dc CB 22:26 GMT February 26, 2016
Cognitive Disconnect
Say no more, nudge nudge, say no more.
Oh dear what if that blag-hert) wins on tuesday and will Oppose Her Magisty.
What...WILL... Maggie do.
Oh Dear. How will she fend off the thrusts of his unsheathed sword. Not the chivalrous type, mind you. No respect for the feminine types, and I don't even have
big bazooms, what respect should I expect.
He'd call me lying C*nt, and then what would I do.
And oh dam dam dam my cankles , another avenue of attack... beef-to-the-heels made that creepy Joyce famous...not for me, not for me, I think nothing but will of that Drunkard, dead, yes long lon long dead. I hated Joyce when they forced me to read him at Wellesley. But I came out on Top and ValeDICTORED. My first taste of Power.
If it were not...for my nemisis
oh but Trump...whot shall I do if he insults them at Debate....oooooooooooooo....A Contract!
dc CB 20:14 GMT February 26, 2016
Cognitive Disconnect
now we can issue more debt and buy back more stock and drive the stock price higher so we'll be richer.
Don't U wish U cud do this. Making money is so Easy. Making stuff is Hard.
GVI Forex john bland 18:44 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Rig Count 502 vs 514
Source: TTN
Mtl JP 18:43 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
GDP was invented to propagandize plebs for purpose of enthusiastically justifying war and into thinking how can we possibly lose
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:26 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
JP I have stated my bias clearly and you know how I have been trading.
Livingston nh 18:21 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
Dear Donald - Looking for a job next year and I really would like to be Attorney General - regards, Chris
Mtl JP 18:18 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
Is this designed to kneecap Donald ?
Chris Christie endorses Donald Trump for president
Mtl JP 18:15 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
I like red 18:04 post as it supports my Global-View Forex Pivot Points 200 day 1.1045 TRADE.
Until it wont.
Livingston nh 18:12 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
jp - markets are being whipsawed by these groupthink morons -- I doubt any of us here have the firepower to fight this so its like dancing w/ elephants --
Mtl JP 18:09 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
Jay Meisler 17:59 / so r u a judgmental economist pundit or a non-judgmental profit-seeking trading speculator ?
If u r an economist pundit u r in the wrong forum:
"We produce forex trading ideas!"
-
lets like massive posi-pips no matter which donkey's donkey they pop from
london red 18:04 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
even tho its been brewing for a couple of days, today has shown the polar opposites of usa vs europe. inflation going in different directions. thats why euro cant catch a bid. u have to take this into nxt wk and fade the rebound.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:59 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
Red, one of the reasons I do not like GDP is that the headline # is less important than the details even though markets react to the headline.
london red 17:50 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
q4 up on mostly inventories maybe explains, but nobody gives a dump. today mkt believes in fed f/c again.
Livingston nh 17:44 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
THE Atlanta Fed's GDP NOW reduced the Q1 GDP estimate -- some people are never happy (Dismal Science indeed)
Mtl JP 17:43 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
February 26 Speech - Governor Lael Brainard
International Monetary Policy Synchronization
At the 2016 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, New York, N.Y.
1:30 p.m. ET
-
Is she competing with Lagarde ? meeeiiiaw
--
"Don't expect a crisis response in a non-crisis environment," Lew said in an interview broadcast Wednesday with David Westin of Bloomberg Television. "This is a moment where you've got real economies doing better than markets think in some cases."
Livingston nh 17:35 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
JP - I'm not sure doves are a minority -- we'll see in a few weeks // this concern about international disruption is Brainard's talking point - Yellen is likely looking for any excuse
Mtl JP 17:30 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
Brainard is a voter - a minority in that collection on PhDs - yaks on policy synhronization
Livingston nh 17:16 GMT February 26, 2016
The Voice of a Dove
Reply
Yellen's new BEST Buddy on FOMC speaks at 1:30 new yawk time
Mtl JP 17:11 GMT February 26, 2016
Low gold seen.
buy gold with dlrs or euros
HK RF@ 17:01 GMT February 26, 2016
Low gold seen.
Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: NOW Target: 1325 Stop: *
.
Mtl JP 16:53 GMT February 26, 2016
G20 SHANGHAI
shawn u willing to sign that ?
Livingston nh 16:52 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
Curious day - stox can't make up its mind (VIX is up) - bonds just now starting to move off levels that the GDP revision brought them to (PCE hardly budged them) -- oil/rates may be tag teaming CAD
I expected more from PCE - a dud // bullish SPX but if Treasurys tank stox may not be too happy into the close
kl shawn 16:46 GMT February 26, 2016
G20 SHANGHAI
JP, this time it is different ;)
london red 16:46 GMT February 26, 2016
G20 SHANGHAI
maybe for a day or two. euro nxt wk should be able to fade c. 110/10980, they wont move abv 200dma if heading lower, that trick already done. for today maybe fade 10957 stop over 77 as needs to close under there to cement downside
Mtl JP 16:39 GMT February 26, 2016
G20 SHANGHAI
ladies and gents ....
plz be reminded that FX rarely moves in straight line
kl shawn 16:37 GMT February 26, 2016
G20 SHANGHAI
PAR, looks like it, usd will slaughter everything on its path next week and next month?
PAR 16:24 GMT February 26, 2016
CRUDE OIL
Reply
World stock markets rise as crude oil up more than 20% from recent low .
london red 16:15 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
gbp just short of sup at 50 if broken 08 should be enough for day down there.
yen some res 90/98 but shallow pullbacks while stocks firm.
Mtl JP 16:13 GMT February 26, 2016
Very Bullish
HK Kwun players now collectively think Marh is live
HK Kwun 15:58 GMT February 26, 2016
Very Bullish
Buy Gold
Entry: 1229 Target: Stop: 1219
stopped, unexpected this move
Mtl JP 15:50 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
S2 (2SD) 1.0874 off the 20day
london red 15:37 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
JP you can use SPY it 99% the same.
filled gap now has no reason to go under 50. if does we are going dwn and not coming back today. but bounce after fill means 72/75 still on radar.
GVI Forex john bland 15:29 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
S&P now flat on the day, having given up earlier large gains. It appears equity traders are interpreting the better U.S. data as a reason for the Fed to start to consider a tightening. S&P to EURUSD correlation trade has broken down.
london red 15:26 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Im using a us hours only index chart. not spoos. smallest of whiskers away from filling as good as. id only worry under 45 now.
Mtl JP 15:22 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
red what is your gap pricepoint ?
my feed shows none
all arrows are my gap spying alerts set to 15
tia
PAR 15:19 GMT February 26, 2016
Crude oil.
Reply
What happened with supply - demand ?
PAR 15:13 GMT February 26, 2016
Real US rates
Reply
With US inflation picking up real US rates are getting more and more negative, even more negative than in Europe and Japan.
london red 15:11 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
id like the gap filled from yesterdays high. almost there
Mtl JP 15:07 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
SnP 1971 to 1956
and u want lower ?
london red 15:05 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
stocks should work a bit lower fade the euro rebound when it happens.
Mtl JP 15:04 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
next up for the news trading gluttons
15:15 voter Powell on communication; Q&A
15:15 non-voter Williams on monetary policy
GVI Forex john bland 15:04 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
U.S. data improves across the board
GVI Forex john bland 15:02 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator January 2016
U.S. Data Charts
ALERT
Personal Income +0.50% vs. +0.40% exp v +0.30% prev.
PCE Defl +1.70% vs. 1.50% exp. vs. +1.40% (r +1.50%) prev.
target="_blank">RELEASE: Personal Income
TTN: Live News Special Offer
london red 15:01 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
pce huge beat. march live!
london red 14:53 GMT February 26, 2016
Trading the News - U of M consumer sentiment, PCE
ive seen some calls for 1.6%. there a bit of an opening gap on s&p, thats the risk of a pullback to 47/50, but id use that to fade usd pullbacks. id only be worried if yen under 11295 as youd have to look to near 112 by the close. i see sups at 11308 and 11340 with res at 11390/98. eurohas a nice hourly tail but id fade anything to 110 stop abv 11021/22.
HK Kwun 14:48 GMT February 26, 2016
Very Bullish
Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1229 Target: Stop: 1219
Buy now
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:44 GMT February 26, 2016
Trading the News - U of M consumer sentiment, PCE
Anyone have a thought on this data? U of M is the final sentiment number for Feb and PCE has a chance to surprise
Market likely to fade a EURUSD bounce between 1.0990-10. Not sure about USDJPY but stocks backing off so keep an eye there.
Any other comments or strategies for trading this news?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:40 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
I show the daily trendline at 1.0945 and 1.0935 on a closing daily chart. I am using MT4 charts so do not like using daily charts for this due to the erroneous added day each week.
dc CB 14:16 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
PAR 13:59 GMT
America is super great already . Hihi .Seasonal adjustments will help Obama s record.
Yes Yes YesSUPER TUES. A love for Obama is a Vote for Hillary. Kill off that banker threatening Bernie Sanders. Kill MORE Shorts
2000+ SnP by Monday close. lol
Delay in Date makes sure that the Numbers trigger Algos to BUY during Cash Market trading, so it sticks.
London Chip 14:06 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
giving them time to manipulate figures so that it can just be revised later ??
GVI Forex john bland 14:04 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
PCE deflator and personal income have been rescheduled until 15:00 GMT today. They are due out in about an hour.
london red 14:01 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
if below those sups (use 25) then 108/10850.
london red 14:01 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
euro. trendline from 105 at 10957 today on daily 10930 on wkly. ahead of that sup at 65
PAR 13:59 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
March rate hike back on .Maybe 50 BP. Why we need Trump . America is super great already . Hihi .Seasonal adjustments will help Obama s record.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:52 GMT February 26, 2016
Trading the News - U of M consumer sentiment, PCE
Reply
PCE time has changed to 15:00 GMT when U of M sentiment will also be released (it gets released to subscribers early). There is a risk of a downside miss although last two days have seen misses on the upside in data.
Market will likely fade any negative dollar reaction to data should such occur. Feel free to comment or post your strategy.
dc CB 13:46 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
PAR 13:34 GMT
USA must raise rates. Economy is overheating and inflation is out of control.
ask and you shall receive... it's a miracle...one dolla, 2 dolla, 3 dolla, four
london red 13:39 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
all ingredients for 113.90/98 but if not they will have to surprise and do 112 certainly stops under 11230.
london red 13:38 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
also some option related at 30 odd.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:34 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
I show 113.36 as a key res and then a void of key levels.
PAR 13:34 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
USA must raise rates. Economy is overheating and inflation is out of control. USA must reduce government spending to prevent economy from overheating more.
london red 13:33 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
some res for yen at 11340/48 and over a yard 113 at the cut today. abv there 11390/98
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:22 GMT February 26, 2016
Trading the News - USD GDP, Trade, PCE
Reply
Next up is US data. GDP is 2nd estimate and old news, trade rarely has an impact so PCE will be the main focus as it is the Fed's favored measure of inflation. Fade opportunity if PCE comes in softer as Fed is not expected to change ;policy in March?
Negative reaction to German HICP with a small miss on the downside but holding above 1.10. Suggests some are looking ahead to the March ECB.
london red 13:09 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
energy down a lot but from what i see all major sectors lower except for rents which were stable.
london red 13:06 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
sorry f/c -0.1%
london red 13:06 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
hicpi -0.2% y/y f/c -0.2% after mornings reginals
GVI Forex john bland 13:04 GMT February 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
HICP 0.0% y/y. EU flash HICP due next week this is often close to actual.
Mtl JP 13:02 GMT February 26, 2016
Trading the News - German HICP
It is hard to suggest a reaction
-
if u insist on playing maybe try a bracket order 10 or so seconds before the release taktik
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:44 GMT February 26, 2016
Trading the News - German HICP
Reply
It is hard to suggest a reaction but a weaker inflation number is expected (I just saw a bank forecast 0.0%) and it seems only a matter of when, not if the focus shifts to the March 10 ECB meeting and an expected cut in rates + possible some tweak to QE. A soft HICP is widely expected but there could be some reaction, especially if it prints negative. Greater focus will be on US data at 13:30 GMT.
HK RF@ 12:31 GMT February 26, 2016
Japan population shrinks by one million census confirms
Reply
New census figures in Japan show the population has shrunk by nearly one million in the past five years, in the first decline registered since 1920.
As of October last year the country has 127.1 million people, 0.7% fewer than in the last census.
Demographers have long predicted a drop, citing Japan's falling birth rate and a lack of immigration.
The rapidly ageing population has contributed to a stagnating economy and worries of increasing health costs.
Japan population shrinks by one million census confirms
london red 11:39 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
ive heard nothing but eurgbp touched tech sup at 7850 while cable was short of prev low 14056 with further res at 75 and 90. should now find it hard to move abv 140 with tgts of 13850/08.
Singapore SC 11:32 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
News on gbp? New poll? Getting smacked.
Mtl JP 11:27 GMT February 26, 2016
A common pledge
"Fifteen months have passed since G20 leaders promised a 2-per-cent boost in global growth at the November, 2014 summit in Brisbane, Australia. Since announcing pledges to add more than $2-trillion (U.S.) to the global economy and create �millions of jobs,� growth forecasts have moved in the opposite direction."
Over the past year, forecasts for growth have repeatedly been lowered in the United States, Japan, the euro zone and major emerging markets such as China and Brazil. Many nations are also dealing with lower-than-expected inflation, which hurts government revenue.
The International Monetary Fund sounded the alarm this week, urging G20 leaders to endorse �bold� action based on significant new measures to stimulate economic growth.
�These developments point to higher risks of a derailed recovery, at a moment when the global economy is highly vulnerable to adverse shocks,� the IMF warned in a note to the G20.
The IMF urged nations to �reduce the over-reliance on monetary policy� by focusing on fiscal measures that encourage economic growth.
Example of bold action: Canada sunny ways Trudeau government loading up the debt pile to at least 18 billion, 3x elections promise . Odds are Justin will get some award from the IMF
Mtl JP 10:34 GMT February 26, 2016
Global-View Forex Pivot Points 200 day 1.1045 TRADE
lets add an "A" grade risk
26/02/16 13:00 A DE fl HICP yy 0.10% 0.40%
to the mix
odds are the run up to 1.1067-ish (and krapp now to 1.1010 ish) that some knew what the inflation rate in Germany is / not
Kaunas DP 10:31 GMT February 26, 2016
EURUSD
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.1017 Target: 1.1112 Stop: 1.1
long
Mtl JP 10:22 GMT February 26, 2016
Global-View Forex Pivot Points 200 day 1.1045 TRADE
I am not a big user fundamentals but this one I believe is supportive of
my 200dma trade for/of the year :
GVI Forex john bland 09:15 GMT February 23, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Weaker: Reply
Lousy German IFo data. NOte the weakness in expectations.
I think that there is between 500-1000 pips to be dug.
GVI Forex john bland 10:16 GMT February 26, 2016
My Friday Trades
Reply
DAX +234
DJ +146
SP +18
Risk- On in equities
10-yr
US 1.735% +3.0
DE 0.156% +2.4
UK 1.377% +4.3
JA -0.059% -0.4
yields on bonds higher (except Japan)
WTI $33.77 +0.70 ($33.89-32.70)
EUR mixed on its crosses notably down vs. GBP and NZD Up vs. AUD
Mtl JP 10:14 GMT February 26, 2016
EURUSD
I still like my JP 01:26 GMT February 24, 2016
Global-View Forex Pivot Points 200 day 1.1045 TRADE
EURDLR 200dma // trade of and for the year
-
so far holding
Mtl JP 10:03 GMT February 26, 2016
A common pledge
Reply
�China won�t use competitive devaluation to enhance export competitiveness,� Zhou Xiaochuan
US will oppose competitive FX devaluations at G20
Carney: "Several commentators are peddling the myth that monetary policy is out of ammunition."
"The debt-financed growth model has reached its limits," "If we continue on this path we no longer need to watch television, the walking dead will overwhelm us, particularly in finance and construction." - Schaeuble
--
The Chinese commies are presiding the G-20 collective this time.
Hong Kong HK 09:56 GMT February 26, 2016
AceTrader Feb 26: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply
Update Time: 26 Feb 2016 08:32 GMT
USD/JPY - 112.86
Despite the greenback's selloff to a fresh 2-week trough at 111.04, subsequent strong rebound suggests further choppy trading above February's low at 110.99 would continue with upside bias and gain towards 113.39/40 is likely to be seen.
However, as broad outlook remains consolidative, reckon resistance at 113.95 should remain intact and bring another fall later today or early tomorrow.
On the downside, only below 111.04 would revive bearishness for a re-test of 110.99, break would confirm recent downtrend has resumed and yield further weakness towards 110.40/50.
london red 09:55 GMT February 26, 2016
EURUSD
JP zerosum. If i was a mm what do i do to run the stop and then get the specs to run my possie for me.
Mtl JP 09:47 GMT February 26, 2016
EURUSD
red I want to clone your nose
london red 09:32 GMT February 26, 2016
EURUSD
euro. my view? see yest evening :) they ran stops now back under 21/22 pivot. risk of 10980/60/50/25. there is no reason to run stops abv 200dma again so if goes up again abv there will stay up!
Belgrade Knez 09:00 GMT February 26, 2016
EURUSD
Reply
london red
can you share your view of EURUSD please?
Thank you.
jkt adhi 08:53 GMT February 26, 2016
stox
DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:
action waiting for G20?
buy gold 1229.75 stop 1223.85
bali sja 08:45 GMT February 26, 2016
stox
Reply
it is all about stock markets, as long as they are rallying economy is good :)
london red 08:19 GMT February 26, 2016
USD/JPY
yen. 11295 tentan and 50% fib. 1 yard ex at 113 today. daily straddle about 50 pips. thats too small. they should do 112 if they dont do 11390 today.
Hong Kong HK 04:25 GMT February 26, 2016
AceTrader Feb 26: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply
Update Time: 26 Feb 2016 03:38 GMT
EUR/USD - 1.1049
Despite yesterday's intra-day choppy swings after early decline to to Wed's 3-week trough at 1.0957, subsequent rebound from 1.0987 to 1.1050 in New York session, then intra-day brief rise to 1.1060 in Asia today suggests recent fall from Feb's 3-1/2 month peak at 1.1377 has made a temporary low and consolidation with upside bias remains for a long-overdue correction to 1.1090/00, near term o/bot condition should cap euro below 1.1138/39 res.
On the downside, only below 1.0987 sup suggests correction is over and risks re-test of 1.0957, however, loss of downward momentum should keep price well above minor daily sup at 1.0904 today.
HK RF@ 03:04 GMT February 26, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply
Looking at the chart, seems to me that some big traders realize that USD/JPY has still to test 110, B4 moving up to later target of 145.
This is the gambling for the moment.
For the time, my hidden pivot of 112.95 still at work.
Longs have some gain chances above it, but not for big move.
Livingston nh 01:54 GMT February 26, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?
Some folks (even in Britain) consider that the UK only punches above its weight because of its EU membership - this disregards history and the military (nuclear) status of the UK
Of Irish heritage I have no favor of the English but the UK has a scope of influence of political and economic effect that no European country can match - by any rational measure it is the 4th to 6th power in the world
For it to weigh its sovereignty versus some ambiguous economic benefit means that the next few months will be volatile beyond any CB decision
Sydney ACC 01:29 GMT February 26, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?
I believe it would be more revealing if two questions were posed:
1. If you could vote in the referendum would you chose to stay or leave?
and
2. What do you believe will be the result.
I'd vote to leave but I believe the result will be to stay.
Livingston nh 01:19 GMT February 26, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?
As an aside -- the decision of to be in or out may be the most consequential for currency traders since Nixon's Bretton Woods demise - the EUR (and the EU) is one of the do-gooder ideas that is under attack on more than one front
Livingston nh 01:12 GMT February 26, 2016
Brexit Poll: What Do Traders Expect?
Jay - this is a really good idea - will this be updated wkly, mthly?
Camps - if participation is broad enough could you show EU, UK and Non aligned ??
dc CB 00:41 GMT February 26, 2016
STOX
It�s another day where oil prices, correlated 90% to the S&P 500, rise pulling stocks higher along with it. Thursday, it's Venezuela saying Russia, Saudis and Qatar will meet next week to discuss high production levels.
Please�Venezuela?!? They are habitual liars about the color of the sky.
Nevertheless, oil price watchers took their assertion as being fact despite the country�s habitual lying and taking rumors as truth. It may be so, but given the three country�s recent previous denials about production cuts and Venezuela�s conflict of interest, well you�ll understand my skepticism.
Stocks rallied again with oil ignoring another lousy day of poor economic data and weakening corporate earnings guidance. But clearly again, the tape is the tape and a disciplined trader should respect it. But, playing the declining oil price production card is becoming a joke played too often.
Dave
Rumors As News Now Planted By Dubious Players
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