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Forex Forum Archive for 11/10/2016

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Livingston nh 23:47 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

It doesn't matter who is selling out of Treasurys until you know WHY they are selling - and who is on the other side of the sale // two things to consider for the US economy are Velocity and inflation expectations - money is like water, moving water and moving money can make things happen - low or negative interest rates creates hoarding so money is just stagnant water; as rates rise the money will move, velocity will increase

the inflation expectations need to be judged on a very short term basis (not y/y but q/q) because expectations accelerate faster than the actual y/y inflation rate -- it won't take much w/ rates so low to drive the REAL YIELD further into negative territory (IMO this is what's happening in Treasurys) // the Fed is the REASON 10 yr yields are so low (BERNANKE's buying) so when Bullard distorts cause and effect based on the 10 yr he should acknowledge the effect of Fed hoarding

Once the money starts to move you will see an entirely different economy -- I think the Pres elect may have a Hotel where an accord restraining a STRONGER USD can be agreed in a few years

Mtl JP 21:43 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

ib 21:24 oh yes I have noticed...
"Shares of Fannie are up about 41% since Tuesday, and Freddie shares have risen about 46% in that time." darn ! and that without me.

Earlier I posted a link to https://www.greatagain.gov

Here is just a small subsection of opportunities:
A Trump Administration would execute on the following ten-point plan to restore integrity to our immigration system, protect our communities, and put America first:

Build a Wall on the Southern Border

london red 21:38 GMT November 10, 2016
Rouble Getting Belted

when us rates rise em gets it in the neck paris. right now we are see kneejerk moves everything packaged in one. the themes and picking good frm bad will start to play out once these initial legs are done. certain em will do better than other under trump policies. sanctioned russia and those affected by the sanctions may be a play but not yet.

london red 21:33 GMT November 10, 2016
The Euro is just lurking

depends on ur def of short. for example mkt went into election with a lrg demand for calls, while before brexit mkt huge demand for puts which all had to be unwound and gave euro the kick up.
imm still heavily short but thats no indication as has been the case, bar the odd month, for years. theres good reason to short euro and be short, but not chase the downside as theres no much traction to parity bets there. safest option id selling rallies as continues to work.

nw kw 21:31 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

free trade open from 1980s so hang on?

Paris ib 21:30 GMT November 10, 2016
Rouble Getting Belted
Reply   
Anyone have any idea why?

Paris ib 21:28 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

Bond market tanks. Trump may have to rethink his funding options. At least we got the right man for the job there.

Paris ib 21:25 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

Dil I don't know where this is coming from. China? Saudi Arabia? Could be anything. What you don't want is a rush to the exits because then there will be no bids.

Paris ib 21:24 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

We live in very peculiar times JP. You may have noticed.

Israel Dil 21:24 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

ib

some would say that being in a position to blame Arab monarchs in crash of the bond market is a gift. betting on fiscal crash in Arab oil monarchies is sort of safe bet. those monarchs to feel as Trump disrespects then and in return they going to make 'bonds flood'. possible?

Paris ib 21:23 GMT November 10, 2016
The Euro is just lurking

How short is the market in Euros? I haven't checked it out lately. Anyone have an idea?

Mtl JP 21:23 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

ib 21:05 for the record: Mtl JP 11:43 GMT July 28, 2016 - one fine day in the future those 10-yr bonds are going to cause a lot of pain
-
so far I have not yet made out like a bandit on the 10-yr

nw kw 21:23 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

interesting its like spring hear in cad ngas missed priced, firm ussr so em market looks supported, risk on.

Paris ib 21:22 GMT November 10, 2016
The Euro is just lurking
Reply   
FWIW the EURUSD is just sitting there. Dead in the water. I wonder about that. If capital exits the U.S. it will not ultimately be EURO negative. And all the crap about the stupid (and extremely INSIGNIFICANT) referendum in Italy won't change that.

Massive current account SURPLUS in the Euro Area. Trade account positive and all you got is the dumb referendum? I don't like your odds.

Paris ib 21:17 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

All those dumb arses who went around scaring everyone to death (in order to force voters to vote for Nurse Ratched - and that worked NOT) are gonna have to find a way to calm things down. They let the world believe that the U.S. was at risk under a President Trump - as were all the significant foreign relations of the U.S. (with the exception of course of Russia). So now we have a bond market scare. Very bloody clever. These 'progressive' over educated morons need to be fenced in. They are a danger to themselves and everyone else. What they gonna do now? These fools.

london red 21:17 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

a lot to do to get lt holders to bale (those holding frm multiples figs lower, good safe yields are hard to find hence only major breaks will see such funds move).

london red 21:15 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

re fed funds, on all bar 2 occasions its 100% in a wk before the meet. so once nov nfps are in and if ok it will be a done deal on that day if not already.
10yr is still yr on yr in an up trend. needs to lose about 3 figs to drop under last yrs low if u take a generic 10yr chart. so still

nw kw 21:15 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

soft mxn and cad/shifts to usa oil in hot box. ap 3 month swings.

Paris ib 21:05 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

JP you are assuming that the authorities can save the bond market. I'm not sure that can be done. It is gonna be an interesting year.

Israel Dil 21:04 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

jp

buying mxn now is good as buying copper under 2, buy and hold

Mtl JP 21:01 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

john bland 20:45 on what is your "It surprises me that the odds on a December rate hike aren't nearly 100%" based ?

nw kw 21:01 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

Fed to tighten policy but trump to spend? fant?

Mtl JP 20:58 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

ib 20:45 that sounds like a mother of a trade and an opportunity - if "we are talking about a bond market SELL OFF. That is money EXITING bonds" is correct - to get filthy rich

BUT consider the after of "The 10-yr yield at current levels will force the Fed to tighten policy."

nw kw 20:56 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

prised in gbpaud monthly brake out, gives eurgbp bigger move.

Paris ib 20:51 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

The Australian economy is very vulnerable to rising interest rates. Private sector debt is huge and it's all variable or very short term. Almost nothing beyond 3 year money out there. And the real estate market, the DEBT funded real estate market is in the stratosphere at the moment and it is the real estate market which is carrying the economy since the mining boom went bust.

And then there is the concern over China (the Chinese economy, the Trump Presidency, international trade). China is Australia's biggest export market.

nw kw 20:47 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

copper inverted bond run, with lumber stable, aud might benefit or yen.

Paris ib 20:46 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

Why do you think that John? Aren't they just watching employment and inflation? At least officially.

Paris ib 20:45 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Dummy Spit

The U.S. Treasury market is telling us something and we better pay attention. A higher cost of borrowing makes a big difference to the distribution of wealth and economic growth. This looks very much like a big turn. We keep going with this and everyone will have to sit down and re-do their calculations. At risk: those who have borrowed short term at low interest and have large debts and insufficient income. That goes for countries and people. And right now large debts are everywhere. Some creditors will not get their money back. Some borrowers will be foreclosed upon. A big splat. Currency implications.... not as easy as they seem. We are not dealing with rising overnight or very short term rates we are talking about a bond market SELL OFF. That is money EXITING bonds.

GVI Trading john bland 20:45 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

It surprises me that the odds on a December rate hike aren't nearly 100%. The 10-yr yield at current levels will force the Fed to tighten policy.

GVI Trading john bland 20:42 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are: +67% from +69% late Wednesday.

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: DOWN

Amman wfakhoury 20:39 GMT November 10, 2016
GBPUSD RE 200-300 pips
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:15 GMT November 8, 2016
Who wins ?: Reply
Hilary wins >>> strong US $>>> Buy Dollar >>>no big change in markets.
Trump wins >>> weak US $ >>> Sell dollar >>> big change in market 200-300 pips or more .

GBPUSD Buy if breaks up 12480 Sell if breaks down 12350 .


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


nw kw 20:38 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

gbpcad biggest 30day gold change.

GVI Trading john bland 20:32 GMT November 10, 2016
Friday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • The markets continued to drive equity and bond yields higher over the day Thursday in preparation for the pro-growth agenda of a Trump Presidency in the U.S. They are expecting a significant stimulus to the economy through fiscal stimuuli from lower taxation plus a significant reduction in government red tape.

  • Further stimulus should come from fixes to Obamacare, and a repatriation of a massive amount of funds locked up offshore due to U.S. tax laws. All these forces should drive the USD higher.

  • Friday sees the preliminary University of Michigan Survey. Friday is a holiday in Canada (full closure) and U.S.(bank and bond market) holiday.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk On

GVI Forex Blog 20:31 GMT November 10, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Mtl JP 20:29 GMT November 10, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk-On

thank you for heads up red 20:23

Mtl JP 20:26 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading



mxn looking dangerous
vulnerable to CB intervention / rate hike

I do not trade the puppy, so just a fwiw

london red 20:23 GMT November 10, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk-On

yen. closing abv 200dma will draw in asian bids. smell stops over 107 b4 the rollover.

Mtl JP 20:22 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading



usdcad continues to be BoD
looking for 1.3575 and ++

GVI Forex Blog 20:16 GMT November 10, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk-On

Israel Dil 19:52 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

Walid Phares, one of Trump's top foreign policy advisers and a long-time advocate of regime change in Iran, said in July that Trump will "look back at [the nuclear deal] in the institutional way. So he is not going to implement it as is, he is going to revise it after negotiating one on one with Iran or with a series of allies." This notably puts Trump slightly outside the consensus of the Republican Party, which seems bent on simply destroying the deal. But that also means that any anti-Iran steps the Trump administration chooses to take will get virtually no pushback of any significance from a Congress in which both houses still belong to the Republicans.

Trump's election also presumably gives his biggest financial booster, Sheldon Adelson, a direct line to the Oval Office. Adelson is not only opposed to the nuclear deal, he has actually advocated launching a nuclear strike on Iran as a negotiating tactic. His financial support has already caused Trump to rethink parts of his Middle East strategy (such as it is). Adelson's influence over President Trump bodes poorly for the future of U.S.-Iran relations, to say the least. So, too, does the influence of Mike Flynn, Trump's military advisor who has been nothing but hostile toward the nuclear agreement.

Israel Dil 19:27 GMT November 10, 2016
GBPUSD?

in your opinion, what's high on Trump's list?

metals, energy, chemicals, that's the bonanza for Trump's 8 years in office. imo

Israel Dil 19:10 GMT November 10, 2016
Pic of the Day

who is that man?

Manhattan and Moscow closer than ever

GVI Forex Blog 19:06 GMT November 10, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 11 November 2016
Reply   

November 10, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 11, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: CA/US- Holiday (bonds US), University of Michigan, Rig Count

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan

14-Nov Mon
No Major Data
15-Nov Tue
09:30 GB- CPI
10:00 DE- ZEW
10:00 EZ- GDP
13:30 US- Retail Sales
16-Nov Wed
09:30 GB- Employment
13:30 US- PPI
14:15 US- Industrial Production
15:30 US- EIA Crude
17-Nov Thu
00:30 AU- Employment
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
10:00 EZ final HICP
13:30 US- CPI
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
17-Nov Fri
13:30 CA- CPI

GVI Data Calendar for 11 November 2016

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 19:04 GMT November 10, 2016
GBPUSD?

Livingston, a trade deal is not going to be high on his list.

Paris ib 18:46 GMT November 10, 2016
Pic of the Day

I prefer this one :-)

The new black

Livingston nh 18:43 GMT November 10, 2016
GBPUSD?

There is a reasonably good chance that Britain may get a trade agreement w/ the US before it settles up with the EU - that should settle down some of the EU firebrands

Most of the foreign Press is as bad or worse than the US media in condemning our election of pres elect Trump and predicting DOOM - most of them editorialized BREXIT and its misbegotten supporters in similar language

The Elite (a minority by definition outside of Lake Woebegon) misunderstand DEMOCRACY - Deplorables outnumber them and in an election that's all that matters

JEddah Abb 18:41 GMT November 10, 2016
gbpusd
Reply   
Red do u see gbpusd in next days to tedt fibo 50 1.2693 and 100 mva??

london red 18:33 GMT November 10, 2016
GBPUSD?

two reasons in the main a) with election uncertainty now out of way, the road is clear to price italy referendum risk, which is hurting eurgbp. b) trump has backed brexit and is likely to revisit obamas "back of the queue" comment for trade deal. so all this leaves europe really at the back of the queue considering merkels approach to immigrants is a complete opposite to trumps.

PAR 18:31 GMT November 10, 2016
GBPUSD?

May loves Trump.

UK MJ 18:27 GMT November 10, 2016
GBPUSD?
Reply   
Why is GBPUSD moving up like this?

dc CB 18:12 GMT November 10, 2016
Pic of the Day

My caption for the pic I posted.

How 'bout them apples

Mtl JP 18:08 GMT November 10, 2016
Pic of the Day

dc CB zh has

this momentous pic

dc CB 18:07 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

30Y 2.902%, WI 2.889%

Paris ib 18:07 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

Far out you gotta love that red. :-)

The ex community organiser with NO real CV just met Trump at the Whitehouse. Jeez these guys are sore losers.

Check the sour face

london red 18:05 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

and the irony of it all is despite the millions spent by the squid and co backing clinton and trying to get her in, a trump win gives goldman a 10% boost to the stock price

Mtl JP 18:01 GMT November 10, 2016
Pic of the Day

plz do not help pack those heading to Canada
I d like to see how Cher is going to be dressed when she arrives on Jupiter

Celebs who said they’d leave country if Trump won

GVI Trading john bland 17:58 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

Trump Spokesperson:
- Dodd Frank to be replaced with new policies to encourage economic growth and job creation.

>>TTN

dc CB 17:56 GMT November 10, 2016
Pic of the Day
Reply   
the Oval

T and O

Mtl JP 17:35 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

according to trumpet

Fed’s Bullard: December a `Reasonable Time` to Raise Rates

Paris ib 17:25 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

Yeah I need to work on both :-) gl gt everyone

PAR 17:21 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

Patience and discipline is the right strategy.

GVI Trading john bland 17:20 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fed Chair Yellen to testify before a Joint panel on November 17. This is a regularly scheduled appearance on the Economic Outlook...

Paris ib 17:20 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

PAR grow up. He had a job to do: accept the Presidency for all Americans and sooth the rift with Democrat die hards. He did that. The French Ambassador to the U.S. should take lessons.

This guy is a diplomat? Only in France.

Haifa ac 17:17 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

"became a national hero " ???

HRC WHO?

Paris ib 17:15 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

CB I get the impression that all the people who were completely wrong on the Trump Presidency are now running around making all sorts of predictions on who and what and how. The best thing to do is hunker down and wait. We don't have enough information and all this gossip is just a recipe for bad decisions. Trump is not an idiot and I don't think he's a deviant. That's already something. gl gt

PAR 17:12 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

HRC is no longer a criminal , overnight she became a national hero who served America so well.

London AzaForex 17:10 GMT November 10, 2016
Trading analyst and strategies on EURUSD 11-10-2016 by AzaFo
Reply   


Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading analyst and strategies on EURUSD 11-10-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

dc CB 16:57 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy



Mtl JP 16:37 GMT

it's going to take a while for the dust to settle.
The Bezos Post has spent the last 11 months bashing Trump relentlessly.

GVI Trading john bland 16:57 GMT November 10, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

Late week profit-taking in equities. Bond yields ending in Europe higher on the day.

GVI Forex Blog 16:54 GMT November 10, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-Off

Mtl JP 16:49 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

some headlines relating to Can economy
-
Average non-mortgage debt load now at $21,686, TransUnion says
Delinquency rate remains low despite growing debt loads, credit agency says

Canadians' Household Debt Now Worth More Than Entire Economy
--
All good news for those with cash on the sidelines and patience
new trade opportunities a-coming

dc CB 16:49 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

gack gack gack

*TRUMP ADVISERS CONSIDERING JPM'S DIMON FOR TREASURY POST: CNBC

dc CB 16:43 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

ib
Trump is not a neocon. Woolsey is an idiot.
The problem is that Trump is going to bring in a bunch of Republican re-treads. He's clueless as a "politician". Gingrich back in power...good lord.
The only thing Trump has going for him is that he is not part of the Clinton/Obama/Bush "crime" family which has basically been passing the baton back and forth since Reagan. He's not a NWO guy, and not looking to use his presidency as a step to making billions after he leaves office, like Tony Blair.........so it seems any rate.

Beyond that WTF Knows.

Mtl JP 16:37 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy



ib 16:26 ... cretins... deviants...
they should serve only one purpose: trade opportunities
be they short-term or longer-term

dc CB 16:32 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy



2nd Amendment is safe.

Trump's Attn Gen will likely be Rudi Gulliani. Who will go after the Clintons...at the very least order the Southern District of NY to go after the Clinton Foundation. I'm sure they are busy moving the Foundation to Qatar.

Paris ib 16:26 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

These next 73 days are likely to be interesting.

Meanwhile the deviants are organising protests in the street (we don't like elections unless we get the results we want). I don't see the establishment taking this lying down. And the establishment controls financial markets. Or at least tries to.

Possible Appointments

Paris ib 16:24 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

"73-day period between Election Day and Inauguration Day" and that's where the risks are...

Michael Flynn - National Security Adviser
Mr Flynn, a retired three-star US Army lieutenant general.

The BBC has a page on likely appointments.

The Presidential Transition

Paris ib 16:00 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

"Woolsey appeared on CNN shortly after the announcement, saying he joined the Trump campaign because he favors the Republican candidate’s defense budget proposal. Trump has proposed to lift the caps on defense spending. Woolsey also advised Republican John McCain's presidential campaign."

I got the impression that nominations for actual cabinet positions have not yet been made.

Potential Cabinet in a Trump Government

Paris ib 15:46 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

"Donald Trump named former CIA director and extremist neoconservative James Woolsey his senior adviser on national security issues on Monday. Woolsey, who left the CIA in 1995, went on to become one of Washington’s most outspoken promoters of U.S. war in Iraq and the Middle East."

Do we have confirmation of this and do we have other names?

Woolsey

tokyo joyya 15:34 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!

london red 15:26 GMT 11/10/2016

thanx for post...maybe toping?maybe one more push 107.5/108.5 after 107.5 not many peoples like to short so maybe take all stops 1st then down down.....happy trade,

Mtl JP 15:34 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

I think Donald is a narcissist who likes power and money
i.e. goal justifies any means for getting it
some have understood that early: have a look at Caterpillar for ex ?

GVI Trading john bland 15:30 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+54 vs. +53 exp vs. +54 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib 15:28 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

Thanks for that JP. So you reckon Trump is a neo-con in disguise?

For my part I am taking a 'wait and see' approach to this guy. There are so many pundits, conspiracy theories and what have you. I'd like to see what he actually does when he gets in. Do we have clues?

london red 15:26 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!

yen. still higher lows topping ahead of 107 selling interest. u want to watch 106.45 the prev low. if taken becomes less bullish but u hv to still favor dip buy st at 105/10550 maybe. break of 107 shud run stops needs to close abv 107 to avoid a bull trap. likely daily close below 200dma if bull trap.

Paris ib 15:25 GMT November 10, 2016
Bond Market Blood Bath
Reply   
What is happening to Treasuries? 3 year nearly at 1.15 percent. Just like that. I'm a Treasury Bear but this is ridiculous.

fukuoka joyya 15:15 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!

Mtl JP 15:12 GMT 11/10/2016

i want without leverge or double.....

fukuoka joyya 15:14 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!

Mtl JP 15:12 GMT 11/10/2016

jp san what do you mean?i want buy 33/30/27 if seen....

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!

and size of your account and free margin level

Mtl JP 15:12 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!

define "long term"

fukuoka joyya 15:11 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!

any idea tryjpy good for long term long or not?

GVI Trading john bland 15:10 GMT November 10, 2016
Amazing Trader Daily Meeting

10-yr 2.124% +5.4bp.

Mtl JP 15:02 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

Users can send in their recommendations on how to make the country great

https://www.greatagain.gov/

fukuoka joyya 14:47 GMT November 10, 2016
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 107108/109/110 Target: Stop:

add on 100pips rise orders till 110 new year 95 wud be fun......also short audjpy 82.35 and ndjpy too.....long gbpjpy......happy trade

hk ab 14:45 GMT November 10, 2016
gold
Reply   
2nd armada ready.....

Mtl JP 14:37 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Bullard is just one of janet's kabuki theater cast members
janet and Co just having fun toying w/u

hk ab 14:33 GMT November 10, 2016
gold
Reply   
buy gold with KL again, First Armada engine 1272.....

XAG is smirking at the market.

GVI Trading john bland 14:32 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Bullard like the proverbial weather forecaster who never looks out his window.

GVI Trading john bland 14:31 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Bullard:
-- expects "low" interest rates over next 2-3 years
-- inflation essentially where Fed wants it
-- low L-T rates why Fed policy tp stay low

-- wire service

Mtl JP 14:22 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

nh robot is looking for a 1.0850 retest, and below be a bonus

Livingston nh 13:43 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

JP - yen and cad seem to be back in line for a run to last year's highs

Mtl JP 13:40 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

keep on BoD usdcad
puppy likely to yield some good (100++) posi-pips

GVI Forex Blog 13:37 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless About Steady
Reply   

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims remain roughly flat

<Click on chart for over twelve-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless About Steady

GVI Trading john bland 13:30 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

in line

GVI Trading john bland 13:30 GMT November 10, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
254K vs. 260K exp. vs. 265K (r K) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 13:23 GMT November 10, 2016
Amazing Trader Daily Meeting

10-yr 2.110% getting out of hand?

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 13:21 GMT November 10, 2016
Amazing Trader Daily Meeting

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.



As noted in our meeting, don't chase, market maintains a EURUSD SOB bias as long as below 1.0920. Amazing Trader resistance at 1.0910 not reached and SOB working out nicely.

Mtl JP 13:14 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

ib 10:50 that is fighting a losing battle.
According to Donald the Iraq war is “a disaster.”
Watch the name Woolsley - one of the loudest promoters of US war in Iraq and in the Middle East and never mind facts on the ground.
Watch where Donald installs this war promoting character and never mind Donald's apparent non-interventionist babble.
I caught Woolsey on CNN the other day ejaculating about his support for Donald because of his expansion of spending mega billions on US the military.
IF you want to get filthy rich watch where Woolsey is VP or where he places his own money.

Livingston nh 13:14 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

If commodities get a whiff of a stronger USD (plus more US energy production - see moves in coal stox yesterday) oil and metals will see downside pressure (another negative for EM)

GVI Trading john bland 13:08 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

PAR- I agree. This is the fine line he will have to walk. His economic philosophy is pro-growth. Other major economies will have to adjust if he is successful. We are in the final days of the no growth QE policies of the central banks. Even Draghi has been complaining consistently about the lack of help from the EZ national governments. Trump's ideas are not unique.

Livingston nh 13:00 GMT November 10, 2016
Trader Daily Meeting

10 yr yields in general are rising - this will eventually hit stox valuations and EM currencies // as trade shrinks dollar availability will too // see how Traders start to price in Yellen's lame duck status and the TWO new Governors on the FOMC

PAR 13:00 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

If Donald stops imports and the rest of the world does the same a strong dollar would be ok but irrelevant.

GVI Trading john bland 12:59 GMT November 10, 2016
Investors exuberant as Trump signals shift from austerity era -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"European stocks rose on Thursday following extraordinary gains in Asia and Wall Street was set to open higher again, as exuberance shot through markets and reversed initial dives in reaction to Donald Trump's U.S. presidential victory.

Investors focused on Trump's priorities - including tax cuts and higher infrastructure and defence spending, along with bank deregulation - and set aside for the moment longer-term worries about whether he will slap punitive tariffs on Chinese and Mexican exports, risking a global trade war.

European stocks hit a two-week high, with the pan-European STOXX 600 index up 1.3 percent in early dealings before trimming gains to around 0.7 percent, and "safe haven" government bonds sold off after Trump suggested he would spend billions on infrastructure..."

Investors exuberant as Trump signals shift from austerity era -- Reuters.com

GVI Trading john bland 12:55 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

PAR good point. USD could trade a lot higher if he is Reagan. I don't know how his tariff ideas will figure into a higher USD. They might have to figure out a way to cap the currency.

A strong currency is at odds with his plan to bring jobs back home. Markets can make the life of politician difficult. That's why they hate free markets.

GVI Trading john bland 12:42 GMT November 10, 2016
Trader Daily Meeting

DAX +71
DJ +78
SP +7

10-yr 2.092% +2.2


Watch the 10-yr....

PAR 12:37 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

If Trump is Ronald Reagan USDJPY may go to 240,00 and GM and F will file for bankruptcy . Lets hope Donald is no Ronald.

GVI Trading john bland 12:37 GMT November 10, 2016
Trader Daily Meeting

Looking at Fed Funds Futures odds for a rate hike by december. Currently it is 69% vs. 69% yesterday

IMO this is priced much too low. I would say it should be 90% or higher. Use the 10-yr yield as your guide. Above 2.00% they hike and that will be USD positive as long as yields hold higher for the right reasons.

fukuoka joyya 12:23 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

want 135/140 sooon.....

london red 11:53 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

monthly tenkan 50mma and lt fib off 75/125, all in there within a few pips 106,65-80. Last high 107,48 will shield stops.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:47 GMT November 10, 2016
Amazing Trader Daily Meeting
Reply   

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


Open invitation -- all are invited to attend

The world has changed in a little over one day and this includes the trading world with the election of Donald Trump as president. We will be discussing what this means for the forex trading outlook as well as our usual outlook for today.

Amazing Trader Live Meeting: Thursday, November 10

07:00 - 07:30 EST (12:00 - 12:30 GMT).

Meeting url: https://www.gotomeet.me/JayMeisler

If you cannot attend, send me an email to learn about my trading patterns

Regards

Jay Meisler

london red 11:43 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading

yen. stops done ova 200dma at 10658 and poss bull trap. needs hourly close abv 200dma and stay abv there. Bond spreads need to be watch as yen going nowhere with a move on these.

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:22 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading
Reply   
Posted earlier on GVI Forex and proving to be on target as EURUSD is a touch firmer while USDJPY is up sharply

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


It looks like EURUSD getting some offset buying out of a firmer EURJPY while USDJPY extends its high. While above 105.50 target is 107.45

Paris ib 10:50 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

And then maybe in Europe we can get rid of all the deviants. Somehow I think that's a much bigger ask. They are so entrenched over here and the population is so passive.

Paris ib 10:48 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

sja I don't mind as long as they don't have those psycho neo-cons in office. One currency or another, who cares? But enough of these endless military attacks and invasions of other countries. You know the world can be a much better place but not with deviants in charge. Here's hoping Trump will make a difference. I think he will.... let's see.

bali sja 10:45 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy

ib, God bless America! usd will be the strongest and world reserve currency again hehe

Paris ib 10:33 GMT November 10, 2016
The Trump Prophecy
Reply   
Haven't watched this but these things are always fun.

Trump the saviour

jkt abel 10:02 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

sja, never say never, afterall they said Trump won't be president...

bali sja 09:58 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

abel, forget about it going there, too many are simply got trapped buying above, bounce will be very limited

GVI Trading john bland 09:57 GMT November 10, 2016
Thursday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
10-Nov Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
11-Nov Fri
00:00 CA/US Holiday (partial)
15:00 US- Univ of Michigan


Trading Themes--
  • The markets have already started to set up for the Trump Presidency. They are expecting a significant stimulus to the economy through fiscal stimuuli via lower taxation and increased infrastructure spending, a significant reduction in government regulation, fixes to Obamcare, and a repatriation of a massive amount of funds locked up offshore by U.S. tax laws.

  • The initial response has been a surge in equity prices, higher bond yields in anticipation of faster economic growth, and a stronger USD.

  • Traders will have the rest of this week to adjust to the new realities since the rest of the week is thin on the data front with only weekly Jobless Claims Thursday and the preliminary University of Michigan Survey slated for Thursday and Friday, respectively. Friday is a bank (and bond market) holiday for Veteran's Day.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On

London 09:41 GMT November 10, 2016
Visit us for 14 days free on our 160% profit account verify
Reply   
Buy AUDNZD
Entry: 1.05910 Target: +55 Stop: -55





Posted with permission of global-view.com

Forex signals

Paris ib 09:41 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

That would also put Treasuries into bear market territory. Haven't looked at the indices yet. If Treasuries explode we have to rethink the economic outlook generally....

Paris ib 09:39 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

sja technicals are technicals I guess. Ignore the dust up and just go with that. If we close the week on the low..... you go with that. Funny old world. Still watching bemused by it all.

GVI Forex Blog 09:36 GMT November 10, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

Paris ib 09:32 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

sja so if we have an outside week down this week - which is possible at this stage - you go with that as a signal? You think this is the start of a longer term trend? Well you know... into year end at least?

jkt abel 09:24 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

sja, above 1.1050, it will be very interesting....let's see

bali sja 09:21 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

yes ib, can't blame that
but that extremely long tail wick on daily yesterday for euro is saying something, simply cannot be ignored, still buying usd on dips

Paris ib 09:14 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

sja going into the weekend, and after the last few days, I just can't make myself get enthusiastic about getting involved. Sitting on the sidelines with a whoozy head wondering what to do. :-)

bali sja 09:03 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA

make america great again, yes we can! buy usd

PAR 08:38 GMT November 10, 2016
CHINA
Reply   
Chinese yuan , new record low .

PAR 08:36 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

Debt is debt . Not equity .

Debt needs to be paid , rolled over , written down, reduced by hyperinflation or transferred to the taxpayers .

SaaR KaL 08:13 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

GBPNZD shorts
1.7155
1.7168
1.7139
1.7182
1.7157
TGT 1.6820

Paris ib 08:12 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

Spoken like the personification of the demographic of smug, over-educated, 'progressive', basically ignorant, urban elite who live in their own social bubble and consider themselves the pinnacle of evolution but who don't actually know what is going on in the world. Honestly I think we have moved on from believing that P.C. is anything other than what it is: conformist thought control. Get out a bit PAR. And don't just travel to the Francophone world or to tick a box on how poor and primitive everyone else is. Go live somewhere else for an extended period of time and learn to look at things from a different perspective.

SaaR KaL 08:08 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

EURCAD
Longs
1.4572
1.4580
1.4528
1.4623
TGT 1.4900

PAR 08:05 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

Trump government mostly to exist of old white males . Will resemble the former Soviet politburo or the college of cardinals at the vatican .

SaaR KaL 08:04 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

DJI shorts
18,806.9411
18,821.0196
18,878.7521
18,746.3164
18,746.5794

TGT 18,100

nw kw 08:02 GMT November 10, 2016
AceTrader Nov 8: Intra-Day News and Views USD/JPY

yen smack well in cards / bad eur so its going home to gbp,jpy and u/j up pulling all this cheap yen gold to spend? 500 up

bali sja 08:01 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

PAR, Trump is bankruptcy specialist, no doubt

SaaR KaL 08:00 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

PAR
Has nothing to do with him

I am Bearish EURUSD longer term,
Cable in 2 months will see 1.18
===
EURAUD Longs
1.4186
1.4197
1.4156
1.4231

TGT 1.4450

PAR 07:59 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

Higher spending , less revenues is a no brainer and ultimately leads to ... bankruptcy .

PAR 07:51 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

American unity already in question with anti Trump demonstrations in major cities .

Long EURUSD as US deficits expected to go parabolic .

Short dec S&P at 2168 .

US entering new ice age .

SaaR KaL 07:38 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

DAX shorts
10,831.6159
10,736.5809
tgt
10,300

SaaR KaL 07:34 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

GBPJPY is major sell
131.8786
132.0498
132.2804
131.7044
131.6757
131.4726
131.3666
tgt
127 or less

SaaR KaL 07:30 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

NIKKI Shorts
17,468.4561
17,505.1906
17,396.2788
17,359.0631
17,372.2942

tgt
16,863.7669
16,862.6643
16,916.8132
16,920.4421
16,898.2137

SaaR KaL 07:26 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy

EURUSD Longs
1.0872
1.0873
1.0840
1.0885
1.0878
1.0891
TGT
1.1073
1.1083
1.1085
1.1094
1.1098
1.1095
1.1099

bali sja 07:21 GMT November 10, 2016
us30
Reply   
market loves Donald Trump
us30 to 20k soon...

SaaR KaL 06:47 GMT November 10, 2016
VIX is a buy
Reply   
VIX 22.8242 15.8220
so expect some volatility today

Haifa ac 06:46 GMT November 10, 2016
CANADA to LIBERALS--STAY OUT!
Reply   
Canadians Don’t Want America-Fleeing Liberals

Bad news for anyone looking to relocate to our neighbor to the north after last night’s election results: Canada doesn’t want you.

After Americans—and especially American celebrities—began considering making good on their promises to “move to Canada” in the wake of Donald Trump election victory, Canadians took to Twitter to warn Americans that they’d best stay where they are.....

http://heatst.com/politics/canadians-dont-want-america-fleeing-american-liberals-especially-lena-dunham/

Liberalism is about to die out like Fascism, Communism, Humanism ( to be soon replaced by Deism)....

Vladimir Nabokov — 'The isms go, the ist dies, art remains'

Hong Kong 03:08 GMT November 10, 2016
AceTrader Nov 8: Intra-Day News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
10 Nov 2016 02:07GMT

USD/JPY - ..... A piece of downbeat Japan's news. Reuters reported Japan's core machinery orders fell more than expected in September and the outlook pointed to more weakness, suggesting the economy may underperform as businesses show reluctance to invest amid sluggish demand at home and abroad.

Core machinery orders, a highly volatile data series regarded as an indicator of capital spending six to nine months ahead, fell 3.3 percent in September from the previous month, Cabinet Office data showed on Thursday.
That was bigger than a 0.8 percent decline expected by a Reuters poll of economists, following a 2.2 percent drop in August. However, orders rose 7.3 percent in July-September.

The outlook was even more gloomier with companies surveyed by the Cabinet Office forecasting that core orders will fall 5.9 percent in October-December from the previous quarter.
That suggested capital expenditure may have a net negative impact on near-term gross domestic product growth in the world's third biggest economy.
Japan's economy likely expanded for a third straight quarter in July-September, though growth is set to remain fragile.

The Cabinet Office will announce the GDP data on Nov. 14 at 8:50 a.m.(2350 GMT, Nov. 13).
The Japanese economy has failed to make much headway this year as weak demand at home and abroad has hobbled its recovery, forcing the Bank of Japan to once again push back the timing for hitting its 2 percent inflation target.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's government has been counting on capital expenditure to drive private sector-led growth, seen as crucial for putting the economy on a sustainable footing, but businesses have been slow to invest because of sluggish demand, yen's gains and external headwinds.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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