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Forex Forum Archive for 04/12/2016

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex 23:29 GMT April 12, 2016
Wednesday's Trade
Reply   
China trade data is next on deck.

GVI Forex john bland 20:41 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Big build in crude.

GVI Forex john bland 20:39 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT

Reportedly +6.200 mn vs. +1.800 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 19:33 GMT April 12, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex john bland 19:29 GMT April 12, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 13 March 2016

April 12, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 13, 2016.

  • Far East: CN- Trade
  • Europe: EZ- Industrial Production
  • North America: CA- Bank of Canada Decision, US- Retail Sales, PPI, Business Inventories, EIA Crude, 10-yr Auction, Beige Book

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

13-APR WEDNESDAY
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
14-APR THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- CPI
15-APR FRIDAY
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey (prelim)


GVI Data Calendar for 13 March 2016

dc CB 18:30 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

gas at the pump local
$1.999 to $2.109

Sat it was $1.93 - $1.95

dc CB 18:26 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

KREMLIN: `THERE IS HOPE' FOR DOHA DEAL REGARDLESS OF IRAN

Oil over $42

RumorPalooza Tuesday

dc CB 18:22 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

Aggressive central bank monetary policies have created artificial demand for corporate debt which we think companies are exploiting by issuing debt they do not actually need. The proceeds of this debt raising are then largely reinvested back into the equity market via M&A or share buybacks in an attempt to boost share prices in the absence of actual demand.

US corporates will have to borrow over 2.5% of their market capitalisation (over $400bn each year) to, somewhat ironically, buy back their own stock.

As such asset prices (i.e. equity markets) and asset price risk (i.e. equity volatility) are far bigger concerns. So all you need for a balance sheet crisis is declining equity markets, a phenomenon the Fed appears desperate to avoid.

Why The Fed Desperately Wants To Avoid A Drop In Equity Markets

GVI Forex john bland 16:46 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

Initial chart today called the market bias correct again (weaker EURUSD). by midday the gap between the expected Fed Funds value and spot EURUSD has closed to a more neutral bias. Hawkish talk from a couple of out of touch Fed speakers has been completely ignored.

dc CB 16:39 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading


Finally, why is this headache "massive"? Because that's what the WSJ first dubbed it...

... at least until it got a tap on the shoulder from someone.

A "Massive" New Headache For Banks Has Emerged

HK Kwun 16:06 GMT April 12, 2016
Buy gold due to silver strength
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1255 Target: Stop: 1245

buy now

Livingston nh 15:42 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

STOX likely burned up the Lunchtime rally on news of the same old bag of beans - higher oil price will save the world ?? - $50 by end of 2016 is a goal? it would still need another 20% just to get back to last April price

Same old stories from same old sources (Fed, ECB, IMF, OPEC) -- Tape Bombs trump fundies and techs

dc CB 15:22 GMT April 12, 2016
I heard a Grifter say

a few more like him this week and the 10Y and the 30Y Auctions should go really really well.....as the "world" piles into 2.59 30s and 1.76 10s

such a bargin

HK [email protected] 15:21 GMT April 12, 2016
not a lot of slack left in Labor force
Reply   

a) No more Trash-Jobs to offer? ORRR...

b) No more volunteers to man the offered Trash-Jobs?

HK [email protected] 15:18 GMT April 12, 2016
I heard a Grifter say



Those FED people talking interest-up are nothing but electioneering for the Democrats.

If oil will go up, bla bla..., and if it will go down? Not to mention!!!

IMF is worried about a global slowdown, which is the reality, and those FED people talk about interest rise.

And amazingly the STOX go up, really a great buying signal.

It is all pure B.S. for election year.

IN SHORT THEY SCREAM:"HOW GOOD IS OUR ECONOMY", when so many house hold in the US are finished financially.

dc CB 15:14 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

The Ole 10:30 AM ALGO to the MOON Train

YM Dow Emini 15min

dc CB 15:06 GMT April 12, 2016
I heard a Grifter say
Reply   
FED'S HARKER SAYS IF ENERGY PRICES MOVE UP QUICKLY, POSSIBLE THAT FED WILL HAVE TO BE MORE AGGRESSIVE IN RAISING RATES: RTRS

HARKER: IF ENERGY TREND CONT, SEES OVERSHOOTING 2% INFL TGT

HARKER: `IT'S POSSIBLE' FED COULD HIKE AT LEAST 3 TIMES IN 2016

GVI Forex john bland 15:04 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Feds Harker:
-- not a lot of slack left in Labor force
-- OK for Fed to overshoot 2% target
-- still possible tfoe three rate hikes this year

HK Kwun 14:58 GMT April 12, 2016
1260 resistance

Sell Gold
Entry: 1257 Target: Stop: 1267

TP at 1252, better than nothing

dc CB 14:49 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

as seen

Oil OIl OIlllly boilly

dc CB 14:44 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

dc CB 13:58 GMT
Today's Theme: Tag Team Stop running
__________________________________________________

SAUDI ARABIA, RUSSIA REACH CONSENSUS ON OIL FREEZE: INTERFAX

Yesterday: Algeria Oil Minister Admits Russia Refused To Cut Output

The interfax source: an unidentified “informed diplomatic source” in Doha.

GVI Forex Blog 14:36 GMT April 12, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 13 March 2016
Reply   

April 12, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 13, 2016.

  • Far East: CN- Trade
  • Europe: EZ- Industrial Production
  • North America: CA- Bank of Canada Decision, US- Retail Sales, PPI, Business Inventories, EIA Crude, 10-yr Auction, Beige Book

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

13-APR WEDNESDAY
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
14-APR THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- CPI
15-APR FRIDAY
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey (prelim)


GVI Data Calendar for 13 March 2016

GVI Forex 14:33 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Oil spikes higher on this

10:30 (SA) Saudi Arabia and Russia reportedly have reached consensus on oil freeze - Russia press
- final decision on Saudi Arabia regarding oil output freeze said to not depend on Iran

** NOTE: 04/12 (RU) Russia Energy Min Novak: Oil prices could be between $40-45/barrel in H2 and at $50 by end-2016
- Sees oil market rebalancing in early 2017 if production freeze is agreed upon; prices could hit $60-65/barrel in 2017
- Optimistic about production freeze talks at the Apr 17th Doha meeting

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john bland 14:32 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Report: Russia and Saudi Arabia reach agreement on oil production freeze.

Final decision will not depend on Iran

-- TTN

ZH fc 14:26 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

maybie good to start to think what if there is a Brexit....

what will Germany do? stay with the Pigs? :-)
a brexit could be the start of the end of euro...

let's see

if switzerland they painted same black future if we did not vote
to enter EU.
we know how went.....economy better than EU (always) and swiss currency very strong....

dc CB 14:21 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

But Italy is fixed?? no? it's not fixed?

GVI Forex 14:14 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

TTN reporting Italian banks now limit down after being limit up earlier.

Livingston nh 14:13 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Maybe EUR starting to get hit by Brexit poll too

SPX - maybe a fast fill of this morning's opening gap and then a test of April lows @2034

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:03 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Close below 1.1373 would produce an outside day key reversal. GBPUSD being hit by latest Brexit poll.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:59 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

I posted this earlier on GVI Forex

Tuesday Trading
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:57 GMT 04/12/2016 - My Profile
1.1387 = current 200 hour mva. Last hourly close below it was on March 29

dc CB 13:58 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Today's Theme: Tag Team Stop running
and the hand-off to
it's USD/JPY

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:56 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

09:54 (UK) Latest Brexit poll: 42% for staying in EU; 45% for leaving; 12% undecided - ICM poll

- Source TradeTheNews.com

UK JY 13:52 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

I am surprised no one mentioned this for why the jpy sold off

Finance Minister Taro Aso said on Tuesday that Japan could act against the yen's rise as needed, based on a G20 agreement backing currency stability, if "one-sided" and "speculative" moves were observed in the currency market. (reuters)

Livingston nh 13:23 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

xperts -so 3months after the last Gloomy projection IMF says "whoops, it's worse" -- But the Weatherman who always "cold and rainy" is most popular because all of his mistakes are "sunny and warm"

And we have another mass gathering of these types this weekend -- well fed they are

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:07 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

*IMF UPDATES ITS WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK (WEO)
- Cuts 2016 global growth forecast from 3.4% to 3.2%
- Cuts 2017 global growth forecast from 3.6% to 3.5%

2016 Growth Outlook
- Cuts Advanced Economies 2016 GDP from 2.1% to 1.9%
- Cuts EM and Developing Economies 2016 GDP from 4.53% to 4.1%
- Cuts Euro zone 2016 GDP from 1.7% to 1.5%
- Cuts US 2016 GDP from 2.6% to 2.4%
- Cuts German 2016 GDP growth from 1.7% to 1.5%- Cuts France 2016 GDP growth from 1.3% to 1.1%
- Cuts UK 2016 GDP growth from 2.2% to 1.9%
- Cuts Japan 2016 GDP growth from 1.0% to 0.5%
- Raises China 2016 GDP from 6.3% to 6.5%- Cuts Russia 2016 GDP from -1.0% to -1.8%

2017 Growth Outlook- XXX Advanced Economies 2017 GDP from 2.1% to %
- XXX EM and Developing Economies 2017 GDP from 4.7% to %
- XXX Euro zone 2017 GDP from 1.7% to %- XXX US 2017 GDP from 2.6% to %
- XXX German 2017 GDP from 1.7% to %- XXX France 2017 GDP from 1.5% to %
- XXX UK 2017 GDP growth from 2.2% to %
- XXX Japan 2017 GDP growth from 0.3% to %
- XXX China 2017 GDP growth from 6.0% to %- XXX Russia 2017 GDP from 1.0% to %

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:50 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Stay alert:


08:40 Preview: IMF to update its World Economic Outlook (WEO) after 09:00 ET (13:00 GMT) Prior WEO (released on Jan 19th 2016) IMF cut both 2016 and 2017 global growth forecasts

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:41 GMT April 12, 2016
Using Crosses to Trade Spot FX

Notice how GBPUSD lost its bid after its crosses ran out of steam (e.g. EURGBP, GBPJPY).

GVI Forex john bland 12:32 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Import Prices March 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+0.20% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. -0.30% (r -0.40%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


dc CB 12:29 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Goldman Sachs would pay $5.1 billion to settle accusations of wrongdoing before the financial crisis. However, buried in the fine print are provisions that allow Goldman to pay hundreds of millions of dollars less - perhaps as much as $1 billion less - than that headline figure.

NYT

dc CB 12:27 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

3Y auction today
10 tom
30 Thurs

dc CB 12:25 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Former Goldman employee Rob Kaplan does not think December rate hike was a mistake

dc CB 12:24 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

the vast majority of the U.S. population remains deluded that the Fed is a publicly owned institution.

Currently, the leaders of the New York, Philadelphia, Dallas and Minneapolis Fed banks are helmed by men who formerly worked for or had close connections to investment bank Goldman Sachs.

the Federal Reserve works not for the people of America, but for its owners - the banks.

Bernanke's Former Advisor: "People Would Be Stunned To Know The Extent To Which The Fed Is Privately Owned"

GVI Forex john bland 12:15 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Kaplan (Dallas Fed)
-- December rate rise not a mistake
-- 1Q16 very mediocre
-- Slowing global economies must be taken into account

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:54 GMT April 12, 2016
Using Crosses to Trade Spot FX

I have extended this reward for our members given how the market has been so cross driven like today (e.g. EURGBP, GBPJPY, AUDJPY, CABJPY, etc) price action today.



My Video: Using Crosses to Trade Spot FX -- invaluable in a market like today


Send me an EMAIL for details with crosses in the subject.


GVI Forex john bland 10:27 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

Odds for a rate hike by the end of the year higher at this hour. Keep in mind not is not the forecast that matters. Odds are it is wrong. It is shifting SENTiMENT that we are tracking. EURUSD weight as the day wears on?

UK JY 10:17 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Ok at gbpjpy short squeeze

bali sja 09:42 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

what about them? buy or sell??

GVI Forex john bland 09:40 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

13-APR WEDNESDAY
12:30 US- Retail Sales
14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Beige Book
14-APR THURSDAY
00:30 AU- Employment
11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
12:30 US- CPI
15-APR FRIDAY
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey (prelim)



Trading Themes --
  • The USDJPY is higher as the markets have reacted to threats made by Japanese authorities yesterday to intevene to contain the strength of the currency. Some suspect they have already been in covertly. If true, that would not surprise me.

  • U.K. inflation today were hotter than expected and saw the GBP gain as gilt yields rose. Keep in mind, the U.K. still faces the Brexit referendum in June, and that could still weigh on the currency at any time in the period ahead.

  • This week sees the start of earnings season for 1Q16 corporate activity. Markets will be looking in the aggregate how the economy has been performing.

UK JY 09:34 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

All about JPY crosses today

Mtl JP 09:25 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading

state rewarding incompetence...

"Banking shares in Italy soared Monday ahead of the plan’s release, and helped push up banking stocks elsewhere in Europe, even as questions remained over whether the program can shore up confidence in Italian banks in the longer term."

Italy’s banks to get a state-backed $5.7 billion backstop MarketWatch

GVI Forex john bland 09:16 GMT April 12, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   
DAX +18
DJ +31
SP +5
mild risk-on
10-yr
US 1.763% +3.8
DE 0.150% +3.6
GB 1.429% +5.0
JP -0.910% -0.8

wti $40.78 +0.42
EUR mixed on its crosses

HK [email protected] 08:37 GMT April 12, 2016
1260 resistance



Gold Target 1265 will strike.

The only one after THE ONE who can must and will predict the next level

GVI Forex Blog 08:37 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Inflation Data Hotter
Reply   

 

U.K. CPI and RPIX March 2016

U.K. Headline y/y CPI hotter than expected. GBP positive.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Inflation Data Hotter

GVI Forex john bland 08:32 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

UK CPI hotter than expected. GBP up

GVI Forex john bland 08:31 GMT April 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. CPI and RPIX March 2016

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
CPI y/y: +0.50% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.


RPIX y/y: +1.50% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. 1.40% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

SaaR KaL 08:26 GMT April 12, 2016
Only 2 Pairs in Pos now

Cable shorts for longer then 3 weeks Pos
1.4327 1.3899
1.4390 1.3817
1.4454 1.3736
1.4517 1.3657
1.4581 1.3578

SaaR KaL 08:24 GMT April 12, 2016
Only 2 Pairs in Pos now

Cable could correct south this week

SaaR KaL 08:04 GMT April 12, 2016
Only 2 Pairs in Pos now

I just added a new sheet for Longer then 3 months positions

Seems Like whom ever wins the US Election...the USA will have a booming economy
The Media Idiots will give credit to who ever wins
Same Old stuff for another 4 years

Levels and trends

London 07:32 GMT April 12, 2016
New signal by our verify account
Reply   
Sell EURAUD
Entry: 1.49632 Target: +65 Pip Stop: -65 Pip

Visit us for 14 days free trial

Posted with permission of global-view.com

Forex signals

SaaR KaL 07:32 GMT April 12, 2016
Only 2 Pairs in Pos now
Reply   
Still adding
GBPJPY Shorts
153.9774 150.497
154.2785 149.4799
154.6135 148.5075
154.9827 147.5794
155.3867 146.6948

and
EURGBP Longs
0.8136 0.801
0.817 0.7999
0.8203 0.7987
0.8236 0.7975
0.8269 0.7963

More here

HK Kwun 07:01 GMT April 12, 2016
1260 resistance
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1257 Target: Stop: 1267

sell now

PAR 06:57 GMT April 12, 2016
Germany
Reply   
German inflation accelerates.

Italian banks saved by some voodoo construction involving private money with state guarantee . Everybody happy .

PAR 06:31 GMT April 12, 2016
Alcoa
Reply   
Voodoo accounting turning a huge GAAP loss into a profit .
Creative accounting in the new normal .

Mtl JP 05:11 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

China’s economy has shown positive signs in the first few months of the year, but it still faces strong headwind and supply-side structural reform is needed to help stabilize growth, said China’s Premier Li Keqiang on Monday.
-
Can Janet relax about China already and pull her rates normalization forward ?

Hong Kong HK 02:10 GMT April 12, 2016
AceTrader Apr 12: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
12 Apr 2016 02:00GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Although the greenback retreated after yesterday's intra-day rebound from a fresh 17-month trough at 107.63 (Asia) to 108.44 in New York morning, renewed buying emerged at 107.79 n price later staged a bounce to 108.13 in New York afternoon, then 108.27 in Tokyo morning on Tuesday as intra-day rise in Nikkei (currently up 104 points to 15,855) improved risk appetites.

Today, U.S. will release its Import Prices n Export Prices for March in New York morning. Having said that, focus of the market will be on the speeches from several Fed's officials later in New York session, they are Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker (13:00GMT), San Francisco Fed President John Williams (19:00GMT), and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker (20:00GMT).

At the moment, offers are noted at 108.30-40 and more at 108.60-70 with stops above 108.90.
On the downside, initial bids are tipped at 107.90-80 and then 107.70-60 with stops below there.

dc CB 00:12 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

that's funny, your auto censor censored J*ap.

dc CB 00:10 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

don't fight Kuroda either

Jamming The censored Yen....or shud I say CRAMMMMING

dc CB 00:06 GMT April 12, 2016
Don't Fight The Fed

Alcoa's GAAP Net Income for the LTM period ended December 31 was a net lLOSS of $501 million,

When one adds back all the charges incurred over the past 12 months, the "net income", on a non-GAAP Basis of course, soars to a ridiculous $532 million.

The plug? "One-time, non-recurring" addbacks and various other restructuring charges amounting to over $1 billion for the LTM period!

Behold Accounting Magic 101: This Is How Alcoa Just "Beat" Consensus EPS

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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