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Forex Forum Archive for 02/25/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:52 GMT February 25, 2016
More Stellar Numbers Debunked postfacto Algo Rampo
Reply   
And then something caught our attention: according to a report by Mitsubishi UFJ's John Hermann, one of the most important, if volatile, series in the overall monthly update, that of commercial aircraft orders made absolutely no sense. As he notes, in January Boeing reported a 70% drop in actual aircraft unit orders (the same in dollar terms), and yet according to the Department of Commerce, the matched series of nondefense aircraft orders soared by 54% in January.

How could this be? Simple: seasonal adjustments.

The Curious Case Of "Strong" January Durable Goods: It Was All In The Seasonal Adjustment

Livingston nh 23:32 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY

The fundamentals are well beyond the carry trade effect -- there is no investment return in Japan - and there is a LOT of savings so money will pour out looking for a HOME

Look at the major companies in Japan - SONY makes a good TV but prices it 15% to 20% above LG or Samsung (see KRW/JPY) - Toshiba ? Toyota ? CHINA, the country's biggest customer is its biggest competitor

The solution is simple but unconventional and Japan is too conventional, too much the follower than the innovator

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:18 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY

Using a one hour chart 113.36 is key resistance.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:14 GMT February 25, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?



We are conducting our own Brexit poll to see what traders expect from the referendum on June 23.

Please participate by clicking below

Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?

HK [email protected] 22:52 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY



112.95, is no magic number, but on the longer term chart(my computation), began recently to form a SUP/RES area, which may now express itself in price action.

So spending long time about this level is not a surprise.

As said below; "even a dead cat has legs"; A failure to break significantly upward this price area will mean, that price eventually may drop back to 100 on longer term.

Double bottom and end of the fiscal year etc. is the talk of the day, so all can happen.

5-WKLY-SMA, threatens to cross the 100-WKLY-SMA downward(rare event), and so the 50 threaten to cross the 65, so much effort should be done by the BOJ to fend off a serious appreciation of the yen.

So no wonder why USD/YEN Bears keep on fighting this level the BOJ.

dc CB 21:15 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

the 10Y has nothing to fear as long as every country in Europe is offering Neg Int Rates.

even 1.2% is better than -0.5%...

Livingston nh 21:11 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

The Fed has NO credibility left with "data dependent" mantra -just because it is amorphous -- Fed funds can influence 2 yr yields but inflation expectations affect the 10 yr -- the Fed gov't has a lot of inflation costs besides simple auction rates and expectations take that into account

MLSO - Fed should be shrinking balance sheet at these levels by feeding treasurys (aka MONEY) back into market to meet demand -- if the market runs away from them it will be in the 10 yr

dc CB 21:09 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

Northy ‏@NorthmanTrader 8m8 minutes ago

Bullard 2 DeMark 0

GVI Forex john bland 21:00 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

It looks to me like they have been running weak USD longs for the past two days.

dc CB 20:59 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

Paying attention to the Inflation Number??? they make up that number up...

Oh We care about Inflation is the Biggest RED Herring that's Ever been dragged under the nose of ...

We'll feed you that line as long as we see you nodding your head in agreement...yes that's important, yes if you say so, yes.

once U stop we'll come out with another "parameter' and repeat that as long as U nod yes.

We (FRBs) just want the market to Go Up a bit more to achieve our Goal....that is not have the thing crash around out heads.

As seen

london red 20:55 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

nh i would use a weak pce to run stops on weak longs. mkt going up tomo if todays close is a goodun.

PAR 20:47 GMT February 25, 2016
Venezuela
Reply   
What you say depends on where you sit. Sell crude .

Livingston nh 20:47 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

cb - depending on the Fed's FAVE for inflation somebody is going to be wrongfooted tomorrow -- I don't think there is a Goldilocks number for inflation // It is rare as a Unicorn for PCE to be above CPI but sometimes .........

dc CB 20:47 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

James Bullard BedTime Stories

2100 oh too big for me

1900 oh too small

2000 Goldilocks

SAM IAM, IAM SAM, I am SOOOOO Powerful I MOVE MARKETS

london red 20:46 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY

real squeeze on yen can come if they dont do a monthly close below 116 shs neck. mkt is massively long yen historically and that will see equally huge yen long liquidation if feb ends c 116. long way to go in not much time, but has been done many times before.
s&p now abv 47. close abv tgts 72/75 low tomo should be abv todays low. so buy pullback to 30/mid 30's if seen as surely they will shake before they run.

dc CB 20:42 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX

well you know Bullard basically just said 2000 SPX and we're good. So just be thankfull that they're actually coming out and saying...yeh this is the price...we'll get it there...just BTFD, like we've been telling U for years. Just trade the range BOYS

Livingston nh 20:37 GMT February 25, 2016
STOX
Reply   
all the recent SPX down gaps have been filled - so now we look to the early January period that has multiple gaps -- if we fill them in the next two weeks even Yellen & Co. will have a hard time talking about market disruption

BUT Fear Trade still buying Treasurys -- 8:30 AM NYT will tell the tale

GVI Forex Blog 20:37 GMT February 25, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 20:36 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

dc CB 14:08 GMT
Today's OIL story: Why a Freeze is actually a Cut.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Next...... from the BEEB

Oil prices spike on output meeting

Livingston nh 20:32 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY

Always tricky to distinguish between dead cat bounce and basing pattern -- looks like a double bottom on USD/JPY this might have legs above 115 (but even a dead cat has legs)

dc CB 20:26 GMT February 25, 2016
JPM



We're doing this to save your pension, guys..don't U get it.

EFT of REITS...shopping centers... YIELD

dc CB 20:19 GMT February 25, 2016
JPM

1955-1960.
then the low 70's, IF it dosen't fall back to the low 1920s and below trading range

IF---then may have to wait for the to/fro of next weeks NFP

Emini hourly

london red 20:09 GMT February 25, 2016
JPM

jamie bottom is the new bullard bottom

dc CB 20:07 GMT February 25, 2016
AAPL

the only reason it's up slightly is beacuse of the press ---Tim Cook, our Secure Savior

APPLE SAYS U.S. CAN’T FORCE IT TO UNLOCK TERRORIST’S IPHONE

PAR 19:57 GMT February 25, 2016
AAPL
Reply   
AAPL moving higher because crude is moving up . Is everybody wacko ?

GVI Forex Blog 19:56 GMT February 25, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 26 February 2016
Reply   


February 25, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, February 26, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: JP- CPI
  • Europe: DE- flash HICP
  • North America: US- Advance Trade, GDP, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, University of Michigan, Rig Count, COT Report
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

25-Feb THURSDAY
23:30 JP- CPI
26-Feb FRIDAY
13:30 US- GDP
13:30 US- PCE Deflator
15:00 US- Final University of Michigan Survey

GVI Data Calendar for 26 February 2016

PAR 19:47 GMT February 25, 2016
JPM
Reply   
JPM estimates 32 % probability of US Recession.
Why is Jamie buying shares ?

nw kw 19:37 GMT February 25, 2016
eur/cad ranges

swap interesting, eur might be tossed in with gbp

nw kw 19:26 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

yak long EM markets are cheap long term.

Hillegom Purk 19:22 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

My Thursday Trades
Hillegom Purk 16:15 GMT 02/25/2016 - My Profile
Right, rest of the day eur/gbp SHORTS. Profit, under 79.
______________________________________________

Closed under 79. Positions where not that big, pips are pips. Now 0,70-0,79 done. Range yearly around 1000. So plenty of nice pips down...
But anything is possible... :)

london red 19:19 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

if they pull off third one, now that will be really impressive. s&p just a couple off 47. if they reverse thats where they do it otherwise road clear for feel good weekend, everything rosy and 1972/75 yen 115 and euro under 110 but abv 109 cos they have to run eurjpy up too.
if 11308/10 seen on yen watch for hourly reversal bulls dont want to see hourly close below 11295 (or on the dot). otherwise will be clear skies.

Hillegom Purk 19:17 GMT February 25, 2016
eur/cad ranges
Reply   
Right, i am stopping with e/c shorts and looking for long opps for the rest of the year. I remember not long ago that e/c was going to the moon. Nothing goes in one straight line. Overshoot is all there is.
We got 140 in november rain 2015 and 161+ in 2016 january.

Normal yearly range is 1500-2000+.
Range 2016 already 1100ish.
Again another great pair!

dc CB 19:10 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

achieving verticality

2 day in a row

HK [email protected] 19:09 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY



FW CS

Didn't look at GBP/USD. Seems too complicated.

The close of USD/JPY should be watched for further direction.

A close at about 112.70 or below may put a question on the USD/JPY rally.

FW CS 19:02 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY

RF

You have an opinion on gbp $?

london red 18:56 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY

11295 tenkan big upside if taken. s&p 47 ditto

HK [email protected] 18:47 GMT February 25, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: NOW Target: 113.40 Stop: 112.70

.

dc CB 18:46 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS


NEW CLOSING DATE AND TIMES FOR TODAY'S 7-YEAR NOTE AUCTION
The noncompetitive and competitive portion of the 7-year note auction originally scheduled to close today will now close Friday, February 26, 2016, at 11:00 a.m. and 11:30 a.m. ET, respectively. The close of the auction has been rescheduled due to a technical issue. The settlement date and all other aspects of the auction remain unchanged from the original announcement. Competitive and noncompetitive bids that have been submitted will still stand, but bidders may review and update bids until the auction closes.

london red 18:45 GMT February 25, 2016
CAD

cad fibs 13540 13463/70 stops under 134

nw kw 18:42 GMT February 25, 2016
CAD

last support eur/cad ?

nw kw 18:40 GMT February 25, 2016
CAD

oil?

HK [email protected] 18:21 GMT February 25, 2016
Buying Stox is the most stupid things one can do.



Maybe there are expectations, the G-20 will save the markets with coordinated stimulus programs.

Remains to wait and see.

Israel Dil 18:17 GMT February 25, 2016
CAD
Reply   
just covered some CAD longs

Mtl JP 17:26 GMT February 25, 2016
Buying Stox is the most stupid things one can do.

nh some Stox are a barometer
indexes are different
see john bland 12:52

Livingston nh 17:07 GMT February 25, 2016
Buying Stox is the most stupid things one can do.

Stox are more predictable than the "johnny one note" correlation du jour -- oil and gold (or widgets) are one dimensional "investments" subject to external shocks and simple supply and demand -- the JPY correlation is a function of the EZ money regimes of the past 7 yrs in a race to the bottom so yen got there first but now everybody else has crowded in

Stox are a barometer of the broader economic condition

nw kw 17:00 GMT February 25, 2016
Buying Stox is the most stupid things one can do.

pit. dow interest real demand. and your oil up. and cad banks add decedents.

HK [email protected] 16:56 GMT February 25, 2016
Buying Stox is the most stupid things one can do.
Reply   


So if the fundamentals do not support Stox.

The virtual correlation game of manipulating: Gold, oil, Jpy etc. is a mover of Stox, without any regard to their value.

london red 16:55 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

cutting euro long here. still fancy squeeze but late to party as away frm desk today (entry by 20 not giving much free rope). will fade move higher 75/89 stop over 11111 i expect

nw kw 16:43 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

bund / is this sell eur? tki
or gold

dc CB 16:41 GMT February 25, 2016
Oil output freeze? So why it drops?

" From top to bottom we have redesigned a system that is stable only when under the influence. I read this morning that money managers are pining away for a return to the happy and calm days of 2011-2015. The world was in existential crisis, but stocks were being manipulated higher. Happy days, I’m getting my (market) fix."

Why Traders Are Frustrated: "At Any Given Time There Are No Rational Explanations For What’s Going On"

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:25 GMT February 25, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?



We are conducting our own Brexit poll to see what traders expect from the referendum on June 23.

Please participate by clicking below

Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?

london red 16:23 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

once euro topside busted (north of 200dma to upper 110), long usd 11220/40 stops under 112 should be safe but keep in mind 11162/75 should be max daily low today worst case scenario if still to go up.

HK [email protected] 16:17 GMT February 25, 2016
Oil output freeze? So why it drops?
Reply   
.

Hillegom Purk 16:16 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

If e/u continues to rise, easy on the positions one needs good entries...

Hillegom Purk 16:16 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

If e/u continues to rise, easy on the positions one needs good entries...

Hillegom Purk 16:15 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

Right, rest of the day eur/gbp SHORTS. Profit, under 79.

dc CB 16:15 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

KC Fed not so hot

-12 from -9

KC FED pdf

london red 16:10 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

not out of woods yet, some backfill early in new hour can still squeeze stops topside. dwn pivot 21/22. draw a line thru this week 1h chart 21/22

NY JM 16:01 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

1.1039 = current 100 hour mva, so far capping upside and protecting key 1.1045 level.

Livingston nh 16:00 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

For some reason the FEAR trade is alive and well in Treasurys -- G20? should be a nothing BUT ... // Big number tomorrow is the PCE -- FEAR trade saying Deflation still keeps Fed on hold?

HK [email protected] 15:44 GMT February 25, 2016
AUD: Lousy rally, looks like a failure to happen.
Reply   

Long AUD/USD... a risky trade.

GVI Forex john bland 15:30 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-117 vs. -139 exp vs. -158 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 15:19 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

we almost touched a channel line from 105 yest so maybe scope for a bounce but i see 11075/89/11100 at best JP. ecb approaching they will likely run it down into event and maybe a bit higher after, so dont think anyone will chase it higher bar a small squeeze to take stops. dont think there is time to do 112/113 and back down unless it an intrday panic one off event. in any case shorts are much smaller than before so buyers will be doing the work this time, less stops to run.

nw kw 15:18 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

Today's OIL story, jp in dark, usa east in cold storm, ho support oil again.

Mtl JP 15:14 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

red euro upside is probably limited
do u see 1.12_ish ?

dc CB 15:13 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

SToX:
yes today cud be more portfolio adjustments to the downside, then Fri begins end of month window dressing.

However there's the political caveat to this months turn-over.
Sat is So.Carolina Democratic primary --Clinton v Sanders.
And the Biggie is Tues Mar 1 - super Tuesday, 16 states both parties

london red 15:05 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

i see no reason for it but there will be a fair few stops abv 200dma euro. if going to run it dwn friday maybe, then they may choose to run stops for a 11070/89 fade maybe then back under 200dma with a 10980/50 test friday. no real reason to take euro up but stops are there for taking and shorts taken this weak must be starting to get stale with no downside progress yet.

london red 14:57 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

if friday id say 100% we get test of 47 (44/45 spoos) and acts as massive pivot so 72/75 on day or 17/22 on downside. but its thursday so they may pull a false break and save powder for friday. that said yen testing daily tenkan at 112.95 a couple of times today if that bitch blows they could do 115/116 by friday close as not been abv since c. 120.

dc CB 14:49 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

will a ramp later this morning bust thru 1940-45. Pretty wide range - 50pts for the S&P in 10 hour period, yesterday.

2nd day for the DeMark prediction

Emini hourly

HK Kwun 14:40 GMT February 25, 2016
SPDR still increase their holding

Buy Gold
Entry: 1231 Target: Stop: 1221

kick my stop then rise back, i buy again

Mtl JP 14:36 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

Pivot 1.1004
Sup 1 1.0962
Sup 2 1.0916
Sup 3 1.0874
http://www.global-view.com/forex-trading-tools/chartpts.html

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:31 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades



EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EURUSD 1.1001

I have been using the one hour line chart and first red line is 1.1045 and second line is around 1.1065. The green line is the 100 hour mva, which was briefly traded above on a 1 hour chart but without a confirming hourly close. So bias is still negative unless these levels are taken out.

1.1044 is also the 200 day mva and 1.1052 was the high a few days ago.

On the downside, yesterday's 1.0956 low is key support in what has been a 45 pip symmetric range around 1.10.

dc CB 14:08 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

Today's OIL story: Why a Freeze is actually a Cut.

What a Saudi Oil-Supply Freeze Would Really Mean for Markets

dc CB 13:56 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

Bullard Says 'Brexit' Vote Not an Immediate Risk Event for U.S.

"I don't think it is a risk event for the U.S.," because even if British voters decide to quit the EU there will be years for markets and investors to adjust," Bullard said.

dc CB 13:44 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

Bullard Says Stock Mkt Closer to ‘Fair Value’ After Correction.

_________________________________________________
James Bullard, CFP sez.
the 7th Mandate of the FMOC is that of a CFP.

GVI Forex Blog 13:43 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Steady
Reply   

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims steady.

<Click on chart for over twelve-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Steady

GVI Forex john bland 13:33 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
272K vs. 275K exp. vs. 262K prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 13:31 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Durable Goods Orders January 2015

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: +4.9% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. -5.10% prev.
Ex-Trans: +1.8 vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -1.20% prev.






TTN: Live News Special Offer




GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:23 GMT February 25, 2016
Trading the News - US weekly jobless claims, durable goods

08:15 (US) Preview: Jan Preliminary Durable Goods Orders data expected at 08:30 ET (13:30 GMT)

**Consensus expectations:
- Durable Goods Orders: +2.9%e v -5.0% prior- Durables Ex Transportation: +0.3% e v -1.0% prior
- Capital Goods Orders (Non-defense/ex-aircraft): +1.0%e v -4.3% prior
- Capital Goods Shipments (Non-defense/ex-aircraft): -0.5%e v +0.2% prior
- Ex-Defense: No est v -2.9% prior

- Source TradeTheNews.com

HK Kwun 13:22 GMT February 25, 2016
SPDR still increase their holding
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1239 Target: Stop:

Recently Gold is much stronger than Silver, did you alert? due to SPDR?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:19 GMT February 25, 2016
Trading the News - US weekly jobless claims, durable goods

Watch ex-transport on durable goods. Market expects a bounce back from a weak Dec #.

GVI Forex john bland 12:52 GMT February 25, 2016
Liquidity, Kill Switches Are the Talk of the Currency Universe

I feel it behooves all of us to read this article to understand the kind of risks we all face and adjust our risk exposures accordingly.

A link to this article (and others) will remain on the rightsidebar of many of the pages on Global-view for a couple of days after it scrolls off the forum

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:40 GMT February 25, 2016
Trading the News - US weekly jobless claims, durable goods
Reply   
This is a new feature and it will only work if you add your views.

I don't know why the market pays attention to durable goods as they are subject to wide revisions that are usually ignored by the time they come out.

As we saw yesterday, the news junkie market reacts to economic news so with the mood tilted risk on, it may be more sensitive to better data although a negative surprise would see a reaction as well.

Please post your comments, views or strategies for the data releases.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:34 GMT February 25, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?

Trade the News reporting latest poll showing 44-41 in favor of staying in EU.

Mtl JP 12:31 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

1.1044 is from
http://www.global-view.com/forex-trading-tools/chartpts.html

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:29 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

The issue with daily mvas is that those who use MT4 and any other data feed that adds an extra day each week will have a different #.

Mtl JP 12:24 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

euro 200 day 1.1044

Mtl JP 12:24 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

Bullard yakking

GVI Forex Blog 12:12 GMT February 25, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?
Reply   

GBPUSD, which closed last week on a firm in what turned out to be a relief rally, sharply reversed direction this week as the forex market turned defensive. The catalyst was said to be London Mayor Boris Johnson joining the Brexit camp and a poll showing a near dead heat with 25% undecided. GBPUSD hit a 7 year low on Wednesday at 1.3878 before staging a modest recovery. What I found curious is that UK stocks have not shown the same sense of concern.

Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:00 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades

This is not a USD market but JPY cross market that has carried over from yesterday's U-turn in the Japanese currency.

GVI Forex john bland 10:16 GMT February 25, 2016
My Thursday Trades
Reply   
Equities mixed risk
DAX +48
DJ -45
SP -7

10-yr mixed, note JGB yields more negative
US 1.716% -3.5
DE 0.148% -1.5
UK 1.37% +4.1
JA -0.055% -0.8

wtI $31.77 -0.38 ($32.27-31.45)
EUR mostly mixed on its crosses

Hong Kong HK 10:09 GMT February 25, 2016
AceTrader Feb 25: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 25 Feb 2016 09:37 GMT

USD/JPY - 112.17
Despite the greenback's selloff to a fresh 2-week trough at 111.04, subsequent strong rebound suggests further choppy trading above February's low at 110.99 would continue with upside bias and gain towards 112.63 is likely to be seen. However, as broad outlook remains consolidative, reckon resistance at 113.05 should remain intact and bring another fall later today or early tomorrow.

On the downside, only below 111.04 would revive bearishness for a re-test of 110.99, break would confirm recent downtrend has resumed and yield further weakness towards 110.40/50.

GVI Forex Blog 10:06 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Final HICP Mixed to Lower
Reply   

EZ Final HICP. Headline HICP lower than forecast.

BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Final HICP Mixed to Lower

GVI Forex john bland 10:02 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Final EZ HICP (CPI) January 2015





ALERT
yy: +0.30%vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
HICP core
yy: +1.0% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 10:01 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Final EZ HICP (CPI) January 2015





ALERT
yy: +0.30%vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
HICP core
yy: +1.0% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:54 GMT February 25, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

Global-View Trading Technologies

GVI Forex Blog 09:35 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP As Forecast
Reply   

U.K. 4Q15 revised GDP data unchanged as forecast.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP As Forecast

GVI Forex Blog 09:33 GMT February 25, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading

Global-View Trading Technologies

GVI Forex john bland 09:32 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

data unrevised

GVI Forex john bland 09:31 GMT February 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



-- NEWS ALERT --
QQ +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.
YY+1.90% vs. +1.90% exp. vs. +1.90% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 09:21 GMT February 25, 2016
Trading the News - UK GDP Revision
Reply   
Should not be a market mover but market likely more sensitive for a downward miss. I saw one bank forecast calling for a 0.1% down revision.

HK Kwun 08:14 GMT February 25, 2016
SPDR still increase their holding
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1239 Target: Stop: 1229

buy now

Mtl JP 08:00 GMT February 25, 2016
USDJPY

apparently according to BOJ’s Kuroda - QQE with negative interest rates are having intended effects on economy

haifa ac 07:51 GMT February 25, 2016
USDJPY

2583 is 50% retracement
So we are very close to an important buying opportunity.

Mtl JP 07:25 GMT February 25, 2016
USDJPY

Shanghai Composite closes down 6.4% to 2,741.25

Mtl JP 07:24 GMT February 25, 2016
USDJPY

SF WM 02:48 / why - just because Nikkei krapped under 16 000?

It may need to slam deep to wake up numbnuts Kuroda

Sweden 07:22 GMT February 25, 2016
AceTrader Feb 25: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

Trade Currencies with

hk ab 07:20 GMT February 25, 2016
jpy
Reply   
anyone wants to blame the yen strength is due to "repatriation"?....

JIMVHO, I don't think they have much to repatriate........

London Chip 06:51 GMT February 25, 2016
aussie
Reply   
guessing aussie heading north ... first stop 7225 ...

Hong Kong HK 06:20 GMT February 25, 2016
AceTrader Feb 25: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply   
Update Time: 25 Feb 2016 05:00 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1027
Although yesterday's rally from a fresh 3-week bottom of 1.0957 to as high as 1.1046 in New York session confirms euro's recent decline from February's 1.1377 peak has finally made a temporary low and 1-2 days of choppy consolidation is in store, as long as 1.1067/71 (previous ups, now res) holds, downside bias remains.
Below 1.0957 needed to extend marginal weakness, loss of momentum should keep price well above minor chart at 1.0904.

A firm rise above 1.1071 would signal long-awaited correction of aforesaid decline has taken place and risk stronger retracement towards 1.1138/39 before prospect of retreat next week.

hk ab 04:14 GMT February 25, 2016
e/j
Reply   
wow, finally it wants to bottom......

added some longs 123 handle and avg now 123.8.

very interesting movement last night.

SF WM 02:48 GMT February 25, 2016
USDJPY
Reply   
Has USDJPY formed a bottom?

HK [email protected] 01:03 GMT February 25, 2016
PPT



did the price of iron ore tank ?

No:Data released not happy.

Sydney ACC 00:58 GMT February 25, 2016
PPT

fourth-quarter business investment (capex) grew 0.8 per cent, which is better than the expected 3 per cent drop.
It's also a remarkable rebound from the previous quarter's 8.4 per cent drop in capex.
But the first estimate for investment in the next financial year came in at just $82 billion, or about $10 billion below economist expectations. That's quite a miss.
It's also roughly 20 per cent lower than the first estimate for 2015-16 spending, made a year ago, showing just how much the drop in mining investment is hurting.

Mtl JP 00:51 GMT February 25, 2016
PPT

hmm audusd sub 72
did the price of iron ore tank ?

dc CB 00:15 GMT February 25, 2016
PPT

*BULLARD SAYS FED HAD GOOD REASONS TO HIKE IN DECEMBER AND DOES NOT CONSIDER THE MOVE A MISTAKE

Then there was the topic of bubbles, which was mentioned on at least 8 separate occasions in his presentation. His point here was simple: at 2100, the S&P is too high and so the Fed was justified to hike; at 1900 the S&P is too low and the bubbles have popped. It appears that for the Fed, the Fed balance sheet implied fair value of 2,000 for the S&P is the perfect sweet spot of "fair value". ZH

*BULLARD: DON'T THINK GLOBAL MKT SELL-OFF PREDICTING RECESSION

*BULLARD: PLENTY OF CAPACITY TO EASE IF NEED TO

*BULLARD: MOST NATURAL OPTION IF NEED WOULD BE FURTHER Q.E.

And there it is: the first admission that the Fed is not only contemplating NIRP - in the middle of a rate-hike cycle no less - but also QE.

What should be most troubling for the Fed is that while any other time a Fed hint of more QE would have sent futures soaring, that this time nothing is happening as a result of the "second Bullard moment" is the most disturbing sign that not only can the Fed can no longer jawbone the market higher, even with the most nonsensical statements and hidden promises, but that the Fed is on the verge of losing control of the market. ZH

Bullard Admits It's "Unwise" To Continue Rate Hikes, Says "If Needed" Will Do More QE

 




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