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Forex Forum Archive for 05/11/2016

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Mtl JP 22:57 GMT May 11, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner



I am wondering if "Trade With The Cretins Corner" would yield better trading ideas 'n results.

Yung, 29, holds a doctorate in economics from the University of Notre Dame and has authored multiple working papers on the subject of interest rates and their corresponding term structure. The research she conducts for the Dallas Fed is done independently of Fed policy makers and is intended to inform discussion among officers.

Fed Economist Says Stop Relying on Stocks for Recession Signals

dc CB 22:48 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude

I've also been banging the table for sometime saying that the Banks are in trouble because of their energy loan book and that they AND THE FED(FRBNY traders) will do whatever to get the price higher.

(like changing a + to a -, a build to a draw...LOL)

It's a backdoor bailout...the Public pays the cost in higher energy prices.

dc CB 22:41 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude

I probably did post one sometime in 2015 after the big drop during last spring's rally to $60...maybe not LINE but another EP stock in similar straights.

Maribor 22:39 GMT May 11, 2016
EUR, GBP
Reply   
Observing the market my guess is that accumulation of EUR is taking place, so joining buyers and buying EUR here ~1,1425 shall be good for 250-300 pips.

As my assessment of EURGBP is that it is going down, good oportunity to push cable up may be BoE news.

Good luck!

Mtl JP 22:31 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude

dc CB 22:25 / grasshopper... why u no post that a year or ever earlier eh ?

dc CB 22:25 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude



Linn Energy files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

another bank on the hook for bad loans?????

Crude MUST rise to $75...or else ya'll be Bailin' dem Banks out agin'...LOL

nw kw 21:41 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

haha you'll pay more for insurance x 10 ha he o,,,,,

nw kw 21:37 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

cad and jpy strength this day, see if reversal or gets moving .for now.

Mtl JP 21:34 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

re 10-yr paper: folks lending to the worst kind managers of money $100 at 1.70%/yr for 10 years . haha laugh the govvy dudes and dudettes

GVI Forex john bland 20:41 GMT May 11, 2016
Thursday Trading

Fed Sentiment and EURUSD value trying to converge...

GVI Forex john bland 20:35 GMT May 11, 2016
Thursday Trading
Reply   


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

12-May THURSDAY
11:00 GB- Bank of England
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13-May FRIDAY
09:00 EZ- GDP
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- PPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan


Trading Themes --
  • Equities turned heavy Wednesday following a poor earnings report from Disney overnight. Sales of stocks often generate demand for carry trade funding currencies, e.g. EUR, JPY. These purchases drove USD lower against those units, as I suggested they might in my early comments today.

  • The day saw a light data calendar. U.K. Industrial and Manufacturing data fell short of expectations. In U.S. trading, weekly EIA crude oil inventories recorded an unexpected draw, which supported crude over the day. The forest fires in Alberta, canada continue. We heard yesterday that some production has resumed. Cool weather has given fire fighters an edge. No major lasting impact on production is seen once they are extinguished.

  • There were no major surprises in the Presidential primaries on Tuesday with presumptive Republican nominee Trump winning handily in West Virginia and Nebraska. Presumptive Democrat nominee Clinton went down to defeat in West Virginia. The vote does not change the expected outcomes for the party nominations.


John M.Bland MBA, CTA,
co-founder global-View.com


Maribor 19:50 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

joyya, it feels really like this...so big boys will first take money away from shorters pushing rate up...speculators are net short FXCM platform - than it may go down bit more.

What feels right mostly does not bring you money.

GVI Forex Blog 19:35 GMT May 11, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

Global-View Trading Technologies

tokyo joyya 18:55 GMT May 11, 2016
short stocks!

Sell S&P
Entry: Target: Stop:

wow nice shorts working well jpn225 us30 sandp going well 33% closed stop be go go go.....

PAR 18:45 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude

Retail stocks crash as crude makes new 2016 high . Sell your SUV now that is still worth anything . USA - Saudi the new OPEC .

nw kw 18:42 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

slight pull u/j top side small stop. at .39 longed. gj. kw.

nw kw 18:39 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude

Voodoo statistics can be start of G7, so all utmost strange begins and never ends for ????????????????????????????

tokyo joyya 18:09 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

15000 area us30

tokyo joyya 18:08 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

i bet next week 1000/2000 points lower big wave coming

dc CB 18:06 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade



yes, I think that next week, during OPEX, the DIA will take a shot a new highs in the next short squeeze. Monthly OPEX has been Up more than 75% of the time.

in SToX, for now I only day trade futures, mainly the Dow.
Volume has been extremely LOW, for the last few weeks, at levels usuallly seen during the holidays. It takes Nothing to move this market in either direction 100 + pts.



PAR 18:06 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Excellent call tokyo.

PAR 18:05 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude

Central bankers seem to forget that low crude prices are good for JoeSixpack and mainstreet ..

Low crude prices should bring us back to the booming sexties instead of bringing Yellen s and Draghi s doomsday scenarios .

tokyo joyya 18:00 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

now below your yesterday 30mins candle....

PAR 17:52 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude

Voodoo statistics a difference of 6.8 million barrels .

Did someone get paid to change a + into a - ? Most likely .

tokyo joyya 17:49 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

new high estimate time this month ?if you do not mind...i think high in place allready no more high...

tokyo joyya 17:46 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

dc CB 17:39 GMT 05/11/2016
Mate you are looking for new high right and you said it go far away upside but not long is not it strange your super bullish and good auction...TIA

dc CB 17:39 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

no not today.

tokyo joyya 17:17 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

dc CB 17:10 GMT 05/11/2016

Mate do you have stock long?where is your stop?thanx in advance

GVI Forex john bland 17:15 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

At least the yield is positive!

dc CB 17:10 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

10Y 1.71% WI 1.73%
Record Indirects at 73.5%

Because it's all going sooooooooo good.

GVI Forex john bland 17:04 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

10-yr 1.710% bid to cover 2.68 vs 2.58
strong auction

tokyo joyya 16:54 GMT May 11, 2016
short stocks!

any bounce?or dead drop?4h looks nice candle us30

GVI Forex john bland 16:45 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Ahead of auction 10yr 1.739% -1.4bp

GVI Forex john bland 16:32 GMT May 11, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets Late In Europe

European equities mixed late. U.S. markets are in the red.

dc CB 16:06 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade



Auction 10Y results at the top of the hour

Boffo 1.7xx%

tokyo joyya 15:54 GMT May 11, 2016
usdjpy
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 108.5avg Target: open Stop: 110.5

heading to 100/95 range?i am short

tokyo joyya 15:52 GMT May 11, 2016
short stocks!

1.446 to 1.456 maybe good area for short

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:51 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Double top at 1.1444 but has been finding support as long as above 1.1420

tokyo joyya 15:51 GMT May 11, 2016
short stocks!

i am very sure yesterday was peak thats it.....

GVI Forex Blog 15:51 GMT May 11, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 12 May 2016
Reply   

May 11, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, May 12, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: EZ- Industrial Production, GB- Bank of England Decision
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Import Prices, Natural Gas, 30-yr Auction

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

12-May THURSDAY
11:00 GB- Bank of England
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13-May FRIDAY
09:00 EZ- GDP
12:30 US- Retail Sales
12:30 US- PPI
14:00 US- University of Michigan

GVI Data Calendar for 12 May 2016

tokyo joyya 15:40 GMT May 11, 2016
short stocks!

new high now or new low now? last night stocks shorts working going lower

dc CB 15:26 GMT May 11, 2016
Crude
Reply   
well, as of yest's close, there were still 320K June contracts.
Last Trade next Fri 5-20.

A build of 3.4m would have made those worth less... n'est-ce pas.
But then EIA/DOE are "more credible".

CME OI

NY JM 15:02 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

EURUSD 1.1444 high is also around the 200 hour mva

dc CB 14:43 GMT May 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

API

Crude +3.45mm (Exp unch)
Cushing +1.46mm (+1.1mm exp)
Gasoline +271k (+710k exp)
Distillates -1.36mm

DOE

Crude -3.41mm (+2.9mm whisper)
Cushing +1.52mm (+1.45mm whisper)
Gasoline -1.23mm (+162k whisper)
Distillates -1.67mm (-1.146mm whisper)

GVI Forex john bland 14:38 GMT May 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

EIA is more credible than API. Its a much larger sample.

dc CB 14:34 GMT May 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

wait API was Increase of 3.4m

EIA is the DIRECT Opposite a DECREASE of exactly 3.4M

something is Wrong here.

GVI Forex john bland 14:31 GMT May 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -3.400 vs.0.500 exp vs. +2.800 prev.
Gasoline: -1.200 vs. -0.980 exp vs. +0.500 prev.
Distillates: -1.600 vs. -0.940 exp vs. -1.300 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.1% vs. 89.70% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

NY JM 14:06 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

EURGBP buying is a source of EURUSD demand. Also GBPJPY weighing on USDJPY. Not a USD market so it seems.

GVI Forex john bland 14:06 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

from Trading Themes (below) earlier today

European equities are trading weaker and this has given fixed income prices a bid (lower yields). U.S. equity futures are lower as well. The EURUSD holding stable despite the declines. Further weakness in shares might give the EURUSD a bid if carry trades are unwound today.

GVI Forex john bland 14:02 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

EURUSD resistance at 1.1430 holds after 1.1420 breached. 1.1481 next.

Maribor 14:00 GMT May 11, 2016
eurusd long

WOW!
But that would require some kind of shock in financial markets, I guess.

HK Kwun 13:59 GMT May 11, 2016
Correction is finished

Buy Gold
Entry: 1271 Target: Stop: 1261

TP at 1278

Lahore FM 13:29 GMT May 11, 2016
eurusd long

next 6 months Maribor !

Maribor 13:15 GMT May 11, 2016
eurusd long

FM, do you have any timeframe for your target?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:07 GMT May 11, 2016
short euro!

kw, can you email me at [email protected]

nw kw 13:01 GMT May 11, 2016
short euro!

lumber up funs looking for parking lot, usd on hold.

nw kw 12:54 GMT May 11, 2016
short euro!

ho. supporting oil, for cad.

tokyo joyya 12:52 GMT May 11, 2016
short euro!

eurjpy 851st eurusd 1 or below 1st euraud 1.3 then rise....

tokyo joyya 12:47 GMT May 11, 2016
short euro!

just showing strength before deep fall and stop hunt do not get trapped ...

PAR 12:45 GMT May 11, 2016
NIRP - Wizard Draghi
Reply   
European banks need to raise capital . To pay ECB . LOL

tokyo joyya 12:45 GMT May 11, 2016
short euro!


Entry: 1.1425 keep adding on 50pips rise Target: open Stop: later

euro is too high best is short euro still holding all euro pairs short...GL

Mtl JP 12:43 GMT May 11, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

achtung cretin on time proximity radar (at 1/4 to)
BoC pep. vov. Wilkins yaks follows Q&A

Lahore FM 12:39 GMT May 11, 2016
eurusd long
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.1416 Target: 1.30 Stop: 1.1310

long eurusd now.

Mtl JP 12:37 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

so trade is... after the stop gets eaten
pair pulls back some as this is NOT a fundydriven
then there is play attempt at re-stopping out the new short enthusiast who did not cash in the first 10-15-20-25 pip pullback from the earlier said stop. maybe they survive maybe not.
bit like a rope tug of war to see who is skittish or faster

NY JM 12:30 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

JP, forex market is on a perpetual hunt for stops.

GVI Forex john bland 12:26 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Sentiment index. Convergence developing...

Mtl JP 12:24 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

a stop hunt is not a sustained break
had to be quick as a cobra. or quicker
with rascals playing

NY JM 12:19 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Stops at 11410 taken out, so far 1.1420 holding but likely spot for more stops,. Demand appears to be coming from a pop in EURJPY (note USDJPY higher out of its crosses)

GVI Forex john bland 12:16 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Tested 1.1410 and 1.1420 resistance. So far 1.1420 holding.

nw kw 11:54 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

swap tight e/u and u/j / hard call for carry trade

GVI Forex john bland 11:22 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Key resistance EURUSD 1.1410 then 1.1420.

GVI Forex john bland 11:21 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

Just a hunch. I got the feeling yesterday that EURUSD had bottomed. I still feel that way today I am not sure how long this process will take, but We have been in slow motion recently. That can change quickly, especially if the market gets too complacent with the current narrow ranges.

Thoughts?

GVI Forex john bland 10:39 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade

DAX -72
DJ -55
SP -5

US 1.755% +0.2
DE 0.118% -0.2

EUR crosses higher, except lower vs JPY
WTI $44.63 -0.03

GVI Forex john bland 09:05 GMT May 11, 2016
Wednesday Trade


Trading Themes --
  • There were no major surprises in the Presidential primaries on Tuesday with presumptive Republican nominee Trump winning handily in West Virginia and Nebraska. Presumptive Democrat nominee Clinton went down to defeat in West Virginia. The vote does not change the expected outcomes for the party nominations.

  • European equities are trading weaker and this has given fixed income prices a bid (lower yields). U.S. equity futures are lower as well. The EURUSD holding stable despite the declines. Further weakeness in shares might give the EURUSD a bid if carry trades are unwound today.

  • Today sees a light data calendar. U.K. Industrial and Manufacturing data fell short of expectations. A key focus later will be U.S. EIA crude oil inventories after a larger than expected build in API crude was reported late yesterday.

  • Late in the Tuesday, Canadian Energy Minister Carr said that production was restarting at oil sands mines. The fires in Alberta persist. Cool weather has given fire fighters an edge. No fundamental lasting impact is seen once they are extinguished.


John M.Bland MBA, CTA,
co-founder global-View.com


HK Kwun 08:38 GMT May 11, 2016
Correction is finished
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1271 Target: Stop: 1261

Buy today

tokyo joyya 08:35 GMT May 11, 2016
short stocks!

look like everything fall hard....so far going well...

GVI Forex john bland 08:32 GMT May 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Misses in headline readings. GBP lower.

GVI Forex john bland 08:31 GMT May 11, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output April 2016




-- NEWS ALERT --

Ind mm: +0.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.30% (r -0.20%) prev.
Mfg mm: +0.10% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -1.10% (r -0.90%) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 06:46 GMT May 11, 2016
NIRP - Wizard Draghi
Reply   
German pension funds getting into trouble because of NIRP .

FRANKFURT (dpa-AFX) - Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin schlägt angesichts der historischen Niedrigzinsen Alarm. Vor allem Pensionskassen stünden zunehmend unter Druck, sagte der oberste Versicherungsaufseher Frank Grund bei der Vorstellung des Jahresbericht der Behörde am Dienstag in Frankfurt. "Möglicherweise können daher bald einzelne Pensionskassen nicht mehr aus eigener Kraft ihre Leistungen in voller Höhe erbringen." Mit ihnen werde derzeit gesprochen, wie es weitergehen könne. "Eine Kürzung der Leistungen für die Versicherten wollen wir natürlich verhindern."

Hong Kong HK 03:58 GMT May 11, 2016
AceTrader May 11: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views today (USD/JPY)
Reply   
11 May 2016 02:00GMT
USD/JPY - ...... The greenback rose in European session yesterday to 109.28, then to 109.35 in New York afternoon on broad-based weakness in Japanese yen after verbal yen-intervention from Japanese officials earlier in the day. Price resumed it ascent and hit a high at 109.38 in Australia.
However, lack of follow-through buying triggered profit-taking and price retreated to 109.05 at Tokyo open.

Since there is no major economic data due from Japan or U.S. today, price is likely to be influenced by additional comments from Japanese officials regarding the yen's strength.

Bids are now lowered to 108.70/80 and more below at 108.50/60 with stops building up below there whilst initial offers are noted at 109.70/80, suggesting further choppy trading would be seen.

HK [email protected] 02:27 GMT May 11, 2016
When BOJ threaten with intervention.
Reply   


They have been intervening for few days, then the issue a warning of possible intervention, so the fools will sell JPY, and then strengthen da yen and get profits.

Mtl JP 01:24 GMT May 11, 2016
US DEBT

THEME:
PLAYERS STARTING TO CLOSE IN ON YELLEN
(Like hyenas on an injured lioness)

Fed doesn’t get it about global excess supply, winning fore

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
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