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Forex Forum Archive for 04/08/2016

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dc CB 20:10 GMT April 8, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

Sides

goin' long

10Y

GVI Forex Blog 19:59 GMT April 8, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

dc CB 19:49 GMT April 8, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report

FWIW Da CONsenus...via ZH....Yenny Penny..........so 100 eh?
aw you hoser...there's tooooooo many thinkin' the same thing.
Don't U know nothin'?

Here is a summary of what Wall Street thinks is the USDJPY level at which Kuroda will intervene

Bank of Singapore: 100
BofAML: 105
CBA: 100
Daiwa Securities: 100
JPMorgan: 95
Julius Baer: 100-105
Macquarie: 100
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley: 99
NAB: 100
Nomura: 105
RBS: 105-110
Societe Generale: 104
Swissquote Bank: 100
Westpac: 106.5

Median: 100

Average: 101.75

GVI Forex john bland 19:39 GMT April 8, 2016
Commitment Of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details


Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details





Mtl JP 19:36 GMT April 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 11 April 2016



MSM shills and gloats in things negative about the Donald
it seems like the more they do the more Voters Drawn to Donald Trump
it is almost like the more numbnuts Kuroda pushes yields into negater the stronger yen goes.
-
Chart / for stox: a line of interest

dc CB 19:15 GMT April 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 11 April 2016

OMG

at the last AND the latest EXIT POLL. Da Bern and Da Trumpster are in the lead.

Dow barley holding positive.

Gas-at-the-pump is projected to be 8 to 10 CENTS higher by as early as next Week.

dc CB 18:26 GMT April 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 11 April 2016



Mtl JP 14:33 GMT
kabuki theater.

unfortunately, here down south from the GreatWhiteNorth, that theater involves keeping alive the idea that the people actually elect El Presidentee.

How it effect the MarkITs? As noted, Crash-O-Matic wud favor the Outsiders...So one battle ground wud be SToX. Think...why spend millions on TeeVee ADS, which no self-respecting Millenial watches anyway, when those same Mils can be leveraged into SToX MarkIT moving trades. Da Good Guys V The Bad Guys...from your own particular POV... can make $$$ on the trade and Influence the hoi polloi, simply by moveing the DOW JONES in either direction...and as reported on the Nightly NUZ (aka Whot Shud we worry about ToNite)

Money well spent.

kUBuKi....Coo loo coo coo, coo coo coo coo

Mtl JP 17:33 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

meager pickings on gbpusd 1.412x short but better than being under.
not a big fan of trading Friday into close so sl at cost +1 and let it go where it may, net out by NY close if not taken out by then.

GVI Forex john bland 17:05 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS


US Weekly Baker-Hughes Rig Count

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Total (inc gas) U.S.: 442 vs 450 (-8) prev
US (oil): 354 vs. 362 (-8) prev

Canada 41 vs. 49 (-8) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 16:51 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

john that would contradict the "experts" assertions in 11:01 link
but provide them with incoming data to uphold Ben's promise.

GVI Forex john bland 16:37 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed tracking forecast for 1Q16 GPP falls by 0.30% to 0.10%. That is nearly a contraction.

Mtl JP 16:30 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

see if gbpusd 1.413x holds
playing a new short close to the vest for beer money
hopefully

nw kw 15:53 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

slight long eurgbp and long u/j.

nw kw 15:48 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

aching oold monthly pivot gbpjpy/ heard jpy hedging s/p might be jpy etf run. gl.

Mtl JP 15:37 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

actions speak louder than words so thky to whoever dropped a few pounds !

Be nice if we could go 1.4050-ish

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.412x Target: south Stop: bit above 1.4130

y/n ?
tia

Mtl JP 14:33 GMT April 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 11 April 2016

Berni is like the hot/cold kabuki theater FED gang members:
one moment he shill that Hilary is unqualified to be pres, few moms later says ‘of course’ Clinton is qualified"
-
about that extraordinary Monday FED gang meeting:
any topic rumors swirling ?

GVI Forex john bland 14:28 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Report active shooter situation under way at Lackland Air Force Base in Texas

-- TTN

houston mw 14:25 GMT April 8, 2016
eurusd

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

the last weekly close above 1.14 was 5/2015 @ 1.1443

dc CB 14:22 GMT April 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 11 April 2016

3 Auctions next week
3s, 10s, 30s. the latter have a lower offering. 20 and 12 Bln V 24 and 13Bln

Also next week is OPEX for April.

Last Debate between Hillary and Bernie thurs before the NY Primary.

Fill Up your Tank gas going back above $2++++ $3 by Memorial Day.(U heard it here first LOL)

GVI Forex Blog 14:15 GMT April 8, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 11 April 2016
Reply   



April 8, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for monday, April 11, 2016.

  • Far East: CN- CPI
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: Major Data

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

11-APR MONDAY
01:30 CN- CPI
12-APR TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
13-APR WEDNESDAY
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
14-APR THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- CPI
15-APR FRIDAY
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey (prelim)


GVI Data Calendar for 11 April 2016

GVI Forex john bland 14:00 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Wholesale Inventories February 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-0.50% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

prague viktor 13:56 GMT April 8, 2016
eurusd

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

IMO they are so happy with the 1,10-1,15 for now what do u think ?

Livingston nh 13:45 GMT April 8, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

Damming with faint praise?
"When Mr Volcker was at one point asked if any of his successors had put too much “vodka in the punch bowl” by running excessively lax policy, he merely responded that he looked at them with “great awe”." (Irish Times)

And a story -
LINK

Tallinn viies 13:40 GMT April 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
meaning - if you buy dollars too much then we do not hike

dc CB 13:34 GMT April 8, 2016
I heard a Grifter say

DUDLEY: PROBLEM OF DOLLAR STRENGTH HAS EASED IN RECENT WEEKS

Tallinn viies 13:34 GMT April 8, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
sort of verbal intervention?

FED: Dudley said $ moves could affect how US sets rates.

dc CB 13:34 GMT April 8, 2016
I heard a Grifter say

Come on kids, let me tell you a story!

It's the same story we tell you every time the market goes dark and you are worried about the economic monsters in your closet but it sure works to calm the investors down – EVERY TIME! Yesterday the kids were really scared so they brought out all 4 of the Fed's master story-tellers to literally speak to kids at the New York Economic Club and boy, did that do the trick!

Phil's Stock World

Federally Fueled Friday - Fed Speak Saves the Day (again)

Mtl JP 12:54 GMT April 8, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

what do u think of the odds the FED gang is about make a liar out of Ben "No Rate Normalization During My Lifetime" Bernanke (born Dec 13, 1953 (age 62) avg US expectancy 76yr) after yesty's love-fest ?

dc CB 12:53 GMT April 8, 2016
I heard a Grifter say

We've certainly had the Full Monty of Grifters telling the MartkITs Whot's Whot this week.

This weekend calls for a major brain-enema.

Brisbane Flip 12:41 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

As equity boys always say...

Good is good but bad is always better.

GVI Forex john bland 12:40 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Dudley
-- cites weak overseas conditions as risk to U.S. outlook
-- balance of risks tilted to downside
-- Fed decisions to be driven by incoming data

dc CB 12:40 GMT April 8, 2016
I heard a Grifter say

DUDLEY: SEES BALANCE OF RISKS TILTED SLIGHTLY TO DOWNSIDE

DUDLEY: CAUTIOUS, GRADUAL NORMALIZATION APPROPRIATE

dc CB 12:38 GMT April 8, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

yesterday the Fed announced that this coming Monday, April 11, the Fed will hold a closed meeting "under expedited procedures" during which the Board of Governors will review and determine advance and discount rates charged by the Fed banks.

Fed To Hold Closed, Unexpected Meeting Under "Expedited Procedures" On Monday To Discuss Rates

GVI Forex john bland 12:38 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Canadian Employment Data Better Than Expected

You might have to refresh the page manually to update Canadian chart.

GVI Forex john bland 12:30 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada EMPLOYMENT March 2016



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: +40.6 vs. +10.0K exp. vs. -2.3K prev.
Rate: 7.10% vs. 7.30% exp. vs. 7.30% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthy Employment Report





TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 11:01 GMT April 8, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

wsj reports from Janet "in discussion"

- “This is an economy on a solid course, not a bubble economy,” Ms. Yellen said. It has made “tremendous progress” from the damage of the 2007-2009 financial crisis.

- “The domestic U.S. economy is moving forward,” Mr. Bernanke added. “I don’t see any particular reason to believe a recession is any more likely in 2016 than it was in 2015 or 2014.”

- “I doubt very much if a recession is what our problem is,” Mr. Greenspan said.

- “Many people are unhappy with the economy,” Mr. Bernanke said. “All the Fed can do is try to do the right thing.”

- “I don’t think December was a mistake,” Ms. Yellen said. “We remain on a reasonable path.”

This one could have been aimed at your screaming for a unified voice john:
Yellen cited the decentralized nature of the Fed and said a “diversity of opinions is a positive attribute” for the Fed,

Yellen Joins With Predecessors to Calm Recession Fears

GVI Forex john bland 10:52 GMT April 8, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed
Reply   
Sentiment for a Fed rate hike this year is a touch higher today. This could limit the upside in EURUSD as long as equities hold steady.

GVI Forex john bland 10:30 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

Risk on
DAX +92
DJ +97
SP +13

10-yr
US 1.725% +5.6
DE 0.101% +1.2
GB 1.337% +3.4
JP -0.077% -2.8

EUR mixed on its crosses

WTI 38.27 +1.31 ($38.67-37.43)

SaaR KaL 09:46 GMT April 8, 2016
EURUSD

My day trade orders today

Buys
EUR/GBP 0.80415
USD/CAD 1.30408
EUR/AUD 1.50242
XAG/USD 15.109
USOil 37.114
USD/JPY 107.4
SPX500 2,021.17
JPN225 15,401.55

Sells
EUR/USD 1.141
USD/JPY 109.26
NZD/USD 0.681
EUR/JPY 124.208
XAG/USD 15.407
SPX500 2,056.82
USOil 39.1
GER30 9,690.00

GVI Forex john bland 09:39 GMT April 8, 2016
Friday Trading

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

8-APR FRIDAY
12:30 CA- Employment

11-APR MONDAY
01:30 CN- CPI
12-APR TUESDAY
08:30 GB- CPI
13-APR WEDNESDAY
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
14-APR THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- CPI
15-APR FRIDAY
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey (prelim)



Trading Themes --
  • Finally we have heard something familiar from Tokyo on JPY strength today. The FinMin Aso indicated that rapid forex moves are undesireable and that the government will take action as necessary. These comments were welcome because they suggest that Japan will be acting predictably (probably covertly) at some point soon to contain the JPY. Look for more of a two-way market in USDJPY. Keep in mind there tends to be a strong correlation between USDJPY and U.S. equities.

  • Fed Chair Yellen broke no new ground in her symposium with former Fed Governors late Thursday. Not surprisingly, the former governors were supportive. She defended the December Fed rate hike and highlighted how the central bank must increasingly take international developments into consideration when making policy..

  • Fear that the Fed has abandoned its inflation target has become a key consideration for the USD. If a decline picks up momentum, expect to see a U.S. response.

-- John M.Bland MBA, CTA, co-founder global-View.com


SaaR KaL 09:17 GMT April 8, 2016
EURUSD
Reply   
1.1410 1.1270
for a day range IMO

GVI Forex john bland 09:05 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

EARLIER: Swiss CPI (y/y) Deflation persists

GVI Forex john bland 09:00 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Swiss CPI March 2016





--EARLIER DATA NEWS--
mm: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
yy: -0.90% vs. -0.90% exp. vs. -0.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:55 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

UK Trade Februaryary 2016

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

Total: -12.0 vs. -10.10 exp. vs. -10.30 (r 12.2) prev.

Non-EU: -3.4 vs. -2.50 exp. vs. -2.20 prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:53 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output March 2016

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

Ind mm: -1.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.20%) prev.
Mfg mm: -0.3% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. +0.70% (r +0.50%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 08:05 GMT April 8, 2016
ECB at Villa D 'Este
Reply   
Taxpayers money well spent . CNBC showing ECB boardmember Mersch at Villa D' Este on Lake Como . An idyllic location to meet some hedge fund managers and apply for a job.

Is this really good governance ?

Hong Kong HK 03:35 GMT April 8, 2016
AceTrader Apr 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
08 Apr 2016 02:10GMT

USD/JPY - 108.64... Although the greenback accelerated recent losing streak vs the Japanese yen on worries of a slowdown in global economy and fell to a fresh 17-month trough at 107.67 in New York morning on Thursday, short-covering emerged there and later lifted price to 108.46 near New York closing.
Later, the greenback found renewed support at 108.07 and climbed higher to 108.84 in Tokyo morning following verbal warnings by Japanese officials (see our previous MMNs).

Today, U.S. will release Wholesale Inventories and Wholesale Sales data for Feb at 14:00GMT.
Later, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley will speak at a mobile classroom run by the American Job Center the tour of The WorkPlace at 15:15GMT.

While intra-day rise in usd/jpy pair in Tokyo morning suggests consolidation with mild upside bias would be seen in Asia, current decline in Nikkei may limit upside to 109.00 level n yield retreat.
At the moment, bids are reported at 108.60-50 and more at 108.40-30 with stops below 108.20, whilst on the upside, offers are tipped at 108.90-00 and in the region of 109.10-30 with stops above 109.50.

houston mw 02:45 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

John, if I recall the "Great Grey Witch" said during her speech at the NY Economics Club that the jobs being created were not the jobs people want. That would mean that those dropping off unemployment have either left the workforce or working at Uber like jobs. If that is the case then 3.5% unemployment does nothing to improve the outlook.

HK Kwun 02:41 GMT April 8, 2016
still risk off
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1236 Target: Stop: 1226

buy now

Beijing Laowen 01:28 GMT April 8, 2016
dlr/jpy

kl shawn 05:14 GMT April 7, 2016
======================

Nice call.

hk ab 01:06 GMT April 8, 2016
e/j
Reply   
"yummy", chase back 100 pips first 123.70.

GVI Forex 00:55 GMT April 8, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

This came out earlier

19:56 (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Rapid FX moves are most undesirable; Govt will take action as needed

-Source TradeTheNews.com

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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