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Forex Forum Archive for 12/19/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Trading 22:41 GMT December 19, 2016
Yen rises on lower U.S. yields, attacks in Turkey, Germany -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"The Japanese yen rose on Monday on safe-haven bids after separate deadly attacks in Turkey and Germany, adding to earlier buying of the currency to book profits on the dollar's recent gains.

In Ankara, an off-duty police officer opened fire and killed Russia's ambassador to Turkey at an art gallery in the Turkish capital Ankara. Russia and Turkey have been on opposing sides of the conflict in Syria, straining relations. Later in Berlin, a truck ploughed into a crowded Christmas market, leaving at least nine dead and up to 50 injured. It was not immediate clear who was behind the attack..."

Yen rises on lower U.S. yields, attacks in Turkey, Germany -- Reuters.com

dc CB 22:38 GMT December 19, 2016
Vote

Donald Trump has secured 304 Electoral Votes following the Texas vote (with 2 faithless electors).

GVI Trading john bland 22:37 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

Trump gets more than 300 electoral College votes. More than 270 are needed to win the Presidency. State votes will be confirmed by the HOuse in early January.

london red 21:36 GMT December 19, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

maybe but 2.528/2.53 sup and held so far. needs to overcome 2.57 to be out of woods.

dc CB 21:12 GMT December 19, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

Bonds rose today.
wouldn't take much more in carnage and war threats and other assorted bad nuz to trigger some safety buying into the holidays.
Seems a lot have run to the other side of the boat, listing some?

10Y COT

dc CB 20:58 GMT December 19, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

To al my Republican Friends,
Congrats on your win!
Suprise!!!!
I baked you a cake.
Yrs
Gammy Yellen.

Plan E

GVI Trading john bland 20:55 GMT December 19, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

Register for the Amazing Trader

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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for rate hikes at the June 17, 2017 meeting are +100% for +25bp.

dc CB 20:53 GMT December 19, 2016
Vote

Dec 19, 2016 3:49 PM EST The count: Donald Trump has 256 Electoral votes; Hillary Clinton has 135 votes. There are 143 votes pending.

++++++++++++++++++++
Let's just call it another backfire. LOL

Four Democratic voters in Washington chose not to vote for Hillary Clinton, becoming "faithless" voters. Clinton took the other 8 votes in the state. Three Democratic electors have tried to be "faithless" by not voting for Clinton. One in Maine, one in Minnesota and one in Colorado. Those votes were changed and registered for Clinton.

GVI Forex Blog 20:47 GMT December 19, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016
Reply   


Pre-Market Forex Trading Ideas for 20 Dec 2016

Forex Trading Outlook

  • The USD improved during the day following a platitude-laden address by Fed Chair Yellen at the University of Baltimore. It appears the news algos took the platitudes in her commentary as policy anddrove the USD higher. We are in pre-Christmas markets and conditions are thin.The economic calendar is light again Tuesday.

  • Earlier the German IFO Survey was released. This is a closely followed release inside of Germany. The December data were mixed and had little impact on trading.

  • Expect limited trader participation until after the turn of the year. Recall, limited volumes no longer always imply stable prices.


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

20-Dec Tue
03:00 JP- BOJ Meeting
21-Dec Wed
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
22-Dec Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
23-Dec Fri
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk On Profile

Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

GVI Forex Blog 20:37 GMT December 19, 2016
Chart Points: Free Forex Database
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database

dc CB 20:35 GMT December 19, 2016
Vote
Reply   
as of 3:15pm ET:

241 electoral votes had been cast for Trump,
127 electoral votes had been cast for Hillary Clinton.

Minnesota cast 10 votes for Hillary Clinton after Muhammad Abdurrahan, a "faithless voter" refused to vote for her and was replaced by an alternate

Maine Democratic elector casts vote for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders for president instead of Hillary Clinton. The Maine elector who voted for Bernie Sanders has his vote ruled "improper." He has switched the vote to Clinton.

GVI Forex Blog 20:31 GMT December 19, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On Profile
Reply   

Late in N.Y., U.S. equity markets are ending higher. Bond prices are generally closing higher, so yields have fallen. The session saw two terrorist events. The Russian ambassador to Turkey was assassinated and there was a terrorist incident in Berlin with multiple deaths reported.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On Profile

Berlin ImamGram 20:28 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

not only the Dax move higher, also the death toll now in double digits.
no photos this time, too bloody to show human flesh on wheels and seems no one cares.

PAR 20:07 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

Dax futures moving higher .

GVI Trading john bland 19:58 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

Local reports this was a terrorist attack. One dead, multiple injuries...

-- press reports

GVI Trading john bland 19:49 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

Truck plows into a Christmas market in Berlin... No details yet
-- CNBC

GVI Trading john bland 19:36 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

Electoral College vote as of 14:15 EST
Trump 183 votes, Clinton 103. So far all vote voted as they were won.
Winner needs 270 votes. Could see a projected verdict by 4PM ET.

GVI Trading john bland 18:58 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

how can they react to "nothing" headlines?

dc CB 18:50 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

YELLEN SAYS U.S. JOBS MARKET IS STRONGEST IN NEARLY A DECADE: BBG

NY JM 18:44 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

News algos running the trading asylum...

GVI Trading john bland 18:36 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

Yellen:
-- economic gains finally raising living standards
-- wage growth picking up.
-- no remarks on policy

dc CB 18:15 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT

In a NPR exit interview with Steve Inskeep, President Barack Obama said in his post-White House life he plans to develop “a whole new generation” of Democratic talent.
==============================================

Campus Reform took to the University of Virginia dressed as “The Hipsters Who Stole Christmas” to see if students would sign their petition to ban Christmas.

Reporters Amber Athey and Cabot Phillips, claiming to be members of the fake group “Students for an Inclusive Holiday Season,” interviewed students at UVA to see if they felt “oppressed” and “triggered” by Christmas.
After being told the celebration of Christmas can be “almost oppressive” for some students on campus, one female student enthusiastically said that she would “totally sign.”

In less than two hours, almost 20 students signed the fake Christmas-banning petition.

London AzaForex 17:45 GMT December 19, 2016
Strategy and research analyst on currency pair AUDCAD 12-19-
Reply   


Sell AUDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Strategy and research analyst on currency pair AUDCAD 12-19-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Moore has vowed to pay the fines incurred by Republican electoral college members who choose to vote against Trump

GVI Forex Blog 17:27 GMT December 19, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 20 December 2016
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

December 19, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS Tuesday, December 20, 2016.

  • Far East: JP- Bank of Japan
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- API data

WEEKLY Forex Economic Calendar:
20-Dec Tue
03:00 JP- BOJ Meeting
21-Dec Wed
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
22-Dec Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
23-Dec Fri
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey

GVI Data Calendar for 20 December 2016

GVI Trading john bland 17:24 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Late in Europe, equity prices are ending higher on the day. U.S. equities are up. Markets have not reacted strongly to the assassination of the Russian Ambassador to Turkey in Ankara. Bond prices are higher, which means yields have been easing. In forex trading, the USD is mixed.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

Ankara/Moscow PhD Arsenovsky 17:24 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

heavy shortages of Vaseline reported and is expected to get worse. the Turkish president gets ready for Russian special handling sessions.

Ankara SceneGram 17:08 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

the ambassador shot dead
the shooter murdered

video of the shooting

GVI Trading john bland 17:07 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Thanks for passing the story to us.

Ankara 17:02 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

the ambassador shot dead, now official

Mtl JP 16:58 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

red 16:35 I note gv calendar risk A at
3:00 A JP Bank of Japan
odds are Kuroda is going to celebrate his "QQE with yield curve control", maybe being frontrun by players already

Ankara PhD Bulletnikov 16:56 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

shooter shot dead few seconds ago, now he is who the Turks and Russians to tell

Ankara TopGrams 16:52 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading



photo of the shooter

Mtl JP 16:37 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

CNN reporting that Russian ambassador to Ankara, Andrey Karlov, has been shot in Ankara

london red 16:35 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

btw stop for that yen can be below prev high 116.13 or better under daily tenkan/10dma which are close together.

london red 16:32 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

yen long 116.23/30 at 61.8 of 100/125. on the way up hampered trade led to near 1.5 fig pullback. they will use as sup. if no bounce goes str8 dwn to 115 which they will front run.
euro worth a fade on pop abv 105 (09/16) stop over 10540.

Mtl JP 16:31 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

some of those long dollars unwinding
Gold uP

Mtl JP 16:04 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading



usdyen - all sorts of reasons screaming caution with long positions
not least of which is the yield spread

Mtl JP 15:57 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

potential Dow Jones 20,000
I suspect lots of players (those who will bid the eventual print) will be exposed to some pain.
Prudence... is not just a girl's name.

Mtl JP 15:48 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

usdcad 1.34
still BoD bias
above 1.34 should see a relatively quick 100 - 200 pips North
plz mind your risk

Mtl JP 15:37 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

usdyen 117
looks deep under and also under its 117.95 pivot
5 day 116.63
10 day 115.73
20 day 114.49
trade views appreciated

GVI Forex Blog 14:54 GMT December 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Markit Services PMI For December 2016
Reply   
Markit flash Services PMI unexpectedly weakens. ISM and Markit data diverging and unstable. Markit data series is relatively new.

Markit and ISM Service PMI charts

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Markit Services PMI For December 2016

Mtl JP 14:50 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

US Markit numbers = fizz
players need to find a new catalyst;
maybe look at the spread in yields again

currently I am keeping robot to look for shorting opportunities

GVI Trading john bland 14:46 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

Markit flash Services PMI misses

GVI Trading john bland 14:45 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News

U.S. Markit flash Services PMI December 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
53.4 vs. 55.2 exp. vs. 54.6

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:41 GMT December 19, 2016
HOPELESSNESS

Lagarde, the International Monetary Fund's managing director, has been found guilty of "negligence" over a huge payout to a business tycoon while she served as France's finance minister.

However, the Court of Justice of the Republic - a special tribunal for ministers - chose not to hand her down a prison sentence. She faced a one-year term and a €15,000 (£13,000) fine.

Mtl JP 14:32 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

unless janets spits out something new and corrective of her recently expressed enthusiasm about economic growth, she is unlikely to inspire a repricing from players with her commencement yak. about as much odds as those Electoral college voters casting their ballots for someone else than donald.
-
unlike US Markit numbers that could elicit an A-risk response in price levels in less than 15 minutes now. lets-c

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 14:05 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

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GBPUSD (1.2392):

Amazing Trader support at 1.2360, pointed out in advance, held dead on. Our levels really are amazing.

GVI Trading john bland 14:00 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Equities
DAX -1
DJ +1
SP+1

19-yr 2.557% -3.7bp

Livingston nh 13:55 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

John - What 2017 dot is Yellen? IS she still last June's 2017 DOT? Sept's 2017 DOT?

Last week's dots were a lot less aggressive than June and in terms of 2017 Members (VOTES) the median rate is a lot lower - "Aggressive doves"

GVI Trading john bland 13:32 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Chair Yellen might or might not have something newsworthy to say today, but I think we already know where she stands on policy.

GVI Trading john bland 13:28 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Today:

December 19 Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
The State of the Job Market
University of Baltimore 2016 Midyear Commencement, Baltimore, Maryland 1:30 p.m. EST (18:30 GMT)

Mtl JP 13:12 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

currently ignoring yield spreads is the riski tactic

GVI Trading john bland 12:11 GMT December 19, 2016
Amazing Trasder Meeting

Amazing Trader Meeting underway. Use link below to join in...

SaaR KaL 11:56 GMT December 19, 2016
NZDUSD Longs
Reply   
Longing
0.7036 0.6884
0.7071 0.6850
0.7107 0.6815

GVI Trading Jay Meisler 11:27 GMT December 19, 2016
Amazing Trasder Meeting
Reply   

Register for the Amazing Trader

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The pre-Xmas week is different than other weeks. This does not mean markets will not move so see how to approach this week by

attending our daily meeting, all are invited

Daily meeting starts promptly at

Monday, December 19

07:00 - 07:30 EST (12:00 - 12:30 GMT).

Meeting url:

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GVI Forex Blog 11:20 GMT December 19, 2016
Key secrets of price action trader
Reply   

There are many different ways of trading the financial instrument in the world. You can make money by following many different trading strategies. One of the most advanced trading strategies in today’s world is the price action trading strategy. Price action trading strategies involve study of the raw price data

Key secrets of price action trader

Mtl JP 11:18 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading



s/term stop loss priceline for short gbpusd

Mtl JP 11:10 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

this year jewish and catholic holiday celebrations coincide on the calendar. theoretically this should imply thin trading conditions.

It is open question whether markets go lethargic or if some cantankerous minds will try to have some fun with
- higher crude oil price expectants
- those two gaps on us equities charts I have been pointing out
- current bear us paper sentiment (or what john calls "source of USD support" - (Blog 10:07)

GVI Trading john bland 11:00 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

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Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems

GVI Trading john bland 10:39 GMT December 19, 2016
Monday Trading
Reply   

Register for the Amazing Trader

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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems

Haifa ac 10:39 GMT December 19, 2016
HOPELESSNESS

Interesting observation:
The more numbers and demographics of the election come out-- the picture emerges that it was NOT a choice between Trump and Hillary--but a war between the UNITED STATES OF AMERICA and the STATE OF CALIFORNIA.
California has become 99.9% democratic . i.e. no reflection of the AMERICAN POPULACE.
This will be more and more obvious in future elections.

GVI Forex Blog 10:07 GMT December 19, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Monday 19 December 2016
Reply   


Market Forex Trading Ideas for 19 Dec 2016

Forex Trading Outlook

  • The USD is heading into the Christmas holiday period on a roughly steady note, although USDJPY is lower The economic calendar is light today. U.S. flash Markit Service PMI is the only data due.

  • Earlier today, the Greman IFO Survey was released. This is a closely followed release inside of Germany. The December data were mixed and had little impact on trading.

  • Expect limited trader participation until after the turn of the year. Recall, limited volumes no longer always imply stable prices.

  • The markets are still digesting the more hawkish than expected Fed decision Wednesday. It continues to be a source of USD support.


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

19-Dec Mon
14:45 US- flash Markit Service PMI
20-Dec Tue
03:00 JP- BOJ Meeting
21-Dec Wed
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
22-Dec Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
23-Dec Fri
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

Forex Trading Themes For Monday 19 December 2016

GVI Forex Blog 10:00 GMT December 19, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile
Reply   

Early in Europe, equity markets are biased modestly to the downside in subdued activity. Far East markets closed mostly lower. Fixed income markets are mixed. The EUR is mixed on its crosses and USDJPY is weaker.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

GVI Forex Blog 09:28 GMT December 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Mixed
Reply   

German IFO Survey Chart

German December IFO Survey mixed data with Current Conditions improving, This is a well-established large survey which is closely followed in Germany

BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Mixed

GVI Trading john bland 09:15 GMT December 19, 2016
Breaking News
Reply   
German IFO Survey December 2016
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 111.0 vs. 110.6 exp. vs. 110.4 prev.
Conditions: 116.6 vs. 115.9 exp. vs. 115.6 prev.
Expectations: 105.6 vs. 105.6 exp. vs. 105.5 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



TTN: Live News Special Offer

SaaR KaL 09:11 GMT December 19, 2016
GBPNZD...Greasy Pair
Reply   
GBPNZD shorts

1.7837 1.7378
1.7933 1.7234
1.8029 1.7089

SaaR KaL 08:45 GMT December 19, 2016
Visit us for 14 days free on our 160% profit account verify

It is heading to more then 1.0670

London 08:42 GMT December 19, 2016
Visit us for 14 days free on our 160% profit account verify
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.0460 Target: +65 Stop: -65

You can receive signals to your MT4 from 0.01 lot

Forex signals

Singapore 06:53 GMT December 19, 2016
AceTrader Dec 19 :Daily Recommendations on Major EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair tries hard to build on Friday’s recovery, although finds some from broad based US dollar weakness in tandem with weaker US treasury yields.

Currently, EUR/USD trades modestly higher at 1.0458, unable to chew offers lined up near 1.0470 region. The main currency pair clung on to 1.04 support on Friday, and from there staged a steady recovery back above 1.0450 levels, while the recovery gained extra legs in the Asian trades this Monday, mainly driven by fresh selling seen in the US treasury yields, particularly the 2-year yields, which mimics the interest rates expectations.

In terms of technicals, the pair finds the immediate resistance 1.0477 (post-FOMC high). A break beyond the last, doors will open for a test of 1.0500 (round figure) and from there to 1.0529 (10-DMA). On the flip side, the immediate support is placed at 1.0400 (round number) below which 1.0366 (14-yr low) and 1.0300 (key support) could be tested.

Currently the exchange rate of EUR/USD 1.0478.

Our Recommendation:
It is going up in Forex market and it is recommended to buy.

Stay updated with live Forex Trading Tips to make profitable trades

Rachel

SaaR KaL 06:24 GMT December 19, 2016
AUDUSD Longs
Reply   
Longing it
Trade Range 1 0.7568 0.7266
Trade Range 2 0.7628 0.7211

SaaR KaL 05:30 GMT December 19, 2016
Cable and EURUSD
Reply   
Most likely
Cable wants 1.2890 from here in a week or so
EURUSD wants 1.0802 and IMO turning the tide
very likely into 1.12+

SaaR KaL 04:26 GMT December 19, 2016
Gold...no shorts for a long while
Reply   
I think these levels are not a good idea to short
I doubt it will hit 1,000
Expecting 1500 + this coming 6 months

Very OK Shorting USDCAD Now into the week

Hong Kong 02:36 GMT December 19, 2016
AceTrader Dec 19 :Daily Recommendations on Major EUR/USD
Reply   
Update Time: 18 Dec 2016 01:36 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0447
Although euro's intra-day rebound from 1.0401 to 1.0474 in New York session last Friday suggests further choppy trading above Thursday's 13-year bottom at 1.0367 would continue.
As long as 1.0497/00 holds, consolidation with downside bias remains, a firm break of said Friday's low would signal correction is over and yield subsequent weakness towards 1.0367.

On the upside, a daily close above 1.2500 would confirm temporary low is in place, then risk would shift to the upside and bring stronger retracement to 1.0530, then 1.0550/60.

Mtl JP 01:50 GMT December 19, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

-U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen delivers keynote address at the University of Baltimore’s Midyear Commencement on the state of the job market.

In Baltimore at 13:30 EST.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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