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Forex Forum Archive for 11/27/2016

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Livingston nh 23:51 GMT November 27, 2016
The next line of attack, coming into the NEWZ

Just diggin' a bigger hole - the independent voter (who are a much smaller group than pollsters seem to understand) will be disappointed in Democrats reverting to form - the REAL test of a President is the next Congressional election

You are probably right - Clinton can't say stand down despite having enough money for mere Mortals to survive for generations

dc CB 23:44 GMT November 27, 2016
The next line of attack, coming into the NEWZ

Stein raised more money in two days, during Thanksgiving, than she raised during her entire presidential campaign. This is not "grass roots", this is not all Jill Stein.

Livingston nh 23:38 GMT November 27, 2016
The next line of attack, coming into the NEWZ

CB - well here in NJ we have a history of "vote early, vote often" as well as voters who remain interested in the Afterlife

BUT recounts are a waste of time and money -- Stein is alleging fraud which is even harder than a straight math error

The Dems as a party are alienating the next generation of voters (ah, but where do you go -- hahaha)

I spent a few days w/ charts and "good" analogies trying to determine if we have had the "recession" (Fed induced) and the STOX are ready for a Bull Market (again the bets are nearly 100% NOT)

dc CB 23:03 GMT November 27, 2016
The next line of attack, coming into the NEWZ

nh
beyond all that, this is about Yuge Money...wasted for now. $1bln for her campaign. Her winning, which was a sure thing. Then there's that $100bln or so or more as Pre Payment for "deliverables", which cannot be delivered - unless this get's turned around. That's not something you walk away from, throwing up hands and saying "oh well, we lost".

Livingston nh 22:56 GMT November 27, 2016
Cable
Reply   
the Pound has had a good run but there doesn't seem much upside as it is still "tied" to an anchor -- the EU is about to enter a new world order

1.20 GBP/USD by Fed day

Livingston nh 22:51 GMT November 27, 2016
The next line of attack, coming into the NEWZ

cb - what do you think about Bremmer's “It is going to undermine the legitimacy of the US around the world. Soft power has been about being able to project values. That already took a hit. It really comes to an end with this election.”

SOFT power -- another one of those do-gooder, elite, globalization concepts that have no place in foreign policy

Amazing that Bremmer with soft power (or legitimacy?? wtf) and Krugman w/ his "GREATEST fear is Climate Change" didn't get read the MEMO

dc CB 22:17 GMT November 27, 2016
Monday Trading

Yellen may have her excuse...the never ending election.
There are deadlines for finishing the "recounts", seems that Dec 13 is the date for Wisc. If the other two states allow recounts and miss those deadlines, the Electoral College votes from those states are not counted. Neither Trump or Hillary will have the required 270, the election will get thrown to Congress.

What a sheit show. IMHO everything that the Clintons touched since Bill hit the scene as President in 92 has become a national nightmare.

Livingston nh 21:10 GMT November 27, 2016
Monday Trading

Re: FOMC -- NFP may be only the raison du jour but YELLEN has never needed an excuse, merely a reason (see last June and June before or this past September)

GVI Trading john bland 18:55 GMT November 27, 2016
Monday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
28-Nov Mon
23:50 JP- Retail Sales
29-Nov Tue
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
30-Nov Wed
07:00 DE- Retail Sales
08:55 DE- Employment
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
13:15 US- ADP Jobs
13:30 CA- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
14:45 US- Chicago PMI
15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
1-Dec Thu
All Day- final Mfg PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment

Trading Themes--
  • U.S. Minority Green Party candidate Jill Stein reportedly is planning to initiate Presidential election vote recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. She has no chance of winning these states. Now the Clinton campaign has said it would participate if a recount if a recount is initiated "in order to ensure the process proceeds in a manner that is fair to all sides".

  • In the past, vote recounts typically have not uncovered discrepancies of a magnitude that would have reversed the vote count in these states. In other words, this is either a long-shot effort or it is being undertaken for other reasons e.g. publicity or fund-raising.

  • Nevertheless, there is a chance that the markets might react (negatively for USD) to these new uncertainties. At this juncture, I do not think the remote possibility of a Clinton presidency would be viewed as a positive any longer.

  • The week ahead also sees U.S. employment data for the month of November. This is one of the items the FOMC scrutinizes carefully before making monetary policy decisions. Currently, the markets are running 100% odds that the central bank will raise its Fed Funds target by 25bps on December 14. Its hard to imagine the data could be so weak that the could postpone that expected (and signaled) rate hike.

  • Another major upcoming event is the Italian Constitutional Referendum on Sunday, November 4. If the reforms are defeated, as expected. the current Renzi government is expected to fall and a new election called. Some see this possible election as an indirect referendum on the Euro. The approaching weekend vote could weigh on the Euro as the week wears on.

  • The Obama Administration remains in its lame duck status, but might have to deal with a sharply rising USD should it start to advance at a faster pace.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com

Livingston nh 16:25 GMT November 27, 2016
Digging a DEEPER hole
Reply   
I remember G. Washington had to divest his interest in Mt. Vernon -- these Democrat mopes should all be on Suicide Watch in some Safe Space -- in Mid-October the big MOPE question was "will you accept the Results?"

dc CB 16:10 GMT November 27, 2016
The next line of attack, coming into the NEWZ
Reply   
Before Trump can even take that oath, his election will have to be confirmed by the electoral college, another legacy of the founding fathers.

The electors are under more pressure that usual because although Trump won the majority of seats in the electoral college, he lost the nationwide popular vote to Hillary Clinton by two million ballots. Some legal experts argue that the electoral college cannot approve a candidate like Trump, who does not fulfil the basic legal requirements.

Harvard constitutional law professor Laurence Tribe said in an email that the “electors who are to cast their votes for president on 19 December not as automatons but in light of constitutional constraints and principles cannot in good conscience vote for Donald Trump as president of the United States unless he fully divests himself of economic interests dependent on the fortunes, for good or ill, of the private Trump empire”.

That view is not restricted to academics and Democrats. Richard Painter, George W Bush’s chief ethics counsel, agrees that without a major reconfiguration of the Trump Organisation, the president-elect is heading for a constitutional collision with the electoral college.

Trump conflicts of interest point to constitutional crisis

Livingston nh 15:49 GMT November 27, 2016
Sweeping UK spy bill dubbed 'snoopers' charter' becomes law

NEVER PASS A LAW YOU CAN'T ENFORCE

Politicians routinely ignore this simple rule because they can't grasp the concept - Kings knew this long before the rise of the Great Unwashed -- it breaks down the RESPECT for law in general

GVI Forex Blog 15:27 GMT November 27, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 28 November 2016
Reply   

November 27, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 28, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- COT Report

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
28-Nov Mon
23:50 JP- Retail Sales
29-Nov Tue
13:30 US- GDP
15:00 US- Consumer Confidence
30-Nov Wed
07:00 DE- Retail Sales
08:55 DE- Employment
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
13:15 US- ADP Jobs
13:30 CA- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
14:45 US- Chicago PMI
15:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
1-Dec Thu
All Day- final Mfg PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment

GVI Data Calendar for 28 November 2016

Amsterdam NordFX 12:50 GMT November 27, 2016
Forex forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF 28 November - 02 December 2016.
Reply   
First, a review of last week’s forecast:

- As a reminder, last week more than half of oscillators indicated the overselling of the EUR/USD pair, which gave a reason to talk about a temporary pause in the pair’s southward movement. And so it happened. However, this can hardly be called a correction. It will be more precise to talk about a transition to a sideways trend with a Pivot Point of 1.0585. The pair has not yet been able to reach its goal, the minimum of 2015 at 1.0450, and has finished the week in the same place where it began: in the area of the Pivot level;

- With regard to the forecast for GBP/USD, 40% of analysts were in favour of the pair’s growth, whilst 20% favoured a sideways channel. Graphical analysis indicated the levels of 1.2270 and 1.2440 as boundaries of such a channel. The pair has indeed failed to cross the lower boundary and on Monday leapt upwards by 200 points, turning the level of 1.2440 into a Pivot Point. It moved along it for all four remaining days;

- However, USD/JPY has surely disappointed those 60% experts who had expected its decline. It moved sideways until mid-Wednesday, fluctuating slightly, almost as if it was wondering what direction to choose. The news that came from the US dispelled its doubts, and the pair went up sharply, rising by nearly 300 points. In total, over the past three weeks, the yen lost more than 1000 points to the dollar;

- USD/CHF: the experts' opinions diverged regarding the behaviour of this pair: 55% voted in favour of its growth, 45% voted for its fall. As a result, as is often the case, the pair mirrored the behaviour of EUR/USD, having returned to Monday’s values on Friday.

***
Forecast for the upcoming week:
Summing up the opinions of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and brokerage companies, as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be suggested:

- In their forecast for EUR/USD, all the indicators split themselves into two groups: the predictions on H4 foretell a sideways trend, whilst D1 clearly indicates a southward one. The opinion of the latter is supported by the vast majority (70%) of analysts, who identify the levels of 1.0500 and 1.0460 as potential support levels. The remaining 30% of experts believe that the pair will still rebound up to the 1.0650-1.0700 area. A compromise solution is offered by graphical analysis which draws a sideways channel with a quite wide range of 1.0500-1.0720. It should be kept in mind that on Friday 2 December the US employment data change (NFP) will be published, which is usually accompanied by significant dollar pairs spikes;

- Forecasts for GBP/USD suggest a lateral movement of this pair with a predominance of bullish trend. Such statements are based both on the readings of the indicators (65% are for growth, 35% have taken a neutral position), and on the opinion of analysts (35% are for growth, 35% predict a decline, 30% remain neutral). As for graphical analysis on D1, it suggests that the pair has reached its local maximum, and is now expected to decline first to the level of 1.2070, and then even lower to the support of 1.1945. The nearest resistance is in 1.2495-1.2515 zone; the next resistance levels are 1.2560 and 1.2675;

- USD/JPY: The forecast for this pair is almost completely identical to the one given for the previous week. Indicators clearly show the pair's growth, with half of the oscillators indicating that the pair is overbought. 55% of experts continue to expect a decline of the pair. This opinion is shared by graphical analysis on H4 as well, which points to respective support levels at 111.35, 110.80 and 109.80. As for the resistance levels, W1 and D1 clearly show that the pair has reached the corridor where it was moving in February-March 2016. Its upper boundary is within the 113.80-114.85 range, whilst the lower one, 110.80, coincides with the readings of graphical analysis;

- USD/CHF: It is clear that almost 100% of indicators look upward. The analysts’ opinions are the following: 45% predict growth, 30% a decline, and 25% a lateral trend. The latter opinion is also supported by graphical analysis, which points to a sideways movement in the 1.0100-1.01900 channel. The next resistance is at 1.0200 and the support levels are at 1.0060 and 1.0000. At the same time, we can reasonably assume a high chance that this week, just as in the previous one, the pair’s behaviour will once again constitute a mirror image of that of EUR/USD.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets; they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and it can lead to loss of money deposited.

#forex #forex_forecast #eurusd #signals_forex #binary_options
http://nordfx.com/

GVI Trading 12:31 GMT November 27, 2016
Clinton Recount Plan Draws Sore Loser Jibe From Team Trump -- bloomberg.com

The best line...

the Clinton campaign “will participate in order to ensure the process proceeds in a manner that is fair to all sides,”

You can be sure Hillary will not be contributing one cent of her or her husband's personal funds to this effort. What is she offering to those who contribute to this long-shot bet?

Mtl JP 10:22 GMT November 27, 2016
United States Government In Transition

john bland 18:18 // Futures are certain janet will make cost on money higher in a few days and SnP at 2,213.35 has never been higher

typically these two elements are incompatible.
I note that there are two gaps on the SnP as yet un-attended

SPXS&P 500 Index (INDEX)

dc CB 00:44 GMT November 27, 2016
Sweeping UK spy bill dubbed 'snoopers' charter' becomes law
Reply   
LONDON (AP) -- In Britain, Big Brother just got bigger.

After months of wrangling, Parliament has passed a contentious new snooping law that gives authorities - from police and spies to food regulators, fire officials and tax inspectors - powers to look at the internet browsing records of everyone in the country.

The law requires telecoms companies to keep records of all users' web activity for a year, creating databases of personal information that the firms worry could be vulnerable to leaks and hackers.

Civil liberties groups say the law establishes mass surveillance of British citizens, following innocent internet users from the office to the living room and the bedroom.

Tim Berners-Lee, the computer scientist credited with inventing World Wide Web, tweeted news of the law's passage with the words: "Dark, dark days."

AP

dc CB 00:28 GMT November 27, 2016
Unleash the Kraken---poke the bear---ZH responde'

The Washington Post on Thursday night promoted the claims of a new, shadowy organization that smears dozens of U.S. news sites that are critical of U.S. foreign policy as being “routine peddlers of Russian propaganda.” The article by reporter Craig Timberg – headlined “Russian propaganda effort helped spread ‘fake news’ during election, experts say” – cites a report by a new, anonymous website calling itself “PropOrNot,” which claims that millions of Americans have been deceived this year in a massive Russian “misinformation campaign.”

Who exactly is behind PropOrNot, where it gets its funding and whether or not it is tied to any governments is a complete mystery. The Intercept also sent inquiries to the Post’s Craig Timberg asking these questions, and asking whether he thinks it is fair to label left-wing news sites like Truthout “Russian propaganda outlets.” Timberg replied: “I’m sorry, I can’t comment about stories I’ve written for the Post.”

Wash Post Disgracefully Promotes a McCarthyite Blacklist From a New, Hidden, and Very Shady Group

dc CB 00:25 GMT November 27, 2016
Clinton Recount Plan Draws Sore Loser Jibe From Team Trump -- bloomberg.com

What else did you expect. You think Jill Stein could come of with that kind of cash and the army of lawyers that it will take to doa recount, without the backing of some very deep pockets.

As I posted before---They will never give up.

 




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Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
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