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Forex Forum Archive for 06/05/2016

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GVI Forex Blog 23:58 GMT June 5, 2016
Brexit Poll Update: Has the Tide Turned?

If you look at our tracking poll you would think that Brexit is a slam dunk (see latest results below). If you look at bookmaker odds, you would think that Brexit is a long shot. If you look at public and online polls, you might say I am not sure what to believe. And then again if you look at the value of sterling and UK stocks, you might shake your head over some of the volatility, especially in the forex market.

Brexit Poll Update: Has the Tide Turned?

tokyo joyya 23:31 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news

nw kw 20:16 GMT 06/05/2016

long gbp today?gap?

dc CB 23:18 GMT June 5, 2016
Monday Trading

this, for one

A survey of nearly 19,000 subscribers found that 69 per cent are intending to back a Brexit at the June 23 referendum.

Those surveyed also overwhelmingly back Boris Johnson to become the next leader of the Conservative Party, with 42 per cent saying they would “prefer” him to succeed David Cameron.

EU referendum: Telegraph subscribers say they back a Brexit

NY JM 23:13 GMT June 5, 2016
Monday Trading

Sterling getting hit. Is there a new Brexit poll out?

dc CB 22:45 GMT June 5, 2016
Monday Trading

there are 3 US auctions this week. 3, 10, and 30

You thing Janet is gonna F*^k with that Yield "gift" that dropped from the heavens on Friday by saying something untoward?

GVI Trading Room Jay 22:43 GMT June 5, 2016
Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

The price action on Friday should be a good warning to the dangers of positioning into key data events, especially ones where there can be a large margin of error. In any case, this sets the stage for the coming week where the economic calendar is light except for a key event on Monday. See my outlook for the week ahead and an important announcement of a revolutionary new trading approach.

Forex Trading Outlook for the Week Ahead

GVI Trading Room john 20:54 GMT June 5, 2016
Monday Trading
The major event of the week likely be this Monday afternoon in the States...

June 6 Speech - Chair Janet L. Yellen
Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
To the World Affairs Council of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pa.
12:30 p.m. ET

nw kw 20:25 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news

How could the ECB’s last meeting affect the U.S. dollar and the gold market? Well, the euro lost against the U.S. dollar on Thursday (as investors probably turned their attention to today’s critical U.S. jobs report). In turn, the price of gold went down marginally on the day. Importantly, the ECB’s inaction prepares the ground for a Fed hike in June or July. The case for a move is strengthened by the Fed’s tightening its balance sheet, in preparation for a hike, similarly to what it did before its December move.

The markets odds of a raise suggest that investors are not ready for June, however, July is a completely different story. Anyway, the chances of a hike this summer increased and gold will be under downward pressure for some time. Investors should remember that even if the FOMC does not hike in June, it will probably sound very hawkish to set the stage for a July move

nw kw 20:21 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news

Recently data was released with regard to inflation in the United States. All in all, the data was overwhelmingly positive. In the month of April, the United States saw incredibly strong inflation. In fact, consumer prices rose more in the month than they have in any other month over the past 3 years. This solid data sent the USD upward. On top of the fact that the data was strong, it also lends a hand to the Federal Reserve's plans to increase its interest rate. When this happens, likely in June, the value of the USD will likely climb even higher! Ultimately, this is putting quite a bit of resistance on the price of gold

nw kw 20:16 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news

crb has a lot no rain priced in. change in year if it can.

nw kw 20:11 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news

RJ/CRB Commodity Total Return Index


cad mimics' crb see up trend pivot to bust.

nw kw 19:59 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news

up trend in cad stronger stay on it.

nw kw 19:58 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news

do you see setup for rba for nzd thinned Nike need to trade from Friday. loking for rba potion to price audusa looks start up trend.

Sydney ACC 19:54 GMT June 5, 2016
Its not all bad news
The unemployment rate dropped to 4.7 percent from 5 percent in May, the Labor Department reported on Friday, a bright spot in a report filled mainly with grim numbers. For example, job creation slackened sharply, with a net gain of a mere 38,000 jobs. But the report also confirmed that hourly wages have been rising, for a gain of 2.5 percent for the year.

On Wednesday, in the survey known as the “beige book,” the Federal Reserve reported that “tight labor markets were widely noted,” and pay raises were “concentrated in areas of labor tightness.”

Purchasing power for many workers has finally climbed back to prerecession levels. By March, using inflation-adjusted figures, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that median weekly wages had at last surpassed their 2009 peak.


GVI Forex Blog 13:21 GMT June 5, 2016
May Payroll Data Not A Black Swan

John M. Bland, MBA

I have seen surprisingly little commentary about why the May non-farm payrolls data missed street estimates by a mile

May Payroll Data Not A Black Swan


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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