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Forex Forum Archive for 12/20/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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GVI Trading john bland 21:37 GMT December 20, 2016
Breaking News

Larger draw than expected WTI higher.

GVI Trading john bland 21:35 GMT December 20, 2016
Breaking News

U.S. API Crude

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
reportedly: -4.200 vs: -2.400 mn expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer


PAR 21:16 GMT December 20, 2016
RISK ON
Reply   
Looks like terrorist attacks are good for stocks and bonds.

GVI Trading john bland 20:51 GMT December 20, 2016
Forex Trading Ideas For Wednesday 21 December 2016

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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--
The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy. Odds for rate hikes at the June 17, 2017 meeting are roughly 100% for +25bp.

GVI Forex Blog 20:40 GMT December 20, 2016
Forex Trading Ideas For Wednesday 21 December 2016
Reply   


Pre-Market Forex Trading Ideas for 20 Dec 2016

Forex Trading Outlook

  • The EURUSD broke below the psychological 1.0400 line early on Tuesday and touched as low as 1.0350 before recovering to around the 1.0400 level later in the day. Trading appeared to be thin.

  • The Bank of Japan kept policy unchanged as expected, but it did upgrade its assessment of the economy. Thye said the 0% target for JGB yields would be left intact and that a weaker JPY does not pose problems.

  • We are in pre-Christmas markets and conditions are thin. The economic calendar is light again Wednesday.

  • Expect limited trader participation until after the turn of the year. Recall, limited volumes no longer always imply stable prices in an era of electronic trading.


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

21-Dec Wed
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
22-Dec Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
23-Dec Fri
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

Forex Trading Ideas For Wednesday 21 December 2016

GVI Forex Blog 20:28 GMT December 20, 2016
Chart Points: Free Forex Database
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex Blog 20:18 GMT December 20, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile
Reply   

Late in N.Y., U.S. equity markets are ending higher and Bond prices are generally closing mixed along with yields. The USD is ending the day mixed as well. JGB yields closed close to zero after no BOJ policy changes.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

GVI Trading john bland 18:42 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems


GVI Trading john bland 18:03 GMT December 20, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets
Reply   

Late in Europe, equity prices are ending higher on the day. U.S. equities are up. This has been a quiet day on the news front. Earlier, the Bank of Japan kept policy steady as expected. Bond prices are mixed, as are yields. In forex trading, the USD is mixed.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

London AzaForex 17:38 GMT December 20, 2016
Strategy and research analyst on currency pair EURUSD 12-20-
Reply   


Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Strategy and research analyst on currency pair EURUSD 12-20-2016 by AzaForex forex broker

Mtl JP 16:40 GMT December 20, 2016
Are you ready to become a professional trader?

from GVI Forex Blog 10:42: Recall, limited volumes no longer always imply stable prices.
-
Actually they never did in the time that I trading spot. In fact limited volumes offer some players tremendous opportunities to move prices rather massively in a very short time.

This is not a prediction rather a musing meant as a warning in favour of Prudence heading into year-end:

Prudence would suggest to not put on a ticket that IF price moved against that one's account would not be able to withstand at least a 500 pip move, preferably an 800 pip move (do not forget to include allocated margin to the ticket) in order to weather a margin call.

I repeat: this is not a trade call. Rather a call to Prudence.
Better to cry over forfeited trade than cry over a wipeout.

ps / I see - regrettably - very little discussion about a trade tactic generally known as "netting". Regrettably because I think it is very useful in trading.

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

loading some long usdcad 1.3380
in keeping with BoD bias

PAR 16:13 GMT December 20, 2016
ECB
Reply   
ECB balance sheet € 3631 bn = 35% of eurozone GDP.

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT December 20, 2016
Vote

dc CB from nh 19:33 GMT Dec 12:
Here's the way this shakes out - Trump is a bully so if you go after the King you better kill the King... -- this better stop quickly
-
I do not expect "this better stop quickly". I may not wish it, but I won't be surprised if donald and gang start going after some heads that appear ODD to donald's perception.

dc CB 15:56 GMT December 20, 2016
Vote

Mtl JP 09:36 GMT

Behold, the Clinton archipelago...ZH

The Best Election Map Yet

Mtl JP 15:56 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

re 20,000 Dow
do you expect sell orders be executed if n when 20K prints ?

Mtl JP 15:24 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Mtl JP 13:58 GMT 12/20/2016
I will be selling eurdlr on approach to / slight pop over 1.04 IF seen

-
just snagged first eurdlr short

PAR 15:04 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Trump sending a wave of optimism to the world stock markets. Best president elect ever ?

GVI Forex Blog 14:57 GMT December 20, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 21 December 2016
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For TradersWednesday sees Existing Homes Sales and EIA Crude.

December 20, 2016 (global-view

GVI Data Calendar for 21 December 2016

nw kw 14:48 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Bye bye Euro or into oil long cadjpy 88.0 pivot.

GVI Trading john bland 14:40 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

DJ 19,975

dc CB 14:06 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

Berlin Police Says It Arrested "The Wrong Man": Truck Attacker Is "Armed, Still At Large". Head of Germany's federal police says "We do not know yet if the attack had an Islamist background.
German chief federal prosecutor Frank: "No group has claimed responsibility for the attack so far".

bye bye Angela. Bye bye Euro

Mtl JP 13:58 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

I will be selling eurdlr on approach to / slight pop over 1.04 IF seen
Prudence (not a girl's name) is highly recommended

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

nh audusd in the bag
not sure how much lower is left in the dog at this time

Livingston nh 13:39 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

JP - are you still on the AUD short

Mtl JP 13:33 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas

usdcad 1.3407
bias: Bod towards
50 day 1.3361
20 day 1.3315
-
In general, today I am keeping a USD BoD bias across the board

PAR 13:19 GMT December 20, 2016
DOW 20000
Reply   
Today will be DOW 20000 day as Trump is sure to be the next president of the USA .

nw kw 13:14 GMT December 20, 2016
Dollar climbs as attacks subdue euro, BOJ saps yen -- Reuters.com

velocity in goldjpy or usdjpy has 5year brake out gives usdjpy firer power to 126.oo

Mtl JP 13:11 GMT December 20, 2016
Dollar climbs as attacks subdue euro, BOJ saps yen -- Reuters.com

kw 11:31 not sure I understand the Q

PAR 13:08 GMT December 20, 2016
Germany
Reply   
German police arrest wrong man. Terrorist still at large.

GVI Trading john bland 12:04 GMT December 20, 2016
Tuesday Trading Ideas
Reply   
Equities Higher
DAX +11
DJ +27
SP +4

10-yr 2.564% +3.3 bp

GVI Trading john bland 11:47 GMT December 20, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

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Amazing Trader GBPUSD charts updated on your systems

nw kw 11:31 GMT December 20, 2016
Dollar climbs as attacks subdue euro, BOJ saps yen -- Reuters.com

JP wut do you see in five year chart ranged xaujpy bust to wut side for xauusd./ usdjpy can move ?

GVI Trading john bland 11:12 GMT December 20, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

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Amazing Trader EURUSD charts updated on your systems

Mtl JP 11:01 GMT December 20, 2016
Dollar climbs as attacks subdue euro, BOJ saps yen -- Reuters.com

still keeping an account at an Italian bank ?
Italy’s €4tn banking system - the FT

still believe a bail-in (EU and G20 legislation which provides for individual savers - including small and medium size enterprises - having some of their savings confiscated) is a low to zero probability event?

GVI Forex Blog 10:53 GMT December 20, 2016
Are you ready to become a professional trader?
Reply   

Trading the financial instrument can extremely difficult task if you relative new in this industry. There are many people in the world who jumps into the online trading world without having any proper knowledge. Some of them start their trading career in order to quit their 9 – 5-day job and some of them for quick money

Are you ready to become a professional trader?

GVI Trading john bland 10:47 GMT December 20, 2016
Dollar climbs as attacks subdue euro, BOJ saps yen -- Reuters.com
Reply   
"The dollar climbed back towards a 14-year high on Tuesday as the yen fell after the Bank of Japan held policy steady and fallout from attacks in Germany and Turkey subdued the euro. European shares were steady, with unease over the attacks balanced by gains by bank shares and the Milan market .FTMIB after Italy's government said it wanted approval for up to 20 billion euros to rescue troubled lenders.
On currency markets, risk aversion sent the safe-haven Swiss franc to a near a six-month high versus the euro EURCHF= and pushed the common currency firmly back below $1.04..."

Dollar climbs as attacks subdue euro, BOJ saps yen -- Reuters.com

GVI Forex Blog 10:42 GMT December 20, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016
Reply   


Forex Trading Ideas for 20 Dec 2016

Forex Trading Outlook

  • The EURUSD broke through the psychological 1.0400 line earlier today. People are still digesting the latest terrorist events after the Russian Ambassador assasination in Turkey, The Berlin truck attack and another event in Zurich.

  • The Bank of Japan kept policy unchanged as expected, but did upgrade its assessment of the economy. The said the 0% target for JGB yields would be left intact and that the weaker JPY does not pose a problem.

  • On Monday The USD improved during the day after a platitude-laden address by Fed Chair Yellen at the University of Baltimore. It appears the news algos took the platitudes in her commentary as policy and drove the USD higher.

  • We are in pre-Christmas markets and conditions are thin. The economic calendar is light again today.

  • Expect limited trader participation until after the turn of the year. Recall, limited volumes no longer always imply stable prices.


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

21-Dec Wed
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
22-Dec Thu
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
23-Dec Fri
15:00 US- New Homes Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan Survey


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founder Global-View.com


CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016

Mtl JP 10:41 GMT December 20, 2016
Forex Trading Themes For Tuesday 20 December 2016



the beautiful simplicity of a T-line

Mtl JP 10:17 GMT December 20, 2016
Breaking News

Italian government to request bank bailout funds from parliament

focus of fears about the Italian banking system, which is saddled with €360bn of bad debts

GVI Forex Blog 09:44 GMT December 20, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile
Reply   

Early in Europe, equity markets are mixed following a mixed Far East close. U.S. Futures are higher. Prices in Fixed income markets are lower. The EUR is mixed on its crosses while the USD is up vs. the EUR and JPY.

Table of Key Current Market Rates

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk Profile

Mtl JP 09:36 GMT December 20, 2016
Vote

CB 22:38 have fun:

2016 predictions

Sydney ACC 07:49 GMT December 20, 2016
NZD/USD Forex Trading Signals

At the time of the post Kiwi has hit the target rate.

Singapore 05:04 GMT December 20, 2016
NZD/USD Forex Trading Signals
Reply   
The New Zealand remains subdued against its American counterpart in the Asian trades, with NZD/USD now meandering near fresh multi-month troughs.

Currently, the NZD/USD pair trades modestly flat at 0.6926, flirting with six-month lows reached at 0.6923 last minutes. The Kiwi extends its downward spiral into a fifth day today, as divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Fed and RBNZ continue to exert bearish pressure on the NZD.

Ultimately, in Forex Market, NZDUSD is going down.

Our Recommendation:
SELL NZDUSD 0.6980 TARGETS 0.6950 0.6920 STOPLOSS 0.70.25.

Stay updated with Forex Trading Signals to make profitable investments.

Rachel

Singapore 05:02 GMT December 20, 2016
NZD/USD Forex Trading Signals
Reply   
The New Zealand remains subdued against its American counterpart in the Asian trades, with NZD/USD now meandering near fresh multi-month troughs.

Currently, the NZD/USD pair trades modestly flat at 0.6926, flirting with six-month lows reached at 0.6923 last minutes. The Kiwi extends its downward spiral into a fifth day today, as divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Fed and RBNZ continue to exert bearish pressure on the NZD.

Ultimately, in Forex Market, NZDUSD is going down.

Our Recommendation:
SELL NZDUSD 0.6980 TARGETS 0.6950 0.6920 STOPLOSS 0.70.25.

Stay updated with Forex Trading Signals to make profitable investments.

Rachel

Hong Kong 02:42 GMT December 20, 2016
AceTrader Dec 20: Intra-Day News and Views USD/JPY
Reply   
20 Dec 2016 02:10GMT

USD/JPY -..... Dlr maintains a firm undertone in Tokyo trading after yesterday's intra-day wild swings. Although price fell steadily in Asia on Monday as standoff between U.S. and China over the seizure of U.S. Navy's underwater drone led to buying of yen on risk aversion.
Price weakened to 116.99 at European open before staging a rebound to 117.56 but only to tumble to one yen lower to 116.56 ahead of New York midday on news of killing of Russian ambassador in Ankara, Turkey.
However, upbeat comments by Fed Chair Janet Yellen (we did mention this in Monday's 02:50GMT update) lifted price to 117.39/40.

Dlr climbed from 116.99 to 117.41 in early Asian trading, but lack of follow-through buying has caused price to retreat, suggesting sideways swings are in store as market awaits BoJ's announcement around 03:00-03:30GMT at the end of its 2-day meeting.

Offers are tipped at 117.40/50 with stops above 117.60, more selling interest is touted at 118.00/10.
Bids are noted at 117.00-116.95 n more below with stops reported below 116.50.

Mtl JP 01:06 GMT December 20, 2016
Breaking News

IMF board backs Lagarde to remain at her post despite verdict against her. Lagarde says she wants to put ‘ordeal’ behind her.

no shame...

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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