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Forex Forum Archive for 02/22/2016

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HK [email protected] 23:20 GMT February 22, 2016
2 pair happy with now



AUDUSD Short
Oil Shorts

Sometimes common sense works better than robots:(

dc CB 22:34 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade

when TOS annces a Major Updgrade...as Most Interesting Man in the World advises....be flat my friend, be flat.

Belgrade TD 22:27 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade

@dc ... TOS- me too, but no damage to my PF ... am with TOS since they started and its never happened before but i learned "my lesson" with other stations so am always prepared for similar "events" :)

dc CB 22:20 GMT February 22, 2016
Not the Onion
Reply   
Market Moving Government Stats that make/lose U Money at every release...in micro seconds. Hey we can't even measure snowfall on any goven day.

Waiting on the revisions.
________________________________________________________

Reagan National Airportís measurement came under scrutiny after The Washington Post reported weather observers at the airport had lost a snow-measuring board during the storm, possibly contributing to a total that was lower than others in the region. The National Weather Service guidelines require that a so-called snow board be used and cleared every six hours to prevent compaction.

One month after the blizzard, still no decision on questionable D.C. snow total

dc CB 22:12 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade

tks, I'll do that.
bye the way did you get dinged when they did the Java 8 upgrade the weekend of Jan 23? TOSsed me out of the game for 2 days. lol

Belgrade TD 22:08 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade



dc CB 21:15 GMT 02/22/2016

I noticed that you are using TOS ... send me an email (one in Profile) and I'll send you this strategy based on the price and strength of movement ... its kind of my adaptation ... not perfect but is a good adviser for some symbols/pairs ... if you're interested ...

HK [email protected] 21:57 GMT February 22, 2016
Westpac raises business interest rates
Reply   

If the RBA, is not giving enough... let the client pay for it.

But this means higher inflation too, making it less favorable for further interest cuts by the RBA.

Westpac raises business interest rates

dc CB 21:34 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade

*BHP SAYS CURRENT IRON ORE PRESIDENT JIMMY WILSON TO LEAVE CO.

*BHP SAYS CURRENT PRESIDENT PETROLEUM TIM CUTT TO ALSO LEAVE CO.

The Fork...stick...turn over...done

Emini Hourly

dc CB 21:15 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade

Hope U didn't bail the entire position

Caffeeeeennn babyEnergy Drink
MONSTER WORLDWIDE CFO RESIGNED dn 2buck so far
http://www.citronresearch.com/

and the wrist band to monitor that heart rate...after that 16oz of Juice
FITBIT SEES 1Q REV. $420M-$440M, EST. $484.6M; SHARES FALL

Citron Target on Monster Beverage: $80 Near Term

dc CB 20:38 GMT February 22, 2016
Oil Wars

AND the Homer Simpson D'OH Award of the Day goes to>>>>>>>>

EL-BADRI SAYS PAPER SPECULATION PLAYING LARGE ROLE IN OIL PRICE

GVI Forex Blog 20:34 GMT February 22, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 20:26 GMT February 22, 2016
Oil Wars
Reply   
OPECíS EL-BADRI SAYS 70% OIL SUPPLY OVERHANG IN U.S.

EL-BADRI SAYS OPEC DOESN'T KNOW HOW TO TACKLE OIL OVERHANG

OPECíS EL-BADRI SAYS SHALE OIL WILL COME BACK WITH PRICE HIKE.

dc CB 20:15 GMT February 22, 2016
War on Cash

The Uniquely American Dielmma. Unlike the Japanese, as they buy up all safes available. The American (criminal, terrorist, tax evader, otherwise scoundrel, who wants to withdraw cash and put it in a home safe) MUST face the decision...IS MY GUN SAFE ENOUGH or should I buy a dedicated Cash/Valuables Safe and locate it elsewhere inside my 4000 sqft house.

And Yeh I'm FAMILIAR with 100's...Benjamins as we call them around the Wed's nite poker table. Hey NYTimes give be a break, one of your editors is a regular in our game.

dc CB 19:50 GMT February 22, 2016
War on Cash

there was a letter to the editor this weekend in the WashPost about the original Summers OpEd.

The writer said that he had just sold a car for $8,000 and had struggled to count the 80 hundreds a few times to make sure they were all there. Imagine, he wrote if they were 20s and I had to count thru 400 of them.

Livingston nh 19:39 GMT February 22, 2016
War on Cash

cb - What about the track-- in line to make a double b4 the bell rings and some mope is dealing w/ "please swipe your card again" -- Crime? the murder rate will double // I was very surprised to find out that tax free income commercials were not talking about the 14 to 1 shots or weekly football tickets

The states took over the lottery but didn't eliminate the numbers or bookies

dc CB 19:33 GMT February 22, 2016
War on Cash

as I noted earlier...this is the Exact Same Script, Draggi, Summers, the 2 Academics from Austraila and now the NYTimes...They don't even bother to change the words, only the difference is the emphasis...criminals, or Terrorists...

I really like that right at the top they state catagorically ---most Americans rarely encounter the $100 bill. ----- and this is from a NY City paper...$100 is dinner for two.

Livingston nh 19:26 GMT February 22, 2016
War on Cash

Sutton would still be robbing banks today but he wouldn't be using the Front Door -- 100 Franklin ?? lot easier to keystroke $20 mio out of a bank // the ransom computer hijackers are not asking for small bills in a Brown Bag under a tree

Something else is afoot

dc CB 19:20 GMT February 22, 2016
War on Cash
Reply   
By THE EDITORIAL BOARD

most Americans rarely encounter the $100 bill. Yet hundreds of millions of these notes are in circulation around the world, where they are often used by drug cartels, corrupt politicians, terrorists and tax cheats to evade law enforcement

Getting Rid of Big Currency Notes Could Help Fight Crime

Belgrade TD 19:09 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade

Belgrade TD 18:08:06 GMT - 02/22/2016
am preparing for short position at the end of this hour ... /NQ futures (nas100) ...
###

short ~4228 ...

dc CB 18:52 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

Emini now solidly above the double Red Lines.
2:15 Express aiming to put a hurtin' on Shorty
1957, the 1970-73

Livingston nh 18:41 GMT February 22, 2016
G-20
Reply   
China may make it very painful for CNY speculators ahead of the G-20 --- this meeting should be like a Keystone Kops car chase // very few of these countries are on the same page in GDP growth, monetary policy or fiscal policy (austerity still ??) -- political upheaval in some, stagflation, capital flight // but I'm sure the meals will be top flight

GVI Forex Blog 18:27 GMT February 22, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 23 February 2016
Reply   


February 23, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, February 23, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- IFO Survey
  • North America: US- Case-Shiller, Existing Homes Sales, Richmond Fed, CB Consumer Confidence, 2-yr Auction, API Crude
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

23-Mar TUESDAY
09:00 DE IFO Survey
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
15:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
24-Mar WEDNESDAY
14:45 US- flash Service PMI
15:00 US- New Home Sales
15:30 US- EIA Crude
25-Mar THURSDAY
09:30 GB- GDP
10:00 EZ- HICP
23:30 JP- CPI
26-Mar FRIDAY
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
15:00 US- Final University of Michigan Survey

GVI Data Calendar for 23 February 2016

Belgrade TD 18:08 GMT February 22, 2016
Daily TA trade

am preparing for short position at the end of this hour ... /NQ futures (nas100) ...

Livingston nh 18:06 GMT February 22, 2016
GBP/JPY
Reply   
Short term this one may adjust the most to Brexit - pound up, yen nega rate (no chance of nega rate in UK and more likely Japan keeps shooting itself in the foot) -- 4hr chart - 21 declining = a move above 162 and the daily 21 dma declining above 166

The banks are bluffing when they suggest to leave the City

london red 16:33 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

in conjunction with stocks (so a break away frm current underperformance), if usdjpy no lower daily low they can test 11508/116, prob break their necks as usual so 11450/115 in 48 hours.

london red 16:31 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

s&p. if moving abv 1947 squeeze on to 1960 (staying abv 1933 keeps that game in play). abv 1960 then can see 2060/2100 overshoot.

Mtl JP 16:06 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

sounds like a business idea : a retail chain selling / renting safes
definitely keep money / gold / diamonds out of banks
and use CBanker nega-rates yikyak for promotions and PR

dc CB 15:48 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

Negative interest rates spur sales of safesóa place where the interest rate on cash is always zero

Japanese Seeking a Place to Stash Cash Start Snapping Up Safes

Mtl JP 15:44 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

when yield spread does not drive assume fear and lack of trust is the driver
technically no need to get excited going long while under 100ma on the hourly bar

UK JY 15:34 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

JPY is an enigma as it should be weaker. maybe it happens out of the blue. No explanation.

Mtl JP 15:32 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

no trust in Kuroda yak

VN LP 15:21 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

stock s higher but usdjpy lower. pls help why??

GVI Forex Blog 15:05 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Markit PMI Weaker
Reply   

U.S. flash Markit Mfg PMI down strongly

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Markit PMI Weaker

dc CB 14:54 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

as of Fri- prelim data show...April CL contract shows 505K Open Interest....each is for 1000bls----------505,000,000bls-----505millionbls . It goes off the boards on Mar 21

CME OI

Mtl JP 14:49 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



and so what is ....
SnP rides higher

GVI Forex john bland 14:46 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Weaker than expected

GVI Forex john bland 14:45 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Markit flash Mfg PMI February 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
51.0 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.4 prev


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

nw kw 14:36 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

oil looking short covering for tomorrow oil meeting mist details

nw kw 14:24 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

cad banks tomorrow will give up or down for c banks

Livingston nh 14:19 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

JP - USD/CAD still seems hostage to oil price -- maybe you could get Justin to give a speech (CB -price will drop as front month ?)

Neither FTSE nor Gilts seem to have a problem w/Brexit

Early Jan SPX downgaps (~1980 and ~2040) are targets in view -- Treasurys still don't believe the CPI or the Fed so there is a risk they all wake up at once

Mtl JP 14:09 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

dc CB it is good for stocks
just dlryen needs now to get on confirmation board and bust N of 113.47

dc CB 14:04 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

WTI crude prices are up almost 6% this morning with April (the new front-month) trading above $33.50 - testing post-DOE plunge stops. The irony of the ramp is that it comes amid terrible global PMIs (demand), a report from IEA of oil staying in glut for longer than expected (supply), and warnings from Abu Dhabi's biggest bank that $20 oil is possible.

Oh well, we are sure the algos know what they are doing... despite veterans of the 1980s oil glut warning it could take 7 to 10 years to emerge from the current slump.

WTI Surges Above $33 Despite IEA 'Glutter'-For-Longer Warnings

Mtl JP 13:55 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

gbp low so far 1.4056

Mtl JP 13:53 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

euro
200 day 1.1045
50 day 1.0967
100 day 1.0951

HK [email protected] 13:52 GMT February 22, 2016
audusd



CB looking for sub 0.69... hahaha: That's what they want you to believe in.

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

nh note usdcad 100dma at 1.3626
currently support

msa nsm 13:37 GMT February 22, 2016
audusd
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Nice setup if we hold the channel + CB looking for sub 0.69

Mtl JP 13:13 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

with euro sub its 200dma 1.09 looms
should see Gold/euro rally

Mtl JP 13:06 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

gbp 1.4080 = ytd low , 2x bottom
bellow is deep
above 1.4120 res

dc CB 13:00 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

Futures rammed up overnight. Emini 30.50 from low to high.
Will cash take the opportunity to sell higher.

Emini banging on the Double Red Tracks again

Emini hourly

Dubai SH 12:57 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades

Any eurusd or gbpusd buyers out there looking to pick bottoms?

GVI Forex john bland 12:46 GMT February 22, 2016
My Monday Trades
Reply   
DAX +164

DJ +169
SP +19

US 1.771% +1.8
DE 0.196% -0.7
UK 1.398% +2.0
JA 0.001% -1.2

Clearly Risk-On to start the week
EUR mixed on its crosses Mostly weaker except vs. GBP

WTI (Apr) $32.98 +1.23 ($33.11-31.70)
new front month

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:34 GMT February 22, 2016
EURUSD Technical Update: 200 Day MA on the Radar

Performing as suggested following the 200 day mva break.

GVI Forex Blog 11:42 GMT February 22, 2016
Why Has GBPUSD Sold-Off on Brexit Risk?
Reply   

GBP has not only fallen sharply vs. the USD but on its crosses following the EU summit agreement that has paved the way for a June 23 Brexit referendum

Why Has GBPUSD Sold-Off on Brexit Risk?

GVI Forex Blog 11:19 GMT February 22, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

CORRECTED

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading

Global-View Trading Technologies

bali sja 10:52 GMT February 22, 2016
euro

how about Scotland, this gets interesting if the issue is brought to the surface again together with the brexit issue

bali sja 10:41 GMT February 22, 2016
euro

right, so if euro to go to parity, what would cable be at that time? this brexit thing is puzzling

GVI Forex Blog 10:26 GMT February 22, 2016
EURUSD Technical Update: 200 Day MA on the Radar
Reply   

The following is a post from a highly regarded EURUSD Technical Update: 200 Day MA on the Radar

singapore td 10:22 GMT February 22, 2016
buy usdjpy

looking good for 116.50

hk ab 10:22 GMT February 22, 2016
e/j
Reply   
buy 1st lot in 125.18

2nd lot pending.

jkt abel 10:19 GMT February 22, 2016
euro
Reply   
euro should stay below 1.1120 for this move to have some legs

Hillegom Purk 10:18 GMT February 22, 2016
eur/gbp shorts.
Reply   
In again. Already did some trades. Keeping 7804. Another good trading pair for the rest of 2016. Thanks whoever this is doing. Just like e/c u/c, keep UP the good work.

singapore td 10:17 GMT February 22, 2016
usd
Reply   
usd is back with vengeance...and style!

Hong Kong HK 10:15 GMT February 22, 2016
AceTrader Feb 22: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 22 Feb 2016 08:31 GMT

USD/JPY - 112.94
Dollar's intra-day selloff from 113.21 to 112.31 on Friday strongly suggests the first leg of correction from February's 15-month trough at 110.99 has ended at 114.88 last Tuesday and consolidation with downside bias would be seen for weakness towards 112.10/13.
However, near term loss of momentum would keep price above support at 111.66/70.

On the upside, only above 114.51 would indicate aforesaid pullback is over instead and turn outlook bullish for a re-test of said top, break, 115.10/20.

singapore td 09:57 GMT February 22, 2016
buy usdjpy
Reply   
heading to above 116 for monthly close....

jkt abel 09:33 GMT February 22, 2016
GBPUSD

maybe 1.3850?

Singapore SC 09:18 GMT February 22, 2016
GBPUSD
Reply   
Any suggestions for support?

jkt abel 09:10 GMT February 22, 2016
euro
Reply   
is this the start of another attempt to bring it down to parity?

GVI Forex john bland 09:10 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Flash PMI's Mostly Weaker

EZ Mfg PMI's just barely above 50, while Service PMIs are heading south. I use the PMI data as a coincident indicator and not necessarily predictive.

GVI Forex Blog 09:06 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Flash PMI's Mostly Weaker
Reply   

EZ, GE and FR flash PMIs. mostly weaker vs. estimates.



BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Flash PMI's Mostly Weaker

GVI Forex john bland 09:02 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Ez PMIs generally weakening.

GVI Forex john bland 09:00 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

EZ Flash PMIs February 2016
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts






ALERT
EZ
mfg:51.0 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.3 prev.
svc: 53.0 vs. 53.4 exp. vs. 53.6 prev.

German
mfg: 50.2 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.3
svc: 55.1 vs. 54.8 exp. vs. 55.0

France
mfg: 50.3 vs. 49.9 exp. vs. 50.0
svc: 49.8 vs. 50.3 exp. vs. 50.3


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:56 GMT February 22, 2016
Breaking News: Japan Flash PMI Weakens
Reply   

EARLIER: Japan flash PMI weaker than expected. Falls mo/mo.

Breaking News: Japan Flash PMI Weakens

GVI Forex john bland 08:48 GMT February 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Japan flash PMI February 2016





EARLIER NEWS ALERT
50.2 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 52.3 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

SaaR KaL 08:42 GMT February 22, 2016
2 pair happy with now
Reply   
AUDUSD Short
Oil Shorts

GVI Forex 08:10 GMT February 22, 2016
Trading the News - EZ PMIs

FR) FRANCE FEB PRELIMINARY MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.3 V 49.9E- Services PMI: 49.8 v 50.3e - Composite PMI: 49.8 v 50.3

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 07:24 GMT February 22, 2016
Trading the News - EZ PMIs

EZ PMIs due next. Forecasts for a modest dip and market more likely sensitive to a greater miss on downside should one occur. Main focus is on GBP though as EURUSD range has been just 20 pips so far.

GVI Forex 07:20 GMT February 22, 2016
Brexit Referendum and its Impact on Sterling

Boris campaigning for Brexit cited as one reason for GBP sell off

Hong Kong HK 04:21 GMT February 22, 2016
AceTrader Feb 22: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply   
Update Time: 22 Feb 2016 03:44 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1112
Despite euro's resumption of decline from February's 3-1/2 month peak of 1.1377 to a 2-week trough of 1.1067 in New York last Friday, subsequent rebound to 1.1138 suggests temporary low is possibly in place and a day of choppy consolidation with upside bias is envisaged.
Above 1.1138/39 res would add credence to this view and yield a much-needed retracement towards 1.1179, however, reckon res at 1.1193 would cap upside.

On the downside, only below 1.1060 (previous res, now sup) would risk marginal weakness, near term loss of momentum momentum should prevent steep fall and 1.1030/40 is expected to contain weakness, bring correction.

HK [email protected] 03:12 GMT February 22, 2016
Industrial metals bid to the boots, Iron ore limit up
Reply   


HK [email protected] 20:54 GMT February 19, 2016
AUD: China liquidity boost, spills to Aust.: Reply

Industrial metals bid to the boots, Iron ore limit up

HK [email protected] 02:11 GMT February 22, 2016
How 'black money' saved the Indian economy
Reply   
.

How 'black money' saved the Indian economy

Mtl JP 02:01 GMT February 22, 2016
Trading the News - EZ PMIs

Jay re your Q trade in anticipation of the event
--
trading strategy and trading tactic are not one and the same

I have had - in hindsight - the correct strategy BUT lost pips on the trade thru trade tactic. I am referring to a flash widening spread enough to snag my 25 pip stop if only for a fraction of second and then see price take off without me.

So I am left to wonder why I would strategize in anticipation of the event without considering risk of the tactics of the trade: I either stick out a ticket without a stoploss or put in a stoploss but how wide ?

Strategizing without considering tactics is like hiring a cartoon artist to draw up architectural plan for a building: it may look nice but will stand ?

I have NEVER been able to beat the dealer to the punch of data release
I have only traded prior to tie of release via bracket trade ticket on the theory that the win upside is much bigger than the loss potential (given that the stops would be honored without too much slippage)
but such trades are by nature... a win or lose proposition
so either you guessed correctly.. or you guessed wrong

HK [email protected] 01:37 GMT February 22, 2016
Major failure of yen to respond to appreciation failure; Specs; To the exits.
Reply   

116.30 target first with a higher target at 118.80, if all goes right.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:37 GMT February 22, 2016
Trading the News - EZ PMIs
Reply   
This is a new feature where we look for strategies to trade key events.

When you tune in and see this please let us know if you have a strategy to trade in anticipation of the event.

Economic Calendar

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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