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Forex Forum Archive for 06/04/2016

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GVI Forex Blog 21:58 GMT June 4, 2016
Poor Jobs Data; Secret Agreement To Manage USD

John M. Bland, MBA

Weak Jobs Report
Markets were blindsided Friday by the much weaker than forecast +38K increase in Non-farm payrolls

Poor Jobs Data; Secret Agreement To Manage USD

dc CB 21:36 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Submitted by Simon Black via,

On July 1, 2005, the Chairman of then President George W. Bush’s Council of Economic Advisors told a reporter from CNBC that,

“We’ve never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis. So, what I think is more likely is that house prices will slow, maybe stabilize, might slow consumption spending a bit. I don’t think it’s gonna drive the economy too far from its full employment path, though.”

His name was Ben Bernanke. And within a year he would become Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Livingston nh 18:52 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

Yellen can afford to be more "hawkish" on Monday - she needs to keep the financial market in line w/ the rate expectation of July or, now, September // the economy can always be an excuse but the financial market is the Fed's concern -- this imbalance is the reason the Fed keeps stumbling around in the Money Swamp

I've spent nearly a week in Indiana - seems things are going pretty well here as economy shifts BUT Trump is a big hope for CHANGE (our Brexit vote)

tokyo joyya 17:45 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

nw kw 16:13 GMT 06/04/2016

long term looks to fall to 85....112 is short mid term target...i am hoping for rise then short again...

BD 17:04 GMT June 4, 2016
work from home
Entry: Target: Stop:

if you work from home without investment then join us

work from home

nw kw 16:13 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

just monthly bares are small risking eurjpy free fall no byers? 113. last support.

Mtl JP 12:39 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

GVI Trading Room john 13:09 GMT June 3, 2016
June 6 Speech - Chair Janet L. Yellen
Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy

That speech , likely, will not be about her "Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy".

That speech is , very likely , being re-written to try to
1) protect her credibility with players - make sure that “probably in coming months” being "still appropriate” does not become laughing stock with players
2) protect her relevance
3) stop n reverse player speculation that Janet's expertise is on par with that of a chicken and that she is just not all that clever
-- that her economic stimulation policy is an embarrassment and a joke
--- that she will have to do a 180 degree turn on her rate hike ambitions and
---- arrest speculation that she ll be back soon with some old/new form of QE "stimulation"

london red 10:49 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

re verizon and june nfp f/c, most incorporated the net effect (verizon took on a lot of temps for strike) but the print was much worse, confirming the slowdown in job growth over the last quarter. DB got closest with 110k and while that factored in verizon and a slow down too, the print was much worse. No strike can mask that particulat number.

Haifa ac 07:46 GMT June 4, 2016
Today is the 35th of MAY
The 35th of May, or Conrad's Ride to the South Seas (Der 35. Mai oder Konrad reitet in die Südsee in German, its original language) is a novel by Erich Kästner

6.7.16==california elections
all we need is Emil and the Detectives .

tokyo joyya 07:33 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

nw kw 07:07 GMT 06/04/2016

i am long zar and try...

nw kw 07:07 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

rand turned to strength out place like to why. For gold.

nw kw 07:04 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

always some change this gbp and usd fowling on same rate weakness given long eur gbp and crossed jpy path so eurjpy finds support first.

tokyo joyya 06:02 GMT June 4, 2016
Friday Trading

i think eurusd take turn around 1.145/1.155 then 1.10 or 1.095.... 1.145 is key...

Sydney ACC 00:03 GMT June 4, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

I'm confused.
Given that striking Verizon workers affected the number pf jobs created how come economists published predictions circa 160,000?
When last they went on strike in 2011 there were zero jobs created in that month the strike started then a spike the following month.
Why wasn't the strike factored into the numbers?
Also, seems like the US is the only country that adjusts it's employment figures for striking workers. It's not like they are never going to return to work.


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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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