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Forex Forum Archive for 05/01/2016

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dc CB 22:34 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

JP 21:38

30Y to mid/upper 1% range
10Y lower to 1% even range

lower than 0 for the monthly to 1Y issues

dc CB 22:31 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

JP 21:38
re "Forcing Cash Out Of Money Market Funds"
what is your expectation effect for longer term paper yield from that ?

As noted: Money Markets "Breaking the Buck" is what sent shivers thru the markets in 2007-8.
Putting it all in Treas eliminates that. These are incremental moves toward buffering the TBTFs ... The Obama's MY IRA...your IRA in Treasuries...The TBTF banks changing their "rules" for depositors: Bank of America placiing its derivative Book into the side of the bank that does Commerical Banking, placing Depositors into the Line(back of the line) of Creditor if/when BoA blows up that book....Bondholders first.

Little chip by little chip...un-noticed, un reported, never commented on by "Financial Press" Too complicated and requiring too long a memory and the ability to put 2 and 2 together.

dc CB 22:21 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

JP 21:38

Not my words.

GVI Forex john bland 11:35 GMT May 1, 2016 -
lets see $100,000 x.0025 =$250 pa
$250/360 days = $0.69 /per day.

Hardly a cost anyone would even notice on an equivalent $100K position.

Mtl JP 21:49 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

CB 19:31 / that ... is my old Germany: save 10% and buy things when you have sufficient cash. In contrast German attitude towards debt is like a house of prayer vs the debtors' robber and enslaving den.

Think Germany will succumb to the moneychangers ?

Mtl JP 21:33 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

dc CB ya think that - hardly notice it - is a bit of cavalier attitude , ya ?
-
re "Forcing Cash Out Of Money Market Funds"
what is your expectation effect for longer term paper yield from that ?

GVI john bland 21:17 GMT May 1, 2016
Monday Trading
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1460 +13
USDJPY 106.25 -10
GBPUSD 1.4587 -31

dc CB 20:34 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

5 years ago today, the white metal was on a 5 month tear, which saw silver skyrocket from $18/oz to $49.73.
Moments after Globex trading opened that Sunday evening however, the banksters unleashed a paper MASSACRE in silver of unprecedented proportions…

Silver was sent down the proverbial mine-shaft, plunging an epic $6 (13%) in under 10 ticks.

dc CB 19:21 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

LOL: I hadn't ever read this one when I made those last posts.
I did know about Scot eliminating Canadians
_______________________________

While perhaps not quite as dramatic (or confusing) as last week's announcement by Scottrade that the discount online broker would no longer allow Canadian citizens to hold accounts, in a new surprising development, another online broker, Charles Schwab has started informing some of its clients that "between June and October 2016, Schwab will update the cash feature on your account(s) from the current retail prime or municipal money market fund sweep to the Schwab Government Money Fund" or the SWGXX, which "will invest at least 99.5% of its total assets in cash, U.S. government securities and/or repurchase agreements that are collateralized fully by cash and/or U.S. government securities; under normal circumstances, at least 80% of the fund's net assets will be invested solely in U.S. government securities including repurchase agreements. "

A Hint Of NIRP: Schwab Is Quietly Forcing Cash Out Of Money Market Funds

dc CB 19:01 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

PS

Stock and Futures trading accts generally sweep Cash into a Money Market acct, which collects Interest. Once Upon a Time MM rates were 2 to 3%.

Hardly Notice the Cost

dc CB 18:47 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

"""Hardly a cost anyone would even notice""""
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
You apparently all miss the point. This is the first tiny step.

Oh my banks just sent me a notice that my acct will now "pay" me NEG 0.25%.....Hardly notice it????

The Savings in Your banks acct USED to pay you 5%, today you get 0.01%. "Hardly anyone will notice" TRUE, as theentire population of the World puts up with it. But it actually Costs you 5% a year...X 10 Years Compounded.

GVI Forex Blog 16:22 GMT May 1, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: China NBS PMI Weakens
Reply   

China NBS PMI April 2016


EARLIER: China PMI
NBS: 50.1 vs. 50.3 exp vs. 50.2 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

China NBS PMI misses close to "50" boom or Bust line.


BREAKING NEWS: China NBS PMI Weakens

Mtl JP 14:52 GMT May 1, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead



Jay 13:05 - see john bland 17:29: "either the EURUSD is over extended to the upside or the market odds for a rate hike this year are still too high."

Chart shows lower tops and lower bottoms.
IF u like straight lines, 10-yr is yield is heading to low 1.xx % (from current 1.835%)

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:05 GMT May 1, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Central banks are supposed to calm markets but instead they have become a source of market volaitity as can be seen by the price action following the Bank of Japan's surprise decision to keep policy unchanged. This sets the stage for a new month and the questions seems when, not if EURUSD makes a run at 1.15. See what would trigger such a move and what would negate it. 

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

GVI Forex Blog 12:55 GMT May 1, 2016
Central Bank Roller Coaster
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, CTA


Central Banks Never Fail To Generate Volatility

Traditionally, Central Banks have typically viewed as a source of market stability, but their role in the global economy ever since the start of the global financial crisis has grown to the point where any public utterance is a major event

Central Bank Roller Coaster

GVI Forex john bland 11:35 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

lets see $100,000 x.0025 =$250 pa
$250/360 days = $0.69 /per day. Hardly a cost anyone would even notice on an equivalent $100K position. Besides we all have been paying rollover "costs" all along since forex began on accounts of every size.

Bali Sja 11:33 GMT May 1, 2016
Fear of possible Neg. interest charges, on Swissy and Euro, may affect the market.

You kept saying gold to be under pressure from time to time but look at it flying

NY JM 11:07 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

The way I read it this impacts account balances held in JPY that exceed Y11,000,000

Swaps (rollovers) such as cadjpy already reflect interest rate differentials


Unless I read it wrong this is not a game changer and only impacts those who hold JPY balance ver the equivalent of USD 100k

Mtl JP 10:38 GMT May 1, 2016
Fear of possible Neg. interest charges, on Swissy and Euro, may affect the market.

Negative Interest Rates
Fear ... fear to some. Opportunity to others.
The betting, some of it forced and some of it enthusiastic, goes on:
--------------------------------------------

Investors in Canada’s bond market just got a major wakeup call

It’s getting dangerous out there in the bond market

HK [email protected] 03:39 GMT May 1, 2016
Fear of possible Neg. interest charges, on Swissy and Euro, may affect the market.
Reply   

Stronger USD?

Also gold may suffer for sometime!!!

Monday may be a very active and interesting day.

HK [email protected] 02:47 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances



So if one bought JPY/cad he will have to pay interest on the JPY as well for the Cad equivalent. Whatasqueeze;Eeeeeeeeeewww

How about JPY/E$, JPY/AUD? Let's see





HK [email protected] 02:26 GMT May 1, 2016
Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances
Reply   

Weekend trap? Monday morning, all to the exits(or maybe one exit)?

There is no free meal in a trap:(

Friday was too good to be true for Yen traders(many well predicted the market up to the close)?



 




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