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Forex Forum Archive for 11/19/2016

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dc CB 23:32 GMT November 19, 2016
Fun with Covers
Taming Federal Debt: The Case for 100-Year Bonds
By Randall W. Forsyth
Why Donald Trump should channel Alexander Hamilton and take advantage of ultralow interest rates.

How to Save America
Barron’s launches a series aimed at helping the U.S. foster economic stability and growth during the Trump administration and beyond.

Has the Trump Rally Gone Too Far?
The postelection stock rally and flight from bonds continue. Are they overdone?


dc CB 22:53 GMT November 19, 2016
Remember remember the First of October

Hacking power

For the first time, security services will be able to hack into computers, networks, mobile devices, servers and more under the proposed plans. The practice is known as equipment interference and is set out in part 5, chapter 2, of the IP Bill.

This could include downloading data from a mobile phone that is stolen or left unattended, or software that tracks every keyboard letter pressed being installed on a laptop.


dc CB 22:49 GMT November 19, 2016
Remember remember the First of October
Britain has passed what everyone calls the “snooper’s charter” otherwise known as the Investigatory Powers Bill. This new legislation establishes the legal framework authorizing the government to hack into devices, networks and services in bulk and to create vast databases of personal information on all UK citizens. This is a preliminary step for a movement to impose worldwide taxation on Brits. This is really to hunt money, not terrorism.

The “snooper’s charter” requires internet, phone and communication app companies to store records for 12 months and allow authorities to access them whenever they demand. That data will include anything you look at or search on the internet as well as all your telephone calls and text messages. Meanwhile, security agencies will be able to force companies to decrypt data avoiding the Apple confrontation in the USA. They are also imposing limitations on the use of end-to-end encryption. They want EVERYTHING you do. This has ABSOLUTELY nothing to do with terrorism. This is the hunt for taxes coming to a head in 2017.

Martin Armstrong

GVI Trading john bland 16:37 GMT November 19, 2016
U.S. dollar net longs fall, after rising 7 straight weeks -CFTC-Reuters data --

Interesting. I thought I was nuts when I figured the net USD long positions fell last week. They SHOULD have risen. I am not sure I understand the logic, however, I noticed on Thursday and Friday that there were no USD sellers when it was rising. That suggests the markets were not positioned for the move.

So the price action made sense but the logic of the positioning did not. Suggests the USD has more upside potential...

GVI Trading 16:16 GMT November 19, 2016
U.S. dollar net longs fall, after rising 7 straight weeks -CFTC-Reuters data --
"Nov 18 Speculators reduced positive bets on the U.S. dollar after boosting them for seven straight weeks, in a post-U.S. presidential election period that has seen the green back stage a sharp rally, according to Reuters calculations and data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.

The value of the dollar's net long position fell to $20.87 billion in the week ended Nov. 15, from $22.36 billion the previous week..."

U.S. dollar net longs fall, after rising 7 straight weeks -CFTC-Reuters data --

GVI Trading john bland 16:06 GMT November 19, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

I feel these position reports are worth examining. the latest bar dates from after the close on election day to the close on last Tuesday.

EURUSD I don't understand why net EURUSD shorts fell, given the lower EURUSD.

USDJPY Markets are still winding down their JPY longs. Makes sense.

GBPUSD positions about flat so they remain short GBP
USDCHF markets are building CHF shorts vs. the USD. That is logical

From a trading point of view, the longer term stops would be triggered if the USD unexpectedly started to fall by a significant amount. Keep in mind there are always stops on both sides of the market.

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

Net EUR JPY COT Positions

Click on chart for EUR COT Details

Click on chart forJPY COT Details

Net GBP and CHF COT Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

Click on chart for COT Details

Haifa ac 07:45 GMT November 19, 2016
Double-Edged Sword: Yellen And Trump Drive Dollar And Bond Yields Higher

Such BS.
Dollar has been in bull market since 7/2014.
Big banks started to hedge short term interest rates-- two years ago
Some of the "NEWS" are so wrong

dc CB 03:50 GMT November 19, 2016
Double-Edged Sword: Yellen And Trump Drive Dollar And Bond Yields Higher

I call it the War of the Roses. Apparently Bannon sees it a bit later in History
Finally, Bannon on how he sees himself in the administration:

Bannon now becomes part of a two-headed White House political structure, with Reince Priebus — in and out of Bannon's office as we talk — as chief of staff, in charge of making the trains run on time, reporting to the president, and Bannon as chief strategist, in charge of vision, goals, narrative and plan of attack, reporting to the president too. Add to this the ambitions and whims of the president himself, and the novel circumstance of one who has never held elective office, the agenda of his highly influential family and the end runs of a party significant parts of which were opposed to him, and you have quite a complex court that Bannon will have to finesse to realize his reign of the working man and a trillion dollars in new spending.

“I am,” he says, with relish, “Thomas Cromwell in the court of the Tudors.”

Perhaps that was a Freudian slip: Cromwell's end under Henry VIII was not a happy one.

Bannon Interviewed: "It's About Americans Not Getting F—ed Over"


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Mon 27 May 2019
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