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Forex Forum Archive for 11/22/2016

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Israel Dil 22:05 GMT November 22, 2016
The Trump Jump

yes PAR

the marketing success in USA is the start of global Trumpmania, the wakeup out this hype going to be very painful and vely painful in other parts of the world.

Israel Dil 21:56 GMT November 22, 2016
the TRUMP forex equation
Reply   
made in USA + public demand overseas for US brands/items + his way of trade deals = much much weaker USD


but that after roughly two years under parity... you want iPhone, then it must be made in USA... let's see ;-)

GVI Trading john bland 21:33 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT
Reportedly -1.3 mn vs. +0.250 mn exp (EIA)



TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 21:23 GMT November 22, 2016
The Trump Jump

Trump is a real marketing machine and Americans love it . Yes He Can.

Israel Dil 21:16 GMT November 22, 2016
The Trump Jump

they are pure for sure, but the meaning was to type that they are POOR under Trump. it's going to be very costly experience for the Asians and Hispanics!

GVI Trading 21:12 GMT November 22, 2016
Dollar regains footing as U.S. data boosts multiple rate hike view -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"The dollar resumed its uptrend on Tuesday, helped by a surge in U.S. existing home sales last month that further cemented expectations not only of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December, but also of further tightening next year.

On Monday, the dollar sold off slightly as investors took advantage of a holiday-shortened week to square positions and book profits on a U.S. currency that has logged nearly two weeks of extended gains..."

Dollar regains footing as U.S. data boosts multiple rate hike view -- Reuters.com

Israel Dil 21:12 GMT November 22, 2016
The Trump Jump

don't forget that Trump made his own capital from the ones who have. Trump made those who had more choices to choose him as spending address by the ones able to afford. welcome to Trumpís world, real as anyone's else but now, that's the world runs the narrative of power pure Asians and Hispanics, that's going to cost you!!!

GVI Trading john bland 20:54 GMT November 22, 2016
Wednesday Trading

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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are: +100% from +100% late Monday.



EURUSD statistical Bias: Down


PAR 20:53 GMT November 22, 2016
The Trump Jump

Trumps gives Wall Street the best Thanksgiving in years. Yes he can .

GVI Trading john bland 20:42 GMT November 22, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
23-Nov Wed
00:00 JP- Holiday
00:00 flash Mkt & Service PMIs
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Fed Minutes
24-Nov Thu
00:00 US- Holiday
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
25-Nov Fri
09:30 GB- GDP
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
16:00 US- Early Close


Trading Themes--
  • As we noted early Tuesday, forex markets are consolidating recent USD gains into the U.S. Thanksgiving break. The headline U.S. economic number was Existing Homes Sales, which is the most significant of the numerous housing statistics. They came in much stronger than expected.

  • Wednesday is another key session. It features flash global PMIs and the latest Fed Policy Minutes among several other items.

  • The FOMC policy Minutes are key after Fed Chair Yellen sent a signal in testimony last week that the FOMC will be hiking its Fed Funds target by 25bps on December 14. Fed funds futures have priced the odds of a rate hike at that meeting as near certain.

  • The Obama Administration remains in its lame duck status, but might have to deal with a sharply rising USD should it start to advance at a faster pace.

  • Markets continue to expect the new Trump government to act aggressively to stimulate future growth soon after he comes to power on January 20. Accordingly, yields on fixed income instruments have been marked higher.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On

PAR 20:35 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

As long as yen stays weak Asian markets move higher.
Even a real earthquake will not stop this move .

GVI Forex Blog 20:34 GMT November 22, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

nw kw 20:26 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

I keep qqq for usa needs them to beat chin.a// have oil now just qqq left?

nw kw 20:24 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

or in new year // pays to no bonds.

PAR 20:24 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Silicon Valley starting to love Trump .

nw kw 20:22 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

correlation to oil and usdjpy so you can no your risk this year.

GVI Trading john bland 20:20 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

You have to be a seller...

nw kw 20:19 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Trading john/ looks like a bond trading year, god to be on the right side.

PAR 20:10 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

Before a long US holiday weekend US stocks always move higher to please the 1 % .

GVI Trading john bland 20:04 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

DJIA making new record highs.

GVI Forex Blog 20:04 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

PAR 20:03 GMT November 22, 2016
The Trump Jump
Reply   
Stocks markets rallying sharply after Trumps action video .
Markets have found a new guru.

GVI Trading john bland 19:44 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Source:
-- consensus on Output action
-- to exempt Libya & Nigeria from cut

GVI Trading john bland 19:40 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

WTI spiking higher

GVI Trading john bland 19:40 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

OPEC source:
high level technical committee has finished work successfully

TTN.com

GVI Trading john bland 19:23 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Report Trump wants to fill the two vacant Fed seats within three months of the Administration

Source: TTN

GVI Trading john bland 19:19 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Another earthquake
81 km ENE of Castlepoint NZ

source: TTN

nw kw 19:07 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

if QQQ you can long chfjpy. back than/ now ?

nw kw 19:01 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

QQQ was on support 114.x and I figured EM market can take this for mxn was all reedy soft.

dc CB 18:09 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

5Y 1.76%, WI 1.757%
What a diff a month makes. 5Y auction goes off at a price near what the 10Y's last auction priced.

OPEC Rumor WhipSaws. AlgoNewsBot traders make a mint.

London AzaForex 17:29 GMT November 22, 2016
Strategy and research analyst on currency pair AUDCAD 11-22-
Reply   


Sell AUDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Strategy and research analyst on currency pair AUDCAD 11-22-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

GVI Forex Blog 16:22 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

london red 16:13 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

yen. below 111 and bigger dwnside. good rejection of prev high just there. was a whisker away but an inch is a mile. if can get under 11 then might squeeze towards 110 over nxt 24hrs.

GVI Forex Blog 16:04 GMT November 22, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 23 November 2016
Reply   

November 22, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, November 23, 2016.

  • Far East: JP- Holiday
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMIs
  • North America: US- Mortgages, Weekly Jobless, flash MKt Mfg PMI, Durable Goods, New Homes Sales, final Univ of Michigan, EIA Crude, 7-yr, FOMC Minutes

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
23-Nov Wed
00:00 JP- Holiday
00:00 flash Mkt & Service PMIs
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Fed Minutes
24-Nov Thu
00:00 US- Holiday
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
25-Nov Fri
09:30 GB- GDP
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
16:00 US- Early Close

GVI Data Calendar for 23 November 2016

london red 15:49 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

yen. just failed to beat earlier high. might be significant. euro also looking better dwn here but must stay abv recent low 10570 or 10520 beckons.

london red 15:24 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

cable. seen some option related selling abv 124 today but even with that behind us there may be some nerves into toms autumn statement. an increase in spending might drive cable dwn initially but they are short so will buy the dip and in any case they can easily attributed gains to spending being good for the economy in the short term, much as the mkt has approached trumps plans. so v unlikely to close under 123 and mkt likely to buy 12380 12350 12330. on the topside a move abv 12515 will open up s decent squeeze.

GVI Trading john bland 15:10 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Stronger

This is aPre-Trump statistic. Keep in mind also that mortgage interest rates have been on the rise ever since the election. Note also that pending homes sales (red line) were already lagging.

GVI Forex Blog 15:07 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Stronger
Reply   

U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) October 2016

Most significant housing statistic. Data stronger than forecast.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Stronger

GVI Trading john bland 15:03 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Richmond Fed Index November 2016

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
4 vs. 0 exp. vs. -4 prev.


TTN: Live News

GVI Trading john bland 15:02 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

big beat pre-Trump

GVI Trading john bland 15:01 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) October 2016

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT

5.60 vs. 5.430 exp. vs 5.470 (r 5.49) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 13:38 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Mixed
Reply   
Canada: Retail Sales mixed vs. expectations

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Mixed

GVI Trading john bland 13:31 GMT November 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada: Retail Sales (Sep) 2016

Canada Charts






NEWS ALERT
Retail Sales
Headline: +0.60% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. -0.10% (r +0.10%) prev.
X-Autos: 0.0% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. 0.00% (r +0.20%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 13:18 GMT November 22, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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Perfect Amazing Trader roadmap trading (i.e. market moves from Amazing Trader line to line) with EURUSD bouncing off our line at 1.0604. On upside, back above 1.0622 would be needed to shift the risk back to 1.0630.

nw kw 13:02 GMT November 22, 2016
USDJPY Bulls

kal - oil was trapped mid range in monthly ap.5y chart,, do you have new range yet or will 65 oil be in new year?

london red 12:09 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

needs a strong close to this current hour at c. 10631/32 to avert testing 10614//16, hourly cloud and 55mha, has not been close below 55hma on this little bounce.
i would add mkt is v complacent on dwnside for euro. there is v little option activity below 105 while we have barriers at 105 10550 and over next couple of days a few yards ex at 106-10650. mt expecting euro to be at bottom of nearterm range which suggests if 104-105 broken it will tank in same way that yen was chased over 105/106 as there wasnt much cover higher either.

Tallinn viies 11:54 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
adding more long euro here at 1,0633.
stop all at 1,0605

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:34 GMT November 22, 2016
Amazing Trader Meeting
Reply   

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Note meeting starts promptly at 12:00 GMT

All are invited to attend:-

Tuesday, November 22

07:00 - 07:30 EST (12:00 - 12:30 GMT).

Meeting url:


https://www.gotomeet.me/JayMeisler

GVI Trading john bland 11:32 GMT November 22, 2016
Fed Minutes Seen Setting Up December Even Before Election Bump -- bloomberg.com

Fed Minutes Wednesday are due after a lot of U.S. traders will already be out the door in the U.S. for the Thanksgiving holiday. I am not sure they will contain much new in the way news. Keep in mind the Fed can "tweak" the Minutes to reflect current realities.

GVI Trading 11:29 GMT November 22, 2016
Fed Minutes Seen Setting Up December Even Before Election Bump -- bloomberg.com
Reply   
"...Minutes of the Federal Reserveís November policy meeting are likely to confirm that officials were creeping closer to their first interest-rate increase in a year before the Nov. 8 election, and developments since have only served to bolster the case for a hike.

The record of the Nov. 1-2 meeting, during which policy makers left the federal funds rate target in a range of 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent, is scheduled to be released at 2 p.m. Wednesday in Washington..."

Fed Minutes Seen Setting Up December Even Before Election Bump -- bloomberg.com

GVI Trading john bland 11:19 GMT November 22, 2016
Tuesday Trading

DAX +62
DJ +49
SP +6

10-yr 2.294% -4.1

GVI Trading john bland 11:12 GMT November 22, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

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Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems

SaaR KaL 11:09 GMT November 22, 2016
USDJPY Bulls
Reply   
Hats off to USDJPY Bulls...a Must say

london red 10:32 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

24-30 the nxt sup. needs to hold or risk of 106 test.

perth wtr 10:22 GMT November 22, 2016
sell usdjpy
Reply   
short 110.80, stop above today's high, target open

Hong Kong 10:21 GMT November 22, 2016
AceTrader Nov 22: Intra-Day News and Views GBP/USD
Reply   
22 Nov 2016 10:09GMT

GBP/USD - 1.2472... Despite cable's marginal break of yesterday's high at 1.2513 to 1.2514 in Asia, lack of follow-through buying triggered profit-taking and price retreated sharply to 1.2465 at European open and continues to remain under pressure in European morning due partly to cross-selling of sterling especially vs euro.

Bids are now lowered to 1.2440/50 and more below at 1.2420/30 with stops building up above there whilst initial offers are noted at 1.2520/30, suggesting further choppy trading would be seen ahead of New York open.

manu 10:12 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

Nice, it did help me yesterday ;)

Tallinn viies 09:51 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd tick chart very bullish :)
brought stop to 1,0600

GVI Trading john bland 09:46 GMT November 22, 2016
Tuesday Trading

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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems

JEddah Abb 09:45 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

As i see eurusd has a chance to target 1.04 later in coming days it should top at 1.07 today if it will continue rising..

GVI Trading john bland 09:27 GMT November 22, 2016
Tuesday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
22-Nov Tues
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23-Nov Wed
00:00 JP- Holiday
00:00 flash Mkt & Service PMIs
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Fed Minutes
24-Nov Thu
00:00 US- Holiday
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
25-Nov Fri
09:30 GB- GDP
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
16:00 US- Early Close


Trading Themes--
  • Markets appear to be consolidating recent USD gains into the U.S. Thanksgiving break at the end of this week. The headline U.S. economic number today is existing Homes sale, which is the most significant of the numerous housing statistics released over the month. Wednesday is another key session. It features flash global PMIs and the latest Fed Policy Minutes.

  • The Obama Administration is in a lame duck status, but might have to deal with a sharply rising USD should it start to advance at a faster pace.

  • Markets continue to expect the new Trump government to act aggressively to stimulate future growth soon after he comes to power on January 20. Accordingly, yields on fixed income instruments have been marked higher.

  • Fed Chair Yellen sent a signal in testimony last week that the FOMC will be hiking its Fed Funds target by 25bps on December 14. Fed funds futures have priced the odds of a rate hike at that meeting as near certain.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk On

london red 09:15 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

take care by 10657-68, they may fade break of yests high.

GVI Forex Blog 09:14 GMT November 22, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

perth wtr 08:56 GMT November 22, 2016
buy audusd
Reply   
audusd also a buy for 0.7460-70

perth wtr 08:25 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

agree with that thinking viies, let's go
buy euro guys!

Tallinn viies 08:05 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
after 10 negative closes on daily basis eurusd managed to close yesterday on positive territory. yesterday euro was able to make higher high and higher low compared to previous day. We have higher high again today.
Im buyer of euros big time as long as previous day low keeps things contained. long euros with stop at 1,0575.

targets: first at 200 h sma 1,0723; next at 1,0805 and then 1,0840/50.

perth wtr 06:53 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

bought euro 1.0618, stop 1.0569, target open

Singapore 06:13 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd

EUR/USD todayís Exchange Rate is 1.0632.

Our Recommendation:
EUR/USD is going up and is recommended to buy.

Get The Live Forex Trading Tips With 3 Days Free Trial Offer @ http://www.mmfsolutions.sg/services/forex-pack/

Goh

Tallinn viies 05:16 GMT November 22, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
turned euro long fat 1.0625 or a small bounce up to 1,0750.
stop at 1.0575.

JEddah Abb 01:31 GMT November 22, 2016
..eurusd 1.07 maybe perfect sell for 1.04
Reply   
Eurusd now 1.644.. 1.07 maybe perfect sell for 1.04 let see

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 00:51 GMT November 22, 2016
Tuesday Trading

High 1.06499 (2-day double top)

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 00:28 GMT November 22, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

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As noted in our meeting, Thanksgiving week is not one where you generally see large new positioning, leaving those with positions at the mercy of thin liquidity.

EURUSD did break a 10 day string of consecutive lower closes. If it is to correct, as I noted earlier, 1.0650 (stops?) followed by 1.0665 would have to be taken out. Perhaps just wishful thinking to give better levels to sell but can't ignore the risk. If 1.0650 holds again then upside is capped.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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