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Forex Forum Archive for 02/08/2016

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Tallinn viies 23:08 GMT February 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
closed long euro position at 1.1200. plan to buy again at 1,1170.

barclay.s downgraded today their call on fed. now they say fed hikes 2 times during this year - in june and december.
very strange that markets doesnt see any hike this year. seems a bit overstreched to one side...

http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

GVI john 21:33 GMT February 8, 2016
My Tuesday Trades
Reply   



WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

9-Feb Tuesday
CN- Holiday
GB- 09:30 UK- Trade
10-Feb Wednesday
CN- Holiday
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
11-Feb Thursday
CN- Holiday
JA- Holiday
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Yellen Testifies
12-Feb Friday
CN- Holiday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim)

GVI john 21:28 GMT February 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 9 February 2016

 

February 8, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, February 9, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: CN- Holiday
  • Europe: DE- Industrial Output, Trade, UK- Trade
  • North America: US- JOLTS Survey, Business Inventories, API Crude

GVI Data Calendar for 9 February 2016

london red 20:47 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

s&p. opening gap to fill to 1870?

london red 20:46 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

yen. teacup formation if they can get thru 115.85 can take to 11630. if they can get todays rollover at 11585 would scare weak shorts and stops likely abv 116 which can run to 11630 before offers appear.

GVI Forex Blog 20:38 GMT February 8, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Belgrade TD 20:35 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

no fear of China, so sale at open and buy back at close ... name of the game ... hmmm

london red 20:19 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

yen. daily close below 11585 will be imp. they are running out of time to save.

london red 20:17 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

trying to avoid the close below 1844

'Livingston' 'nh' 19:55 GMT February 8, 2016
Yellen Testimony Critical

Watch what they do, not what they say

'Mtl' 'JP' 19:46 GMT February 8, 2016
Yellen Testimony Critical

GREG ROBB SENIOR ECONOMICS REPORTER:
Yellen may tell Congress her goal is not to slow the economy

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/yellen-may-tell-congress-her-goal-is-not-to-slow-the-economy-2016-02-08?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
-
Apparently Yellen will have her aspirin handy
aspirin is a blood thinner but not as potent as nitro-g

'Mtl' 'JP' 19:35 GMT February 8, 2016
Waiting for Godot

sub 3% pffffttt
not Babson Break yet
Nazdog does not count

'Belgrade' 'TD' 19:32 GMT February 8, 2016
Waiting for Godot

Dow 15,828 -377 2.33%
Nasdaq 4,219 -144 3.30%
S&P 500 1,832 -48 2.56%

with the intention to continue to decline ...

HK [email protected] 19:22 GMT February 8, 2016
Saving the chaotic situation can be made only by adjusting interest rates back to ZERO.
Reply   


Will not be surprised, to hear something about it soon.
Will bankers lose face after all?

london red 19:18 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

bit of divergence s&p/yen. stox made lower low, usdjpy avoided for now. if stox under 1830 yen should catch up.

HK [email protected] 19:18 GMT February 8, 2016
Negative interest=stox crash=buy gold=crash gold later=worse deflation
Reply   


This is how NIP, will cause severe deflation, rather than inflation.

HK [email protected] 19:10 GMT February 8, 2016
Gold rush is not justifies economically, BUT...



Most of the world trading gold is in the hands of bankers.

PAR 19:09 GMT February 8, 2016
Gold rush is not justifies economically, BUT...

Renting a safe to store gold is becoming cheaper and definitively safer than having cash in a bank account.

HK [email protected] 19:05 GMT February 8, 2016
Gold rush is not justifies economically, BUT...
Reply   

For the bankers in a negative interest rate environment, selling within an upward manipulated prices, gold may be a good source of cash.

Trapping Stox fleeing money into gold, is an opportunity to find buyers, and prevent inflation by crashing gold price later.

Probably those are some of the reasons behind the insane price rise.

Anyway, this time women do not line up in jewelry stores.



Israel Dil 19:00 GMT February 8, 2016
developing story: hong kong riots, policeman shot dead
Reply   
never before under chinese rule

london red 19:00 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

some sup here at 1830, also straddlers break even here so option related too. if below 28/29 bigger fish to fry and id say we look at 115 on yen too.

Paris ib 18:58 GMT February 8, 2016
Waiting for Godot
Reply   
All these people waiting, hoping, expecting someone (some Dad figure) to step in and 'fix' things are really having themselves on. That is not going to happen. The Government, the Central Bankers or whoever you like are not going to 'fix' this. I can't believe how hopeless and child like we have all become. The Government is run by mostly corrupt and incompetent fools (and that is everywhere) and the Central Bankers of this world are a weird cult-like club and none of these people actually know how to DO anything. So stop acting like they can control 'things'. They can't. Mostly we have been conned by the media to believe this but you don't have to spend too much time thinking to realise that it is a con. Best to understand this now.

PAR 18:53 GMT February 8, 2016
ECB
Reply   
Draghi on holiday in an exotic location surrounded by hedge fund billionaires ? Not really .. well of course . Hi Hi

HK [email protected] 18:53 GMT February 8, 2016
1218...1235 Gold likes.
Reply   

Above 1235, price may run out of hand, better not to guess.

Paris ib 18:46 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

The big splat is here. No bounce. 1800 at risk on the S and P.

Prague JIT 18:44 GMT February 8, 2016
yen
Reply   

Entry: above 115 Target: 116.20 - 166. 80 Stop: close below 115

gl, yen done for today

london red 18:30 GMT February 8, 2016
YEN; Take your time and not for pepsipipsi

low rates>qe>-ve rates are driving money into property. this is why brexit or not, london will continue to attract capital.

'Mtl' 'JP' 18:21 GMT February 8, 2016
YEN; Take your time and not for pepsipipsi

making something illegal is pointless if the law will / can not be applied

PAR 18:09 GMT February 8, 2016
YEN; Take your time and not for pepsipipsi

Negative interest rates = nationalisation of private property

European Negative interest rates should be illegal and probably are as it is the ECB financing budget deficits with confiscated money .

Negative interest rates are bankrupting european banks which again will need to be saved with taxpayers money .

'Mtl' 'JP' 17:40 GMT February 8, 2016
I say they must be held accountable: personally
Reply   
Central bank policy cannot take the primary responsibility for maintaining financial stability, with interest rates being too blunt an instrument to address an imbalance in one part of the economy, Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Timothy Lane said on Monday - rtrs

london red 17:40 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

below 60 and can move to test 50 and below again. if fails to move under 60 then they might do inverse shs. stocks should move in tandem.

GVI Forex Blog 17:32 GMT February 8, 2016
OPINION: Yen Strength Revisited
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, CTA

The reaction to the Bank of Japan decision to impose negative interest rates on a sliver of deposits held at the central bank has worn off quickly as I had expected

OPINION: Yen Strength Revisited

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 17:24 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Hmm, better take better positions along the way, entries way of.
11575-11580. Scale out risk.

Amman wfakhoury 17:23 GMT February 8, 2016
AUDUSD



Amman wfakhoury 06:42 GMT 02/08/2016
ZIG ZAG pattern .7070 -.7170

Return .7070 if price goes below it .
______________________________

@ .7102 return level

Miami JN 17:00 GMT February 8, 2016
YEN; Take your time and not for pepsipipsi

Just watch the s&p

london red 16:57 GMT February 8, 2016
YEN; Take your time and not for pepsipipsi

watch the 11585 and 11630 the only two lvls needed for remainder of the day to tell you whats what

HK [email protected] 16:49 GMT February 8, 2016
YEN; Take your time and not for pepsipipsi
Reply   






This post at that time made someone angry, but the facts are an evidence for itself.

HK [email protected] 14:10 GMT February 4, 2016
YEN; Take your time and not for pepsipipsi.:+ chart reattached

When I post something which comes wrong there are always some idiots to curse me, but like this one, no one remembers....Silence!.

This is a trade not for pipsis, but for a big move.

'Mtl' 'JP' 16:39 GMT February 8, 2016
CHAOS

chaos is self healing

Israel Dil 16:35 GMT February 8, 2016
CHAOS

there is someone in the decision making seat capable to solve the mess?

PAR 16:33 GMT February 8, 2016
CHAOS
Reply   
Who created this mess ? Central bankers ? Wallstreet ? Politicians ? JoeSixpack ?

'Livingston' 'nh' 16:29 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Away from USD and EUR vs yen the real financial pressure on stronger JPY is from the weaker Asian currencies // and IF you believe in intervention there are quite sufficient FX holdings

london red 16:27 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

dollar weakness will be something they will privately but not officially admit to enjoying. while stocks not in freefall yellen might not do dollar too many favours.

'Mtl' 'JP' 16:25 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

john 16:03 is it not good time for a FED trumpet(s) to come out and bloviate about FED expectations about the appropriateness of 3 more hikes - something about not being concerned with day-to-day market moves ?

london red 16:23 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

11585 last yrs low and 11630 are the two they need to beat on upside. if mkt fades those pressure will be back on.

Paris ib 16:22 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Looks to me like we are getting a bit of profit taking here. Not knife through butter or anything like that... quite nice trading actually.

london red 16:20 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

a big initial rejection of 112, remember we traded sideways here held by a big 112 expiry. hourly close 11168 or less negates st upside. makes 112 even bigger pivot now. if yen goes they will do the triple fibs of 35/46 and 52 but mkt may not close abv 11270 unless yen stays near lows (if 115 beaten).

london red 16:17 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

if 115 breaks and while below tgt may be 114. if flash crash then 113.30 then 110.34. last 2 are fibs. likely to close at c. 113 if flash crash.

PAR 16:15 GMT February 8, 2016
ECB
Reply   
Negative interest rates are a form of nationalisation of private property . Stalin is back .

'Mtl' 'JP' 16:14 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

re dlryen S3 (3SD) 114.61 = lowest number on gv charpoint matrix
just a curiosity rather than any implied trade meaning

london red 16:14 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

last august mkt moved from 12450 to 122 in a couple of days then final drop was 122 to 116 and back to 119 on the last day of the drop.

Paris ib 16:13 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

1.12 gonna crack.

Israel Dil 16:11 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

gold/oil traded 1:40 ratio today...

Paris ib 16:10 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

115 coming up. Crash helmets please.

london red 16:08 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

the range has been 115 to 125 over past year or so. below 115 they will be aware of technical break. boj will want to do most dmage to specs if going to hit mkt otherwise spent exercise as cb's cant fight trends. mkt is now long jpy and hitting mkt sometime after break of range fits criteria. it cannot change trend but can harm specs.
euro. move abv 112 might see stops hit.

Paris ib 16:08 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

Think crash?

Israel Dil 16:06 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Sell EURCAD
Entry: NOW Target: sub 1.5 Stop: 1.5655

3-2-1 >>> here Purk enters EUR/CAD shorts... good luck king Purk ;-)


the trade parameters are short term, this week it may move fast lower from here

PAR 16:05 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Margin Calls - Margin Calls and Saudi selling ,selling ,selling .

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 16:04 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Oops....

Paris ib 16:04 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

Actually think MEGA splat.

'GVI 'john 16:03 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Equity indices remain under pressure
DJ -320
SP -41
NAS -110

10-yr 1.746% -9.7bp

'Mtl' 'JP' 16:02 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

usdyen S3 (3SD) 114.61 off the 20day

Paris ib 16:02 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

red the speed hasn't exactly been SLOW, has it?

Paris ib 16:01 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

"SANDERS: If my memory is correct, when radical socialist Dwight D. Eisenhower was president, the highest marginal tax rate was something like 90 percent.

HARWOOD: When you think about 90 percent, you don't think that's obviously too high?

SANDERS: No."

The guy might have a clue about the problem but his 'solutions' are toxic. That this kind of thinking even gets a hearings gives you some idea of where the U.S. is at. Going under and fast.

USD/JPY looks like it might even test 115 today. You have to love a fast market.

Sanders

london red 15:59 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

at these levels boj is only worried about speed of move. if we go and stay under 115 they may check rates. fwiw earlier bounce due to barrier defence of 11550. bigger barrier at 115.

Israel Dil 15:52 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

ib

why you should care who is in the head of the system taking your money as taxes?

you are so beautiful girl when passionately outing your beliefs. I would ever hold the thing until you done ;-)

bali sja 15:51 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

all in holiday, extremely unlikely they will intervene here since they have better chance below 110, mr sakakibara wanted 110 so badly!

Paris ib 15:44 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Sanders freaks me out. Never had a proper job. Bankrupt before he found politics and one of these people that what needs to be done is 'confiscate' money to give to 'other' people. Which means giving lots more power to who? Why to the government? Cause they are going to be in charge of the 'confiscation'. Gee what a good idea. I'd rather have unions, thank you very much, proper wages, healthy working conditions and a lot less international free trade. But hey what we are likely to get is 'confiscation'. Think fascism. Cause that's what it is. I will take what you have by force. The flimsy intellectual justification for that doesn't matter. Bit of mob rule. A compliant media... and as they say in France... voila', mission accomplished.

Israel Dil 15:42 GMT February 8, 2016
EXTREMELY BAD NEWS !!!
Reply   
with the latest breakthroughs regarding Alzheimer, it actually means we are going to face the very same YAK YAK YAK off the same people for much longer.

Paris ib 15:38 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

No sja they can always print JPY to throw at the market. That's the only reason we got off 80.00 in the first place. The question is how long can they do that sort of stuff before we have some sort of huge market reaction. And the bigger question is where that reaction will actually show up. The destruction of paper money can have all sorts of strange consequences. Which is what makes this so hard to trade. This is uncharted territory.

'Mtl' 'JP' 15:35 GMT February 8, 2016
Yellen Testimony Critical

What are the odds Ms Janet Yellen health permits her to give her testimony ?

with todays' technologies the ever-so-transparently communicating FED should maintain a 24hr live page with the Chair's blood pressure and heart rate - no need for paroles

Israel Dil 15:34 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

IB

Sanders.... that's the name banksters fear ;-)

bali sja 15:32 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

intervention with what? no money left to intervene, all bankrupt

london red 15:30 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

some stops not as lrg as i thought below 85. maybe larger below 115.45/50. barrier likely at 115. moving abv 116.30 puts off further st declines.

Israel Dil 15:29 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Buy Crude
Entry: $29.75 Target: $38/$40.50/$66.66 Stop: $29.25

GO !!!

'Livingston' 'nh' 15:29 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Been a while since anybody has seen an actual intervention in the Yen -- that playbook is still kicking around

Paris ib 15:29 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Longer term this is heading lower. 116.00 has gone.... 115.00 coming up. Medium term target 100 and then we take another look at it.

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 15:21 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Last 115,75 in. Glory or bummer...

HK Kwun 15:19 GMT February 8, 2016
Very Bullish
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

oh no, i closed too early,

'Mtl' 'JP' 15:15 GMT February 8, 2016
Very bullish

paper Gold at 1197 = roket
rather unusual for them to let rip suchly

'Mtl' 'JP' 15:03 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

ugly... why ugly - why not "in a beautiful run" ?
never consider stox in some judgmental beauty contest

london red 15:01 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

yen broken 2016 low on this latest dip but last years at 11585 avoided for now. some big stops below there.

london red 14:59 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

they are having a go at the 44. double tap on 5 min candles. shs within shs. 2wk reg s&p showing neck c. 1870. makes tgt around this years low 1812. or they fill gap to 1870. thats about 30 pts either side. straddle for day about 17 pts.

GVI john 14:57 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Turning ugly in U.S. equities
DJ -266
SP -32
NAS -86

10-yr 1.777% -6.7

Most worrisome to me is falling 10-yr yields. Suggests investor worry bout economy? Maybe I am reading this wrong?

bali sja 14:44 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

lets just say usdjpy willdefinitely see 110 next, 120? forget it, only in your dreams

london red 14:39 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT

again 1844 is neck of shs in s&p. its a bad day so they will take no prisoners on downside so stop quite tight 1828/29 if going long. theres is a little gap from fridays lvls but if not filled then its a v bad week on downside. be aware a close below the neck tgts lvls of 1600.

'Mtl' 'JP' 14:38 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

usdyen off the 20dma
S2 (2SD) 115.83
S3 (3SD) 114.61

Paris ib 14:37 GMT February 8, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

USD/JPY takes the lead.... Target on the latest run? 115.00 but more to come. Break of 116 imminent. We won't know the real world consequences of this latest financial market splat for a while...

GVI Forex Blog 14:34 GMT February 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 9 February 2016
Reply   

 

February 8, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, February 9, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: CN- Holiday
  • Europe: DE- Industrial Output, Trade, UK- Trade
  • North America: US- JOLTS Survey, Business Inventories, API Crude

GVI Data Calendar for 9 February 2016

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 14:32 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

116,11 in as well. Same goes bla bla....

Paris ib 14:30 GMT February 8, 2016
Think SPLAT
Reply   
Stocks and the USD go SPLAT. The trend is your friend and the trend just started. gl gt

'Mtl' 'JP' 14:30 GMT February 8, 2016
Negative interest benefits
Reply   
Deutsche Bank down 36% ytd
Credit Suisse down down 34% ytd
-
what is there NOT to like ?
(about nega rates I mean)

GVI Jay 14:27 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

USDJPY:

Jan 20, 2016 low = 115.98

Complete fx database going back to 1999 in our member tools section

FX Database

'Livingston' 'nh' 14:26 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

From BBrg--

“My customers are buying U.S. Treasuries and bunds because JGB yields are very, very low,” said Hideaki Kuriki, a bond investor in Tokyo at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management, which oversees $56.9 billion. They’re hedging 70 percent to 100 percent of the currency risk, he said.

Japanese yields are tumbling again in 2016 after the central bank in January adopted a negative-interest-rate strategy as part of its battle to spur inflation. Investors seeking higher yields outside the nation can earn 1.86 percent from 10-year Treasuries and 0.3 percent on same-maturity German bunds."

london red 14:17 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

august low broken but 2015 low is 115.86 which will shelter stops. 116.29/32 is 38.2 of 102/125 and weekly close below is bearish for 50% of that move at 113.30. interim sup if 115.85 taken 105/125 50% at 115.45/52. if to be a stop run thats where they might bring it back up from.

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 14:17 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

LONG USD/JPY 116,25., PROFIT, 116,99 adding, scaling, taking on the way home...

Amman wfakhoury 14:16 GMT February 8, 2016
AUDUSD



Amman wfakhoury 06:42 GMT 02/08/2016
ZIG ZAG pattern .7070 -.7170

Return .7070 if price goes below it .
__________________________
Returned to 0.7070 after decline to 7050

'Mtl' 'JP' 14:12 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

at least not yet

'Mtl' 'JP' 14:11 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

am thinking of 117.50-ish
I m not a macro fund

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 14:11 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Yes, but different s/l.

'Livingston' 'nh' 14:10 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

jp - if yen 120 is the comfort level seems a YES

'Mtl' 'JP' 14:06 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 116.3-ish Target: up Stop: 116.20/00

y/n
tia !

'Livingston' 'nh' 14:03 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

fs - well, if the "strong" USD was the cause of all this turmoil than the decline in the dollar should save everybody's bad decisions

'Mtl' 'JP' 14:02 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

and when fear run turns pandemonium:
stox AND bonds sell off at same time
(because they have to)

kl fs 13:57 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

nh, fear trade means collapse of stocks and run into treasury? i dont think so, collapse of stocks now means collapse of treasuries also and collapse of usd in general, not a good sign

london red 13:57 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

already a quick half fig off lows, leaving a nice tail on hourly candle. 14452/71/14512 res and last high just under 14550 should keep stops safe.

'Mtl' 'JP' 13:48 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

GBP is a SELL
on pops towards +/- 1.45

GVI Jay 13:46 GMT February 8, 2016
Has the Dollar Bottomed?

See my weekend video update.

1.1078 = 38.2%
1.1070 = chart support
1.1046 = 200 day mva (corrected)

'Livingston' 'nh' 13:43 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

The Fear Trade is alive and well as money pours into Treasurys -- a turn here will be first sign of reversal // A strong USD is the cause of all misery? let's see folks will buy more oil (supply reduction) if the dollar weakens and crude price rises -- that's a novel idea // or maybe it's the Fed "tightening"? so if Yellen says clearly "no more rate hikes" everything will get peachy - none of this was caused by Fed staying "too loose too long" -- Ben was the only one who thought exiting the Money Swamp was going to be EASY but (like G'span b4 him) he left Dodge so Yellen finally realized something was amiss

One last note about Friday employment -- ISM non-manuf tipped "labor in short supply" and last year gdp was weaker than Q4/Q1 than this year so there is no "weakness" in employment and costs are rising

NOTHING has changed and Yellen should emphasize THAT -- markets always want a pony for Christmas instead of just being happy there is no coal in the stocking -- time is the only hangover cure

LOOK for the turn

'Mtl' 'JP' 13:23 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

euro 200 day 1.1046
current support

london red 13:16 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

with that 11109 broken, it should act as a cap on hourly closing basis and nxt sup is 200dma and fib at 61/40 repectively. if theres good demnad mkt can bounce there and start another leg higher. if not then must retrace to top of previous range 10950/80 before higher.

GVI Forex john bland 13:10 GMT February 8, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies

wti has broken through the $30 line
last $29.71 -1.19 (31.58-29.57)

Tallinn viies 11:44 GMT February 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
long euros from 1,1119. stop at 1,1069.
target 1,1250

GVI john 11:42 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

Its looking like the S&P might be bottoming. The U.S. often does not like to jump onto an overseas trend in equities. A higher EURUSD is dependent on weak stox today.

'Mtl' 'JP' 11:32 GMT February 8, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies

US 10-yr - now selling for 130.60

london red 11:31 GMT February 8, 2016
stocks,ftse

ftse has already been underperforming some time, being overweight financials and worries over brexit. difficult to say how many investment decisions have been put back by firms but certainly some have held off making investments prior to vote, so this will be a drag on growth.
euro. the 50% fib at 11109 held the mkt fri. is a pivot.

Dubai MM 11:26 GMT February 8, 2016
News?
Reply   
USD up, any news out?

Saar KaL 11:23 GMT February 8, 2016
Cable

will short till 1.4660
tgt 1.4100 is good

kl fs 11:22 GMT February 8, 2016
stocks,ftse
Reply   
red, do you think brexit will drive ftse down a lot more?
hard to see how stocks can rally in this deleveraging environment, lowest margin debt in many many years

kl fs 11:22 GMT February 8, 2016
stocks,ftse
Reply   
red, do you think brexit will drive ftse down a lot more?
hard to see how stocks can rally in this deleveraging environment, lowest margin debt in many many years

london red 11:13 GMT February 8, 2016
Cable

more bad brexit press over weekend has seen cable start wk soft. 6 in 10 tories are expected to vote for brexit. 50% of 14150/147 is at 14409, v close to 200hma. you expect some sup there but sellers should appear close to 145 the 100ma again. sups lower dwn are 14350 1427x. there should be some better news from the eu summit re a deal for the UK and so those lvls should lead to another stronger bounce but youd fade a spring rally if they declare the june 23 referendum as swing is certainly to exit side.

kiev 11:10 GMT February 8, 2016
cable cable - what do you do ))
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

hw are u 2day?
do you saw what happens with cable? wonderful!
In last month, my profit grown up via mql4 strategy robots. there is crazy cable. However, we could to make more money. I am convinced in that.

to this I create a algorithm of trading orders to take more profits. But, in this case, maybe, this system could have more risk percent of initial deposit. maybe.. will see tomorrow, or later

have a nice trading days.
I think you took a lot of profit good for you.

Man CH 11:03 GMT February 8, 2016
Cable
Reply   
red...what is your view on cable

GVI Forex Blog 10:53 GMT February 8, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

Global-View Trading Technologies

'Mtl' 'JP' 10:44 GMT February 8, 2016
Yellen Testimony Critical

The so-called criticality of Yellen's testimony is what is the problem - too much faith granted to her:

Yellen: IF the road bends ..... I will turn the wheel
she leaves out:
- will I turn it before or after the bend
- will I turn in the correct direction
- who determines what is correct direction : yellen or the road
--
Janet simply can not afford to let the market dictate - else she loses.
she has to stop her "If the economy evolves as we expect" clear communication . It puts her a reactionary rather than leadership position.

Paris ib 10:39 GMT February 8, 2016
Very bullish

FWIW

Chinese Gold Reserves increase

london red 10:33 GMT February 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off In Europe Mid-Morning

JP we didnt get a daily close below the shs neck at 1843 at the time. they looked under a couple of days but no close. if we get that and also wkly close then they prob play out the shs. i dont think they break key lvls on closing basis before yellen. she speaks on the 10th and she gets to "correct" if needed on the 11th.

kl fs 10:32 GMT February 8, 2016
sell stocks
Reply   
looks like Soros increases his bet on stocks plunge?
sell bounces for stocks, easy

HK Kwun 10:25 GMT February 8, 2016
Very bullish

Buy Gold
Entry: 1165 Target: Stop: 1155

1175 bingo, TP here, buy later

'Mtl' 'JP' 10:25 GMT February 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off In Europe Mid-Morning

SnP closed FRiday at 1886
It is currently at 1852
-
Q: what qualifies as smell of panic ?

london red 10:02 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

euro. is bid but for now not behaving like it wants to move up on stock weakness. may change if 112 taken out for quick move to 11236/46/52 but if current hour candle shows weakness and closes weak then euro might fall back a bit to test sup no matter what stocks do.

GVI Forex john bland 10:02 GMT February 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off In Europe Mid-Morning

Equities
DAX -178
DJ -182
SP -23

10-yr
US 1.834% -0.9bp
DE 0.258% -3.7
UK 1.492% -6.2
JA 0.042% +0.9

wti $30.40 -0.48 (31.38- 30.38)
EUR is broadly higher on its crosses

After reflecting over the weekend, markets seem not to be buying the positive spin on the January U.S. jobs report released on Friday. My focus is mainly on the yield on the US 10-yr which at 1.834%, is not looking terribly constructive on future economic growth.

GVI Forex john bland 10:02 GMT February 8, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off In Europe Mid-Morning

Equities
DAX -178
DJ -182
SP -23

10-yr
US 1.834% -0.9bp
DE 0.258% -3.7
UK 1.492% -6.2
JA 0.042% +0.9

wti $30.40 -0.48 (31.38- 30.38)
EUR is broadly higher on its crosses

After reflecting over the weekend, markets seem not to be buying the positive spin on the January U.S. jobs report released on Friday. My focus is mainly on the yield on the US 10-yr which at 1.834%, is not looking terribly constructive on future economic growth.

london red 09:59 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

s&p. has taken out lows from 2 & 4 wks ago now not far from channel at 1844. this channel is neck of big shs (head at 213x highs) so id guess since its gone a far bit dwn quickly and ran 2 lvls of stop, it should provide a bounce intraday at least. if not it could be dwn to recent lows 1811 today.

GVI Forex Blog 09:49 GMT February 8, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading

Global-View Trading Technologies

HK Kwun 09:46 GMT February 8, 2016
Very bullish

Buy Gold
Entry: 1165 Target: Stop: 1155

1172 now, win big again

'dc' 'CB' 09:11 GMT February 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016



oh

'dc' 'CB' 09:10 GMT February 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016

but wait but wait...is she mocking me

by the way Who Is Patti Smith?

more importantly IS THE GOLD Mocking Me

PTA AHG 08:56 GMT February 8, 2016
GLOBAL-VIEW.COM NEWS
Reply   
Wow that is interesting and very welcome, thanks GV

'dc' 'CB' 08:50 GMT February 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016

How Long My Dear How Long

Not with Grey Hair she shouted on TV non the less

Mike Douglas Show - (Great Live - 1977) Patti Smith

'dc' 'CB' 08:37 GMT February 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 8 February 2016

free Money

"Free Money" Rockhal Luxembourg

'Vancouver' 'GA' 07:43 GMT February 8, 2016
London training group video
Reply   
Does anybody know why the daily video for London training group is not out yet?

Amman wfakhoury 06:42 GMT February 8, 2016
AUDUSD
Reply   
ZIG ZAG pattern .7070 -.7170

Return .7070 if price goes below it .


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


nw kw 04:35 GMT February 8, 2016
Aud/dlr

aud/jpy moving with usa/jpy some gbpjpy

HK Kwun 03:31 GMT February 8, 2016
Very bullish

Buy Gold
Entry: 1165 Target: Stop: 1155

Gong Xi Fa Cai, retracement is for you to enter a better level, buy gold, go go goal

'dc' 'CB' 02:37 GMT February 8, 2016
My Monday Trades

as for this week...China is Closed...so the European and and US MarkITs have No One to blame if the sell off continues. Wot O Wot AND Where will CNBC talking heads and guest shills point their fingers as they offer their studied ANALysis and recomnd StoX to BUY BUY BUY.

China china china china...Ah hey Dude China's closed all week.......OH..................China china chinachinachinachina

'dc' 'CB' 02:24 GMT February 8, 2016
crude

Vlad is not going to let the Saudi's and Quatar build a Nat Gas pipeline thru Syria to supply Europe...that is let his ally Assad become victim of a Coup. It's not about Oil...which moves around in tankers. What do U think Ukraine is all about anyway.. the West making it so so obvious, with Victoria Nuland (neoconQueen) bragging about the Coup and on top of that Joe Biden's Son on the board of a Nat Gas Company in Eastern Ukraine...which jus happen to be located right where all the fighting is taking place.

But keep on reading the "press" as buy into that story.

'Mtl' 'JP' 01:55 GMT February 8, 2016
Aud/dlr
Reply   
seeking trade audusd views around 0.71 here
tia

'Mtl' 'JP' 01:24 GMT February 8, 2016
crude

Dil everyone has some vulnerability.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-07/exasperated-john-kerry-throws-towel-syria-what-do-you-want-me-do-go-war-russians

currently looks like Vlad's gambit paying off big-time,
but the Q is for how long

Israel Dil 01:15 GMT February 8, 2016
crude
Reply   
The global oil situation continues to drag on.

Powerhouse oil producers are still being squeezed financially by lower prices and some of the more unstable OPEC members have seen upticks in violence and political chaos.

And in this environment, Russia increasingly looks like "the single biggest swing factor for oil prices in 2016," according to RBC Capital Markets' global head of commodity strategy Helima Croft.

_________

no sh!t, really?

'dc' 'CB' 00:41 GMT February 8, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed's "owners"
Reply   


Despite a collapse in yields and implicit plunge in the odds of a rate-hike anytime soon, asset-gathering, commission-taking talking-heads continue to spew unrealities about the economy and where it goes next as excuse after excuse (low oil is good, services trump manufacturing etc) are discarded.

Even The Fed's "Owners" Aren't Buying What Janet Is Selling

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
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