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Forex Forum Archive for 05/25/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


PAR 21:18 GMT May 25, 2016
Long Euro
Reply   
Yellen will be waiting for Godot. She will not raise rates before she is fired by DONALD.. You are fited !

FL AG 20:47 GMT May 25, 2016
NZD/USD
Reply   
Any news for the drop? TIA.

GVI Trading Room john 20:32 GMT May 25, 2016
Thursday Trade
Reply   
Bias/Sentiment Late Wednesday In NY

20-day av 1.1332
Pivot 1.1152

Fed Funds Futures indicator roughly in line with current EURUSD spot...


dc CB 20:26 GMT May 25, 2016
Luca Brasi sleeps with the fishes
Reply   
“According to the staff member, the Director stated that the Secretary’s personal system had been reviewed and approved by Department legal staff and that the matter was not to be discussed any further,” the report reads, noting that the investigation found no evidence that anyone within the State Department had reviewed or approved Clinton’s personal system.

“According to the other S/ES-IRM staff member who raised concerns about the server, the Director stated that the mission of S/ES-IRM is to support the Secretary and instructed the staff never to speak of the Secretary’s personal email system again,” the report reads.


Mtl JP 20:07 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS



ya, some . initial target 2044 (my fave pet) not the whole run up just spurts here n there.
-
so which way the 70 points - I am still keeping robot in the "short only" mode as I favor 1.1050 / 1.08-ish

the inverse correlation is not a tick for pip exactitude btw.

dc CB 19:57 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

did you hold on to some of that 2026---you said you went long on Dudley's speech on Thurs. (see linked chart) in my post

Mtl JP 19:51 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

posi or nega 70pts in 5 days ?

dc CB 19:48 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

70pts in 5 days looks pretty alive to me.

He's the "new bond king", didn't you know? Just like the old bong king ---what's his name, got's to impress the press.

Emini hourly

Mtl JP 19:44 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

john is Gundlach trumping Gartman on the yakking pundit circuit now ?
-
Gundlach is on record:
- 2-3 years before it happened he was screaming about credit market meltdown coming
- to like and own Gold
- central bank nega rates as "the dumbest idea ever"
- stocks are some of the "riskiest things"
- predicts Trump to take the W/H
from a small sampling of his plums

GVI Forex Blog 19:38 GMT May 25, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Mtl JP 19:18 GMT May 25, 2016
NEXT

so if I know corrupt politician operations, she ll be thrown to the dogs only because someone else has been prepared to make her uncomfortable stink that could sink others go away.
soon we ll find out

GVI Trading Room john 19:15 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Jeff Gundlach-
-- U.S. stock market is "Dead Money".

PAR 19:15 GMT May 25, 2016
Crude
Reply   
Did Crazy Mario notice that crude oil prices and some other European prices are rising exponentially . NIRP is becoming CRAZY like the master himself.

dc CB 19:11 GMT May 25, 2016
NEXT

I agree nothing will happen - legal-wise.
But if she'll be shown to be a sure loser...she'll be dumped.

Nothing would suprise me as this elections starts to get Real Serious. imho

GVI Trading Room john 19:08 GMT May 25, 2016
NEXT

They won't do anything to her. It would make the Administration look bad. The whole system (both parties) is corrupt.

Mtl JP 19:07 GMT May 25, 2016
NEXT

there is nothing in the report recommending either punishment or penalty for clinton. so what is next and who decides justice dept on 0's say-so ?

Mtl JP 18:58 GMT May 25, 2016
NEXT

what punishment does the law provide for violating them rules ?

dc CB 18:15 GMT May 25, 2016
NEXT

The groundwork is being laid to dump HRC. The move is on to dump Wasserman-Shultz, the current Chair of the Democratic National Committee.

The Demos are beginning to see the Trump V Clinton election fight as one that will bring into the front pages of the Main Stream Press stuff that should remain buried. Attacks on Trump can only be on his personnal and private business dealings. Attacks on HRC would involve the political elite - starting as far back as the 90's "establishment" AND all the Clinton family dealings since Bill left office.

That is a treasure trove of Dirty Laundry. Tee up Biden, Mr. Regular Joe Biden. Who will be a relief --- in thei Anybody But _______________, fill in the blank....HRC AND Trump fit in that space.

State Dept. watchdog: Clinton violated email rules

nw kw 18:01 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

aud/cad helps for flow.

nw kw 17:59 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

cad moves lag aud, day or so, /// cad still get going usd is place to go.

Livingston nh 17:19 GMT May 25, 2016
NEXT
Reply   
FED no fear trade - the 5 yr auction bid to cover is 2.6 -- BUY side again overwhelmed Primary dealer

Mtl JP 17:17 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

usdcad may re-visit 1.3068
keep an eye to see if closes under but still think it is BoD
just need to be lithe and picki

Livingston nh 16:56 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

JP money has been leaving stox - rally on low volume seems to be the "artificial" intelligence buys - they turn quickly and back again

At least now the JUNE FOMC meeting is LIVE

Mtl JP 16:48 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

the recent stox rally is on some low volume
means lots of ammunition waiting to be deployed
but waiting for what catalyst

tokyo joyya 16:45 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

Livingston nh 16:39 GMT 05/25/2016

Mate thank you for kind post time to sleep good night,

Livingston nh 16:39 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

Oh, and if the event shows up there are three downside gaps to SPX 2040 (below there are more extreme moves)

Livingston nh 16:36 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

STOX need an event to slow them (internals better on adv/decl volume 3to1, issues almost 2to1 BUT like yesterday chart has turned mildly neg) - Treasurys are higher (yields down) - oil is neutral

Currencies likely the event - EM and China

tokyo joyya 15:51 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

on 5m chart dow breaking dwn side lets see what happen europe close

tokyo joyya 15:38 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

if your target is 145 then your more wrong then me....hahaha

tokyo joyya 15:35 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

Bali Sja 15:33 GMT 05/25/2016

hahaha i said what i see...your eurjpy target in 145 right?

Bali Sja 15:33 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!

You have been saying that everyday since the beginning of the month btw

tokyo joyya 14:59 GMT May 25, 2016
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

recently we see just one sided markeet in daily but today we see stox and currencies revese?i think today maybe possible

GVI Forex Blog 14:50 GMT May 25, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 26 May 2016
Reply   

May 25, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, May 26, 2016.

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- GDP
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods, Pending Homes Sales, Natural Gas, 7- yr

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
26-May THURSDAY
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
13:45 US- flash Service PMI
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
27-May FRIDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
17:15 US- Yellen Speech


30-MAY MONDAY
00:00 GB/US- Holiday

GVI Data Calendar for 26 May 2016

Mtl JP 14:47 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

1.3102
put an sl+1 , x-fingers and wake me up if/when it hits 1.33

nw kw 14:40 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

trim 1-1/4%
cad market looking for rebuilding army, swing growth.

Mtl JP 14:39 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

new long usdcad 1.3080

GVI Trading Room john 14:31 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -4.200 vs. -2.500 exp vs. +1.300 prev.
Gasoline: +2.000 vs. -1.250 exp vs. -2.500 prev.
Distillates: -1.300 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -3.200 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.70% vs. 90.50% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john 14:06 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

BOC
-- CAD close to level assumed in April
-- Inflation in line with expectations
-- US to return to solid growth after soft 1Q16
-- Economy to rebound in 3Q16
-- Alberta fires could trim 1-1/4% off 2Q growth

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

current usdcad saying to the Fed gang: bring 'em on those rate hikes.
waiting for return to and above 1.3080 to add long

GVI Trading Room john 14:00 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

May 2016 Bank of Canada Policy Decision





ALERT
target unchanged at 0.50%
RELEASE: Bank of Canada



TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 13:56 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. flash Marit PMI Weak

Under current FED upset . Bad news is good news , and good news is good news .

GVI Trading Room john 13:53 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. flash Markit PMI Weak

Markit PMI lousy but is out of phase with the ISM reports

GVI Forex Blog 13:51 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. flash Markit PMI Weak
Reply   

U.S. Markit flash Services PMI May 2016

U.S. Data Charts
Markit flash Services PMI weaker approaching contraction.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. flash Marit PMI Weak

PAR 13:50 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Services are 85% of the US economy ?

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

cretin alert - top of hour
account risk "A" CA BOC Rates 0.50% 0.50%

GVI Trading Room john 13:46 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Service PMI misses.

GVI Trading Room john 13:45 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Markit flash Services PMI May 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
51.2 vs. 53.0 exp. vs. 52.8

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer

nw kw 13:45 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

pin head g7, chfjpy saved from free fall.

nw kw 13:42 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

charts look risk in aud.gl.

nw kw 13:14 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

Brexit poll bad timing with oil changes but gbpaud looks thin poss no sellers, cad had big swing from oil.

Livingston nh 13:13 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Jay - polls are yes or no which is fine to judge a Brexit vote -- but is the Pound at risk, will the economy plunge into recession, will locusts descend ?? this is UNKNOWABLE

GTA 13:09 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

You should read the articles we post on our poll. The Leave side is beyond passionate to exit and will see whether the phone polls or online polls rule the day.

GVI Trading Room john 13:08 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

nh- good observation. This is the same struggle as in the States. The establishment against those fed up with the status quo. Its going on everywhere and its roots are economic.

PAR 13:07 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Not the markets but the British citizen themselves have become so afraid with all the horror stories of what a Brexit would do to their WALLET that they want to vote asap to stay in Europe .

GVI Trading Room john 13:03 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Bullard
-- June hike not set in stone
-- Labor data favorable towards rate hike

Mtl JP 12:58 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

cretin alert: 9:00am
theme: talk is cheap (and will be plentiful today, as 2 more)

Livingston nh 12:57 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

I am having a hard time w/ Brexit Trading moves - it seems appropriate to bet w/the oddsmakers on Brexit or not -- simple YES or NO outcome // BUT the market moves are baffling -- the economic and financial implications are completely UNKNOWABLE but it appears that markets are relying on the EXPERTS (IMF, Treasury and Masters of Industry) that Brexit will be bad and EU Remain will be "no worse" status quo -- Groupthink is always dangerous

Mtl JP 12:36 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

gbpusd 1.4705
gv chartpoint: 200 day 1.4780 possible target but also likely resistance

GVI Trading Room 12:32 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

08:31 (EU) Latest Brexit poll: 44% for staying in EU; 38% for leaving; % undecided - Survation phone poll
**Note: Prior Survation (released on Apr 27th) 45% for staying in EU; 38% for leaving; 17% undecided
- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trading Room john 12:32 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Survation Brexit Poll 44% Stay 38% Leave

Source: TTN

GVI Trading Room john 12:30 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. (USD bn) Advance Goods Balance April 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-57.5 vs. -60.0 exp. vs. -56.9 prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:27 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

Chris it appears that not all polls have same market respect
- just another known unknown

Mtl JP 12:25 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

U.S. 2 Year 0.9343 %
Germa 2 Year -0.507 %
-
Bottom Line So What
weight on eususd uP-side

2-yr spread

GVI Trading Room john 12:04 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday\'s Trading

Equities Risk-On
DAX +136
DJ +65
SP +8

US 1.870% +0.7bp
DE 0.163% -1.4
GB 1.424% -1.8

EUR crosses mostly lower (EURJPY up)
WTI $49.05 -0.43

London Chris 11:58 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

It would not surprise me if those in the know have inside information on the next Brexit poll and are buying sterling in advance of it being released.

NY JM 11:13 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday\'s Trading

EURGBP next key support is around .7525 from January

NY JM 11:03 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

Is anyone long?

Major GBPUSD res is at 1.4769 (March 3 high)

Mtl JP 10:56 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

I need to correct the no Fed yakkers:
Wednesday
Harker, Kashkari, Kaplan in that time order

Mtl JP 10:42 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

scared or bargain if Janet bitch-slaps her 2-3-4 hike peddlers back to reality
Wednesday:
no Fed yakkers on the roster

kl shawn 10:37 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

gold is very very scared of the Fed it seems
LOL

Mtl JP 10:32 GMT May 25, 2016
Trade Off The Cretins Corner



chose your trade
Yellen's gang
- raises rates,
- preps players for July hike
- kicks off hike into the future
---------------------------------
it may be noteworthy that this weeks SnP climb is on some very low volumes - i.e low player comittement

kw nw 10:11 GMT May 25, 2016
Long Euro

golds moves united with its pares, I look to run hft on this, they split off next in to fx or st.

GVI Trading Room john 10:09 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday Trading

GVI Trading Room Bias/Sentiment indicator is performing well.

Below these levels bias remains down.

20-day avg 1.1348
Pivot 1.1167

It will be a slow process to work the 20day average into range of spot. The Pivot Point is helpful because it adjusts very quickly.
Fed Funds futures have been leading the EURUSD lower, but is stability at hand for now?


PAR 09:35 GMT May 25, 2016
Long Euro

How to bring the stockmarket up . FED suggests its going to raise rates , and then UNESPECTEDLY does not raise rates . Simple comme bonjour .

Mtl JP 09:34 GMT May 25, 2016
Long Euro

it is called "climbing a wall of worry"

bali sja 09:32 GMT May 25, 2016
Long Euro

PAR, but why did gold not indicate so?

PAR 09:26 GMT May 25, 2016
Long Euro
Reply   
Fed is not going to raise rates in june and imho this info has been leaked to some big stock market players , that explains yesterdays stock market blow up .

Mtl JP 09:04 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

“Things are going to be OK,” he (0bama) said. “I promise.”

Obama Suggests U.S. Won’t Make ‘Mistake’ of Electing Trump - wsj

GVI Trading Room john 08:47 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Report UK betting firm Ladbrokes has seen a rise in the proportion of "leave" bets on the Brexit Referendum over the past two days.

Source: TTN

bali sja 08:47 GMT May 25, 2016
ANZ says fading AAA allure could send $A towards US50¢

yes keep selling audusd, lower high on daily

Sydney ACC 08:44 GMT May 25, 2016
ANZ says fading AAA allure could send $A towards US50¢
Reply   
The Australian dollar remains overvalued, and could head towards US50¢ as it loses its de facto safe-haven status, according to research from ANZ Banking.
Foreign exchange strategist Daniel Been says despite a gradual 35 per cent decline against the US dollar in the last five years, the Aussie is still trading higher than fundamentals would normally allow.

Link

GVI Trading Room john 08:43 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday\'s Trading


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
25-May WEDNESDAY
14:00 CA- BOC Rates
14:30 US- EIA Crude
26-May THURSDAY
08:30 GB- GDP
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
13:45 US- flash Service PMI
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
27-May FRIDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
17:15 US- Fed's Yellen Speaks 18:00 US- Early Close for Fixed Income Markets


Trading Themes --
  • The better tone of U.S. markets from Tuesday based on the outsized gains in New Homes Sales has helped equities globally. The U.S. is typically seen as a growth engine for the global economy and the housing market tends to have a large multiplier for emloyment.

  • The EURUSD is trading steady so far today, while USDJPY is up a touch. The EURUSD remains below the psychological 1.1200 line. The EUR is mixed on its crosses.

  • Key German IFo data for May have come in stronger that expected across the board. There were small positive revisions to previous data as well. The report reinforces the generally more positive tone for economic growth.

  • Interest is growing in the scheduled speech by Fed Chair Yellen at Harvard Friday at 17:15 GMT. The hope is she will clarify the outlook for Fed policy heading into the long U.S. weekend.

John M.Bland MBA
co-founder global-View.com


GVI Trading Room john 08:16 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

IFO expectations plus the revision to expectations corrected at the source (see below.

GVI Forex Blog 08:13 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German IFo Survey Beats
Reply   

German IFO Survey May 2016 German May IFO Survey broadly stronger than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: German IFo Survey Beats

Jeddah Abb 08:05 GMT May 25, 2016
.
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gbpusd to see 1.478..

GVI Trading Room john 08:02 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

IFO Beats across the board. EURUSD up.

GVI Trading Room john 08:01 GMT May 25, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

German IFO Survey May 2016
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 107.7 vs. 105.8 exp. vs. 106.6 (r 106.7)prev.
Conditions: 114.2 vs. 113.3 exp. vs. 113.2 prev.
Expectations: 101.6 vs. 100.8 exp. vs. 100.4 (r 100.5) prev.



target="blank">IFO Climate Survey




TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 07:28 GMT May 25, 2016
DEFLATION IN EUROPE
Reply   
Crude oil rockets to near $50 a barrel as data hints at U.S. supply drop

PAR 06:47 GMT May 25, 2016
CHINA
Reply   
China devalues chinese yuam at fixing overnight .

tokyo joyya 05:24 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

Sell GBPAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

yesterday i short small one 2.04 i will add if rise and short euraud 1.559...lets see what happen...

tokyo joyya 05:21 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

euraud and gbpaud going down so maybe audjpy and audusd up also....

tokyo joyya 05:17 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

aud getting bid vs gbp and eur so maybe euro good for short maybe...

perth wtr 03:59 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

sold 0.7208, adding 0.7220 and 0.7238, stop all 0.7257

kl fs 03:43 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

what triple top? which chart?

Mtl JP 02:55 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

0.72
triple top : audusd is a sell

HK Kwun 02:45 GMT May 25, 2016
Join the tour again
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1228 Target: Stop: 1238

sell is the key

tokyo joyya 01:38 GMT May 25, 2016
short gbp!

atleast eurjpy down holding short from 124.5

tokyo joyya 01:26 GMT May 25, 2016
short gbp!

Mtl JP 19:20 GMT 05/24/2016

sorry i slept early last night....i was talking about dow last night it was going but again up....wtf markeet

nw kw 01:14 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

long oil 55 get them stops.

nw kw 01:13 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

cad strength with strong gbp, poss oil

nw kw 01:05 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

staring soft jpy wiht soft eur , pos eurgbp short

Dillon AL 00:21 GMT May 25, 2016
Wednesday's Trading

Just to show the opposite direction. 1.1140 1.1160 1.12. The market is s/t oversold so what I am suggesting is a return to a 2way risk

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
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A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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