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Forex Forum Archive for 04/06/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Mtl JP 23:53 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



CB 23:29 I remember wistfully them 18% ++ days ... happened to be on the receiving end then. vs pathetic 0% today.

Brisbane PD 23:38 GMT April 6, 2016
For any NZD traders :
Reply   
( NZ time ie in about 20 mins )

RBNZ Deputy Governor Geoff Bascand will present a speech about New Zealand's labour market,
at an event in Dunedin at 12noon on Thursday 7 April.

Text of the speech will be published on the Reserve Bank website. http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research-and-publications/speeches

dc CB 23:29 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Grifters way back to the '80s.

And yes that 18% guy is still alive. How the F*&k did he silver-tongue his his way thru that Rape of the general population. Ever since Revered????

Every seat in the auditorium is equipped with 3 Vomit bags. Hate to be on the clean-uo staff after the event.

dc CB 23:24 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed "reserves the right" to raise rates at any time -Bullard

Casting Grifter Bullard in a new role. After having "made his bones" and forever to be known as the maker of "Bullard's Bottom".........
His new personna is that of a Go Along Guy.

Of note, we never ever ever hear anything from the Mouth of Kaskahari, even though he appears and SEZ: Da Banks are toooooo Big. NUZ blackout on that guy.

Mtl JP 23:17 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Coming up Thursday, April 7

NEW YORK - Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen participates in a conversation with current and former Federal Reserve chairmen before the Paul A. Volcker Distinguished Speaker Program, 1730 EDT/2130 GMT
-
so I am wondering if this is a co-ordinated rehearsed kabuki theater piece in which the former chairmen agreed to pre-supply their questions / assertions and yellen was allowed to vet them so as to put on some pretense of importance and expertise gravitas codswallop for the market.

What are the odds the gang would put on an genuinely acrimonious conversation with current and former Federal Reserve chairmen for us ?

Mtl JP 22:58 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

"I am not saying I'm planning on that or anything but the committee certainly reserves the right to make a move at any time," he said in a Bloomberg Radio interview.

"We debate at all meetings. I think all meetings are live meetings, there's no other way to think about it."

I wonder with whom the committee certainly reserves the right - didn't know there was a right granting body. But I constantly remind myself that nobody is bigger than Mr and Mrs Market. Not even the FED's committee.

Sofar the market is leaving "the committee" to prance at it wishes but it just does not deliver the results the committee wishfully wishes - toying with it like a cat might with a mouse.

Fed "reserves the right" to raise rates at any time -Bullard

dc CB 22:33 GMT April 6, 2016
I heard a Grifter say
Reply   
‘Customers First’ to Become the Law in Retirement Investing

The Labor Department, after years of battling Wall Street and the insurance industry, will require financial advisers and brokers to act in their clients’ best interests.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

geeze loueeezzzeee. Ya mean all the years I been goin' ta dem for adVICE...dey been lookin' out for demselves. Lordy lordy lordy
An I don puts all my money in dem an-new-aties. den I don reverse mortgaged my house, 'cause dey don say it was a good deal...

An' I a White guy

Brisbane Flip 21:43 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Sounds like the Fed are now acknowledging they were so late beginning a rate normalization they have missed their opportunity.

Policy Error Confirmed.

GVI Forex john bland 19:39 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Bullard
-- Mild inflation overshoot OK.

GVI Forex Blog 19:38 GMT April 6, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex john bland 19:26 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

looks to me like Bullard is finally on board with Yellen.

GVI Forex john bland 19:25 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Feds Bullard
-- biggest concern tepid growth and outlook
-- Fed using go s;ow approach to rate rise
-- would like to see more gains in inflation outlook expectations
-- Fed should continue to normalize interest rates

GVI Forex john bland 19:20 GMT April 6, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 7 April 2016



April 6, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 7, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Natural Gas, Yellen Speech

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

7-APR THURSDAY
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
8-APR FRIDAY
12:30 CA- Employment


GVI Data Calendar for 7 April 2016

GVI Forex john bland 18:27 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

post Fed

10-yr 1.577%
FF futures 64% odds of rate hike by yearend

inconsequential changes....

dc CB 18:12 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

They want to to think that they're Twits.

But that's how Grifters operate, needing the Marks to think that they(the marks) are the smart ones.

Now Discuss: WhOt They(the FOMC) ReAlLy Meant.

Monty Python Twit Olympics

GVI Forex john bland 18:07 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

text

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee

GVI Forex john bland 18:03 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. March Fed Policy Minutes

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
U.S. Fed Policy Minutes
Most agreed with holding rates steady. Some wanted a hike.
Several said hiking rates in April would a signal an unwarranted sense of urgency.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 17:59 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

stop run in 3,2,1

dc CB 17:29 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Same ole same ole

london red 17:15 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

mins likely less dovish than yellen most recently was but thats just relative. likely still a wait and see report.

Jkt Abel 17:08 GMT April 6, 2016
Sell cable

Wait for another test of 70-80 area imho

Singapore Td 17:05 GMT April 6, 2016
Sell cable
Reply   
Sold 1.4131, adding higher,stop all 1.4239

GVI Forex john bland 17:01 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

The markets are set up for a dovish Fed statement in just over an hour. I don't think there is much new to say?

dc CB 16:45 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

PAR
Algos needed a trigger. the Grifters Daily Mouth wagging wasn't moving the markets enough to run stops.

Numbers supplied by Numbers-R-Us, same company that supplies the BLS, and creates the "Earnings Reports" for most of the major US Corps that will be coming out in the next few weeks.

This afternoon, The FOMC(Grifters' Enclave) minutes. No matter what is already known, new nuiances will be teased so more stops can be run.

Oil glut up close: How Cushing copes with full crude tanks

GVI Forex john bland 16:32 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Par - I hear there is a lot of "quirkiness" in the data during the "retooling" season. I would not make a lot of the data.

Paris ib 16:31 GMT April 6, 2016
Usdjpy

Fs - Amen to that. :-)

Kl Shswn 16:29 GMT April 6, 2016
EUR/USD

Euro target 1.1570

Amman wfakhoury 16:29 GMT April 6, 2016
EUR/USD

EURUSD 11439 confirmed
can move to 11480 if not breaks down 11395

GVI Forex john bland 16:25 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Mester (mild hawk)
-- prefers gradual rate hike strategy
-- no comment on when next hike likely
-- Fed not behind the curve
-- inflation to 2.00% over next couple of years

Source: TTN

Ternopil SMV 16:24 GMT April 6, 2016
EUR/USD
Reply   
Hello mr.wfakhoury. What is your view for eur/usd? please!

PAR 16:24 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Where did all the crude go to ? What a huge discrepancy between expectations and actual draw? Who is fooling who ? A Delaware company ?

Kl Fs 16:23 GMT April 6, 2016
Usdjpy
Reply   
Why fight the trend? Already said do not buy usdjpy. Yellen clearly wanted weaker usd. Sell usd against everything else.

london red 16:01 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

those arent tgts but lvls i wud fade. as mkt may frontrun.

Amman wfakhoury 16:01 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14183 new confirmed
Reply   

The only one in the world who confirms the next level

GVI Forex john bland 15:55 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Chart updated. Fed Minutes in 2 hours... 10-yr 1.758% +3.5bp

london red 15:52 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

ahead of fomc mins. 11443. yen 10911/14 fade, maybe 37 holds ahead of mins.

HK Kwun 15:41 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14130 confirmed

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

quick eat 3 dollars

HK Kwun 15:37 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14130 confirmed

seem you are bullish

Amman wfakhoury 15:28 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14130 confirmed

The close above 1222 at the end of this hour buy.

HK Kwun 15:24 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14130 confirmed

so you prefer buy or sell?

Amman wfakhoury 15:16 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14130 confirmed

last confirmed 1222.60 already reached.
will move big 15-20 $ .
for the time being into consolidation at 1222 level

Livingston nh 15:10 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Looks like refineries are producing more product than expected to make room for more crude

HK Kwun 15:10 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14130 confirmed

wfakhoury master, welcome back, any direction on gold?

Amman wfakhoury 15:03 GMT April 6, 2016
GBPUSD 14130 confirmed
Reply   
14130 confirmed
14072 return
we have 14345 previous confirmed.


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


GVI Forex Blog 15:03 GMT April 6, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 7 April 2016
Reply   



April 6, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 7, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Natural Gas, Yellen Speech

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

6-APR WEDNESDAY
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- FOMC Minutes
7-APR THURSDAY
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
8-APR FRIDAY
12:30 CA- Employment


GVI Data Calendar for 7 April 2016

HK [email protected] 14:38 GMT April 6, 2016
YEN



How about a dramatic collapse to 105?

BOJ will be more than happy to sell it's worthless pieces of paper called yen.

HK [email protected] 14:34 GMT April 6, 2016
YEN



Read patience not patient

HK [email protected] 14:32 GMT April 6, 2016
YEN
Reply   


With a bit patient USD/YEN next a bit below 109.

Nothing is oversold yet!

GVI Forex john bland 14:31 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

API Crude DRAW confirmed. CO higher.

GVI Forex john bland 14:31 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -4.900 vs. +3.300 exp vs. +2.300 prev.
Gasoline: +1.400 vs. -0.400 vs. -4.640 prev.
Distillates: +1.800 vs. -0.100 exp vs. -2.500 prev.
Cap/Util: 91.4% vs. 88.40% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 14:26 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

My hand is not very hidden...... :)

Tallinn viies 14:25 GMT April 6, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
sold eurusd at 1,1390. stop at 1,1440. over monthly high.
now it is time to try bigger than usual short. if this works then euro comes down all the way to 1,106. if not then euro moving up to 1,1570

UK JY 14:23 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Here we go again with the hidden hand below 110

nw kw 14:21 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

eur pop priced in.

GVI Forex john bland 14:05 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS


Canadian PMIs (Ivey and RBC-Markit). Hard to pick out a trend.


GVI Forex john bland 14:03 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Ivey PMI does not tell us a lot due to its extreme volatility, but it is widely distributed.

GVI Forex john bland 14:00 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada Ivey PMI (sa) March 2016





ALERT
50.1 vs. 53.0 exp. vs. 53.4 prev.

RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report


TTN: Live News Special Offer

nw kw 13:53 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

gbpaud looks no biers trend can run.

Paris ib 13:33 GMT April 6, 2016
USD sell off PART II

The USD: not waving, drowning.

Paris ib 13:28 GMT April 6, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Does anyone have a long term target on this? I seem to remember some Japanese official saying 80 was too low...

A break of 110, and it has to be sustained, will lead to a test of 100 over the next three months or so. But targets keep getting crushed quickly so it could be less than that.

Longer term? Anyone care to take a shot at a target?

Mtl JP 12:51 GMT April 6, 2016
EU

nh to some economists the "refugee/migrant invasion" is GDP-enhancing phenomenon rather than "an ongoing and growing problem"

Livingston nh 12:12 GMT April 6, 2016
EU
Reply   
For a year the refugee/migrant invasion has been an ongoing and growing problem -- the reports of yesterday's proposals emphasize that these are just preliminary and unlikely to be adopted

WHY bother? Banks, Greece, Borders - nothing is ever solved because there is nobody in charge of anything

Brexit opportunity should start to press on the EUR

Livingston nh 11:47 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Cable on the 4 hr chart has broken thru a critical point of H&S and looks to test for Feb lows - If today's oil reports confirms API draw the products inventory and capacity utilization hold the key for further test of 37 - AND stox after a slightly higher open will give ground again (but there is now new SPX gap from yesterday's open)

GVI Forex john bland 11:14 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Flight-to-safety trade has eased some. Odds for a rate hike this year are up a touch. That is mildly EURUSD negative.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:57 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

EURGBP extending its highs, led more by a drop in GBPUSD than the dip in EURUSD. There is a key support around 1.4050. EURGBP testing a key weekly resistance dating back to Sept 2014. Void of key levels above it.

GVI Forex john bland 10:20 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading

Mixed Markets
DAX -22
DJ +33
SP +5

10-yr
US 1.752% +3.0
DE 0.127% +3.2
GB 1.378% +3.5
JP -0.056% -0.1

wti $36.84 +0.95 ($37.12- 36.44)

EUR crosses mixed

Hong Kong HK 10:17 GMT April 6, 2016
AceTrader Apr 6: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 06 Apr 2016 09:17 GMT

USD/JPY - 110.32
Dollar's cross-inspired selloff to a fresh 17-month trough at 109.92 confirms MT downtrend from 2015 peak at 125.86 has resumed and further weakness to 109.80 and then 109.50/60 would be seen.
However, loss of momentum should keep price well above 109.00 ahead of FOMC minutes later today.

On the upside, only a daily close above 111.06/10 would indicate a temporary low has been made and yield retracement to 111.37, then 111.80 before prospect of a retreat.

GVI Forex john bland 09:36 GMT April 6, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   
Trading Themes --

  • On Tuesday, U.S. PMI data were stronger than forecast, but Final PMI data from the Eurozone flash PMIs were broadly revised lower. Today has seen the Eurozone Retail PMI slip back below the 50 expansion/contraction line.

  • Markets continue to reverberate after PM Abe spoke out against forex intervention to contain the JPY. The key focus has been USDJPY 110.00 level. Keep in mind there is a strong correlation between USDJPY and U.S. equities.

  • Over time, the new Fed policy of gradual rate hikes should continue to be supportive of U.S. equities because of the additional liquidity being generated. I am concerned about the risks of the Fed inflating an equity bubble that ultimately must burst.

GVI Forex Blog 08:19 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Retail PMI Lower
Reply   
EZ Retail PMI. weaker and back below 50...

BREAKING NEWS: Eurozone Retail PMI Lower

London 08:11 GMT April 6, 2016
New signal by our verify account
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.75540 Target: +65 Pip Stop: -65 Pip

Visit us for free trial and see our verify account by MyFxbook more than 140% profit.


Posted with permission of global-view.com

Forex signals

GVI Forex john bland 08:10 GMT April 6, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Retail PMI March 2016





ALERT

49.2 vs. n/a exp. vs. 50.1

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK Kwun 06:41 GMT April 6, 2016
Risk Off due to JPY
Reply   
Buy
Entry: 1226.5 Target: Stop: 1216

buy now

Hong Kong HK 02:36 GMT April 6, 2016
AceTrader Apr 6: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
06 Apr 2016 02:11GMT

USD/JPY - ....... Although dlr tumbled to a fresh 17-month trough at 109.92 near New York midday on Tuesday after data showed that U.S. trade deficit widened more than expected in February, short-covering emerged later in the day and lifted price to 110.55. Dlr then retreated to 110.23 in Australia before climbing marginally higher to 110.57 in Tokyo morning.

Today's focus for the market is surely on the release of FOMC minutes at 18:00GMT as investors are looking for more details behind the central bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged and clues on the timing of the next interest rate increase. Therefore, sharp gain or losses is not likely to be seen in Asian n European sessions.

At present, bids are noted at 110.20-10 and 110.00-109.90 with stops below 109.80.
On the upside, offers are reported at 110.60-70 and more at 110.80-90 with stops above 111.00.

dc CB 01:50 GMT April 6, 2016
I heard a Grifter say:

Oh Wall Street Oh my friends on Wall Street

He beat me

HRC and Friends.

Bernie

dc CB 01:40 GMT April 6, 2016
I heard a Grifter say:



Our Dear Leader as seen by the IBD(Investors Business Daily) Editorial cartoonist

dc CB 01:32 GMT April 6, 2016
stox



Livingston nh 00:36 GMT
SO - buy the VIX for 21
*****************************
It's just not the Elections, It's Earnings...GARRRRRP V Non GARRRRRGAG GAG me with a spoon is getting Real OLD. Just Like Grifter Yellen's: I'm gonna raise....gonna raise soooon.
Other than the ALGOs, all others are Give Me a F*^kin' break.

The Head US Grifter Yellen is losing her influence on the MARK.
April's earnings will take a Ton-O-'Splanin' and will generate a Ton-O-VOL.

I went long VXX on Fri from 17 with April Options



Livingston nh 01:12 GMT April 6, 2016
gold

GOLD - Twilight Zone - stolen gold w/ crooks awaking 100 years later -
"Finally, weak and dehydrated, he collapses. Farwell offers his last gold bar to a man from a futuristic car that has driven up, in exchange for water and a ride to the nearest town; but he dies a few moments later.
As the man, named George, gets back into his car to report Farwell's death to the police, he quizzically remarks to his wife, "Can you imagine that? He offered this to me as if it was really worth something." The wife vaguely recalls that gold had indeed been valuable at some time in the distant past. The husband replies, "Sure, about a hundred years or so ago, before they found a way of manufacturing it," and tosses the gold bar away."

This episode predated NIXON

dc CB 01:10 GMT April 6, 2016
I heard a Grifter say:
Reply   
There are the guys I work for

Bank chief executives’ pay 2009-2014

Livingston nh 01:06 GMT April 6, 2016
Rising U.S. inflation would take a bite out of the dollar

We are in the middle of a Currency War w/ the foreign mopes worried about DEFLATION - anybody that thinx they can export to the US at a higher price is not considering that their neighbors are trying to undercut their price

Everybody is an economist and everybody is still tied to the 19th century

hk ab 01:01 GMT April 6, 2016
gold
Reply   
now the TV is talking about dlr/jpy breaking 110.......

implication: the bottom is not too far away. Could have a dip under but m/t bottom is in place....

Livingston nh 00:55 GMT April 6, 2016
Rising U.S. inflation would take a bite out of the dollar

As a general rule inflation is reflected in the 10yr spread - if the Fed doesn't move or is perceived to be "Behind the Curve" the domestic yield curve will rise BUT over the last 40 years inflation has been imported (see oil) and given the current conditions imports will not increase in volume and certainly not in price

The USD is still the cleanest dirty shirt

Livingston nh 00:36 GMT April 6, 2016
stox

JP - I am not a stox Bear yet - April is a bad month in a Presidential election year -- folks are watching earnings closely-- Yellen is a fool and as that perception spreads perhaps we get some adult conversation at the Fed

SO - buy the VIX for 21 (go out 2 months)
SO - MAY SPX 2040 puts (my position)
SO - FI buy TIPS (inflation is not PCE)
___
as an aside I have USD/CAD from 1.3070 (no longer a revenge play) and unfortunately an o/n fill on the break of the 21 dma -- we shall see

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:04 GMT April 6, 2016
Rising U.S. inflation would take a bite out of the dollar
Reply   
This is worth reading:

Currency market strategists are predicting greater weakness in the U.S. dollar over the next few months, as the Federal Reserve seems to have closed the door on interest rate hikes through the spring and left the greenback alone with a destructive bedfellow: rising inflation.

Rising U.S. inflation would take a bite out of the dollar

 




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