 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Beats After Revisions

Multiple jobholders hits record high.

Mtl JP 14:00 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

as NY cuts 1.11 euro option

Israel Dil 14:00 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

sub 1.24 more likely IMO

GVI Trading john bland 14:00 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada Ivey PMI (sa) October 2016





ALERT
59.7 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 58.4 prev.

RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:56 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

who has adds of gbpusd hitting 1.26?
tia

Israel Dil 13:55 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

one week ahead from now...

would gold allow cash some profit above 1.4k or load below 1.2k ?



Israel Dil 13:55 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

one week ahead from now...

would gold allow cash some profit above 1.4k or load below 1.2k ?



dc CB 13:31 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

ib: the idea that one President or other changes EVERYTHING.

I've compared this election the War of the Roses. Basically it's the Yorks v the Lancasters. Which family gets to rule. and it is about Ruling, not governing by any sense of the word.

dc CB 13:25 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

JP
see something, say something. lol. as has been shown nobody follows that rule, 'cause you get labeled a racist, or an islamophobe and get smeared.

Dump #29 Wikileaks Releases Another 1,749 Emails, Total Is Now 47,275

Mtl JP 13:17 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

dc CB 13:09 whatever happened to the rainbow colour danger alert system ?

Paris ib 13:17 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

Thanks nh.... what is your call on this? Any ideas? Personally I can't wait for the darn thing to be OVER. I also have trouble with the idea that one President or other changes EVERYTHING. I don't buy that. But hey, what do I know anyhow?

dc CB 13:16 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

Michelle Harris, a 61-year-old retired waitress in northwest Montana, has arthritis in both shoulders. She gets a tax subsidy to help buy coverage under Obamacare, though she still pays $338 a month for the BlueCross BlueShield plan. Yet with its $4,500 deductible, she says she’s doing everything she can to avoid seeing a doctor.

Stephanie Haltinner, 30, has an insurance plan with a $13,000 deductible for her and her husband under Obamacare.

Campaign Issue

Affordability has become a major issue in the presidential campaign. Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, has pointed to rising premiums as a sign that the ACA doesn’t work, and promised to repeal it. Hillary Clinton, the Democratic candidate, has pledged to fix the law, in part by boosting subsidies to buy insurance.

BBG

Livingston nh 13:15 GMT November 4, 2016
AUD
Reply   
AUD/USD moving back towards 77 - a bit above has been a good sell level but lower part of the range is rising

HK Kwun 13:14 GMT November 4, 2016
too many uncertainity and Bad NFP
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1303 Target: Stop: 1293

buy gold now,

GVI Trading john bland 13:13 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

UK foreign Secy Johnson
- doesn't feel court decision will affect Brexit timing

>> TTN

dc CB 13:09 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

It begins.

Sources told CBS News senior investigative producer Pat Milton that U.S. intelligence has alerted joint terrorism task forces that al Qaeda could be planning attacks in three states for Monday.

It is believed New York, Texas and Virginia are all possible targets, though no specific locations are mentioned.

U.S. intel warning of possible al Qaeda attacks in U.S. Monday

Livingston nh 13:07 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Figures Improve

From the Darkside : Total Trade was lower - exports increased by 1 billion but imports declined by 3 billion // a hint of things to come?

GVI Trading john bland 13:05 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Figures Improve

Smaller trade gap a positive for nominal GDP figures.

GVI Forex Blog 13:02 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Figures Improve
Reply   
U.S. Trade Deficit improves.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Figures Improve

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 12:57 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

As I posted earlier on GVI Forex

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.



Amazing Trader charts updated on your systems

US jobs data should be a USD positive but as I noted in our meeting, politics "trumps" economics so limited follow through should not surprise. Look for 1.11 to set the tone, see if it exerts a pull.

GVI Forex Blog 12:56 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Firm
Reply   
Canada Jobs: Stronger than expected

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Firm

GVI Trading john bland 12:52 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Beats After Revisions

You might have to refresh forum to update charts

GVI Forex Blog 12:49 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Beats After Revisions
Reply   
U.S. Monthly Employment.

MORE: U.S. Data Charts


October 2016 U.S. payroll employment beats after revisions.


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Report Beats After Revisions

Livingston nh 12:47 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?



Here's a Map of Likely Electoral Votes (270 needed)-- Note Florida is lightly Republican -- the OUTCOME if Florida goes Republican is 269 Clinton, 269 Trump

y'all have fun with THAT

Mtl JP 12:41 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

re euro
reading a thing or two about some large 1.11 option exp in NY this am
fwiw

GVI Trading john bland 12:38 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade September 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-36.4 vs. -39.0K exp. vs. -40.70K (r -40.50K) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-4.0 vs. -1.70 exp. vs. -1.90 (r-2.0) prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 12:36 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada EMPLOYMENT October 2016



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: +43.9K vs. -10.0K exp. vs. +67.2K prev.
Rate: 7.00% vs. 7.00% exp. vs. 7.00% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthy Employment Report





TTN: Live News Special Offer

Israel Dil 12:33 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP

how many missiles hitting Saudi oil production facilities it needs to make the Saudi regime to get into $500B arms shopping spread?

Who to be major beneficiary of such shopping spread?
never underestimate the scripts run by the Bilderberg missionaries ;-)

GVI Trading john bland 12:33 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Employment October 2016







ALERT
NFP Jobs:
+161K vs. +175K exp. vs. +156K (r +191K ) prev.
Rate:4.90% vs. 4.90% exp. vs. 5.00% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% (r 0.30%) prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Paris ib 12:33 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

And we care? Not.

GVI Trading john bland 12:30 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

nfp +161K

Mtl JP 12:26 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

negotiate ... haha
the saudis are a joke: they are having trouble to afford all those made-in-usa bombs and bullets negotiating tools

Israel Dil 12:25 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: $70+ / $100+ Stop:

John

Logic! - only as a wish

what about few missiles out Yemen hitting Saudi oil production facilities?
what about total chaos in the middle east during the US presidential transition period?

buy crude, hold crude, 50% at least during the coming 18 months when using $45 as the pivot.

Mtl JP 12:22 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

usdcad thanks the saudis
rofl
-
keeping euro-trading robot constrained to the short side only

GVI Trading john bland 12:21 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Negotiating with Iraq, Iran and Russia. Its all just talk

Paris ib 12:19 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Any particular reason they are threatening to do that? Get the Russians?

GVI Trading john bland 12:16 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Saudis threaten to RAISE oil production substantially

>>TTN

============================

WTI tanking



Israel Dil 12:15 GMT November 4, 2016
GOLD
Reply   
to get gold skyrocketing higher it needs USD/INR to go above 70, panic at new dimensions will bring also new definitions to that term.

also just a rise to happen, it's still the most effective exchange tool between people when a computer bug hits the global banking "system". what about all political figures being obligated to list the banking tools and/or cash equivalent they use?

Mtl JP 12:03 GMT November 4, 2016
NFP

nh 11:40 I dare prognosticate that today's jobs number will not register in your account more than a mosquito's turd's worth on the windshield of your Hummer.

Amman wfakhoury 11:56 GMT November 4, 2016
GBPUSD READY for BIG move
Reply   
100-120 Pips
Mostly it will go up .
Buy stop 12510 tp 12560-70
add buy if goes down as it will return to 12460 .


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


Mtl JP 11:50 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?



here is all you need to know about "clean"
Gold: the centrifugal separator of bullsh!t from Truth

Israel Dil 11:40 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

humans make many kinds of tests on rats and claim it's for the better being of humanity and/or specific society. the same time which part of humanity considers a possibility/reality of humans being part of a test runs by other form of life/society?

now the link to the US elections, it's about a vote for certain way of being greedy (very very greedy in fact!), the Clinton way or the Trump way of being greedy. no matter who takes the election, it's still GREED that rules.

don't consider any other fact than greed when it comes to trading, now think what other form than commodities trading pays better?

got it?

Livingston nh 11:40 GMT November 4, 2016
NFP
Reply   
NFP Guess = 225k (first month of qtr Bias) w/ revisions higher // maybe redirect the bond market back to the Fed and away from STOX

PAR 11:33 GMT November 4, 2016
UK
Reply   
Theresa May to call and lose a snap general election. 6 months after the brexit vote no progress has been made ,only more confusion. Maybe it is time for May to resign.

Livingston nh 11:11 GMT November 4, 2016
Erdogan
Reply   
Erdogan is working his MAGIC on USD/TRY -- Merkel & Co trying to avoid offending him ?

NY JM 10:59 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

The electoral college favors Clinton and for that reason, Trump has to run the table to win. While that is possible, it is still the longer shot bet but as we saw with brexit, anything is possible.

The other uncertainty is whether the democrats can win back the Senate.

In any case, neither is going to come into office with a mandate and Clinton will face House probes and legal battles. I do not see how this will inspire confidence going forwards even if there is a relief pop should Clinton win although the surprise would still be a President Trump.

I also see the Fed raising rates in December, if only so it does not have to do so in the early months of the new administration.

Paris ib 10:39 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

Chris Matthews endorsed Trump....

Clean election result for Trump coming up?

Jumping Ship

GVI Trading john bland 10:37 GMT November 4, 2016
Sterling sees best week since March as 'hard Brexit' fears ease -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"Sterling traded close to a four-week high on Friday and was heading for its best week since March, having jumped after England's High Court put a spanner in the government's plans to forge ahead with Britain's exit from the European Union.

The battered pound has clawed back 2.5 percent against the dollar this week, with Thursday's court ruling adding to a run of political and economic developments perceived as positive by investors worrying over the economic fallout of Brexit..."

Sterling sees best week since March as 'hard Brexit' fears ease -- Reuters.com

Paris ib 10:34 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

JP spot on. Absolutely spot on. Will do. :-) What I really meant is: it's hard to remain optimistic about the outlook for the US.

fs I agree with you. The media does not. I think though that maybe the American public is not that stupid or gullible and will vote the better choice. But it's not up to me.

SaaR KaL 10:32 GMT November 4, 2016
Short All Indices

done all sp500
Many will drop
got one that will north over the next 2 weeks
ADM

GVI Trading john bland 10:32 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

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kl fs 10:26 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

it is better for US that Trump win
Hillary's win will be a waste of resources for long long time

Mtl JP 10:25 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

Something has to chance. I don't know what.
Hard to remain optimistic in that scenario.

Change
your
attitude
lol

SaaR KaL 10:21 GMT November 4, 2016
Short All Indices

Haifa
MKT has nothing to do with politicians IMO
They effect nothing...
People are trained to think there is an association due to repeated Media Hog wash

GVI Trading john bland 10:20 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

Equities Risk Off
DAX -99
DJ -23
SP -1

10-yr 1.794% -1.9

SP 20o day avg 2083 (last 2088)

Paris ib 10:17 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

Hard to remain optimistic in that scenario.

GVI Trading john bland 10:15 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

A clean result, but if Hillary wins, she will be hamstrung from day one. If Trump wins, who knows? He will be up against the Washington establishment.

Paris ib 10:08 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

Thanks John. So you think that we will have a clean result? For me that would be a positive. A contested or unclear election result would be another disaster. Of course with Clinton you have all these overhanging investigations etc., which won't be good. But still getting this election out of the way can only be a good thing. What is going on is just ridiculous at the moment. Something has to chance. I don't know what.

GVI Trading john bland 09:48 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading

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GVI Trading john bland 09:20 GMT November 4, 2016
Friday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
4-Nov Fri
All Day Service PMIs
12:30 US- Jobs/Trade
12:30 CA- Jobs/Trade

6-Nov Sun
00:00 CA/US- Clocks fall back one hour
7-Nov Mon
7:15 CH- CPI
10:00 EZ- Retail Sales
8-Nov Tue
00:00 US- Presidential Election
02:00 CN- Trade
09:30 GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output
18:00 US- 10-yr Auction
9-Nov Wed
01:30 US- CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • The focus today is on October employment data from the U.S. and Canada. U.S. data are in the spotlight as they are an important part of the picture for a possible Fed decision to hike U.S. interest rates at their December meeting. Before then we will have seen the U.S. Presidential election results and one more set of jobs data in a month's. A december rate hike looks to be a done deal unless the October and November jobs data unexpectedly are disastrously weak.

  • Markets are still digesting the U.K. three judge high court panel decision that the May government does not have the power to trigger Article 50 for Brexit without consulting Parliament. The government is appealing the decision and it has permission to go straight to the Supreme Court. That court has set aside time for a four-day hearing starting on December 7.

  • The U.S. Presidential election will take place next Tuesday. The Main Street Media (MSM) is hopelessly biased in favor of Hillary Clinton, so it is hard to get an objective view on what is likely to happen. They continue to report that she is likely to win. This is the working assumption of the markets, and suggests Hillary will have difficult time pulling the country back together after the vote. She will have no honeymoon period after the election. Odds are the same if somehow Donald Trump pulls out an upset victory.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk Off

GVI Trading john bland 09:16 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?

ib- It all depends on the vote. "Hanging Chads" were because the Bush-Gore vote all came down to one state, Florida. Also the Florida vote was virtually a tie. Imagine millions of Florida votes came down to a differential of a couple hundred. That kind of an outcome was very unusual. Odds are there will be a "clean" outcome by early Wednesday.

On the other hand, this has been such a nasty battle, I don't feel either party will be happy with the outcome. No matter who wins, don't expect the victor to have the usual honeymoon period.

GVI Forex Blog 09:05 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ final Service PMIs Revisions Lower Bias
Reply   
EZ, GE and FR final Service PMIs revisions biased downward.

BREAKING NEWS: EZ final Service PMIs Revisions Lower Bias

GVI Trading john bland 09:00 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

EZ PMI revision misses.

GVI Trading john bland 09:00 GMT November 4, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Final Service PMIs October 2016





ALERT

EZ- Final Service PMI
52.8 vs. 53.5 exp. vs. 53.5 (flash)
France
51.4 vs. 52.1 exp. vs. 52.1 (flash)
Germany
54.2 vs. 54.1 exp. vs. 54.1 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib 08:47 GMT November 4, 2016
Chances of a Clean Result in the U.S.?
Reply   
Anyone think we are going to get a clear result straight away?

Paris ib 08:33 GMT November 4, 2016
Changes of a Clean Election Result?
Reply   
I'm beginning to think that the problem during the election will not be the outcome itself - we can deal with that - but getting an outcome. I don't recall how long the hanging chad saga went on.... but I do remember it went on for a while. The chances of a clean result this time around are what? Zero? Or am I being too pessimistic here?

GVI Forex Blog 08:28 GMT November 4, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Haifa ac 08:27 GMT November 4, 2016
Short All Indices

Saar, do you think the stock market is "predicting" Trump victory?!

SaaR KaL 07:26 GMT November 4, 2016
Short All Indices
Reply   
Nikki. NDX DJI SP all shorts here

Haifa ac 06:53 GMT November 4, 2016
My Good Friends, just Face It

Just read the scathing attack of Hillary by ANN COULTER (one of the smartest women around, but of course pooh-poohed by the media because she is such a staunch republican

MY FINAL ARGUMENT FOR TRUMP: HUMILIATE THE MEDIA!
November 2, 2016

For every argument the media make against Trump, Hillary's worse.


(1) Eleven years ago, Trump said on a secretly recorded tape that celebrities can do anything -- even grab a woman's p*ssy.


Hillary, born-again Victorian virgin, campaigns with Beyonce, who performs a duet with the words "curvalicious, p*ssy served delicious.”


Hillary is thrilled to have the support of Madonna -- who has publicly offered to give blow jobs to anyone who votes for Hillary. (She'll even remove her teeth!)
...
13 full points that should DEVASTATE criminal Hillary

COPYRIGHT 2016 ANN COULTER
http://www.anncoulter.com/columns/2016-11-02.html

SaaR KaL 06:37 GMT November 4, 2016
My Orders for today

Does not Seem USDJPY goes higher then 103.2 today
I am added shorts
tgt 100

SaaR KaL 06:37 GMT November 4, 2016
My Orders for today

Does not Seem USDJPY goes higher then 103.2 today
I am added shorts
tgt 100

SaaR KaL 06:35 GMT November 4, 2016
My Orders for today
Reply   
Longs
XAU/USD 1,293.75
XAG/USD 18.106
EUR/CAD 1.48385
GBP/USD 1.23863
EUR/USD 1.10736
NZD/USD 0.7295

Shorts
GBP/NZD 1.70731
US30 17,962.99
AUS200 5,204.99
USOil 45.259
GER30 10,340.40
NAS100 4,694.22
JPN225 16,948.29
SPX500 2,094.44

Provo John 06:31 GMT November 4, 2016
GBP/USD Live Forex Signals

risk 65 for a 50 gain...I don't think so! Bad RR.

Bedford 06:30 GMT November 4, 2016
GBP/USD Live Forex Signals

We works every time to provide you best opportunities of trading. Our energetic team is monitoring the Forex market and obtains the best result for you.

forex trade alert

Singapore 06:15 GMT November 4, 2016
GBP/USD Live Forex Signals
Reply   
GBP/USD is going down today in Forex Market.

Our Recommendation:

GBP/USD sell today from 1.2475 Take Profit 1.2425 Stoploss 1.2540.

Get Forex Signals With 3 days free trial Offer @ http://www.mmfsolutions.sg/services/forex-pack/

Jia

Hong Kong 03:49 GMT November 4, 2016
AceTrader Nov 3: Intra-Day News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
04 Nov 2016 03:16GMT

USD/JPY - 103.08.. Dlr swung broadly sideways in early Asian trading as Japan's financial market re-opened after yesterday's holiday. Although traders reported usd buying by Japanese importers on bargain hunting following yesterday's selloff to a 4-week low of 102.55, price briefly bounced to 103.21 at Tokyo open but quickly retreated to intra-day low of 102.83 as the Nikkie turned lower and hit a 2-1/2 week low of 16801 (currently at 16888).

Despite yesterday's resumption of this week's decline to 102.55, dlr's o/n rebound to 103.31 suggests temp. low has been made and choppy trading above this level is expected as traders are keeping their powder dry ahead of release of key U.S. jobs data at 12:30GMT.
Market consensus is for Oct payrolls to show a 175K increase in jobs vs prevous reading of 156K, if actual figure is higher, then we may see the greenback to stage at least a brief but sharp rebound vs its peers following this week's surprise steep fall.

Offers are tipped at 103.20/30 with stops above there, however, more selling interest is noted at 103.45/55 with stops reported above 104.00.
Bids are noted at 102.80-70 and more below with stops touted below 102.50.

manila tom 02:19 GMT November 4, 2016
sell euro
Reply   
sell euro on blip today, looks heavy on 4hr chart

dc CB 00:23 GMT November 4, 2016
if you haven't heard The CUBS WON
Reply   
sticking to my Chicago Theme. First Time in 107 Years

The Earth Moves

So placing your Bets forward

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AnDw9zTL-F8

The Bear(as recently been assumed to idicated Putin) HAS been poked.

But the black bear( that has been poked) is a bear indigenous to the eastern US, usually found roaming the Appalachians....(as an aside I personnaly had a Black Bear pass within 20 feet of me, while I was scarfing down a freshly grilled Tuna steak)

The White House is preparing a launch.... SIT ON HANDS (SunSzu Palsm 4 Chapter 3)



(I recomnd Sit ON HANDS---no unhedged Exposure to LongTerm Positions...DAY TRADERS...need a link to East of the Atlantic

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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