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Forex Forum Archive for 12/02/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:09 GMT December 2, 2016
Watch Out!: Trump Is On The Scene
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA

 

Trump Arrival Boosts Confidence
The arrival of Donald Trump as President-Elect has not been a subdued event for the financial markets. Investors have been pricing in great things for the economy, perhaps some are unrealistic and it may be that they have gotten ahead of themselves. One of the first things a new President learns is how little power he has when it comes to pushing his legislation through the Congress. Fortunately for Trump, the U.S. economy was already starting to build forward momentum before the election and that has continued...

Watch Out!: Trump Is On The Scene

dc CB 21:12 GMT December 2, 2016
CFTC Commitment Of Traders Report

wow 10Y

http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/TY.png

also not as wow but 5y

http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/FV.png

GVI Trading john bland 20:41 GMT December 2, 2016
CFTC Commitment Of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details





GVI Forex Blog 20:24 GMT December 2, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 20:22 GMT December 2, 2016
Not The Onion
Reply   
Ultimate Hubris.
Special to Retirement Accts: 5% LOL

Morgan Stanley: "Treasury Could Announce 50Y or 100Y Bond in February"

GVI Forex Blog 20:09 GMT December 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

london red 19:45 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

dont bet on it PAR. 4/11 or so odds on a no. if a yes sell euro if a no buy euro lol

PAR 19:31 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

Euro above 1.1000 if Italians vote Yes to make money. Money is always the most important in a vote. If everybody says NO I think it will be YES.

dc CB 19:11 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

But but but wait....I thought we had a deal???
Was that a lie?

OIL PRICES EXTEND GAINS AFTER WHITE HOUSE SAYS EXPECTS OBAMA TO SIGN BILL EXTENDING IRAN SANCTIONS

Livingston nh 18:54 GMT December 2, 2016
Borsa Istanbul converts cash assets into Turkish lira!

And after everybody converts to TRY comes "capital controls"

GVI Trading john bland 18:38 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

IMF's Lagarde:
-- Stronger USD likely if proposed Trump policies implemented.

>> TTN.com

GVI Trading john bland 18:10 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Saudi Arabia Central Bank reportedly infected with malware from Iran

Source: TTN.Com

HK [email protected] 18:08 GMT December 2, 2016
Borsa Istanbul converts cash assets into Turkish lira!
Reply   

Turkey's stock exchange decided Friday to convert all of its cash assets into Turkish lira following President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's call to support the declining Turkish currency against the US dollar.
All of the cash assets will be kept in lira accounts, Borsa Istanbul said in a statement.
The U.S. dollar/Turkish lira exchange rate went up to stand at 3.5430 at 5 p.m. (1400GMT) Friday, compared to 3.4860 at Thursday's close.
Earlier on Friday, Erdogan called on Turkish citizens to convert their foreign exchange savings into lira and gold to help boost the value of the local currency.
Erdogan also said that volatility due to the rising value of foreign currency would not have a negative impact on the economy, adding exchange rate fluctuations would have a minor effect on the Turkish economy, which he said was now three times richer than it was 14 years ago.

LINK

GVI Trading john bland 18:04 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 597 vs 593 (+4) prev
US (oil): 477 vs. 474 (+3) prev

Canada 200 vs. 174 (+26) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer


dc CB 18:03 GMT December 2, 2016
They will never give up

President-elect Donald J. Trump today announced that he is establishing the President’s Strategic and Policy Forum. The Forum, which is composed of some of America’s most highly respected and successful business leaders, will be called upon to meet with the President frequently to share their specific experience and knowledge as the President implements his plan to bring back jobs and Make America Great Again. The Forum will be chaired by Stephen A. Schwarzman, Chairman, CEO, and Co-Founder of Blackstone.
================
Schwarzmann who during the Republican primaries in October 2015, characterized Trump as "the P.T. Barnum of America."

Dimon, Schwarzmann, Fink Will Advise Trump How To Create Jobs

HK [email protected] 17:51 GMT December 2, 2016
He likes gold
Reply   

Erdogan calls on Turks to convert forex into lira or gold

ANKARA Dec 2 (Reuters) - President Tayyip Erdogan on Friday called on Turks to convert their foreign exchange into gold or the Turkish lira and said there was "no option" other than cutting interest rates to spur growth - comments that helped send the lira to a low.

"Those who keep foreign currency under their pillow should come and turn that into Turkish lira or gold," Erdogan said in a speech to commemorate the opening of what was billed as Europe's largest automobile showroom complex.

"I say there is no option other than cutting interest rates, and I say no more. We will open the way for investors with low interest rates," he said. The lira fell to a record low of 3.5180 against the dollar as he spoke. (Reporting by Tuvan Gumrukcu; Writing by David Dolan; Editing by Daren Butler)

Erdogan calls on Turks to convert forex into lira or gold

GVI Forex Blog 17:44 GMT December 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets

dc CB 17:32 GMT December 2, 2016
They will never give up
Reply   
Wisconsin Elections @WI_Elections

Wire transfer of $3,499,689 from @DrJillStein has arrived at Wisconsin Elections Commission.
5:31 PM - 29 Nov 2016

Hillary Clinton Gains One Vote On First Day Of Wisconsin Recount

london red 17:25 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

on a straddle you need a swing either side of your spread or if swings you can cut on top and down swings (luck more than talent reqd in that case) i dont think we will move more than straddles suggest. think it mwill be a case of cutting puts and letting call side run for later in day.

dc CB 17:16 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

Mtl JP 16:33 GMT
Complicated. not using Spot, basing on futures with Jan strikes basis March, looking for more than a pop on Monday. FOMC is part of my equation.

Belgrade Knez 16:54 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy


london red

does that mean 120 pips below and above open price or 120 pips high/low range for the day, please?

thank you.

london red 16:48 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

euro monday straddle about 120 pips

Mtl JP 16:33 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

CB 16:29 I like straddle tactic.
can u share your parameters - tia

dc CB 16:29 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

I'm playing a straddle.

GVI Forex Blog 16:28 GMT December 2, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 5 December 2016
Reply   

December 2, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, December 3, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ/GB- Service PMIs, EZ- Retail Sales,
  • North America: US- Service PMIs

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
5-Dec Mon
All Day- final Service PMIs
6-Dec Tue
04:30 AU- RBA Policy Decision
10:00 EZ- GDP
13:30 US- Productivity
7-Dec Wed
00:30 AU- GDP
15:00 CA- BOC Policy Decision
15:30 US- EIA Crude
23:50 JP- GDP
8-Dec Thu
02:00 CN- Trade
12:45 EZ- ECB Policy Decision
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
9-Dec Fri
02:00 CN- CPI
09:30 GB- Trade
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey

GVI Data Calendar for 5 December 2016

london red 16:27 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

no vote is solidly odds on and has been for many many weeks. to put things into context. a yes vote is seen to help italian banks which would lift stock prices and bonds, both of which italian retail investors are holders of. so really if folk are voting against their pockets (admittedly many are down 80-90% so a few percent up makes no diff) it just shows how much anger their is toward the EU and how its a certainty that when the next elections come, the right is getting voted in. and thats the prob for the euro. but mkts dont look that far out and will concentrate on squeezing monday morning shorts.

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

dc CB 16:10 if u r freaked out by that zh piece buy some physical Gold and take it home

london red 16:19 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy

unless every cant votes for no, a no vote with be dismissed by end ot day, euro will open lower, maybe by 105, might do barrier might not, then rally higher.
a yes vote likely to be more brutal as far as market reaction concerned as really only clinton and remain voters believe yes has a chance of winning and thus mkt fully prepared for a reasonable win for no.

GVI Trading john bland 16:17 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

NY Fed Nowcast 4Q16 GDP 2.7% vs 2.5% on 11/25

source: TTN.com

Mtl JP 16:13 GMT December 2, 2016
Crude

keep on looking for usdcad BoD opportunities
there is 300-500++ posipips to be dug yet

dc CB 16:10 GMT December 2, 2016
Italy
Reply   
any thoughts on the vote Y/N, Sunday?
ZH psoted this hyperbolic earlier today.

December 4th Could Trigger The "Most Violent Economic Shock In History"

dc CB 16:03 GMT December 2, 2016
Crude
Reply   

*FORMER SAUDI OIL MINISTER ALI AL-NAIMI SPEAKS IN WASHINGTON
*AL-NAIMI SAYS MORE SHALE OIL, GAS TO BE FOUND WORLDWIDE
*AL-NAIMI SAYS MARKET TO BALANCE IF EVERYONE CUTS PRODUCTION
*AL-NAIMI SAYS `REMAINS TO BE SEEN’ IF OPEC DEAL SUCESSFULL
*ON OPEC DEAL, AL-NAIMI SAYS ‘WE TEND TO CHEAT’

LIBYA PLANS TO RAISE OIL OUTPUT TO 900,000 BPD IN "NEAR FUTURE" FROM 600,000 BPD NOW - NOC CHAIRMAN: RTRS

MEETING BETWEEN OPEC AND NON-OPEC TO TAKE PLACE IN MOSCOW ON DEC 10 - RTRS
___________________________________________________

as of Dec 1 - OpenInterest in the Jan NYMEX contract 600,000+
This goes off the boards Christmas week -- Dec 21.
Doubtful the US glut, esp at Cushing will evaporate.
Keep an eye on for rewarding shorting ops.

london red 15:13 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment In Line

cable. 61.8 fib 135/115 a whisker under 127 held yest looks like another test today. break abv tgts 128/12850/70 eventually but not today rather a half fig break higher poss. in any case will show how short mkt still is. todays imm report will not cover yest short covering rally so will be of little use.

london red 15:11 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment In Line

yields back dwn yen may need to approach 113 and clear stops under 11350

PAR 14:54 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

The unemployment figures are probably fake . OK .

But the record highs in DOW ,S&P and Nasdaq are real money .

Have a great Italian weekend .

london red 14:51 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment In Line

usd wud be dwn quitely heavily on this report but we are in last throws of trump trade. there is prob one last hoorah for usd over 115 yen to 116 max b4 correction time to 110 108.50 (10650 maybe)

Livingston nh 14:36 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment In Line

Overall this NFP was pretty bad - private jobs were only 156k and Oct revision was DOWN -- participation rate and avg hrly earnings declined -- we are in the PEAK boomer retirement years so participation rate won't recover

Israel Dil 14:27 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

while the UN sponsored cholera outbreak the Clinton foundation got many millions... that's the social order rules this world

Israel Dil 14:24 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

cholera

Israel Dil 14:23 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

around 1 million people in Haiti got Malaria thanks to the UN.. that's the only truth about the UN

Brisbane Flip 14:23 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

Unlike many countries the US tends to keep children and retireees out of the employment numbers. You have heard of baby boomers 56-71 year olds who are retiring?

dc CB 14:18 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

That's how the BLS got 4.6% unemp rate... it's fun with numbers...not that the US has by Old School math, FULL Employment... It is that low because those 95m are not being counted anymore.

If that 4.6% were not "faked" then there would be no reason for Yellen not to raise rates by at least a Full Point , next week. Wages should be rising as employers compete for scarce workers....yada yada yada.

Mtl JP 14:13 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

95.1 Million out of 325,089,788 Not In The Labor Force sounds like US is well on a path to Utopia

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

The current population of the United States of America is 325,089,788 as of Wednesday, November 30, 2016, based on the latest United Nations estimates.

Israel Dil 14:05 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

dc cb

what about higher birth rates and higher life expectancy?

dc CB 14:01 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY

Americans Not In The Labor Force Soar To Record 95.1 Million, Surge By 446,000 In One Month

Mtl JP 13:57 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

no posi-use off Brainard
only Tarullo's yak left right after noon
unlikely to be of much good use

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 13:54 GMT December 2, 2016
New, Global-View Alerts

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london red 13:53 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

first test. yen if abv 20 then 115 test today and 2.5 test for the 10. 114 shud sup yen. and then 55hma once 20 broken.

dc CB 13:49 GMT December 2, 2016
Early Winter
Reply   
next Thurs forecast

Av Cont US Temps 12-8

GVI Forex Blog 13:48 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Beats
Reply   
Canada Jobs: Stronger than expected

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Beats

Israel Dil 13:48 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

as long you are short euro it will not cost you if you are wrong

have a good weekend.... oh ya, don't you see 1.05555 ?

london red 13:46 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

10y recovered dip in yield. here we go.

PAR 13:44 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment In Line

Work more , earn less .

Mtl JP 13:44 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Brainyard about to yak (at 45)

london red 13:43 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

yen 11350/11420 euro 10673/10624 breaks shud see follow thru

GVI Forex Blog 13:40 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment In Line
Reply   
U.S. Monthly Employment.

MORE: U.S. Data Charts


November 2016 U.S. payroll employment as expected.


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment In Line

london red 13:40 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

hourly close will provide sign if usd rebound holds and continues or not. if weak euro and strong usdjpy hour, usd moves higher initially.

PAR 13:39 GMT December 2, 2016
OBAMA LEGACY
Reply   
USA unemployment at 4.6 % and stock markets at all time record high .

Lets see where we are in 4 years

london red 13:37 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

still feel euro moves lower then up to 107
10604/10 gd sup worth a fade for higher, stops on leveraged funds under 10570/80 under there no coming back and im wrong.

PAR 13:35 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Not so brilliant report . One rate hike in dec 2016 and maybe one in dec 2017 . Trump has a lot of work as manufacturing jobs fall again . Labor participation rate down again.

Mtl JP 13:35 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading

10-year down 3.8 basis points at 2.424%

GVI Trading john bland 13:34 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada EMPLOYMENT November 2016



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: +10.7K vs. -20K exp. vs. +43.9K prev.
Rate: 6.80% vs. 7.00% exp. vs. 7.00% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthy Employment Report





TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 13:33 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Employment November 2016







ALERT

NFP Jobs:
+178K vs. +175K exp. vs. +161K (r +142K) prev.
Rate: 4.60% vs. 4.90% exp. vs. 4.90% prev.

Avg earnings: -0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 13:30 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. --
nfp: +178
ahe: -0.10%
rate: 4.60%

Israel Dil 13:29 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

YAWN

new 2016 lows are still to happen

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading

NFP expectations ranging between +140 and +215k

Mtl JP 13:22 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading

I know... economists do not trade
speculators do

Bottom Line
I am not expecting a rate hike anytime soon from the policymaking cretins

One Car, Two Car, Red Car, Blue Car Speech given by Andrew G Haldane

PAR 13:20 GMT December 2, 2016
Coordinated rate hike

Short term rates higher > long term rates lower ?

Negative rates are complete madness in the current environment .

GVI Trading john bland 13:20 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading

pre-data
10-yr 2.425% -1.6bp

Mtl JP 13:15 GMT December 2, 2016
Coordinated rate hike

rates uP = bond price down
trying to keep it simple

PAR 13:11 GMT December 2, 2016
Coordinated rate hike
Reply   
FED , ECB , BOJ in talk for coordinated rate hike to stop the bond market collaps ?

london red 12:46 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

euro eod straddle 60 pips yen 70. those mark initial range high/low off data. they are not expecting much. may trun out that way but if data good we should get another run at 2.5% on 10year and then it will either pop or fade strongly. inflection point.

PAR 12:39 GMT December 2, 2016
Rules don't apply - That's Europe
Reply   
New EU rules on state aid to banks require investors to take a hit before lenders tap public money, but a lighter version of the rules can apply in cases such as Monte dei Paschi's.

Sources told Reuters last week that authorities would apply EU rules with flexibility with regard to a Monte dei Paschi bailout to avoid damage to the entire Italian banking system.

PAR 12:37 GMT December 2, 2016
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
Reply   
REPORT: The world's oldest bank could be on the brink of a bailout

MILAN (Reuters) - Italy is discussing with the European Commission the terms of a state bailout of ailing bank Monte dei Paschi that has already been requested and could be launched next week if needed, Italian daily Corriere della Sera reported on Friday.

Italy's third-largest bank needs to raise 5 billion euros ($5.3 billion) by the end of the year to plug a capital shortfall identified by European Central Bank stress tests or face the risk of being wound down.

http://www.businessinsider.com/reports-suggest-the-italian-government-has-asked-to-bailout-monte-dei-paschi-di-siena-2016-12

PAR 12:27 GMT December 2, 2016
BREXIT - MAY losing control
Reply   
“Today we have said ‘No’,” Olney, the newly elected Liberal Democrat member of Parliament for Richmond Park, said in her victory speech in the early hours of Friday. “Our message is clear: we do not want a ‘hard Brexit’; we do not want to be pulled out of the single market; and we will not let intolerance, division and fear win.”



https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-12-02/may-s-london-election-defeat-exposes-brexit-gulf-dividing-u-k

Livingston nh 12:18 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

JP - no clue

Livingston nh 12:13 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Bond markets starting to feel the Pressure of Italy's vote - confidence is critical to paper assets so banks are likely to be indirect victims of the referendum // the yield curves in US and EU may start to send wildly different messages as inflation expectations affect the long end and CBs the short end

Stox will be dragged along and oil unwinds -- looks like a few days of "if you don't like the moves wait a half hour"

Mtl JP 12:04 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Livingston nh what does a killer bring to the board of directors of an alleged healthcare company?

Gen. James Mattis Has Ties to Theranos- wsj

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:51 GMT December 2, 2016
Key Event Day: Friday Amazing Trader Meeting
Reply   

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


Friday is a key day and I will not only be covering trading the US jobs report and the Italian referendum but giving some insights on how using crosses can impact spot in a way you may never heard before.

Be on time as the meeting wiil start sharply at 12:00 GMT.

All are invited to attend -

Daily meeting starts promptly at

Friday, December 2

07:00 - 07:30 EST (12:00 - 12:30 GMT).

Meeting url:

https://www.gotomeet.me/JayMeisler

GVI Trading john bland 11:47 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading

Equities Risk Off
DAX -98
DJ -30
SP -6

10-yr 2.436% -0.5bbp

GVI Trading 10:35 GMT December 2, 2016
Dollar dips before U.S. jobs data; eyes on Italys vote -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"The dollar was on course for its first weekly fall in four weeks against the euro and a basket of currencies on Friday, with investors trimming bets against the single currency before U.S. jobs numbers and Italy's constitutional referendum. Bets on the euro have largely been taken on options markets this week, driving implied volatility of the currency to its highest since Britain's vote to leave the European Union in June.

But spot rates for the single currency have held up as the U.S. currency drifted lower, a move that most analysts cast as a short-term correction on the dollar's surge since Donald Trump's election on Nov. 8. Most banks forecast a broadly stronger dollar next year..."

Dollar dips before U.S. jobs data; eyes on Italy's vote -- Reuters.com

GVI Trading john bland 10:30 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems

london red 10:23 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

euro sup by hourly kijun and 50% 38 and then 33 an area of congestion. i am loath to ever suggest cutting euro shorts but st may bounce there given changing signals to usd november trend. mkt shud still go into nfp shrt so any bounce they may fade 68/80

GVI Trading john bland 10:13 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Register for the Amazing Trader

1.


Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems

Hong Kong 10:09 GMT December 2, 2016
AceTrader Dec 2: Daily Recommendations on Major USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 02 Dec 2016 09:13 GMT

USD/JPY - 113.91
Despite the greenback's resumption of recent winning streak to a fresh 9-month peak at 114.83 in Australia yesterday, subsequent strong retreat to 113.58 today suggests a minor top has been made and mild downside bias would be seen for retracement towards 113.50/60.
However, 113.34 (previous resistance, now support) should remain intact and yield another rise towards said high later today or early tomorrow.

On the downside, only below 113.34 would abort daily bullishness and yield stronger correction of medium-term upmove towards 112.96, then 112.50/60.

GVI Trading john bland 10:04 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

EZ PPI hotter than expected.

GVI Trading john bland 10:00 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Eurozone PPI October 2016





ALERT
mm: +0.80% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -0.10% (r ) prev.
yy: -0.40% vs. -1.00% exp. vs. -1.50% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading john bland 09:50 GMT December 2, 2016
Friday Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
2-Dec Fri
13:30 CA/US Employment


Trading Themes--
  • U.S. November employment data is the major economic event today. Street estimates are for Jobs to have gained by about 175K in the month and for the unemployment rate to remain steady at 4.90%. ADP private payroll data released this week suggest the the street estimates may be correct. ADP is not always a reliable indicator of NFP.

  • Odds are the data will not change Fed intentions to raise rates. Monthly Job statistics and inflation are the top items on which the FOMC monetary bases its policy decisions. Markets have placed 100% odds on a 25bp Fed Funds target increase on December 14.

  • The Italian Referendum on Sunday, December 4 is the next high profile event. Some are touting the vote as indirect referendum on the Euro. If these reforms are defeated, the Renzi government could fall. The ECB has assured markets that it has the capacity to buy Italian government bonds temporarily if needed.

  • The U.S. Presidential vote recount is another uncertainty. U.S. Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with Clinton help, is supporting recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Odds in favor a reversal of the Trump victory are very slim. Some say Stein is doing this for personal reasons.

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk Off

GVI Forex Blog 09:34 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Better
Reply   
U.K. Construction PMI beats estimates. More of a domestic measure.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Construction PMI Better

GVI Trading john bland 09:31 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

better than expected. Domestic data.

GVI Trading john bland 09:30 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Construction PMI November 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

52.8 vs. 52.2 exp. vs. 52.6 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:57 GMT December 2, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

PAR 08:24 GMT December 2, 2016
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI
Reply   
More interventions ahead of Italian referendum .

PAR 08:12 GMT December 2, 2016
NFP - Better than expected ?
Reply   
KBC

"Today it’s all about the payrolls. Risks are on the upside of expectations
which is negative for core bonds. The US 5-yr (1.85% area) broke and 10-yr
yield (2.5%) reached key resistance levels. Stronger payrolls will trigger an
intense test, but yesterday’s post-ISM reaction suggests that a break will be
difficult following the huge November bond sell-off. The equity and dollar
rally also show signs of petering out while oil prices might also give back
some of the post-OPEC gains. Ahead of the weekend, some short covering
could occur after the payrolls, going into the Austrian presidential elections
(toss-up between far left and far right candidate) and Italian referendum
(probable defeat for PM Renzi). Both events could put peripheral bond
markets under some pressure today, even if the “damage” remained limited
so far.
Any correction higher in core bonds markets could be used to sell-theuptick
short term. We hold our medium term negative view on the US Note

london red 08:10 GMT December 2, 2016
eurusd

euro. now that prev high breached and st higher high made, mkt likely to tentatively fade overnight gains during london am into nfp. fib at 10704 may shelter stops but any gains likely to be faded pre nfp. will offer post nfp game later on.

Singapore 06:09 GMT December 2, 2016
eurusd

EUR/USD today’s Exchange Rate is 1.0686.

Our Recommendation:
EUR/USD is going up and is recommended to buy.
For Live Forex Signals or Forex Tips With 3 Days Free Trial Offer visit: http://www.mmfsolutions.sg/services/forex-pack/

Amelia

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 02:22 GMT December 2, 2016
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dc CB 00:46 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

large warships, esp aircraft carriers are, with today's missle technology, are monumenatally expensive "old school" sitting ducks.
1- $million weapon sinks 1 - $trillion floating target.

You've seen those pics of the the Russian Carrier that was sent to the Med. The Rooskies put their money into missle technology, not floating jet launch platforms, which are like a square rigged Man of War in an age of deisel powered steel hulled 8" gunned fore/aft/port/starboard...

Livingston nh 00:35 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

For the last 70 years the idiots have believed in medieval warfare - cost efficiency of nuclear power has been ignored

dc CB 00:27 GMT December 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS:

Livingston nh 23:15 GMT
COST (bang for the buck)

or expensive stuff that dosen't work

The new, high-tech destroyer Zumwalt suffered an engineering casualty Monday

Dillon AL 00:20 GMT December 2, 2016
eurusd

By this time next year Merkel will be consigned to the has beens as Europe will have been plunged into a new immigration crisis starting next spring

Livingston nh 00:03 GMT December 2, 2016
eurusd

Erdogan has bitten off more than he can chew in the last few months BUT he still thinks he has a gun to Head of EU (Merkel) -- will he release the Hounds or will he demand delivery on the Agreement?

Merkel's space is getting smaller

 




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