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Forex Forum Archive for 03/31/2016

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Livingston nh 23:35 GMT March 31, 2016
Billions in Treasuries for Window Dressing

CB - Could the GC shortage be related to all the Central Bank hoarding of collateral? But it seems there is also a USD shortage and there has been some attempt by foreign borrowers to bail out of USD denominated loans (Yellen trying to buy them time w/ a weaker USD?)

FTAlpha LINK :

"But as Snider notes, with respect to the composition of the latest TIC data, something feels unusual about the numbers:

…the private holdings of US$ assets have been rising in the past few months despite the return of liquidations. However, reported bank liabilities (“dollars”) have not, at least on a cumulative basis (there are quarterly flows and window dressings to account in this estimation; by and large, however, banks are continuously shrinking their reported “dollar” liabilities dating back, unsurprisingly, to the middle of 2014).

So, despite the increase in private holdings of US$ assets the dollars paid in return for those assets are not making their way into the US banking system."
_______
Alhambra LINK

My earlier CNY post from BBRG LINK -- the idea of using IOUs to defer the day of reckoning

Maybe the Tide is going out

dc CB 22:12 GMT March 31, 2016
I heard the Grifter say

Everyone seems to have been caught off guard by Janet Yellen’s speech at the Economic Club of New York™. Why this is so alludes me. The reason? This is a gathering of “her” people. i.e., Wall Street. Too think she would intone anything of a hawkish nature at this highly publicized event was ludicrous.

Lots of grins and smiles everywhere which also included not only the Chair woman herself, but especially from her colleague N.Y. Fed. president William Dudley who introduced her. Again, don’t take my word. Find a rerun on-line in your search engine of choice and see for yourself. One thing is very, very, very, (did I say very?) apparent. There wasn’t a dry eye in the house. I’d wager tears of joy flowed like the cocktails: freely and frequent.

The first verse contained the words everyone with a month ending quarter wanted to hear when it came to where the Fed. stands on raising further (if at all) “proceed cautiously.” The second was a reiteration of “international developments” was first and foremost. “Data dependent” not so much.

Do you think that audience would have been all smiles and laughter before, during, or after had she been there to reiterate any of the “hawkish” commentary coming out of subsequent Fed. officials at other venues over the past week or so?

I’ve heard analysts and many others of late comment how this Fed. official, or that Fed. official has said this, when they just did that! Hawkish tones from this one, dovish tones from that one. I’m sorry, there shouldn’t be any more confusion. If you’re up around 2050ish SPX you’re going to hear “chirps” to give an illusion that maybe, just maybe, the Fed. might move towards normalization.

Maybe You're Confused By The Fed – But Wall Street Isn't

dc CB 21:16 GMT March 31, 2016
I heard the Grifter say
Reply   
Dudley: "The interventions by the Fed during the crisis were designed for the benefit of all Americans, while protecting the taxpayer"

DUDLEY:U.S. ECON IN 'GOOD PLACE' COMPARED TO OTHERS

Dudley: "We have made significant enhancements with respect to Fed transparency"

Israel Dil 20:39 GMT March 31, 2016
love is in the air, congratulations [email protected]
Reply   
pay attention to the jewelry, [email protected] must approved it do it just be with good taste

exclusieve coverage of HK [email protected] wedding

dc CB 19:54 GMT March 31, 2016
The Next Clinton Presidency

Bill got one of these on Air Force One .... seems to run in the family

Hillary Clinton’s $600 haircut ties up traffic

GVI Forex john bland 19:41 GMT March 31, 2016
Friday Trading
Reply   
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

1-APR FRIDAY
ALL DAY FINAL MFG PMIs
23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
12:30 US- Employment
14:00 US- final Univ of Michigan Survey
3-APR SUNDAY
00:00 AU/NZ Clocks Fall Back One Hour

4-APR MONDAY
00:00 CN- Holiday
5-APR TUESDAY
03:30 AU- RBA Decision
All Day Final Service PMIs
6-APR WEDNESDAY
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- FOMC Minutes
7-APR THURSDAY
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
8-APR FRIDAY
12:30 CA- Employment


GVI Forex john bland 19:40 GMT March 31, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 1 April 2016

March 31, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, April 1, 2016.

  • Far East: AU/JP/CN- PMIs, JP- Tankan
  • Europe: CH/EZ/GB- PMIs, EZ- Unemployment
  • North America: US- Employment, US/CA- PMIs, US- Construction Spending, University of Michigan Survey, Rig Count, COT Report

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

1-APR FRIDAY
ALL DAY FINAL MFG PMIs
23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
12:30 US- Employment
14:00 US- final Univ of Michigan Survey
3-APR SUNDAY
00:00 AU/NZ Clocks Fall Back One Hour

GVI Data Calendar for 1 April 2016

dc CB 19:34 GMT March 31, 2016
Billions in Treasuries for Window Dressing

today, March 31, another quarter and (and the Japanese fiscal year end) we were paying particular close attention to the funding markets, both on the fed funds and the general collateral repo side.

On the fed funds, and reverse repo, side, things we relatively normal: the Fed's reverse repo spiked from $127.1 billion (from 59 counterparties) to $303.8 billion (from 99) overnight. A lot, but we've seen more (and certainly below the expanded ceiling of $2 trillion) and largely to be expected as banks rush to make their balance sheets appear pretty for the regulators, with lots and lots of securities rented from the Fed for 1 day. Fed Funds dipped to 0.25% and briefly slid below it but nothing worth writing home about.

But while FF was "fine", something did break in the General Gollateral repo market.

Here is Wedbush' Scott Skyrm with a rather scary chart and an attempt at an explanation:

Highest Repo Rate Since The Financial Crisis

Something Did Break After All: Repo Rate Soars Most Since September 2008

GVI Forex Blog 19:30 GMT March 31, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 19:10 GMT March 31, 2016
Billions in Treasuries for Window Dressing

Treas futures are vertical.

mucho popular...Thanks to. "The Gammy" who's got the perfect sweet PillsburyDough Girl look. How could someone with that face Lie to you.

The Queen of bait n switch, the one the only........

Janet "the Grifter" Yellen

Mtl JP 18:23 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble

re "answer is in things economic "MAYBE" "
-
The current crop of policy influencing economic PhD's doggedly subscribes to the notion that deflation is a nemesis to economic growth and that inflation od 2% is its panacea.

That doctrine is based on the theory that folks will delay their purchase IF they expect that same item will be offer-priced lower tomorrow and the day after that and so on thus delaying demand and therefore the manufacturing cranking out speed of gadgets. That the PhD's call risk and danger to prospects of economic growth.

It is a flawed assumption about humans' frugality and greed characteristics driving purchasing decisions.

It is no less flawed than their "out of the hat" peddled theory of 2% price inflation being the appropriate medecine (not to say drug) influencing folks purchasing decisions and driver for economic growth activity.

It is all the more a contemporary social phenomenon manifestation of unchallenged group think of these PhD's driving economies towards a cliff. This will probably go on for a while yet.

dc CB 18:21 GMT March 31, 2016
Billions in Treasuries for Window Dressing
Reply   
today's TOMO ---- RevRepo --- aka Cash for Treasuries
$303.849 Bln

99 bidders/ 99 fills

10Y Yield last 1.8%

TOMO RevRepos

nw kw 18:02 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble

me to so short usa gold 1232

nw kw 17:31 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble

reversed off support no free fall so long xaugbp for xaueur was on cliff support so see if usa gold fly up.

Livingston nh 17:06 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble

I'll try not to get too wonky here but the rise in the EUR/GBP means MPC can hike any time because the lvel is above 0.75 - now the chance of a rate hike before Brexit is ZERO but the higher level of EUR/GBP before or after vote means they can - now the current account issue is a red herring because UK runs a deficit w/EU (and the trade zone scrip countries AKA EUR) - a hike would reduce the current account deficit (which is a usually meaningless stat) and allow the BoE to release its balance sheet by putting it QE holdings (LT) back into the market, theoretically widening the yield curve

I know -- eeekk!! higher rates will tank the economy -- and the answer is as always in things economic "MAYBE"

nw kw 16:43 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble

added, gl

nw kw 16:40 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble

pull gbp strength short xaugbp in 5m chart need get it going. gl

Paris ib 16:12 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble

Britons raid savings to fund spending as economists warn recovery 'built on sand'.... and the GBP also.

Ugly Picture in the UK

nw kw 16:11 GMT March 31, 2016
CNY

how the trade off in unemployment if usa gos up for china layoffs for commodity's begins for to save usd commodity run up, ya right someone getting burnt.

Paris ib 16:08 GMT March 31, 2016
Pound in serious trouble
Reply   
Current Account at a record and consumers using savings to keep their lifestyles going.

EUR/GDP at 80.00 is likely.

What happened to the UK?

Paris ib 16:06 GMT March 31, 2016
The Next Clinton Presidency

This guy seems to have a bead on the situation.

Dinesh D'Souza looks back at "2016: Obama's America" to see what predicitions have come true.

Livingston nh 15:58 GMT March 31, 2016
CNY
Reply   
"The People’s Bank of China held $28.9 billion of such
positions with commercial lenders as of end-February, according to a statement posted on its website. It added that it made short-foreign currency trades in derivatives with commercial lenders to meet demand from companies looking to hedge overseas liabilities." BBRG

Only burned thru 28.6 bio of foreign reserves in Feb but last night set CNY level at the lowest this year -- this is one of Janet's many "concerns" that set the worry beads clicking (I wonder how long it takes her to cross a street?)

Hillegom purk 15:50 GMT March 31, 2016
Gap
Reply   
Mind all that there is a gap in e/u at 11265. Sure i am the only one who sees that gap, but it is there...

GVI Forex Blog 15:45 GMT March 31, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 1 April 2016
Reply   

March 31, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, April 1, 2016.

  • Far East: AU/JP/CN- PMIs, JP- Tankan
  • Europe: CH/EZ/GB- PMIs, EZ- Unemployment
  • North America: US- Employment, US/CA- PMIs, US- Construction Spending, University of Michigan Survey, Rig Count, COT Report

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

1-APR FRIDAY
ALL DAY FINAL MFG PMIs
23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
12:30 US- Employment
14:00 US- final Univ of Michigan Survey
3-APR SUNDAY
00:00 AU/NZ Clocks Fall Back One Hour

GVI Data Calendar for 1 April 2016

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:42 GMT March 31, 2016
Exclusive: Forecasting Month End FX Flows

Price action post London fixing is as suggested, typical of month end.

EURUSD: Needs to hold 1.1377-82 to keep a bid, below it would suggest a short-term top.

Logic suggest caution wills et in pre-US jobs.

Paris ib 15:42 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

JP - the anti-Trump hysteria in the press is just amazing to me. But is it just smoke and mirrors? I think so. Let's make a fuss over here while Hillary just keeps going.

Paris ib 15:40 GMT March 31, 2016
The Next Clinton Presidency

“We should never confuse who we want to win, with who is going to win,” he added. “You asked who is going to be. I think Hillary is going to be, because their game is really good. They fight like it matters to them.”
Dinesh D’Souza

Does no-one here think that Hillary is a shoe-in? Really?

The Big Criminals are at Large

PAR 15:31 GMT March 31, 2016
Fintech - Central Banks
Reply   
" Against this background, the ECB and other central banks with currencies heavily influenced by the euro’s movements have been adopting ever more stimulative monetary policies. They say this is in order to boost inflation. But they are well aware there is no direct link between short-term interest rates and securities prices, on the one hand, and consumer prices on the other. They expect their policies to be effective primarily through the credit channel, by encouraging banks to lend more and rendering households and companies confident enough to borrow more. Their problem is that, however easy they make conditions, the banks’ willingness to lend remains very limited. Further, when households and companies see the banks anxious about the future, they are themselves inclined to be cautious and to hold fire on spending commitments. Many of the central banks’ easing measures, it is tacitly agreed, aim directly at relieving pressure on banks and only indirectly, through a supposed link between the health of the banks and demand in the economy, at raising the inflation rate. For the central banks, the wealth effects that their purchases of assets generate for banks are probably more important than those benefiting other holders of assets. The reason why the ECB’s negative interest rate policy has become so controversial is that its adverse effects on banks arguably outweigh any favourable influence it might exert. By contrast, in the USA, where for the time being banks are in better shape, the Fed has felt able to begin withdrawing its exceptional monetary support in an economy where growth is near potential, inflation is edging higher and credit is flowing normally.

If the relative strength (or weakness) of banks can make so much difference to economic conditions, warnings that banks’ business models may not be viable for much longer have to be taken seriously. Banks face not only legacy issues from the injudicious actions they took in the past, though these may be challenging enough especially for banks in some euro zone countries. Stress testing of banks has not proved all that successful in identifying future problems buried in banks’ balance sheets, if only because the stress scenarios have usually been drawn up in the light of weaknesses that have already been revealed and, to a large extent, rectified. A bigger threat, however, may come in future from developments that are likely to undermine the profitability of banks as they are presently organised. Most obviously, advances in technology are opening up avenues of credit intermediation that by-pass traditional banking operations. The danger is that banks will be left high and dry, with profit margins slashed (if they are able to make profits at all) and poor prospects for growth. The provision of credit will gravitate towards new, technology-based institutions. It seems unlikely that these credit channels will be established and controlled by existing banks, seeing that they face continuous pressure from regulatory capital requirements that will cramp their operations for the foreseeable future.

For those who welcome the advent of the ‘digital age’, the fresh competition from technology-based companies in the business of financial intermediation will seem like an advance in efficiency. For the central banks, however, it presents a headache. Their focus is likely to remain on the banks. Partly this will be because the statistics on which they base their actions are unlikely to keep pace with the transformation in the financial sector. The data they have will still relate primarily to the banks they recognise as such. They will be taking their cues from figures which may bear little relation to the underlying reality. But they will also be aware there is the possibility of real economic damage from the disruption that technology is bringing to the financial structure. They cannot afford to allow the traditional banking model to wither away because it is very unlikely that process would be orderly. So much present wealth and existing credit is tied up in the embattled banks, and would be at risk if the monetary authorities were to adopt a passive attitude to the sector.

It is as good as nailed down, therefore, that central banks will be pursuing monetary policies that are not strictly appropriate to whatever economic conditions are current, as they seek to forestall serious threats in the future stemming from the technological challenge to banks. All traditional banks face this challenge, not only those in the euro zone which have recently been attracting attention. The 1980s saw the final culmination of a more than five-hundred-year development, the end of an era, not the inception of a new and sustainable financial order. "

Mtl JP 15:31 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

re The Economist Intelligence Unit ... Huff's Editor’s note: Donald Trump is a serial liar, rampant xenophobe, racist, misogynist, birther and bully who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims — 1.6 billion members of an entire religion — from entering the U.S.

that is one some unbiased editor lol
Probably scared witless of losing their job

SaaR KaL 15:15 GMT March 31, 2016
Targets USDCAD and AUDUSD

for longer term traders 3-5 months
Cable short is good at these ranges
1.4625 1.3544
1.4795 1.3357

Israel Dil 15:02 GMT March 31, 2016
Trump sounds off on abortion; criticism comes from all sides

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trump or H. Clinton = Yeltsin or Gorbachev

both will burn USA to the ashes getting the same result, it's how to burn they argue about.

almost 20 trillion reasons at the moment and counting...

Paris ib 14:52 GMT March 31, 2016
Trump sounds off on abortion; criticism comes from all sides

It is my contention that Trump will self-destruct and is merely a media distraction. The focus should be on the Hillary Clinton Presidency.

"Trump is a media hate figure. That alone should arouse our scepticism.... The danger to the rest of us is not Trump, but Hillary Clinton." John Pilger

Clinton will continue an aggressive foreign policy. What else though? Implications for the USD and U.S. monetary and fiscal policy? The previous Clinton administration saw a strong USD, a reduction in the deficit. On the flip side we saw LTCM implode under Clinton. The Russians were saddled with Yeltsin (ruinous for Russia but supported by Clinton). And the U.S. was generally well regarded. Hillary is a different political animal.

The danger is Hillary

HK Kwun 14:45 GMT March 31, 2016
1240 is resistance
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1234 Target: Stop: 1240

Sell Now

SaaR KaL 14:34 GMT March 31, 2016
Targets USDCAD and AUDUSD
Reply   
I doubt USDCAD Goes much lower then 1.27

AUDUSD 0.7900

Oil Might see 45

AUDNZD 1.1600

GVI Forex john bland 14:30 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-25 vs. -22 exp vs. +15 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK Kwun 14:26 GMT March 31, 2016
1225 is critical point

Buy Gold
Entry: 1228 Target: Stop: 1218

TP at 1238, thank you

GVI Forex john bland 14:21 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Evans
-- more likely Fed to raise rates mid-year than yearend
-- not critical when they raise
-- comfortable with 2 hikes in 2016

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:14 GMT March 31, 2016
Exclusive: Forecasting Month End FX Flows

This was a timely video. Working as suggested. Click on subject to view.

HK [email protected] 14:12 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



No burbles

Donald Trump Poses As Big A Risk To Global Stability As Terrorism, Report Says

Donald Trump Poses As Big A Risk To Global Stability As Terrorism, Report Says

HK [email protected] 14:11 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



No BURBLES!!!!!!!!!!!!

Paid for by Donald J. Trump for President, Inc.

Paid for by Donald J. Trump for President, Inc.

Mtl JP 13:56 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

priceaction is the only reliable thing that dominates and trumps one's sitting position or what one burbles

HK [email protected] 13:53 GMT March 31, 2016
Global-View: Back to basics


Chicago PMI much stronger than expected.,,,,BUT SUCKS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Euro on the run.

PAR 13:51 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Regional PMI figures not reliable . What you say depends on where you sit .

GVI Forex john bland 13:47 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Chicago PMI much stronger than expected.

GVI Forex john bland 13:47 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Chicago PMI March 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
53.6 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 47.6 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:46 GMT March 31, 2016
Global-View: Back to basics


Entry: 1.139x (market) Target: 1.1350 and lower Stop: +/- around 1.1412

what d u say boz n girlz:
y/n
tia

PAR 13:42 GMT March 31, 2016
Global-View: Back to basics

Today is all about window dressing .
Brent up 5.5% this quarter . Us dollar down 5% this quarter .

It seems if you want higher crude you need a lower dollar .

Manila Tom 13:39 GMT March 31, 2016
Sell USD against all!

Dil, what is sustainable though? Euro downside also unsustainable.

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT March 31, 2016
Global-View: Back to basics



eurdlr , to a portion of market players, looking for 1.15/1.17
pic shows pivot pricing (or probable sls to those long)

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:10 GMT March 31, 2016
Global-View Rewards: Using Crosses to Trade Spot FX
Reply   
See what is driving the EURUSD higher.


Click on the link below to get access to my video as your reward

Contact Jay Meisler





Contact Jay Meisler

GVI Forex john bland 13:07 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

Jobless Claims can't fall much lower because what is called "frictional unemployment" or people moving between jobs, but they can move a LOT higher if the economy starts to weaken substantially.

In other words, they cannot move below zero. Click on the chart for a 12yr+ history, the lowest sustained level since the turn of the century was 300K. They have stabilized below that low now for about a year now.

Mtl JP 12:57 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

not sure I get "they had no lower to go. They are only structurally flexible on the upside." meaning.

can u rephrase the implication plz

GVI Forex john bland 12:45 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

Keep an eye on weekly Jobless Claims. The data are volatile but are the canary in the coal mine. With the economy slow for so long, they had no lower to go. They are only structurally flexible on the upside.

HK [email protected] 12:43 GMT March 31, 2016
EURO
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: NOW Target: 1.1480 Stop: 1.1370


NFP: If you will add to NFP all the women who hit the street because of financial hard ship...wow this will be a big one.

GVI Forex Blog 12:40 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims rising

<Click on chart for over twelve-year history
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

PAR 12:39 GMT March 31, 2016
US Labor Market
Reply   
Baby boomers retiring and Uberization of US economy are making US labor figures less relevant .

The total unemployment rate and NFP are no longer indicative for the US economy .

Even Yellen seems to realize that .

GVI Forex john bland 12:32 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: GDP January 2016




ALERT
m/m +0.6% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% () prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 12:30 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT


Initial Claims (000)

276K vs. 270K exp. vs. 265K prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 12:25 GMT March 31, 2016
Thursday Trading

Trading Themes --

  • A slew of data today from Europe suggested more of the same is in store for key economies. namely slow growth and low inflation. That suggests for traders that there is no policy change in store for the policies of the major central banks, such as the ECB, BOE and BOJ. There are growing fears in the central bank community that low growth deflationary trends might become entrenched.

  • The next major focus for trading is the March employment report on Friday. Wednesday saw ADP private jobs in the month increase by 200K, about as expected. On Friday, the focus will be on U.S. Jobs growth and average hourly earnings as well as other items. No progress on the economy (or inflation) is expected until wages start to rise. The data are unlikely to impact the April Fed policy decision but most certainly could impact the value of the USD.

  • The new Fed policy of more gradual rate hikes should be supportive of equities because it is an aggressive pro-growth posture. We have to be wary that the Fed might be inflating an equity bubble. Australia and New Zealand clocks "fall back" this weekend.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:23 GMT March 31, 2016
Global-View: Back to basics

When we started Global-View around 19 years ago our motto was "we Produce Trading Ideas." While this is still our motto, our forums have evolved and we would like to get back to basics.

We have always encouraged all types of posts as you never know when something someone posts will be a missing piece to your puzzle. It may not fit mine but it may fit yours.

However, the balance seems to have tipped more towards posts with no trading conclusion and we would like to bring that into balance.

What I mean by this is to add a market implication to your posts. It could be a trading idea or just what it means to the market (e.g. bearish for the dollar, bullish for the EUR, etc).

So think in terms of trading when you post and help us get back to our motto: We Produce Trading Ideas.

HK [email protected] 12:19 GMT March 31, 2016
All CB's will help prevent Trump from being the next president.
Reply   


Especially China, which may suffer from his declared policies.

It is not a currency war, but a collaboration of CBs to help US economy to expand(more jobs) until elections, by weakening of the USD.

Because if Trump will win, other nations will not have any easy time trading their products with the US.

PAR 12:18 GMT March 31, 2016
Oil , Retail , Computers

Weekly figures distorted by holidays .

GVI Forex john bland 12:16 GMT March 31, 2016
Oil , Retail , Computers

Id like to see Weekly Jobless Claims start to rise before worrying about the Challenger figures.

PAR 12:12 GMT March 31, 2016
Oil , Retail , Computers
Reply   
DJ Layoff Announcements Spreading Away From Oil -- Market Talk

8:00 ET - US companies announced the most 1Q layoffs since 2009 as oil-related cuts continue to inflate numbers, according to data from Challenger Gray. But announcements "have increased significantly" in retail and computers, says CEO John Challenger, adding, "While it may be too early to sound the alarm bells, the upward trend outside of the energy sector is somewhat worrisome." Overall announced layoffs by Challenger Gray's count have been 185K this quarter, versus 140K a year earlier. It's the worst start to a year since 2009, when in the wake of the financial crisis companies announced plans that 1Q to cut 562K jobs. The firm puts oil-related layoff announcements for this quarter up 5% from a year earlier at 50K, or 27% of the total. That's actually less than the prior year's 34%. ([email protected]; @kevinkingsbury)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

Livingston nh 12:03 GMT March 31, 2016
Thursday Trading

After market hours Dudley speaks @5PM EDT in Virginia (VMI) -- more of THE EMPIRE STRIKES BACK

HK [email protected] 12:02 GMT March 31, 2016
Abortion issue sucks, Trump on the run!!!
Reply   


Poll: Clinton, Trump up big in New York


Washington (CNN)— New York looks set to deliver both presidential front-runners big primary victories on April 19, with Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump sporting double-digit leads in their home state in a new poll.

Clinton leads Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders 54% to 42% in the Empire State, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday.

On the Republican side, Trump is in first place with 56% support, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz trails with 20% and Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 19%.

LINK

Israel Dil 12:01 GMT March 31, 2016
Sell USD against all!

Sell EURUSD
Entry: the nearing spike Target: Stop:

euro strength is not sustainable

HK [email protected] 11:44 GMT March 31, 2016
Sell USD against all!


USD index.

93.3 may come in as support

russia P.O 11:39 GMT March 31, 2016
Free signals for binary options
Reply   
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HK [email protected] 11:39 GMT March 31, 2016
Sell USD against all!


IF YOU READED MY LEEPS!
Bzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz!!!

Don't believe this time in any congestion support.

IT IS ALL ABOUT FUNDAMENTALS(ELECTION POLITICS)

PAR 11:01 GMT March 31, 2016
Dollar sell-off ebbs, but on track for biggest quarterly fall in five years

Why watch average earnings ? Look at top earnings.

Google's CEO made over $100 million in 2015

Google CEO Awarded $199M in Record Stock Grant

HK [email protected] 10:59 GMT March 31, 2016
Trump sounds off on abortion; criticism comes from all sides


Trump is right!!!

Women have to realize it.

Abortion is: "MURDER".

Women are owners of their body, but not of the life of their fetus.

There is still time to go for the election, and this is not the only issue.

The main issue today is the other potential candidate..Clinton, a disaster in the making.

His comment about abortion will spark an old debate, but he will ride over it.

Nothing to worry.

HK [email protected] 10:52 GMT March 31, 2016
ON balance to be tilted a way or another.
Reply   

51% of Britons back staying in the European Union, 49% want to leave, ORB poll shows - Reuters

PAR 10:31 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

Strange kind of deflation .

DRAGHI = LE MALADE IMAGINAIRE

Not the kind of person who should be leading the biggest central bank of the world ?

GVI Forex john bland 10:27 GMT March 31, 2016
Dollar sell-off ebbs, but on track for biggest quarterly fall in five years
Reply   
Dollar sell-off ebbs, but on track for biggest quarterly fall in five years -- Reuters.com



U.S. employment data on Friday looms large. A strong report is expected. Keep an eye on overage hourly earnings again.

GVI Forex john bland 10:23 GMT March 31, 2016
Trump sounds off on abortion; criticism comes from all sides
Reply   
Trump sounds off on abortion; criticism comes from all sides-- Reuters.com



This mis-step could be decisive for the Republican primary. Trump has always had a problem about not thinking before he speaks. Sooner or later he was going to implode.

Hong Kong HK 10:00 GMT March 31, 2016
AceTrader Mar 31: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 31 Mar 2016 09:21 GMT

USD/JPY - 112.43
Dollar's early selloff from Tue's 113.80 high on the back of dovish comments by Fed Chair Yellen to 1.02 yesterday confirms upmove from March's 6-month trough at 110.67 has ended there and choppy consolidation with downside bias is seen ahead of Fri's key U.S. jobs data.
Expect 12.70/80 to cap intra-day recovery and yield weakness towards 111.87 (61.8% r of 110.67-13.80), however, loss of momentum should keep price above 111.37.

On the upside, only above 113.15/24 res area dampens present bearish scenario but reckon 13.80 should remain intact.

Paris ib 10:00 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

No idea... but the expected result is a USD meltdown. Personally I don't see that at this point. We shall see.

Cape May jb 09:54 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

Who will pull what trigger?

Paris ib 09:52 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

Ok let's see.

bali sja 09:45 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

after NFP, they will pull the trigger

Paris ib 09:39 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

sja - you reckon? Well we need a trigger. Our little friends in power might have a trigger, make another mint (at the expensive of the rest of us)... same old, same old. Still it's a sick game.

jkt abel 09:39 GMT March 31, 2016
usdjpy
Reply   
bought 112.36, stop 111.19, target later

bali sja 09:32 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

they won't be able to control it, panic is setting in underneath the surface....

Paris ib 09:25 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

sja - yeah but I wouldn't get all gung ho. 'They' want the USD depreciation to be 'controlled'. Nothing too fancy.

bali sja 09:24 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

so we all agree now with Yellen's backing up, sell usd on all bounces

Paris ib 09:24 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

John - don't you just love being a pawn in the game? Personally it makes me vomit but what can you do?

GVI Forex john bland 09:21 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

ib- great minds think alike! I agree with you re: a weaker USD.

Paris ib 09:21 GMT March 31, 2016
The Next Clinton Presidency

How does the Clinton Presidency impact the USD.

FWIW I think you guys are being punked. Distracted by the Trump Hoo Haa. He will self destruct on command. Just look at his latest abortion comment. And more to come. I don't believe the guy even wants the Presidency but he seems to be part of the game plan. While everyone focuses on Trump Clinton gets the nomination and at that point the Presidency is in the bag.

What's it mean for the USD? Any clues?

John Pilger on the Election

Paris ib 09:17 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

Don't matter John. Yellen has flagged they want a weaker USD. Weaker USD coming up.

GVI Forex john bland 09:17 GMT March 31, 2016
Thursday Trading
Reply   
Nothing is a slew of data today that is likely to change perceptions about the outlook for ECB or BOE policies in any relevant time frame for trading. A slew of global final PMI and U.S. employment data are due for Friday early.

GVI Forex john bland 09:12 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

You can see from the chart below that EZ inflation continues to run well below the ECB's target.

GVI Forex Blog 09:10 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line
Reply   

Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) March 2016

BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Inflation In Line

Mtl JP 09:06 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

S&P downgrades China credit outlook to negative from stable

GVI Forex john bland 09:02 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

EZ flash HICP data mixed but roughly in line with estimates

GVI Forex john bland 09:01 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) March 2016





ALERT
Headline
yy: -0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:39 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Revised Higher
Reply   

UK GDP-- 4Q15

U.K. 4Q15 revised GDP data revised higher.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Revised Higher

GVI Forex john bland 08:32 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

4Q15 GDP revised higher.

GVI Forex john bland 08:31 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

UK GDP-- 4Q15

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.60% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.
YY +2.10% vs. +1.90% exp. vs. +1.90% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:11 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

EZ and German Charts
EARLIER: German Retail Sales mixed.


GVI Forex Blog 08:02 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Steady
Reply   

German Unemployment March 2016
German March Jobless steady (lower is better).

BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Steady

GVI Forex john bland 07:56 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

German unemployment data weaker than expected.

GVI Forex john bland 07:56 GMT March 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

German Unemployment March 2016




NEWS ALERT
Rate: 6.20% vs. 6.20% exp. vs. 6.20% prev.
Change: 0 vs. -7K exp. vs. -10K (r -9K) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

SaaR KaL 07:33 GMT March 31, 2016
Gold

Still bearish USDCHF
0.9872 0.9538

SaaR KaL 07:29 GMT March 31, 2016
Gold

I prefer longing silver then gold
16.2595 14.8044

EURUSD seems bullish
1.1488 1.1007

PAR 07:26 GMT March 31, 2016
Draghi s Deflation Story
Reply   
Draghi's deflation misrepresentation is the biggest scam in world history .

Draghi is stealing € billions from hard working European citizens, savers ,pensioners and should be sitting next to Madoff in prison .

#ImpeachDraghi

SaaR KaL 07:25 GMT March 31, 2016
Gold
Reply   
Although Gold looks like a buy here
I am staying away from it
work range 1,287 1,198
I think will wait to shorts later next week

Very happy longing Oil AUDNZD
for a while

AUDUSD still bullish
0.7880 0.7494

EURJPY Bullish
128.8845 124.1893

HK Kwun 07:07 GMT March 31, 2016
1225 is critical point
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1228 Target: Stop: 1218

buy agian

PAR 06:51 GMT March 31, 2016
FRANCE
Reply   
French Mar CPI +0.7% On Month; -0.2% On Year 2016.03.31 08:45:04

London 06:50 GMT March 31, 2016
New signal by our verify account
Reply   
Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.96565 Target: +65 Pip Stop: -65 Pip

Visit us for 14 days free trial

Post approved by global-view.com

Forex signals

PAR 06:26 GMT March 31, 2016
GERMANY
Reply   
DJ German Retail Sales Decline in February

By Emese Bartha



FRANKFURT--Retail sales in Germany declined slightly in February from January, coming out below expectations, data from the Federal Statistics Office, Destatis, showed Thursday.

Retail sales fell by 0.4% in February in real, adjusted terms from the previous month, after a 0.1% easing in January, Destatis said.

Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.3% increase in February from January.

Retail sales grew, however, on annual comparison, expanding by 5.4% from February 2015, Destatis said, but noted that February 2016 had 25 shopping days, while February 2015 had 24.

German retail sales are considered as a volatile indicator, prone to large revisions. Hence, economists treat the monthly numbers with caution and focus more on three-month averages.


Hong Kong HK 05:59 GMT March 31, 2016
AceTrader Mar 31: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD
Reply   
Update Time: 31 Mar 2016 02:04 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1328
Euro's rally to as high as 1.1303 in New York afternoon on Tuesday due to dovish remarks from Fed's chair Yellen, then yesterday's breach of previous March's peak at 1.1343 to 1.1365 suggests a re-test of 2016 peak at 1.1377 (Feb) would be forthcoming soon.
However, above there is needed to bring resumption of erratic upmove from January's bottom at 1.0523 towards 1.1450/60 later.

On the downside, a daily close below support at 1.1283 would indicate a temporary top has been made and yield retracement towards 1.1245/55 before prospect of a rebound.

beijing hai 03:40 GMT March 31, 2016
did shanghai bc and goldcoast martin
Reply   
still post?..been a long long time since last visit here...hello Jay n John

dc CB 01:51 GMT March 31, 2016
NEXT

More Manipulation

Traders, step right up, step right up, Honest Janet sells nothing but the truth....
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

After The Fed jawboned the world into the largest aggregate net short position in Treasuries in Q4 since 2010, its rapid realization that all is not well in the real world - and subsequent talking (and walking) back of rate-hike expectations - has sparked the biggest short-squeeze in 6 years and sent Treasuries up by the most since 2012. With odds collapsing for any more rate-hikes in 2016, as Yellen admits their forecasts are worthless, it seems - just as in 2010 - the bonds shorts have a way to go.

The Fed should “proceed cautiously” in raising interest rates, Yellen said in New York. The chance of a move by the end of 2016 has declined to 64 percent, from 73 percent at the end of last week, futures prices compiled by Bloomberg indicate.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

for further edification please watch this short clip....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YpjpST98FVc

Yellen-Driven Short-Squeeze Sends Bonds To Best Quarter In 4 Years

dc CB 01:29 GMT March 31, 2016
NEXT



Pollotics 'Murican Style.
The April Risk

Min Wage Labor? Behind the NEWZ

LA BV 01:02 GMT March 31, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply   
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

112.80 is resistance

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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