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Forex Forum Archive for 05/31/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


tokyo joyya 23:32 GMT May 31, 2016
Long GBP

after such daily candle gbp can rise again?

dc CB 21:09 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading



AUD Down 4.9% - Worst month sine Jul 15

But Rupert said...on May 9

GVI Trading Room john 20:51 GMT May 31, 2016
Wednesday Trading
Reply   
Sentiment/Bias
20-day avg 1.1257
Pivot 1.1143

Fed Funds Sentiment Indicator

Sydney ACC 20:42 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Cameron and Osborn are finished.
Their arguments for remaining in the EU are derisory for the UK. They betray the fact that the UK is the fifth largest economy, is currently growing at a faster rate than the EU, us a permanent member of the UN and is at centre of all international organisations. Their arguments are more negative than those put forward for a Greek exit.
Even if the vote is for Bremain they've lost all credibility.
Political uncertainty will continue after June 23

GVI Trading Room john 20:32 GMT May 31, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 1 June 2016

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
1-JUNE WEDNESDAY
00:30 AU- GDP
all day Global PMIs
18:00 US- Beige Book
2-JUNE THURSDAY
11:45 EZ- ECB
12:15 US- ADP
12:30 US Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
3-JUNE FRIDAY
all Day Global PMIs
12:30 US- Employment
12:30US/CA- Trade

GVI Data Calendar for 1 June 2016

PAR 19:54 GMT May 31, 2016
CHINA
Reply   
Lets see CHINA PMI above or below 50 ?

GVI Forex Blog 19:37 GMT May 31, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   



Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Mtl JP 18:31 GMT May 31, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off Late In Europe

Players are saying that they currently do not believe Janet Yellen's gang members.

PAR 18:17 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Brexit uncertainties spoiling stock market party . Polls are
all over the place and Cameron seems to be loosing control . So Cameronexit whether Britremain or Brexit .

GVI Trading Room john 17:25 GMT May 31, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off Late In Europe

re: Yellen all I can say is odds are ridiculously low in Fed Funds Futures and options for a Fed rate hike, even though she as much as announced one is coming BY late July. Draw your own conclusions...

dc CB 17:19 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Rate Hike Odds? a 0.25% Bump ----spare me.

Here are some of the Rate Hikes that are Proposed, that will have a larger effect on the US economy than anything that Yellen and Co will do.
Decision for the rate that will go into effect in 2017 will be made and notices will go out in the fall --- right at election time.

eCONomists will be ringing their hands next year wondering WHY the consumer is NOT SPENDING and "growth" remains flat.

Rates going UP UP UP

Mtl JP 16:48 GMT May 31, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off Late In Europe

john 16:22 what , do u think, is yellen's current credibility level with players ?

tokyo joyya 16:27 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

anyone like to short jpy?

GVI Trading Room john 16:22 GMT May 31, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off Late In Europe

Equities mostly risk-off in the wake of Yellen. Euro mixed on its crosses. GBP heavy after newest Brexit polls.

GVI Trading Room john 16:12 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Odds for a june rate hike ~25%
odds for a single rate hike by the end of July 64%
odds for a single rate hike by yearend 116% (or more than a single move.

Under the circumstances, it would appear the markets don't believe Yellen. I generally see these odds as too low

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 15:52 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Thanks ACC, suggest reading some of my articles (see link below).

Sydney ACC 15:41 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

IN my opinion there are three aspectss that won't be factored into an opinion poll:
1. Voting is not compulsory. At the last general election 66% of those enrolled (no idea of the general population not even enrolled to vote), that was up from 59% in 2001 but much lower than the postwar high of 84% in 1950. Although at the Scottish referendum voter turnout was 85%.
That voting is optional makes the opinion polls flaky at best.

2.It is more likely Brexit voters will cast their votes given they want change.

3, Regional interests. The SNP has indicated a Brexit vote would see another push for independence. Northern Ireland is the region of the UK that would be most affected by an EU withdrawal.

GVI Trading Room john 15:34 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed 2Q16 GDPNow 2.90% unchanged from May 26.

--TTN

GVI Trading Room 15:33 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

11:25 (US) State Dept issues a 'travel alert' notice for Europe, citing risk of terrorist attacks during summer events in Europe

As part of the State Departments continuous efforts to provide Americans travelling abroad with information about relevant events, we are alerting U.S. citizens to the risk of potential terrorist attacks throughout Europe, targeting major events, tourist sites, restaurants, commercial centers and transportation. The large number of tourists visiting Europe in the summer months will present greater targets for terrorists planning attacks in public locations, especially at large events. This Travel Alert expires August 31, 2016.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 15:14 GMT May 31, 2016
Brexit Poll Updates

We have been running this poll for almost 3 months and our results have been in sharp contrast to public polls.

We have just exceeded 5,000 submissions to our Brexit Poll

New and Exclusive!



Latest Brexit Poll Updates and Feedback from Survey Participants

PAR 15:05 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

How reliable and relevant are these polls . What is the margin of error . How much Gin have those enquêteurs been dinking ?


DJ GBP Falls as Polls Show Brexit Support -- Market Talk

1449 GMT GBP slides, dropping to trade down 0.5% at $1.4559 from around $1.4640 beforehand, after two ICM polls--one phone poll and one online--reveal greater support for leaving the EU rather than remaining, ahead of a June 23 referendum. An ICM phone poll for the Guardian has 'leave' on 45% and 'remain' on 42%, while an online poll has 'leave' on 47% and 'remain' on 44%. GBP also falls against the EUR, with EUR/GBP up 0.6% at 0.7667, up from around 0.7627 before the polls were announced. ([email protected])

PAR 14:55 GMT May 31, 2016
Long GBP
Reply   
Long GBP at 1.4560 . Brexit is a NO GO .

PAR 14:53 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Again FSA sleeping at the wheel . Release of those polls is market moving info ?

PAR 14:51 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Or Big City banks manipulating the polls to profit . Kind of LIBOR scandal revisited . Money is extremely powerfull . LOL

GVI Trading Room john 14:38 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Brexit tide turning again? GBP weaker...

GVI Trading Room john 14:36 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

ICM Brexit polls

telephone
42% stay
45% leave

online
44% stay
47% leave


--TTN

PAR 14:34 GMT May 31, 2016
DALLAS
Reply   
Dallas Fed May Business Activity -20.8 Vs Apr -13.9 2016.05.31 16:30:19

I guess Dallas is not that important to the US economy ?

GVI Forex Blog 14:31 GMT May 31, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 1 June 2016
Reply   

May 31, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, June 1, 2016.

  • Far East: AU/CN/JP- PMIs, AU- GDP, Retail Sales
  • Europe: EZ, CH, GB- PMIs
  • North America: US- Mortgages, Case Shiller, US/CA PMIs

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
1-JUNE WEDNESDAY
00:30 AU- GDP
all day Global PMIs
18:00 US- Beige Book
2-JUNE THURSDAY
11:45 EZ- ECB
12:15 US- ADP
12:30 US Weekly Jobless
15:00 US- Crude
3-JUNE FRIDAY
all Day Global PMIs
12:30 US- Employment
12:30US/CA- Trade

GVI Data Calendar for 1 June 2016

Mtl JP 14:21 GMT May 31, 2016
FRANCE



french stox
chose your side

PAR 14:19 GMT May 31, 2016
FRANCE
Reply   
With all those strikes France s economy is coming to a standstil .

The only thing still working in France is the Stockmarket . I wonder when that will be hit by strikes ?

GVI Trading Room john 14:13 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker

Step back at the chart below and it pretty clear that the Conference Board data have been falling since late 2H15.U of M data have turned up. Keep in mind sentiment surveys are not hard data.

GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker
Reply   

U.S. Conference Board Survey May 2016

Conference Board data weaker than expected.
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker

tokyo joyya 14:07 GMT May 31, 2016
short usd!
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: 1.305 Target: open Stop: 1.31

buy eurusd and short usdjpy and usdcad....

PAR 14:03 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Higher crude prices hitting consumer confidence . Spending goes up as gasoline prices move higher . Higher crude is good for Wallstreet , bad for JoeSixpack .

GVI Trading Room john 14:01 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

more weak sentiment data.

GVI Trading Room john 14:00 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Conference Board Survey May 2016

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

92.6 vs. 96.0 exp. vs. 94.2 (r 94.7) prev.


RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer



Mtl JP 13:57 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

pondering is not trading
-
consumer confidence risk "A" to account coming up at top of hour
adjust trading posture to personal risk appetite

PAR 13:51 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

I guess Chicago is really not that important to the US economy ?

PAR 13:50 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

As usual . Legalised insider trading . How rigged can US markets be ?

GVI Trading Room john 13:49 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Sometimes you can get a feel for the data from the market moves in few minute before the public release.

GVI Trading Room john 13:46 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

weaker than expected. Data were released to subscribers about 3min before the public release

GVI Trading Room john 13:45 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Chicago PMI May 2016

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
49.3 vs. 50.7 exp. vs. 50.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

nw kw 13:24 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

than trap eur.cad see wonders of trading?

nw kw 13:17 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

Room john 10:24 GMT 05/31/2016 - My Profile
Tuesday's Sentiment/bias
I pondering looking at 15min charts of usacad and eurusd , will fed chart in. work

GVI Trading Room john 13:08 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Case Shiller-20 February 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
+5.40% vs. +5.50% exp. vs. +5.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:08 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading

1.3073
-
usdcad 10 day 1.3070
bias is BoD
trgt 1.33+

GVI Forex Blog 12:39 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Core PCE in Line
Reply   

U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator April 2016

U.S. Core PCE Deflator uch at 1.60% y/y. Fed Targets PCE Deflator.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Core PCE in Line

Mtl JP 12:34 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

maybe consumer confidence at 10am another risk "A"

Mtl JP 12:32 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

player reaction approximately +/- 2 pips ... poof goes risk "A"
need something else to push prices around

GVI Trading Room john 12:32 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. data dead in line. CA GDP misses

GVI Trading Room john 12:31 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: GDP March 2016





ALERT
m/m -0.20% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% () prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trading Room john 12:30 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator April 2016

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
Personal Income +0.40% vs. +0.40% exp v +0.40% prev.
PCE Defl +1.60% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.


RELEASE: Personal Income



TTN: Live News Special Offer

tokyo joyya 12:26 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Mtl JP 12:23 GMT 05/31/2016

i am short usd no problem.....yeah right

Mtl JP 12:23 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

look... almost everybody thinks usd is BoD
that in itself is an alarm
to stay sharp

tokyo joyya 12:16 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

and us30 can make new high?or down bfore that?

Mtl JP 12:12 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

usdyen needs to go N of 111.50 first

tokyo joyya 12:10 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Mtl JP 12:07 GMT 05/31/2016

what do you think about usdjpy?112?115?120?next?

Mtl JP 12:07 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

for now usd is BoD
-
at half past the hour comes risk to my account category "A" via US PCE release

tokyo joyya 11:58 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Mtl JP 10:14 GMT 05/31/2016

my guess is that she will not hike in june disapointment...hahaha

GVI Trading Room john 10:24 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trading
Reply   
Tuesday's Sentiment/bias
20-day avg 1.1272 --- falling fast by about 20 pips/day
Pivot point 1.1126 -- below current spot

Global-View Trading Room Fed Fund Sentiment Indicator suggesting EURUSD still has room on the downside.

Mtl JP 10:14 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

OPEC has lost its MOJO.
Saudis are struggling.
- increasingly looking like they need to depeg their Riyal

Bottom Line
Janet hiking her rate should make the usd rocket
dollar rockets = crude's price goes back into the toilet
Janet holds a sharp blade to the Saudi's banking and a spear to their financial heart.

PAR 10:00 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Oil headed for the longest run of monthly advances in more than five years as OPEC delegates prepared to meet this week in Vienna to assess output.

Futures in New York are up about 8 percent in May, rising for a fourth month. Libya’s Petroleum Facilities Guard captured a town near the Es Sider and Ras Lanuf oil-loading terminals after fierce clashes with Islamic State militants.

Oil has surged since slumping to a 12-year low in February on signs the worldwide surplus is easing amid declining production from the U.S. to Nigeria

Mtl JP 09:35 GMT May 31, 2016
Dollar heads for best month in six on rate hike expectations -- Reuters.com

dlryen at 111.05
-
intervention ?
- when
- where
- by who

PAR 09:17 GMT May 31, 2016
Dollar heads for best month in six on rate hike expectations -- Reuters.com

Yen and Yuan drop after intervention .

GVI Forex Blog 09:06 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Higher
Reply   

Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) May 2016

EZ flash HICP (CPI) core CPI higher.

BREAKING NEWS: EZ flash HICP Higher

KL KL 09:00 GMT May 31, 2016
Funny Biznes Shanghai Futures Drop 10%...
Reply   
for 1 minute and then pop up again..... Is this going to be something normal in the months ahead...flash crash to make money everywhere?? For brokers, banks, bucket shop....etc...

Wish I had that screen open at that time to snap up some futures....

DYOR DFM DLTM imvho and be careful.....I sense trouble...LOL...who know what happens next....

GVI Trading Room john 09:00 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) May 2016





ALERT
Headline
yy: -0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.
CORE
yy: +0.80% vs. vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 08:28 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German Retail Sales Weak

Germany's Jobless Rate Hits Record Low in May 2016.05.31 10:20:34

PAR 08:15 GMT May 31, 2016
EUROPE

DJ Italy's Unemployment Rate Rises in April -- Market Talk

0808 GMT Italy's unemployment rate rises to 11.7% in April from an upwardly revised 11.5% in March, says national statistics agency Istat. The increase among the jobless is a result of more women without work, with an increase of 4.2%, while a 0.4% decrease among jobless men isn't sufficient to offset that rise. The politically-sensitive youth unemployment also rises in April to 36.9% from 36.7% a month earlier. ([email protected])

GVI Forex Blog 08:12 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German Retail Sales Weak
Reply   
EARLIER: German Retail Sales weak.

BREAKING NEWS: German Retail Sales Weak

Belgrade Knez 08:06 GMT May 31, 2016
EURUSD
Reply   

Why SM are not interested in trading EURUSD?

GVI Forex Blog 08:01 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: German Employment Improves
Reply   
German April Jobless falls (lower is better).

BREAKING NEWS: German Employment Improves

GVI Trading Room john 07:59 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

German employment data better than forecast. EURUSD a bit weaker.

GVI Trading Room john 07:56 GMT May 31, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
German Unemployment May 2016




NEWS ALERT
Rate: -6.10% vs. 6.20% exp. vs. 6.20% prev.
Change: -11K vs. -5K exp. vs. -16K (r) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

tokyo joyya 07:42 GMT May 31, 2016
gbp

maybe tomorrow big move in gbp 400/500pips upside...today difficult bcoz 31 in june move come...any idea?

PAR 07:39 GMT May 31, 2016
EUROPE

In Germany . Merkel coalition losing majority in poll . The end is near for Merkel .

PAR 07:22 GMT May 31, 2016
EUROPE
Reply   
Belgium on strike . France on strike . No trains , no planes .

tokyo joyya 06:27 GMT May 31, 2016
gbp

gbpusd 1.5/1.53 lol seems now then short

tokyo joyya 06:26 GMT May 31, 2016
gbp

so buying gbp end of month short gbp look like one or two weeks gbp rise.....

tokyo joyya 06:25 GMT May 31, 2016
gbp

hk ab 06:13 GMT 05/31/2016

this markeet is wtf very tricky no trend nothing...

hk ab 06:13 GMT May 31, 2016
gbp
Reply   
long is still green
gold also green......

dlr/jpy also greens.....

some fishes indicators really help a lot......

Will gold suddenly surprise?

HK Kwun 05:49 GMT May 31, 2016
Still prefer sell
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1214 Target: Stop: 1224

big sell

tokyo joyya 05:38 GMT May 31, 2016
long gbp!
Reply   
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 163 Target: 170/175 Stop: 162

going long....

dc CB 03:42 GMT May 31, 2016
America is back from the long weekend
Reply   
and they've got some new toys.

Yen Stop Runner

Mtl JP 02:46 GMT May 31, 2016
Brexit

nh ... no sooner I post ... ones not to dis-appoint here are princes

leaving nothing to chance

HK Kwun 02:18 GMT May 31, 2016
gold is in no man zone

Sell Gold
Entry: 1203 Target: Stop: 1213

this one is stopped, but i i will reshort again soon

Hong Kong HK 01:57 GMT May 31, 2016
AceTrader May 31: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
31 May 2016 01:23GMT

USD/JPY - ...... Although the greenback rose to session high at 111.45 in early European morning, price retreated to 111.03 and continued to trade in a narrow range in holiday-thinned conditions as UK and US markets were closed.
Dlr briefly dropped to 110.80 at Tokyo open after Japan reported better-than-expected industrial production data before rebounding in Tokyo morning.

Factory output rose 0.3 percent in April from the previous month, against a median market forecast for a 1.5 percent drop, data by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry showed on Tuesday. It followed a 3.8 percent rise in March.

Pay attention to the release of U.S. consumer confidence data at 14:00GMT. Street forecast is for a rise to 96.0 fm prev. reading of 94.2.

Bids are now seen at 110.90/00 and more below at 110.70/80 with stops building up below there whilst initial offers are noted at 111.60/70, suggesting buying on dips for a resumption of recent uptrend is favored.

GVI Trading Room Jay Meisler 00:34 GMT May 31, 2016
Tuesday Trade
Reply   
As I posted earlier in the Trading Room.

If equities are up on the month there is often month end USD selling to adjust FX hedges. If this occurs it would offer a USD buy opportunity.

I never bet on these flows but bears watching around fixing times.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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