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Forex Forum Archive for 11/08/2016

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HK [email protected] 22:39 GMT November 8, 2016
Sh!t starts hitting the fan!!!!!!!!!!!
Reply   


BREAKING! Video Shows Electronic Voting Machine SWITCHING Trump Vote To HILLARY! WATCH!

Here is video that was just taken from an African-American Trump supporter who tried to vote for Trump, but the machine kept signaling that he was voting for Hillary.

BREAKING! Video Shows Electronic Voting Machine SWITCHING Trump Vote To HILLARY! WATCH!

HK [email protected] 22:13 GMT November 8, 2016
Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes stand abolished from midnight: PM Modi



Mtl JP 20:30

Fear may spread!

What happened in India, may lead people to avoid cash in other Asian countries, or even So.America.

Especially in the Philippines, where a communist leaning president is at the helm, who may repeat the trick.

I think that gold will begin rising on that issue, as a safe haven, possibly for the more sophisticated investors, Bitcoin may do.

Tallinn viies 21:45 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
ready to buy brent near the lows of previous week. first level and then at 43sh. plan to keep it for a longer term.

Tallinn viies 21:38 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
API
cr+4.4m exp +1.3m
gasoline -3.6m exp -1m
dist -4.3m exp -2.1

GVI Trading john bland 21:35 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly +4.400 mn vs. +1.000 mn exp (EIA)



TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 21:31 GMT November 8, 2016
Wednesday Trading

euro. when last looked option straddles wre about 120 eod, so itll need to move more than that to draw sellers so below 109 and stay there for a chance at recent low. not sure usd will hold on to any big gains as hilary is more of the same regardless of how much she winds by. fireworks can only come with trump. topside euro needs to break 113 and stay abv on daily close to significantly change trend.

Livingston nh 21:25 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

John - early voting phenomenon in FL gives Clinton a big lead -- the northern and west coast FL need a big Trump bump but those areas may be where early voting was high

Vancouver G.A. 21:23 GMT November 8, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Red, What do you think of EURO? Thanks in advance

london red 21:20 GMT November 8, 2016
Wednesday Trading

ywn. 105.20 weekly kijun and 50% fib. if mkt stays bullish for clinton win, they will be drawn over this lvl and it will force others into mkt. this will be a pre acceleration phase. if abv 10550 mkt shud be less orderly and chase. on downside below 10475 will unsettle some.

PAR 20:58 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

Looks like it is all over for Trump . Can go back to playing golf , like Obama.
So for Trump himself no big difference being president or no president.
Just play golf .

GVI Trading john bland 20:57 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

I can't tell for sure, but I think Trump MIGHT be doing poorly in Florida. Its hard to tell spin from truth, but I have heard that there has been a large turnout by the Latino vote and that bodes poorly for him.

Paris ib 20:55 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

nh - seriously I was going to bed anyhow. Square - with all the positives and negatives which that implies. :-)

GVI Trading john bland 20:52 GMT November 8, 2016
Wednesday Trading

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Livingston nh 20:49 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

ib - Clinton wins FLORIDA you can go to bed - California used to keep folks up late but its not in play anymore

GVI Trading john bland 20:44 GMT November 8, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
9-Nov Wed
01:30 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • This is a thin week for key U.S. economic data.

  • Odds are the outcome of the Presidential election tonight will be known early unless Trump does much better than predicted. Many of the critical swing states the the Eastern and Central time zones. Since Clinton is the candidate of the Wall Street establishment, equities are expected to rally if she wins. A Clinton Presidential election victory is the working assumption of the markets.

  • Most expect the Republicans to hold onto the House. The Senate vote is seen as a toss-up.

  • A Trump victory would be a cause for uncertainty and would likely be a weight on equities. Nevertheless, Hillary will certainly have difficult time pulling the country back together after the vote. She is unlikely to have the usual honeymoon period after the election, and will likely be subject to endless Congressional corruption hearings.

  • Nothing in the October U.S. employment data on Friday should have derailed the intentions of the Fed to hike U.S. interest rates at their December meeting.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On

GVI Forex Blog 20:41 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

GVI Forex Blog 20:38 GMT November 8, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Paris ib 20:35 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

nh - thanks for that. So Clinton has it then? Or are we too early?

Mtl JP 20:30 GMT November 8, 2016
Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes stand abolished from midnight: PM Modi

[email protected] 19:20 what posi-pip trades do u c from "social and the economic implications for the next few days" ?
tia

Livingston nh 20:21 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

ib- the BOOTS on the Ground KNOW who is ahead so it's easy enough to add it up to a projection

london red 20:20 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

eod options for tom. euro 120 pips yen 180 pips +/-
yen. 105.25/50 key to topside. abv clear skies to ~106.40/50. they could squueze much higher 108 but mkt shud not beat prev high just below 111.50. imp where we end week as i believe any topside will be quickly sold. i wud certainly look to sell those levels as mkt wud b overextending itself up there. similarly needs a daily close under 102.50 to force folk to think about downside. a lot of money will be made and lost by the usual suspects, so make sure you arent drawn in by the panic.

Livingston nh 20:14 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

A district reports to a ward -- at lunchtime you know who has voted and whether the turnout is "different" so you get on the phone or send somebody out to a voter's house to remind them , offer help (babysitter, ride whatever) - depending on the type of election I crossed parties to pick up folks who would ask me (if no harm done) what about ___? a vote for my interest

YOU need folks who KNOW the district -- BOOTS on the Ground win elections just like war

PAR 20:14 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

Latino vote to give victory to Hilary.

HK [email protected] 20:10 GMT November 8, 2016
If you are an Indian almost to die??? You better die faster!!!
Reply   


Crematoriums and cemeteries will also be allowed to transact 500 and 1000 notes till November 11.

HK [email protected] 20:04 GMT November 8, 2016
Another crazy government at work
Reply   


"It is a very powerful measure to curb black money,” said Nirmal Jain, chairman of IIFL Holdings Ltd.

"It will have a deflationary impact in general and more specifically on real estate prices and make homes affordable.”

Paris ib 19:56 GMT November 8, 2016
86% of currency by value in India are of Rs 500 & Rs 1,000 denominations

Another crazy government at work. Honestly what a mess. And to do that just like that, without notice, in a place like India. Obviously looking for riots or something... weird. But then we live in strange times.

HK [email protected] 19:55 GMT November 8, 2016
86% of currency by value in India are of Rs 500 & Rs 1,000 denominations
Reply   

Currently Rs 17,54,000 crore worth of notes are in circulation according to the RBI’s database on the Indian economy. Of this Rs 500 notes constituted almost 45% of the currency in circulation while 39% of the notes were of the Rs 1,000 denomination. In value terms.

This measure would mean that from midnight, almost Rs 6,32,600 crore in circulation in the form of Rs 1,000 notes would be illegal tender. To replace them, Rs 2,000 notes would be introduced, which according to the government would be limited in circulation.

Let's compute:17,54,000*(.45+.39)*10,000,000/66.62=221158811167.81$US~221B-US$
(A crore denotes ten million)

Not a small amount by any measure.

LINK

Paris ib 19:31 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

How can they have projections already? I thought they did not publish exit polls until after the end of voting?

But then what do I know? This whole process seems crazy to me. From the primaries on.... do not understand.

Tallinn viies 19:26 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
so need to buy crude I guess?




Votecastr projection: Clinton leads in 6 of 7 swing states

Hillary Clinton is leading in six of seven swing states, according to early model projections as of Tuesday afternoon.

Votecastr projections out Tuesday morning showed Clinton leading in every state but Pennsylvania, which only had 3.4 percent of the expected votes observed at the time.

Clinton has since maintained leads in Colorado, Florida, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Trump now has a narrow advantage in Iowa.

Here’s where the candidates stand as of 2 p.m.:

Colorado (72.2 percent of expected votes observed):
Clinton – 47 percent
Trump – 42 percent

Florida (74.9 percent of expected votes observed):
Clinton – 49 percent
Trump – 45 percent

Iowa (55.9 percent of expected votes observed):
Clinton – 45 percent
Trump – 46 percent

Nevada (58.7 percent of expected votes observed):
Clinton – 47 percent
Trump – 44 percent

Ohio (59.8 percent of expected votes observed):
Clinton – 46 percent
Trump – 45 percent

Pennsylvania (45.9 percent of expected votes observed)
Clinton – 48 percent
Trump – 44 percent

Wisconsin (47.9 percent of expected votes observed):
Clinton – 49 percent
Trump – 43 percent

HK [email protected] 19:20 GMT November 8, 2016
Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes stand abolished from midnight: PM Modi


Mtl JP 19:14

Aping or not aping, what is important is the social and the economic implications for the next few days.

PAR 19:18 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

Crude will move higher. Hilary is sponsored by Saudi Arabia.

Mtl JP 19:14 GMT November 8, 2016
Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes stand abolished from midnight: PM Modi

Modi aping early 19 hundred France
franc nouveau vs franc ancien
rofl, count on government to "help" (itself first)

Paris ib 19:09 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

John I think it implies that Clinton has a fight on her hands. We will see.

Livingston nh 19:02 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

john - turnout is first a function of weather - after that it gets murky // The precincts that have unusual spikes need to be judged by political tendency and prior turnout -- so we have two issues today // first, folks VOTE AGAINST and second, folks vote if they think their vote matters (e.g. polls say MY candidate has a big lead so I can go to K Mart cuz my vote doesn't matter or in NJ et al w/ a predelcition towards a PARTY my vote will not matter to the Electoral College outcome)

This one is TRICKY because the VOTE AGAINST is more dominant on both sides

Fat Lady in the wings

Bali Sja 18:54 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

Crude will go up IMO

Tallinn viies 18:52 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
should crude go up or down if clinton win?

HK [email protected] 18:35 GMT November 8, 2016
Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes stand abolished from midnight: PM Modi



No one will sell even one ounce of gold in India.

Large attempt to buy gold+ zero supply= BUY GOLD

HK [email protected] 18:24 GMT November 8, 2016
Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes stand abolished from midnight: PM Modi



You have 50 days (From 10 Nov to 30 Dec) to deposit notes of Rs 500 & Rs 1000 in any Bank or Post office: PM Modi

HK [email protected] 18:17 GMT November 8, 2016
Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes stand abolished from midnight: PM Modi
Reply   

In a major step to check black money, Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Tuesday announced demonetization of Rs 500 and 1000 currency notes with effect from midnight, making these notes invalid in a major assault on black money, fake currency and corruption. In his televised address to the nation, Modi said people holding notes of Rs 500 and Rs 1000 can deposit the same in their bank and post office accounts from November 10 till December 30.

Modi said the notes of Rs 500 and Rs 1000 “will not be legal tender from midnight tonight” and these will be “just worthless piece of paper.” However, he said that all notes in lower denomination of Rs 100, Rs 50, Rs 20, Rs 10, Rs 5, Rs 2 and Re 1 and all coins will continue to be valid. He also announced that new notes of Rs 2000 and Rs 500 will be introduced.

Rs 500, Rs 1000 currency notes .....

GVI Trading john bland 18:13 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Im not sure what this implies, but many sources around the country are saying that the voter turnout today has been very large.

Livingston nh 17:46 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Yellen needs an excuse to NOT hike - the fact that she lets these yakkers reinforce a HIKE mentality brings us back to June September over the past two years

TALK is cheap -- she just needs an excuse for Dec. to get rid of the dissenters -- PROF ROSANNADANNA "it's always somethin'!! "

Mtl JP 17:46 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

john bland 17:34 r u letting yourself still be seduced by their kabuki swan songs ? IF u believe (in) them (unless u r In The Circle of course) manifest faith by buying the usd on relative CB policy prospects (and sell such puppies as Gold, crude, cad etc)

London AzaForex 17:45 GMT November 8, 2016
Trading analyst and strategies on Disney 11-8-2016 by AzaFor
Reply   


Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading analyst and strategies on Disney 11-8-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Trading john bland 17:34 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Finally they are all reading from the same script.

GVI Trading john bland 17:34 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fed's Evans (dove):
-- December looking reasonable for rate hike

>>> TTN

Mtl JP 17:15 GMT November 8, 2016
Tuesday Trading

still valid:
Mtl JP 14:38 GMT November 7, 2016
Monday Trading: Reply
Jay , trying to keep it simple - euro sub 1.1150 has seen its top.
When it goes sub 1.1050 and particularly 1.1030, back up the short truck for a potential additional 100 pips south

PAR 17:04 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

US stocks went down 9 days in a row. Maybe next up 9 days in a row ?

Mtl JP 17:01 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

sure... for ex c
Mtl JP 13:37 GMT November 8, 2016
or
Mtl JP 17:32 GMT November 7, 2016

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 17:01 GMT November 8, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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For those who attended our meeting (I invited everyone to attend), our pre-election view of the USD and equities BOD view working out nicely.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 17:01 GMT November 8, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

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For those who attended our meeting (I invited everyone to attend), our pre-election view of the USD and equities BOD view working out nicely.

Paris ib 16:58 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Go right ahead JP and post your ideas.

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

be nice to see more trade ideas "before" rather than "after"

london red 16:48 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

yes i wonder who the "wont say's" and also "dont know's" will vote for in the polls. trump victory.

PAR 16:47 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Worst outcome Hilary victory and Democratic congress .
Republican party meltdown .

PAR 16:44 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Just took profits on all stocks and stock futures . Too risky .

We will see later .

Paris ib 16:42 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Yes we can... the chief hypnotist.

The Obama Presidency

Paris ib 16:41 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Catching up John? As Stocks rally bonds get TRASHED?

Tallinn viies 16:41 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
so far things develop exactly as during brexit vote

UK ET 16:41 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

PAR, you must be long stocks as you talk it up every day.

PAR 16:39 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

S & P less than 3 % away from all time record high .

Yes We Can .

GVI Trading john bland 16:36 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Note 10-yr yield catching up with stocks? 1.862%, +8.2bbp

Paris ib 16:35 GMT November 8, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

A Clinton Presidency will see a bond market dummy spit resume? What gives with this? If we get enough bond selling stocks will follow.

GVI Forex Blog 16:34 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Israel Dil 16:26 GMT November 8, 2016
STOX
Reply   
SELL !!!


PAR 16:24 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

USDJPY benefitting from Risk On . 110,00 on the table ? Japanese would love it .

PAR 16:20 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

GS going for new record high on S&P with a Clinton victory .

There are just no sellers in this market and in low volume HFT can reach new record in no time . S& P 2160 before results are known and above 2200 with a Hilary victory .

Mtl JP 16:11 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

“Judgment will be reserved at the conclusion of that hearing and follow at a later date, probably in the New Year,” the court said in a statement.

UK Supreme Court to hear British govt Brexit appeal Dec 5-8

Mtl JP 16:07 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

might be priced in
beware of a profit-taking sell-off
as an old gv poster (yipee) used to say: plz mind thy risk

PAR 15:40 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Wall Street convinced of a Hilary victory . Stocks to move higher . Risk On .

fukuoka joyya 15:39 GMT November 8, 2016
long jpy!
Reply   
Buy AUDNZD
Entry: Target: Stop:

hello to all of you.....time to short nzdjpy long audnzd short lond cable eurusd usdjpy and usdcad....happy trade,

Paris ib 15:35 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Turns out the calls of a low turnout are going to be wrong: massive turnout so far.

Paris ib 15:30 GMT November 8, 2016
Voting on the Cusp of the Recession

Recession is looming. Quite frankly given the Governments the U.S. has had since at least 2000 - and probably since 1970 - what is surprising that things have kept going for as long as they have. Now? Showtime.

Ditching the Dollar?

GVI Trading john bland 15:18 GMT November 8, 2016
Breaking News: U.S. JOLTS Survey Miss

Stepping back a step and looking at the JOLTS chart (below), I do not see any improvement from year ago levels.

GVI Forex Blog 15:13 GMT November 8, 2016
Breaking News: U.S. JOLTS Survey Miss
Reply   
JOLTS Survey misses. Fed watches JOLTS Data closely.



Breaking News: U.S. JOLTS Survey Miss

Paris ib 15:02 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

CB yeah but the plus side is we got a preview of both. What happens with a Trump win... more or less and what is likely to happen with a Clinton win. Pre Comey we didn't have that interesting preview. :-)

GVI Trading john bland 15:01 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey September 2016

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
mln: 5.490 vs. 5.469 exp. vs. 5.443 prev (r 5.453) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP 14:58 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

if volatility hell breaks loose your stop loss likely to be worth zilch
and any oversized tp fill likely to be subsequently denied

dc CB 14:54 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Deutsche Bank - which likewise has a base case that Clinton will win - has advised it sales and trading team to immediately report to their trading desks should Trump wins Pennsylvania and Michigan. This means shortly after the polls in these two states close at 8pm, trading will be either promptly die down or will just be getting started.

So should Trump be seen as leading and/or winning in those two key battleground states, expect all volatility hell to break loose.

ZeroHedge

GVI Forex Blog 14:38 GMT November 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 9 November 2016
Reply   

November 8, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, November 9, 2016.

  • Far East: CN- CPI
  • Europe: GB- Trade
  • North America: US- Mortgages, Wholesale Inventories, EIA Crude, 10-yr Auction

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

9-Nov Wed
01:30 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
18:00 US- 10-yr Auction
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan

GVI Data Calendar for 9 November 2016

dc CB 14:35 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

I'm waiting to see what happens. On friday I was planning on making some bearish bets on Monday. I feel like a genius for deciding to wait thru the weekend.
That sheit that Comey pulled....

Some wag tweeted that Comey, looking thru those 650,000 emails found his own suicide note. So he decided to give Hil a pass. LOL

HK Kwun 14:32 GMT November 8, 2016
Who wins ?

Sell ...
Entry: Target: Stop:

wfakhoury master, any direction on gold today?

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 14:32 GMT November 8, 2016
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Paris ib 14:28 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Plus to be honest BREXIT was such a huge one off.... how likely is it that you get TWO huge one offs in ONE year? It's really pushing the envelope on odds. So welcome Madame President. What they gonna do? Put her in formaldehyde right off so they can wheel her out when needed?

Mtl JP 14:28 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

“We gave him two options to see who might become the next U.S. president. He picked Clinton,” Boots’s trainer Sue Zacharias told the newspaper.

“He has been correct in the past,” she added.

hmmm... past performance indicative of future result ?
that goat could become famous and in demand

‘Psychic’ Scottish goat sees a Clinton win — and it was right about Brexit

Paris ib 14:26 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

CB yeah I was just looking around. It does seem that a lot of people believe that Trump can't pull it off because of how the system works.

So what do we do? Take a position on that? I can't bring myself to do that. Also I think whatever direction we take will be brutal and, more importantly, short lived. FADE whatever happens but don't rush IMVHO.

I guess if we end up with Hillary it's more military aggression. Markets are in a scary place at the moment. Add some geopolitical crap and we tip over. Best trade: stock market puts. March expiry.

Dilbert thinks it might be tough

dc CB 14:20 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

ib
the thing is, because of the Electoral College, you only have to win 11 states to take the election.

Paris ib 14:14 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

CB yeah I saw that. Kinda funny really. I saw in the same article that they had DEWEY won headlines on some out of date newspaper. No question that the establishment and the press (and maybe the voting machines) are all in on this one. Clinton is their candidate.

Still I don't think you can write Trump off just yet. I'm certainly not willing to take a position into this.

Agree with the posters who suggest that Clinton will be bullish for the markets and the dollar at least initially and the reverse is likely to be true for Trump. My view is that the level of enthusiasm that Trump has stirred up is something to watch. It's an amazing result for an outsider and a slightly kooky candidate. The level of fed up ness in the U.S. must be sky high. Not surprising in my opinion. So if the average despondent / deplorable gets themself to voting booth then something interesting could take place.

Sitting on Hands for now

Mtl JP 14:06 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

dc CB 14:03 so how do we trade it to get filthy rich ?

dc CB 14:03 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Paris ib 11:02

guess you missed my post last eve. Clinton won. NewsWeek has already sent the magazine to the vendors.

MADAM PRESIDENT
From the Editors: 2 special edition covers for 2016 election outcomes were produced by a Newsweek licensee, Topix Media, and not by Newsweek. "Topix made a business decision to only print the Clinton version ahead of time given that she is almost universally favored to win the election on Tuesday."

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-07/newsweek-calls-it-madam-president-clinton-hits-shelves-due-business-decision

Paris ib 13:51 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Thanks John. So if we are lucky tomorrow morning when Europe wakes up we will have the results.

If we are not lucky PAR might be right. :-)

Mtl JP 13:37 GMT November 8, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Tuesday eurdlr
keeping euro trading robot constrained to trading from short side.

gbpusd trading bias: keeping robot to trading from short side only

SaaR KaL 12:42 GMT November 8, 2016
Stocks

AMZN want 680 to 660 from here in a month
aapl wants 100

SaaR KaL 12:39 GMT November 8, 2016
Stocks
Reply   
FB is near a rally north for a long time IMO
I think from next week's Low
115 is good buy for 125...and then 130 in 2 months

GVI Trading john bland 12:04 GMT November 8, 2016
Tuesday Trading

DAX -25
DJ -24
SP -4

10-yr 1.816% +3.6 bp

GVI Trading john bland 11:44 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

The votes for House and Senate are by state and will come out all night

GVI Trading john bland 11:11 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

No results are released until the polls in a given state close. In the Eastern Time zone they close generally at 00:00 GMT. Immediately after they close we will start to see the exit polls. It all depends then on how close the vote is. If Hillary is winning decisively, my guess is we could know within three hours of that time. If the vote is very close, the count could go on all night.

Paris ib 11:06 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

PAR that made me laugh out loud. :-)

PAR 11:05 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Maybe next week ?

GVI Trading john bland 11:03 GMT November 8, 2016
Sterling rises versus dollar as U.S. election jitters overshadow British data -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"Sterling rose against the dollar in nervous trade on Tuesday as Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump approached the finishing line in a tight U.S. presidential election race.

Last minute jitters over the vote overshadowed British industrial output data that showed an unexpected fall in September, while manufacturing growth picked up.

The pound was up to $1.2413, regaining some of the ground it lost on Monday, when the dollar surged on growing expectations of a victory for Clinton, seen by markets as the status quo candidate..."

Sterling rises versus dollar as U.S. election jitters overshadow British data -- Reuters.com

Paris ib 11:02 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections

Realistically when will we know? Ten hours from now?

GVI Trading john bland 10:16 GMT November 8, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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Amman wfakhoury 10:15 GMT November 8, 2016
Who wins ?
Reply   
Hilary wins >>> strong US $>>> Buy Dollar >>>no big change in markets.
Trump wins >>> weak US $ >>> Sell dollar >>> big change in market 200-300 pips or more .

GBPUSD Buy if breaks up 12480 Sell if breaks down 12350 .



The only one in the world who confirms the next level



PAR 10:04 GMT November 8, 2016
US Elections
Reply   
A Hilary victory looks likely . The Rich get Richer and GS will form the Hilary presidential cabinet.

The Chinese yuan keeps dropping and Chinese trade figures were very disappointing. China raising margins on commodity trading as movements get surrealistic .

The US dollar will move higher and stocks should benefit.

GVI Trading john bland 09:46 GMT November 8, 2016
Tuesday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
8-Nov Tue
00:00 US- Presidential Election
02:00 CN- Trade
09:30 GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output
18:00 US- 10-yr Auction
9-Nov Wed
01:30 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
16:00 US- Crude
21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • This is a thin week for key U.S. economic data.

  • Odds are the outcome of the Presidential election tonight will be known early unless Trump does much better than predicted. Many of the critical swing states the the Eastern and Central time zones.

  • A Clinton Presidential election victory is the working assumption of the markets. Most expect Republicans to hold onto the House, and the Senate vote is expected to be close. Since Clinton is the candidate of the Wall Street establishment, equities are seen doing well if she wins.

  • A Trump victory would be a cause of uncertainty and would likely be a weight on equities. Nevertheless, Hillary will certainly have difficult time pulling the country back together after the vote. She is unlikely to have the usual honeymoon period after the election, and will likely be subject to endless Congressional corruption hearings.

  • Nothing in the October U.S. employment data on Friday should have derailed the intentions of the Fed to hike U.S. interest rates at their December meeting.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk On

GVI Trading john bland 09:32 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Mixed U.K. data. GBP dips modestly.

GVI Trading john bland 09:30 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output September 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

Ind mm: -0.40% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.40% (r ) prev.
Mfg mm: +0.60% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.20% (r ) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 09:19 GMT November 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

October 2016 China Trade USDb





- Earlier NEWS --

49.06 vs. +51.90 exp. vs. +41.99b prev.
Exports (y/y): -7.3% vs. -6.0% exp. vs. -5.0% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer






EARLIER China Trade surplus in line. y/y exports fall by -7.3% y/y.

Paris ib 09:18 GMT November 8, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

"the Democratic Party is controlled totally by Wall Street and by the Robert Rubin gang that they brought in. And they’re really like a mafia gang. If you think the financial sector and the banking sector as crime—and after all, remember, they’ve paid billions and billions of dollars in civil fines without a single banker being sent to jail—that’s what a criminal wants to do....

Ashcroft: What sort of president then will Hillary Clinton be?

Hudson: A dictator. She… a vindictive dictator, punishing her enemies, appointing neocons in the secretary of state, in the defense department, appointing Wall Street people in the Treasury and the Federal Reserve, and the class war will really break out very explicitly. And she’ll—as Warren Buffet said, there is a class war and we’re winning it."

The Lesser Evil

GVI Forex Blog 09:10 GMT November 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

SaaR KaL 09:00 GMT November 8, 2016
Targets

IMO Dax will be hit the hardest
From here i see 9900 in 2 weeks Maybe

SaaR KaL 08:56 GMT November 8, 2016
Targets
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1350
USDCAD 1.3700
Oil 36
Gold 1380
Silver 20.5
NDX 4550
SP 2060
DJI 17800
Cable 1.2900

SaaR KaL 08:46 GMT November 8, 2016
sell usd?

fs
I think USDCAD a Buy till 1.370
USDJPY shorts till 102 is fine

kl fs 07:34 GMT November 8, 2016
sell usd?

usdjpy will be hit very hard it seems....

kl fs 07:32 GMT November 8, 2016
sell usd?
Reply   
looks like a very bad day for usd...

Singapore 07:07 GMT November 8, 2016
eurusd

EUR/USD today's Exchange Rate is 1.1046.

EUR/USD is going up and is recommended to buy.

For Forex trading tips and Forex signals visit: http://www.mmfsolutions.sg/services/forex-pack/

Jia

Haifa ac 06:59 GMT November 8, 2016
First Results (1:30 am NH time)
Reply   

Entry: First results (1:30 AM NH time) Target: Stop:

AP:
BREAKING: Tiny New Hampshire towns release first voting results in 2016 election.

2016 New Hampshire midnight voting (Dixville Notch, Harts, Millsfield)
Trump 32
Clinton 25
Johnson 5



2012:
Obama 28
Romney 14#MAGA #TrumpTrain #tcot

Haifa ac 06:41 GMT November 8, 2016
Any News from the Freak Show?

brings back oldies
1. The Quiet American (John Wayne, Maureen O'Hara)
2. High Noon (Gary Cooper)
3. Straw Dogs (famous Dustin Hoffman quote):
David Sumner:" No. I care. This is where I live. This is me. I will not allow violence against this house. "

Once upon a time America was about values and justice

Today America is about Politically Correct and it seems PC has won!

Haifa ac 06:24 GMT November 8, 2016
Whoever wins; USD will crash.

Bonds, Bunds and GE (short term interest rates) say the opposite
THey are hedging against HIGHER interest rates no matter who is the next president
Thus the odds are for much higher dollar!

Hong Kong 02:07 GMT November 8, 2016
AceTrader Nov 8: Intra-Day News and Views GBP/USD
Reply   
08 Nov 2016 01:12GMT

GBP/USD - ..... Reuters reported today Britain will only start to lower public debt as a share of GDP at the end of the decade due to a Brexit-related hit to the economy, a think tank said, underscoring finance minister Philip Hammond's challenge as he prepares his first budget statement.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies predicted Britain would run a budget deficit of nearly 15 billion pounds ($18.6 billion)in the 2019/20 financial year, rather than a surplus of 10 billion pounds as forecast in the government's existing budget projections.
That budget overshoot meant debt as a share of gross domestic product would hover around its current, historically high level of 84 percent until 2019/20 when it would start to fall again, the IFS said

Finance minister Philip Hammond is expected to announce a much bleaker outlook for the economy and the public finances on Nov. 23 when he makes the country's first budget statement since the June 23 referendum decision to leave the European Union.
He has already signalled he is likely to loosen the purse strings and adopt budget rules that are more flexible than those of his predecessor George Osborne, who last year missed his target to bring down debt as a share of GDP each year.

Thomas Pope, an IFS research economist, said the think tank's deficit forecast might prove too low because it assumed the government would achieve all the tough spending cuts planned by Osborne and did not factor in promised income tax cuts.
The IFS forecast for public finances in 2019/20 included expenditure savings from the end of British contributions to the EU budget and reduced debt servicing costs due to low yields on British government bonds.

HK Kwun 01:44 GMT November 8, 2016
VIX dropped a lot

Sell Gold
Entry: 1287 Target: Stop: 1297

TP at 1281

KL KL 01:07 GMT November 8, 2016
Short Aud/Usd

ok covering 90 % audusd short here .77082..... from .77275 above........Rest [email protected] .77158..... win-win!!!....time to release pressure on Armada account......now battle ready again... in case Trump Gets investigated by FBI or OBAMA.............LOL

Selling/buying any POP or Massive Drop......make no mistake about it.... Is is time to position for the extreme.....

DYOR DFM DLTM imvho gl gt

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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