Tallinn viies 22:42 GMT February 2, 2016
eurusd
Reply
eurusd will trade in a small range until march when ECB will deliver. this is most likely scenario I think.
for a shorter period I plan to short euro as long as last month high 1.0985 will contain euro upmoves. few important resistances between the high 0f 1.0985 and 1.0920 current spot. first level previous day high 1.0939. then last week high 1.0968. just matter of risk and reward where to sell as long as stop above 1.0985.
target 1.0710. gl
GVI john 21:39 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
API Crude reportedly a build of 3.8 mln. In line with EIA estimates for crude tomorow.
Tallinn viies 21:35 GMT February 2, 2016
eurusd
Reply
U.S. GASOLINE FUTURES EXTEND LOSSES, DOWN MORE THAN 8 PCT IN POST-SETTLEMENT TRADING AFTER API DATA
'GVI 'john 21:11 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
API crude build of about 4.7mln barrels should be the consensus at the bottom of the hour. Subscribers get the data then and then it is released to the public about 5mins later.
'dc' 'CB' 21:02 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
in my thinking they are to be ignored until March. The thing to pay attention to now is Presidential Politics.
fwiw Hillary_ WallStreets Candy-Date "won" over I'll bust up the banks Sanders by a smidge. And as it turns out she "won" delegates in 6 counties on the basis of a COIN TOSS. She won six Coin Tosses because the caucuses were deadlocked.
Hillary v Bernie is going to be the market mover thru Super Tuesday..March 1. As the voters will be punished/rewarded by Da Boys for liking or disliking their chosen Queen
After that maybe U can pay attention to these Fed Mouths...but I think they have worn thin and no body really gives a F*^# what they "think"...'cepting a few Headline Reading Algos that are there to run stops.
'Livingston' 'nh' 20:56 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
A Fed vote is the same as Yellen's - FOMC finally moved - its pet theory doesn't work so try something else
___
API might push the WTI to 29.50 where last week's bargain hunters become BAGHOLDERS
'GVI 'john 20:51 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
As for George, I don't see what the public musings of the individual Fed members accomplishes.
\'GVI \'john 20:47 GMT February 2, 2016
My Wednesday Trades
Reply
wti closing Tuesday in NY just below the psychological $30 line. ($29.90)
S&P is just above 1900 (1905)
EURUSD is above 1.0900 (1.0920)
US 10-yr 1.858% -8.4bp below the 2.00% line
Generally these levels reflect a RISK-Off posture.
'Mtl' 'JP' 20:31 GMT February 2, 2016
Short EURUSD
kl kl c london red 14:22 if it can help
no gar
'KL' 'KL' 20:24 GMT February 2, 2016
Short EURUSD
Short Again EURUSD Semi Relentless 1.0922.....
Remember we are on the EVE of the SNB BOMB...Wonder if there is going to be a CB BOMB from ECB..>RAISE Rate......Ka Boom I am TOAST!!
DYOR..DFM..DLTM imvho .....try not to keep too long and Make Take Profit KING....
'Mtl' 'JP' 20:20 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Out earlier : Kansas Fed George (a voting hawk)
- Fed should keep raising interest rates
- recent stock market volatility is 'not all that recent bout of volatility is not all that unexpected, nor necessarily worrisome
- Dec rate hike 'a late start'
--
is she pi$$ing on Stanley's head or what ?
'dc' 'CB' 20:13 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
'Livingston' 'nh' 18:20 GMT
JP - USD/JPY buy for a move back above daily 89 ema
I think the opposite is the way to go...118 redux....Carryyyy Trade Unwind
BIG WOOPS. obviously Standard and Poors is a treasonous organization, because they are "peddling fiction"**
**SOTU Jan 12 2016: "Anyone claiming that America's economy is in decline is peddling fiction."
S&P Just Downgraded 10 Of The Biggest US Energy Companies
'dc' 'CB' 19:59 GMT February 2, 2016
N.I.R. is something abnormal; Expect abnormal things to happen.
for NIR to be successful, it is necessary to eliminate CASH from the equation. Otherwise you'd just take it all in Bills, why let the banks "charge" you.
Making CASH Illegal is the next step.
This is where the retail guy, the small potatoes guy has the edge over the Mega Corps and Rich Richies. It's possible to stash serveal hundred K, even a few mill, in paper Cash.
Impossible for bigger operations...that was/is the problem with major drug dealers...How do you handle warehouses full of Benjamins.
HK [email protected] 19:48 GMT February 2, 2016
N.I.R. is something abnormal; Expect abnormal things to happen.
Reply
NIR; Kind of mirror reality, antipodial mind setting.
May cause investors to flee to safe havens rather than putting their money to work the economy, which is anyway in a recession, thus offering no new opportunities.
Expect a kind of an arctic economy.
PAR 18:53 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
US bank stocks drop as FED is exploring possibility of negative interest rates .
PAR 18:31 GMT February 2, 2016
€500 Notes
Reply
With European bank stocks collapsing and negative interest rates , € 500 notes have a real function to perform .
Safeguarding your money and get it out of the banks asap .
GVI john 18:30 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
U.K. Home Secretary
-- EU proposal today might be a basis for compromise
'Livingston' 'nh' 18:20 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
JP - USD/JPY buy for a move back above daily 89 ema - fundamentals are still favorable // more folks from China going to Tokyo shops than HK
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 18:02 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Yep JP. I will keep on posting what i can. Sometimes i want to post but than prices already moved a lot....
Keep on posting.
'dc' 'CB' 17:57 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Federal Reserve is asking banks to consider the possibility of the same happening in the U.S...
you'll know at they run up to the "actual" NIR here when the wack the crap out of the paper gold MarkIT. When it hits 1000, and then leaks into the 900's...NIRs are on the doorstep.
PAR 17:53 GMT February 2, 2016
ECB Paroles
Reply
Mersch: Don't Assume ECB Will Beef Up Stimulus in March 2016.02.02 18:42:37
ECB Mersch: 'A Lot of Positive Developments' in Economy, Money Supply 2016.02.02 18:42:34
ECB Mersch: 'Hype' Over New Stimulus Fueled by People With Vested Interests 2016.02.02 18:42:28
Mersch: Eurozone Inflation Rate Likely to Turn Negative Between Spring, Early Summer 2016.02.02 18:42:31
'Mtl' 'JP' 17:52 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
tks purk
seems like there is only +/- 1/2 dozen trading
rest r analysing
'dc' 'CB' 17:50 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
zerohedge @zerohedge 7m7 minutes ago
Number of economists who forecast sub-2% 10Y for Q1: 0 of 62
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 17:23 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Yes, but too late JP...
Paris ib 17:19 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
So on the one hand you have the market.... taking JPY slowly but steadily higher. And then on the other hand you have Kuroda and co.... makes for a gradual rise in the JPY and then occasional massive sell offs as Kuroda and team go to work. Ugly unless you can get the timing of official intervention right. I guess the 'insiders' out there are making a fortune. Think of it as a simple transfer of wealth.
'Mtl' 'JP' 17:12 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
numbnuts Kuroda yaks later this evening (morn in Japan)
'Mtl' 'JP' 17:10 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 120.15 Target: 120.5 Stop: 119.85
y/n ?
tia
'Mtl' 'JP' 16:11 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
1.089x - kitchink
squawks the chiken
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 16:10 GMT February 2, 2016
eur/usd SHORT
Reply
close 3/4 109167-10893. Works every day eh. Rest stays.
Israel Dil 15:48 GMT February 2, 2016
European elite must find outside 'enemies' ASAP
Reply
After unknowns have attacked several refugee homes in Saxony weekend, warns the Leipzig police chief Bernd Merbitz before increasing right-wing violence. In Germany conquer “a pogrom atmosphere that gets a cross dangerous intensity” Merbitz told the Leipziger Volkszeitung.
____
two choices ahead for the Bilderberg crowds, bloodbaths in Europe against other cultures or bloodbaths against overseas nations. that's the Lutheran evangelist nature, so everything is natural.
'dc' 'CB' 15:43 GMT February 2, 2016
Fun with Covers
'dc' 'CB' 22:48 GMT February 1, 2016
“If you run out of chips, you are out of the game.”
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
consider the implications.
The new guidelines recommend that all people age 18 and older, including pregnant and postpartum women, be screened for depression
All U.S. Adults Should Be Screened for Depression, Panel Recommends
'Mtl' 'JP' 15:25 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
PAR who wants calm markets ?
how does one make pips in calm markets ?
-
perish dumb ideas if not stupid CBankers
PAR 15:13 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
In order to calm markets EURUSD should go to 1.2000 and Draghi like Mourinho should retire .
Draghi s policies explained :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rCAYto7Svwo
Pasig evan 15:05 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
1.0965 Euro next resistance after 1.0940
PAR 15:05 GMT February 2, 2016
UBS
Reply
How to make rich people poorer ?
PAR 14:56 GMT February 2, 2016
Us Dollar > Crude Oil > Commodities
Reply
Commodities & crude are priced in ... US Dollars . If the US dollars keeps rising > Commidities and crude will go DOWN .
Solution . As simple comme bonjour > let the US dollar go down and send pippos like Draghi and Kuroda who always talk the dollar higher to Siberia or Guantanamo.
'Livingston' 'nh' 14:56 GMT February 2, 2016
STOX
Reply
Exxon report vs Google -- wti key support @29.50 -- spx chart neg to 1910 but will try a fade the Open as internals improve // I can't see anything behind this move and its Employment week
The FED needs to unload its balance sheet - treasurys (aka MONEY) need to come back to market -- that's more important than rates
'dc' 'CB' 14:44 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
it's an NHL morning in the Treas market.
'dc' 'CB' 14:40 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
how many rate hikes did Stanley Fisher----the Vice Chair say that there wud be this year....when he spoke YESTERDAY!!
Oil, Nat Gas, Stocks, Bonds...seem like the Market -- yes the Market not the MarkIT --- woke up this Groundhog day and said....This is all BULL SHEIT. GET OUT NOW!!!!
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:39 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
dc CB think that 1% too high ?
Livingston nh 14:34 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
daily 89 ema resistance for EUR and support for JPY
Cape May jb 14:29 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
red thanks for that info. Invaluable. So I guess lots of participants will be trying to defend that price.
london red 14:22 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
more than 25 yards of 110 options expiring in next 2-3 weeks, its not going anywhere without a fundamental change in outlook
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:17 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
(Reuters) - China's state-owned ChemChina is nearing a deal to take over Swiss seeds and pesticides group Syngenta SYNN.VX for around 43 billion Swiss francs ($42 billion), two people familiar with the matter told Reuters on Tuesday.
GVI Jay 14:15 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Read John's last update. All you need to know.
'GVI 'john' 14:06 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
S&P -18.35
10-yr 1.902% -5.1bp
wti $30.27 -1.35
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:00 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
red N of 1.0950 could see run to 1.1060 top
Mtl JP 13:52 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.0950 Target: lower say to 1.089x Stop: 1.0959
Jay chiken trade idea for you
'''Mt''' '''JP''' 13:49 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
red 13:44 undisciplined short eurusd trade against 1.0950 could be riski
NY JM 13:46 GMT February 2, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Reply
Is anyone on the EURUSD or EURCAD long side? Markets fibally waking up to softer oil
london red 13:44 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
euro. has some ma/fib/cloud res from 10950-80, like to top out before running stops over 110.
s&p. we started at top of last weeks range so they had to backfill a bit. sups at 1900 and 1882. below last weeks low on a closing basis likely to see 1800 again.
yen. fibs at 120.02 and 119.63 should sup ahead of nfp friday.
'''Mt''' '''JP''' 13:41 GMT February 2, 2016
Not Yet Breaking News
Reply
just after NY noon voting hawk George is scheduled to yak
-
be interesting to see how she takes to Fischer's "we simply do not know" bloviating on her behalf
'''Mt''' '''JP''' 13:11 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
NYT is not breaking any news btw - it is late as is typical of it
but BP kept the 10cnt/ share qtrly dividend
--
regardless there is no FX trade off it
just keep selling gbpusd and / or eurusd on pops
review in 2017 if u ll still be needing to trade FX
'dc' 'CB' 12:44 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Punxsutawney Phil Calls For Early Spring
Nat Gas drops 3 cents
GVI Forex john 11:52 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Most OPEC members against emergency OPEC meeting.-- OPEC officials
GVI Forex 11:44 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
UK's Cameron: EU proposals real progress but more must be done.
GVI john 11:38 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
GBP reacting positively to proposals.
GVI Forex 11:36 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
EU proposals to settle UK demands being released...
-- Non EUR states not part of bailouts
-- No restrictions on EUR business for companies outside of EZ
-- National parliaments can band together to block EU laws.
GVI john 10:55 GMT February 2, 2016
My Monday Trades
Earlier Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said Russia is still open to further cooperation with OPEC if everyone wants it. Referring to potential February meeting.
GVI Forex 10:53 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
SNB's Jordan: CHF remains overvalued by 7-8%
-- TTN
GVI john 10:50 GMT February 2, 2016
My Monday Trades
Equities >> risk-off
DAX -127
DJ -177
S&P -15.5
Bonds risk-off except JA
DE 0.320% -2.6bp
US 1.916% -2.7bp
UK 1.561% -5.0bp
JA 0.850% +1.8bp
EUR crosses higher across the board >> carry trade unwind?
wti $30.59 -1.03 (Range 31.52-30.31) >> $30 remains a key psychological level
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 10:47 GMT February 2, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Missed chance, because February 2016 will decide the direction for a few months...
Paris ib 10:45 GMT February 2, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Given the current volatility I don't see a lot of value in getting heavily involved in the market. I'm waiting and watching. Often NOT trading is the absolute best strategy. Especially when the market is being gamed. But that's just my opinion.
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 10:37 GMT February 2, 2016
USD sell off PART II
So IB, than you must be full of shorts in usd/jpy and long in e/u etc etc?
Trust you will be filthy rich and sad that i was not the one listened to you.
Paris ib 10:29 GMT February 2, 2016
USD sell off PART II
It's a slow burn but the USD is starting to look under pressure. The BoJ rode to the rescue last week. But that's not a game you can play forever. Funny old world. There is all this official manipulation and game playing going on but the fundamentals will out. The USD is in trouble. It is unclear just how much trouble the rest of the world's paper money is in. Meanwhile over in Australia they have some policy responses ready. Namely: raise taxes. You can't make this stuff up. A bit of a shell game, with a bit of a temporary offset offered as a reward, but essentially more TAX to the Federal Government.... and a phasing out of State Governments is on the cards. Local representation? So last century.
Let's raise the GST and give the extra tax to the Federal Government
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 10:27 GMT February 2, 2016
oily boily ranges (Brent crude oil)
Reply
Hmmm, oily boily slowly on the way out...if it does not stop at 30,50 we will have under 30 again. Possible with a 4 buck range.. Lets make it a two way market all of 2016... Range 25-50. Deal!
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 10:16 GMT February 2, 2016
E/$
Maybe... maybe targeting 10842.
HK [email protected] 10:12 GMT February 2, 2016
E/$
Reply
Euro may be targeting 1.1035 within this week.
GVI john 10:06 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
If the ECB is targeting inflation, they still have a big job ahead.
jkt abel 09:55 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
fwiw pivot 1.4381
'Hong '' 09:51 GMT February 2, 2016
AceTrader Feb 2: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views- EUR/USD
Reply
02 Feb 2016 09:10GMT
EUR/USD - ...... Although euro rose above yesterday's high of 1.0913 (New York) to 1.0919 in Asia, price retreated on renewed cross-selling in euro vs yen and then dipped to 1.0896.
Later, buying interest emerged around 1.0900 level and lifted price 1-tick above following the release of mixed Germany's unemployment reports.
On Tuesday, Germany's Federal Statistics Office said the unemployment rate fell to a seasonally adjusted 6.2% in January from 6.3% a month earlier. Market had expected the jobless rate to hold steady at 6.3% last month.
Meanwhile, data showed that the number of unemployed people decreased by a seasonally adjusted 20,000 last month, better than expectations for a drop of 7,000. Jobless claims fell by 16,000 in December, whose figure was revised from a previously reported decline of 14,000.
At present, bids are noted at 1.0900-1.0890 and more around 1.0870 with stops below 1.0850.
On the upside, offers are reported at 1.0930-40 and then 1.0960-70 with stops above there.
london red 09:47 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
there will be an announcement around 12 noon. it has been telegraphed and doesnt contain anything ground breaking according to draft.
cable making a long tail into hourly close off 38.2 fib 14150/14450. a run abv yest high will set off more stops and short covering. imm pretty short.
UK Chris 09:40 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Watch for headlines
Reports that a possible agreement between the UK and EU may be announced later today, which could pave the way for a referendum in June
GVI john 09:30 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
UK Construction PMI misses
'Mt' 'JP' 09:20 GMT February 2, 2016
RBA Leaves Rates Unchanged As Expected
trading proletariat unite and screw the central bankers - the lot of them
to use them to profitable trades instead
GVI john 09:13 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Hillary Clinton Wins in Iowa. Victory was in a dead heat.
GVI john 09:08 GMT February 2, 2016
RBA Leaves Rates Unchanged As Expected
Dovish statement
"Over the period ahead, new information should allow the Board to judge whether the recent improvement in labour market conditions is continuing and whether the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand. Continued low inflation may provide scope for easier policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand."
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 09:06 GMT February 2, 2016
eur/usd SHORT
Reply
shorty 109167. Maybe will add, maybe not.
GVI john 08:55 GMT February 2, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
German Unemployment January 2016
NEWS ALERT
Rate: 6.20% vs. 6.30% exp. vs. 6.30% prev.
Change: -20K vs. -8K exp. vs. -13K (r -16K) prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
'Mt' 'JP' 05:35 GMT February 2, 2016
My Monday Trades
BRUSSELS — A top European Union official said he would present proposals to EU leaders Tuesday on how to address U.K. demands for changes to its relationship to the bloc, paving the way for potentially turbulent discussions between the British government and its 27 EU partners.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/eu-leaders-to-hear-proposals-on-uk-reforms-tuesday-2016-02-01?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
'dc' 'CB' 03:16 GMT February 2, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS
Trump and Bernie Sanders came in second. Not by much...small beans 1 state down 49 to go.
Cruze Repub 1st place, wife works at Goldman
Hillary Dem 1st place, Goldman paid here $600K for 3 speeches.
'Hong '' 02:33 GMT February 2, 2016
AceTrader Feb 2: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply
02 Feb 2016 02:02GMT
USD/JPY - ...... Although the greenback dropped to session low at 120.67 in NY, weighed down by release of poor U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI, price rebounded to 121.17 in New York afternoon.
However, renewed selling there pressured the pair lower and dlr retreated to 120.82 ahead of Tokyo open and continues to remain under pressure in Tokyo morning as Nikkei-225 trades lower in early trade.
Since there is no major eco. data due today, traders are likely to continue trading based on their reaction to BoJ's surprise negative rate announcement.
Bids are now lowered to 120.70/80 and more below at 120.50/60 with stops building up below there whilst initial offers are noted at 121.40/50, suggesting buying on dips for a resumption of recent uptrend is still favored.
'Mt' 'JP' 02:12 GMT February 2, 2016
Fun with Covers
SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China's central bank will inject 50 billion yuan (5.2 billion pounds)into the money markets through 14-day reverse bond repurchase agreements and an additional 50 billion yuan through 28-day reverse repos on Tuesday, traders said.
PBOC also injected 10 billion yuan into the money markets through 28-day reverse repos on Monday in an off-schedule open market operation.
Maturing reverse repos will drain a net 180 billion yuan from the banking system this week.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC)conducted a net injection of 690 billion yuan into the banking system last week.
China's central bank increased the frequency of open market operations between Jan. 29 and Feb. 19 to help maintain liquidity in the market before and during the Lunar New Year.
(Reporting by the Shanghai Newsroom; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)
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