'dc' 'CB' 22:57 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
The Stock for the Self(ie) Absorbed Generation---Can't Miss!
GoPro Is Doing Even Worse Than Analysts Had Expected
GoPro forecasts revenue below analysts' estimates, names new CFO
GoPro Wipes Out After Giving Horrible Q1 Guidance; Q4 Misses
GoPro misses by a mile: Shares down 10%
Why Oil Will Hit $50 This Year CNBC (oh wait)
Where Are The Customer's Yachts
'Mtl' 'JP' 22:53 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
FED boss GS Hatzius give permission to 3 more hikes little earlier
'dc' 'CB' 22:32 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
Just Uploaded to Vimeo
HD 1080P Video
POV My Money getting eaten by a Bear.
Camera on a Stick. LOL
'GVI 'john 21:02 GMT February 3, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Sounds like a low interest event from Draghi
\'GVI \'john 21:00 GMT February 3, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Reply
Board member:Mario Draghi
Event:President delivering Marjolin Lecture at SUERF conference organised by Deutsche Bundesbank in Frankfurt, Germany.
Time:09:00 CET
Venue:Regional Office of the Deutsche Bundesbank in Hesse, Taunusanlage 5, Frankfurt
london red 20:57 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
euro. back to the 50% fib 09/10. theres a prev high around theses parts but if close abv 50% then they tgt fibs at 11234/56.
cable in no mans abv. some way off 14750 were everyone looking to tp/sell but some way abv prev high 14565 and 14513 fib. the pair should sell off a bit into the mpc as nerves should be calmer by then. question is will the mac pull his 25bps card or does he stick to his guns. given their nature theres a risk the mpc lower growth/inflation tgts, mkt is partially expecting this so if no joy here they will squeeze to pair a bit more.
'dc' 'CB' 20:42 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
thks...looking a puts
'GVI 'john 20:41 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
Draghi speaking @ 03:00 EST in Europe
london red 20:41 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
8am gmt at the bundesbank. marjolin lecture and prize. i dont know if q&a
'dc' 'CB' 20:34 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
Euro
Is Draggi speaking in the morning...in europe?
Israel Dil 20:25 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
February's low will be lower then January's...
'dc' 'CB' 20:08 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
It's a miracle - Dudely speaks, CHNJPY mysteriously spikes higher, , Crude oil soars 8%, and The Dow soars 400 points off its lows. The question is - what now - as Dow runs stops to Monday's cash open...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
also ZH Tweet Oil Meeting story...with added Snark
zerohedge @zerohedge 15m15 minutes ago
6 OPEC/Non-OPEC Producers Agree to Emergency Meeting: Shana: ******the ones who will file bankruptcy first****
Dow Soars 400 Points Off Dudley Lows
'KL' 'KL' 20:08 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
LOL...
Maybe take the story with a "dust of Salt"....
Right... I SAY Cut...but Backdoor I keep Selling because I need to prop up my Regime and I can Sell at the Back door with a higher price...while you Holy Righteous continue to suffer the Cash Flow Constrain..... OPEC is DEAD...their days are numbered and their new export is Terrorism....
Anyway..covering at leisure 1% at a time Eurusd short under 1.1086....
PPT to rescue the DOW and SnP...OPEC PPT rescue WTI crude.....LOL...its a Sunni v Shai Game of Thrones!!...Rant for the day but still with a trade position...that is how its done here....LOL
'GVI 'john 20:01 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
take this story with a grain of salt
'GVI 'john 20:00 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Non-specific report some oil producing countries have agreed to an emergency meeting (Iran, Venezuela, Russia, plus three others) presumably to discuss production. Not a lot of details.
--TTN
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:51 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
200day only 30pips away
I say yes (ie am short)
above 1.1110 ends it
london red 19:46 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
CB dont doubt the usdjpy dip buyers. hourly double tap was in. now just euro 200dma will it wont it.
'Mtl' 'JP' 19:43 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
stox now +ive
'Livingston' 'nh' 19:38 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
ah , but the FEAR trade has exited the Treasurys - now that the secret sauce of 1/4 point hike is OUT - everybody will be doin'it
'dc' 'CB' 19:35 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
the financials need to kick in BANK green but just barely
'dc' 'CB' 19:32 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
USD/JPY damaged goods..the Kuroda Clamp...by old Algo standard shud be near/over 118 by now..
'Livingston' 'nh' 19:32 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
cb - Casey Jones ??
'Prague' 'JIT' 19:28 GMT February 3, 2016
usd
Reply
done for today
KL KL 19:24 GMT February 3, 2016
Short EURUSD
la la la.......taking profits...
50%.... 30 % 19%....leaving 1% for memories at 1.1125 and for signal to Sell more later...LOL
What a morning....covering here 1.11075 chased it up to the top of this move 1.11438.... in increasing power and strength and precision...and anger.....and FEAR....LOL...this is what is called timing it correct after a 250+ pips move...unless its a SNB type Bomb.....which this is not....then I like these moves....slow grind up and up and up....after 250+...its time to go down...
'dc' 'CB' 19:24 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
big cap Dow stocks doing the Safety thing.
2:15 Train Rally....no ugly NEWZ Stock Headlines tonight....U shuda bought da dip.....lol
Vancouver GA 19:22 GMT February 3, 2016
GBP confirmed!
Reply
What happened to GBP "zig zag" pattern??
Pasig evan 19:17 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
2nd resistance was the reaction high crossing at 1.4646 Tues morning but now is the 38% retracement level of the Aug-Jan-decline crossing at 1.4720.
'Livingston' 'nh' 19:12 GMT February 3, 2016
STOX
Reply
there is only 150 stock difference in the A/D and volume favors negative by a smaller percentage than the price action would support -- this can turn quickly // SPX and Dow industrials have a big disconnect so far
Paris ib 19:10 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
The narrative has encouraged USD longs versus the Euro and the JPY. And that narrative is wrong.
'Sydney' 'ACC' 19:07 GMT February 3, 2016
EUR/CHF
Reply
CHF has weakened against EUR every day for the last ten days and 17 out of the last 20 days.
HK RF@ 19:06 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Seems like the main straw was the ADP CONTRACTION, without any relation to it's absolute number.
'GVI 'john 19:03 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
The crowded trade has been short EURUSD. TheISM Service PMI appears to have been the last straw and the final hope for EURUSD shorts.
Paris ib 19:03 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
John you have speculative trading and you have international capital flows. The potential for an 'exit' from the USD from those holding USD assets is simply enormous. How enormous? Well potentially you have 6 trillion USD worth looking to exit through that tiny little door. AND then you have the speculators which might just starting getting their move on. This is quite a serious situation and what does the FED have? Nothing. And what does the U.S. have, thanks to its absolutely demented foreign policy? A whole bunch of enemies out there. All round it's not a good look. Foreign debt is never a great idea. And foreign debt to finance a military empire and a geo political strategy of world domination is... well, insane. The sooner it is over the better.
Foreign Holders of U.S. Treasuries
'Livingston' 'nh' 19:02 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Amazing every central banker in the world has been trying to get a weaker currency and who knew that if you hiked 1/4 point you could have it all!!
'dc' 'CB' 19:00 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Two of Goldman's Top Trades for 2016
Long USD/JPY,
Short EUR/USD
'GVI 'john 18:58 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
EURUSD Bids here are not from people looking to establish new longs. This is short covering.
Paris ib 18:57 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
But make no mistake this is a USD sell off. And there are no limits.
Paris ib 18:56 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Jay - yes it is. And the positions out there are huge.
Big things afoot.
Wait for the next Lehman announcement.
Paris ib 18:55 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
For which market?
For geo politics?
Good news: less wars.
However the deviants are just that and might just pull out the stops and really go for some last attempt to blow up the world in toto.
First things first: unless you spend USDs you do NOT want to hold USD denominated bonds. The U.S. Government funding programme is in big trouble. Commodities may have bottomed at least in USD terms. I like the Rouble quite frankly.
'dc' 'CB' 18:53 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
john
so that's when they lash out like a cornered animal?
If the SnP 2:15 Train is a SELL Express today...116.XX will be seen
Paris ib 18:52 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Exit the USD asap.
That little window of opportunity before panic emerges is closing fast.
And stop up your ears to 'the narrative'.
'Livingston' 'nh' 18:52 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
ib - perhaps you could explain the implications for a USD in trouble?
Paris ib 18:47 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Today -so far - the USD has lost:
1.85 percent against the Euro
2.26 percent against the JPY
1.90 percent against the AUD
This currency is in trouble.
This is NOT short covering in AUD, JPY, Euro etc., this is selling.
Deal with the reality. NOT the narrative.
KL KL 18:47 GMT February 3, 2016
Short EURUSD
Dooomshhh
WOW...woke up Eurusd 1.1120....no need to think Short Relentless and Super Relentless here.......think and ponder later......Firing 2nd Armada to Collect more short here....This is Madness this Pop....then again one has to remember this was the season of SNB Pop......
DYOR...DFm...DLTM...imvho
'GVI 'john 18:44 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
fwiw 115.95 is the recent low in USDJPY. 118.80 was the close on the day before the BOJ announcement. You have to figure that 116.00 or so is the BOJ's point of pain?
\'GVI \'john 18:32 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday\'s Trades
Not much going on in oil or stox. This looks like a EURUSD short squaring up?
london red 18:27 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
stop over those chestnut 11/24 should do it. aim to pick up 11050/60 maybe 10950/80 should surely see some buying.
'dc' 'CB' 18:21 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
they just put a big clamp on one leg of the Algo "rally" conglomerate
london red 18:18 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
50% of 117/105 at 11109 have been pierced but price quickly fell off. failure to close abv here should see a dwnside stop run/pullback
'Mtl' 'JP' 18:17 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
BOJ reckons .. why dont they just pass laws like the chinese commies ?
GVI Jay 18:15 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Superb call...
My Wednesday's Trades
GOT PK 16:11 GMT 02/03/2016 - My Profile
61.8 from 1.1495 at 1.1117. seems also to be a natural target area for the outbreak from the triangle.
'dc' 'CB' 18:09 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
TOKYO -- The Bank of Japan will limit the scope of its newly introduced negative interest rate to a small portion of financial institutions' current-account deposits -- between 10 trillion yen and 30 trillion yen ($84.5 billion to $253 billion), The Nikkei has learned.
The amount will represent no more than a tenth or so of the total. The BOJ reckons that even a narrow application of its new monetary easing tool will spur banks to lend and invest.
Bank shares plunged after the policy change was introduced last week. The BOJ is trying to give the stock market a sense of the size of the impact on financial industry earnings.
Bank of Japan Negative interest rate's scope seen capped at 30tn yen
Paris ib 17:07 GMT February 3, 2016
Real Assets the Place to Be
Well the parasitic government is lurking... aiming to take a slice where ever it can.... that also is part of the furniture.
'Mtl' 'JP' 17:06 GMT February 3, 2016
Real Assets the Place to Be
only debt-free assets and un-exposed to higher nominal taxation than cashflow
beware of asset-rich & cash poor
Paris ib 17:00 GMT February 3, 2016
Real Assets the Place to Be
Honestly Dil I am through worrying about the deviants or what they might do or what they want. Mostly I think they are genetically challenged sad sacks and they won't be missed. End of an era and I think pretty much the end of the road for them. Seriously.
'Israel' 'Dil' 16:57 GMT February 3, 2016
Real Assets the Place to Be
ib
the mainstream among the powerful says they need less members of humanity to maintain and increase their power. wars, religion wars, diseases, mind police, etc etc are very near.
they will go forever it takes to avoid civil unrest directed at them.
Paris ib 16:49 GMT February 3, 2016
Real Assets the Place to Be
Reply
In the era of confusion - and negative interest rates - real assets will come into their own. Inflation? Sure, even if it's not officially recorded, will show up in the price of real assets.
Israel Dil 16:38 GMT February 3, 2016
developing story: GAZPROM
Reply
Putin must do something to let more cash flow into this company, kind of moment of truth is now
'Livingston' 'nh' 16:26 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
cb thanx
'GVI 'john 16:19 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
S&P Low 1813.00 on on Aug 24
'Mtl' 'JP' 16:17 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
who has last yr's SnPs low handy
tia
london red 16:16 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
for today they should be done with major pairs. they will sup for a while and draw in stops of those taken in near the highs. but plenty of spec accts likely to be waiting to join trend tomorrow.
GOT PK 16:11 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
61.8 from 1.1495 at 1.1117. seems also to be a natural target area for the outbreak from the triangle.
'dc' 'CB' 16:07 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
nh
put this Index in you market summary live quite list...with the A/D Hi Lo etc, as direction clue
BANK or $BANK depending on your platform
HK RF@ 16:01 GMT February 3, 2016
Gold has a major Res. at 1139, but targets higher.
Reply
Closed Pos. at 1137, no need to mention now my entry point(as I didn't mention B4)
Still targeting 1142, and maybe even 1150.
Chinese new year 3 days holiday, and maybe the H.K panthers will begin dumping positions...so be out ahead..maybe for some good Ret.
If no than than no!
'dc' 'CB' 15:57 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
it's a rat by the name of Algo...Indes futures, Treas Futures, USD/JPY, VIX, VXX are all running in lock step
london red 15:56 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
oil. i expect shorts are being covered to reduce leverage (losses elsewhere)
'Livingston' 'nh' 15:55 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
It's the Weds game -- stats show build above expectations - shorts out on first move down // nothing's changed
london red 15:55 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
euro. hourly close abv 200dma is coming up short but should see see sup at top of prev range 10950-80.
cable has run the stops but not able to sustain itself abv the prev high 14565. its likely to see weakness into boe after which they may buy the dip again (maybe 14409-14352)
'GVI 'john 15:53 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
wti prices spiking higher. I smell a rat. something's afoot, like maybe some sort of OPEC agreement.
'GVI 'john 15:51 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
german 2-yr note yield hit a new low of -0.495%
'dc' 'CB' 15:50 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
tons O Money being thrown at this to put in a 10:30 bottom.
Yen + 60
Cl new hi for the day....stops all run
Index Futures---that upside down Hockey Stick is a lot of gravity to overcome
'GVI 'john 15:44 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
dc- good observation. I wonder if some major producers are in there painting the tape?
'dc' 'CB' 15:41 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
major effort to hold 30 in WTI
kl fs 15:39 GMT February 3, 2016
sell usd
Reply
said here already, sell usdjpy as long as below 122.50 and euro was a buy at low 1.09 for 1.10 area
dont understand why some kept on buying usd when the the charts were already giving many signals to sell usd
btw i thought someone says euro to below parity in Q1 hmmmm.. :)
london red 15:33 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
euro. thats stops over 200dma done. if they get an hourly close abv here its here to stay and c 112 is what they will be looking at before a break. meantime a trendline at 11087/97
'GVI 'john 15:32 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Much larger than expected builds in crude and Gasoline inventories
bearish crude which should be bearish stox
Paris ib 15:28 GMT February 3, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Looks like the market is just going to go for it at this point. No bounce. NFP can't really save this baby. FED credibility is shot anyhow. USD/JPY as usual remains the canary in the coal mine and stocks are toast.
london red 15:28 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
dax is close to 9300 line in sand. a close below opens 8500 but i doubt they will wait for the close as their nerves will already be frayed.
Cape May jb 15:27 GMT February 3, 2016
Question
NIRP= negative Interest Rate Policy
thank you!
'dc' 'CB' 15:26 GMT February 3, 2016
Question
Negative Interest Rate
NIRP - when it becomes a Policy
'Mtl' 'JP' 15:25 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
is Draghi on the yak circuit today or only tom ?
'Livingston' 'nh' 15:24 GMT February 3, 2016
Question
NIRP is the new ZIRP
Cape May jb 15:20 GMT February 3, 2016
Question
Reply
What is "NIR"? tia
'dc' 'CB' 15:14 GMT February 3, 2016
EURO a harbinger to a market drop.
the real reason for wanting NIR and Cashlessness in Germany.
looks like a failed BioTech....Angela!!!! pass some laws to help us
'Livingston' 'nh' 15:14 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Services PMI Misses
ISM services suggests Labor in short supply and UP in price -- note the businesses expanding "Finance & Insurance; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Retail Trade; Management of Companies & Support Services; Utilities; Public Administration; Construction; and Health Care & Social Assistance"
Real estate, rental and construction - rising interest rates move fence sitters
Health care -- that's where all the energy savings goes
Anyway these groups influence PCE more than CPI
'GVI 'john 15:06 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
My "question" was rhetorical.
London Chris 15:05 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Hey John I assume everything gets leaked.
HK RF@ 15:04 GMT February 3, 2016
Purk!!! Copy, paste, print, and stick it on your forehead.
Reply
Purk; Better learn how to read a chart!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
E/$
'Hillegom' 'Purk' 10:16 GMT 02/02/2016 - My Profile
Maybe... maybe targeting 10842.
Reply
E/$
HK RF@ 10:12 GMT 02/02/2016
Euro may be targeting 1.1035 within this week.
'GVI 'john 15:00 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Have to wonder If the ISM got leaked?
Pasig evan 15:00 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
Would buy lower, way below 118.50
london red 14:55 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
110 not yet seen. i dont know if there is a barrier. its poss but i havent heard as such. on a strong finish to the hour and they will get 110. there should be option related selling abv 110 ahead of the 11050 as there are many yards of options expiring at 110 over the next couple of weeks.
yen has sup 80/84 and 30/35.
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:50 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
red u do know how add spice to trading !
on my toy 110 did not print yet
'Brisbane' 'Flip' 14:48 GMT February 3, 2016
Dudley DoRight Take 2
To me, when I hear Dudley confess he thinks the Fed is so far behind the curve they may have raised into oncoming instability might be short squeeze on the day but macro sell into (equities wise). US tens 1.80 (after many predicted 2.80%) is a vote for de risk.
'GVI 'john 14:46 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Markit flash PMI revised lower. ISM Service PMI next due at the top of the Hour and more closely watched.
'Brisbane' 'Flip' 14:44 GMT February 3, 2016
Dudley DoRight Take 2
JP once upon a time the idea that the economy was that fragile FOMC mulling over "one and done" would have been a cringeworthy sell signal but since most have only worked in Greenspan/Bernanke/Yellen TBTF environment buying on central bank largesse is default positon. Dudley has said this same thing endlessly forever.
'dc' 'CB' 14:40 GMT February 3, 2016
Dudley DoRight Take 2
gender...more like pedigree
Pres of the NYFRB---the Trading Arm of the FED
GOLDMAN. The "call": Don't endager our Candy-Date...we paid her $600,000 to run her mouth, and invested 10x that.....
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:36 GMT February 3, 2016
Dudley DoRight Take 2
well ... players appear to give more credence to Dudley than to George
dont think it is a gender thing
'Brisbane' 'Flip' 14:35 GMT February 3, 2016
Dudley DoRight Take 2
Yeah Dudley confirms that the biggest factor guiding Fed policy is the level of S+P. USD hasn't moved in 12 months. Energy is cheap as it has been for cycles and jobs has been hitting beyond targets for years.
One phone call from his Wall St constituency and the FOMC goes to water.
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:27 GMT February 3, 2016
USDCAD
Jay 14:20 hope this your unluky pair for you not costing u the 200 pips puke
GVI Jay 14:20 GMT February 3, 2016
USDCAD
Reply
1.3829 = 2015 closing rate
Low so far 1.3837
london red 14:20 GMT February 3, 2016
SL known after 24 hours
speaking of lagging indicators, note well that the adp is composed using lagging data, the nfp is more current.
cable squeezing towards the prev low at 14565 where bears should gain some strength. but if they cannot gain their composure there there will be a stop run before players set up for super thursday.
Amman wfakhoury 14:16 GMT February 3, 2016
SL known after 24 hours
regardless the equity ..all orders should not exceed 10% of the equity..after 24 hours necessary action will be taken ..having in mind we know how much price will move.
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:16 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
red got a hint of quality of those defenders ? tia
'Livingston' 'nh' 14:16 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
JP - eur/cad chart similar to USD
london red 14:14 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
last months high is 10985 with offers at 80 defending that
Pasig evan 14:12 GMT February 3, 2016
SL known after 24 hours
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
But does your system take into account with how much equity your client in trading? What if it needs multiple of 10 positions before he could recover?
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:10 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
euro 1.0980ish = multiple ytd high
being tested
'Mtl' 'JP' 14:09 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
'dc' 'CB' - in the brave digi-world can they not just type in a value regardless of what the underlying input aggregates add up to - in the ultimate "I say so basta" game ?
'dc' 'CB' 14:04 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
that being said...in the MarkIT, the tell that it's falling apart is the 10Y Sub 2%......it's even worse with the 10 below 1.9.
That says the Market is saying the FMOC made a Big Mistake and they don't know what they are doing.
Though I don't think the MarkIT can fix that, with more words. Just like Kuroda can't lower the Yen with just words.
Livingston nh 13:59 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Over the next few months keep in mind that the stats of the day will be influenced by comparisons w/ last year -- Q4 14 and Q1 15 were very weak (except Q4 14 NFP) -- A service based economy w/20% of it based on "health care"
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:58 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
nh 13:38 - more protection against euro pop uP little for euro puke down
micro short-term I ll sell the next 5min bar closing under 1.0950
'dc' 'CB' 13:57 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:44
if the Fed Mouths lose control and the market tanks between now and the NH Primary...Bernie will steam roll Hillary. Then Yellen will really be in the Hot Seat for 3 hours on that Wed and a replay of another 3 on Thurs.
With that thinging in mind the Jobs Report on Fri better be Good to Better near Best. Very Weak will give fuel to the idea that Oblama's recovery is a lie...Hillary has ThrownIn with speaches touting O's Good Job and making the Recov happen, running to continue the work that O has done for the last 8 years.
Big Political RisK riding on the NFP #
Amman wfakhoury 13:53 GMT February 3, 2016
GBPUSD ready for big move
100 pips move 14420-14520
any rise above this add sell tp 14520
'dc' 'CB' 13:51 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
DUDLEY SAYS IN MNI INTERVIEW MARKET TURMOIL MAY ALTER OUTLOOK
who cudda seen that coming?
New Hampshire Primary Feb 9. Yellen Humphrey Hawkins Feb 10 and 11. a wide margin win by Bernie Sander in NH may embolden Yellen's interrrrrrorrrgators to as dicey questions about the FED's apparent failures.
Amman wfakhoury 13:49 GMT February 3, 2016
SL known after 24 hours
I have good system , good strategy , good risk managment
HK RF@ 13:47 GMT February 3, 2016
SL known after 24 hours
Ahhhh!!! You are trading billions in your account!
What an honor to have you here!
Amman wfakhoury 13:44 GMT February 3, 2016
SL known after 24 hours
You are right ..if the trader is stupid like you and has very little equity
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:44 GMT February 3, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
GVI 'john 20:51 GMT February 2, 2016 - I don't see what the public musings of the individual Fed members accomplishes.
-
john they are convinced you need their guidance on how to tie your FX trading shoelaces and hold your hand while you do it , like it or not.
See.... Dudley did it again earlier this morn - they wont let go
Amman wfakhoury 13:39 GMT February 3, 2016
GBPUSD ready for big move
Mtl' 'JP' 12:48 GMT 02/03/2016 - My Profile
never mind tp - what is the sl
______________________________________
SL known after 24 hours
Livingston nh 13:38 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
So Fischer and Dudley are whining but they are way out of step with others on Fed -- watch the credit spreads not just Treasurys
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:36 GMT February 3, 2016
Bill Gross Asks world CBankers
Reply
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-03/gross-asks-world-s-central-bankers-how-s-it-workin-for-ya
`How's It Workin' for Ya?'
'dc' 'CB' 13:36 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
USD line in the sand at 100 is pretty clear.
Lower USD = Higher Crude. Fear here is taking out $25/bbl
will be an interesting EIA report as Lg Forces at work to sustain price...Algo's no doubt set to MAX PAIN Stop Run.
interesting that Nat Gas is toying with $2.00 level in the middle of Feb...that sez a lot about the state of the energy mkt...was near $2.50 with the Winter premium not that long ago. many New Widows this month.
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:28 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
dovish Dudley yak kicking usd down like a sick dog
'dc' 'CB' 13:27 GMT February 3, 2016
Today's Headlines(Rumors) The Daily Bull Sheet
key backdrops:
***16x and $120 create a firm ceiling at ~1950 and thus moves toward that level should be faded;
*** the biggest risks for the tape right now are misplaced hopes around crude (a �grand bargain� production deal isn�t imminent) and central banks (incremental easing actions going forward won�t be nearly as positive for stocks as ones in the past and actually could be counterproductive if they weigh meaningfully on banks).
The big ones to watch:
1) US jobs for Jan Fri 2/5;
2) Yellen testimony before the House on Feb 10 and Senate Feb 11;
3) EU Leaders Summit 2/18-19 (deal on retaining the UK in the EU is expected at this event)
JPM: "The Backdrop Remains The Same: Sell Rallies Toward 1950"
'Mtl' 'JP' 13:20 GMT February 3, 2016
Will Chinese kommies loose / can they ?
Reply
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-03/yuan-gap-widens-again-as-depreciation-bets-swamp-pboc-fightback
Analyst predicts intense battle between bears and central bank
Those who see hard landing just being jealous: People's Daily
The gap between the Chinese yuan�s exchange rates at home and abroad expanded to the biggest in three weeks, a sign that international traders are reviving bets against the currency after getting burned by the central bank earlier this year.
--
The commies are fighting the likes of Mr Soros, Bass and Company
all important ego and face to the commies vs profits to the hedgers
HK RF@ 13:18 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
The number is a bit better than expected, but contraction kicked in.
'GVI 'john 13:16 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
ADP a bit higher than forecast, but generally in line.
.
Vancouver GA 13:10 GMT February 3, 2016
Today's Headlines(Rumors) The Daily Bull Sheet
One important factor was Iran coming back to oil market. It is not just the current Iranian production, it is also what was piled up for years in their storage tanks. They are desperate for cash.
'dc' 'CB' 13:07 GMT February 3, 2016
OIL
OPEC meeting with Russia is the NEW "Fed Governor SEZ there will be XX inceases this year" ......Next Fed Gov SEZ rate increases on the the back burner...Next Fed Gov SEZ we'll do whatever it takes...
Livingston nh 13:06 GMT February 3, 2016
Today's Headlines(Rumors) The Daily Bull Sheet
The problem for oil is the thing that has changed -- oil now has a "cap" on price - nobody knows where that is but it's there -- marginal producers w/ infrastructure in place (low barrier to entry) // "Peak oil" was the theory that saw demand outstrip supply at every price point -- think of oil as SALT
HK RF@ 13:01 GMT February 3, 2016
OIL
Reply
Currently trades at a critical support, which if broken, increases the chances for 20$.
dc CB 12:58 GMT February 3, 2016
Today's Headlines(Rumors) The Daily Bull Sheet
Reply
Brought to you by Reuteres, Bloomberg,,CNBC, all the usual suspects, basically boil down to OIL HAS MADE A BOTTOM.
"$30 oil �a good time to get in�
"Oil near bottom; correction has gone way, way beyond� expectations"
Oil Prices Could Jump 50% by the End of 2016 ..BBG
(let's try this one again and see if it works)
Oil gains after Russia says open to talking with OPEC...Reuters
OOOOPS: that one didn't last long.
RUSSIA SAYS MEETING W/ OPEC SOON SEEN AS UNLIKELY: INTERFAX.
'dc' 'CB' 12:43 GMT February 3, 2016
N.I.R. is something abnormal; Expect abnormal things to happen.
and the big buggaboo about "Low Interest Rates" has been German Style Weimar Hyper Inflation...with pictures of Germans with wheel barrels full of "cash"....LOL
well 'da German's got a solution for That Image...but the same result ====Your Money is WORTH-LESS
'dc' 'CB' 12:38 GMT February 3, 2016
N.I.R. is something abnormal; Expect abnormal things to happen.
'dc' 'CB' 19:59 GMT February 2, 2016
for NIR to be successful, it is necessary to eliminate CASH from the equation.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
It's Comin' on Fast.
In a cashless society with a government-managed digital currency there is no effective lower bound. If the economy isn�t doing what a bunch of bureaucrats want it to do, they can simply make interest rates deeply negative, forcing would-be savers to become consumers by making them choose between spending or watching as the bank simply confiscates their money in the name of NIRP. (ZH)
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
(Tues)Handelsblatt reported (in a piece called "The Death of Cash) that the Social Democrats - the junior partner in Angela Merkel�s coalition government - have proposed a �5,000 limit on cash transactions and the elimination of the �500 note.
�Limits on cash transactions would discourage foreign criminals from coming here to launder money,� says a paper penned by the Social Democrats. �If sums over �5,000 have to pass through traceable bank transactions, laundering would be severely hampered, it adds.�
On Wednesday, we got confirmation of the plan from Deputy Finance Minister Michael Meister who told reporters that Germany is proposing a euroarea ban on cash transactions over �5,000 to combat terrorism financing and money laundering.
�Since money laundering and terrorism financing are cross-border threats,� it makes sense to adopt a bloc-wide �solution�, but �if a European solution isn�t possible, Germany will move ahead on its own,� he added
Germany Unveils "Cash Controls" Push: Ban Transactions Over �5,000, �500 Euro Note
'GVI 'john 12:10 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
ADP in about an hour could set the tone into Friday, Markets expect a major correction in NFP on Friday. The big surprise today would be strong ADP and NFP outcomes.
'GVI 'john 12:07 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Equities turning higher from early weakness. Oil up as well. EURUSD down as negative correlation kicks in.
Amman wfakhoury 11:07 GMT February 3, 2016
GBPUSD ready for big move
so we are in SELL now @ 14470 will add SELL around 14510
Amman wfakhoury 10:32 GMT February 3, 2016
GBPUSD ready for big move
14470 reached
So we can sell now using 14470-14420 zig zag pattern
'GVI 'john 10:24 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Equities Risk-Off in Europe. U.S. futures flat
DAX -130
DJ -11
SP +1
10-yr Risk-Off bias
US 1.858% -0.5bp
DE 0.298% -0.6bp
GB 1.525% -0.7bp
JA 0.069% -1.5bp
EUR mostly weaker on its crosses, Steady vs. USD
wti $30.30 +0.43 (30.61- 29.41 Range) above psychological $30 line EIA crude due today. Also watch gasoline inventories ADP payrolls could set market bias into NFP Friday.
'GVI 'john 10:05 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
EZ December Retail Sales beat estimates after revisions.
london red 10:05 GMT February 3, 2016
GBPUSD ready for big move
keep in mind boe super thursday tomorrow and some will speculate on a further erosion from rate hikes from the mpc. so levels abv 145 at the lvls suggested offer a good play into that event.
GVI john 10:00 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Eurozone Retail Sales December 2015
ALERT
mm: +0.30% vs +0.30% exp. vs. -0.30% (r 0.0%) prev.
yy: +1.40% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.40% (r 1.60%) prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
london red 09:36 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
servs pmi around 55 isnt so hot for uk rates given growth skewed 75% to servs but its not data but peoples positioning and expectations that drives direction. cable was down pretty much everyday mid dec thru to mid jan. brexit hedging was taking place and a large short position was bulit up. thats why they bought the dips the past week or so.
'GVI 'john 09:34 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
shawn. I don't think so. Hard to trade GBP on data.
kl shawn 09:32 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
ok so data is supportive for 100 pips upmove?
'Mtl' 'JP' 09:23 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.4430/50 Target: south Stop: tight
ahead of UK PMI
london red 09:19 GMT February 3, 2016
GBPUSD ready for big move
14508/13/24 should cap any initial upside then prev low 14564 is initial res. some look for 14750 after that. i was expecting 147-151 then no higher than 154 and down, but what US do with rates will have a say in that.
'Mtl' 'JP' 09:17 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
usdcad slapped down = something is uP about crude
london red 09:13 GMT February 3, 2016
GBPUSD ready for big move
cable. watch the reaction to soft data. they are likely to buy dip as mkt is short to tune of a good few yards going by imm alone and better news from eu talks will have them scrambling to cover.
london red 08:39 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
in theory cable idea sound as failed ahead of yest high so pts to 14352 test where bears would need hourly close below. but they are waiting for servs pmi, the sector of which is the biggest component of uk gdp.
jkt abel 08:35 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
u r welcome JP, 12030-40 c u there
'Mtl' 'JP' 08:30 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Spain Markit services PMI Jan 54.6 vs 54.3 exp
european stox opening down
-
short euro 35 sl 1.0875 tp
Paris ib 08:23 GMT February 3, 2016
"Australia is especially vulnerable"
Reply
Australia is a country which swallowed the comparative advantage bunk and basically kept its economy as a one-trick pony. The result? Well great during a commodity boom but not so great when commodity prices tumble. Data just released shows a trade deficit which is the highest on record for 2015:
"The nation's trade position has steadily deteriorated amid the slump of iron ore, its biggest export product. The $32.7 billion trade deficit in 2015 is a new record, according to data going back to 1971."
But not to worry the Federal Government is also attempting to crash the property market (make housing more affordable... ho, ho) and raise indirect taxes so that the Federal Government can allot itself more money for... oh, whatever. Fiscal tightening is on the cards. AUD is not done yet. But it is more interesting on the crosses than on the straight because the outlook for the USD is not exactly all roses and sunshine.
Aussie Trade Deficit
jkt abel 08:20 GMT February 3, 2016
euro
Reply
euro would be defensive IMHO
euraud is providing the weight
'Mtl' 'JP' 08:07 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.4405 Target: 1.432 Stop: 1.4445+
y/n
tia
london red 08:03 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
futures are pricing in a mild cut this year before any hike in 2017. the cut may not come but hikes are a long way off. cable has been rerated due to some better news on the brexit front, slightly better data and essentially it had met a lot of folks initial tgt on the downside and was oversold.
'Mtl' 'JP' 07:55 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
UK - NEISR :
maintains its 2016 economic growth estimate at 2.3 percent
first interest rate hike only after the U.K. referendum
london red 07:55 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
120.03 was a fib sup so must recover or tests 119.63 fib again.
'Mtl' 'JP' 07:49 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
119.95 - thks abel
-
twin numbnuts Abe : gvt and BOJ will continue to work as one to hit 2% inflation and defeat deflation
--
these two just keep on giving... lol
perth wtr 04:33 GMT February 3, 2016
sell usd
Reply
looks like euro is ready to go to 1.1080-1.11
buy 1.09-1.0920 with stop below 1.0869
'Hong '' 04:12 GMT February 3, 2016
AceTrader Feb 3: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views- EUR/USD
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
03 Feb 2016 02:48GMT
EUR/USD - .... The single currency traded with a firm bias in Asia yesterday and gained in Europe, hitting session high at 1.0940 in New York morning, later, euro pared its gains and retreated sharply to 1.0892.
However, renewed buying there checked losses and price rebounded to 1.0936 in Asian morning today, helped by cross-buying in eur/gbp.
EU will release a slew of services PMIs but pay particular attention to Germany's n EZ's. Street forecasts are for them to remain unchanged at 55.4 and 53.6 respectively.
Bids are now seen at 1.0900/10 and more below at 1.0880/90 with stops building up below there whilst initial offers are noted at 1.0960/70, suggesting choppy trading with mild upside bias would be seen.
jkt abel 03:36 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
careful, numbnuts have a date with daily pivot at least
i think this is still a battle around 120
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:31 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
now according to numbnuts markets somewhat overreacting to fears of China's slowdown
kl fs 03:27 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
JP, i think it is a done deal
nothing numbnuts false god can do
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:24 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
maybe usdyen sees 20day 118.31
maybe not
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:21 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
numbnuts has got a 2nd appearance in about 3hrs
'dc' 'CB' 03:19 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
the USD/JPY has retraced over 62% of the Kuroda Pop.
It's like those good ole Intervention Days...But these days they think they can just use Words and the Idiot Market will panic and supply the capital to make the move.
'Mtl' 'JP' 03:16 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
no, chart points techs
kl fs 03:14 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
first time it created magic, not so lucky second time, third time Kuroda will be sacked
JP, you based your usdjpy trade on hope from the false god?
'Mtl' 'JP' 02:50 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
numbnuts saying that he can push interest rates below 0.1% if needed
I guess .... there is no one physicaly there to stop him
just did not say how far below
'Mtl' 'JP' 02:43 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
what a bozo
just give everyone a million yen instead of bloviate and embarrass self in public :
inflation trend is improving steadily
Japan's economy has continued to recover moderately - haha
will do whatever it takes to hit 2% inflation - why dont you gagg
Will pursue innovation in monetary policy means - lets go
---
doesapparently this Japanese turkey has no self respect in his old days
'Mtl' 'JP' 02:34 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
link to numbnuts yak
http://www.boj.or.jp/en/announcements/press/koen_2016/data/ko160203a1.pdf
'Mtl' 'JP' 02:32 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Kuroda: Negative rate policy doesn't show we've reached JGB buying limit
HK RF@ 01:58 GMT February 3, 2016
SELL USDJPY
Shanghai Stox, do not buy the good news, nor the negative interest rates, nor the big Yuan money injection.
It is all baloony. Good news are not that good.
'Hong '' 01:57 GMT February 3, 2016
AceTrader Feb 3: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply
03 Feb 2016 01:20GMT
USD/JPY - ..... The greenback met renewed selling at 120.86 in Europe yesterday and tumbled to 119.84 near New York closing on risk-averse buying of yen due to the drop in oil prices n selloff in U.S. stocks.
Dlr has continued to remain under pressure and dropped further to 119.49 in Tokyo morning due to the selloff in Nikkei-225 index (currently down).
Just earlier BOJ released its minutes, Reuters reported Bank of Japan policymakers debated the feasibility of adopting supplementary steps for their massive stimulus programme, though they agreed that the broad price trend was improving steadily, minutes of their December rate review showed on Wednesday.
"The members agreed that there was no need to adjust monetary policy now as underlying trend inflation was improving steadily," according to the minutes of the Dec. 17-18 meeting.
A few of them said that fine-tuning the BOJ's "quantitative and qualitative easing" (QQE) would allow the central bank to swiftly ease if needed, the minutes showed.
At the December meeting, the BOJ adopted several steps to fine-tune QQE such as extending the average duration of government bonds it purchases. At a subsequent meeting in January, the BOJ stunned markets by deploying negative interest rates while maintaining QQE.
dc CB 01:49 GMT February 3, 2016
SELL USDJPY
China "good newz" headlline
Caixin China Jan. Services PMI 52.4 vs 50.2 in Dec, highest reading since July 2015
kl fs 01:42 GMT February 3, 2016
SELL USDJPY
Reply
sell all pops as long as below 122.5
forget about kuroda the false god
'Mtl' 'JP' 01:18 GMT February 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
fresh more meddling in markets news out of China:
- lower the minimum downpayment requirement for first-time home buyers (luring new pigeons into unsold units)
- stepped up administrative measures to control capital outflows
- SAFE has capped purchases of insurance products overseas with UnionPay debit and credit cards at USD 5,000 per transaction
- lowered USD/CNY fixing to 6.5510 yesterday from 6.5539 on Monday
---
I like the key idea whether their capital control efforts succeed in the end? ironically... if it's even 60-70% successful, then all the property bubbles around the world will pop hard.
similar effects of rude crashing on various govy budgets and bank loans
Tallinn viies 01:09 GMT February 3, 2016
eurusd
Reply
this was a view from journalist. often more valuable to read than most
'Mtl' 'JP' 01:02 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday's Trades
Sell OTHER
Entry: 7.79922 Target: 7.75 Stop: ?
mine is not an idea but a Q:
what is the next trade off this chart ?
tia
GVI Forex 00:53 GMT February 3, 2016
My Wednesday\'s Trades
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