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Forex Forum Archive for 03/14/2016

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dc CB 23:41 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

But the biggest surprise was that JP Morgan is also head of a banking syndicate that has the revolving credit facility.

It was a surprise because JP Morgan also happened to be the lead underwriter on Weatherford's equity offering.

The punchline: the proceeds from the offering are expected to be used to repay JP Morgan's revolving credit facility.


the question remains: if the secured banks "don't want to be there", why are new unsecured equity investors so desperately eager to take their place, and just what do the banks know that these new equity buyers clearly don't?

The "Surprising" Answer What Energy Companies Have Spent Their Newly Issued Equity Proceeds On

SaaR KaL 22:22 GMT March 14, 2016
USDJPY
Reply   
Seriously suggest you short it till 1.07 area

London Chip 19:59 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

think gold just turned up for a spell??

dc CB 19:51 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

beating gold and silver to a pulp.

GVI Forex Blog 19:32 GMT March 14, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex john bland 19:28 GMT March 14, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 15 March 2016



March 11, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, March 15, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: JP- BOJ
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Retail Sales, Empire PMI, PPI, Business Inventories, NAHB, TIC Flows, Import Prices, API Crude
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

15-MAR TUESDAY
03:00 JP- BOJ
12:30 US- Retail Sales
16-MAR WEDNESDAY
09:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- House Starts & Permits
12:30 US- CPI
18:00 US Fed Decision
17-MAR THURSDAY
00:30 AU- 09:00 Employment
08:30 CH- SNB Decision
12:00 GB- BOE Decision
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
18-MAR FRIDAY
12:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
12:30 CA- CPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim)

GVI Data Calendar for 15 March 2016

Mtl JP 19:22 GMT March 14, 2016
Syria

that would be a partial pullout
a peski detail

PAR 18:34 GMT March 14, 2016
Syria
Reply   
Putin orders Russian troops out of Syria .

dc CB 18:11 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

Cushing latest +800K: Genscape

Front mo April Crude --- off the boards Mon Mar 21

CL 37.03
CL May 38.83

Livingston nh 18:09 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

It appears that Yellen is scraping the WORRY EXCUSE barrel for something, anything, to present to her media fans at her presser -- WTI is up 50% in 4 weeks, employment has risen despite the reckless 1/4 point December hike, Dudley's pathetic "tightening of financial conditions" has no traction, China lacks turmoil -- aaargh, time is running out

The question for voting members of FOMC - "How many of you will dissent?"

The question for the market is "Are there any limits to the BS you will tolerate?"

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:09 GMT March 14, 2016
Exclusive: 3 Steps to Becoming a Better Trader



I suggest watching this new video I just posted today as it speaks for itself.

Exclusive: 3 Steps to Becoming a Better Trader

nw kw 16:13 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

free det in so cheap its norm, give it 60 days to have new theme=fear.

Mtl JP 16:13 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

I like this "NEXT" thread , has that foreboding aspect to it

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT

Delinquencies on U.S. subprime auto asset-backed securities (ABS) climbed to a 20-year high in February, exceeding the levels seen in 2009 following the financial crisis, Fitch Ratings warned on Monday.

Delinquencies on U.S. subprime auto ABS are at a 20-year high

Mtl JP 16:03 GMT March 14, 2016
BOJ

and u picked up a million Banca Monte dei Paschi shares at .50 euro , now at 0.62 ... not counting euro fluctuation
way to go PAR ! make positively useful use of the CB mofos
kudos

PAR 15:40 GMT March 14, 2016
BOJ
Reply   
BOJ to follow ECB example and let japanese banks borrow at negative rates ? Should boost Japanese bank shares as ECB move was aimed at aiding Italaian banks .

Banca Monte di Paschi up over 20% since ECB bag of goodies .

Mtl JP 15:39 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

the gold miner who is happy with not giving in to greed

nw kw 15:37 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

rang I have is in mid so awaiting aggression av bag 80pips so take 40

London Chip 15:32 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

who actually wants to go home to the missus???

Mtl JP 15:28 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

sure it could be
deciding when to take profit is the age-old gold-miner's dilemma
do u go back in for that one-more nugget u know is there that you spotted on last trip in ... but also the crumbling roof of the cave that could come down on your hear at any instant . when / how do u decide you ve had enuff and go home to the missus ...

London Chip 15:22 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

jp ... http://www.oxytrade.fr/Formation-trading/Les-bases-du-Forex/Figure-Chartiste-Biseau-ascendant-et-Biseau-descendant ..

3rd pic down (ascending broadening wedge)... 7380 may be a possible target too ??

London Chip 15:14 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

yip ..got back in at 7515 with smaller possie ... just let it run now

nw kw 15:14 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

for aud approaching rba xauaud on yearly weekly pivot so aud rocket will be big up or down.audjpy pivot might help for commodity 4week run.

Mtl JP 15:05 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

Chip looking for .745x-ish to bag some pips

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:56 GMT March 14, 2016
Limited Time Only: Act Now


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Mtl JP 14:52 GMT March 14, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 15 March 2016

potentially good opportunities to get filthy rich or cleaned out as it ll be raining central bankers starting with BoJ Tuesday

Livingston nh 14:37 GMT March 14, 2016
NEXT
Reply   
Merkel at Press Conference after PARTY meeting:
“Without a doubt, we have come a long way towards solving the refugee issue, but we still don't have a sustainable solution. I am fully convinced that we need a European solution and that this solution needs time."

Earlier, a spokesman for the chancellor said her government would not change course.

“The German government will continue to pursue its refugee policy with all its might both at home and abroad,” Steffen Seibert said.
Telegraph

Time is what she doesn't have -- we'll see if her EU mates agree when the Turkish "deal" gets done ----- the EU may not be as quiet as the CDU

GVI Forex Blog 14:26 GMT March 14, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 15 March 2016
Reply   


March 11, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, March 15, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: JP- BOJ
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Retail Sales, Empire PMI, PPI, Business Inventories, NAHB, TIC Flows, Import Prices, API Crude
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

15-MAR TUESDAY
03:00 JP- BOJ
12:30 US- Retail Sales
16-MAR WEDNESDAY
09:30 GB- Employment
12:30 US- House Starts & Permits
12:30 US- CPI
18:00 US Fed Decision
17-MAR THURSDAY
00:30 AU- 09:00 Employment
08:30 CH- SNB Decision
12:00 GB- BOE Decision
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
18-MAR FRIDAY
12:30 CA- CPI & Retail Sales
12:30 CA- CPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan (prelim)

GVI Data Calendar for 15 March 2016

FW CS 14:10 GMT March 14, 2016
The large number of longs on COT report is alarming enough not to be long.

RF
if one is into gold seasonals also I think gold tops around this time of year to go along with the COT

HK [email protected] 14:08 GMT March 14, 2016
The large number of longs on COT report is alarming enough not to be long.
Reply   


1) Large positions in paper gold.

2) No demand for physical.

So no one wants to take delivery, but dump his paper to others.

This is the face of gold now.

HK [email protected] 14:02 GMT March 14, 2016
USD/YEN Longer term target: 94
Reply   


Round top on weekly, a bearish formation.

The battle ground comes at about 111.

HK Kwun 13:58 GMT March 14, 2016
1257 is resistance

Sell Gold
Entry: 1256 Target: Stop: 1266

Big Bull Trap, lucky

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT March 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

so according to Jim Edwards "They just don't function in any useful way."

someone posted the link below - it is in german - but essentially link goes thru a calculation to find a point when retail banks are better off hoarding cash in their vault than leave it sit at the Mother bank...

hoarding physical cash... buy retail banks. How (not) useful a thing is that is that , eh ?

Google translation of the headline:

Penalty interest: Bayerische Sparkassen want extra money to hide from ECB

Livingston nh 13:39 GMT March 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

JP - CBs forget "First, do no harm"
- the costs?? LINK

the future?? FT LINK

Mtl JP 13:21 GMT March 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

any word on what ECB ease has an impact ?

any speculation on what Mario and Co. think / hope the impact would be ?

what does going negative do to the perception of CB credibility as experts who allegedly know what they are doing ?

London Chip 12:49 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

seems to be the norm now .. surging up during US session ... thinking today might be a change

GVI Forex john bland 12:48 GMT March 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fitch:
-- ECB ease has no impact on bank ratings
-- Ease unlikely to provide significant boost to subdued economy
-- Will not have significant impact on bank profits/willingness to lend

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:41 GMT March 14, 2016
Limited Time Only: Act Now
Reply   

Limited Time Only: Act Now

Get up to $200 in rewards that you can claim in cash or apply to any of our products or programs.

Send me an EMAIL for details with rewards in the subject.

QC Mailman 12:33 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

I'd like to join you guys in shorting Aussie but when it recovered from 7530 again, bias has become bullish yet again.

London Chip 12:10 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

thinking about shorting again ..

Mtl JP 12:06 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

y

London Chip 12:05 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

JP ..your Aud/usd still alive??

GVI Forex Blog 11:34 GMT March 14, 2016
Brexit Poll Update: Why Those in the UK Want to Leave the EU
Reply   

The results of our tracking poll, which asks the question, Do you expect the June 23 Brexit referendum result to be the UK leaving or staying in the EU, continue to show strong expectations that the vote will be to leave the European Union

Brexit Poll Update: Why Those in the UK Want to Leave the EU

GVI Forex john bland 11:01 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

DAX +161
DJ -9
SP -3

10-yr
US 1.972% -0.7
DE 0.254% -2.1
JP -0.039% -3.5

WTI $37.77 -0.73 ($38.66-37.56)

Mixed risk posture early with no major data due. EUR mostly lower on its crosses.

GVI Forex john bland 10:06 GMT March 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone Industrial Output January 2016

EZ and German Charts




NEWS ALERT
mm: +2.10% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. -1.00% (r -0.50%)prev.
yy: +2.80% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. n/a (r -0.10%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Hong Kong HK 09:55 GMT March 14, 2016
AceTrader Mar 14: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 14 Mar 2016 08:41 GMT

USD/JPY - 113.74
As price has ratcheted higher in Asia today to 114.01 following last Thursday's selloff from 114.45 to 112.61, suggesting choppy trading inside this near term established broad range would continue and as long as sup at 113.34 (Friday's New York low) holds, mild upside bias remains for marginal gain to 114.15/15.However, dlr's upside should falter below 114.45.

On the downside, below 113.34 would signal aforesaid erratic rise has ended and yield subsequent weakness to 112.95/00.

GVI Forex john bland 09:39 GMT March 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
BOJ Advisor Hamada
-- does not expect BOJ to ease at March meeting
-- current JPY leve vs USD not too strong
-- risks of sales take hike outweigh rewards

Source: TTN

GVI Forex Blog 09:35 GMT March 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading

Global-View Trading Technologies

kl shawn 09:31 GMT March 14, 2016
1257 is resistance

followed you Kwun, just sold 1256, stop 1264, target open...maybe 1210

HK Kwun 09:14 GMT March 14, 2016
1257 is resistance

Sell Gold
Entry: 1256 Target: Stop: 1266

stock markets are more stable now, so no more safe heaven,

ottawa 08:48 GMT March 14, 2016
1257 is resistance

I would be careful about that !!!

HK Kwun 08:25 GMT March 14, 2016
1257 is resistance
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1256 Target: Stop: 1266

sell now

SaaR KaL 07:54 GMT March 14, 2016
seems like

Oil is playing hard to get
Generally Bearish into the week / month and 3 months
38.00 is not good entry
I think it wants a day or 2 more north to finish the job
I think tops at 42.3 this week
then crashes all the way to less then 20
well worth a long term position

London Chip 07:09 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

re thinking ..hehe ... nice chuck of cheese this time of the morning!

London Chip 07:06 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

JP ..umming and oohhing this side ... sure we'll see 28 .... take profit there and re think

SaaR KaL 06:29 GMT March 14, 2016
seems like

USDCAD 1.3300 a major top this week
will be happy bullish near 1.2950

Mtl JP 06:08 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

Chip I am trailing now
gl

SaaR KaL 06:04 GMT March 14, 2016
seems like

EURUSD 1.1189 is good short level
tgt 1.0760

SaaR KaL 05:23 GMT March 14, 2016
seems like

AUDUSD a sell into Sept/2016
TGT 0.5700 Folks

SaaR KaL 05:08 GMT March 14, 2016
seems like

AUDUSD IMO Tops 0.7708

SaaR KaL 05:06 GMT March 14, 2016
seems like
Reply   
GBPJPY , EURJPY, Cable , EURUSD (with spikes and later)
are sells
still short audusd and staying that way

Gold wants another leg north this week IMO...
1300 is a good level to short for a long time

London Chip 04:30 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

got in too .... lets see ??

Hong Kong HK 02:05 GMT March 14, 2016
AceTrader Mar 14: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (NZD/USD) (USD/JPY)
Reply   
14 Mar 2016 01:22GMT

NZD/USD - 0.6738.. Kiwi briefly fell to 0.6717/18 earlier today after statements by New Zealand cenbank. New Zealand's central bank reported on Monday that the inflation expectations are a key issue for monetary policy.
RBNZ Assistant Governor John McDermott noted Monday that the inflation expectations have fallen significantly recently across a range of measures, and this is a concern for the Bank, and this will contribute to the need for low interest rate settings.

Late last week the central bank surprised markets with a 25 basis point rate cut to 2.25 percent and signaled more to come.
McDermott said there has been a "material decline" in inflation expectations and they risk becoming embedded in future wage and price decisions. He said that if the recent material decline in a broad range of inflation expectations measures continues, the Bank would need to reconsider the outlook for interest rates.

Elsewhere in Japan Reuters reported this morning that Japan's core machinery orders rose a more-than-expected 15.0 percent in January from the previous month, Cabinet Office data showed on Monday, in a sign that rising business investment could support economic growth.
This rise in core orders, a highly volatile data series regarded as an indicator of capital spending in the coming six to nine months, was much stronger than economists' median estimate for a 3.0 percent increase.
And compared with a year earlier, core orders, which exclude those of ships and electricity, rose 8.4 percent in January, versus a 3.6 percent decline seen by analysts.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:10 GMT March 14, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Last week I warned about the calm before the next storm and this week the focus will be on the FOMC meeting. While no change is widely expected, attention will be on the statement + press conference for any hints of how many rate hikes are on the table. Typically, the dollar would catch a bid ahead of the meeting but as we have seen lately, it is the reaction after key events that have caught those on the dollar long side. So it will be the reaction to news that gives a clue whether the current bout of dollar weakness has more to run.


Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Mtl JP 01:02 GMT March 14, 2016
Monday Trading

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 7576 Target: south Stop: 2x pips

would add on 7583 print if seen

 




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