Mtl JP 23:38 GMT February 29, 2016
BOJ
bbrg on numbnuts Kuroda Negative Rate Bazooka Fizzles on Overnight Lending Freeze
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-28/kuroda-negative-rate-bazooka-fizzles-on-overnight-lending-freeze
k-mon numbnuts .... moRE lower nega rate
dc CB 22:51 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
*RUSSIAN, SAUDI, VENEZUELAN, QATARI OIL MINISTERS TO MEET: RTRS
**CORRECT: REUTERS REPORT ON OIL MINISTERS' MEETING WAS FEB. 15
" don't send me no more letters no. Not unless you mail them from (Desperation) Row"
SubPrime is Contained: Ben Bernanke
Bear is OK, don't sell your Bear: Jim Cramer (CNBC)
dc CB 22:17 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
Marathon Oil Corporation operates as an energy company. It operates in three segments: North America Exploration and Production, International Exploration and Production, and Oil Sands Mining.
The North America Exploration and Production segment explores for, produces, and markets crude oil and condensate, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in North America.
The International Exploration and Production segment explores for, produces, and markets crude oil and condensate, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in Equatorial Guinea, Ethiopia, Gabon, Kenya, the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, Libya, and the United Kingdom; and produces and markets products manufactured from natural gas, such as liquefied natural gas and methanol in Equatorial Guinea.
The Oil Sands Mining segment mines, extracts, and transports bitumen from oil sands deposits in Alberta and Canada; and upgrades the bitumen to produce and market synthetic crude oil and vacuum gas oil.
As of December 31, 2014, it had rights to participate in developed and undeveloped leases totaling approximately 33,000 net acres. The company was formerly known as USX Corporation and changed its name to Marathon Oil Corporation in July 2001. Marathon Oil Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
dc CB 22:01 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
john,
that's a given. What's notable is the Wholesale price GAP as seen on the chart.
They at-pump guy's are only responding to their deliveries.
GVI Forex john bland 21:57 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
I recently saw the CEO of 7-11 on TV he admitted they raise their gasoline prices fast and lower them as slowly as possible.
dc CB 21:56 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
really good time to sell some more stock.
To paraphrase Bob Dylan..." don't send me no more letters no. Not unless you mail them from (Desperation) Row"
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Marathon Oil Corporation (MRO) announced today that it intends to offer, subject to market and other conditions, a public offering of 135,000,000 shares of its common stock. In connection with the offering, Marathon Oil intends to grant the underwriters a 30 day option to purchase up to 20,250,000 additional shares of its common stock.
dc CB 21:44 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
Here in MD gas at the pump is UP 10 Cents in 5 days.
dc CB 21:41 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
Pay us more so U can get to work.
Pay us more so U look for work in some other state. Dear, laid off oil-worker.
So shud I vote for The Donald or for Hillary. Who will help me more, that is the question
NY JM 21:40 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
Oil down, EURUSD down - more of a EUR than USD market today
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:06 GMT February 29, 2016
BOJ
Red see your email
HK RF@ 21:04 GMT February 29, 2016
RF, i follow what you said
HK Kwun 12:20 GMT
Now gold is about 1240; Do you still keep some from 1229?
Critical is 1246, not sure about breaking it, but if it will be a move.
london red 20:59 GMT February 29, 2016
BOJ
daily tenkan today 11276 so watch the close. below 11255 adios muchachos
HK RF@ 20:54 GMT February 29, 2016
BOJ
Maybe intervention at 109 vicinity.
Breaking 113 SUP. level is most important, may result in future prices down to 105.
GVI Forex john bland 20:41 GMT February 29, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 1 March 2016
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
1-Mar TUESDAY
All Day Many- Final Mfg PMIs
03:30 AU- Reserve Bank Decision
2-Mar WEDNESDAY
13:15 US- ADP Private Jobs
15:30 US- EIA Crude
3-Mar THURSDAY
All Day Many- Final Service PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
4-Mar FRIDAY
13:30 US/CA- Trade
13:30 US- Employment
dc CB 20:25 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
Cushing, OK, Storage Domino Effect Sends USGC Stocks Higher
U.S. Gulf Coast storage inventories have increased nearly 7mn bbls so far in 2016, and could continue to build as market participants seek storage there as an alternative to Cushing, OK, where stocks are near maximum capacity.
The Cushing Spillover "Domino Effect" Has Arrived
Chicago AGA 20:21 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
40 minutes to go for the PPT to prevent an ugly close for stocks for the month.
GVI Forex john bland 19:40 GMT February 29, 2016
Mixed Messages On The Outlook For The Timing Of A Fed Tightening
fwiw, in my experience Fed Funds futures are lousy forecasters of Fed Funds in the future. However they are a reliable barometer of current market sentiment. When it comes to trading, its current market sentiment that matters the most.
Miami JN 19:04 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
Short EURUSD at 1.0880 or wait for 1.0900
PAR 17:23 GMT February 29, 2016
BOJ
Reply
Expect intervention sooner than later .
dc CB 17:14 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
Technically the bottom is in.
Seasonally it should rise from here.
In reality, there's too much of the stuff, so the "shell games" will have to commence to keep the price from falling back down.
=====================
if you didn't see this in the NYTimes Sunday Mag...it's worth the read.
When Daniel Nadler woke on Nov. 6, he had just enough time to pour himself a glass of orange juice and open his laptop before the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its monthly employment report at 8:30 a.m......................Within two minutes, an automated Kensho analysis popped up on his screen: a brief overview, followed by 13 exhibits predicting the performance of investments based on their past response to similar employment reports.
Nadler couldn�t have double-checked all this analysis if he wanted to. It was based on thousands of numbers drawn from dozens of databases. He just wanted to make sure that Kensho had pulled the right number � the overall growth in American payrolls � from the employment report. It was the least he could do, given that within minutes, at 8:35 a.m., Kensho�s analysis would be made available to employees at Goldman Sachs.
The Robots Are Coming for Wall Street
dc CB 17:06 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
as of Friday OI is dropping.
think we'll see 30 this week, unless the API and EIA "numbers" come out as draws.
CME
Livingston nh 16:47 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
WTI hasn't been near the 144 EMA (daily) since early Oct BUT could travel up there (~39) by the Fomc meeting -- see if they plug $40 oil into the SEP models // The PCE deflator on Friday was a bust (health care FLAT?) but that may adjust next month -- maybe Yellen & Co. could hike instead of sitting around a table patting themselves on the back
GVI Forex Blog 16:23 GMT February 29, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 1 March 2016
Reply
February 29, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, March 1, 2016. Trading News Calendar
- Far East: CN/JA- PMI, AU- RBA
- Europe: EZ/GB/CH- PMI, DE- Employment, EZ- Unemployment
- North America: CA/US- PMI, CA- GDP, US- Construction Spending. API crude
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
1-Mar TUESDAY
All Day Many- Final Mfg PMIs
03:30 AU- Reserve Bank Decision
2-Mar WEDNESDAY
13:15 US- ADP Private Jobs
15:30 US- EIA Crude
3-Mar THURSDAY
All Day Many- Final Service PMIs
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
4-Mar FRIDAY
13:30 US/CA- Trade
13:30 US- Employment
GVI Data Calendar for 1 March 2016
dc CB 16:13 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
zerohedge @zerohedge 1m1 minute ago
Genscape Cushing +1MM
nw kw 16:12 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
xagaud on biggest pivot day chart aud rocket
nw kw 16:10 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
EURGBP has rocket if short euraud long gbpaud.
london red 16:08 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
there is usually month end buying eurgbp, but not at these levels and today has seen the opposite. now that fix gone may disperse a little. id pick up some eurgbp c. 7740 for 80 cents/8020 stop 7690.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:00 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
All about EUR crosses today, weak across the board
Look at EURGBP for your lead cross after EURJPY led earlier
This is why GBPUSD is up.
ECB full in on the currency wart. .
dc CB 15:55 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Northy
@NorthmanTrader
BREAKING: Algos forgot that it's a leap year today hence no volume. They don't know today exists.
HK Kwun 15:19 GMT February 29, 2016
RF, i follow what you said
Buy Gold
Entry: 1229 Target: 1234 Stop:
TP at 1234 first, USD didn't drop even bad data, strange
dc CB 15:15 GMT February 29, 2016
Today's Oil Stories
Reply
Bullish Oil Bets Rise as Hedge Funds See Supply Tightening BBG
The New Oil-Storage Space: Railcars
U.S. market is so oversupplied with oil that traders are experimenting with a new place for storing excess crude WSJ
GVI Forex john bland 15:14 GMT February 29, 2016
Breaking News U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker Than Forecast
Chart suggests Existing Homes Sales ar ready for a fall major spike down in November 2015 was due to a technical change in regulations that has implemented. Data should have worked that distortion through by now.
London Chip 15:05 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
PMI figures really not doing much ....
bali sja 14:54 GMT February 29, 2016
gold
Reply
can 1240-60 cap upside this week..
GVI Forex john bland 14:49 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Lousy Chicago PMI reflects weak manufacturing sector. Data soft across the board.
GVI Forex 14:43 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
Chi PMI (released to subscribers said to be below consensus
PAR 12:36 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
After the FED hiked rates US inflation picked up while after ECB went negative on rates Europe shows more defaltion ?
Who is fooling who ?
GVI Forex john bland 12:35 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
DAX -99
DJ -33
SP -3
Still risk off, but less so than earlier.
PAR 12:08 GMT February 29, 2016
STOCKS
Reply
Us stock futures move higher on PBOC action . Europe shares suffer from NIRP and increased deflation fears .
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:54 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
EURUSD 1.0862 is its former weekly trendlines broken 4 weeks ago
Brisbane Flip 11:07 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
Academia accept every that comes before them despite all the disruptive global distortions and ignoring the benefits.
It underscore the whole "Data Dependent" mantra is just faith based mumbo jumbo. Deflation has stopped record profits and therefore taxes has it??
GVI Forex john bland 10:40 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
DAX -148
DJ -76
SP -9
risk off in stox
US 1.745% -1.2
DE 0.111% -4.1
UK 1.331% -5.1
JP -0.058% -1.1
WTI $32.67 -0.11 ($33.11-32.34)
EUR crosses mostly HIGHER. down vs. USD and JPY
PAR 10:27 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
In this time of BIG DATA there should be more accurate ways to calculate inflation . The manipulation of the inflation figures is just becoming too apparent .
Brisbane Flip 10:22 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
Because they still add up inflation the way they did 100 years ago.
Central Bankers still don't understand what a Globalised world we live in e.g. how the price of fruit is irrelevant and the deflating price of technology is irrelevant when we buy 10 times more of the censored etc etc
GVI Forex john bland 10:19 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
PAR. Its pretty clear to me that U.S. official inflation statistics have a downward bias as well. Maybe its time some private organizations start doing their own calculations?
PAR 10:16 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
How can it be that deflation changes so much in so little time without underlying prices moving at all ?
The statistical mystery ?
Brisbane Flip 10:13 GMT February 29, 2016
S & P futures
The market can be saved for a few hours on 34 more occasions (34*50BPs = 17 %) haha
PAR 10:09 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
Something strange with European CPI figures . Imho they make no sense and are heavily manipulated by ECB mafia .
GVI Forex john bland 10:07 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
China RRR cut 50bps to 17.00% in line with expectations
Source: TradetheNews.com
PAR 10:07 GMT February 29, 2016
CHINA
Reply
PBOC cuts RRR by 0.50 % . Thank you China.
london red 10:06 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
headline will get the headlines but the core...
monday mornings...
GVI Forex john bland 10:06 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Big miss in EZ inflation. Intensifies pressure on ECB for ease.
london red 10:05 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
headline will get the headline being negative for core is the big one for draghi as it gives him more ammo vs those on the ecb against further stimulus.
euro bull trapped 200dma earlier, maybe still room for 110 test if stocks tumble but you have to be staying/getting short for a move to and eventually under 108.
Hong Kong HK 10:05 GMT February 29, 2016
AceTrader Feb 29: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply
Update Time: 29 Feb 2016 09:08 GMT
USD/JPY - 113.04
Despite the greenback's selloff to a fresh 2-week trough at 111.04, subsequent strong rebound suggests further choppy trading above February's low at 110.99 would continue with upside bias and gain towards 114.30/40 is likely to be seen, however, as broad outlook remains consolidative, reckon resistance at 114.88 should remain intact and bring another fall later today or early tomorrow.
On the downside, only below 111.04 would revive bearishness for a re-test of 110.99, break would confirm recent downtrend has resumed and yield further weakness towards 110.40/50.
GVI Forex john bland 10:01 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) February 2016
ALERT
Headline
yy: -0.20% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
CORE
yy: 0.70% vs. vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
GVI Forex john bland 09:57 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
Key flash EZ HICP due at the top of the hour. Final HICP is rarely changed much. ECB meets in just over a week.
PAR 09:12 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German Retail Sales Mixed
German retail sales started the year on a strong note, increasing by 0.7% M/M in January, twice as much as expected. Also the December figure was revised higher, from -0.2% M/M to 0.6% M/M.
GVI Forex john bland 08:58 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
German Real Retail Sales January 2016
Earlier NEWS Release
mm: +0.70% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.10% (r +0.60%) prev.
yy: -0.80% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +3.10% (r +2.50%) prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
PAR 08:57 GMT February 29, 2016
European Consumer Price Index
Reply
90 % of what I buy is getting more expensive and still the ECB mafia keeps talking about deflation .
Does Draghi ever pay a restaurant bill or an insurance invoice or an electricity bill or a smartphone subscription or whatever ?
In what kind of fantasy economy the ECB lives ?
HK Kwun 08:09 GMT February 29, 2016
Bearish after GDP data
Sell Gold
Entry: 1227.5 Target: Stop: 1232.5
ok, stopped first, loss $5
HK RF@ 08:02 GMT February 29, 2016
Bearish after GDP data
Yen may be dropping to 105, gold will fly and BOJ will do nothing, because after repatriation, the coming outflow of the big investment money will value more if yen will appreciate.
HK Kwun 07:41 GMT February 29, 2016
Bearish after GDP data
Sell Gold
Entry: 1227.5 Target: Stop: 1237.5
JPY was 113.8 this morning, and market is talking about USD interest rate hike again
PAR 07:39 GMT February 29, 2016
BOJ
Reply
Intervention ?
HK RF@ 07:34 GMT February 29, 2016
Bearish after GDP data
Sell gold, on a strengthening brother yen?
Will not do it!!!
Mtl JP 06:41 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
�I have no expectations at all that financial institutions will impose negative rates on individual depositors,� numbnuts Kuroda
hk ooozmeeh 05:48 GMT February 29, 2016
CYCLICAL STERLING
Reply
GBPUSD
--------
1993 low 1.4063
2001 low 1.3680
2008 low 1.3501
2016 low 1.3852
Notice the time interval of lows?
THIS IS A 7-8 YR CYCLICAL BEHAVIOUR
--------
Mtl JP 03:31 GMT February 29, 2016
He shorts all.
.... Uncertainty is the market's worst enemy.... really
Worth reading. ya duh
Mtl JP 03:12 GMT February 29, 2016
good good stuff barry.shi
Shanghai Composite Index SHCOMP, -3.26% was last down 3.3% at 2674.72, having fallen more than 4% in early trading. The benchmark is down about 48% from its June peak.
Meanwhile, the Shenzhen Composite Index 399106, -4.36% was down 4.7%. Hong Kong�s Hang Seng Index HSI, -0.83% fell 1%.
good beginning
HK RF@ 02:38 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
"Half of Japanese voters unhappy with Abenomics".
Who counts the people too much.
What about the billionaires, why no one ask how happy they are?
Mtl JP 02:19 GMT February 29, 2016
barry.shi / way tooo dear dear
plz tell Lou Jiwei to lower the yuan
LOWER THE YUAN
more
Mtl JP 02:09 GMT February 29, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
February 29, 2016 Nikkei poll
Half of Japanese voters unhappy with Abenomics
-
not trade relevant; just trivia
Livingston nh 01:46 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
CB - The Economist is all over Brexit this week too -- amazing that England survived all those centuries outside of the European embrace
Hayden is an example of the people who should keep quiet so nobody knows how really stupid you are - a COUP ?? Like anybody in the military gives a ____ !
Livingston nh 01:38 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
JP- the BS is on the side of the debunkers like the Fed and Krugman - if you ignore the children in the stats the adult population is doing better than the overall unemployment rate // ISM keeps saying labor is a cost and competent employees are hard to find
I'll stick w/ my story that the Fed is squeezing half of the economy's spending potential - businesses invest based on future cash flow not some flawed inflation expectation // if productivity was really as bad as these mopes think deflation wouldn't even be on the radar screen
The Fed is inflation obsessed and employment is only an excuse to do nothing, it isn't a positive for them no matter how low the rate goes
dc CB 01:34 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
all that needs to be done is a couple months of Good NEWZ the (Obama) Recovery is ON. Hillary will get the nomination and the US and World Press will ramp up the Trump Hunt to 100%.
The US Central Bank will skate past the only currently standing threat to its unfettered power. And here comes.....NIRP.
This weeks sample:
The Enonmist
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21693579-front-runner-unfit-lead-great-political-party-let-alone-america-time-fire-trump?fsrc=scn%2Ftw%2Fte%2Fpe%2Fed%2Ftimetofirehim
ExCIA Chief Michael Hayden, on the HBOs Bill Maher Show(can't get more liberal than that) friday.
�I would be incredibly concerned if a President Trump governed in a way that was consistent with the language that candidate Trump expressed during the campaign,� "the American armed forces would refuse to act. There would be a coup in this country."
Selling America Short The country would cease to be great under a President Trump.
Sydney ACC 01:17 GMT February 29, 2016
aussie
the ore price has been hanging around the high 40's since the end of the Lunar New Year.
Problem is most analysts don't believe it hold this level.
Market needs to focus on the lpg price. New fields in Queensland come on stream throughout 2016.
First consignment to Japant from the $US24.7 billion APLNG project was made in January.
Queensland government indicated exports are projected to hit $15 billion by 2016-17.
By 2020 Australia will be the largest exporter of natural gas overtaking Qatar.
Mtl JP 01:14 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
nh expect a 'good jobs' BS release on Friday s NFP
they can't back away from the fantasy now, without a massive pl-oink into the toilet
London Chip 00:59 GMT February 29, 2016
aussie
syd ..better than the 40 it was sitting at in dec .... marginal cost of mining at 35 dollars ...i recon low is in place ! otherwise aussie in for a shocker ...
Livingston nh 00:48 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
Look at CNY - G20 effect -- lies, damn lies and statistics
Mtl JP 00:24 GMT February 29, 2016
Monday Trading
Miami JN 23:39 / market is preparing a joke for numbnuts negative rates Kuroda
Livingston nh 00:10 GMT February 29, 2016
Can U.S. Stocks Ignore a Stronger Dollar?
Two points - STOX don't generally tank end of the quarter despite some Sept evidence BUT the next month can be stressful - for companies the "strong" dollar argument lost its panache when production moved overseas; it became an accounting function and is more of a US tax play than a real impact on company financials (this detail is lost on most politicians and pointy heads who argue for TAX REFORM -- a truly efficient tax code would put a lot of folks on unemployment - true for most regulation)
Livingston nh 00:00 GMT February 29, 2016
UNICORNs
JP - thanx for the link -
FT also has a headline about a 2 horned unicorn - "Iran's hardliners lose to moderates", an obvious distinction w/o a difference
__
Some IMF concern about Greece (shocked I am) - Ireland throws the austerity Bums out but declines to select new Bums -- and more and more crazy EU doomsday is only a week away (underestimating the Masters of Deferral)
