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Forex Forum Archive for 05/22/2016
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Mtl JP 23:59 GMT May 22, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner
there will be more of them this week:
Williams, Bullard, Harker
Kashkari, Kaplan, Harker
Yellen & Bernanke together
London Chip 21:43 GMT May 22, 2016
Livingston nh 14:13 GMT May 22, 2016
JP - Yellen is always good for a laugh - her inflation tutorial last Fall was a clear message that the Fed has no clue about the CAUSES of inflation and her end of March speech reinforced the one and done MARKET MENTALITY that the recent Fed chickenhawks and the April Minutes are trying to correct
The more "forceful" her attempt to move the odds back to at least 50/50 the more disappointing a June delay will be for the markets and credibility -- there is this myth about the Fed not moving against the market expectations so there may be some complacency into June meeting if the needle doesn't move after Yellen speech -- the players will say we got the Fed's number and they can't move/// if the FOMC gets a Spine transplant the payoff would be good --- of course, it's a bet on a three legged horse
Mtl JP 13:13 GMT May 22, 2016
re "Truly hope" (nh 12:27) that "the FED guys are on the defensive and now will be trying to make up for their earlier error. In betting its called doubling down!" ( john 11:28)
- nh gv gatekeepers are on multiple record to never count on the Fed to save your position
- curiously Fed's What's Next page does not list Janet's speech on June 6 before the World Affairs Council of Philadelphia, a Fed spokesman confirmed Monday (wsj)
What is the
market's bet in the meantime on the USD and ahead of janet's yak that everyone seems to be so focussed on ?
usdx says current bias is uP
paper Gold current bias is Down
Will come a time on approach to june 6th that players will start to take bets on Yellen's tone (more hawkish vs March)
if she will clearly lay out expectations for the path of policy
Should be another trading opportunity to take sides either as
Do Not Fight The Fed (assuming you think you clearly understand her smoke signalling and market's reaction to it)
a bet that Janet is a chicken and trade with those betting on one 2016 hike
Livingston nh 12:27 GMT May 22, 2016
John - I truly hope you are right
nw kw 08:14 GMT May 22, 2016
Fed Rate Hike Now Imminent
rice cot large move ap is it linked to usd cow reversing and 30y long fed.?
watts rice telling us?
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Mon 27 May 2019
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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