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Forex Forum Archive for 02/12/2016

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Livingston nh 21:39 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

JP - another guy w/ the 1937 bogeyman - the Fed was different then, the US monetary regime was still tied to GOLD (but gold had been confiscated) and the FDIC was in place to avoid the seize up of Money Supply -- the Recession had little to do with interest rates; most of the problem in 1937 was fiscal policy

The problem in Japan is the same as it has been for the past 20 years -- Fiscal Policy was not focused on the consumer saving side of the contraction and monetary policy reacted w/ an interest rate policy that was not appropriate to the Japanese savings based economy (nega interest rate may be the last straw before somebody wakes them from this nightmare)

AND 1998 was a classic EM bubble, it's the nature of the BEAST (Soviet Union and the collapse of Empires made it look worse)

These aren't even GOOD analogies
____________

Yellen was her timid self again (I guess nobody asks the Treasury secretary for his dollar view anymore) - Volcker testimony and operations were 180 degrees different

Mtl JP 21:02 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades



john 16:04 / What central bank failures mean for your investment strategy
-
Go long on cash, gold, and volatility and avoid risky assets at all cost until China, commodities, credit and consumer spending improve, a strategist said Friday. - Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch
--
all opinions are valid - until proven otherwise

GVI Forex Blog 20:43 GMT February 12, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex john bland 20:39 GMT February 12, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






london red 19:42 GMT February 12, 2016
usd/jpy + dj

both swissy yen and euro daily charts looking a lot better for usd nxt week. wkly a lot of damage done so usd rebound just a correction for now unless bigger levels taken. would need to see under 11040/50 euro and abv 11585/116 for yen to call usd higher still. s&p likely to move ahead of 1900 nxt week question is will they sell the rally c 1940 or do they double b and move up to 2060 before lower again.

Livingston nh 19:30 GMT February 12, 2016
usd/jpy + dj

Daily chart on USD/JPY still looks terrible BUT 4 hr chart right at 21 ma and 89 ema on hrly 113.62 look a lot better -- China bet for Monday weaker yen up to 115 (55ema)

Prague JIT 18:52 GMT February 12, 2016
usd/jpy + dj
Reply   
For this evening: DJ - if turns down at the end of trading from 15900/16100 max., then usd/jpy is done. Go short in this case. Sellers in usd/jpy are taken to the loss above 114 only. First try to sell usd/jpy 113.50-80. BOJ lost the game at 115 doing nothing. Cost me 50 pips, but good tech. readings last two days - good pip-picking on boths sides. gl + happy w/e

london red 18:25 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

s&p. strong hourly close here takes on on to 1870 and that should be it for the day. current dip should be no lower than 44 or itll lose the lot and more.

GVI john 18:11 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Rig Counts continue to decline

GVI john 18:09 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 541 vs 571 (-30) prev
US (oil): 439 vs. 467 (-28) prev

Canada 222 vs. 242 (-20) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 17:57 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

broken fib at 11330. short covering abv there to 50 then 80. while stocks keep going you can buy usd pull back vs yen. euro is getting sup from yen cross hence not moving under sup.

GVI Forex Blog 17:07 GMT February 12, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 15 February 2016
Reply   


February 12, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, February 15, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: CN- Trade
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Holiday
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

15-Feb Monday
US- Holiday
16-Feb Tuesday
09:30 GB- CPI
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
17-Feb Wednesday
13:30 US- PPI
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
18-Feb Thursday
00:30 AU- Employment
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
19-Feb Friday
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
13:30 US/CA- CPI

GVI Data Calendar for 15 February 2016

HK [email protected] 17:05 GMT February 12, 2016
Monday Japan Stox up!!!


'''''Singapore''''' '''''SGFXTrader'''''

Just took profit and now on sideline.

Seems too, there is an urgency to prevent a big decline this Mon. of China Mkts.

'Israel' 'Dil' 16:43 GMT February 12, 2016
Syria

Yuri Gripas / Reuters


The head of Russia’s Investigative Committee, Aleksandr Bastrykin, has called for the creation of an international coalition of states to fight the “dictatorship” imposed by the US on the rest of the world, and to reject the use the US dollar as a reserve currency.

Speaking at a roundtable in Moscow, Bastrykin said that the world urgently needed a new system of checks and balances that would allow equal representation of all nations on the international political arena.

He said an alliance of countries was needed which could act in concert as “a feasible pole to counter the dictatorship imposed by the Americans together with their Western allies,” according to the minutes of the roundtable

'''''Singapore''''' '''''SGFXTrader''''' 16:39 GMT February 12, 2016
Monday Japan Stox up!!!

Did u long usdjpy? i give lotsa tips yesterday. if u long, u make good pips now!

HK [email protected] 16:34 GMT 02/12/2016

'Mtl' 'JP' 16:36 GMT February 12, 2016
Syria

the greek is desperate
the italian spaniard portugese are desperate
Vlad is making the turk desperate
Saudis are rapping in their pants
desperate over debts = popular upheaval
-
do bankers likes idea of popular upheaval ?
I doubt killer Henry went to see Vlad for his blue eyes

HK [email protected] 16:34 GMT February 12, 2016
Monday Japan Stox up!!!
Reply   


Short covering may enhance USD/JPY up-move to the close.
All that on background of BOJ doing something(???)

'Israel' 'Dil' 16:29 GMT February 12, 2016
Syria
Reply   
JP


Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and UN Special Envoy for Syria, Staffan de Mistura (L-R) arrive for a news conference after the International Syria Support Group (ISSG) meeting in Munich, Germany, February 12, 2016. © Michael Dalder / Reuters


An ambitious plan to end hostilities in Syria with verifiable results within a week, revive the Geneva-3 peace talks, and immediately begin delivering humanitarian aid to civilians has been unveiled in Munich, Germany after talks including the US, Russia, and the UN.

Hostilities in Syria could come to a halt within a week after confirmation by the government of President Bashar Assad and the opposition, according to an official communiqué from the International Syria Support Group (ISSG) meeting.

GVI 16:26 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

... and now the dollar is following

\'GVI 16:10 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

WTI +10%... stocks following

'Mtl' 'JP' 16:05 GMT February 12, 2016
Deutsche Bank

'Dil' say heads chopping ally Saudis send boots to syria
what could be new profit opps would u see out of that ?

GVI john 16:04 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

No one here has commented on it, but one Senator yesterday complained about the muddled messages coming out of the Fed. Yellen seemed ready for the comment and said that the policy at the central bank is for Fed members to indicate when they are speaking for themselves and when they are talking about Fed policy.

I am now watching anything these guys say to see if their behavior has changed. If they start to toe a party line rather than freelancing it, their comments could become useful for trading as they once were.

'GVI 'Jay 15:56 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

10:50 (US) Fed's Dudley (Voter, Dove): Turmoil in market mostly tied to overseas events and not US economy - Q&A

- if financial conditions tighten, Fed takes that into account
- difficult to tell how much market turmoil recently is based on market fundamentals- still expects to meet inflation target in the longer term but it will be slow going
- seen dollar weaken a bit in recent weeks
- completely agrees wtih Chairwoman Yellen's assessment of policy environment
- won't commit on rate decisions because data could change before March meeting; recent events will factor into March decision
- policy decisions overseas will not have much impact on US economy, negative rates abroad have only small effects on the US economy
- Talk of negative rates for the US is premature, not spending a lot of time thinking about it, there are many other actions the Fed would take before resorting to negative rates
- US banks are in good shape; not concerned about bank stock weakness


- Source TradeTheNews.com

\'GVI \'john 15:51 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Dudley
-- Policy data dependent
-- Significant tightening in U.S. financial conditions
-- Market turmoil tied to overseas events
-- Can't predict what Fed will do in upcoming meetings

'Israel' 'Dil' 15:46 GMT February 12, 2016
Deutsche Bank

what I can do for you Jay? what do you need?

'Livingston' 'nh' 15:44 GMT February 12, 2016
Crude Oil

WTI was about 15% undervalued at yesterday's low - a move back above 30.20 (21dma declining) would also take out 4 hr 89 ema -- that move probably depends on China Monday // Stox and the Fed still chasing oil around the block -- time to break the leash

GVI Jay 15:44 GMT February 12, 2016
Deutsche Bank

Dll me at [email protected]

PAR 15:43 GMT February 12, 2016
DEFLATION
Reply   
In Europe lower crude oil prices are not deflationary as most european governments used lower oil prices to increase taxes on gasoline and gasoil .

European consumer is hit by negative rates and only slightly lower energy prices .

#ImpeachDraghi

'Israel' 'Dil' 15:41 GMT February 12, 2016
Deutsche Bank
Reply   
3x round trades completed - €5.25 gain in total

PAR 15:33 GMT February 12, 2016
Crude Oil
Reply   
Crude oil +6.5% . INFLATION is coming . Be happy. Lets make Saudi Arabia rich again. Draghi sponsored by OPEC ?

london red 15:30 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

weve got the nice tail on hourly s&p ahead of time, you can see how everyones now waiting to see if it sticks on the close to pile in or if not to run the bitch down.

HK Kuwn 15:26 GMT February 12, 2016
Correction today

Sell Gold
Entry: 1243 Target: Stop: 1253

seem not willing to fall, TP at 1138

'GVI 'john 15:19 GMT February 12, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Misses

U of M misses, but Retail Sales data was the more significant statistic today

PAR 15:19 GMT February 12, 2016
Russian sanctions killing European agriculture
Reply   
Greek Farmers Clash With Police in Protest Over Tax Increases and Pension Reform


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_Duspbzpfk

GVI Forex Blog 15:13 GMT February 12, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Misses
Reply   

Preliminary February Michigan Survey weaker than expected. Data revision in two weeks.


EXCLUSIVE: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Misses

london red 15:11 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

hourly close for s&p and euro will tell you all you need to know as to whether up/dwn /1870 tested and 11220 fib retested

'Mtl' 'JP' 15:06 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Dudley: Key US sectors in good shape, financial system clearly stronger

GVI john 15:02 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Business Inventories December 2015

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.20% (r -0.10%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI john 15:01 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index February 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
90.7 vs. 92.5 exp. vs. 92.0 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

'Mtl' 'JP' 14:57 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

amazing
players react to some Citings by unnameds
-

london red 14:40 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

thats a v sharp bounce off 23 i would use that as a marker and fib is compromised as just 3 pips away.

GVI Jay 14:37 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

EURUSD popped off the low on this:

09:36ECB support for a March deposit rate cut is firm; little desire for radical action - press

- Citing unnamed central bank governors and other high ranking officials, they indicate that ECB appears to be locked in on 10 basis point cut

- one bank governor believes doing nothing in March is highly unlikely given how monetary conditions have tightened

- another official says that a cut of more than 10 basis points is unlikely as it would hurt bank profitability, which would be undesirable given what is happening in the bank sector right now

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 14:32 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

no problem, glad my rap is of some use!
euro a bit sticky here but watch the hourly close for euro. if they test 20 into the close they can move lower into new hour before a bounce and thats where youd want to cover to get the hours low and reload higher if necessary. a test of 20 well before the close of the hour might mean a rebound first and maybe or maybe not lower. 20 is the 23.6 fib so once tested and bounced doesnt have to go dwn again. prob will but not a sure thing.

''''Singapore'''' ''''SGFXTrader'''' 14:15 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

Red as always, your inputs are much appreciated! Thank you

london red 14:12 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

while below 11280 look for a retest of lows in euro with some stops below 112 and sup near 11160 with stops below. yen hasnt seen 11330 yet but they frontran the last charge higher to high teens. strong early spoos have given the s&p every chance to run to 1870 but if they cannot do it then 1790 will be tested today. it should go to one or the other.

GVI john 13:43 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

Sentiment improving on solid data. Feeding on short-covering bias into weekend.

'Mtl' 'JP' 13:43 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

so lower energy costs are like tax kut
people blow the ekstra ash on teddy bears

more more lower oil !

GVI Forex Blog 13:40 GMT February 12, 2016
Breaking News: U.S. Retail Sales Beat Estimates
Reply   

U.S. January Retail Sales Beat Estimates.

Breaking News: U.S. Retail Sales Beat Estimates

GVI john 13:33 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Retail Sales data better across the board.

GVI john 13:32 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Import Prices January 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
-1.10% vs. -1.50% exp. vs. -1.20% (r -1.10%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI john 13:32 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Advance Retail Sales January 2015

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% (r +0.20%)

x-autos & gas +0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.30% (r.+0.10%)



TTN: Live News Special Offer

''''Singapore'''' ''''SGFXTrader'''' 13:17 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

Thanks John for the sharing. Much appreciated.

Tips for you, USD going up i think!

GVI john 11:48 GMT 02/12/2016 - My Profile
I don't have their source but saw this on tradethenews.com earlier

london red 12:22 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

daily straddle euro yen about 55 and 60 pips respectively. so not much. i suspect they may bid usdjpy on dip to 112/11220 if retail sales a small miss. theres a good 11350 expiry which may draw later and you can build a nice straddle but taking on towards 112 and other side a bit higher up if draws. ready for any fireworks if 110.30 or 113.50/115 seen later.

london red 12:18 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

intervention. if uncorodinated tends not to last more than a few hours or days if going against the trend/flows. however, as a last line of defence it may be required as a lesser evil than doing nothing. the CB intervening is naturally going to want to get biggest bang for buck and to hit speculators hardest...
back in the day the break between cme pit and globax left 45 min window to hit the market. today, friday, they can consider late US session when market is thinnest, many has clocked off. in the last hour they can do a lot of damage for relatively little money and technically "correct" some bad looking charts on the wkly close (115/116). do it earlier and they will fade, but that late on and everyone will be sent packing as nobody will hold lrg over long weekend and with china set to return.
ultimately you cant fight flows but if they want to slow things down and burn a few fingers, they can.

'Belgrade' 'TD' 12:03 GMT February 12, 2016
Daily TA trade

another 1/3 out from ~3917 long at ~4007 ... nasdag fut /NQ ... new stop ~ 3950

PAR 11:56 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

Interest rates should be in line with GDP growth and not be used as a currency
manipulating tool. NIR should never be used
Power of central banks should be cut drastically.

GVI john 11:54 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

BTW- www.tradethenews.com is a very reliable source for forex news as it happens.

Its a lot easier for traders to hear the news over a box while watching a chart and/or quotes over a screen.

GVI john 11:48 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

I don't have their source but saw this on tradethenews.com earlier

"03:37 (JP) Japan ruling LDP party official Yamamoto: Japan needs to hold emergency economic summit and act in coordination with other central banks
-Japan should lead an international economic summit on market turbulence
-Japan should lead responsibility for global slowdown and market volatility
- Does not believe Abenomics is a failure.
**Yamamoto said to be one of the architects of Abenomics. - Source TradeTheNews.com"



Also a number of other press comments out of Japan. When there is this much noise, something could be in the works. But the question arises, what can they do that will work? We could see some extreme volatility around any announcement. Whether it lasts or no might not matter to short-term traders.

'''Singapore''' '''SGFXTrader''' 11:33 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

John can share the source?

HK [email protected] 11:22 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades



1) If BOJ will try to intervene, it may help temporary.

2) If they will restore interest rates to zero. Yen will turn stronger.

3) If they will reduce interest rates lower, Stox will drop, and Yen will strengthen.

So what remain the most effective way?

Just keep on threatening action against Specs, but do nothing
(Or pray for general USD strength in the overall Mkt. to happen).

Like today price decline was arrested, just because of fear.


GVI john 11:03 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

Warning there has been noise out of Tokyo about some sort of actions to contain the JPY. You never know if they are preparing to do something heading into next week, but they are obviously very concerned about the weakness of the Nikkei due to the strong JPY.

jkt abel 10:57 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades

would not be surprised to see occasional action by some funds to simulate BOJ

'GVI 'john 10:49 GMT February 12, 2016
My Friday Trades
Reply   
DAX +130
DJ +107
SP +15
Risk on or just pre-weekend position-squaring?
EURUSD to S&P (negative) was very close yesterday

10-yr
US 1.682% +3.1bp
DE 0.210% +1.6
UK 1.345% +9.0
JA 0.830% +6.6
flight to safety demand for government bonds abating

wti $27.23 +1.02 ($27.77-23.96)
Is OPEC going to curtail production? I would not bet on it, but this is a political decision and therefore difficult to predict. Fundamental problem is that the cartel is no longer the swing producer.
-- correlation between oil and S&P yesterday was very tight.

EUR is broadly weaker on its crosses today. It is up only vs. the NZD. NZD is weaker vs. the USD as well.

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 10:29 GMT February 12, 2016
cad/jpy LONGS longer term

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 19:50 GMT February 11, 2016
cad/jpy LONGS longer term: Reply
Right, another 1/4 out. 1/4 left. 80,01-80,62. Not bad, entries ok. last 1/4 at cost and trying to get more....
_____________________________
Last 1/4 out 80,01-80,96. Quit pair, nobody follows it, good for pips.

'Singapore' 'SGFXTrader' 10:10 GMT February 12, 2016
Did you short EURO? See you at 1.1450

Did anyone follow the call to short at 1.146-7x level?



Did you short EURO? See you at 1.1450
Singapore SGFXTrader 09:31 GMT 02/11/2016
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Yes I have shorted Eurusd. Short now!

GVI Forex Blog 10:10 GMT February 12, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: Eurozone 4Q15 GDP In Line With Estimates
Reply   

Eurozone 4Q15 GDP in line with forecasts.

EXCLUSIVE: Eurozone 4Q15 GDP In Line With Estimates

Singapore SGFXTrader 10:08 GMT February 12, 2016
Yellen part II

During Chinese New Year, we have the tradition of giving "Hong Bao" or Red packet. Did anyone follow my call yesterday to load USDJPY at the 111.x low level?



Yellen part II
''Singapore'' ''SGFXTrader'' 09:48 GMT 02/11/2016
fs and ib,

Yellen will save USD. Load now. Insider news!

'GVI 'john 10:03 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

EZ GDP in line, Big miss in industrial production.

GVI john 10:02 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone Industrial Output December 2015
EZ and German Charts




NEWS ALERT
mm: -1.00% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -0.70% (r -0.5%)prev.
yy: -1.30% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +1.10% (r +1.40%)) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI john 10:00 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone GDP 4Q15

Global-VIew EZ and German Charts





Data News ALERT
qq: +0.30% vs +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% (r ) prev.
yy:+1.50% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.60% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:57 GMT February 12, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

Global-View Trading Technologies

'dc' 'CB' 09:45 GMT February 12, 2016
Ma Barker is off the scene let's get down to it
Reply   
Gold---muppets....CNBC sed buy bu buy

Euro---Zeus is always early (deep pockets)

Yen...ABE ABE ABE Who

Ma Barker... Who the Fk knows...the Mary Barra of the FED --- cud go down in flames like Marissa Mayer....but way way way way less attractive...

Oh cud THIS make such a big mistake

Not Gammy Yellen

HK [email protected] 09:32 GMT February 12, 2016
looks like 113 is not to be beaten
Reply   


That's what the market makes us to believe(or not).

GVI Forex Blog 09:32 GMT February 12, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: German GDP Mixed Vs. Forecasts
Reply   

EARLIER: German GDP mixed vs. forecasts.

EXCLUSIVE: German GDP Mixed Vs. Forecasts

SaaR KaL 09:27 GMT February 12, 2016
Gold
Reply   
only a few idiots would long it... learn from them and do the apposite.. :)

'GVI 'john 09:23 GMT February 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

German GDP 4Q15




Earlier NEWS Release

yy: +1.30% vs. +1.40% exp vs. +1.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:19 GMT February 12, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

Global-View Trading Technologies

'GVI 'john 09:15 GMT February 12, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets Early in Europe

Short-covering into the long weekend? Nikkei closes down and gains in European bourses at this hour are modest.

london red 09:10 GMT February 12, 2016
expiry

nothing major, some smalls around 113. they should buy dip 112/11220 with stops uner 11160. below there they will look for 11060/80 as nxt level to enter longs. euro will take cue from yen today. there is a small window of opportunity to do a lot of damage to spec jpy longs. a lot. if boj thinks hard, they can kill specs today, but im not sure they have the brains to do it. certainly i wouldnt expect any intervention this side of european close but i may be giving them too much credit.

bali sja 09:09 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY

sorry that was for usdjpy, looks like 113 is not to be beaten

bali sja 09:07 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY

still selling with 113 cap on

'Belgrade' 'Knez' 09:02 GMT February 12, 2016
expiry
Reply   

london red

any worth mentioning expiry on EURUSD or GBPUSD please?

thank you.

Paris ib 08:56 GMT February 12, 2016
Very bullish

" "China has a lot more gold than they declare," John LaForge, head of Wells Fargo's commodities team told CNN.

For the last six years Beijing has stayed secretive about its gold reserves. Last year the government finally revealed a nearly 60 percent growth in reserves since 2009. The country became the fifth largest holder of gold in the world, following the US, Germany, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Italy and France."

Gold Reserves

Paris ib 08:34 GMT February 12, 2016
USD sell off PART II

Looks like we are having a 'pause' day today.

Paris ib 08:33 GMT February 12, 2016
USD sell off PART II

Don't know how I missed this but I did:

"According to the latest Fed data, after a drop of $12 billion in the first week of the year, another $34.5 billion in Treasuries held in custody was sold in the week ended January 13... the... most custody holdings "outflowing" start to the year in history."

The pundits are fixated on China but it could just as easily be Japan liquidating Treasury holdings.

Repatriation is part of the story

'Hillegom' 'Purk' 08:26 GMT February 12, 2016
CRUDE OIL

It is called buy low, sell high.

PAR 08:08 GMT February 12, 2016
CRUDE OIL
Reply   
Crude oil up over 4 % . Thats ...INFLATION !

london red 08:05 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY

lrg expiry today at 11350 also prev sup 11328/33 now a res. expect a lot to fade there with stops over 115. wkly close below 115 confirms downside towards 110.3x

HK Kwun 07:34 GMT February 12, 2016
Correction today
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1243 Target: Stop: 1253

sell now

'dc' 'CB' 06:44 GMT February 12, 2016
The Hosers to the North

ya there once was one

Obvious Criminal or Terrorist script

The Wilson

'dc' 'CB' 06:42 GMT February 12, 2016
The Hosers to the North

From the Still Embargoed FMOC 2015 meetings (leaked to someone by someone which we still can't put a Name on)

"The Canadian sell Gold Offer Botls n mice...will be studied, will that cost less than running the presses to ink all those Bens.

Who had the idea and When to eliminate the McKinley, the Franklin, the Madison, the Chase, the Wilson. "

I guess he's dead or retired in Hawaii Dammmm His grave

Bennies

Hong 06:32 GMT February 12, 2016
AceTrader Feb 12: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views- EUR/USD
Reply   
12 Feb 2016 03:10GMT

EUR/USD - ...... Euro pares yesterday's erratic rise to a fresh 3-1/2 month high of 1.1377 in New York session and retreated in Asian morning to 1.1302. Traders reported fairly good offers were noted at 1.1370/80, so intra-day retreat suggests choppy consolidation with downside bias is in store as market now test euro's downside and short-term specs may probe for euro's sup (stop hunting).

As a slew of important European data are due out, expect choppy price action after the release.
Pay attention to German inflation data at 07:00GMT and flash GDP, Italy will release GDP at 09:00GMT followed by EZ GDP and u=industrial production at 10:00GMT.

Offers are tipped at 1.1335/45 and more above with stops touted above 1.1400.
Some bids are noted at 1.1310-00 with some stops below there, more stops are touted below 1.1270.

'dc' 'CB' 06:24 GMT February 12, 2016
The Hosers to the North

In order to assuage the ill feelings generated by the selling off of OUR gold reserves the Government has issued the following statement.

Her Majesty's Government will distribute to each Canadian Citizen (Identity Proof of required-- 2 picture ID certified documents) 3 cases of empty beer bottles and 1 male and 3 female mice.

A manual and a link to an on-line video will be supplied with directions for the bottles and the mice.

More empty bottle cases plus pregnant female mice will be made available to each and every CitiZen who will take on a shovel and dig in the approproate areas as assigned.

Bob's yr Uncle

The Gold Sale Problem

bali sja 06:21 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY

[email protected], it didnt work out last time, how can one expect the result to be different the second time?

HK [email protected] 06:15 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY



I suspect the intervention in JPY will not be through Mkt. operation, but possibly through interest rate cut(more minus).

If it will help, it is hard to tell.
But if happen it may shoot the USD/JPY up for a while.

'dc' 'CB' 06:02 GMT February 12, 2016
eurusd

viies
I can not wait until monday.

with Cash US closed I'll sit on hands. However, looking at the SnP futures and applying the "2 FIBS make a Truth" rule sub 1740 looks inviting... so that is a potential target for later in the week when real money stocks trade again. eh!

Emini daily

'Sydney' 'ACC' 05:59 GMT February 12, 2016
The Hosers to the North

Who's their financial adviser?
Gordon Brown perhaps.

'Mtl' 'JP' 05:42 GMT February 12, 2016
The Hosers to the North

The government of Canada sold off large chunks of its gold reserves in recent weeks, continuing a pattern of moving away from the
precious metal as a government asset.
According to the International Monetary Fund’s International
Financial Statistics, Canada held three tonnes of gold reserves as of
late 2015.
-wonder to who thy sold - Vlad ?

Tallinn viies 05:19 GMT February 12, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
joking. it is not so simple but in principle all charts look similar.

but about this european banks shares selling... it is very strange how quickly things may turn ugly just from nothing
I can not wait until monday. really love to see what china thinks about it.

Tallinn viies 05:09 GMT February 12, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
crude took out previous day high. now next target 200 hour sma. this also mean sp500 ready to take out previous day high and ready to move up to 1880.
also same applies to eurusd. ready to take out previous day low at 1.1270-75. and ready to move to 200 hours sma at
1.1150-55.
lets go now

'dc' 'CB' 05:00 GMT February 12, 2016
The Hosers to the North

OK... so...so to get the joke.
For all the youngsters out there

Bob and Doug

'dc' 'CB' 04:39 GMT February 12, 2016
The Hosers to the North
Reply   


Hey JP
WTF yur guys are really hosers, no joke eh!

“Canada’s gold reserves belong to the Government of Canada, and are held under the name of the Minister of Finance,” explained a spokesperson for the Bank of Canada on Wednesday. “Decisions relative to gold holdings are taken by the Minister of Finance.”

Canada Sells Nearly Half Of All Its Gold Reserves

bali sja 04:13 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY

is that it? Aso goes back to sleep?

bali sja 03:58 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY

yes, soon we will hear about 120 and 130 again once intervention spotted

Hong Kong 02:19 GMT February 12, 2016
AceTrader Feb 12: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
12 Feb 2016 01:44GMT

USD/JPY - .... The Japanese yen took centre stage again in Asia today, not by its sharp price moves but by Japanese officials' rhetorics (see previous updates) who expressed dismay over this week's spectacular but unwelcome yen's ascent.

Although dlr briefly dipped to 111.91 when the Nikkei opened lower weakened by 4%, falling briefly below psychological 15,000 level, intra-day recovery in the N225 index plus comments by Japanese officials quickly lifted the pair to 112.60.

Looks like dlr would gain respite today n brings choppy trading above yesterday's fresh 15-month trough at 110.99. If Asian stocks pare recent losses, one can expect a modest bounce.

Bids are noted at 116.80-60 area and more below with stops below 110.90.
Offers are tipped at 112.60/70 with some stops above there, however, more selling interest is reported at 113.00/20 area. Pay attention to release of key U.S. retail sales at 13:30GMT.

HK [email protected] 02:08 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY



Now Aso will become angry, and will intervene.

Tokyo B 01:17 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY

Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso stepped up his verbal intervention on Friday, saying he would take appropriate action as needed, but the yen hardly reacted. Reuters

'Livingston' 'nh' 00:30 GMT February 12, 2016
JPY
Reply   
Nikkei down 4% - relentless so far

 




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