Tallinn viies 23:45 GMT December 1, 2016
eurusd
Reply
sold long euro at 1.0666. sq now. will sell again at 1.0710
Kl Fs 23:42 GMT December 1, 2016
BREXIT
Dil, i am just confused. If you are seeing euro going sub parity with usd being so strong,then what level will that be for gold? Certainly not a good idea to go long gold and silver yet? Unless there is something else you may want to share with me?
Livingston nh 23:21 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
As an aside - most of these cabinet picks were never on the RADAR -- some will be gone in a couple of years but at least there is a new crew
Livingston nh 23:15 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
JP - first of all (and always) he is a Marine -- but he has been a strategic thinker, not just "boots on the ground" guy// we are in the age of robotics (algos to the financial world) and he will likely be more amenable to hi-tech than the BIG iron types because the little things that save military lives are important
COST (bang for the buck) -- e.g., A-10 was to be phased out but was cheaper by far than an F-35 and far more effective for small arms combat
anyway who knows
Mtl JP 23:04 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
so what does one typically do with / to a mad dog ?
GVI Trading john bland 22:54 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
I love his nickname. Don't mess with mad dog!
Livingston nh 22:31 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
First thought is General Mattis is a throwback to the original position (non politically correct) known as Secretary of WAR (KNOX) -- most of the non-military types have been a disaster
Livingston nh 22:15 GMT December 1, 2016
Friday Trading
red - NFP consensus is 180k - so I expect a MISS - November has been on the high side last few years // I tack 10% on consensus higher (and a bit) // BUT if NFP is weak it is 20% off consensus (and a bit)
The seasonal adjustments kick in to reduce the high side (which makes a BAD number worse -- October s/b revised higher pulling some more out of NOV
My Goat entrail indicator agrees w/ consensus
GVI Trading john bland 21:29 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Trump names General "Mad-Dog" Mattis to be Defense Secretary -- WP
>> TTN.com
london red 21:27 GMT December 1, 2016
Friday Trading
nfp shud be a solid beat well over 200k, but i think it will be pushed off the headlines tomorrow. i smell blood.
Livingston nh 21:21 GMT December 1, 2016
Friday Trading
NFP Guess = 204K, decline in Participation Rate and 4.6% unemployment rate // usually unemployment rate rises as jobs get more plentiful but seems this time folks are withdrawing faster
If NFP below 140k Yellen has her Christmas Pony
nw kw 20:55 GMT December 1, 2016
Divergence
more pipelines than you can short 2 approved yesterday
nw kw 20:47 GMT December 1, 2016
Divergence
cad has 40day swings so strength approaching or fed killed swing oil down than
nw kw 20:43 GMT December 1, 2016
Divergence
JP- you need ngas ship. or st.
GVI Trading john bland 20:42 GMT December 1, 2016
Friday Trading
Register for the Amazing Trader 
GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for one rate hike by yearend are: +100% from +100% late Wednesday.
nw kw 20:41 GMT December 1, 2016
Divergence
oil at 50 for cad tar and cad banks and ngas cold front moving in 1 week and soft usa after fed for s?p and gold up but gold stocks good run so just oil for china ////////////////// 2 in 1 out? new pips cad so need investors so oil 50 to 60//
trump needs to drill for gdp. full to eur jets , cars that's why VW got killed for ussr had the plam or plat.. up in usa we go retoling for proditivity but only big stuff air plans. ngas ships galore for past 5years.
yip kw.gl
GVI Trading john bland 20:37 GMT December 1, 2016
Friday Trading
Reply
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment
Trading Themes--
- On Thursday Global final manufacturing PMI data generally continued to improve in latest releases today. As a result, bond yields broadly rose. Equities generally sold off due to higher interest rates.
- U.S. November employment data is the next major economic event (Friday). Street estimates are for JObs to have gained by about 175K in the month and for the unemployment rate to remain steady at 4.90%. ADP private payroll data released this week suggest the the street estimates may be correct. They are not always a reliable indicator. Monthly Job statistics are one of the top items on which the FOMC monetary bases its policy decisions. Markets have placed 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase on December 14.
- The Italian Referendum next Sunday, December 4 remains a high profile event. Some feel this might become indirect referendum on the Euro. The ECB has indicated it has the capacity to buy Italian government bonds temporarily if needed. If these reforms are defeated, the Renzi government could fall.
- OPEC decision reduce production by 1.4mn BPD to 32.5mn bpd continued to support crude price. Some oil traders say, Ministers deftly put a squeeze on the oli shorts. Conventional wisdom is that excess supply will be worked down due to increased demand and and put support for crude prices at somewhere around the $50 to $60 level.
- The U.S. Presidential vote recount is another uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds do not favor a reversal of the Trump victory. Some feel Stein is doing this for personal reasons.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
PAR 19:27 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
Hollande would have got 7.5% of the votes in the first round.
So a wise decision.
dc CB 19:23 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
the only one left with any shread of strength is Merkel.
Italy vote on Sun will topple another.
GVI Trading john bland 19:19 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
EURUSD trades up weakly on Hollande story. He was trailing badly in the polls.
GVI Trading john bland 19:11 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
Hollande says he will not stand for re-election
>> TTN.com
Livingston nh 18:55 GMT December 1, 2016
Divergence
Reply
CAD and NOK trading in step w/ oil -- USD/MXN is higher //
the hangover from the OPEC party is going to be severe so a chance to build position in USD/CAD and USD/NOK
nw kw 18:54 GMT December 1, 2016
KRW
china qe supporting strength for now but se if eur holds.
Livingston nh 18:48 GMT December 1, 2016
KRW
Reply
As one of many S. Korea has some protectionist tendencies -- Ross (Sec of Commerce designate) is likely to target these markets -- USD/KRW may be a long accumulate
nw kw 18:27 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
/ cadjpy 88.0 pos?/?/// than sell?
Mtl JP 18:11 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian FTSE MIB
PAR 17:28 suggest screw the ECB; make personal posi-use of them instead
london red 18:10 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
the fact that euro and yen couldnt go further despite another 10y record is sign to worry about a usd pullback. reaction to nfp tom key. mkt will go in long usd as usual. after that is key.
london red 17:44 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
dont expect 2.50 to break today. tom is poss but needs to be follow thru or they could reverse it. once higher high made they can run all the way back to 2% and still eventually move higher although youd expect sup further up to hold 212-235
GVI Trading john bland 17:42 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
If the Atlanta Fed forecast is right, GDP is already at 3.00%.Trump is targeting 4%. He is halfway to is target without doing anything.
GVI Trading john bland 17:39 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
10-yr yield continues to press higher. Last 2.477% +11.6bp. Coming close to pressing the 2.50% line. There are lots of bonds to be sold. Don't stand in the doorway!
GVI Trading john bland 17:34 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4Q16 2.9% vs. 2.4% Nov 30.
>> TTN.com
PAR 17:28 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian FTSE MIB
Thks. Excellent article. We should semnt it to the ECB . LOL
Mtl JP 17:09 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian FTSE MIB
PAR 16:20 - the Italian system is based on corruption and nepotism, tribal relationships and
clientelimo
PAR 16:43 GMT December 1, 2016
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
The ECB itself declined to comment.
Its "quantitative easing" asset-buying program, begun in March 2015 to fight off the threat of deflation, has already been extended and enlarged as diving oil prices dragged inflation into negative territory.
london red 16:40 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
euro. yes 34 guards high of day so far while intact can see weak end to current hour and lower test again. but dip buying strong so range trading with poss topside stop run might be bias for rest of evening.
PAR 16:37 GMT December 1, 2016
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
Reply
In the wake of sharply rising commodity prices , especially Brent oil, lower unemployment ,rising manufacturing and stock markets the ECB should stop its policy of FINANCIAL REPRESSION and stop negative interest rates .
This would make European consumers happy , help the European banks stabilize the Euro and the European bond markets .
PAR 16:20 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian FTSE MIB
I don't touch Italian stocks never . Was in Italy last year and talked to real Italians , so sad ,so sad how many hard working people lost all their savings .
Mtl JP 16:16 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian FTSE MIB
PAR hope / expect that you got at least 6 of the "Italian stocks up 7 % since Draghi warned on the outcome of the Italian referendum" in "make posipip use of the cretins" theme !
PAR 16:13 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian FTSE MIB
Italian stocks up 7 % since Draghi warned on the outcome of the Italian referendum . One of the biggest scams ever.
I think it is time for Draghi to go and I am convinced the majority of Germans thinks the same .
Mtl JP 16:11 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
usdcad 1.3330
I ll be a buyer again on break N of 1.3350
if n when seen
PAR 16:07 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Negative rates are becoming surrealistic with Brent at $ 54 . What lies is Draghi going to tell on Thursday .
SaaR KaL 16:07 GMT December 1, 2016
Nasdaq 100
Reply
Going right up North from here
I added much more
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 16:04 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
11:02 (EU) Large majority of ECB members reportedly support extending QE beyond March at meeting next week - press
- mulling sending signal regarding the eventual end of asset buying, but no tapering announcement upcoming- policymakers said to be divided on monthly volume of extended purcahses; several options have been discussed in committees
- Source TradeTheNews.com
PAR 16:03 GMT December 1, 2016
BRENT
Reply
New 52 week high above $ 54 . Energy and financials pushing stocks higher .
london red 15:56 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
yest there a cboe tnx seller all day frm the kick off. i wonder if we see same again today
Tallinn viies 15:47 GMT December 1, 2016
eurusd
Reply
bougt euros at 1,0590 with target at 1,0666. stop and reverse at 1,0540.
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 15:47 GMT December 1, 2016
New! Global-View Alerts
Reply
We are pleased to announce the start of a free alerts feature:
Alerts include videos of our daily strategy meetings, market alerts, trading alerts, special reports, and more.
Simply click below
Sign up now (free) for Global-View Alerts
You will receive a copy of my exclusive report, Inside Scoop: How to Identify Forex Flows
Note: Survey Monkey is only being used as a form of registration to sign up for the alerts
Regards,
Jay Meisler
GVI Forex Blog 15:43 GMT December 1, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 2 December 2016
Reply
December 1, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, December 2, 2016.
- Far East: No Major Data
- Europe: GB- Construction PMI, EZ- PPI
- North America: CA- Employment, US- Employment, Rig Count, COT Report
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
1-Dec Thu
All Day- final Mfg PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment
GVI Data Calendar for 2 December 2016
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 15:27 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
Register for the Amazing Trader
Amazing Trader EURUSD resistance at 1.0608 held dead o;n, followed by a new low.
EURGBP back to .8400, GBPUSD losing its bid, see if the 1.0592 gap can hold.
Mtl JP 15:23 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
gbpusd is SoR while under 1.2650 now
looking for 1.25 / 1.24 trgts
trying to keep it simple
PAR 15:14 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
The sentiment has completely changed . We are living in a new world for the time being at least . Nothing but good news . Be happy look at the bright side of live and enjoy America 's new dream.
london red 15:11 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
its fiscal policy expectations that are driving mkt. we are nearly done, maybe another 10% before we need to see some evidence as mkt is prob got dec and 2 for 2017 in the price. still a little bit of upside for usd to come tho b4 it tops out for a pullback.
GVI Trading john bland 15:08 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
fwiw- Trump does not come in for another 50 days or so. This all belongs to the previous bunch.
london red 15:08 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
euro. staying under 10599-10604 keeps pressure on dwnside but been formidable buying 10570-80. will be tough to break today. further res 10615
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 15:07 GMT December 1, 2016
New! Amazing Trader Alerts
Register for the Amazing Trader
We are pleased to announce the start of a free alerts feature:
Alerts include videos of our daily strategy meetings, market alerts, trading alerts, special reports, and more.
Simply click below
Sign up now (free) for Amazing Trader Alerts
You will receive a copy of my exclusive report,
Inside Scoop: How to Identify Forex Flows
Note: Survey Monkey is only being used as a form of registration to sign up for the alerts
Regards,
Jay Meisler
PAR 15:06 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
Trump . The power of positive thinking .
Draghi. The power of negative thinking and negative rates .
Israel Dil 15:06 GMT December 1, 2016
BREXIT
kl fs
y/y basis, what 2016 did with all you mentioned? can't you see trend remaining until sub parity at least?
or you just pulling a leg?
PAR 15:02 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
US economy is strong and getting stronger . Midas Trump .
london red 15:01 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
no beat on emp. might stop usd for now but buy dips
PAR 14:54 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
Great news for US banks . Great news .
Kl Fs 14:47 GMT December 1, 2016
BREXIT
Dil, if u r cheering for usd then your gold and silver long will be counterproductive... no?
london red 14:41 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
2.47/2.50 the prev high. higher high would put 3.00 in play prob eventually technically.
Livingston nh 14:36 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
Treasurys (and bunds?) are off to the races -- 10 yr yield pushing 2.45 /// so far stox don't care
SaaR KaL 14:35 GMT December 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:
GBPNZD very bullish
T + 7 days PI
1.94696 1.78797
adding at 1.7600 area if seen
Now Long
GBPCHF Very Bullish as well
1.4041 1.2735
AAPL
113.4969 97.1884
FB
121.3520 106.9834
SaaR KaL 14:30 GMT December 1, 2016
DJI Very Bullish for at least a week
Oil shorts...should dive soon
Shorts @ T + 7 days
XAU/USD 1,256.16
EUR/USD 1.0659
EUR/GBP 0.844 ----> Very bearish
AUD/USD 0.7442
NZD/USD 0.7242
Longs @ T +7 days
USD/CAD 1.3302
AUS200 5,234.24
USD/JPY 111.25
JPN225 18,242.56
NAS100 4,751.41
EUR/JPY 117.068
GBP/JPY 142.013
GBP/USD 1.2465
PAR 14:23 GMT December 1, 2016
BREXIT
Austria is a Trump repeat .
Israel Dil 14:22 GMT December 1, 2016
BREXIT
Austria to vote the coming weekend too, so it's a huge yawn until Tuesday with the major currencies.
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 14:19 GMT December 1, 2016
Tbursday Trade
Reply
Register for the Amazing Trader
Classic using crosses to trade spot day... GBPUSD peaked and offsets took over in EURUSD (lower) and USDJPY (higher).., all described in our daily meeting today.
Also, note the stops run in GBPUSD above 1.2675 as the Amazing Trader indicated at our meering
PAR 14:14 GMT December 1, 2016
BREXIT
Reply
Secret negotiations with Europe taking place at high level . That's democracy . ?
PAR 14:06 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian FTSE MIB
Reply
Breaks 17000 one of its best weekly performances after Draghi s warnings . Blackrock a huge winner.
GVI Trading john bland 13:55 GMT December 1, 2016
Thursday Trade
Equities Mixed
DAX -67
DJ +36
SP +3
10-yr 2.415% +5.4bp
london red 13:54 GMT December 1, 2016
RISK ON
cable has broken prev high 12673 nxt res is fib of 135/115 a whisker under 127
london red 13:48 GMT December 1, 2016
eurusd
more of the same til nfp - there are ~2 yards at 10450 106 10650 and 107 tom plus of course the barrier at 105. mkt will not be long euro into wknd elections and so a gd nfp shud see us move towards 105 but not sure if can be taken. so better to fade rallies. anything 50+ today. fib at 107 and change shud cap but more res by 10750. mkt will go into nfp shrt. we have a bit more data this afternoon which mkt will use to put 2+2 together in terms of nfp tom.
PAR 13:45 GMT December 1, 2016
RISK ON
Reply
New month , new president new highs .
Tallinn viies 13:43 GMT December 1, 2016
eurusd
Reply
people are talking a lot today about well published huge option position with strike 1,0600 which expires today.
so next hour and half nobody thinks euro can go below 1,06. easy money - buying euros and selling it out if profit in books. repeating again and again. what is going to happen after option cut-off time thats interesting. any ideas?
PAR 13:42 GMT December 1, 2016
BRENT
Reply
Brent above $ 53 . Next $55 then $ 60 ?
london red 13:25 GMT December 1, 2016
Blackrock - ECB
options into nxt wk showing euro priced in 1.5 to 2 figs depending how far into the wk you go. i expect euro will finish monday higher yes or no vote. of course on a no will be lower first.
PAR 13:17 GMT December 1, 2016
US Markets
Reply
Markets to open higher on higher oil and higher rates .
PAR 13:14 GMT December 1, 2016
Blackrock - ECB
Great movie . Banks , mafia , central bankers , naked women , limoncello . poor italians . Novecento remake .
Israel Dil 13:11 GMT December 1, 2016
Blackrock - ECB
Yoram Gutgeld on Renzi's side, Italians vote NO and there we go... pasta and pizza without Brussels recipe, the pasta monster rules and Blackrock gets bailout from Munchin a-la Holywood
PAR 12:53 GMT December 1, 2016
Blackrock - ECB
After buying the market comment becomes.
BlackRock: Little Reason To Worry About Italian Election
PAR 12:51 GMT December 1, 2016
Blackrock - ECB
A top bond investor for BlackRock Inc, the world's largest asset manager, is bargain-hunting in Europe as investors fret over a coming vote that may shake Italy's government.
http://www.businessinsider.com/r-blackrocks-rieder-adds-exposure-to-european-banks-ahead-of-italy-vote-2016-11
UPDATE 3-Investors hedge bond bets before Italy vote, banks rebound
http://www.reuters.com/article/eurozone-bonds-idUSL8N1DU1WP
PAR 12:47 GMT December 1, 2016
Blackrock - ECB
Reply
A huge conflict of interest . Blackrock loading up on Italian bonds and bank shares while advising the ECB what to buy .
Israel Dil 12:44 GMT December 1, 2016
Sterling jumps after minister hints at EU market access -- reuters.com
sfh
when I look at charts as you are doing, I see BREXIT never happened, Hillary is the US president elect and jumping GBP. so I stopped looking at charts ;-)
tomorrow higher high, and a week after tomorrow lower weekly low and lower monthly low too. mark me and remind me
PAR 12:39 GMT December 1, 2016
Wilbur Ross
Reply
https://www.ft.com/content/d539117e-58d5-11e6-8d05-4eaa66292c32
Bank backer cool on Monte dei Paschi plan
Wilbur Ross says Italian bank fundraising is not an “overwhelming opportunity”
Israel Dil 12:39 GMT December 1, 2016
9.88/10 chance for new 2016 EUR/USD low
come on PAR... first eur needed Trump as president to get over 1.2
sub parity and then we look further
by the way, where is Paris IB? - I heard her husband took her early for year's end holiday. he claims it's cheaper to have 5☆ exotic holiday and allow her buying euros.
london red 12:36 GMT December 1, 2016
Sterling jumps after minister hints at EU market access -- reuters.com
john has been said many times before. in fact all scenarios have been discussed at various times. but it fits the bill as mkt is short. sterling has been strong for a number of days now. once shorts clear its back down. realistically 128 and a half shud mark high but as long as lower high <135 still goes lower. at this stage i presume 128-12870 but if stays up there if will move higher still. needs up and down quickly in terms of the chart timescale you are considering. ie a long wick on candle. monthly chart may give us one but i feel 2017 may need to have a move high to make a wick there on yearly chart. patience.
PAR 12:06 GMT December 1, 2016
Central Banks
Reply
Central bankers trying to influence the results of referenda or elections thru verbal or market interventions is imho one bridge to far .
The people should vote freely without scaremongering or market manipulations by unelected central bankers .
This is a real undemocratic Comedia dell arte and should be stopped immediately . Maybe by REFERENDUM ?
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:48 GMT December 1, 2016
New! Amazing Trader Alerts
Reply
Register for the Amazing Trader
We are pleased to announce the start of a free alerts feature:
Alerts include videos of our daily strategy meetings, market alerts, trading alerts, special reports, and more.
Simply click below
Sign up now (free) for Amazing Trader Alerts
You will receive a copy of my exclusive report,
Inside Scoop: How to Identify Forex Flows
Note: Survey Monkey is only being used as a form of registration to sign up for the alerts
Regards,
Jay Meisler
london red 11:47 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
everything works its way into a currency price, but dont think it was a major influence. they have said they will let inflation run away a bit if necessary so that factor not as big a concern as otherwise would be. main focus is massive shrts which are stopping mkt from moving lower. once cleared mkt will refocus on negotiation uncertainty.
london red 11:39 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
press will associate sterling run on comments from MP davis but in truth he has said nothing new and cable was set to run higher since yesterday. even today was running before he answered q by labour MP. press always finds a fit to mkt event in an effort to make it look less like a whorehouse.
london red 11:34 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
euro. lrg 106 ex today and tomorrow (5+2). also a few yards higher up towards 10650 so for me fade anything abv 10650 to be shrt into tom nfp. mkt i think will run with gd nfp as long as wages at least meet f/c. nfp doesnt always yield sustained strng usd reaction to good data but tom i think it will if we get gd news.
Belgrade Knez 11:29 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
london red
can you share your view of EURUSD please?
thank you.
GVI Trading john bland 11:25 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
red thanks!
london red 11:25 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
very poss we are done for now but as i say i think 128+ b4 lt lower maybe dec maybe jan.
london red 11:24 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
potential sup 32 21 12 03 then 12586 and 12574. those last two must hold or will get hourly wick, a long one. ry.
london red 11:14 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
closed abv daily cloud and followed thru 12530 today. mkt heavily short and stops being run here and eurgbp. many gbp pairs by key mas as well. all put together and gd excuse to cripple a few accounts. 50% fib held off for now but if sustains abv it then we go again. think we may back of here but ultimately can still see 128 maybe dec maybe jan.
GVI Trading john bland 11:10 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
Any word on whats going on in cable? It had been looking heavy a couple of hours ago before it rocketed higher.
london red 11:06 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
eurgbp close to 84, there will be plenty of multis hedging at 8333/1.20 so 83 shud be low of this cycle b4 bounce. cable will be affected.
london red 10:51 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
LT cable shorts 127 (maybe) better 128-12870. nearby res after 12603 is 12643 50% of 135/11840 and 12699 61.8 of 135/11491 the real cable low. those two can offer st shorts but i think they will test prev bottom, the lows after brexit by 128 and 12870
kl fs 10:43 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
red, will you go short cable today?
PAR 10:42 GMT December 1, 2016
Italian Banks
Reply
The whole Italian banking system is a PONZI scheme where banks lend money to their customers to buy their bank shares .
In the end a PONZI scheme always colapses whether it is before or after a referendum . The question is . WHO is going to pay the bill ?
london red 10:37 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
gbppln thru 200dma and eurgbp under 144ema. if stick can run 530-535 and 8333 (1.20 gbpeur). at those pts you expect retracement into prev months range.
london red 10:36 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
stops run on eurgbp under 8450 cable some res at 85 nxt 12603
PAR 10:35 GMT December 1, 2016
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
ECB buying keep Italian yields down . Mario 's preemptive strike .
PAR 10:24 GMT December 1, 2016
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
Reply
When The First Small Piece Of censored Finally Sticks...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-30/when-first-small-piece-censored-finally-sticks
Draghi protecting Unicredit since 2007 ?
london red 10:19 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
PAR it wont make any diff, the results are already known! Set up for right wins for each and every one.
PAR 10:11 GMT December 1, 2016
EUROPE
Reply
European unemployment rate decrease to 9.8% (fc 10%)
Elections are coming . LOL
GVI Trading john bland 09:37 GMT December 1, 2016
Thursday Trade
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
1-Dec Thu
All Day- final Mfg PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment
Trading Themes--
- Global final manufacturing PMI data continued to improve in latest releases today. U.S. November employment data is the next major economic event (Friday). ADP private payroll data suggest the upcoming report could be solid. ADP data are not always a reliable indicator. Monthly Job data are one of the top items the FOMC scrutinizes before making monetary policy decisions. Markets place 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase on December 14.
- The Italian Referendum next Sunday, November 4 remains a high profile event. Some feel this is an indirect Euro referendum. The ECB has indicated it has the capacity to buy Italian government bonds temporarily if needed. If these reforms are defeated, the Renzi government might fall.
- The OPEC Ministers meeting wound up as expected with production reduced by 1.4mn BPD to 32.5mn bpd. The conventional wisdom is that excess supply will be worked down over the next year due to increased demand and and support crude prices at somewhere around the $50 level. Oil prices are off their overnigh highs.
- The U.S. Presidential vote recount is another uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds do not favor a reversal of the Trump victory. Some feel Stein is doing this for personal reasons.
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
kl shawn 09:23 GMT December 1, 2016
GBPUSD 12475
follow master wfakhoury sold cable 1.2526, stop 1.2563, target 1.2475
let's go!
Amman wfakhoury 09:02 GMT December 1, 2016
GBPUSD 12475
Reply
GBPUSD 12475 confirmed will be reached unless it breaks up 12555 and keep above it
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
PAR 08:56 GMT December 1, 2016
Paul Donovan - UBS
Reply
OPEC and some non-OPEC members have agreed to oil production cuts - the first since 2008. The consequent rise in the oil price is not (yet) of major macro significance. Gulf states will still run fiscal deficits and need to sell US assets. Headline inflation in the developed world was rising anyway.
Confirmation that film "actor" Steven Mnuchin is the next US treasury secretary led to a presentation of policy via the media not Twitter. Mnuchin indicated fiscal easing would be a priority, that he liked low rates from the Federal Reserve, and that tariffs were unlikely to be imposed on China on day one.
Opinion polls abound in the markets today. China's business sentiment PMI poll showed expectations of accelerating and decelerating economic activity (depending on the pollster used). Europe's final PMI data is also due, with all the quality that final data offers (i.e. none).
The US ISM business sentiment opinion poll data is expected to show accelerating activity – although the export subcomponents may be affected by the dollar (as the poll asks about real exports, the results are not supposed to be affected by the dollar, but they often are).
PAR 08:09 GMT December 1, 2016
CRUDE
Reply
Biggest rise in the past decades will have a huge redistribution of wealth effect . Opec, Russia and USA to benefit . Europe as usual to suffer .
ECB did not see that one coming .
PAR 08:05 GMT December 1, 2016
Steven Mnuchin - Higher interest
Reply
Mnuchin open to extend US Treasury maturities
Freshly appointed US Treasury secretary Mnuchin said he’ll explore issuing
debt maturing in more than 30 years: “we’ll look at potentially extending the
maturity of the debt, because eventually we are going to have higher interest
rates, and that’s something that this country is going to need to deal with.”
Asked if he would consider maturities as long as 50 years or 100 years, Mnuchin
said: “We’ll take a look at everything.”
london red 07:26 GMT December 1, 2016
DEC/2016 highs and lows
NB gbpjpy gbppln both at 200dma while eurgbp cushioned by 144ema for some time. any breaks tend to get huge moves so pay attention as if to break will go today or tomorrow. goes same for reversal off. will be big moves on these pairs by end of week. cable of course will be affected. odds are on a short squeeze for gbp shorts. temporary of course but u gotta pay the bills.
london red 07:13 GMT December 1, 2016
DEC/2016 highs and lows
worth watching anything that this week fails to trade in last months range. as they will be going back sooner or later.
cable. while holding 125 looks likely to test 126 initially. eurgbp could finally make a move below 8450.
Israel Dil 07:13 GMT December 1, 2016
crude
should luck will revisit me to have sub $44 longs for $70+ during 2017?
I don't believe so, but who knows ;-)
Israel Dil 07:11 GMT December 1, 2016
DEC/2016 highs and lows
Reply
reasonable to assume that some highs and lows for this month to be set by tomorrow's close.... if not, then at other point of the month ;-)
SaaR KaL 06:14 GMT December 1, 2016
crude
Bali
I am short oil for near 41 tgt
bali sja 05:42 GMT December 1, 2016
crude
Reply
new floor 50...soon 57-58?
Singapore 05:21 GMT December 1, 2016
EUR/USD & GBP/USD Forex Signals
Reply
EUR/USD today’s Exchange Rate is 1.0606.
GBP/USD today’s Exchange Rate is 1.2523.
Our Recommendation:
EUR/USD and GBP/USD is going up and is recommended to buy.
For Live Forex Signals and Forex Trading Tips With 3 Days Free Trial Offer visit: http://www.mmfsolutions.sg/services/forex-pack/
Amelia
SaaR KaL 05:04 GMT December 1, 2016
X Stock (American Steel Corp)
Reply
IMO this is challenging now...but IMO i think bearish for a year to near 10 Bucks
Bigger wave will take over the whole thing
I have these orders now
Shorts
EUR/GBP 0.85251
USOil 50.084
AUD/USD 0.7481
AUD/USD 0.74586
EUR/GBP 0.85407
Longs
GBP/USD 1.24459
USD/CAD 1.33763
GBP/NZD 1.75226
USD/JPY 112.086
USD/JPY 112.739
EUR/JPY 118.675
EUR/JPY 119.146
GBP/JPY 139.165
GBP/JPY 139.573
AUS200 5,411.93
AUS200 5,447.23
JPN225 18,087.05
US30 19,047.05
bali sja 04:26 GMT December 1, 2016
cable
Reply
looks like a squeeze higher is coming today for cable
1.2685-90 to be seen later?
Hong Kong 02:24 GMT December 1, 2016
AceTrader Dec 1: Intra-Day News and Views USD/JPY
Reply
01 Dec 2016 01:23GMT
USD/JPY - ..... Dlr climbed to a fresh 9-month peak of 114.83 just ahead of Tokyo open partly on downbeat Japan's economic data, Reuters reported.
Japanese business expenditure fell in the third quarter, the first annual decline since the start of 2013, in a worrying sign that uncertainty over the economic outlook is eroding companies' confidence.
The capital spending data, which is used to calculate revised gross domestic product (GDP) due on Dec. 8, underscores concerns about a fragile recovery in the world's third-largest economy.
A preliminary estimate last month showed the Japanese economy grew at 2.2 percent annualised in the July-September quarter, much faster than expected by economists, as rebounding exports offset weakness in domestic demand.
However, a recent run of soft indicators including exports, factory output and household spending raised doubt about sustainability in the economic growth.
Ministry of Finance data showed today on Capital spending in July-September fell 1.3 percent year-on-year, slowing from a 3.1 percent annual gain in the previous quarter.
It was the first annual decline since January-March 2013, shortly after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe swept to power with a pledge to pull the economy out of stagnation and deflation.
On the quarter, capital expenditure rose 0.4 percent from the previous three months on a seasonally-adjusted basis after excluding software spending, up for the first time in four quarters.
Analysts usually watch the MOF capex data for clues on revised GDP figures, but this time is different, some say.
GVI Trading Jay Meisler 01:42 GMT December 1, 2016
Kwun
Reply
Your ab posts are getting tiresome and violate our rules so please focus on your own trading and cut it out.
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.