Tallinn viies 23:00 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Reply
oil headlines from bloomberg:
US crude inventories advanced to an 86 year high
OECD Cuts Global Growth Forecast
Shale Faces March Madness With $1.2 Billion in Interest Due
Energy XXI missed $8.8 million interest payment in February
SandRidge didn't pay $21.7 million in interest due this week
Tallinn viies 22:51 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Reply
I look at the chart and see exactly opposite. 600 usd per ounce here we come.
personally think we come down to 300 also. wti then 10 usd per barrel of course
last brick to fall, all other so call commodities (sold by banks as hedge against mega inflation if central bank print money) fallen apart. now it is gold time
Tallinn viies 22:25 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Reply
sold more euros at 1.1110. stop all at 1,1160.
PAR 22:13 GMT February 18, 2016
Camerom
Reply
Cameron coming under severe critisim and threatening to walk away.
Barking dogs don't bite Lol
HK RF@ 21:44 GMT February 18, 2016
The Big Recession
When the salary is not enough to the end of a month, likely everything looks negative.
PAR 21:37 GMT February 18, 2016
The Big Recession
Reply
Negative growth , negative prices , negative presidential campaign.
Everything seems to be negative in this world.
What happened to the American Dream?
PAR 21:37 GMT February 18, 2016
The Big Recession
Reply
Negative growth , negative prices , negative presidential campaign.
Everything seems to be negative in this world.
What happened to the American Dream?
dc CB 21:02 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Futures Awards Thurs
and the Rising 45deg Gann Angle award for today's US session goes to GC, COMEX GOLD and COMEX SILVER, SI.
wait wait will the Award be scotch'd by an After Hours GoldWhacker?....no it won't ladies and germs, saved at the line
Paris ib 20:48 GMT February 18, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine
USD/JPY heading for a test of 113.00 with a break likely Friday. S and P still above 1900 but a move lower likely into next week. The holiday generated short covering has run its course.
GVI Forex john bland 20:41 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Fed's Williams
-- sees welcome evidence of rising wages
-- U.S. at or near full-employment
-- closely watching market Developments
hk ooozmeeh 19:13 GMT February 18, 2016
EURUSD
Reply
EURUSD 1.0500 - 1.1500 one-year sideways range is till intact, and daily/weekly charts looks vulnerable on the downside...IMHO
dc CB 18:40 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Ben Bernanke's Shop and one of the trading Arms of the NYFRB's operation. I guess being well connected with FRB types is not a window into winning trade ideas. But then if U run up Futures druing the holiday, then get a couple of FED Mouth's to hint at MOAR,...(hey shut that Kashkari up, we got stuff to unload).... U have a shot a selling yr "stuff" at better prices.
Yrs
Manny I Pulation.
_______________________________________________________
the WSJ notes that "through the second week of February, Citadel�s main fund is down 6.5% this year, a person familiar with the matter said." As Copeland notes, "Mr. Griffin grapples with a money-losing stretch unusual for one of the hedge-fund world�s marquee names."Perhaps the HFTs are no longer profitable?
In any case, that is only part of the story.
As our source reveals, Citadel is quietly trying to unwind the $50 billion leveraged Surveyor portfolio.
Following massive losses last year by a Boston-based trader Scott Carmel (who lost over $150 million from 2015 through January 2016 trading financial stocks, and was fired for performance last month)
What the WSJ DID NOt NOTE is that "now there is a desperate scramble to try to unwind a massively leveraged equities portfolio (over $50 billion gross)."
Is Citadel Unwinding A $50 Billion Portfolio In The Aftermath Of The Surveyor Debacle
Livingston nh 18:27 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
This may be an interesting switcheroo this afternoon - it has been said that STox have been following oil - maybe a decline in stox will drag oil lower // Stox internals have flipped to negative and the chart looks like a test below SPX1915
Paris ib 18:22 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Don't think you'll have to wait that long Purk.
Hillegom Purk 17:46 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Hmmm maybe i can start longing e/u already for 1,20 in 2017....
dc CB 17:39 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Tallinn viies 16:07 GMT
Yesterday, one of the best-known providers of energy market intelligence thanks to its massive private and patented network of land, sea, and satellite monitors, Genscape, held a webinar titled the "Current state of the global oil market" in which it covered all the core aspects that investors in the oil space find concerning..................................
Which brings us to the key topic: is it excess supply or declining demand.
Cushing Is Denying Storage Requests: Some Troubling Data From Genscape And Goldman
PAR 17:26 GMT February 18, 2016
EUR
Reply
Long EUR 1.1100. European economy doing OK despite Draghi s policies.
PAR 17:14 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Leading indicators indicating Recession.
GVI Forex 16:36 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Saudi Arabia has indicated it will not cut production - France press
**Note: Earlier this week Saudi indicated could be willing to freeze production
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Israel Dil 16:26 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 113.50 Target: something fast Stop: 113.35
gl
GVI Forex john bland 16:24 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
wti $30.79 +0.11
Post Crude inventory build.
dc CB 16:23 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
well we're not in OPEC so we didn't agree to anything.
EIA: Oil production in U.S. Gulf of Mexico federal waters set to reach record high in 2017
Israel Dil 16:18 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
covered some +50c
stop adjusted
Tallinn viies 16:07 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Reply
so far people have been concentrating on the supply side issues, just too mjuch supply but actually it is time also to think about demand side issues. demand is droping. so it is double whammy :)
Israel Dil 16:07 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Buy Crude
Entry: now Target: Stop: 20c below day's low
gl5
GVI Forex john bland 16:02 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
build in crude lower than earlier estimates but not the draw foreseen by API yesterday.
HK RF@ 16:02 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Let's see if Deutsche bank will come on the list too.
This may make more waves.
Tallinn viies 15:53 GMT February 18, 2016
eurusd
Reply
all not so rosy yet...
POP. MILANO HALTED, LIMIT DOWN AFTER FALLING 3.5% IN MILAN
*BANCA CARIGE HALTED, LIMIT DOWN AFTER FALLING 6.8% IN MILAN
*MONTE PASCHI HALTED, LIMIT DOWN AFTER FALLING 3.8% IN MILAN
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:44 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
EURUSD low 1.1072, no hourly close below 1.1075
Miami JN 15:39 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Questions:
Is EURUSD headed for 1.10?
Why isn't USDJPY at 115?
Can oil sustain its gains?
Can equities continue to rise?
JPY is the outlier for a risk on market
dc CB 14:47 GMT February 18, 2016
SToX
CASH seems to be saying that BullTard screwd the pooch last nite.
Or maybe it's Kashkari's that the banks need to have 25% to make us feel safe....yeh yeh "that's the ticket"
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
ps, imho, all this sudden Fed posturing, led by The New Ranch Hand, has EVERYTHING to do with the Pres Primaries and WHO is in the lead in both races...Trump and Sanders...both saying the Banks caused it and the Banks did not pay for causing it. --- the Great Recession.
Fed�s Kashkari: 25% Capital Requirement May Be Right for Banks
Wien 14:40 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Sell GBPAUD
Entry: 2.0000 Target: 2.0200 Stop: 1.9300
GBP is still weak, AUD getting stronger. the bearish pattern continues.
It can be a very profitable trade in the coming period with a 1:3 risk reward ratio
now the price is 2.0060
bloomberg
Livingston nh 14:37 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Based on past performance YES
London Chris 14:35 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:
And if crude stalls do stocks go down?
Livingston nh 14:35 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
The Fear Trade in treasurys still hanging around - Oil shrugged off announcement higher storage past few weeks and we should see products levels climbing even if a draw - not much follow thru on yesterday's 'agreement"
Stox may hold on until oil announcement but day before OPEX we should see at least one bout of weakness
USD/CAD closed below daily 89 ema - I may need to give up on this one
London Chris 14:34 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
EURGBP
Entry: Target: Stop:
If EURGBP finds support does EURUSD go back to 1.11 or GBPUSD back to 1.43?
GVI Forex john bland 13:46 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Not much else coming out today. Leading Indicators is a useless number. As for crude (later than usual today) we saw an unexpected draw in the API data late yesterday (a build was forecast). It could impact oil today and therefore the other markets.
dc CB 13:45 GMT February 18, 2016
Oil
between now is the expiry of the April contract is $2.25 a bl.
between now and the expiry of the Apr Contract in ONE MONTH is.....
dc CB 13:44 GMT February 18, 2016
Oil
the NYMEX pit opens in less than 20 mins...the betting that somehow a miracle will occur between now is the expiry of the April contract is $2.25 a bl.
Hillegom Purk 13:01 GMT February 18, 2016
Headline Risk
Headline Risk
Hillegom Purk 11:14 GMT 02/18/2016 - My Profile
Slowly starting to short e/gbp. So it is time for North...
-------------------------------------------
Closing 70%. Rest at 77,4. Not much but it is a start.
dc CB 13:00 GMT February 18, 2016
Oil
Reply
the spread between the expiring March contract and the April is a few cents Over $2. March done on Monday.
HK RF@ 12:54 GMT February 18, 2016
Sell Gold
Reply
Sell Gold
Entry: 1198 Target: 1179 Stop: 1210
*
dc CB 12:53 GMT February 18, 2016
SToX
challenge for today...the double reds
last rally failed there Jan 31 - Feb 1, when it tagged 1940 and sold off down to 1802.5 by Feb 11
Emini hourly
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:52 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
I posted this earlier on GVI Forex and is working as suggested. ECB minutes bounce held 1.1110, followed by 1.1085. Contact me to request free access
EURUSD: 1.1094
The 1.1085 initial target I have been citing is next support along with 1.1075 (closing one hour bar). Below it there is little until 1.0960ish except 1.1044 = 200 hour mva (suggests 1.1050 would become pivotal).
Back above 1.1106 would be needed to slow the risk (suggests 1.1100-10)
Note EURGBP flows have been the weight on EURUSD although EUR crosses are generally weak.
Mtl JP 12:52 GMT February 18, 2016
GBP
How does the issue of Brexit affect the Pound ?
GVI Forex 12:42 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
From minutes:
- Net export demand influenced by currency
- Exchange rate channel viewed as playing important development
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Forex john bland 12:35 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
European Central Bank (ECB) Minutes for January 2016
NEWS ALERT
ECB could tolerate an overshoot of inflation
Risk to EZ economy up since December
Increased probability of long period of low inflation
ECB
TTN: Live News Special Offer
Mtl JP 12:32 GMT February 18, 2016
SToX
too stupid to notice the difference w/real one
despite the legions of high salary PhDs backing her
it is a made-in china caps gun
-
china warehouse reported earlier
07:07 Wal-Mart's stock drops 4% premarket after Q4 results MarketWatch
07:06 Wal-Mart Q4 U.S. same-store sales up 0.6%; FactSet consensus up 0.9% MarketWatch
07:05 Wal-Mart Q4 revenue $129.7 bln vs. $131.6 bln a year ago; FactSet consensus $130.5 bln MarketWatch
07:05 Wal-Mart raised annual dividend to $2.00 a share from $1.96 MarketWatch
07:05 Wal-Mart Q4 adj. EPS $1.49; FactSet consensus $1.46
-
how does nominal sales ever go down with all the real inflation going on? that means their volume sales must have gone down even worse, ya? looks like both down - unit sales and lower prices ?
dc CB 12:25 GMT February 18, 2016
SToX
JP,
notice the mpty chambers?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
as seen
Northy @NorthmanTrader 17m17 minutes ago
The basic truth: $SPX gets anywhere near 1800 & central banks go in full freakout mode.
Mtl JP 12:23 GMT February 18, 2016
SToX
few years old so fwiw
http://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/annual-report/statistical-tables/2012-statistical-table-13.htm
Mtl JP 12:07 GMT February 18, 2016
SToX
dc CB/ one more for file
shoot arrow first - draw the target after
dc CB 12:03 GMT February 18, 2016
SToX
Reply
all you really need to know
In a speech Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard , one of the strongest advocates of raising rates last year, said he believes it would be "unwise" to follow through with further rate rises for now.
Brussels BR 11:36 GMT February 18, 2016
GBP
In a world of inside information assume someone has the ear to the negotiations before we hear it.
Mtl JP 11:26 GMT February 18, 2016
GBP
http://www.wsj.com/articles/no-guarantee-on-u-k-s-eu-demands-at-summit-tusk-says-1455731490
�After my consultations in the last hours I have to state frankly: There is still no guarantee that we will reach an agreement,� Tusk said in a letter to EU leaders Wednesday afternoon.
London Chris 11:24 GMT February 18, 2016
GBP
GBP buying is to cover in case Cameron makes progress on C cessions at EU summit. Then we see what Brexit polls say so a weekend risk.
PAR 11:17 GMT February 18, 2016
GBP
Reply
GBPUSD has posted 1.4368 and still looks underpinned today. EURGBP has fallen through 0.7750 helped by a general euro softness.Earlier comments from BOE's Cunliffe appeared to have pleased a few bulls and scared a few doves but thee was nothing really of note.
Hillegom Purk 11:17 GMT February 18, 2016
usd/cad shorts
Reply
Closing all i have on shorts. Waiting for chances to long. I would like 1,33 and than i will wonder why i did not wait....
Zeus will be back with last profit on his 1,42....
Hillegom Purk 11:15 GMT February 18, 2016
Headline Risk
Hmm i have two positions now?
Hillegom Purk 11:14 GMT February 18, 2016
Headline Risk
Slowly starting to short e/gbp. So it is time for North...
Hillegom Purk 11:14 GMT February 18, 2016
Headline Risk
Slowly starting to short e/gbp. So it is time for North...
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:01 GMT February 18, 2016
Headline Risk
Reply
EU summit to discuss Cameron proposals is the key event over the next two days. This suggests a focus on GBPUSD and EURGBP (.78 sets its tine)
GVI Forex john bland 10:41 GMT February 18, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Reply
DAX +90
DJ +37
SP +3
US 1.810% +0.1bp
DE 0.252% -1.6
UK 1.449% -1.3
JA 0.240% -3.0
EUR crosses mixed
WTI $31.52 +0.83 ($31.68-31.02)
moving into a risk-on posture heading into the U.S. session.
Hong Kong HK 10:15 GMT February 18, 2016
Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply
Update Time: 18 Feb 2016 09:03 GMT
USD/JPY - 113.68
Dollar's intra-day retreat from 114.32 suggests further choppy trading below Tuesday's high at 114.88 would continue with downside bias, however, below yesterday's low at 113.38 is needed to signal the correction from last week's trough at 110.99 has ended there and yield stronger retracement towards 113.10/20, however, support at 112.93 should remain intact and yield rebound later.
On the upside, only above 114.51 would indicate aforesaid pullback is over instead and turn outlook bullish for a re-test of said top, break, 115.10/20.
Paris ib 09:24 GMT February 18, 2016
USD sell off PART II
Is there a long term decline taking place?
Take a look at this for clues:
Clues
SaaR KaL 09:13 GMT February 18, 2016
1 to 2 weeks
USDCHF Shorts
0.9943 0.9504
EURGBP Longs
0.7950 0.7733
GBPCHF Shorts
1.4248 1.3692
Gold Longs
1,267.3172 1,203.2227
SaaR KaL 09:06 GMT February 18, 2016
1 to 2 weeks
Reply
Long EURUSD
EURCAD EURAUD USDCAD
Short EURJPY and GBPJPY NDX USDJPY NZDJPY AUDJPY
nw kw 08:46 GMT February 18, 2016
Trades 18-02-2016
tks, big orders in eur/gbp at .78 they have a plan.
Hillegom Purk 08:39 GMT February 18, 2016
Trades 18-02-2016
eur/jpy. Nov 15 150ish, now 126 ish. still making lower lows. 2012: 91. So somewhere in the middle 3 years....
Looks like a bit more down with nice bounces...
nw kw 08:33 GMT February 18, 2016
Trades 18-02-2016
at beast aud pumps eur and gbp on big marker 2.0
nw kw 08:31 GMT February 18, 2016
Trades 18-02-2016
you see 126 is big game changer eur/jpy what you see/ chfjpy 114.
Hillegom Purk 08:01 GMT February 18, 2016
Trades 18-02-2016
Reply
At my desk all day, so trust to do some trades in e/c. Range 335 yesterday if i looked well... Lets see.
PAR 07:44 GMT February 18, 2016
NIRP - Wizard Draghi
Reply
In a research note published Wednesday, Morgan Stanley MS +2.15% analysts suggested that another 0.10 percentage point cut in the ECB�s deposit rate would erode bank profits by 5-10%.
http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/02/17/how-slightly-negative-rates-can-tear-into-bank-profits/
Kong HK 04:04 GMT February 18, 2016
AceTrader Feb 18: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply
Update Time: 18 Feb 2016 03:28 GMT
EUR/USD - 1.1136
Despite yesterday's resumption of decline from last Thursday's 3-1/2 month peak of 1.1377 to 1.1106 in New York morning, subsequent rebound following mildly dovish FOMC minutes suggests temporary low is possibly made and consolidation with upside bias is in store, above 1.1193 would confirm this view and bring stronger retracement to 1.1240/50.
Below 1.1106 would extend marginal weakness, however, loss of downward momentum should prevent steep fall today and reckon daily chart sup at 1.1086 would hold on 1st testing and bring rebound.
Mtl JP 03:20 GMT February 18, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/spain-raids-chinas-icbc-offices-in-money-laundering-probe-2016-02-17?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
Sydney ACC 00:41 GMT February 18, 2016
Daily TA trade
The seasonally adjusted figures are a joke!
The trend estimates published at the same time show unemployment declined from 5.9% to 5.8% with the number employed increasing by 19.8k.
Almost every month the seasonally adjusted figure presents startling results.
Belgrade TD 00:32 GMT February 18, 2016
Daily TA trade
AUSTRALIA JAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE* INCREASE TO 6.0 % (FCAST 5.8 %) VS PREV 5.8 %
AUSTRALIA JAN FULL TIME EMPLOYMENT* DECREASE TO -40.6 K VS PREV 17.6 K
AUSTRALIA JAN PARTICIPATION RATE* INCREASE TO 65.2 % (FCAST 65.2 %) VS PREV 65.1 %
AUSTRALIA JAN EMPLOYMENT* DECREASE TO -7.9 K (FCAST 15.0 K) VS PREV -1.0 K
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