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Forex Forum Archive for 11/21/2016

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london red 21:25 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

well they have got their retracement. now ready to break 11145 prev high. nxt c. 11250

GVI Trading john bland 21:10 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

USDJPY initially lower on earthquake report on expectations of capital repatriations.

GVI Trading 21:09 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

USDJPY falls on report of an earthquake and tsunami warning

GVI Trading john bland 21:08 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Japan 7.1 earthquake.
Tsunami Warning for Fukushima Prefecture

Source: TTN

GVI Trading john bland 20:52 GMT November 21, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are: +80% from +77% late Friday.

EURUSD statistical Bias: Down

GVI Trading john bland 20:42 GMT November 21, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
22-Nov Tues
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23-Nov Wed
00:00 JP- Holiday
00:00 flash Mkt & Service PMIs
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Fed Minutes
24-Nov Thu
00:00 US- Holiday
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
25-Nov Fri
09:30 GB- GDP
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
16:00 US- Early Close


Trading Themes--
  • This is a short week for the U.S. with markets closing from Wednesday afternoon onwards for the Thanksgiving Holiday. A significant amount of key data was moved to Tuesday and Wednesday. This features flash global PMIs and the latest Fed Policy Minutes on Wednesday.

  • Markets expect the new Trump government to act aggressively to stimulate future growth soon after he comes to power on January 20. Accordingly, yields on fixed income instruments have been marked higher. This has resulted in greater USD demand. Also equity prices have been pushed up, but at some point higher interest rates could become a price headwind.

  • Fed Chair Yellen sent a signal in testimony last week that the FOMC will be hiking its Fed Funds target by 25bps on December 14. Fed funds futures have priced the odds of a rate hike at that meeting as near certain.

  • Another USD positive was the Bank of Japan announcement on Friday that it was conducting its first operation to cap JGB rising yields by buying bonds. It tries to hold the 10-yr JGB at 1.00%. Sovereign bond yields globally have been rising in the wake of the Trump victory.

  • The Obama Administration is in a lame duck status, but might have to deal with a sharply rising USD.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk On

GVI Forex Blog 20:31 GMT November 21, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex Blog 20:05 GMT November 21, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

GVI Trading john bland 17:18 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

ECB's Coeure:
-- We wont scale down stimulus yet
-- Stimulus cannot last forever
-- Far from needing to buy stox

>> wires

London AzaForex 17:14 GMT November 21, 2016
Strategy and trading analysis on shares of the company Cisco
Reply   


Sell OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Strategy and trading analysis on shares of the company Cisco 11-21-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Trading john bland 16:49 GMT November 21, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

S&P at record high 2193.89

GVI Forex Blog 16:40 GMT November 21, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Mtl JP 16:39 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

is "Euro Area bank profitability remains a problem" not a new admission from the cretins at ECB ?

GVI Trading john bland 16:26 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Not much new from Draghi

GVI Trading john bland 16:24 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Draghi
-- European recovery proceeding at moderate pace
-- Economy shown to be resilient
-- Euro Area bank profitability remains a problem

>> TTN.com

NY JM 16:12 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

GBP crosses (EURGBP, GBPJPY) have been the main drivers of the GBPUSD rally.

london red 16:07 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

cable. trading abv 12480-90 keeps st momentum to upside. a daily close below 12450 puts pressure back on you would think but lrg short possies are going to hamper downside. i am still looking (hoping) to see 127/128 at which point mkt will be cleaner and more willing to accept nxt leg dwn so selling short there shud make more sense.

GVI Trading john bland 16:02 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

PM May spokesman :
-- not seeking extension of Article 50 process
-- seek to exit EU by March 2019

GVI Trading john bland 15:52 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

10-yr 2.317% -1.8bp

GVI Trading john bland 15:49 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

WTI pressing higher on expectations for a decision for an OPEC production cut on November 30. Of course they would have to figure out a way to work down the the large supply overhang, not to mention that production limits are never observed.

Mtl JP 14:29 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

gv usdcad chartpoint:
20 day 1.3425
-
I like ... it.
or the 21ma off my chart (1.3420)

Haifa ac 14:25 GMT November 21, 2016
Great Legacy
Reply   
Record-High 77% of Americans Perceive Nation as Divided...

http://www.gallup.com/poll/197828/record-high-americans-perceive-nation-divided.aspx

No doubt Obama is leaving a very successful office.

GVI Trading john bland 13:44 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Fischer:
-- Fed will remain focused on inflation
-- will take anticipated inflation into account

GVI Forex Blog 13:38 GMT November 21, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 22 November 2016
Reply   

November 21, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 22, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: CA- Retail Sales, US- Existing Homes Sales, Richmond Fed, 5-yr, API Crude

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
22-Nov Tues
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23-Nov Wed
00:00 JP- Holiday
00:00 flash Mkt & Service PMIs
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Fed Minutes
24-Nov Thu
00:00 US- Holiday
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
25-Nov Fri
09:30 GB- GDP
16:00 US- Early Close

GVI Data Calendar for 22 November 2016

GVI Trading john bland 13:05 GMT November 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
Fed's Fischer:
-- Fiscal Policy can boost productivity
-- Weak demand could be cause of low productivity
-- No comments on monetary policy

>> wire service

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:41 GMT November 21, 2016
Amazing Trader Meeting
Reply   

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The US Thanksgiving Day week is not a typical one and there are certain nuances and patterns you should be aware of.

On Monday, we will be covering the outlook for the day and how to trade in this holiday week.

All are invited to attend --

Monday, November 21

07:00 - 07:30 EST (12:00 - 12:30 GMT).

Meeting url:

https://www.gotomeet.me/JayMeisler

GVI Trading john bland 11:34 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

DAX +47
DJ +13
SP +5

10-yr 2.328% -0.7bp

GVI Trading 10:46 GMT November 21, 2016
Final Polls Show Renzis Referendum Heading for Defeat in Italy -- bloomberg.com
Reply   
"The final rush of public opinion polls before Italy’s referendum next month showed voters are leaning toward turning down the constitutional reforms.

Four polls published Friday showed the “No” camp in the lead, in a trend that has been predominant for several weeks. As of Saturday, there will be a blackout period making it illegal to publish public opinion polls on the Dec. 4 vote.

Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has promised to quit if voters reject the referendum reforms, which he says would streamline Italy’s government decisions..."

Final Polls Show Renzi’s Referendum Heading for Defeat in Italy -- bloomberg.com

london red 10:41 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

euro. felt some downside but if can hold a decent hourly tail in nxt 20mins then likely to have another run up to test 57-68 zone.

GVI Trading john bland 10:41 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

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Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems

HK [email protected] 10:09 GMT November 21, 2016
One Pic a 1000 words



Should hire a clown to make his child smile.

GVI Trading john bland 09:49 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems

GVI Trading john bland 09:32 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
21-Nov Mon
No Major Data
22-Nov Tues
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23-Nov Wed
00:00 flash Mkt & Service PMIs
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Fed Minutes
24-Nov Thu
00:00 JP/US- Holiday
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
25-Nov Fri
09:30 GB- GDP
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
16:00 US- Early Close


Trading Themes--
  • This week will be a short one for the U.S. virtually closing from Wednesday afternoon onwards for the Thanksgiving Holiday. With the economic calendar virtually empty today, a significant amount of key data has been crammed into Tuesday and Wednesday. This includes flash global PMIs and the latest Fed policy Minutes on Wednesday.

  • Testimony last Thursday by Fed Chair Yellen saw a signal that the FOMC will be hiking its Fed Funds target by 25bps on December 14. Fed funds futures have priced the odds of a rate hike at that meeting at a near certainty.

  • Markets also have adjusted their outlook for the future course of policy as they expect the Trump government to move aggressively and quickly to stimulate future growth after he comes to power on January 20. Accordingly, yields on fixed income instruments are being marked sharply higher. This has resulted in greater demand for the USD. Initially equity prices have been pushed higher, but at some point higher interest rates could become a headwind for additional gains.

  • Another USD positive was the Bank of Japan announcement on Friday that it was conducting its first operation to cap JGB rising yields by buying bonds. It tries to hold the 10-yr JGB at 1.00%. Sovereign bond yields globally have been rising in the wake of the Trump victory.

  • The Obama Administration is in a lame duck status, but might have to deal with a sharply rising USD.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

london red 09:24 GMT November 21, 2016
usd unwinding

euro. 100ma on 1min chart supporting this little bounce thus far. if moves below we may be done here as far as bounce is concerned.

GVI Forex Blog 09:20 GMT November 21, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

london red 09:20 GMT November 21, 2016
usd unwinding

yen. topside, prev res at 11145 shud draw when bounces comes. abv there you have monthly kijun at 11243 and prev high 11258 both likely to be seen if 11145 taken.

london red 09:17 GMT November 21, 2016
usd unwinding

yen. breaking friday low will run stops but gd sup expected 10923 and 10851. at least one bounce expected frm both if seen and really 10851 shud hold this wk to avoid test of 200dma. mkt is still going to buy usd dips but will have eye on weak stops as usd shorts likely blown out of water - so nothing to gain there.

london red 09:15 GMT November 21, 2016
usd unwinding

yen. sup at 11049 hourly kijun. otherwise a return to 10975/80 with poss sup from 50/55 hourly sma on way dwn.

manila tom 08:59 GMT November 21, 2016
buy gold
Reply   
buy gold follow Dil
bye under 1215

manila tom 08:31 GMT November 21, 2016
usd unwinding

shawn, audusd bottomed out you reckon? how about a buy with stop below 0.7290?

kl shawn 08:29 GMT November 21, 2016
usd unwinding

yeah sell usd, no rate hike, it is still Obama administration you fool... :)

kl fs 08:18 GMT November 21, 2016
usd unwinding
Reply   
usd overbought unwinding week?

london red 08:17 GMT November 21, 2016
Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for November 21-25, 2016

looking for some upside for with a view to sell, not entertaining longs here as stop placement tricky and in any case expected bounce may not arrive as has been the case often. 10658-68 should hamper as 10722 otherwise a return to 200hma. 10851 should cap any rebound and continue to maintain downside scope. anything abv there we are back in neutral territory.

Singapore 06:49 GMT November 21, 2016
Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for November 21-25, 2016

EUR/USD today’s Exchange Rate is 1.0607.

Our Recommendation:
EUR/USD is going up and is recommended to buy.

Get The Live Forex Signals With 3 Days Free Trial Offer @ http://www.mmfsolutions.sg/services/forex-pack/

Goh

bali sja 05:00 GMT November 21, 2016
gold silver etc etc

thanks Dil, I assume that will be physical
otherwise too costly

Israel Dil 04:47 GMT November 21, 2016
gold silver etc etc

cb

aqua regia get popular by the second among Indian cash and carry gold gangs.

Israel Dil 04:43 GMT November 21, 2016
gold silver etc etc

sja

not really, if that divine gift becomes available then feel free to count on my accumulation. I can't see it going sub $1100... as it's trading and not prophecy, count on my buy and hold from today and further.

bali sja 04:38 GMT November 21, 2016
gold silver etc etc

Dil, 980-1020 not ringing for you? monthly 200 ema and lower bollinger band

dc CB 04:36 GMT November 21, 2016
gold silver etc etc

last week, Thurs, not sure of the day, but last week, the US Mint notified coin dealers that No More Silver Eagles (the US 1 oz coin) would delivered for the 2016 run. 2017s could be expected for delivery in late Jan.

Boom went all those Christmas Silver Eagles from - under the tree.

Fall back: Cad Maples...Aussie Kangaroos?...

Anyone paying attention to what's happening in India...Cash restrictions...if'n I get my hands on enough Cash it will be put into Gold (unattributed to a commoner on the street in Mumbai)

Not IN the MSM...Fake NUZ cycle here in USA land.

Israel Dil 04:27 GMT November 21, 2016
gold silver etc etc

cam anyone sense Chinese gold buying to start rolling and entering higher gear early as December?

Israel Dil 04:22 GMT November 21, 2016
Seasonal Thanksgiving trading

yes, I completely agree with you. GL/GT

Israel Dil 04:21 GMT November 21, 2016
gold silver etc etc
Reply   
$1215 and anything below if a gift for the next 24 months

dc CB 04:20 GMT November 21, 2016
Seasonal Thanksgiving trading
Reply   
SToX postive--at worst Flat
Don't mess with feel good for Black Friday.

Gold and Silver crushed on low volume...buying opp in Physical, coins, bars.

Israel Dil 04:16 GMT November 21, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply   
if planning to run ahorts position, few pips above 113 is the stop level, monthly close above 112.75-113.75 should act as very bullish.

worth to give a look into CNY/JPY and it's 12-20 range...

Hong Kong 03:21 GMT November 21, 2016
AceTrader Nov 21: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
21 Nov 2016 03:06GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Dlr maintains a firm undertone in Asian trading. Price opened below Friday's New York high of 110.95 and edged higher to a fresh 5-1/2 month peak of 111.12 in Australia, although the pair retreated to 110.65 on usual yen-buying by Japanese exporters (on hedging to lock in profit), renewed buying emerged and lifted price to 111.00/03 at Tokyo midday.
Despite dlr's firmness, intra-day usd's broad-based retreat vs other G7 currencies suggests price is unlikely to yield further strong gain in Europe as risk has increased for a much-needed minor correction to take place, possibly in European morning.

Offers are tipped at 1.1110/20 with some stops above there, more selling is touted below daily res at 111.45.
Bids are noted at 110.706-0 and more below with stops reported below 110.40.

U.S. calendar is pretty light today with Chicago national activity for Oct being the only data due out at 13:30GMT.
Also, no Fed officials are scheduled after last week's bombardment, so technical trading may prove useful in today's session.

dc CB 03:12 GMT November 21, 2016
One Pic a 1000 words
Reply   
Barron Trump

BT

dc CB 02:44 GMT November 21, 2016
Remember remember the First of October

for those who read the Wired link
.
First introduced by then-Home Secretary Theresa May in November 2015 and often referred to as the Snooper's Charter.

Seen that BBC...PBS in the US Worriker 3 parter

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/masterpiece/programs/series/worricker-s1/

Dillon AL 02:19 GMT November 21, 2016
Remember remember the First of October

The UK has been snooping for years. One girl I dated worked for the CEO of Energis a communications + company born out of the National Grid back in 1992. I had to be vetted by UK security services because of my relationship. Next to the CEO's office they had a door into which a couple of guys in long trench coats (I kid you not it was something straight out of a Dick Tracey movie) would disappear to run the snooping activities behind this closed door. Their HQ address is 50 Victoria Embankment a bomb proof concrete above ground bunker again formerly the HQ of The National Grid. Energis handled in excess of 95% of all internet traffic for all the other providers. in 2005 it was acquired by Cable & Wireless.....If you know the history of C&W then I do not need to elaborate further except to say that as a global company it allows the UK secret services in places like GCHQ to access a growing amount of data and other communications anywhere that C&W laid a cable

dc CB 02:19 GMT November 21, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Seasonals

NatGas

dc CB 00:45 GMT November 21, 2016
They will never give up
Reply   
unlike Bush, who had the humility to accept the will of the electorate, according to the New York Times, Obama has every intention of sticking around Washington D.C. in his retirement to fight the newly elected president. While White House aides say they expect Obama to try to refrain from criticizing Trump during the transition, Obama himself has indicated that all bets are off once he becomes a "private citizen."
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Related NUZ:
Dem Howard Dean called incoming White House Chief Strategist and Senior Counselor Stephen K. Bannon a “Nazi” on Sunday during an interview with journalist Evan Solomon of Canada’s CTV.

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/trump-presidency-increases-risk-for-canadian-troops-headed-to-latvia-howard-dean-says-1.3167496


His Legacy At Risk And Democrats In Disarray Obama Vows To Fight Trump As Private Citizen

dc CB 00:35 GMT November 21, 2016
Monday Trading

Models moving to a colder Dec...Dec Nat Gas goes off the boards on the 28th...Rolling to Jan this week

Joe's tweet

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
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AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
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AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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