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Forex Forum Archive for 04/21/2016

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GVI Forex john bland 21:38 GMT April 21, 2016
Friday Trading
Reply   


Trading Themes --
  • There were no major surprises from the ECB decision Thursday. The tone of the comments from ECB President remained dovish, and importantly he defended the current negative interest rate policy stance against a political attack by the German Finance Minister. His comments were negative for the European common currency.

  • U.K. retail sales data for March fell well short of expectations and came on the heels of disapointing employment data Wednesday. The GBP fell on the news, however, recent polls suggesting that sentiment in favor of Brexit might be waning have been supportive of the currency. On Friday, global flash PMI reports for April are due. The U.S. is in the midst of its 1Q16 quarterly earnings period.

  • The Wednesday afternoon sea-change in market sentiment about the U.S, economy carried over into Thurrday trading . A key focus has been the rise in the The 10-yr yield, which closed higher at 1.8710%. Odds for a Fed rate hike by yearend remained at a recent high of 74%. I am unaware of any new economic data that justifies this change.

John M.Bland MBA, CTA,
co-founder global-View.com


Mtl JP 21:03 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Chinese communist cretins are likely to get their panties tied up in a knot. Careful eye on China’s stock and bond markets is warranted as players are likely to believe more Soros than the communists, particularly when it comes to concerns for ability to dump crap (i.e liquidity) in reaction to announcements of more debt going bad regardless of how much liquidity the so-called "authority" pumps into the market.

nw kw 21:03 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

swissjpy still descending go goog

dc CB 20:55 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

AAPL on monday
FB facebook Wed
AMZN Thurs

Kuroda and Janet Wed

things may not work out a centrally planned...no DOW 19000 by May Day.

nw kw 20:53 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

that time of month.

Mtl JP 20:52 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

fun fun fun 开玩笑 Kāiwánxiào 开玩笑 Kāiwánxiào 开玩笑 Kāiwánxiào

"financial crocodile" Soros , having been accused by Chinese communists of not having done his homework and of potential legal consequences of dissing China's economy is at it again.

Says Soros:

China is near a financial crisis similar to the U.S. in 2008

dc CB 20:41 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

GOOG and MSFT choke

nw kw 20:23 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

A Bail Out at china's cost reports are looking for unemployment is risk so presser for softer china at cost of fed controller until tanks role out in china for unrest this end of year for its started, long gold xag.
strong uds killed chinas plan just head games?

GVI Forex Blog 19:35 GMT April 21, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

nw kw 19:13 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD

gap in long euraud can get dun yet?

nw kw 19:11 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD

bund moved so like usa bond delayed so eur can be looking for run?

Dillon AL 19:05 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD

YThe lack of price movement tells you about the current liquidity so to answer your question Unlikely

Belgrade Knez 18:33 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD


Anyone see any volume in EURUSD and possible move lower by end of US session?

Livingston nh 17:16 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

Commodity "inflation" is usually a supply constraint (e.g drought, pestilence) somewhere in the chain -- in most things rising demand only brings more supply // oil price cap is something new for the sovereign producers (OPEC et al) - Saudis think they can push everybody out of business w/ more low cost supply - probably not because the new suppliers will keep coming in at lower prices so each upswing will be lower than previous

london red 17:06 GMT April 21, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets Late In Europe

for tomorrow. yen close +/-110. which side will be imp. currently setting up for a second run at 110. tomorrow will be last chance. likely to be a success and wkend close abv 110 with 11150/112 poss nxt wk. euro fade london am bounce for lower. then maybe buy back late uk if low enough.

Mtl JP 15:48 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

todays Pivot at 1.1326 = bias down
yesty eur low 1.1290 = current argument point

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:52 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD

It is important to breach 1.127 to see lower printing of eurusd.

london red 14:47 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

0% debt safest place to be. you dictate terms.
euro. staying under yest low keeps pressure on. but look to buy at those lvls i mentioned.

Mtl JP 14:36 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

red I am all for 10-15-20% interest ! and the sooner the better (for me)

HK [email protected] 14:34 GMT April 21, 2016
Gold: TP first at 1268
Reply   


Probably you will see hairs growing on your palms before.

Tech. gold has to reach above 1290, but it will be prevented from reaching there in the near future..

GVI Forex john bland 14:33 GMT April 21, 2016
Dont Fight The Fed

You can see from the chart that our EXCLUSIVE Fed Funds Sentiment Indicator NEVER bought the idea of a EURUSD trade to the 1.1400 line today.

GVI Forex john bland 14:30 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

BREAKING NEWS: US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
7 vs. 5 exp vs. -3 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


london red 14:29 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

said it from day one, raise rates ie the cost of doing anything/everything in an indebted world and you get your inflation. then they pat themselves on the back for being ahead of the curve.

Mtl JP 14:28 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

CB 13:58 - what the Peters of the world have to understand about current CB Phds' mantra is that they think - under the current declaratory system - they can buy anything they want in any quantities they deem because they think they can do it without accountability - and hold what-ever crap that no-one else would touch to expiry. Then problem goes poof ; out of sight out of mind, life goes on in modern day fiat c-banking.

These characters can outlast anyone rational playing with limited ressources with one exception: if they ever should lose control to bond market.

dc CB 14:25 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?

Gold is the exception, as it is money, plus rising rates make it less attractive...so Two birds with one stone -- Inflation also kills gold.

look across a bunch of commod charts, corn, wheat, soybeans, cotton, cocoa, sugar, iron ore, copper, tin.....Oil, gasoline.

Two Birds with One Stone. Raises inflation so Excuse to raise rates. Raise the bottom lines of mining and basic materials corporations so they don't go bankrupt.

All paid out of the Pocket of the average person as cost of living goes higher. So a Stealth Bail Out...which never gets seen for what it is...A Bail Out.

GVI Forex Blog 14:23 GMT April 21, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 22 April 2016
Reply   

April 21, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, April 22, 2016.

  • Far East: JP- flash PMI
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMI's
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- flash Mfg PMI, Rig Count, COT Report

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

22-APR FRIDAY
ALL Day- flash PMIs
12:30 CA- CPI
12:30 CA- Retail Sales

GVI Data Calendar for 22 April 2016

Belgrade Knez 14:23 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD


thank you red

london red 14:19 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD

knez im for buying dips. buying c. 50dma 112-11150 stop under 11050. no daily close likely under 50dma.

HK [email protected] 14:18 GMT April 21, 2016
What will happen if,,,,???
Reply   


Suppose you have 2 billion USD and you buy gold contracts with this amount, and then ask for delivery.

A) They will not give you gold, but gold certificates.

B) Maybe you will receive it in the form of few thousands of tons of coal(also a commodity no?)

You bought a cat...they will give you a rat!!!
Ask the Germans about their gold. hehehe

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:18 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD

A print of 1.126 shall confirm more downside. This pair has been unusually stubborn and defiant to the force of gravity since Dec 2015.

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:16 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

Correct answer seems to be 3.

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Singapore SGFXTrader 11:10 GMT 04/21/2016
JP, what is your forecast for the Eurusd movement?

1. Dip first and then follow by more dips?
2. Dip first and then follow by a rise
3. Rise first and then follow by a dip
4. Rise first and then follow by more rise

Which one is your forecasted move?

Belgrade Knez 14:10 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD
Reply   

london red

Can you share your view at this moment about EURUSD please?

thank you.

HK [email protected] 14:08 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?


If they are into commodities, then it is except gold, which may upset their program of propping up the overvalued stock market.
Probably silver bother them not.

HK Kwun 14:07 GMT April 21, 2016
Buy Gold again
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1250 Target: Stop: 1240

crazy night, lucky i TP first at 1268, now buy again

GVI Forex john bland 14:01 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

LEI a touch below estimates. We don't put much stock in this number because its mostly old news.

GVI Forex john bland 14:00 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Leading Indicators March 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+0.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.10% (r -0.10%)prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 13:58 GMT April 21, 2016
Is the FED into commodities?
Reply   
This post on ZeroHedge caught my eye this morning...the Ag Markets.

Some staggering volume totals today
Man… I would be VERY surprised if this was due to any of the reasons people are mentioning.

Here comes my Very-REAL Conspiracy Theory: the stupid FED and other Central Bankers around the world acting in unison to artificially raise inflation so that they can hopefully get out of the F’ing mess they got themselves into with this low/negative rate BS. Call me crazy, and I am not a “conspiracy theorist” – but what is happening has absolutely no “reasonable” explanation. So I have to think outside the box…

The FED and other Central Banks have already destroyed the equity and other macro-financial markets… it is now turn for the commodities markets…

ARTIFICIALLY RAISE COMMODITY VALUATIONS = HIGHER ARTIFICIAL INFLATION = CLAMORING FOR RATES TO BE RAISED = CENTRAL BANKS HAVING A “SUCCESSFUL” END TO THE CLUSTERFCK THEY GOT THEMSELVES AND THE REST OF ALL OF US INTO WITH THEIR “ZIRP” AND “NIRP” EXPERIMENTS…

One Commodity Trader Writes: "What Is Happening Has Absolutely No "Reasonable" Explanation"

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:58 GMT April 21, 2016
Thursday Trade

Look at JPY crosses, unwinding of risk boosting the dollar elsewhere

I offered my video on how to use crosses to trade spot. Those who have not requested it have missed out as today is a prime example.

Contact me

Mtl JP 13:52 GMT April 21, 2016
Thursday Trade

john u make it sound as if the 10-yr yield is the leading leg.
is it ?

GVI Forex john bland 13:41 GMT April 21, 2016
Thursday Trade

10-yr yield continues to rise despite data 1.884% +3.7bp

I'm not sure why but this has to be USD supportive if it continues.

However. S&P is not liking this now, nor is oil. If they continue to slide , the USD is bound to follow.

Plovdiv Gotin 13:39 GMT April 21, 2016
eur/usd
Reply   
Hi is done.

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

the stupidity of equating higher growth with higher inflation (higher growth/inflation) is Krugmanian epic idiotic. The sad part - and a trading opportunity at the same time - is the mindless uncritical group-think subscription to the "growth=inflation" theory.

There should be an inverse Nobel Ecomonic Prize award, but for now be happy that it is the market does the awarding.

GVI Forex john bland 13:21 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

Draghi: if we want higher rates we need higher growth/inflation

HK Kwun 13:09 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD 11391 confirmed

Buy Gold
Entry: 1260 Target: Stop: 1250

I still prefer buy

Amman wfakhoury 13:07 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD 11391 confirmed

also gold decline from 1255 till 1242 last night

GVI Forex john bland 13:06 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

Draghi: exchange rate is not a target, but it is taken into account when decisions are made.

Livingston nh 13:05 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

It's that political pressure that is so wearing -- ECB is going to be in a hard spot between IMF and EU when Greece pops up again

Mtl JP 13:05 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

cretin is on verge of achieving a new milestone:
breaking historical tradition of lower EUR post ECB announcement

GVI Forex john bland 12:59 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

bottom line Draghi/ECB remain dovish despite political pressure from German Fin Min

GVI Forex john bland 12:58 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

ECB's Draghi: Reiterates view that rates to stay at present level or for extended time and beyond forecast horizon - prepared remarks

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Amman wfakhoury 12:57 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD 11391 confirmed

You have in the signal unless it breaks up 1258.
we now in buy from 1259 till 1271..then will decide

GVI Forex john bland 12:57 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

Philly Fed weak. Another surprising decline in weekly Jobless Claims.

HK Kwun 12:55 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD 11391 confirmed

Buy Gold
Entry: 1260 Target: Stop: 1250

wfakhoury master, seem your 1239 is impossible now, i am right this time

GVI Forex Blog 12:52 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall
Reply   

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims steady
Click on chart for over twelve-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

Amman wfakhoury 12:48 GMT April 21, 2016
EURUSD 11391 confirmed

Amman wfakhoury 12:00 GMT 04/20/2016
we have 11391 confirmed level from yesterday.
---------------------------
11391 reached


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


london red 12:45 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

draghi would not only do helicopter money but would stretch to giving everyone a helicopter to go with the money, but while black stuff firmer, rest of ecb will not let him loose. so yak is all he has.

Mtl JP 12:42 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

cretin pulling a "ben" (not in my lifetime) about low/er interest rates

feeble attempt though as cretin probably needs to pull-out a additional new, improved bigger bazooka to get players on-side

Livingston nh 12:41 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

Maybe today is Draghi's Yellen moment - watch how he looks whenever he tries to "explain" - grimly resolved that there is nothing more to do?

london red 12:34 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

underlying indicies quite poor emp/new orders. so still bit earlier to say turned corner.

Sydney ACC 12:33 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Bloomberg report lowest figure in 42 years.

GVI Forex john bland 12:31 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts







NEWS ALERT


Initial Claims (000)

247K vs. 263K exp. vs. 253K prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 12:30 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Philly Fed Index February 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT

-1.6 vs. +8 exp. vs. +12.4 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:24 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

players already belly-aching and bending over in anticipation of mario's bloviation: "c'mon cretin .... try talking the EUR lower"...

Now... cretins can be unpredictable, sometimes to the point of being evil trying to draw satisfaction and pleasure from being vindictive to players.

That could happen if cretin says something un-expected by players, like some contra-comment about current policy stance or tactics.

Unless he says something earth-shattering, do not expect trading influnce residue to last more than 30 minutes after he evacuates the room.

Currently I am only considering gv's Pivot pricepoint, and only to the downside.

HK [email protected] 12:23 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



1.1400 vicinity forms a strong Res. for Euro.

And Draghgi? I think no one will listen to what he will say.

GVI Forex john bland 12:21 GMT April 21, 2016
Thursday Trade

WTI $44.37 +0.19

continues to hold firm.

london red 12:18 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

daily straddlers break even c mid 60's so should be some selling there. should settle a bit lower than current into draghi. if moves abv 70 then bigger fish to fry and 11390/114 risked (initial stops over 40 done)

Perth Wtr 12:15 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Euro will forget the downside as long as audusd keeps rising

Perth Wtr 12:12 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Not happening buddy. Save it some other day.

HK Kwun 12:11 GMT April 21, 2016
Break out
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1260 Target: Stop: 1250

buy now

Singapore SGFXTrader 11:56 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Not very interested in the Eurusd strength and dying to see draghi slaughter the bull and send it down towards the land of abyssal.

london red 11:48 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

11350 worth a fade into draghi yak. he will talk it down but then likely to rally back up.

GVI Forex john bland 11:45 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

European Central Bank (ECB) April 2016





NEWS ALERT

Refi Rate Steady at 0.05%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.30%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%

Asset Purchases (QE) per mo unchanged at 60bn

Press Release: ECB Decision




TTN: Live News Special Offer

prague viktor 11:43 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

number 2

Perth Wtr 11:39 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

I think euro will go up. Do not short.

Mtl JP 11:37 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

euro gv chartpoint:
Pivot 1.1326

Mtl JP 11:19 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

I am happy to sit on my current short euro,
wait for the cretin to come under the spotlight to publicly spew his shameless but embarassing promises of what he will do if this or that happens or not.

I restrict my trading robot to "short" only in case there is a pricing nega-reaction to try to catch it.

Otherwise wait and lurk for new Trade off the Cretin opportunity should euro rally some while under 1.1450.

Singapore SGFXTrader 11:10 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

JP, what is your forecast for the Eurusd movement?

1. Dip first and then follow by more dips?
2. Dip first and then follow by a rise
3. Rise first and then follow by a dip
4. Rise first and then follow by more rise

Which one is your forecasted move?

GVI Forex john bland 11:03 GMT April 21, 2016
Thursday Trade

Mixed Risk
DAX -37
DJ +11
S&P +1

10-yr
US 1.868% +2.1
DE 0.220% +6.8
GB 1.537% +7.8

EUR crosses mixed lower vs GBP and AUD

WTI $44.17 -0.1

Mtl JP 10:59 GMT April 21, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

Less than One hour left to "Cretin Time" to shine
euro hovering around 1.131-ish

Draghi's ECB announces its rate decision at 11:45gmt (7:45 a.m. NYT)
Cretin Mario hold his "news" conference 8:30 a.m. NYT

HK [email protected] 10:54 GMT April 21, 2016
The demand for rising commodities comes from the exchanges, not from consumers markets.
Reply   


Wag the dog by the tail. It is what happens, same like in oil.

Silver, oil ok, but rising gold upsets the bullion banks, and other commercials which are short gold up to the chin.
But seems there is an underlying buying strength. Interesting from where.

SaaR KaL 10:50 GMT April 21, 2016
Is there any news on gbp. Lousy data and moving higher?

could still do a 4 big figures drop and still be a buyfor the year in the month ahead

SaaR KaL 10:48 GMT April 21, 2016
Is there any news on gbp. Lousy data and moving higher?

IMO it is a buy...Longer then 2 months
corrections are natural

london red 10:43 GMT April 21, 2016
Thursday Trade

fundamental error with polling in uk when situation concerns culture/religion. hence the bigger gain for stay camp when comparing phone to online polls. brexit risk very real.
ecb today nobody expecting much, daily straddle only 65 pips so that makes 11230/11370 initial sup/res flipping points. draghi would no doubt like to turn water into wine today but rest of ecb wont let him, so he will just up the rhetoric today. in this case euro likely to move higher once they do the downside stops - if option related c 11230 doesnt hold i dont think will stay below 112 on an hourly close. bunds still see something what rest of ecb wont allow for today, so when that gets corrected euro should move higher. but first the downside stops id guess.

HK [email protected] 10:39 GMT April 21, 2016
Is there any news on gbp. Lousy data and moving higher?
Reply   


Today is the 90th birthday of the queen.

It is not proper that the pound will plunge!!!

GVI Forex john bland 10:16 GMT April 21, 2016
gbp

I think it might be the recent polls showing support for Brexit waning. One word of warning, don't ever trust U.K. polls.

Dubai T 10:15 GMT April 21, 2016
gbp
Reply   
Is there any news on gbp. Lousy data and moving higher?

GVI Forex john bland 10:14 GMT April 21, 2016
Thursday Trade
Reply   


Trading Themes --
  • The major focus today is on the ECB policy decision. There is a broad consensus that rates will be held steady today. Most will be waiting to see what Mr. Draghi might have to say about the value of the EUR, and mounting poliltical opposition from various circles to the current negative interest rate policy (NIRP) of the ECB and other major central banks.

  • U.K. retail sales data for March fell well short of expectations and came on the heels of disapointing employment data Wednesday. The GBP fell on the news, however, recent polls suggesting that sentiment in favor of Brexit might be waning have been supportive of the currency. On Friday, global flash PMI reports for April are due. The U.S. is in the midst of its 1Q16 quarterly earnings period.

  • Wednesday afternoon saw a sea-change in market sentiment about the U.S, economy. The 10-yr yield moved significantly higher (1.86% last). Odds for a Fed rate hike by yearend increased and the USD traded higher. I am unawre of any new economic data and must attribute the sudden change to the recent move to higher oil and equity prices. I am skeptical and await confirmation. but am not an advocate of fighting the tape.

John M.Bland MBA, CTA,
co-founder global-View.com


SaaR KaL 10:14 GMT April 21, 2016
3 waves

^N225 27% Long Term
9% Short Term

^HSI 26% Long Term
4% Short Term

^AORD 39% Long Term
23% Short Term

^GDAXI 42% Long Term
27% Short Term
===========

^DJI 97% Long Term
50% Short Term

^NDX 97% Long Term
79% Short Term

Seems like Long USA and Short Asia

SaaR KaL 10:09 GMT April 21, 2016
3 waves

FXB is the same as Cable

FXB 12% Long Term
17% Short Term
some shorts wont be much of a problem

FXA --- AUSUSD
FXA 46% Long Term
94% Short Term
Getting funny

SaaR KaL 10:05 GMT April 21, 2016
3 waves

^NDX 97% Long Term
79% Short Term
I am longing

GLD is same as gold
GLD 71% Long Term
98% Short Term

SaaR KaL 10:03 GMT April 21, 2016
3 waves
Reply   
Made a 3 wave system
Monthly weekly and daily data used
combining the weighted average of all and weighted std Deviation
Included all these to come up with a Probability of buy output...Long term and short term
50% Probability is generally east or do nothing
I can do now do this fast for anything (The whole idea)
FXE is like the same as EURUSD
So short term a good 90% (For a week) North and 71% for a month

FXE 71% Long Term
89% Short Term
==========
USO is the same as oil
Short seems like a good idea

USO 5% Long Term
0% Short Term

GVI Forex john bland 09:03 GMT April 21, 2016
Dont Fight The Fed

Pre-U.S. view of Fed Funds futures suggesting no major mispricing of EURUSD at current levels. Markets quickly adjusted to the sudden change in market sentiment (positive USD) yesterday afternoon. I'm still not sure what the impetus was for the change, but its usually not a god idea to fight the tape. The focus today is how Mr Draghi responds to criticism of the current policies of the ECB.

GVI Forex Blog 08:48 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss Estimates
Reply   

U.K. Retail Sales March 2016

U.K. Retail Sales miss estimates.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Miss Estimates

GVI Forex john bland 08:37 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Big miss in UK Retail Sales. GBPUSD lower. GBP down vs. EUR as well.

GVI Forex john bland 08:33 GMT April 21, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. Retail Sales March 2016

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: -1.30% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.40% (r-0.50%) prev.
x-fuel
mm: -1.60% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.20% (-0.30%) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

rajshahi 07:03 GMT April 21, 2016
introduction
Reply   
hlw......guys

London 06:58 GMT April 21, 2016
New signal by our verify account
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: 1.26390 Target: +65 Pip Stop: -65 Pip

Visit us for free trial on our 140% profit account by Myfxbook.



Posted with permission of global-view.com

Forex signals

HK Kwun 06:37 GMT April 21, 2016
due to silver strength

Buy Gold
Entry: 1249 Target: Stop: 1239

Tp at 1258, lucky,

Hong HK 04:17 GMT April 21, 2016
AceTrader :Apr 21 Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views- EUR/USD
Reply   
21 Apr 2016 02:08GMT

EUR/USD - ...... The single currency erased its early gains against the greenback and fell in New York session after a brief rise to a high of 1.1388 as investors adjusted positions in the lead up to a policy meeting by the European Central Bank on Thur. The pair eventually tumbled to 1.1291 in o/n New York before recovering.

Today, the ECB is scheduled to announce its latest monetary policy decision and hold a press conference at 11:45GMT and 12:30GMT respectively.
The central bank is widely expected to hold interest rates unchanged at record lows, but President Mario Draghi is likely to drive home the case for ultra-loose monetary policy.

At the moment, initial offers are tipped at 1.1320-30 and more at 1.1340-50 with stops above there, whilst bids are noted at 1.1290-1.1280 and then 1.1270-60 with stops below 1.1250.

nw kw 03:28 GMT April 21, 2016
NEXT

Livingston your smart man but the market cant get nothing dun with cheap oil wots going on.

nw kw 03:23 GMT April 21, 2016
NEXT

bank of cad pised can go - interest for bnn replied cad has big changes ahead/

so im not looking for trends for this summer

nw kw 03:20 GMT April 21, 2016
NEXT

oil to?

nw kw 03:19 GMT April 21, 2016
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China’s gold miners plan to extend the biggest buying spree in four years as the nation seeks greater clout in the global bullion industry. The prospect may be helping drive up the price of assets from Australia to the US.

bet china bad off for flight to un cheap deals or take whut you can get/

than aud fall out but timing.

http://www.mineweb.com/news-fast-news/chinas-gold-miners-come-of-age-to-scour-globe-for-acquisitions/

Hong Kong HK 01:48 GMT April 21, 2016
AceTrader Apr 21: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
21 Apr 2016 01:01GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Although dlr retreated versus yen to 108.77 in European morning yesterday, the pair later rallied above last week's top at 109.74 to 109.88 in o/n New York on usd's broad-based strength following release of upbeat U.S. Existing Home Sales data, then marginal gain to 109.90 ahead of Asian open on Thursday before easing.

Today, U.S. will release weekly jobless claims, Housing Price Index (February) and CB Leading Indicator (March) at 12:30GMT, 13:00GMT and 14:00GMT respectively.
Market expects the U.S. jobless claims to increase 10K last week to 263K compare to 253K in previous reading, whilst U.S. leading indicators to improve to 0.4% from 0.1% in preceding month.

At present, bids are reported at 109.50-40 and more at 109.30-10 region with stops below 109.00, whilst offers are noted at 109.90-110.00 and then 110.10-20 with stops above there.

Livingston nh 00:54 GMT April 21, 2016
NEXT

kw - re:FX wars - CBs are being dragged into the realization that in the 21st century a lower currency value may not be a trade positive - part of this is a lagged understanding of productivity and its effects

Even these pinheads have started to realize faster that QE was misdirected AND NIRP is probably counter productive

Theory about neutral rates fail at the Event Horizon

Livingston nh 00:42 GMT April 21, 2016
NEXT

kw - MXN had rate hike to help -- CAD hopes based on China and oil - MXN may have a Trump problem // US flows w/ Canada may outweigh rates

hard to tell dead cat bounces from real turns

nw kw 00:36 GMT April 21, 2016
NEXT

yes but still fx wars, for needed trade but how gets it.
eurjpy is my gage, strange mxnjpy cant move up, but cadjpy can and cadmxn flat?

Livingston nh 00:32 GMT April 21, 2016
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kw - ECB has an internal struggle w/ Germany - can't be resolved -- gets worse because of Greece (and the added Asian invasion in Greece) -- too many folks still try to differentiate sovereign debt and currency // two sides of the same coin, like revenge and justice

nw kw 00:30 GMT April 21, 2016
AUD

swiss gold moved market this day but chfjpy holding jpy soft if support gives out jpy finished, but eurchf might help for ecb? so im for strong ecb for jpy cant kill china yet?

china cut production to help aud so im not trusting aud fall yet?

Livingston nh 00:18 GMT April 21, 2016
AUD
Reply   
If the interest rate environment is actually changing -- sell AUD/USD - iron ore spike seems air supported and elections loom -- sometimes bad things happen to good people _ 75 trgt

nw kw 00:15 GMT April 21, 2016
NEXT

fed slipped on a banana will ecb back off for jpy and china. Now em market has moved biggest, ussr gold moved biggest for this day?

 




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