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Forex Forum Archive for 05/26/2016

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Sydney ACC 23:57 GMT May 26, 2016
Iron ore price dips below $US50

Oversupply.
With a retracement in iron ore and oil back below USD 50 keep an eye on BHP share price.
There's a good positive correlation between the currency and BHP share price.
In April the correlation only broke down on three separate trading days and then on two of those days AUD change day on day was less than 10 points.

Mtl JP 23:42 GMT May 26, 2016
Iron ore price dips below $US50

soooo.. the dollar is strong

Sydney ACC 23:18 GMT May 26, 2016
Iron ore price dips below $US50
Reply   
The price of iron ore has slid below $US50 for the first time since the end of February as investors fret about rising Chinese stockpiles and signs of a jump in marginal supply.

At the end of the latest session, iron ore delivered to the Port of Tianjin in China slipped 0.2 per cent to $US49.90 a tonne. It is the first time the commodity has traded below $US50 since the end of February.

The commodity has tumbled 12 per cent through a run of six sessions without a gain, with the downtrend kicked off by last week’s news stockpiles of iron ore at Chinese ports had risen above 100 million tonnes for the first time in over a year.

Link

Mtl JP 22:55 GMT May 26, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Markets Late in NY



as luck would have they are almost same line and easy to notice so I had a double look at the 10-yr (in red) and e-mini (in green)
one of them - which one eh - will soon be wrong

dc CB 20:17 GMT May 26, 2016
short spx!

1st Weekend of the Summer.

from NYT:
1. Getting There in Style

The Hamptons skies are more crowded this summer.

Blade, the Uber-like helicopter app, is back and bigger than ever. With a new terminal on Wall Street, it now offers four departure points from Manhattan, with one-way fares starting at $495. Onboard snacks are catered by brands including Dean and DeLuca, though the short flight (about 35 minutes) barely leaves time for a second glass of Château d’Esclans Rock Angel rosé.

GVI Forex Blog 20:11 GMT May 26, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

PAR 19:44 GMT May 26, 2016
short spx!

Before a long holiday weekend stocks almost always go higher . The 1% dont want a long sunny weekend spoiled by a declining stock market . Next week could be another story . Do not short this market before Tuesday !

Mtl JP 17:24 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

The Radcliffe Medal is presented annually to an individual who has had a 'transformative impact on society'. Yellen will receive hers "in recognition of her work in guiding the nation’s economy", how her "guiding the nation’s economy" is transformative is a mystery to me.

U can bet that their "conversation with Professor Gregory Mankiw" has been scripted and been rehearsed. Highly unlikely - no a certainty - that Gregory will not highlight such Yellen plums as "For my own part, I did not see and did not appreciate what the risks were with securitization, the credit ratings agencies, the shadow banking system, the S.I.V.’s — I didn’t see any of that coming until it happened." not so much to not embarrass Janet as not to embarrass Harvard and whose ever idea it was to chose Janet for the medal.

london red 17:16 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Knez i run an arm of the family biz so that takes precedence but i use mobile apparatus to stay on the ball and maintain a feel as well as setting some auto stop/profit trades. ill set some alerts and they basically run themselves. its v imp to maintain the feel of the mkt as it takes a couple of wks to get it back if interrupted. but i leave the trickies and bigger events for the desk.

tokyo joyya 17:13 GMT May 26, 2016
short spx!

time for go down right?enough is enough

london red 17:06 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

im not entirely convinced either but that matters not as there has been some talk for a few days and its what the mkt believes that always matters pre event. if she avoids the subject you might get some disappointment which you could fade (11280 would be nice).

GVI Trading Room john 16:47 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

I'm not sure this is a venue where Chair Yellen is likely to speak on policy?

May 27
Discussion - Chair Janet Yellen
A conversation with Professor Gregory Mankiw, followed by the presentation of the Radcliffe Medal to Chair Yellen
1:15 p.m. EDT

Mtl JP 16:23 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

voter Powell is allegedly a hawk
amuzing sh!tshow ... wonder who wrote the chant script for them from which they all parrot essentially the same thing, meekly and obediently.

GVI Trading Room john 16:19 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Powell
-- Rate rise might be appropriate soon
-- Pace of increases should be gradual.
-- Econoy should remain on 2% growth path

tokyo joyya 16:04 GMT May 26, 2016
short spx!

any one long gbpusd support nxt?

Belgrade Knez 15:37 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS


london red,

I thought you are full time trader.?

GVI Trading Room john 15:36 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

Quite amazing how closely the two lines match! Bottom line not much of a bias at the moment.

london red 15:30 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

thks knez, try post to whenever have something i think useful to share, but lately quite busy with home and work life. will def be around for the big calendar dates this summer, rates jobs and of course brexit. whichever way brexit goes its an opportunity to take a lot of money from the brokers and some banks that will be unfortunate to be on the other side of my trades.

Belgrade Knez 15:05 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

london red 13:04 GMT 05/26/2016
euro. short here stop 46 tgt 11140/45 and lower. look for hourly close at or lower than 11196 to conform end of short squeeze.
if fails short at 11275/80 stop abv 11330


london red

your view are always very valuable ... thank you for your input .... I wish you can post more often


GVI Forex Blog 14:57 GMT May 26, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 26 May 2016
Reply   

May 26, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, May 27, 2016.

  • Far East: JP- CPI
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- GDP, University of Michigan, Yellen, Rig Count, COT Report

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
27-May FRIDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
17:15 US- Yellen Speech

30-MAY MONDAY
00:00 GB/US- Holiday

GVI Data Calendar for 26 May 2016

GVI Trading Room john 14:52 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Everything pointing to a June/July Fed rate hike.

GVI Trading Room john 14:50 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed 2Q16 GDP raised to 2.90% from +2.50% on May 17.

-- TTN

GVI Trading Room john 14:30 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+70 vs. +70 exp vs. +75 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 14:20 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Beat Expectations
Reply   
Pending Homes Sales up.strongly. Suggests higher future Existing Homes sales.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S, Pending Homes Sales Beat Expectations

GVI Trading Room john 14:03 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Another big jump in PHS confirms higher New Homes Sales. This should show up in the more important Existing Homes Sales next month.

GVI Trading Room john 14:00 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Pending Homes Sales April 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
+5.10% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +1.40% (r +1.60%) prev.
RELEASE: Pending Home Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Plovdiv Gotin 13:43 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

E/$ 1218--->1.1058

Livingston nh 13:43 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

red thanx

london red 13:34 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

chf coming off due to repricing of us rates and easing of brexit risk. both are subjective of course. tomorrow mkt will expect yellen to make ref to recent fed policy, that should cap euro advances. on the day will drive direction for close. she may be hesitant to be too hawkish given recent dollar advance and brexit risk. its actually not clear she will say anything at all (maybe june 6). if they want to do a summer hike they may prefer july. but mkt will still go into her speech tomorrow net long dollar. mkt tends to go in over egged with high(hawkish) expectations and then gets forced back by her dovishness.

Mtl JP 13:26 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

gv chartpoint 10 day 1.1234 = res

Livingston nh 13:20 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

RED - are you seeing Brexit hedging in CHF?

tokyo joyya 13:07 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

target 1.14 and 0.77/78

london red 13:04 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

typo end of comment abv 50 not 30

london red 13:04 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

euro. short here stop 46 tgt 11140/45 and lower. look for hourly close at or lower than 11196 to conform end of short squeeze.
if fails short at 11275/80 stop abv 11330

tokyo joyya 13:04 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

Mtl JP 13:02 GMT 05/26/2016

i think euro rise...maybe i am wrong long eurusd and eurgbp

Mtl JP 13:02 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

1.1210-ish
short eurdlr, risking 20-30 pips

tokyo joyya 13:00 GMT May 26, 2016
short spx!

wow usd and gbp lower jpy eur aud higher as expected....

tokyo joyya 12:48 GMT May 26, 2016
short spx!
Reply   
Sell S&P
Entry: now Target: open Stop: later

maybe this work add on rise...

GVI Forex Blog 12:46 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall
Reply   

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims fall

Click on chart for over twelve-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Fall

GVI Trading Room john 12:43 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Knez thank you you are correct. My internet went down about 2mins before the release!

Belgrade Knez 12:40 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS


John,

your numbers are wrong it should read:

268k vs exp. 275k prev. 278k

GVI Trading Room john 12:38 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Durable Goods Orders April 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: 3.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.80% (r +1.90%) prev.
Ex-Trans: 0.40%vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -0.20% (r +0.10% prev.






TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john 12:36 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
268K vs. 275K exp. vs. 278K prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 12:34 GMT May 26, 2016
Lots of military spending before the elections ?
Reply   
Apr Orders of Nondefense Capital Goods Ex-Aircraft -0.8% 2016.05.26 14:30:18

Mtl JP 12:21 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

sl at cost +
never too prudent

Mtl JP 11:58 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Bullard: Brexit Is Not As Big A Global Event As It Has Been Made Out To Be.
-
Nice of Bullard to accuse Carney, IMF , Cameron & Co of lying

GVI Trading Room john 11:45 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Does this guy get paid by the word?

GVI Trading Room john 11:45 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Bullard
-- Keeping Mind Open on June FOMC
--Only moderate risk of Asset bubbles forming
-- Only surprises about rate cuts in Europe/Japan can impact exchange rates

Livingston nh 11:41 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

The Yellen risk - forecasting is not the Fed strong suit - less than 2 months ago Yellen shot down the "things are better" April's live and now the expectation is for UPBEAT Janet "June is Live" - or will it be "June is Jive but July is Live"

OF course, by D-Day May's Employment figures may require a quick retreat -- Climate prediction by today's weather

Mtl JP 11:31 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

Sell EURUSD
Entry: market and pops Target: 1.114 and lower Stop: few pips above 1.12

I am biased towards the usd

Mtl JP 11:27 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

The hope is ...
-
not sure who exactly hopes what chicken yellen does but stocks (SnP at 2089-ish and ytd 2105 high) are either ignoring her or they are discounting the good news read from Fed gang's eagerness to hike coz the economy is so good it can take it.
--
place your bet for the 20%

tokyo joyya 11:09 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

maybe gbp fall like a rocket from here

tokyo joyya 11:06 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

UK JY 09:17 GMT 05/26/2016

long again?tellme your stop?i want go long too

GVI Trading Room john 10:01 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

JY- you make an excellent point. It seems to me that many of the news algos are primitive. They don't think. They just react to keywords. Also I have noticed they don't have a memory. With the advent of AI, this will not always be so. We are in what likely will only be a short period of time when we can profit on the naivety of the robots.

Lets work together on this. Its us against the machines.

UK JY 09:17 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade

Did anyone buy that gbp dip on GDP revised tiny? News algos gave a gift.

GVI Trading Room john 09:06 GMT May 26, 2016
Thursday Trade


WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
26-May THURSDAY
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
12:30 US- Durable Goods Orders
14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
27-May FRIDAY
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan Survey
17:15 US- Fed's Yellen Speaks 18:00 US- Early Close for Fixed Income Markets


30-MAY MONDAY
00:00 GB/US- Holiday


Trading Themes --
  • A Key focus of trading today has been crude oil, which has tested to the $50 line in both Brent and WTI. The impact is largely psychological as the correlation trades with equities recently have broken down. One impetus for trade has been production disruptions for Chevron in Nigeria.

  • The EURUSD continues to press modestly higher but so far has held below the psychological 1.1200 line. EURUSD is up on what appears to be short-covering into long weekends in the U.K. and U.S. The EUR is mostly higher on its crosses.

  • The first revision of U.K. Q16 GDP saw the yr/yr reading marked down slightly. The two-day G7 leaders summit in Japan is under way. We expect to hear noise on forex, but no action.

  • Interest is growing in the scheduled speech by Fed Chair Yellen at Harvard Friday at 17:15 GMT. The hope is she will clarify the outlook for Fed policy heading into the long U.S. weekend.

John M.Bland MBA
co-founder global-View.com


GVI Forex Blog 08:37 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Revised Down Slightly
Reply   

UK GDP-- 1Q16

U.K. 1Q16 GDP revised down slightly.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Revided Down Slightly

GVI Trading Room john 08:32 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Revised 1Q16 GDP yy marked down slightly.

GVI Trading Room john 08:31 GMT May 26, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

UK GDP-- 1Q16

U.K. Charts




-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
YY +2.00% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

tokyo joyya 07:19 GMT May 26, 2016
long jpy!

ok sell 109.95

tokyo joyya 05:29 GMT May 26, 2016
long jpy!

when i write here markeet go against me....look like here posting very danger

tokyo joyya 05:28 GMT May 26, 2016
give me mone again

i think usdcad go down....

tokyo joyya 04:45 GMT May 26, 2016
long jpy!

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 109.7 Target: 110.5/111.8 Stop: 109.3

look like again bounce coming so going long

nw kw 04:24 GMT May 26, 2016
give me mone again

cad strength oil up day just starting gl

tokyo joyya 03:15 GMT May 26, 2016
long jpy!

jpy aud and eur rise..

tokyo joyya 03:13 GMT May 26, 2016
long jpy!

look like today usd and gbp fall hard...

dc CB 02:54 GMT May 26, 2016
Wash Post (former????? endorser of HRC)
Reply   
remains to be seen...is Bezos having second thoughts??

the bus is coming down the road...........
_________________________________________________

The Post's View

Editorial

By Editorial Board May 25 at 7:13 PM

Clinton’s inexcusable, willful disregard for the rules

dc CB 02:47 GMT May 26, 2016
Brexit
Reply   
WashPost OpEd columnist/pundit/SundayMornTVMouth... weighs in.

George F. Will

The ‘Brexit’ referendum is the most important vote in Europe in a half-century

nw kw 02:47 GMT May 26, 2016
USD/JPY

Godzilla will get green card and power up , see some in a/j big fight?

nw kw 02:42 GMT May 26, 2016
USD/JPY

MR.O still gazing at Godzilla for its a bit burnt out fighting worlds econ.

dc CB 02:21 GMT May 26, 2016
USD/JPY

Geeeeee 20

just need to water it...not raining hard enough...need moar moar moar moar "water"

bring that umbrella closer, we're getting wet.....

tokyo joyya 02:10 GMT May 26, 2016
long jpy!

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

bali tell me now

Mtl JP 01:55 GMT May 26, 2016
USD/JPY

lame duck meets numbnuts

..." two days of meetings Thursday and Friday, the leaders are set to discuss the global economy, with Abe hoping to gain support for his plans to prop up Japan’s economy with more spending."...

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/obama-meets-with-abe-as-g-7-summit-starts-in-japan-2016-05-25?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

HK Kwun 01:39 GMT May 26, 2016
give me mone again
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1233 Target: Stop: 1243

sell now

Miami JN 00:58 GMT May 26, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply   
WTF is going on? Is there any G7 news?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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