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Forex Forum Archive for 02/13/2016

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GVI Forex Blog 23:19 GMT February 13, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook: Will USDJPY Revisit 115?


Global markets are ending a hectic week with some relief after risk off sentiment gripped it most of the time. This sets the stage for the coming week where the focus will be on the JPY initially and given the firmer close in USDJPY, the BoJ could put on a squeeze if it so chooses. As for risk sentiment, it should continue to be influenced by the correlation between oil-equities-fx (and bonds).

Forex Trading Outlook: Will USDJPY Revisit 115?

nw kw 21:51 GMT February 13, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Finance ministers, central bankers seen taking up forex stability

TOKYO -- Steps to address the turmoil in foreign exchange markets are expected to be on the agenda when finance ministers and central bank chiefs of the Group of 20 nations meet in Shanghai on Feb. 26-27.

so cot will move im on xauaud to toppish gives it power to audusa move up fast?

Porto Cubriclas 21:49 GMT February 13, 2016
Double Success for NordFX in Forex Awards 2015

Last year i went to a no deposit required promotion and i never had any response from nordfx. Unfortunatelly i had a bad image from nordfx.

Amsterdam 20:22 GMT February 13, 2016
Double Success for NordFX in Forex Awards 2015
We are pleased to announce that NordFX has won in two nominations in the Forex Awards voting for 2015 – Best Micro Forex Broker and Best Execution Broker.
Every year since 2010, Forex Awards selects the best forex and binary options brokers. Their expert community of active traders and website visitors votes for winners in a wide range of prestigious categories.
We at NordFX are very appreciative of such high marks for the company’s efforts in 2015 and will continue to do our best to offer traders the best and the most useful for successful trading on Forex.

dc CB 18:34 GMT February 13, 2016
Fun with Covers

Kind of ironic, when paired with this weeks Barron's Cover

Economist Cover 2-13-16

dc CB 18:06 GMT February 13, 2016
Fun with Covers
finally totally UpFront about what I've been writing about since just before the Iowa Caucus, and flagged again in the days before the New Hampshire primary.

Yes, Virginia, you ARE being punished for supporting these guys. They ARE a big risk to the rigged game we've enjoyed playing with YOUR MONEY for the last 7 years.

Barron's Cover

dc CB 17:44 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

Every quarter members of the Fed meet with 12 representatives of the U.S. banking industry who comprise the Federal Advisory Council.

We bring this up because according to the just released records from the most recent, February 3, meeting one which came one week ahead of Yellen's congressional tesimony which on both days sent markets into a tailspin because Yellen "was not dovish enough" according to sellside commentary, she was told "the economy is stronger than the recent negative market sentiment would imply."

The above also poses the question: who is it that decides the fate of the Fed's rate hikes - the Fed, or the 12 bankers on its advisory council.

Why Yellen's Testimony Was Not Dovish Enough: Bank CEOs Told Her The 'Economy Is Stronger Than Markets Imply'

Livingston nh 15:34 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

JP - depends on the new president -- Fischer will be seen as part of the problem so he'll likely leave too - Dems probably stick w/ an economist (Summers still campaigning), repubs may actually look for a banker

Mtl JP 15:32 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

"I would say that remains a question that we still would need to investigate more thoroughly," Yellen

Mtl JP 15:23 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

we will also have a new Fed chairman
- who
-- Stanley ?

Livingston nh 15:10 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

John - one of the problems for Yellen and Bernanke was that they missed the time for normalizing rates because they kept fighting the banking crisis long after it passed -- they insist they are trying to expand the economy but continue to use tools (interest rates and Treasury holdings) that have the opposite effect -- The Fed folks see themselves as reacting to conditions when in fact they are the primary cause of the conditions

Low interest rates reduce the cost of holding money - the effect of this is to contract or restrict the growth of NGDP - the degree of this effect depends on the type and maturity of the economy (e.g, the effect in Japan is greater than the effect in the US) - the past three years this policy in conjunction w/the political demand that Banks hold more capital has crippled bank profitability and thereby taxed the transmission process restricting growth of US NGDP and pushed money out of the US into EM, a flow that is being reversed over the last six months

Money supply growth slowed (1%) in late Summer and Autumn but has begun to recover towards 5% -- interest rates in non treasury capital markets are rising at the same time that Treasury yields (MONEY) are at yearly lows -- by maintaining Treasurys on its balance sheet the Fed is usurping fiscal policy (if demand for these instruments is high the Fed should accommodate the demand from its holdings)

I pointed out last week that the interest income in the US has declined at the same time the savings rate has increased - this is a clear signal that the FED's low rate policy has screwed up the economy

If the Fed does not hike rates the economy will continue to sputter -- we will also have a new Fed chairman

Mtl JP 15:02 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

Simple Janet——The Monetary Android With A Broken Flash Drive

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

john are u pulling a Yellen with the difference being her dependence on data and yours being dependent on her ?
Dudley - her symbiotic twin - yakked that the Fed will take an indefinite pause on rate hikes; Yellen chickened out to say so clearly herself
Bottom Line
the Fed isn’t ready to stop yakking about rate hikes yet - too early for that as Yellens gang is not ready to talk about policy error

GVI Forex Blog 12:59 GMT February 13, 2016
Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

John M. Bland, MBA, CTA

Yellen Turns Cautious
Fed Chair Yellen tesified twice in the latest week

Fed Chair Yellen Opens Up On Policy

Sydney ACC 06:29 GMT February 13, 2016
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
This number has declined since it reached a peak of 675 in the week ending August 2. The fall, has however, quickened in the last fortnight with consequences for the future of oil prices and GDP.
Jan 1 536
Jan 9 516
Jan 16 515
Jan 23 510
Jan 30 498
Feb 6 467
Feb 13 439


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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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