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Forex Forum Archive for 04/19/2016

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GVI Forex Blog 23:13 GMT April 19, 2016
Mid-Week Special: Forex Trading Outlook
Reply   

This has so far been a confounding week, at least for the risk off crowd after the oil market shrugged off a total disappoint at Doha

Mid-Week Special: Forex Trading Outlook

nw kw 20:42 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

M&A oil stock mergers is reason for oil stocks run up cant miss the boat or they have?

GVI Forex john bland 20:34 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US Weekly API Crude




ALERT

Reportedly +3.1 mn vs. +2.1 00 mn exp



TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex john bland 20:33 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Oil weaker implies API build... Waiting for public release.

dc CB 20:16 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

so everyone of those fired will have to get 3 jobs to make up for the lost income. NFPs will rise by 36,000 from this firing alone.

dc CB 20:14 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

INTC beats, announces the reduction of up to 12,000 positions globally -- approximately 11 percent of employees -- by mid-2017

GVI Forex john bland 20:11 GMT April 19, 2016
Dont Fight The Fed

Convergence...



GVI Forex Blog 19:40 GMT April 19, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

KL KL 19:27 GMT April 19, 2016
Selling AUDUSD..relentless

Dooomsh...top of the wee Early asia morning...cold....

2nd cherry bite finally comes short again .78231.....super relentless as usual & as usual my shorts are so short term...last short covered near .7766 chased to .7795..... that is how it is played in ninja world...take profit is KING...then momey management then stops...

Lets see how this one goes into the close as traders square it up aor push to maximum pain for those who do not scalp.....LOL

DYOR..DFm DLTm imvho gl gt

Cape May jb 17:51 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

I have to figure that minor stops must have accumulated over the day at the 1.1385 level. I would not be surprised to see this level tested, but don't expect to see much if it is breached. 1.1400 is a much more significant target.

dc CB 16:28 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

They said it could never happen again!! But stocks are not green...
ZH

(when "beating ANAList's Expectations" is just not enough)

Damn It Janet! Dow Loses 18k, S&P Back Under 2,100

GVI Forex john bland 16:22 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

U.S. stox falling into the red just after mid-day.

dc CB 15:56 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

BoC Gov. POLOZ:
MARKETS WOULD FUNCTION NORMALLY WITH RATES AT -0.5%

GVI Forex john bland 15:46 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

BOE Gov Carney:
-- Room to cut interest rates if needed
-- can move to level approaching zero if needed
-- No BOE appetite for negative rates
-- Not a believer in helicopter money

Source: TTN

dc CB 15:35 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

After the admission last week by DeutscheBank, plus its offer to turn State's Evidence against other banks, and today's launch of the New Shanghai Gold Fix, seems that the cuffs are off the PMs and in the future any Off Hours Smashes will be bought with both hands and feet.

funny no comment on the new Shanghai Fixe

Amman wfakhoury 15:29 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

GVI Forex john bland 15:18 GMT 04/19/2016 - My Profile
Next major EURUSD target on the hourly chart is 1.1401.
______________________
11391 confirmed since 3 hr

dc CB 15:27 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Will Draggi drop another wink in his presser that sends the USD back to 96 and US Stocks to new record highs.

Figure, in this round robin CB pass the baton world, he's got to give a set up for the FMOC meeting, when Yellen comes up with a new excuse to delay. China turmoil - done that. Oh yeh US housing - haven't used that one for a while. Maybe the "Data" coming out this week will help on that one.

GVI Forex john bland 15:18 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Next major EURUSD target on the hourly chart is 1.1401.

GVI Forex john bland 15:16 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

EURUSD bid is hanging in there. USD been broadly softer. S&P steady at a higher level.

GVI Forex john bland 15:01 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed latest GDPNow 0.30% 1Q16 GDP estimate, unch from Apr 13.

GVI Forex john bland 14:26 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

RBA Stevens:
-- Reaching limits of what monetary policy can do
-- CB's should target growth not exchange rates
-- Many EM's would be happy if Fed sticks to rate increase plan
-- Fed not telling other banks secret info

Brisbane Flip 14:14 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

40% drop in revenue is a great result for Goldman Sachs.

GVI Forex john bland 14:10 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

wti 42.45 +1.26

GVI Forex john bland 14:09 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

I am wondering if EURUSD might now start to struggle against rising stox and wti.

GVI Forex john bland 14:03 GMT April 19, 2016
Dont Fight The Fed

Sentiment indicator. Gap narrowing vs. earlier today.


dc CB 14:03 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Riddle Me This One: GS is UP almost $3 in early trading
________________________________________________

Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) reported better-than-expected earnings for its first quarter on Tuesday.

The bank's quarterly net income applicable to common shareholders DROPPED 56.3 percent to $1.2 billion , or $2.68 per share, versus $2.75 billion , or $5.94 per share, in the year-ago period.

However, analysts were expecting earnings of $2.45 per share.

Its revenue DECLINED to $6.34 billion from $10.62 billion , versus analysts' estimates of $6.73 billion .

dc CB 13:52 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Stock Rally will continue - Demo Primary in NY today.

Hillary Clinton’s Lead Narrows Among Democratic Primary Voters, Poll Says (WSJ)

Goldman Earnings Plunge 55% In Worst Quarter Since 2011

GVI Forex Blog 13:45 GMT April 19, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 20 April 2016
Reply   



April 19, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 20, 2016.

  • Far East: JP- Trade
  • Europe: GB- Employment
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, EIA Crude

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

20-APR WEDNESDAY
08:30 GB- Employment
14:30 US- EIA Crude
21-APR THURSDAY
08:30 GB- Retail Sales
11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
22-APR FRIDAY
ALL Day- flash PMIs
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 20 April 2016

GVI Forex john bland 13:40 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Negative correlation means that EURUSD rises when S&P falls and vice-versa.

GVI Forex john bland 13:35 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Negative EURUSD to S&P correlation kicking in.

Cape May jb 13:26 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Forex markets are coming back to life. USDJPY is in a tug o war with the S&P. Invisible hands are trying to push USDJPY higher, while weaker stock would pull it down. MOF has an interest in higher U.S. shares.

Hillegom purk 13:05 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

And i like cable. Keep on buying near 140-141.

Hillegom purk 13:04 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Movers today are aud/usd and nzd/usd. Keep selling on blips and buying on dips...

GVI Forex john bland 12:57 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Equities are only a touch weaker and look like they will be shaking off the housing data. It looks like they will continue to be the dominant trading theme.

Keep an eye on them either way.

GVI Forex john bland 12:52 GMT April 19, 2016
Dont Fight The Fed

Market Sentiment odds of a rate hike by yearend falls to 52% from 58% beforehand. At 1.1550+ , EURUSD inching up to the 1.1400+ area anticipated by our chart.

GVI Forex john bland 12:48 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Miss

These numbers were a shocker. Running out of excuses. This was early Spring data, so weather was not an issue. Furthermore, everyone talks about a "lack of supply" and these data represent a reaction to future demand.

GVI Forex Blog 12:44 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Miss
Reply   
Housing Starts/Permits. Starts and Permits fall sharply.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Miss

Brisbane Flip 12:32 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD/USD

Sorry as in Janet was wrong to blame the global uncertainty boogeyman

GVI Forex john bland 12:31 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Big Miss in housing data both starts and permits

GVI Forex john bland 12:31 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) March 2016
U.S. Data Charts



NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.090 vs. 1.200 exp. vs. 1.180 (r 1.194 )prev.
Permits: 1.090 vs. 1.200 exp. vs. 1.180 (r ) prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Brisbane Flip 12:30 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD/USD

He is saying Janet was wrong to abandon rate normalisation after one rate hike.

Central banks have to get out of the way and stop giving lazy politicians excuses to do nothing.

Amman wfakhoury 12:23 GMT April 19, 2016
Gold

Amman wfakhoury 07:11 GMT 04/19/2016
Possible reach 1248 area as same confirmed.
________________________
1248 reached

GVI Forex john bland 12:21 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade

Markets testing out a Risk-On posture today buying stocks as a carry over from Monday in U.S.
DAX +238
DJ +50
S&P +9.0

10-yr
US 1.7910% +2.4
DE 0.180% +1.8

EUR Crosses Mixed; Commodity currencies up

WTI $41.81 +0.62 (jun 16)

Mtl JP 12:19 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD/USD

so what does "Central banks must be realistic on its abilities" actually mean in detail ?

GVI Forex 12:10 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD/USD

07:01 (AU) RBA Gov Stevens: Monetary policy reaching limits for aiding global growth - comments from NY
- No sign of financial shock that would weigh on global growth
- Central banks must be realistic on its abilities

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john bland 11:40 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

GS EPS beats, but other metrics mixed.

GVI Forex john bland 11:39 GMT April 19, 2016
Dont Fight The Fed

Housing data today, especially if it is stronger than expected, could raise sentiment about a Fed rate hike this year. At the moment, odds for one rate hike this year have stabilized at something just above 50-50. The chart below says a status quo reading would be supportive of a EURUSD move to the 1.1400 area.

Keep in mind, the other side of the equation is the ECB, which will come down with its latest decision (market expects unchanged) on Thursday.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:53 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD/USD

Alert: RBA Boss Glen Stevens is giving a speech at Credit Suisse NY at 9.30AM NY time.

USA ZEUS 09:48 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD/USD
Reply   
Perhaps .7777 will prove to be a turning point for AUD/USD.
.7277 Will be interesting...
Cheers!

GVI Forex Blog 09:06 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Mixed vs. Estimates
Reply   

German ZEW Survey April 2016

April data mixed vs. expectations.

BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Mixed vs. Estimates

GVI Forex john bland 09:02 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

ZEW says possible Brexit having an adverse impact.

GVI Forex john bland 09:00 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Mixed ZEW data

GVI Forex john bland 09:00 GMT April 19, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

German ZEW Survey April 2016




NEWS ALERT

Current Situation: +47.7 vs. +50.5 exp. vs. +50.7 prev.

Economic Expectations: +11.2 vs. +8.3 exp. vs. +4.3 prev.

RELEASE: German ZEW Survey


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:44 GMT April 19, 2016
Tuesday Trade



Trading Themes --
  • Markets are still waiting to see where oil prices settle after the collapse of OPEC talks over the weekend. Nevertheless, oil prices subsequently have performed better than expected. There has been a story that Russia is planning to hike production. Higher oil prices tend to be supportive of equity prices.

  • Higher oil prices have been supportive of equity prices in the midst of the U.S. 1Q16 earnings season. Higher equities have been giving the USDJPY a lift. The JPY to S&P correlation trade continues to work.

  • The German ZEW Survey is due along with U.S. Housing Starts and Permits. Late in the week there will be an European Central Bank meeting and flash PMI reports for April. The U.S. is in the midst of its 1Q16 quarterly earnings period.

-- John M.Bland MBA, CTA, co-founder global-View.com


HK [email protected] 08:09 GMT April 19, 2016
Gold


Any target for gold placed on this forum, is watched and big players will cut you few dollars below or above.

SaaR KaL 08:03 GMT April 19, 2016
USDCAD wants 1.2450 area

Stock Market generally very bullish
Japan USA Germany

SaaR KaL 08:02 GMT April 19, 2016
USDCAD wants 1.2450 area

EURAUD...generally targting
1.39 in a month
accumulating shorts

SaaR KaL 07:57 GMT April 19, 2016
USDCAD wants 1.2450 area
Reply   
Very bearish

+ AUDUSD wants 0.82 area

Amman wfakhoury 07:46 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

Gold will decline unless it breaks 1248.
It takes 24-36 hour to reach 1224 and may be more

HK Kwun 07:25 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

Buy Gold
Entry: 1234.5 Target: Stop: 1224.5

TP at 1245, wfakhoury master, you said 1224 is confirmed level? but since i have asked you, gold was only 1237, now is already 1245, gold will fall to 1224 within today?

Amman wfakhoury 07:14 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

bali sja 06:54 GMT 04/19/2016

Use my SHUT UP word before you comment on my posts.

Amman wfakhoury 07:11 GMT April 19, 2016
Gold
Reply   
Possible reach 1248 area as same confirmed.

Amman wfakhoury 07:09 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

should break 14315 and keeps below it to reach 14200.

Amman wfakhoury 07:08 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

GBPUSD moved big as I said yesterday.
will return 14200 area unless it breaks up 14340.

Pasig evan 07:03 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Wfakhoury, seem Gbp continue rising, what is target now? How abt Usd/Yen any forecasts?

Amman wfakhoury 07:01 GMT April 19, 2016
GOLD
Reply   
we have the following from yesterday
Gold will move big
up above 1236
down below 1230
1224 confirmed level
act accordingly

bali sja 06:54 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

when we go above 1260, the next confirmed level suddenly become 1280, then that's when you ask question :)

bali sja 06:51 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

kwun, stop questioning wfakhoury
just keep selling for the return level

Amman wfakhoury 06:49 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

yes sell and add sell

HK Kwun 06:41 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

wfakhoury master, you prefer sell on Gold?

Sydney ACC 06:04 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD

RBA hasn't officially acknowledged intervening to influence the value of the AUD/USD exchange rate since 2008.
In a report published in December 2011 the Bank broike down its intervention into four separate periods:
January 1989 - September 1991
March 1992 - November 1993
October 1997 - September 2001
August 2007 - November 2008

What' apparent from the table in the report is that over time the volumes dealt increased substantially, however, the sub-periods were less frequent.

The report can be located at:
http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2011/dec/7.html

Given where we've been with the exchange rate over the last five years and the political implications it would be an extraordinary decision to intervene at the present time.

Amman wfakhoury 05:03 GMT April 19, 2016
GBPUSD ready to move big

Gold 1224 confirmed
1230.60 return
sell add sell if rise.


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


Gold Coast Martin 04:54 GMT April 19, 2016
AUD
Reply   
The modus Operandi for RBA intervention after the RBA minutes release is to sit on their hands and then intervene after the Speech of RBA governor, using that speech as a disguise for the intervention. Today is such a moment.

Hong Kong HK 02:11 GMT April 19, 2016
AceTrader Apr 19: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
19 Apr 2016 01:35GMT

USD/JPY - ..... in total stark contrast to yesterday's weak posture in early Asian trading, the pair climbed above yesterday's New York 108.99 high to 109.22 at Asian open as 2 rounds of verbal warning by Japanese officials (see earlier updates for details) prompted short-term yen selling, tripping stops above 109.00.

Although dlr has eased, intra-day rally in Asian stocks (Nikkie is currently up by over 3.5% at 16862) should boost risk sentiment, leading to more yen-selling. Therefore, buying dlr on dips is still favoured.

Bids are noted at 109.00-108.90 and more below with stops below 108.70. Some offers are tipped at 109.20/30 and more at 109.55 with stops touted above 109.75.

KL KL 01:17 GMT April 19, 2016
Selling AUDUSD..relentless
Reply   
in .7779...and add every 2-3 pips higher with greater units and power...bring it on...LOL

Its Goldilocks and election announced in July for Australia??

DYOR DFm DLTM imvho and gl gt...

 




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