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Forex Forum Archive for 02/19/2016

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Livingston nh 23:59 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

"The UK will also be able to enact emergency safeguards to protect the City of London, Downing Street said, and EU treaties will be amended to state explicitly that references to the requirement to seek ever-closer union "do not apply to the United Kingdom"."

This is nothing new because SOVEREIGNTY provides this despite any treaty, agreement or suggestion otherwise

This highlights the silliness of the whole EU concept - there is no enforcement measure - it's a trade zone that parts of it uses scrip (EUR)

Britain could easily negotiate individual agreements w/ the EU (representing its constituent parts) and avoid the silliness of an EU Court ruling that is a mere suggestion

It's not in the EUR zone so a divorce can be amicable w/o the attendant financial nastiness

Get off this TAR BABY before this whole mess collapses

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:52 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

1.4416 = 10 day mva
1.4415. = 20 day mva

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:48 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

The Brexit battle had just begun

EU deal gives UK special status, says PM

dc CB 23:44 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Sums it up pretty much...Forex (HFT Trading Firm Virtu makes most of its - we never lose - Algo stop-run trading, in FOREX....sooooooo many chumps in this market and that dosen't even include Retail, which are an 0.0000000001% of our profit. We take out the Big-Bet Stops, day after day after day after day --- All Legal too...hhahahahahaha)

Tanks(sic) for the HEADLINE guys.

zerohedge
‏@zerohedge

"UK Deal" is the new "Opec production cut" is the new "Greece is fixed" headline: EU'S TUSK SPOKESMAN SAYS STIL NO DEAL ON BRITAIN - TWITTER

GVI Forex 23:18 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

British PM Cameron says will make announcement on referendum date shortly

Livingston nh 21:28 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

If Cameron tries to sell that gruel as the best UK can get this referendum gets a little "iffy"

Livingston nh 21:24 GMT February 19, 2016
Credibility
Reply   
Today's CPI may be the precursor to a Fed panic or a mere one off BUT the Fed has repeatedly said it would tolerate a higher inflation rate and maintain gradual "tightening" -- SO now a market that has debunked any further rate hikes needs to believe a Fed that has lost credibility -- will the market wait to see if the Fed can really wait or will it take action to move out the door on the first whiff of smoke?

So do ya feel lucky, punk??

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:19 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

EU summit: deal done to include seven-year emergency brake on migrant welfare claims allowing David Cameron to claim success - live

GVI Forex Blog 20:47 GMT February 19, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex john bland 20:39 GMT February 19, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details





HK [email protected] 20:38 GMT February 19, 2016
Too many...
Reply   


Too many bulls to gold.

HK [email protected] 20:35 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD


Black money transferred from China-crisis to Australia(demand for 100 bills B4 they will disappear, coins only please)?

Mtl JP 20:26 GMT February 19, 2016
Trading the News

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:48
Let's try something new and work as a team to handicap trading on news events.
-
Jay you will never make a profit trading ahead or right on the release except by fluke OR if you knew the release as a Circle Insider.

The best you can hope is to maybe try fading market reaction if you did not successfully snag a bracket order on the release.

Livingston nh 19:22 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

I'm trying to keep up w /you -- not a big fan of gold but always buy the miners not the metal so AUD gets better, AUD/JPY more than a dead cat - fundamentals mandate yen folks looking for yield will come back to AUD // the Yens move is just bad times drawing money home, once folks realize there are no investments at home funds will flow out//
GBP I can't even guess

nw kw 19:21 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

need to hold u/j 110 for em gage.

nw kw 19:18 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

gbp/cad has pending long fast or Brent?

nw kw 19:16 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

and if good gbp aud will flow to gbp?

nw kw 19:15 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

dead cat in audjpy ? well see

nw kw 19:13 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD



chart fore xauaud,m, looks like aud in china em market crash if this cant decline new top past 2008, what you see,tks, up ar down.

Livingston nh 19:00 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD
Reply   
I don't get it BUT the charts say maybe buy this pair -- DYOR

GVI Forex Blog 18:33 GMT February 19, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 22 February 2016
Reply   


February 19, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for MOnday, February 22, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: JP- flash PMI
  • Europe: EZ flash PMIs, DE- IFO Survey
  • North America: flash Mfg PMI
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

22-Mar MONDAY
All Day JP/EZ/US- flash PMIs
09:00 DE IFO Survey
23-Mar TUESDAY
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
13:30 US- CPI
24-Mar WEDNESDAY
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
25-Mar THURSDAY
09:30 GB- GDP
10:00 EZ- HICP
23:30 JP- CPI
26-Mar FRIDAY
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
15:00 US- Final University of Michigan Survey

GVI Data Calendar for 22 February 2016

Livingston nh 18:22 GMT February 19, 2016
GBP

Grazi, Don Corleone

london red 18:12 GMT February 19, 2016
GBP

a bit of both nh. those short having to cover as event runs into weekend while the prospect of weekend discussions suggest a monday mark-up when they announce a fudged deal. cameron has to have enough to go back to his party and say he made a difference while the eu cant give up too much ground while at the same time they are aware the uk voting to leave will be the beginning of the end for eu stability and another round of weakness. currently there is no out option for anyone.
as in the godfather, everytime i try to get out, they pull me back in ;)

GVI Forex Blog 18:09 GMT February 19, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead: Will UK PM Cameron Pull a Rabbit Out of His Hat?
Reply   

The new week will start out with a focus on sterling, which will be influenced by the outcome of the EU summit talks with the pre-weekend price action suggests optimism that a deal can be worked out. This suggests the surprise would be no deal. This comes in a market where 1 + 1 – 3, at least as far as USDJPY goes as the failure to regain 115 despite the mid-week gains in equities has it ending the week on a defensive note. In this regard 112 will be pivotal in keeping the recent 110.97 low intact. EURUSD, meanwhile, has been in a chop since its retreat on Monday and I outline the levels to watch on both sides in my week ahead video. 

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead: Will UK PM Cameron Pull a Rabbit Out of His Hat?

GVI Forex john bland 18:05 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts



height="25">

ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 514 vs 541 (-27) prev
US (oil): 413 vs. 439 (-26) prev

Canada 206 vs. 222 (-16) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Livingston nh 17:59 GMT February 19, 2016
GBP
Reply   
So is Cable up on a deal (w/EUR/GBP down) OR is it up on NO deal

Livingston nh 17:51 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

As the Fear Trade wanes the SPX should rally above 1920 this afternoon - maybe more as the internals are starting to come into balance // oil still a wild card but should not break down yet

Paris ib 17:19 GMT February 19, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Another day another big figure in the USD JPY.
Test of 112 coming up... though this market doesn't feel very lively at the moment. It could jolly up on a break. :-)

HK [email protected] 17:19 GMT February 19, 2016
usdjpy



Too many bulls to gold.

nw kw 16:38 GMT February 19, 2016
usdjpy

Gold stagnant in a daily range.

whut gold xauaud descending vastly see gold moves than fx moves from golds differential in rangs and
every time, fun,

or you sleeping at the wheel?

london red 16:38 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

some noises from uk that deal could be done today but earlier eu diplomats told to extend stay over weekend. no cabinet meeting set for today yet so dave not ready to talk yet.

NY JM 16:31 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

Either there is some news or those privy to the discussion have an inside track as GBPUSD and EURGBP is down.

london red 16:20 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

the bandits i speak to havent heard anything. i think it may be closing of gbp shorts. really we should get a deal its a bit surprising it hasnt come but thats prob the fault of poland and hungary, otherwise they wouldve fudged something by now for dave to take to the sunday braodsheets ahead of the weekend poll. so long cable options o/wknd maybe not that risky given at lows.

UK JY 16:15 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

Positive chatter from the EU summit?

london red 16:07 GMT February 19, 2016
usdjpy

11244 is 38.2

HK [email protected] 15:47 GMT February 19, 2016
usdjpy


Yen completely unpredictable.

But no surprise if 113.40 will be seen first.

Gold stagnant in a daily range.

london red 15:32 GMT February 19, 2016
usdjpy

yen hourly closes are rotating around 50% fib of recent rebound 111/115 at 112.91.

hk ooozmeeh 15:28 GMT February 19, 2016
usdjpy
Reply   
yen about t break the hourly bear flag,,,,

london red 15:21 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

yes looking less likely of an upside surprise, may see some disappointment into fix. 50 to focus on on the dwnside. then 35 and 20. topside 83 and 14305. now unlikely to see 14352 test given news that eu diplomats exiting hotel stay over weekend.
euro. 11122/23 initial res. while below there more downside poss.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:16 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

10:11(UK) Brexit discussions at EU leader summit could go into tomorrow - press

1500 GMT session said to have been postponed through dinner

- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 15:11 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

here is Kolanovic on one of his favorite long positions: gold.

... recently established positive gold momentum is becoming more robust with time.

JPMorgan Head Quant Explains Why Most Hedge Funds Have Been Slammed In 2016

SaaR KaL 15:08 GMT February 19, 2016
1 to 2 weeks
Reply   
Short EURJPY and Oil

Livingston nh 14:27 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

Interesting moves in Treasurys as Fear Trade competes w/ folks who smell smoke edging towards the exit

dc CB 14:25 GMT February 19, 2016
Not the Onion
Reply   
The ETF would mark the first time a Wall Street bank uses its own research report as the basis for an ETF.

The filing from Goldman also included another new ETF born out of their global investment research group called the Goldman Sachs High Sharpe Ratio ETF

Hedge Fund Research Into an ETF

london red 14:10 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

sup 87-77 and bak under pressure if below

dc CB 14:01 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

Livingston nh 13:15

re: Kashkari...yes he's been all over the MSM..but the cynic in me is thinking this is to assuage the Sanders/Trump radicals...with yes the FED thinks about this, yes the FED has some who care. (ps however the Statute of Limitation on Criminal Prosecution is long gone)

I'm short oil, short euro, long silver. all with longer dated options.

Another Expiry today is Options on Treasury Futures.

OPEX Stocks cud run on it's own..but oil is going down, it was all BS to get out of Longs at a higher price.

Crude Vol OI

GVI Forex Blog 13:57 GMT February 19, 2016
Breaking News Canada CPI Higher
Reply   

Canada: Headline CPI and BOC Core CPI up.

Breaking News Canada CPI Higher

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:53 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



One hour line chart

GVI Forex Blog 13:52 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Weak
Reply   

Canada: Retail Sales miss

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Retail Sales Weak

nw kw 13:51 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

eurcat

nw kw 13:50 GMT February 19, 2016
Yen resilient to any news? Have it's own life.

audjpy

nw kw 13:47 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

lumber pit good.

nw kw 13:46 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

usa up from rent and cad bad from grub

GVI Forex Blog 13:45 GMT February 19, 2016
Breaking News: U.S. CPI A bit Higher
Reply   

U.S. January CPI a touch hotter than expected.

Breaking News: U.S. CPI A bit Higher

HK [email protected] 13:44 GMT February 19, 2016
Yen resilient to any news? Have it's own life.
Reply   
.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:43 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Our 200 day mva shows 1.1045

Watch hourly close vs. 1.1071 as yet to confirm.

london red 13:39 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

euro. 200dma 11055 50% fib 11044. mkt rarely closes at 200dma on first run at it. so today likely to see close nearer 110 or abv 111. cable some sup 14219 with a bit a head of that option related.

GVI Forex john bland 13:37 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: Retail Sales December 2015

Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Headline: -2.20% vs. -0.90% exp. vs. +1.70% prev.
X-Autos: -1.60% vs. -0.70% exp. vs. +1.10%%( r 1.0%) prev.


RELEASE: Canadian Retail Sales



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 13:36 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Note well -- CPI " The increase was broad-based, with most of the major components rising, but increases in the indexes for shelter and medical care were the largest contributors."

Plug those into the Fed's fav and see what you get

HK [email protected] 13:36 GMT February 19, 2016
USD knocks down all to the ring!
Reply   
.

GVI Forex john bland 13:35 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: Bank of Canada Core and Consumer Prices January 2016

Canada Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
Bank of Canada Core
yy:+2.00% vs. 1.90% exp. vs. +1.90% prev.
Headline
mm: +0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.50% prev.
yy: +2.00% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 13:32 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Consumer Price Index January 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Headline:
m/m: 0.0% vs.-0.10% exp. v -0.10% pre
y/y: +1.40% vs. +1.300% exp. v +0.70% pre
Core:
y/y: 2.20% vs. +2.10% exp. v +2.10% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 13:32 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

this. real weekly earnings 0.7 vs 0.1%

london red 13:24 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

these negotiations are pretty much for show so if they cant agree any here then people will be throwing in towel on cable into weekend thats what i hear. another summit in a months time would see them have another go if nothing today, so june 23 date could still be on table even if failure today. any good news today is good for euro but eurgbp will come off heavily and that will hamper euro upside. It may spike but will get sold into. Cable of course will hold gains test 144/14444

Livingston nh 13:15 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

Cb - re: the outspoken Fed guy LINK - getting some attention away from MSM "economists"

Also how do you judge the OPEX impact vs oil correlation
for stox?

___
Jp - thanx for chart

___
EU/UK "negotiation" - if this blows up or looks like too much concession either side - the weight may be on the EUR AND the GBP -- ?

GVI Forex john bland 13:13 GMT February 19, 2016
Trading the News

nh good points. I agree that a stronger than expected CPI would have a greater than expected impact than a softer one, if for no other reason than it would be a break in the status quo.

london red 13:12 GMT February 19, 2016
Trading the News

nh agree. the surprise will beat on a hotter cpi and a sharper move. but doesnt mean usd cannot fall if cpi weak. euro has to move under 11077 or else may move over 100hma. cable sideways for a few days likely to see a big move by the close today. eu talks on going. likely to do over a fig by close off 14280/143. daily straddle 60 pips. euro will be pulled by eurgbp reaction to any eu news. use these swings to enter at favour levels.

dc CB 13:07 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes

April Crude still holding $2.20+/- over March. $32.45April. Shud move back toward $30 after March goes off the boards Monday.

Livingston nh 12:57 GMT February 19, 2016
Trading the News

Regardless of CPI demotion by the Fed a higher than expected figure will have more of an impact than a downside miss because a) it will be a negative impact on LT expectations which are now biased towards deflation fear and b) it will be a second data point following a "surprising" but generally irrelevant PPI

This upside plays against the Fed because it adds to the sense of confusion that the Minutes displayed in full view -- not dovish, not hawkish, just lost

dc CB 12:56 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

which way's Dutchland??

Tax evaders cash on the move

dc CB 12:51 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

see my dc CB 04:06 GMT
Australia's missing $100 bills could be being stockpiled by criminals or those seeking to avoid taxes, an expert says, as momentum to axe high-denomination bills builds worldwide

and dc CB 04:27 GMT
so this is just a coincidence? They don't harve a script?
___________________________________________________
The tax strategy is known to accountants as the "double Irish, Dutch Sandwich'.

---------------------------------------------------
that's at least a few Boeing C-17 Globemaster IIIs full of 500Euro notes...think of the cost in jet fuel alone.


Google Accounts Show 11 Billion Euros Moved via Low Tax 'Dutch Sandwich' in 2014

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:48 GMT February 19, 2016
Trading the News
Reply   
Let's try something new and work as a team to handicap trading on news events.

US CPI is up next and market will likely be sensitive to a miss on both sides. Typically a reaction would be short-lived as this is not the favored Fed inflation indicator.

Feel free to add your comments and any strategies to trade the news event.

GVI Forex 12:17 GMT February 19, 2016
Friday's Trading Themes
Reply   
1) Firmer JPY. Is it signaling risk off?

2) WTI $30 and impact on stocks (which have turned lower)

3) GBP: Cameron negotiations - watch out for headlines as it will impact GBP, which has given back yesterday's gains

Mtl JP 11:23 GMT February 19, 2016
cable

(Reuters) - Prime Minister David Cameron argued for much of the night in Brussels on Friday with European Union partners determined to limit concessions on offer to help keep Britain in the bloc.
-
European Union partners .... ROFL

"If we can reach agreement here that is strong enough to persuade the British people to support the UK's membership of the EU then we have an opportunity to settle this issue for a generation." traitor Cameron told leaders on Thursday

GVI Forex john bland 10:52 GMT February 19, 2016
My Friday Trades
Reply   
DAX -34
DJ +2
SP +0.5

US 1.744% -0.1 bp
DE 0.197% -2.1
UK 1.382% -0.4
JA 0.013% -0.7

wti $32.34 -0.59 ($32.98-32.31)

EUR mostly higher on its crosses but notably weaker vs JPY. Pivoting 1.1100 vs USD. U.S. CPI data due on the open could be a market mover. While PCE deflator is the preferred Fed measure, CPI is also very closely watched. Recall the Fed is targeting inflation theses days.

Paris ib 09:44 GMT February 19, 2016
USDJPY

FWIW

Japan data

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article44261.htm 09:40 GMT February 19, 2016
USD sell off PART II

"The offshoring of US manufacturing and professional service jobs to Asia stopped the growth of consumer demand in the US, decimated the middle class...
Without growth in consumer incomes to drive the economy, the Federal Reserve under Alan Greenspan substituted the growth in consumer debt...
Using the smoke and mirrors of under-reported inflation and unemployment, the US government kept alive the appearance of economic recovery. Foreigners fooled by the deception continue to support the US dollar by holding US financial instruments....
By understating inflation, the US government has overstated GDP growth....
...if the jobs have been sent offshore, monetary and fiscal policy cannot work....."

Little bit of joy from Dr. Roberts

GVI Forex Blog 09:39 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Beat Estimates
Reply   

U.K. Retail Sales beat estimates. Prior Data revised weaker.

U.K. Charts

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Beat Estimates

GVI Forex john bland 09:33 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Big beat in headline retail sales, but large downward revisions to December.

GVI Forex john bland 09:32 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. Retail Sales January 2016

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: +2.30% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. -1.00% (r -1.40%) prev.
x-fuel
mm: +2.30% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. -0.90% (r -1.30%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:28 GMT February 19, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

Global-View Trading Technologies

GVI Forex Blog 09:20 GMT February 19, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading

Global-View Trading Technologies

SaaR KaL 09:14 GMT February 19, 2016
1 to 2 weeks

Long USDCAD mkt

SaaR KaL 09:11 GMT February 19, 2016
1 to 2 weeks

SHort Oil
adding at 30.833

Short AUDJPY at mkt

Short GBPJPY Mkt
adding 162.2364

SaaR KaL 09:07 GMT February 19, 2016
1 to 2 weeks

Long Gold
short USDJPY here at mkt

GVI Forex john bland 09:05 GMT February 19, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets Early in Europe

Markets on hold as negotiations at the EU Summit drag on for an agreement on a program to keep the U.K. in the EU. Whatever gets agreed upon would then be presented to UK voters later in the year.

Mtl JP 08:45 GMT February 19, 2016
cable

The move by the British PM to get a “credible deal” with Brussels to persuade Brits to stay in the EU has been called “humiliating” by the head of the UK Independence Party, who told RT that David Cameron will not be able to guarantee anything to the UK public.

https://www.rt.com/uk/332942-cameron-brussels-eu-farage/

kl shawn 07:44 GMT February 19, 2016
cable
Reply   
cable looks weak on upticks, 1.41 maybe printed later?

SaaR KaL 07:33 GMT February 19, 2016
AUDUSD next year
Reply   
Got a general sell
0.7369 0.6075
I think even 0.55 is possible

1-2 weeks sell range
0.7211 0.7022
Could be very much for the year sell off in the next 2 weeks

SaaR KaL 07:08 GMT February 19, 2016
1 to 2 weeks
Reply   
Orders Pending
Longs
EUR/USD 1.103
EUR/AUD 1.5401
XAU/USD 1,203.68
XAG/USD 15.125
USD/CAD 1.3632


Shorts
AUD/USD 0.7211
USD/CHF 0.9993
GBP/CHF 1.429
GBP/USD 1.44801
USOil 30.789
USOil 31.764
USD/JPY 114.68

GBP/JPY 163.944
NAS100 4,242.38
USDOLLAR 12,138
US30 16,589.39

Hong HK 05:41 GMT February 19, 2016
AceTrader Feb 19: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply   
Update Time: 19 Feb 2016 04:16 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1123
Although euro's break of indicated daily sup at 1.1086 to 1.1071 in New York morning on Thur suggests the medium- term rise from 2015 Dec's 7-1/2 month bottom at 1.0523 has made a top last week at 1.1377, intra-day rebound in Asia today suggests consolidation with near term upside bias is in store, above 1.1150/57 res would bring stronger retracement to 1.1179, however, reckon res at 1.1193 would hold and yield retreat later today or Monday.

Below 1.1071 would extend to 1.1060 (December's high, now sup), however, weakening of downward momentum should keep euro above projected sup at 1.0035/40.

dc CB 04:27 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

so this is just a coincidence? They don't harve a script?

By Lawrence H. Summers February 16 WashPost

I remember that when the euro was being designed in the late 1990s, I argued with my European G7 colleagues that skirmishing over seigniorage by issuing a 500 euro note was highly irresponsible and mostly would be a boon to corruption and crime.

in certain circles the 500 euro note is known as the “Bin Laden” confirms the arguments against it.

I’d guess the idea of removing existing notes is a step too far. But a moratorium on printing new high denomination notes would make the world a better place.
If Europe moved, pressure could likely be brought on others,notably Switzerland.

I confess to not being surprised that resistance within the ECB is coming out of Luxembourg, with its long and unsavory tradition of giving comfort to tax evaders, money launderers, and other proponents of bank secrecy and where 20 times as much cash is printed, relative to gross domestic, compared to other European countries.

It’s time to kill the $100 bill It's time to go after big money

Sydney ACC 04:18 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

There are 300 million AUD 100 notes and a further 600 million AUD 50 notes. Ignoring other notes and coin that's 60 billion dollars.
There are now 24 million people in Australia.
That's AUD 2,500 for everyone from 0-105.
I never carry more than AUD 200 and that's after I've been to an ATM.
The only time the average person would have more than AUD 500 I'd say is when they're paying a tradesman and avoiding GST.
There's something to be said for periodically replacing all notes in circulation and requiring a person to divulge their tax file number to avoid tax being withheld by the Reserve Bank on changeover.

Hong HK 04:08 GMT February 19, 2016
AceTrader Feb 19: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
19 Feb 2016 03:25GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Dollar is nursing loss during Tokyo lunch session after extending o/n decline to 112.71 as a gap-down open in the Nikkie do to a late retreat in U.S. stocks prompted another wave of broad-based yen-buying on risk aversion, price easily penetrated o/n NY low of 113.14 at Asian open, triggering stops below 113.00.

With the Nikkei index expected to come under pressure in post-lunch session, selling dlr on recovery is favoured.
Offers are tipped at 113.10 n more at 113.30/40 with stops above there.
Initial bids are noted at 112.80-70 with some stops below there.

Pay attention to release to key U.S. inflation data at 13:30GMT. In addition, later today at 15:00GMT, after last week's testimony by Fed Chair Yellen on Capital Hill, Yellen will deliver Fed's semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress, she will also answer questions from U.S. lawmakers, so any comments on future rate decision will affect dlr's movement.

dc CB 04:06 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

Your turn ---- boy U must have alot of criminals and tax evaders living in that ex-penal colony, guess it's in the genes. Repent surrender those C-notes.
_______________________________________----------------------Reading from the script that was distrubuted this year at Davos...with a "let's see how this flies with your sheeple" in the attached note ---------------Repeat the following or a variation. feel free to improvise. Down Under they chose to go for the throat...not mincing words
____________________________________________

Australia's missing $100 bills could be being stockpiled by criminals or those seeking to avoid taxes, an expert says, as momentum to axe high-denomination bills builds worldwide.

The Reserve Bank's website says there are 300 million $100 notes in circulation.....However, the $100 bill is rarely seen.

Swinburne University adjunct professor in marketing Steve Worthington said speculation was rife $100 bills, which are rarely stocked in ATMs, were being used for tax evasion and crime.

"The RBA is printing a lot more $100 notes than are out there, so one must speculate they're either being hoarded by people to avoid paying tax or by criminals to store wealth," he said.

Dirty money: Australia's missing $100 bills in hands of criminals, tax cheats, expert warns

jkt abel 03:35 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD

they want to prop up their property and stocks market with everything they can, until one day it all crumbles in front of their very own eyes...

Sydney ACC 03:01 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD/USD
Reply   
John Edwards a member of the Reserve Bank board, previuosly economist for HSBC in Australia and NZ may have said too much in an interview with the WSJ.

Edwards said he would be happier with AUD/USD at 65 cents.

“The problem with leaving interest rates unchanged in Australia while other major central banks are contemplating easing is that it will risk the Australian dollar entering a damaging appreciation. We now expect 25 basis points of easing in May and 25 basis points of easing in July", Mr Edwards added.

Mtl JP 02:53 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

more assertions from Kuroda

http://asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/Economy/Kuroda-warns-of-stock-currency-volatility

and ..... he is carefully watching

Mtl JP 02:47 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

according to Kuroda negative rates will help boost Japan's economy

Sydney ACC 02:44 GMT February 19, 2016
USDJPY

One difference between today and 2004 is that Japan now runs a trade deficit whereas up until Fukushima it consistently ran surpluses.
Nevertheless what you say about interventions remains correct.

HK [email protected] 02:26 GMT February 19, 2016
Gold spoofers in action to protect Stox from decline.
Reply   


Stox are down while serious bank crisis in Italy is looming and so gold should act as safe haven.

Last days rally in stox, was short covering, not fresh buying, so expect the smart money to bail as soon as possible.

Houston mw 02:23 GMT February 19, 2016
USDJPY
Reply   
How much money will the BOJ lose on defending the JPY? Trillions were spent in or around 2004 in order to defend 125 only to see it rise to low 70's. History is never learned only repeated.

dc CB 01:50 GMT February 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Opposition lawmaker Motoyuki Odachi accuses Mr. Kuroda of sounding like a World War II propaganda broadcast

dc CB 01:41 GMT February 19, 2016
The best way to eliminate 500 euro bills; Just demonetize them.

Philip Brunner and Manuel Brandberg, members of the right-wing Swiss People’s Party, have proposed a motion that they hope Zug will support for a cantonal initiative seeking changes to the federal currency law.

They argue that the creation of 5,000-franc notes will ensure that the Swiss franc maintains its status as a safe haven currency.

In this context "cash is comparable to the service firearm kept by Swiss citizen soldiers," the pair argued in their motion, saying they both “guarantee freedom”.

HK [email protected] 01:32 GMT February 19, 2016
The best way to eliminate 500 euro bills; Just demonetize them.
Reply   

One will have go to the bank, and get smaller bills in exchange for the 500 demonetized.

Any amount offered for a change above a certain figure, must identify the person in the bank.

Sydney ACC 01:27 GMT February 19, 2016
Camerom

Telegraph reports Summit concluded 15 minutes ago.

dc CB 01:03 GMT February 19, 2016
Welcome to the 16th Century

the Pope is the Head of one of the largest, richest banks in the West. A bank that holds real physical "money", not numbers entered into a digital balance sheet.

HK [email protected] 00:58 GMT February 19, 2016
Welcome to the 16th Century


Maybe the Santo Papa is right.

Also the Israelis are building walls around Israel, and indeed they are not Christians.

Maybe Trump has to donate few millions to the Vatican, so to be cleared of the sin of thinking about building walls.

The S. Papa is a bit naive, or pretend to be so?

dc CB 00:48 GMT February 19, 2016
Welcome to the 16th Century
Reply   
Eliz I of England
in 1570 Pope Pius V (r 1566-72) excommunicated Elizabeth, describing her as "the pretended Queen of England, the Servant of Wickedness."

Pope Francis Suggests Donald Trump Is ‘Not Christian’

Mtl JP 00:23 GMT February 19, 2016
My Thursday Trades



nh 14:35 - USD/CAD closed below daily 89 ema - I may need to give up on this one
-
no hurry to
stick with the yellow line as your current bias pivot
I find trying to figure trades on some cross-correlations and/or fundamentals injections does not beat simple priceaction against consistent application of a few chosen techs
it does not get simpler than that imo

 




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